Issues affecting the evaluation of the beneficial effect of new these issues.

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Bridging the Gap: From Innovation to Standards (FG Innovation)
Issues affecting the evaluation of
the beneficial effect of new
technologies and ways to solve
these issues.
Prof. Dr. Viliam Sarian, NAN RA Acad., Vice-Chairman FG Innovation
Director of Science & Research Center FSUE NIIR
10th September 2012
Moscow
1
This report develops author’s ideas,
presented in 23rd European Regional
Conference (Vienna, Austria, July 1-4,
2012)
Outline
1. Study on estimation of beneficial effect of
new technologies
2. Problem identification
3. Authors’ solution presented in FG Innovation
4. Experimental site: information control
network
3
Recent ITU study on problems of ICT
development
• ITU-D SG 2 (Information and communication
infrastructure and technology development,
emergency telecommunications and climatechange adaptation)
• Focus Group “Bridging the Gap: From
Innovation to Standards”
• Various workshops, e.g. “Future Networks
standardization” (June, 2012)
ICT development problems
identified by ITU
• Standardization gap: low involvement of
developing countries in the work on creation
new standards and recommendations
• Manufacturers do not take into account need
of developing countries
• Lag between investments and return on them
is too long for developing countries (more
than technology obsolescence period)
General solution: socioeconomical
standards
• Socioeconomical standards should combine the
traditional engineering goals (effectiveness,
modularity, security) with technology adoption
and long-term success goals.
• Parties involved in socieconomical
standardization process:
–
–
–
–
Communication administrations
Operators
Independent experts
Members of the public
The main obstacle to adopt
socioeconomical standards
Child mortality rate, literacy
rate, gross domestic
product…
No connection
Mean service provision time,
mean time between
failures,…
Bitrate, time delay, …
ITU-D approach (Recommendation
Y.3001)
Tussle analysis:
Step 1: Identify all primary stakeholder roles and
their characteristics for the functionality
under investigation
Step 2: Identify tussles among identified
stakeholders
Step 3: For each tussle assess the impact to each
stakeholder and potential spillovers
Disadvantages of tussle analysis
• Low objectivity (analysis is fully based on
expert opinions)
• It is unclear which stakeholders should be
involved
• Impossibility to make expectations before the
actual technology deployement
Typical process (TP) concept
A typical process (TP) is a process that is regularly and
repeatedly reproduced by an entity and is associated with
maintaining the stable existence and evolution of said entity.
Examples of entities producing TPs:
• An engineering system
• A single person
• A social group
• The whole of society
Examples of TPs:
• Food supply
• Relation with government authorities
• Emergency management
Typical process metrics
• Time metric: how much of time on TP
production does the entity saves through new
ICT deployment
• Coverage metric: the number of users of an IC
service that involves some new technology or
the number of people that have the potential
to produce the TPs with which these services
are connected
Usage of TP concept for
socieconomical standardization
process
High-level metrics
TP theory (interdisciplinary: technical sciences,
economy, sociology, psychology, etc.
Typical process metrics
Service models
QoS metrics
OSS
Network element metrics
Experimental site: information
control networks (ICNs)
Advantages of ICN for research tasks
• Centralized architecture allows to gather all
the necessary data in one place
• Wide variety of services gives ability to study
the full range of phenomena in ICT
• Large number of users (500’000 in the
experimental site)
Operation is expected to start in autumn 2012
Bridging the Gap: From Innovation to Standards (FG Innovation)
Thank you for your attention!
Dr. Prof. Viliam Sarian, Director of Science & Research Center FSUE NIIR
Vice-Chairman FG Innovation
10th September 2012
Moscow
15
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