WORK IN PROGRESS: Some attempts to aid skin lesion diagnosis jonathan rees (dermatology) bob fisher (informatics) 1 The problem 2 scale and perspective catchment area one million 1.5 x 106 m2 of skin 3 signal -> noise 250 millenium stadium rugby pitches trying to find 120 melanomas/yr 4 for a GP sees 1 melanoma only every five years & will need to examine 2 pitches to find one 1~2 lesions per week 1 melanoma death every 25 years ~ 42, 000 other lesions / year 5 6 7 cognitive issues average medical student spends around 5 days on clinical dermatology >90% of GPs no postgraduate training in dermatology base rates very low 12% of persons report a change in a mole in the previous six months little timely feedback sensitive but low specificity 8 present solutions • • • teledermatology • send patient -> photography automated 2D systems (neural nets) sell gadgets that look flash, make doctors feel clever, and pass cost onto patient 9 Criticisms: often hyped as solving some health care problem (abolish waiting list...) little real understanding / interest in what is going on 10 expertise we know little of the basis of expertise in this area although we teach based on a specialist vocabulary, not clear this is how experts behave some evidence for reinterpretation of what you see based on prior knowledge 11 Q: how do people see things as alike A: [often] they don’t know formal rules and they have difficulty in using words what is the basis of ‘alike’--how can we learn more? 12 our approach ‘matching’ 3D representation 13 3D imaging 14 matching 15 thought experiment take an index patient and an infinite library of images can you match correctly? 16 index image->words->word index->diagnosis index image->image index->diagnosis 17 18 19 20 21 we don’t impose a structure we discover it is there a structure to how people move through the search space? can we discover such structure and does it allow a library of workable size? 22 moving forward (ethics / governance in place) image collection.............-> some simple matching experiments / psychophysics prototype of interface and database iterations of database structure 23