Asian Journal of Business Management 2(4): 77-81, 2010 ISSN: 2041-8752 © M axwell Scientific Organization, 2010 Submitted date: September 01, 2010 Accepted date: October 09, 2010 Published date: December 10, 2010 Strategic Roadmap for the Analysis of Environmental Complexities in the Textile Sector of Pakistan 1 Abdul M ajid, 2 Muhamm ad Yasir and 3 M. Tanweer Abdullah Departm ent of Managem ent Sciences, H azara University Mansehra, Khyber Pakhtoonkhwa, Pakistan 3 Institute of Management Studies, University of Peshawar, Pakistan 1,2 Abstract: This study examines the state of environmental complexity in the context of the developing countries as a fund ame ntal part of organizational change and deve lopm ent. It reviews the available literature to analyze the different viewpoints and argum ents to provide a rationale for understanding e nvironme ntal complexity. Th is study then leads onto a discussion of potential challenges faced by the textile sector of Pakistan. The study focuses on two types of environmental complexities related to the textile sector, which is currently the largest manufacturing sector in Pakistan. This study suggests that environmental analysis is a prerequisite for understanding the external environment in which general and international are the two important dimensions. To understand these com plexities, this study suggests: recognition of the context of the developing countries; identification of the comp lex variables fo r understanding their effects on organization; and a study of the relationship of variables of genera l and international environmen t. Key w ords: Env ironm ental complexities, general environment, international enviro nme nt, dev elopin g countries, textile sector INTRODUCTION The organizational environment in the developing countries is generally characterized by sev eral factors that are detrimental to the organizational efficiency. The political instability, energy crisis, deteriorating law and order situation, misuse of resources, managerial inefficiency, high production cost, less governmental support and immense international socio-econ omic pressures are the problems faced by m ost of the developing economies. Due to these reasons, organization of the developing countries is relatively less efficient than the organization of the developed countries. Although there has been a considerable grow th in Pakistan in textile and textile related products during the last decade, the organ ization in this sec tor is presently facing a challenging situation. This situation is mainly the result of environmental complexities. It is argued that environmental complexities adve rsely affect the organizational performance. Th erefore , this article examines and describes the env ironm ental complexities of the textile sector in Pakistan, identifies the potential risks, and suggests a framework for further research to improve to perfo rman ce of this sector. Literature on environmental complexity: In the organizational theory, comp lexity is an imp ortant variable that characterizes both organization and its environment (Anderson, 1999). Environmental complexity remains the major concern for organizational theorists since the seminal work of Emery and Trist (1965), who discussed this concep t in the context of environmental turbulence and chan ge. A fter their work, Thomson (1967) described complexity as heterogeneity and diversity, whereas, Duncan (1972) for the first time operationalized the concept by describing two important characteristics of complex environment. According to him , complexity is the numb er of factors characterizing an environmen t, and the heterogeneity am ong these fa ctors. M oreover, Duncan also introduced the notion of Internal and External complexities. In the internal environment, organizational structure, culture, technology, and personnel are the important factors affecting complexity while, customers, suppliers, competitors, and socio-cultural components of the environment are considered as the factors of external complexity. After Dun can’s work, some other significant studies have been carried out in this field, like, Dess and Beard (1984), M intzberg (1979), Singh (1997) and Tung (1979). But the concentration of these researchers in their subsequent studies remains on tw o basic points previously described by Duncan (1972). Hence environmental complexity could be “The num ber of different items or elements that mu st be de alt with simultaneously by the Corresponding Author: Abdul Majid, Department of Management Sciences, Hazara University Mansehra, Khyber Pakhtoonkhwa-21300, Pakistan 77 Asian J. Bus. Manage., 2(4): 77-81, 2010 organization” (Scott, 1992). In more comprehensive terms, environmental complexity is the number and interactions between the elements of the environment whe re future behavior of the environment is unpredictable and frequency of changes in variables is unknown. The intensity of the interactions among elements is another important com ponent of environme ntal complexity (Tsoukas and Hatch, 2001). On the other hand, organizational com plexity can be measured as the number of activities and subsystems in the organization (Daft, 1992). A ccording to D aft, there are three dimensions of organizational complexity: Vertical com plexity, Horizontal Co mple xity an d Sp atial Complexity. Vertical Comple xity is the numbe r of levels in organizational hierarchy, if there are mo re levels in hierarchy it is said to be a complex organization, Horizontal com plexity, is the num ber of d ifferent jobs to be performed in organizational structure, and Spatial com plexity, is the number of geo graphical loc ations. In the context of the developing countries, the concept of environmental complexity is still in the process of development, and most of the aspects of environmental complexities need to be explored furth er. The available literature on the subject is not sufficient to understand the dynamics and beh avior of the env ironment of the developing countries. The major focuses of the research are on m anufacturing and technological com plexities e.g., Krugman and Obstfeld (19 91). They concentrate upon the selection of appropriate technology for production purposes. In this context, most of the researchers interlink technological and manufacturing complexity with product com plexities (Barbosa and Vaidya, 1997; Virasa and Tang, 1998). The com plexities discussed in the context dependent literature, whether it is technological (Bruun and Mefford, 1996), functional (Wang and Tunzelmann, 2000); leadership (Hogue and Lord, 200 7); manufacturing (Flynn and Flynn, 1999); or control system (Li et al., 2005) are mostly related with the internal organizational environment as previously conceptualized by Duncan (1972). Conversely, the major problem for the organization in the developing countries is to manage the complexities associated with its external environmen t. Qureshi (2007) identifies inflation, competitors’ actions, government’s role, and the other stakeholders’ action as the external factors affecting the owners’ wealth of firms. Hence, these factors act as the sources of external environmental com plexity for the organization. The role of government in creating complexities and defining the competitiveness of textile sector organization in the developing countries has also been identified by Shafaei (2009). As no previou s wo rk has provided a comprehensive framework for it, we hav e particularly focused upon the analysis of external environmental complexities in this research. The case of Pakistan: The issue of environmental com plexity in Pak istan, w ith its relationship w ith organizational performance has been under discussion since the start of afghan war in early 1980s. Afte r the regime of President Musharaf especially in the scenario of war against terrorism, this phenomenon of environmental com plexity and dynamism and its effect on organizational performance has been h eavily debated in different circles. As a result of environm ental co mplexities, the textile sector of Pakistan remained the major loss bearer during this period in terms of its exports, market share, profitab ility and growth (APTMA, 2008). Various policies developed during this period (for examp le Tex tile Vision, 2005) in w hich the targets fixed by different players (e.g., Government of Pakistan, and Textile Sector Associations) like increasing the yarn production, capturing the potential markets of Hong Kong, Japan and Middle East, and increasing the value added products, and product mix, remained unsuccessful. There are various reasons behind these failures. Some of these include unstable priorities, incorrect calculations and forecast about future requirements, poor implementations of the policies, and lack of accountability of the policy makers. Due to these negative experiences, manufacturers of textile and textile related products strongly criticized the new ly developed Textile Policy (2009). In the light of these facts, the effects of the variables of external com plexity on organization appear to be a major issue for the textile sector in Pak istan. Textile sector of Pakistan: Pakistan is a developing country. Its economy mainly depends on agriculture. Pakistan boasts one of the largest and best irrigation systems in the w orld. H ence , its agricultural sector is relatively more developed than most of the other developing nations. As far as the textile sector of Pakistan is concerne d, it uses locally grown cotton as a raw material for further processing. At the time of independence of the country in 1947, there were few spinning and comp osite units working in their individual capacity. Over the time the Government of Pakistan announced a number of incentives for textile sector which motivated the investors to install new spinning and weaving units. Therefore the textile sector has developed rapidly in the form of various industrial hubs e.g., Multan, Faisalabad, Lahore, and Karach i etc., Currently the textile sector is considered as a back bone of Pa kistan’s econ omy . Textile sector of Pak istan co nsists of large sc ale organized and sm all scale fragmented sub-sectors in which there are approximately 80% small workshops, 15% medium engineering units and 5% large engineering units (Majeed, 2004). Large scale units are established mostly in spinning sub-sector, while small scale units 78 Asian J. Bus. Manage., 2(4): 77-81, 2010 work in weaving, ginning, hosiery, towel, finishing, and garm ents manu facturing sub -sectors. According to Econom ic Survey of Pakistan 2008-09, textile sector of Pakistan is comprises of 1221 ginning units, 458 spinning units, 600 weaving units, 50 composite units and 1500 finishing units (M inistry of Finance, 20 08-09). at the edge of chaos (Lewin, 1993; Marion, 1999). After review ing the literature on complexity theory, we presume that there are two types of dissipative system: internal dissipative system, and external dissipative system. The dissipative system whether it is internal or external has many factors that can affect the organizational performance. In the context of self organization of environmental factors and creation of dissipative system, general environment of the textile sector in Pak istan is characterized by relatively higher interest rates, energy constraints, raw material shortage, political instability, and marg inal government support. These variables compel the textile sector to estab lish mu ltiple strategies and activities. B ut spreading attention on m ultiple strategies creates prob lems for the industry to decide its strategic direction. This situation in the general environment in which there are many variables, and several operational strategies to deal with them creates a highly complex system in the environment that negatively affects the various dynamics of the textile sector like its productivity, profitability, market share, and product mix etc. MATERIALS AND METHODS In this study, primary and sole objective is to analyze the external complexities of the organizational environment in the context of the developing countries. For this purpose we characterize th e external complexity of the environment in terms of its two important dimensions: general, and international. W e then identify and analyze the key factors and issu es concern ed w ith these two types of complexities. This study is based on the secondary data, which has been collected by making use of the statistical information on textile sector provided b y various governmen tal and non-governmental sources. Published ma terial on the subject e.g., books, journals, newspapers, and online resources etc. have also been consulted for a balanced assessment of the issues. The study principally provides a roadmap for the analysis of environmental complexities of the Textile Sector of Pakistan. Although the complexities in organization env ironment of Pakistan existed since its independence, they b ecame much more challenging with the new policies and rules of WTO; globalization of firms in the 21 st Century ; and more impo rtantly the Septem ber 11 attacks on W orld Trade Centre in New York a nd the sub sequen t war again st terrorism that significantly changed the political and econ omic scenario of Pakistan. Therefore, this study specifically focuses upon the analysis of challenges faced by the contem porary textile sector organization in Pakistan. International environment complexity: Pakistan is a developing country located in a geo-strategically sensitive region. Its international and global environme nt is characterized by internation al pressures to extend its war against terrorism which has adv ersely affected the political and economic situation of the country; negative propaganda of W estern media and other agencies against Pakistan and trade ba rriers in different forms like quotas and anti-dumping duties levied especially on textile and textile related products. All these v ariables create a difficult situation for the business organ ization in Pakistan. To cope with these components of complex international environment, and develop the strategies to h andle these com plexities is beyond the capabilities of textile sector of Pakistan. General environment complexity: General environment is defined as anything outside the organization (Manson, 2001). Genera l environme nt according to various researchers like Harvey and Reed (1994) and Bak and Chen (1991), is constantly changing. The majo r reason behind these changes is the self organization of the environmental factors, which allows them to change the environmental structure . Self organization of the factors in environment creates a situation that can affect the organizational performance. As suggested by Byrne (1998), self orga nization of factors exists in both internal and external environment of the organization. This situation according to various researchers creates a dissipative system in the environment. Dissipative system is one that is not in equilibrium (Waldrop, 1993). This disequilibrium of dissipative system is often said to exist RESULTS AND DUSCUSSION After reviewing the literature in earlier sections, and analyzing the environment of Pakistan, there appears to be a huge scope for further studies to develop an understanding of the environm ental complexities. There is also a need for framew ork development to evaluate the policies required to cope with the complex variables that affect the performance of the textile sector in Pakistan. The following sugg estions derived from this study could be used as helpful tools to evaluate the complex environment in Pakistan. Understanding the environmental context: The context of the organizational environment in the developing 79 Asian J. Bus. Manage., 2(4): 77-81, 2010 countries is very much different from that in the developed countries. To understand the environmental complexities and develop a framework for evaluating complexity, it is necessary to develop an understanding of the context in which one could try to evaluate the complexities. evaluation of the variables existing in complex environment to com pete w ith the no rmal and context dependent challenges that have been discussed in the this study. This evaluation process wo uld facilitate the textile sector not only in its environment analysis but identification of potential risks that it faces in various organizational practices. Identification of variables: After understanding the context, the identification of the components of general and international environment is necessary to clearly depict the picture of external complex ities for the textile sector. To identify these components, environmental analy sis would be a helpful tool. To conduct the environmental analysis of the textile sector in Pakistan, it is necessary to und erstand its strateg ic position in Pakistan’s economy before analyzing the variables that create complex situation or dissipative system in general and international environments. Besides identification, decision about component heterogeneity is another important step for com plexity evaluation as suggested by Dess and Bea rd (1984). REFERENCES Anderson, P., 1999. 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