Chapter I The Mathematical Model by Jacques C.J. NIHOUL Foreword This chapter is a synopsis of the mathematical model which has heen the framework of the theoretical and experimental research conducted in the last three years in the scope of the Belgian National Program on the Environment — Sea Project'. The successive steps in the construction of the Model have been described in several progress reports and published papers and the details are not reproduced here. A list of references is attached. A detailed description of the modern concepts and techniques of marine modelling can be found in }'^odelling of Mavine Systems, edited by Jacques C. J. Nihoul, Elsevier Publ. Amsterdam, 19T^« The ordering of this chapter closely follows that of the book ajid the same notations are used. 1. Sponsored by the Ministry for Science Policy, Belgium. 10 - 53° N -i5^°N ^1 j . 1 . 1 . - 11 - 1.- Demarcation of the system Support The support of the model is the Southern Bight of the and the Scheldt Estuary as shown in figure 1.1. The array of broken l i n e s , dots and squares shows the measurements are made several times a year. Data concerning part of the Bight are provided by British colleagues in the general program of exchanges and i n t e r c a l i b r a t i o n s . North Sea area where the westera scope of a The area in front of the Belgian coast and the Scheldt Estuary are covered by a finer grid of measurements not reproduced on the figure. The hydrodynamical part of the model i s extended t o the whole North Sea whenever necessary t o provide appropriate Northern boundaiy conditions for the Southern Bight. Saope The primary objective of the model is the study of the space and time characteristics of water motion, surface elevation, temperature, salinity,turbidity, oxygen, nutrients, trace metals, chlorinated hydrocarbons and living species \ The situation is summarized in figure 1.2. Reduction of scope — Compartments Attention is restricted to the most important compartments : i) dissolved substances, ii) suspensions, iii) plankton — phytoplankton, zooplankton, iv) fish — pelagic, benthic, v) shellfish and molluscs, vi) bottom sediments. 1. Petroleum products are examined in a separate program. - 12 - l\ Nutrients Plankton Biomass Trace Metals fig. 1.2. - 13 - v i i ) macro- and meio-benthos , v i i i ) b a c t e r i a — faecal, marine h e t e r o t r o p h i c , benthic. The s t a t e variables include the specific massief each compartment and the aggregate concentrations of the selected chemicals in compartments (i) to ( v i ) . §êiê£ÎS§_î}yïriSSΧ • -^ » ^^ > Si . §ÊiS5!Ëê^_^ʧ}!Z_5ê"t§lË : Zn , Cd , §êl^ÇΧ^_£hlorinateà_hjrdrocarbons Pb , : Cn , Fe , Mn , Mg . pp' DDT , DDD , DDE , a l d r i n e , d i a l d r i n e , endrine, l i n d r a n e , heptachlore, epoxid heptachlore, PCB . It niust L^e emphasized these v a r i a b l e s , not every present state, experimental trations hierarchy most that, although data them are in all coir,, ar tmpn t s at ail difficulties a here one of but of ..rgently it i s , in most priorities needed in the m a t h e m a t i c a l is actually not always sampling analysed available work of and covers on all c h e m i c a l s t a t i o n s . This cases, a consequence the e x p e r i m e n t a l model experimentally. may be due the n e c e s s i t y focusing of all the concen- to attention In technical accepting to what is (see chapter 2 ) . The specific masses of compartments ( i ) and ( i i ) may be called " s a l i n i t y " and " t u r b i d i t y " respectively; the d i s t i n c t i o n between s a l i n i t y and t u r b i d i t y being, in a sense, a r b i t r a r y as the experimentalist w i l l c a l l dissolved everything which goes through a f i l t e r of pre-decided fineness. This must be borne in mdnd also while i n t e r p r e t i n g the budgets of n u t r i e n t s and pollutants in the two compartments. Reduction of support — Space averaging All over the support except in the Scheldt Estuary the turbvilent mixing ensures a uniform density. While separate three-dimensional and combined depth-averaged and width averaged two-dimensional models are being developed for the Scheldt Estuary, the model for the Southern Bight i s fxirther simplified by a s suming constant mass density and considering only average properties over the t o t a l depth. 1. Mass p e r unit volume. - Il; - The mechanical variables are then reduced to the two horizontsil components of the depth-averaged velocity vector and the surface elevation. For the study of specific chemical and ecologiceil i n t e r a c t i o n s , the support may be divided in a limited number of niahes where s i m i l a r conditions p r e v a i l . In a f i r s t approach, one may study the dynamics of the aggregate properties of the niche obtained by further i n t e g r a t i n g (averaging) over the horizontal dimensions of the niche. Niche (or box) models of t h i s sort have been developed and tested against the experimental observations made in the Ostend "Bassin de Chasse"^ a closed sea basin at the coast which has been extensively studied in the p a s t . 2.- State variables and control parameters The s t a t e variables are defined by the scope of the system as s t a t e d above. As a r e s u l t of turbulence and other e r r a t i c or rapidly o s c i l l a t i n g motions of the sea, each variable shows fluctuations around a mean value. Only these mean values are significant for the model. The evolution equations are written for the mean variables and only the general effect of the fluctuations (through non-linear terms in the basic equations) i s taken i n t o account. The mean v a r i a b l e s , i.e. the smooth running fijnctions of space and time, obtained by f i l t e r i n g out the fluctuations are denoted by special symbols. A bar over the symbol indicates the average over depth of the mean v a r i a b l e . In addition to the mechanical variables and temperature, the other s t a t e variables represent e s s e n t i a l l y specific masses or concentrations. (The specific biomass of phytoplankton, the specific mass of copper in s o l u t i o n , suspension or plankton, e t c . ) These "concentration" variables are noted p^ (smooth running part r „ ) . For convenience p^ (r^) w i l l be referred t o as the specific mass of "constituent a"; the word cons t i t u e n t being used in a conventional sense as i t may denote a whole aggregate ( a l l dissolved substances . . . ) or the aggregate content of a - 15 - compartment in a specific chemical (concentration of mercury in pelagic fish . . . ) • The mean (smooth running) variables are noted as follows : depth- ave rage d Velocity vector U IT (three dimenaional) (two dimensional) Flow rate vector U = H ÏÏ Surface elevation Ç Total height of water (where h i s the depth) Temperature Specific mass of a H = h + Ç e ê r» Ta "In addition t o the s t a t e v a r i a b l e s , different kinds of parameters appear inevitably in the mathematical description of the system. These may be called aontvol parameters as they influence the evolution of the system (hence appear in the evolution equations) but are not predicted by the model i t s e l f (no specific evolution equation i s written for them). The f i r s t kind of control parameters one thinks of are the guidanae parameters which are at the disposal of man to manage the marine system according t o some optimal design. Most of the parameters, however, which control the evolution of the system cannot be chosen to conform with man's concern. They are imposed by Nature. These parameters a r i s e from the i n i t i a l demarcation of the system, the necessity of r e s t r i c t i n g the s t a t e variables and formulating the laws of t h e i r evolution in a simple and t r a c t a b l e way. They r e f l e c t a l l the aspects of the n a t u r a l system, of which the model does not take charge; usually because the additional equations required for t h e i r p r e diction would jeopardize the simulation by t h e i r d i f f i c u l t y , t h e i r dubiousness or simply by increasing the size of the system beyond the computer's a b i l i t y . Although they are rarely known beforehand and must b e , in most c a s e s , determined approximately by separate models, experimental data or sideways t h e o r e t i c a l r e f l e c t i o n , the control parameters which resxilt - 16 - from the closure of the system must be regarded, in the language of the theory of control, as fixed and d i s t i n c t , therefore, from the guidance parameters mentioned above. The separation between s t a t e variables and control parameters i s , of course, more or less a r b i t r a r y and function of the model's capability and ambition. For instance, a l l models of primary productivity ( s t a t e variables : nutrients and plankton) are controlled by the incident l i g h t . In a f i r s t s t a g e , the incident l i g h t may be taken as a fixed control parameter and be given an empirical value. The model can be refined and give the i n cident l i g h t at every depth as a function of the i n t e n s i t y of l i g h t at the sea surface, using the transparency of water as a new control parameter. In an even more perfect version of the model, the transparency of water can be included in the s t a t e variables and inferred from the t u r b i d i t y which i t s e l f can be predicted by the model. The chemical reaction rates may be regarded as control parameters hopefiilly determined by chemical k i n e t i c s , i.e. by laboratory experiments or by some fundamental molecular theory conducted in p a r a l l e l with the model but not part of i t . The dynamics of translocations ( t r a n s f e r of a chemical element from one compartment t o another) must be given appropriate mathematical form. This cannot be done in general without introducing several control parameters the values of which can only be ascertained experimentally." * To ascertain the value of the control parameters and determine the laws of i n t e r a c t i o n , complementary variables are measured or calculated. These include, for instance, transparency of water, primary production, diversity and s t a b i l i t y indexes, a n t i b i o t i c e f f e c t s , e t c . 1. The text between quotation marks is reproduced from Modelling of Marine Systems edited by Jacques C.J. Nihoul, Amsterdam, Elsevier Publ., 1974. - 17 - 3 . - Evolution equations The assumption of uniform sea water density which i s j u s t i f i e d by experiment (apart from the Scheldt Estuary where s l i g h t l y different models are being developed) allows a decoupling between the mechanical variables and the others. The hydrodynamic equations can be solved independently of the other evolution equations and the values of the flow velocity determined by the former s u b s t i t u t e d in the l a t t e r which in turn can be solved knowing the i n t e r a c t i o n s between the c o n s t i t u e n t s . The hydrodynamic models which one can develop in t h i s way differ whether one i s interested in unsteady sea motions produced by t i d e s and storm surges or in the residual — "steady" — circulation which r e s u l t s from the average of the actual flow over a time sufficiently long to cancel out t i d a l o s c i l l a t i o n s and t r a n s i t o r y wind currents. The evolution equations for the s t a t e variables Ta are coupled through the terms expressing the i n t e r a c t i o n s of the constituent a with other constituents 6 , y , ... They also depend on the water motion determined by the hydrodynamic models. In a f i r s t approach, i t i s rewarding t o separate the two effects and study f i r s t the dispersion (by c u r r e n t s , sedimentation and turbulence) of a "passive" constituent i.e. one which does not have s i g n i f i cant interactions with others. Then, t o i n v e s t i g a t e the i n t e r a c t i o n s {e.g. the path of a pollutant i n the food chain), one can develop niche models concerned with mean concentrations over some reasonably homogeneous regions of space. Niche models are not affected by the d e t a i l e d hydrodynamics of the sea, only i t s effects on imputs and outputs at the niche's frontiers remain t o be known. Although passive dispersion models can only give conservative e s timates of the d i s t r i b u t i o n of chemicals and species in the sea and niche models can only give an average knowledge of the i n t e r a c t i o n s , they provide nevertheless a f i r s t valuable insight into the mechanisms of the marine system. Of course, the model can combine dispersion and interactions and provide the detailed prediction of the s t a t e of the system at a l l points and time. - 18 However the gigantic amount of computer work which is required to solve large systems of coupled partial differential equations commends that the full scale simulation be restricted to dramatic cases where estimates are insufficient or to special problems (like the dimpings) where, in the area of interest, only a limited number of constituents are involved in a significant way. The general dispersion-interaction model is described in [Nihoul (1973a)] and subsequent papers. Different simplified forms of this model, pertinent to special studies, are given in the following and illustrated by examples of application. 4.- Tides and storm surges model i) State_yariables Mean depth-averaged h o r i z o n t a l velocity vector H Water height H (The surface elevation ç i s given by H= h + ç where h i s the water depth.) ii) Extemal_forces_ger_unit_mass_of_sea_water Tide-generating force E Gradient of atmospheric pressure V(—) Wind s t r e s s Ts Relation of wind s t r e s s t o wind velocity at reference height iii) V s = — v llvl H Evolution_eq.uations 3H 3^ + V . ( H U ) =0 • | ï + U . V U + f e , A U = g - V(-â- + gç) + a v^ dt -^ p - | u llull + l V llv - 19 where the where e^ and e^ V = e axes are h o r i z o n t a l , the 3 1 3x . _ + e2 e ^ - a x i s v e r t i c a l and 3 dXr iV) Control_garameters f : Coriolis parameter (twice the v e r t i c a l component of the angul a r velocity of the earth) p : specific mass of the sea water a : horizontal effective viscosity D : bottom f r i c t i o n C : atmospheric drag coefficient h depth : coefficient The time variation of the velocity vector a 3 Y 5 : advection U is the result of U . VU rotation f e^ ^ u produced by the Coriolis effect in axes fixed on the r o t a t i n g earth . . 2 mixing by shear effect and turbulence a Vu friction on the bottom - — ÏÏ ||1J|| n e acceleration by agents of three different types e.1 the wind s t r e s s on the sea surface the wind velocity e.2 related to V at some reference height n the gradient of the atmospheric pressure and of the surface elevation e.3 — V ||V ,Pa • V(^+ gç) the external force ^ . The type of external force one has in mind here i s e s s e n t i a l l y the tide-generating force which i s generally assumed to derive from a p o t e n t i a l , {i.e. V A g = O). S can then be combined with the pressure and surface elevation gradients. - 20 - 5 . - nodel of r e s i d u a l i) circulation State_yariables Stream function ij; The two components of t h e r e s i d u a l flow r a t e v e c t o r U = - ^ U = ^ ^ . 0,1 3x2 0,2 ii) UQ a r e given by 3x^ External_forces_2er_imit_mass_of_sea_water Residual s t r e s s where (Tg)Q ô i s t h e r e s i d u a l wind s t r e s s and (Tt)o the residual t i d a l s t r e s s [Nihoul (197^)3 (T,)o where ç^ = [gç^ Vç^ + V. (H"^UU)]O denotes t h e s u r f a c e e l e v a t i o n produced by t i d e s and t r a n s i t o r y wind f o r c e s . iii) Stead2;_state_residual_e2.uation dX^ dXj h dX^ 3X2 ^^1 ^ ^^2 _, 3h = ^ «^3 + i l ^ ^ where «2 %^ and ^2 a r e t h e two h o r i z o n t a l components of i s t h e v e r t i c a l conrponent of VAô . i v ) Çontrol_£arameters K: : bottom f r i c t i o n c o e f f i c i e n t f : Coriolis parameter h : depth. for r e s i d u a l flow ô 3h - ^ „ ^2 and where - 21 - The space distribution of the stream function ip is the result of a effects : B : combination of bottom slope and Coriolis combination of bottom slope and bottom friction effects _ â l rd±_ 9h_ _!_ ^±_ 9h -• h '-9x^ 9x^ 9x2 9X2 Y : combination of bottom slope and residual stress effects 1 3X2 ^ 3^1 residual stress forcing h (JO, . 6.- Passive dispersion models i ) State_variables Depth-averaged concentration of any passive constituent or depth-averaged temperature (c = r„ or a — c = e) Depth-averaged horizontal velocity vector (given by separate hydrodynamic model) Water height (given by separate hydrodynamic model) —. „ i i ) Inputs — Outputs Total input in a water column of unit base (including volume sources, surface and bottom fluxes. If these result in a net output, A is negative.) HA - 22 i i i ) E v o l u t i o n _ e a u a t i o n [Nihoul (l9T3h)] 1 ^ + ÏÏ . V7 + H""" V . (YP aXi ^ ^ r ^ c ÏÏ) = A + H"^ V . [y. ^ ÏÏ (ÏÏ . VÏÏ)] "U. Il + V . K Vc iv) Çontrol_£arameters Oj : migration (sedimentation or ascension) a, = 0 velocity f o r t e m p e r a t u r e and n e u t r a l l y buoyant con- stituents K M ' : h o r i z o n t a l eddy : shear effects coefficients , diffusivity [Nihoul ( 1 9 7 1 ) , ( 1 9 7 2 ) , ( I 9 7 3 h ) , (197^+)]. v) I n t e r p r e t a t i o n of t h e e v o l u t i o n e q u a t i o n The e v o l u t i o n i n time of t h e depth-averaged v a r i a b l e c" i s t h e r e s u l t of a : a d v e c t i o n by t h e depth-ave raged v e l o c i t y ÏÏ. V'c 3 : s h e a r e f f e c t c o r r e c t i o n t o t h e advection t a k i n g i n t o account t h a t , as a r e s \ i l t of m i g r a t i o n , t h e maxim\am of c may occur i n a region of t h e w a t e r column where t h e a c t u a l h o r i z o n t a l velocity is significantly different from ÏÏ [Nihoul (1973b), (I97i+)] H V. (Y, '2 —=:^ c U) u s h e a r e f f e c t d i s p e r s i o n [Nihoul ( l 9 7 l ) , ( 1 9 7 2 ) , ( 1 9 7 3 b ) , (197^)] H ' V. [Y^ ^ Ï Ï (IT. TcV tiirbulent dispersion V . K Vc e x t e r n a l inputs (or outputs) A - 23 - 7 . - Niche i n t e r a c t i o n s model i ) State variables Averages over the whole niche's space of a l l i n t e r a c t i n g chemical and ecological s t a t e variables ra or 6 i i ) Inputs — Outputs Total input (output i f negative) in the niche (including volume sources and fluxes or flows in and out of the niche at the boundaries) i i i ) Evolution_equations ds ~ ^o dt "*" l a ' * ' ^ 1 ' ^ 2 > ' ' * ' ^ n ^ la represents the r a t e of production (or destruction) of s^ by chemical, biochemical or ecological i n t e r a c t i o n s . In general I^ i s a function of time axid a l l i n t e r a c t i n g variables s^ . I„ depends on the p a r t i c u l a r i n t e r a c t i o n s involved. In many cases, i t can be simply approximated by combinations (in sums and products) of simple laws such t h a t (constant) a. k b. ^a(3 c. ^o/S7 ^0 d. ^ 1 Sa - k ^ e. where the a U ' k^ , (linear) ^P (bilinear) S7 2 S^ ^0 k , -H S , k^^ and k^^^ (logistic) (idchaeles-Mentem-Monod) are functions of time and control para- meters . iv) Çontrol_parameters Several control parameters influence the i n t e r a c t i o n laws and appear in p a r t i c u l a r in the expressions of the coefficients k^ , k^^ , . . . - 2U - In some cases, i t i s simpler t o consider these coefficients as r e s u l t i n g control parameters to be determined experimentally. v) Istergretation_of_the_eyolution_eguation The niche-averaged value of the s t a t e variables r„ or 6 changes in time as a r e s u l t of a : input or outputs in or out of the niche S^ 3 : chemical, biochemical or ecological interactions Ij, . 8.- Examples of applications 8 . 1 . - Tides_aiid_storm_surges_moàel The model has been applied with success by Ronday (1973) to the calculation of t i d e s in the Korth Sea and in the Southern Bight. Figures 1.3 and 1.U show a comparison between lines of equal phases and amplitudes according t o observation and according t o simulation. 8 . 2 . - Residual_çirçulation_model The model has been applied with success by Ronday (1972), Runfola and Adam (1972), Nihoul and Ronday (197^) t o the calciilation of the r e sidual c i r c u l a t i o n in the North Sea and in the Southern Bight. Figure 1.5 shows the residual flows of water masses in the North Sea estimated from observation. Figure 1.6 shows the calculated stream lines in the North Sea with the assumption of constant depth. Figiire 1.7 shows the calciilated stream lines in the North Sea taking the depth variations i n t o account and demonstrating the influence of the bottom slope on the residual c i r c u l a t i o n . Figure 1.8 shows the calculated stream lines in the Southern Bight when the t i d a l s t r e s s i s neglected. 25 - Jeo" 50° fiL,. 1.3.- LiTS 'if ^qual b'trvatiors tiaal (after ti'^ast'^ frot-lfrd- ani ar 1 anol'tuclfs )o i' f-e" " ^ - f - J>;CH , 1 9 2 J . Sf'a aerc-dinj to - 26 - fig. 1.4.- Lines of equal tiddl the m a t h e n a t i c a l phases model and (after amplitudes Ronday, in 1973). the ISiorth S< a a c c o r d i n g to - 27 - J fiy. 1.5.- Water rrassPs in the North sea accordinj to Laevastu (1963). 150' - 28 ;\ \' \ \ - - " / / - \ /// fig. 1.6. Residual streamlines V " const in the North Sea calculated, assuming constant depth (after Ronday, 1 9 7 2 ) . The actual values of ii are 10 times the indicated figures. - 29 - fia. 1.7. rteoi-ual 'jtreamiines 1^1= c c n ^ t ir t h e \ o r t h Sea ( a f t t r R o n d a y , 1 y ' ' 2 ) . Thi> a c t u a l v a l u e s cf 1^ a r e 10 tirn s t h t i n d i c a t e d f i q u r o s . - 30 - fig. 1.8.- Residual circulation in the Southern Bight «ithout tidal stress. Streamlines ^ - const (in 10^* m ^ / s ) . (After Nihoul and Ronday, 1974), fig. 1.9.- Residual circulation in the Southern Bight with the tidal stress. Strealines V» - const (in 10^ m ^ / s ) . (After Nihoul and Ronday, 1 9 7 4 ) . 31 - Figure 1.9 shows the calculated streamlines in the Southern Bight taking the t i d a l s t r e s s (calculated from the t i d a l model) i n t o account and demonstrating i t s cogent influence on the residual c i r c u l a t i o n . 8.3•- Passive_disgersion_model The model has been applied with success by Nihoul (1972) and by Adam and Runfola (1972) t o the determination of the dispersion p a t t e r n subsequent t o a dye release or a dumping. /I N 1 km fig. 1.10. Simulation of a dye-release experiment in the North Sea [after Adam and R u n f o U a (1972)]. Position : 51"20' N , 1°34' E . Curves : 1/50 of initial central concentration 72 h - 96 h - 108 h after release. 48 h - - 32 - Figure 1.10 illustrates the influence of the shear effect on the anisotropy of the patch of dye. 51°55i 51°50' 2°35 fig. 1.11. Comparison between observed and predicted shape of a patch of rhodamine B 68 hours after release. The experimental curve is the irregular curve drawn by Talbot (1970) [The broken piecewise straight lines are the ship's trajectories]. The theoretical curve is the regular ellipse predicted by the simplified model [Nihoul (1972)]. Figure 1.11 snows a comparison "between the o"bserved and predicted shape of a patch of rhodaunine B, sixty-eight hours after r e l e a s e . The t h e o r e t i c a l curve is calculated using a simplified version of the model which f i t s the best e l l i p s e to the t i d a l velocity vector diagram. - 33 - 8. U. - Ni che_interactions_mod.el The model has been a^oplied with success by P i c h o t and Adam t o t h e s t u d y of chemical, b i o c h e m i c a l and e c o l o g i c a l i n t e r a c t i o n s i n t h e Ostend Bassin de Chasse Figures 1.12, 1.13 and l . l U show t h e e v o l u t i o n of s i x different forms of phosphorus : X. d i s s o l v e d phosphate i n s e a w a t e r ; Xg r - X3 d i s s o l v e d phosphate i n i n t e r s t i t i a l w a t e r ; - X4 P in non-living matter in suspension; i n bottom s e d i m e n t s ; X5 P in plankton; Xg in benthos. P They i l l u s t r a t e t h e cogent i n f l u e n c e of t h e n o n - l i n e a r terms i n t h e i n t e r a c t i o n laws on t h e e x i s t e n c e of a s t e a d y s t a t e and t h e time n e c e s s a r y t o reach i t . References NIHOUL, J . C . J . , (1971). P r o c . Worth Sea Science Conf., Aviemore, S c o t l a n d , 1, 89. (1972). Bull. Soa. So. Lg^ 10^ 521. (1973a). Mem. Soc. So. Lg, 4^ 115. (1973b). P r o c . Second lUTAM-IUGG Symposium on T u r b u l e n t Diffusion i n Environmental P o l l u t i o n , C h a r l o t t e s v i l l e , U . S . A . , 1973. (197^). Modelling of Marine Systems^ Elsevier Publ., Amsterdam. RONDAY, F . C . , (1972). Modèle mathématique pour l ' é t u d e de l a c i r c u l a t i o n r é s i d u e l l e dans l a mer du Nord, Marine Science Branch.j Manuscript Report Series, N° 2 7 , Ottawa. (1973). Modèle mathématique pour l ' é t u d e de l a c i r c u l a t i o n due à l a marée en mer du Nord, Marine Science Branch., Manuscript Report Series, N° 2 9 , Ottawa. 3k 10 10 '<5 10 ^6 10 fig. 1.12. Evolution of six different forms of P in a closed sea basin assuming completely linear interactions [after Adam (1973)]. 40 120 -I J 40 120 80 40 I I 80 I 1 L_ 120 fig. 1.13. Evolution of six different forms of P in a closed sea basin assuming quadraticbilinear interactions Lafter Adam (1973)]. - 36 - xi 40 80 120 40 80 80 120 40 80 120 -J 40 . L_ 120 •^6 -1 40 80 120 40 u_ 60 120 fig. 1.14. tvolution of six different forms of P in a closed sea basin assuming strongly non-linear interactions [after Adam (1973)]. - 37 - Programme n a t i o n a l s u r l ' e n v i r o n n e m e n t physique e t b i o l o g i q u e — P r o j e t mer. P r o g r e s s Reports IJ 1 NIHOUL, Mathematical Model for t h e Study of Sea P o l l u t i o n . N2 NIHOUL, A p p l i c a t i o n of Averaging Techniques t o t h e Mathematical Modelling of Sea P o l l u t i o n . W3 NIHOUL, Mathematical Model, P r o c . ICES, Meeting on P o l l u t i o n i n t h e North Sea, Lowestoft, March 2 5 - 2 6 , 1971. N h RONDAY, Etude de l a d i s p e r s i o n d'un p o l l u a n t en mer du Nord. N 5 NIHOUL, Shear Effect and Eddy Diffusion i n t h e Southern North Sea. N 6 NIHOUL, Ecosystemology a p p l i e d t o Sea P o l l u t i o n . N 7 FRANKIGNOUL, P r e l i m i n a r y r e p o r t on A i r - S e a I n t e r a c t i o n . N 9 ADAM-RUNFOLA, Numerical R e s o l u t i o n of Diffusion Equation. N 10 NIHOUL, Mathematical Models. N 11 NIHOUL, A simple Model of Entrainment and Turbulent Diffusion a Density I n t e r f a c e i n t h e Ocean. across N 12 FRANKIGNOUL-STRAIT5 Coherence and v e r t i c a l Propagation of Highfrequency Ener[p/ i n t h e Deep Sea. N 13 RONDAY, Etude de l a c i r c u l a t i o n r é s i d u e l l e en mer du Nord au mois de j a n v i e r . N 14 ADAl^l-RUNFOLA, Numerical Methods for t h e Computation of Shear E f f e c t Diffusion. N 15 RUNFOLA-ADAM, R e s i d u a l and Wind-driven C i r c u l a t i o n i n t h e Southern Bight. N 16 DUBOIS, A new S t a t i s t i c s of Ecosystems. N 17 RONDAY, Modèle mathématique pour l ' é t u d e de l a c i r c u l a t i o n due à l a marée en m.er du Nord. N 19 PICHOT-HECQ, E x p l o i t a t i o n des données au p o i n t f i x e lations croisées. M06 p a r c o r r é - N 20 NIHOUL, Diffusion of T u r b i d i t y by Shear Effect and Turb\ilence i n t h e Southern Bight of t h e North Sea. N 21 DUBOIS, D i v e r s i t y of s p a c e - t i m e dependent f l u c t u a t i n g of S p e c i e s . Distributions - 38 - N 22 I II DROISSART-SMITZ, A p p l i c a t i o n s du c a l c u l a t e u r h y b r i d e aux problèmes é c o l o g i q u e s . LEROY, Modèles n o n - l i n é a i r e s d ' i n t e r a c t i o n s écologiques. H 23 GENET, Développement économique optimal de r é g i o n s a f f e c t é e s p a r une p o l l u t i o n t r a n s f r o n t i è r e . frontalières N 2I+ DUBOIS, The Behaviour of t h e Index of F l u c t u a t i o n s V o l t e r r a - L o t k a Model. D N 25 NIKOUL, I n t e r a c t i o n s ax t h e Sea Boundaries as a Handicap t o Modelling. N 26 LAMBERMONT-LEBON, On a new D e r i v a t i o n of t h e Erosion Flux induced by a Tiirbulent Flow. in the