California Mortgage Finance News Fall 2007 Commercial News Trickle Down Financing by William Bernfeld, K&L Gates, Fabio Baum, Key Bank Real Estate Capital buyer has gone hard on its money, borrowers may go by the or bridge loans are becoming due. wayside in order to avoid the Though many borrowers are on difficulty of finding investors for the side lines right now, there’s a subordinate traunches. tremendous volume of 2 – 3 year Trickle down economics, the theme of the 80’s, postulated that lowering the tax rate for the wealthy will promote new investment, and the benefit will “trickle down” to those who are not in a higher tax bracket – in other words, a rising tide should lift all ships. The “trickle • down” theme (in reverse) has found its way into lending circles, and it’s no mystery that the recent meltdown of the residential subprime lending market is “trickling up” to make a significant impact on the commercial finance market. The articles are legion about the spigot being turned down on the CMBS market, the tightening of underwriting standards, and the resulting increased demand seen by • certain sectors of senior debt, such as life companies and portfolio lenders. Mezzanine lenders have not been immune to these market forces. The authors were recent participants on a mezzanine lending panel at the fall 2007 CMBA Commercial Real Estate Finance Borrowers are still seeking bridge loans coming due over numerous loans, but limited the next 12 months, and those commitments are being issued, as side line spectators may soon lenders are being selective. They become unwilling participants in are, for the most part, picking safe a tight credit market. Once those spots and giving quotes, but their borrowers become active players, deals are not being gobbled up. No their expectations will quickly one wants to jump – either rates become realigned. really need to come back down, or Pricing is back to what it was cap rates need to adjust to enhance in 2004. Senior lenders are deal economics. This, in turn, doing deals, as the risk return is will bring the confidence back in at this level. Collaterized Debt senior investment grade pricing Obligations (CDOs) are out. The that will then help determine CMBS market, which was on the appropriate pricing levels an upward trajectory for the last for mezzanine debt. Ultimately decade, has been significantly there will be adjustments on both impacted, and that source of sides of the equation. But the big liquidity has been pared back in a question that remains is when will significant way. this settle? The recent lowering by the fed • It’s a buyer’s (lender’s) market of lending rates is indication of right now, and existing the severity of the situation, but opportunities, both distressed and will fall far short of allaying the non distressed, are demanding difficulties in the market. higher return. Passive real estate Those lenders who bring investors who would typically in investors, either through buy either bonds or subordinate syndications or through direct CMBS paper have a lot of choices. sales, will find that there’s a lot of • With respect to loans that are competition for this capital, and becoming due, many lenders they will have to structure their are going to be forced to renew deals accordingly to “clear the their lines, with the hope that the The exposure in the market place market.” Many accommodations credit market stabilizes, despite right now is on deals where a offered in the past to loyal Conference in Las Vegas. Here are a few trends that were noted: • • • Continued ON page 12 FALL 2007 Legislative news Continued from page 11 Commercial news Continued from page 6 the lack of continuing strong real sponsors will continue and become estate fundamentals. more creative– a concept that only There will be continued seems popular when traditional capital of Real Estate, with the cooperation of readjustment over the next 6 to sources are harder to find. Parties to a the Department of Corporations and the 8 months, as loans become due. loan transaction need to be “creative” Department of Financial Institutions, to 2008 should see a lower volume in order to build market confidence conduct a review of the real property of mezzanine loans and perhaps so as to establish opportunities where transaction disclosure process, including even CMBS product accordingly. few would otherwise exist. AB 941 (Torrico) Real Property Transaction Disclosure Process – AB 941 would have required the Department • the purchase and mortgage disclosure documents, to determine whether additional state disclosures can be added and/or whether state disclosures can be eliminated, consolidated, etc. to make the process easier to understand for consumers. The bill was amended in September 2007 to remove all the provisions related to real estate transactions and to instead focus the bill on emergency medical services. So the general tone is that in the short term anyway mezzanine lending (and all real estate William Bernfeld is a real estate partner with the Los Angeles office of Kirkpatrick & Lockhart Preston Gates lending for that matter) will be Ellis, and focuses on real estate lending. more expensive and more tightly structured, which demonstrates that the “trickle down” theory presents itself on both the bullish and bearish Fabio Baum is a Vice Present of Key Bank Real Estate Capital, and specializes in mezzanine and bridge lending. sides of the economy. So what does 2008 have in store? • - Lending on solid deals with great • Visit us on the web at WWW.CMBA.COM for CALIFORNIA MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION THE V O IC E O F R EAL E STAT E F I NA NCE INDUSTRY NEWS MEMBERSHIP INFORMATION CONFERENCE INFORMATION RESOURCES and much more! 12 FALL 2007