Proceedings of 31st International Business Research Conference 27 - 29 July 2015, Ryerson University, Toronto, Canada ISBN: 978-1-922069-80-1 Overcoming the Problems Impeding the Sustainable Integration of Informal and Formal Sectors of an Economy: Focusing on the Nigerian Economy Ifeanyi Ike Ugboaja This study investigated aspects of the informal economy in Nigeria. Issues investigated included motivations by workers and employers for opting for the informal economy, as opposed to the formal economy, reasons that employers in the formal economy do not create more jobs, and causal factors implicated in low levels of job creation. It was concluded that, in the absence of an aggressive effort to curb corruption in government, invest widely in job training and actions to encourage increased FDI and increased entrepreneurial activity within Nigeria, the economy will continue to be dominated by the informal sector to the detriment of the country as a whole. Track: Management Introduction Addressing issues and problems associated with the integration of the informal sector of an economy into its formal sector is beset with barriers related to (a) the definition of an informal sector of an economy (b) perceptions of the existence and the relationship of an informal sector with respect to an economy’s formal sector, (c) the identification of entities and individuals that are or should be included in the informal sector of an economy, (d) identifying the most effective strategies for the integration of the informal sector of an economy into the formal economy, (e) identifying and overcoming the barriers to the implementation of plans for the integration of the informal sector of an economy into the formal economy, and (f) creating a system that will assure the sustainability of the strategy. This study investigated and analyzed these issues with a specific focus on the economy of Nigeria. Nigeria was selected as the focal economy for this study because of the high level of informal economic activity in the country. Ogbuabor and Malaolu (2013) found that “the size of Nigeria’s informal economy hovered between 53.6 – 77.2% of official GDP, while the average size was 64.6% of GDP” (p. 97). Awojobi, Ayakpat, and Adisa (2014) reported a level of 57.9% for 2013, which, for practical purposes, is compatible with the finding by Oshikoya (2008). Oshikoya (2008) added that the economy of Nigeria “remains largely informal, with a significant share of transactions in the economy unreported” (p. 33). The proportional size of the informal economy in Nigeria, as reported by Oshikoya (2008), “is highest among its peers and twice the average of 28.8 percent for its peers” and is “six times higher than that of the United States”, which was 8.8% in 2008 (p. 33). Four research questions were investigated with respect to the informal economy in Nigeria. Thee research questions were as follows: ______________________________________________________________ Keller Graduate School of Management-DeVry University Atlanta GA, 430 Havant Way Lawrenceville GA 30045, USA, Email: iugboaja@devry.edu Proceedings of 31st International Business Research Conference 27 - 29 July 2015, Ryerson University, Toronto, Canada ISBN: 978-1-922069-80-1 o Research Question 1: What reasons best explain why workers choose to participate in the informal economy, as opposed to participating in the formal economy? o Research Question 2: What reasons best explain why employers choose to participate in the informal economy, as opposed to participating in the formal economy? o Research Question 3: What reasons best explain why employers in the formal economy do not create more job positions? o Research Question 4: What causal factors, as perceived by labor leaders and formal economy employers, best explain why employers in the formal economy do not create more job positions? Literature Review Habib-Mintz (2009) stated that: “The informal economy exists in both developing and developed nations, though it is most often associated as an engine of economic dynamism in developing countries. The concept is generally defined as the sum of economic income generating activities outside of the formal economy, which are registered, tax paying and legal” (p. 1). Cling, Razafindrakoto, and Roubaud (2012) noted that: “Most jobs in the developing countries are found in the informal economy, which plays a predominant role in developing economies. Word even has it that the global economic crisis has increased the weight of the informal sector due to job losses in other economic sectors” p. 553). Chinguno (2010) found that globalization has resulted in the “erosion of work in the core of the formal economy and the subsequent exponential rise of the informal economy in many developing countries” (p. 367). Jackson (2012) found that, “The informal economy has grown in importance within sub-Saharan Africa, yet there are debates about its rol4e within national economies that appear not to take cognizance of the interests and the weak power base of those working within the informal economy” (p. 2901). Lebaron and Ayers (2013) argued that the informal economy in Sub-Saharan African countries is creating a new form of slavery, in that it “must be understood as a social relationship of insecurity and exploitation whose acceleration in recent decades is traceable to broader shifts in the relations of production and social reproduction” (p. 873). Williams and Lansky (2013) countered this argument, stating that: “Over the past decade or so, studies have begun to show that some informal employment is not due to a lack of choice but more a matter of choice because of the greater autonomy, flexibility and freedom found in this sphere” (p. 365). Akinwale (2012) noted that: “Unemployment remains high in Nigeria due to disintegration between the formal and informal sectors, among other factors. While the unemployed largely focus on the formal sector in search of jobs, there is inadequate interest in the informal sector. Yet, this sector provides livelihoods for the majority of the population” (p. 315). Proceedings of 31st International Business Research Conference 27 - 29 July 2015, Ryerson University, Toronto, Canada ISBN: 978-1-922069-80-1 Methodology As indicated in the introduction to this paper, four research questions were investigated. Hypotheses were tested in relation to each research question. The hypotheses were tested in their null forms. The hypotheses were as follows: H10: There is no statistically significant relationship between worker decisions to participate in the informal economy, as opposed to the formal economy, as a dependent variable, and (a) skills lack, (b) educational deficit, (c) lack of job openings, and (d) payroll taxes deducted in the formal economy, as independent variables. H11: There is a positive statistically significant relationship between worker decisions to participate in the informal economy, as opposed to the formal economy, as a dependent variable, and (a) skills lack, (b) educational deficit, (c) lack of job openings, and (d) payroll taxes deducted in the formal economy, as independent variables. H20: There is no statistically significant relationship between employer decisions to participate in the informal economy, as opposed to the formal economy, as a dependent variable, and (a) governmental regulation of employers in the formal economy, (b) employee wage levels in the formal economy, (c) provision of employee benefits required in the formal economy, and (d) business operations taxes required in the formal economy, as independent variables. H21: There is a positive statistically significant relationship between employer decisions to participate in the informal economy, as opposed to the formal economy, as a dependent variable, and (a) governmental regulation of employers in the formal economy, (b) employee wage levels in the formal economy, (c) provision of employee benefits required in the formal economy, and (d) business operations taxes required in the formal economy, as independent variables. H30: There is no statistically significant relationship between employer decisions that results in relatively low levels of job creation in the formal economy, as a dependent variable, and (a) burdensome governmental regulation associated with employee relations in the formal economy, (b) employee wage levels in the formal economy, (c) provision of employee benefits required in the formal economy, and (d) business operations taxes required in the formal economy, as independent variables. H31:There is a positive statistically significant relationship between employer decisions that results in relatively low levels of job creation in the formal economy, as a dependent variable, and (a) burdensome governmental regulation associated with employee relations in the formal economy, (b) employee wage levels in the formal economy, (c) provision of employee benefits required in the formal economy, and (d) business operations taxes required in the formal economy, as independent variables. H40:There is no statistically significant relationship between employer decisions that results in relatively low levels of job creation in the formal economy, as a dependent variable, and the following causal Proceedings of 31st International Business Research Conference 27 - 29 July 2015, Ryerson University, Toronto, Canada ISBN: 978-1-922069-80-1 attributions by labor leaders and formal economy employers [(a) bureaucratic ineptitude in government, (b) insufficient levels of FDI, (c) corruption in government dealings with employers in the formal economy and in the management of governmental revenues and expenditures, and (d) high levels of taxation affecting businesses in the formal economy], as independent variables. H41:There is a positive statistically significant relationship between employer decisions that results in relatively low levels of job creation in the formal economy, as a dependent variable, and the following causal attributions by labor leaders and formal economy employers [(a) bureaucratic ineptitude in government, (b) insufficient levels of FDI, (c) corruption in government dealings with employers in the formal economy and in the management of governmental revenues and expenditures, and (d) high levels of taxation affecting businesses in the formal economy], as independent variables. Data were collected through the administration of survey questionnaires to samples of four populations groups. The population groups were (a) workers in the informal economy, (b) employers in the informal economy, (c) employers in the formal economy, and (d) labor leaders and formal economy employers, the data collected were used in the testing of the hypotheses. Hypotheses were tested through the application of multiple regression analysis. The criterion for the rejection of a null hypothesis was a determination of statistical significance at the p<0.05 level of probability. Research Results The results of the research performed are presented separately in relation to the research question investigated and the research hypothesis tested. The four sets of research results are associated with (a) decisions by workers in the informal economy, (b) decisions by employers in the informal economy, (c) decisions by employers in the formal economy, and (d) causal attributions by labor leaders and employers in the formal economy. The results sets are presented below. Workers in the Informal Economy With respect to workers in the informal economy, the research question investigated was as follows: What reasons best explain why workers choose to participate in the informal economy, as opposed to participating in the formal economy? The four reasons assessed as independent variables in relation to this question were as follows: (a) lack of skills required in the formal economy; (b) formal education deficit with respect to formal economy requirements; (c) insufficient job openings in the formal economy; and (d) payroll taxes deducted from worker pay in the formal economy. The hypothesis associated with this research question was tested in its null form. The null form of the hypothesis was as follows: There is no statistically significant relationship between worker decisions to participate in the informal economy, as opposed to the formal economy, as a dependent variable, and (a) skills lack, (b) educational deficit, (c) Proceedings of 31st International Business Research Conference 27 - 29 July 2015, Ryerson University, Toronto, Canada ISBN: 978-1-922069-80-1 lack of job openings, and (d) payroll taxes deducted in the formal economy, as independent variables. The research results are presented in Tables 1, 2, and 3, which may be found below and on the following page. Table 1: Model Summary – Workers in the Informal Economy Table 2: ANOVA Results - Workers in the Informal Economy Table 3: Multiple Regression Coefficients – Workers in the Informal Economy Employers in the Informal Economy With respect to employers in the informal economy, the research question investigated was as follows: What reasons best explain why employers choose to participate in the informal economy, as opposed to participating in the formal economy? The four reasons assessed as independent variables in relation to this question were as follows: (a) governmental regulation of business operations in the formal economy; (b) employee wage levels required in the formal economy; (c) Proceedings of 31st International Business Research Conference 27 - 29 July 2015, Ryerson University, Toronto, Canada ISBN: 978-1-922069-80-1 provision of employee benefits required in the formal economy; and (d) business operations taxes required in the formal economy. The hypothesis associated with this research question was tested in its null form. The null form of the hypothesis was as follows: There is no statistically significant relationship between employer decisions to participate in the informal economy, as opposed to the formal economy, as a dependent variable, and (a) governmental regulation of employers in the formal economy, (b) employee wage levels in the formal economy, (c) provision of employee benefits required in the formal economy, and (d) business operations taxes required in the formal economy, as independent variables. The research results are presented in Tables 4, 5, and 6, which may be found below and on the following page. Table 4: Model Summary – Employers in the Informal Economy Table 5: ANOVA Results – Employers in the Informal Economy Proceedings of 31st International Business Research Conference 27 - 29 July 2015, Ryerson University, Toronto, Canada ISBN: 978-1-922069-80-1 Table 6: Multiple Regression Coefficients – Employers in the Informal Economy Employers in the Formal Economy With respect to employers in the formal economy, the research question investigated was as follows: What reasons best explain why employers in the formal economy do not create more job positions? The four reasons assessed as independent variables in relation to this question were as follows: (a) burdensome governmental regulation applicable to employee relations; (b) employee wage levels required in the formal economy; (c) provision of employee benefits required in the formal economy; and (d) business operations taxes required in the formal economy. The hypothesis associated with this research question was tested in its null form. The null form of the hypothesis was as follows: There is no statistically significant relationship between employer decisions that results in relatively low levels of job creation in the formal economy, as a dependent variable, and (a) burdensome governmental regulation associated with employee relations in the formal economy, (b) employee wage levels in the formal economy, (c) provision of employee benefits required in the formal economy, and (d) business operations taxes required in the formal economy, as independent variables. The research results are presented in Tables 7, 8, and 9, which may be found below and on the following page. Table 7: Model Summary – Employers in the Formal Economy Proceedings of 31st International Business Research Conference 27 - 29 July 2015, Ryerson University, Toronto, Canada ISBN: 978-1-922069-80-1 Table 8: ANOVA Results – Employers in the Formal Economy Table 9: Multiple Regression Coefficients – Employers in the Formal Economy Labor Leaders and Formal Employers With respect to organized labor leaders and employers in the formal economy, the research question investigated was as follows: What causal factors, as perceived by labor leaders and formal economy employers, best explain why employers in the formal economy do not create more job positions? The four reasons assessed as independent variables in relation to this question were as follows: (a) bureaucratic ineptitude; (b) low levels of foreign direct investment (FDI); (c) corrupt behavior on the part of bureaucrats and politicians; and (d) high levels of taxation, especially employee-related taxation. The hypothesis associated with this research question was tested in its null form. The null form of the hypothesis was as follows: There is no statistically significant relationship between employer decisions that results in relatively low levels of job creation in the formal economy, as a dependent variable, and the following causal attributions by labor leaders and formal economy employers [(a) bureaucratic ineptitude in government, (b) insufficient levels of FDI, (c) corruption in government dealings with employers in the formal economy and in the management of governmental revenues and expenditures, and (d) high levels of taxation affecting businesses in the formal economy], as independent variables. The research results are presented in Tables 10, 11, and 12, which may be found on the following page. Proceedings of 31st International Business Research Conference 27 - 29 July 2015, Ryerson University, Toronto, Canada ISBN: 978-1-922069-80-1 Table 10: Model Summary – Labor Leaders and Employers in the Formal Economy Table 11: ANOVA Results – Labor Leaders and Employers in the Formal Economy Table 12: Multiple Regression Coefficients – Labor Leaders and Employers in the Formal Economy Discussion of Findings The results of the hypothesis testing of the Research Question 1 (What reasons best explain why workers choose to participate in the informal economy, as opposed to participating in the formal economy?) found that the four independent variables together explained 88% of the reasons workers in the informal economy choose the informal economy, as opposed to the formal economy (F = 29.411; Significance = 0.0001). The null hypothesis was rejected. With respect to the comparative explanatory power of the four variables, however, Proceedings of 31st International Business Research Conference 27 - 29 July 2015, Ryerson University, Toronto, Canada ISBN: 978-1-922069-80-1 the shortage of jobs in the informal economy was by far the strongest explanatory variable, followed in turn by insufficient education, and lack of skills. Payroll taxes levied on workers had a negative impact on worker decisions. The results of the hypothesis testing of the Research Question 2 (What reasons best explain why employers choose to participate in the informal economy, as opposed to participating in the formal economy?) found that the four independent variables together explained 88% of the reasons employers in the informal economy choose the informal economy, as opposed to the formal economy (F = 29.411; Significance = 0.0001). The null hypothesis was rejected. With respect to the comparative explanatory power of the four variables, however, the benefits that are provided to workers in the formal economy was the strongest explanatory variable, followed in turn by employee wage levels in the formal economy, and governmental regulation. Taxation had a negative impact on employer decisions. The results of the hypothesis testing of the Research Question 3 (What reasons best explain why employers in the formal economy do not create more job positions?) found that the four independent variables together explained 88% of the reasons employers in the formal economy do not create more jobs (F = 29.411; Significance = 0.0001). The null hypothesis was rejected. With respect to the comparative explanatory power of the four variables, however, taxation on employers in the formal economy was the strongest explanatory variable, followed in turn by the near absence of governmental incentives, and governmental job training support. Human resource development – education – was not perceived as an important factor in these decisions. The results of the hypothesis testing of the Research Question 4 (What causal factors best explain why employers in the formal economy do not create more job positions?) found that the four independent variables together explained 88% of the causal factors that result in fewer jobs being created in the formal economy (F = 29.411; Significance = 0.0001). The null hypothesis was rejected. With respect to the comparative explanatory power of the four variables, however, corruption (or, at least, perceived corruption in government (politicians and bureaucrats) was the strongest indicated explanatory variable, followed in turn by low levels of FDI and bureaucratic ineptitude. Employee-related taxes were perceived as an important causal in relation to job creation. Conclusion The principal conclusion drawn from the findings of the research reported in this paper is that the federal government in Nigeria is the prime culprit in the continued dominance of the informal economy in the country. In the absence of an aggressive effort to curb corruption in government, invest widely in job training and actions to encourage increased FDI and increased entrepreneurial activity within Nigeria, the economy will continue to be dominated by the informal sector to the detriment of the country as a whole. Proceedings of 31st International Business Research Conference 27 - 29 July 2015, Ryerson University, Toronto, Canada ISBN: 978-1-922069-80-1 References Akinwale, A. A. (2012). The informal sector as a catalyst for employment generation in Lagos State, Nigeria. African & Asian Studies, 11(3), 315-344. Pdf. Awojobi, O. N., Ayakpat, J., & Adisa, O. D. (2014). 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