To Manage Water, We Want to Know How Often a Flow Is Equaled or Exceeded DURATION CURVE - % of Time a Flow Is Equaled or Exceeded Plot of Discharge vs Probability of Occurrence To create: Rank Flows, as m, From Highest to Lowest 1 to N If 2 Values Are Equal, Assign Separate Rank P = 100 * (m/(n+1)) Normalize flow by basin area to compare basins of different size Q___ BasinArea log scale More severe floods e e.g. g crystalline rock rock, very little soil, poor infiltration, rapid runoff, high peak flows, low base flows Moderate conditions in glacial outwash with good infiltration but rapid through flow, moderate peak and base flows Mild floods e.g. alluvial basin with good infiltration and moderate ability to transmit groundwater, low peak flows, high base flows 0.01 50 99.99 Probability that Flow is Equaled or exceeded Steeper Whatcurve does indicates a steeper more curvesevere indicate? floods Estimate Velocity With Manning Equation V = 1.49 R 2/3 S 1/2 n where: V = average velocity in fps R=h hydraulic d li radius di (flow (fl area [ft2]/wetted ]/ tt d perimeter[ft]) i t [ft]) S = slope of energy gradient n = Manning friction factor R = (40ft * 0.75ft) / (40ft + 0.75ft + 0.75ft) = 0.72 S = (5816ft – 5775ft) = 0.02276 550m 1 ft 39.3in 12i 1 12in 1m n ~ 0.05 V ~ 3.6 ft/sec Q ~ 109 cfs 1 Drainage area = 400 mi2 very rough average annual baseflow? ~ 40 cfs? average annual ground water discharge ~ 1.26x109 ft3 Drainage area = 400 mi2 What is the baseflow discharge in 1987? 2 Drainage area = 400 mi2 1987 Qo = 150 cfs tlog = time for Q to drop 1 log cycle = 0.6yr t = time for recession = 0.7yr 1 yr 1 log cycle Q 3 TOTAL GW THAT COULD DISCHARGE AT START OF RECESSION, Vtp: Vtp is evaluated ∫ ∞ 0 Vtp = Qotlog 2.3 TOTAL GW THAT COULD DISCHARGE AT END OF RECESSION, VR: VR is evaluated ∫ ∞ t @ end VR = 1987, 1988, 1989, 1993 Qo ~ 150 cfs tlog = time for Q to drop 1 log cycle ~ 0.6 yr t = time for recssion recession~~0.7 0.7yryr Vtp ~ 1.2x109 ft3 VR ~ 8.4x107 ft3 Vdischarged ~ 1.2x109 ft3 ~26,000 AF Qotlog ⎛ tt 2.3⎜10 log ⎜ ⎝ ⎞ ⎟ ⎟ ⎠ 4