Assessment of the impact of new ICTs on human capital

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ITU Workshop on
“ICT Innovations in Emerging Economies”
(Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014)
Assessment of the impact of new ICTs
on human capital
Dr. Prof. Viliam Sarian, Director of
Science & Education Center, FSUE
NIIR, Russia
sarian@niir.ru
Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014
Recent ITU study on problems of ICT
development
ITU-D SG 2 (Information and
communication infrastructure and
technology development, emergency
telecommunications and climatechange adaptation)
Focus Group “Bridging the Gap:
From Innovation to Standards”
Various workshops, e.g. “Future
Networks standardization” (June,
2012)
Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014
2
Stages of information society (IS)
development
Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014
3
Basis for the 5th stage of
IS development
The success in NGNs, WSNs, IoT
development and their convergence;
The achievements in the area of cognitiveand nanotechnologies, i. e. public access
to positioning and navigation technologies,
and also to geoinformational technologies;
Big Data organizing, etc.
Involving “smart things” (ST) and “smart
environment” (SE) in the communication
process
Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014
4
Problems of the 5th stage of IS
development
resources scarcity,
risk society entering,
ecological situation,
man-made environment pressure growth,
the increase of pace of life and population
mobility,
globalization processes, demographic
problems
extension of social inequality
Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014
5
The 6th Technological Stage
Milliards of new objects – Internet of
Things
Customized production and individual
consumption development
Raise of production’s flexibility
Sharp decrease in power-consuming
and materials consumption
Construction of materials and
organisms with preset qualities
Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014
6
ICT development problems of 6th
Technological Stage
Standardization gap: low
involvement of developing countries
in the work on creation new
standards and recommendations
Manufacturers do not take into
account need of developing countries
Lag between investments and return
on them is too long for developing
countries (more than technology
obsolescence period)
Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014
7
The main obstacle to adopt
socioeconomical standards
Human capital
Mean service
provision time, mean
time between
failures,…
Bitrate, time delay, …
Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014
8
Conclusions and Recommendations
Compared to other fields ICT has the
strongest possibility of receiving data that
can be utilized for social analysis
The 6th Technological Stage brings new
possibilities and new problems
For the 6th Technological Stage it is
necessary to develop a framework for
connection of technical indicators and
human capital metrics
Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014
9
Thank you!
Dr. Prof. Viliam Sarian, Director of
Science & Education Center, FSUE
NIIR, Russia
sarian@niir.ru
Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014
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