Proceedings of 3rd Global Accounting, Finance and Economics Conference 5 - 7 May, 2013, Rydges Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-23-8 Hedging Growth Stocks and Value Stocks: Differences and Costs L. Mick Swartz The empirical literature on stock returns shows overwhelming evidence of stock anomalies related to value investing and growth investing. This paper studies the relative cost of using stock put options to hedge value and growth stocks. Significant results are obtained for differences in the cost of hedging using put options across value and growth stocks. This means that different strategies should be employed in attempting to hedge some of these types of stocks. The cost of hedging for one or two months using put options is examined from 1995 to 2004. The costs of puts are analyzed with a corresponding discussion of other strategies directly linked to these results. In particular, evidence is found that the put options on some growth stocks and the option returns on some value stocks outperform the average option return for puts deep out of the money. For puts deep in the money, buying puts for the most extreme category or decile of value stocks is significantly less expensive than other deciles. For, both puts and calls across the value and growth deciles, writing options had higher returns than buying options. Strategies with profitable returns over the decade included bull spreads on value stocks and growth stocks (but not the highest decile for growth). A third strategy that was profitable for the decade included buying deep out of the money puts for deciles 2, 3 (growth) and 10 ( most extreme value). Implementing a protective put strategy for the underlying stocks will vary depending on the type of asset and it’s relative value of growth label. The relative cost of hedging stocks in the options markets does depend on value versus growth characteristics. Highlights • • • • • • • • Stock Anomalies and Option Returns are examined from 1995-2004 Value Stocks have different hedging costs than growth stocks Risk Management Protective Puts Hedging with Put Options Buying Deep Out of the Money Puts was profitable for some deciles Deep in the Money Puts are less expensive for Value Stocks Some bull spreads were profitable strategies throughout the time period Keywords: Risk management, Cost of Hedging, Hedging, Put Options, Protective Puts, stock anomalies, option anomalies, stock option returns, In the Money Options, Out of the Money Options, At the Money Options, Value Stocks, Growth Stocks, Bull Spread, Bear Spread Introduction For almost two decades, the most puzzling aspect in finance has been the risk and reward profiles of value investments. ________________________________________________________________ L. Mick Swartz, Marshall School of Business, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, Email: mick.swartz@marshall.usc.edu 1 Proceedings of 3rd Global Accounting, Finance and Economics Conference 5 - 7 May, 2013, Rydges Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-23-8 Existing models do not fully capture risk and return to explain how an asset with higher returns could have less risk. Many attempts to classify value stocks as having more risk have failed to fully capture the dynamics in the marketplace. In a seminal article, Fama-French give evidence of a 3 factor model using beta, size and value. Value is expressed as a M/B ratio and this ratio is commonly used as a standard for investment performance. The value and size anomalies show significant abnormal returns for companies displaying those characteristics. The option markets, therefore, should reflect such behavior and the costs of using these assets should vary depending on their factor loadings in the model. As a result, the cost of hedging using options on value stocks should be different than the cost of hedging growth stocks. In this study, we examine the cost of using put options for different types of stocks on a monthly basis to determine if option returns display different characteristics depending on whether the stock is a a value stock or a growth stock, as defined by Fama-French. These results will help portfolio managers determine the relative costs of hedging portfolios depending on the characteristics of the underlying assets. If the option returns are significantly different, then the relative costs of hedging will differ. If option returns are not different, then the options markets may not be correcting for volatility differences in the option pricing models. . The basic question addressed in this paper include: Does the cost of hedging a value stock differ from the cost of hedging a growth stock in the put options market? Literature Review The literature in finance has documented many anomalies in an attempt to gain insight into the factors that affect stock returns. However, the literature does not address the cost of hedging using options. Asset pricing anomalies were studied in Basu (1981) and Reinganum (1982) documenting a size effect. In addition, Fama-French (1993,1994, 2005) document a value premium. Stock market anomalies pose many problems for options markets, since the stocks is often considered mispriced. What is the cost of a derivative of a “mispriced” asset ? Other anomalies that have been documented include the momentum effect (special type of growth stocks) by Carhart (1997). The literature for these anomalies has created a great deal of interest, however, this topic has not been addressed in terms of hedging these types of assets. This study examines the put option returns or costs to implement these options for different types of underlying stocks Methodology and Data The stock option returns from 1995 to 2004 are examined on a daily and monthly basis from Optionmetrics (IVY Database). Daily stock returns and the risk free rate are obtained from CRSP. The Compustat database is used to 2 Proceedings of 3rd Global Accounting, Finance and Economics Conference 5 - 7 May, 2013, Rydges Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-23-8 classify firms on a monthly basis into value or growth deciles. CRSP and Compustat data are used to sort firms into size deciles each month. Stock returns are sorted based on Fama-French deciles of M/B and size each month. The portfolios are then examined based on option returns for 5 different exercise prices each month. The five exercise prices include at the money, one price in the money, two prices in the money, one price out of the money and two prices out of the money. The option returns examined are one month or the closest option with at least one month left until expiration. This means the effective time period is between one and two months in the portfolio. This is a difference between this study and other studies that did not find significant differences. The mean time horizon is between 5-6 weeks for each portfolio depending on the closest option maturity. Option prices and returns are individually accumulated and averaged for a portfolio. Each portfolio (decile) has roughly 270-300 individual stock returns and option returns each month. The daily observations per month are approximately 20 per security. Holding period returns are examined on a daily and monthly basis. Results are accumulated on a monthly basis to interpret and relate to existing stock return research. The options studied have one month to two months until expiration. Empirical Results Put Options Table One results indicate that many deciles had positive returns for deep in the money puts. This decade included the tech boom and subsequent bust. It appears the strategy of buying deep in the money puts was profitable over this decade for many deciles. As a hedging tool that is important to realize. Sometimes the price of the insurance is too cheap. Put options were significantly re-priced after the crash of 1987, however this category of deep in the money puts was too cheap in this time period. Table Two results show negative 7% to -14% returns for most deciles, however, not for deciles 2 (growth) or 10 (deep value). These deciles had option returns that were not significantly different from zero. The cost of hedging using these two deciles was different during this decade. The return is the negative of the cost of hedging using a put option to hedge. One trend in the tables is the difference between deciles one and two in terms of option returns. The highest growth rated stocks are more expensive to hedge using put options. Growth managers should realize that even among growth stocks significant differences can occur for the cost of hedging. Table Three shows at the money put options and the average monthly returns for the deciles ranged from -19.7% (decile 10 deep value) to -42.4% . The growth stock option returns (deciles 1,2 and 3) were in the -32% range. Decile 10 (extreme or deep value category) was the least negative return and therefore, the 3 Proceedings of 3rd Global Accounting, Finance and Economics Conference 5 - 7 May, 2013, Rydges Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-23-8 least expensive to use as a hedging tool. Again, the return is the negative of the cost of hedging. Tables Two and Three are important because as a hedging tool they are the most obvious choices for a portfolio manager picking individual securities. Table Four indicates that using In-The-Money put options (one strike price in) had option returns from -24% to -47% , on average per month. This cost could cause significant drag to a stock portfolio if used frequently. This choice is expensive as a hedging tool and requires more initial capital than some other choices listed. Table Five has option returns ranging from -4% to -54%. Value stocks, deciles 9 and 10, have option returns/costs of -4.3% and -11.9%, so the cost of hedging is much smaller. Deciles 1, 2 and 3 have option returns of -28%, -19.1% and 25.1%, respectively. Deciles five thru eight have the most negative returns. Summary For the decade 1995-2004, the empirical evidence indicates that buying . The value deciles have negative option monthly returns of 3-5% and the growth deciles have negative option monthly returns of 8-13.5%. Evidence is found that the option returns on some growth stocks and the option returns on some value stocks outperform the average option return for puts deep out of the money. For puts deep in the money, buying puts for the most extreme decile (decile 10) of value stocks is significantly less expensive than other deciles. For both puts and calls across the value and growth deciles, writing options had higher returns than buying options. Strategies with profitable returns over the decade bull spreads on value stocks and growth stocks (but not the highest decile for growth). A third strategy that was profitable for the decade included buying deep out of the money puts for deciles 2, 3 (growth) and 10 (value). References Ball, R. 1978. Anomalies in Relationships Between Securities' Yields and YieldSurrogates, Journal of Financial Economics 6, 103-26. Banz, R. 1981. The Relationship between Return and Market Value of Common Stock, Journal of Financial Economics 9, 3-18. Basu, S. 1977. 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Handbook of the Economics of Finance (Elsevier Science B.V.). 6 Proceedings of 3rd Global Accounting, Finance and Economics Conference 5 - 7 May, 2013, Rydges Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-23-8 Empirical Tables Table 1: Put Option (Out of the Money Two Strike Prices) Decile 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Monthly Stock Return .003 .004 .010 .011 .017 .018 .017 .021 .020 .024 Monthly Option Return .036 .264* .315* .086* .056* .405* .086* .062* .026 .338* Decile 10 is Value and Decile 1 is Growth. There are approximately 270 – 300 firms per day for 20 days per month. *Significant at a one percent level. **Significant at a 5 percent level. Table 2: Put Option (Out of the Money One Strike Price) Decile 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Monthly Stock Return .003 .002 .009 .009 .014 .015 .016 .019 .020 .024 Monthly Option Return -.123* -.014 -.101* -.141* -.109* -.075* -.120* -.121* -.110* .002 Decile 10 is Value and Decile 1 is Growth. There are approximately 270 – 300 firms per day for 20 days per month. *Significant at a one percent level. **Significant at a 5 percent level. 7 Proceedings of 3rd Global Accounting, Finance and Economics Conference 5 - 7 May, 2013, Rydges Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-23-8 Table 3: Put Option (At the Money) Decile 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Monthly Stock Return .002 .002 .008 .008 .013 .014 .015 .019 .019 .021 Monthly Option Return -.326 -.323 -.366 -.387 -.411 -.424 -.401 -.398 -.374 -.197 Decile 10 is Value and Decile 1 is Growth. There are approximately 270 – 300 firms per day for 20 days per month. *Significant at a one percent level. **Significant at a 5 percent level. Table 4: Put Option (In the Money One Strike Price) Decile 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Monthly Stock Return -.001 .002 .007 .008 .013 .013 .013 .015 .015 .007 Monthly Option Return -.257 -.243 -.256 -.257 -.355 -.378 -.391 -.431 -.476 -.378 Decile 10 is Value and Decile 1 is Growth. There are approximately 270 – 300 firms per day for 20 days per month. *Significant at a one percent level. **Significant at a 5 percent level. 8 Proceedings of 3rd Global Accounting, Finance and Economics Conference 5 - 7 May, 2013, Rydges Melbourne, Australia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-23-8 Table 5: Put Option (In the Money Two Strike Prices) Decile 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Monthly Stock Return -.004 -.003 .005 .005 .010 .010 .009 .012 .011 .005 Monthly Option Return -.280 -.191 -.251 -.258 -.441 -.546 -.469 -.574 -.043 -.119 Decile 10 is Value and Decile 1 is Growth. There are approximately 270 – 300 firms per day for 20 days per month. *Significant at a one percent level. **Significant at a 5 percent level. 9