Instruments for addressing climate change in the transport sector: an exploration of policy favouritism Dominic Stead Delft University of Technology Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 Challenge the future 1 Introduction • climate change is a relatively new issue for many policy sectors including transport • new policy goals and objectives, policy instruments, policy settings, governance arrangements and even institutions • different policy levels – from local through to global and all levels in between • policy responses to common challenges like climate change might easily be assumed to result in common approaches • but policy responses are not always the same • policy-makers’ decisions not only driven by ‘objective’ technical assessments • social, political, economic, and administrative factors Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 2 Introduction Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 3 OECD (2002). Policy instruments for achieving environmentally sustainable transport. OECD, Paris. Introduction Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 4 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Policy styles Analytical framework Information sources Analysis Conclusions Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 5 Policy styles • ‘different systems of decision-making’ and ‘different procedures for making societal decisions’ (Richardson et al, 1982) • high-level government goals and implementation preferences are not random but tend to cluster into favoured sets of ideas and instruments (Freeman, 1985; Howlett, 1991) • policy officials typically work within a set of pre-established policy goals and implementation preferences (Howlett, 2009) – bounded rationality and policy conservatism Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 6 Explanatory theories • institutional cultures • legal systems • welfare state regimes • administrative traditions • path dependence • polity models Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 7 High-level abstraction Programme-level operationalisation On-the-ground measures Policy ends (aims) Goals Which general ideas underlie policy development? (e.g. more efficient urbanization) Objectives What does policy formally aim to address? (e.g. urban compactness) Settings What are the specific ambitions of policy? (e.g. % of brownfield land development) Policy means (tools) Instrument logic Which general norms guide policy implementation? (e.g. mixed-use and higher density development) Instruments/tools What specific types of instruments are utilized? (e.g. regulation; fiscal instrument; education) Calibrations What is the strength/ extent of application of the instrument? (e.g. level of taxation; target group/area) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 8 Developed from: Howlett, M. (2009). Policy Sciences 42(1) 73-89. Taxonomy of policy components High-level abstraction Programme-level operationalisation On-the-ground measures Policy ends (aims) Goals Which general ideas underlie policy development? (e.g. more efficient urbanization) Objectives What does policy formally aim to address? (e.g. urban compactness) Settings What are the specific ambitions of policy? (e.g. % of brownfield land development) Policy means (tools) Instrument logic Which general norms guide policy implementation? (e.g. mixed-use and higher density development) Instruments/tools What specific types of instruments are utilized? (e.g. regulation; fiscal instrument; education) Calibrations What is the strength/ extent of application of the instrument? (e.g. level of taxation; target group/area) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 9 Developed from: Howlett, M. (2009). Policy Sciences 42(1) 73-89. Taxonomy of policy components High-level abstraction Programme-level operationalisation On-the-ground measures Policy ends (aims) Goals Which general ideas underlie policy development? (e.g. more efficient urbanization) Objectives What does policy formally aim to address? (e.g. urban compactness) Settings What are the specific ambitions of policy? (e.g. % of brownfield land development) Policy means (tools) Instrument logic Which general norms guide policy implementation? (e.g. mixed-use and higher density development) Instruments/tools What specific types of instruments are utilized? (e.g. regulation; fiscal instrument; education) Calibrations What is the strength/ extent of application of the instrument? (e.g. level of taxation; target group/area) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 10 Developed from: Howlett, M. (2009). Policy Sciences 42(1) 73-89. Taxonomy of policy components High-level abstraction Programme-level operationalisation On-the-ground measures Policy ends (aims) Goals Which general ideas underlie policy development? (e.g. more efficient urbanization) Objectives What does policy formally aim to address? (e.g. urban compactness) Settings What are the specific ambitions of policy? (e.g. % of brownfield land development) Policy means (tools) Instrument logic Which general norms guide policy implementation? (e.g. mixed-use and higher density development) Instruments/tools What specific types of instruments are utilized? (e.g. regulation; fiscal instrument; education) Calibrations What is the strength/ extent of application of the instrument? (e.g. level of taxation; target group/area) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 11 Developed from: Howlett, M. (2009). Policy Sciences 42(1) 73-89. Taxonomy of policy components 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Policy styles Analytical framework Information sources Analysis Conclusions Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 12 high Jepperson, R.L. (2002). Political modernities: disentangling two underlying dimensions of institutional differentiation. Sociological Theory 20(1) 61-85. Polity model Corporatism low (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 13 high Polity model Corporatism (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) low regulations low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 14 high Polity model financial instruments Corporatism (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) low education / awareness low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 15 high Polity model voluntary agreements Corporatism low (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 16 high Jepperson, R.L. (2002). Political modernities: disentangling two underlying dimensions of institutional differentiation. Sociological Theory 20(1) 61-85. Polity model Corporatism low (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 17 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Policy styles Analytical framework Information sources Analysis Conclusions Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 18 Quantifying corporatism o o o o o o o o right of association right of collective bargaining right to strike government intervention in wage bargaining national minimum wage routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions union membership union coverage of workplaces or establishments ICTWSS Database on Institutional Characteristics of Trade Unions, Wage Setting, State Intervention and Social Pacts in 34 countries between 1960 and 2012 Jelle Visser ICTWSS Database Version 4 April 2013 Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 19 Quantifying individualism Importance of: o o o o o o o o o o o o being treated equally having equal opportunities having clear rules to follow understanding different people being humble and modest, not drawing attention to oneself making one’s own decisions and being free having a good time helping people and caring for others strong government to ensure safety behaving properly being respected by others caring for nature and the environment Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 20 Quantifying individualism Power Distance Index o expectation that power in society is unequally distributed Individualism o degree to which individuals are integrated into groups Uncertainty Avoidance o society's tolerance for uncertainty and ambiguity Masculinity o distribution of emotional roles between the genders Long-Term Orientation o importance that societies attach to the future Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 21 National communications on climate change 1994 1997 2001 2006 2010 2014 Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 22 Perceptions and attitudes in Europe o perceptions of climate change as a global problem o perceived seriousness of climate change o responsibility for tackling climate change o personal action to tackle climate change o types of individual action taken o attitudes to the green economy o attitudes towards reducing fossil fuel imports Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 23 high Jepperson, R.L. (2002). Political modernities: disentangling two underlying dimensions of institutional differentiation. Sociological Theory 20(1) 61-85. Polity model Corporatism low (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 24 high Polity model Corporatism low (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 25 high Polity model Corporatism low (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 26 high Polity model Corporatism low (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 27 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Policy styles Analytical framework Information sources Analysis Conclusions Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 28 European Commission (2014). Special Eurobarometer 409. DirectorateGeneral for Communication, European Commission, Brussels. Perceptions of seriousness of climate change Estonia Denmark 14% 31% UK 18% Germany 25% Greece 15% Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 29 1. Business 2. National government 3. European Union 1. National government 2. European Union 3. Business Corporatism 1. Business 2. National government 3. European Union low (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) 1. National government 2. European Union 3. Individuals 1. National government 2. Business 3. European Union low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 30 European Commission (2014). Special Eurobarometer 416. DirectorateGeneral for Communication, European Commission, Brussels. high Responsibility for tackling climate change, 2014 1. More information 2. Fines for polluters 3. Financial incentives European Commission (2014). Special Eurobarometer 416. DirectorateGeneral for Communication, European Commission, Brussels. high Instruments for tackling environmental problems 1. Financial incentives 2. More information 3. Fines for polluters Corporatism 1. Fines for polluters 2. Law enforcement 3. Financial incentives low (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) 1. More information 2. Fines for polluters 3. Financial incentives 1. Fines for polluters 2. More information 3. Stricter legislation low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 31 High-level abstraction Programme-level operationalisation On-the-ground measures Policy ends (aims) Goals Which general ideas underlie policy development? (e.g. more efficient urbanization) Objectives What does policy formally aim to address? (e.g. urban compactness) Settings What are the specific ambitions of policy? (e.g. % of brownfield land development) Policy means (tools) Instrument logic Which general norms guide policy implementation? (e.g. mixed-use and higher density development) Instruments/tools What specific types of instruments are utilized? (e.g. regulation; fiscal instrument; education) Calibrations What is the strength/ extent of application of the instrument? (e.g. level of taxation; target group/area) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 32 Developed from: Howlett, M. (2009). Policy Sciences 42(1) 73-89. Taxonomy of policy components vehicle tax based on emissions higher fuel taxes car registration tax vehicle tax based on emissions Corporatism HGV tolls CO2-based vehicle tax for cars air traffic tax low (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) parking fee exemption for electric vehicles low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) reform of company car tax based on CO2 emissions incentives for purchasing electric and hybrid cars funding support for low emission buses local sustainable travel fund for local transport authorities Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 33 Sixth national communications under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change [http://unfccc.int/national_reports/items/1408.php] high Fiscal measures: transport & climate change vehicle emission checks exhaust emission certification maximum age of buses and taxis urban access restrictions for polluting vehicles Sixth national communications under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change [http://unfccc.int/national_reports/items/1408.php] high Regulations: transport & climate change enforcement of speed limits development control (planning) Corporatism (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) quotas on the biofuel content of fuel low Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation (RTFO) low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 34 high Sixth national communications under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change [http://unfccc.int/national_reports/items/1408.php] Voluntary agreements: transport & climate change Corporatism voluntary agreement on efficiency of ships voluntary agreement on efficiency of aircraft (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) low carbon reduction scheme for logistics low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 35 high information campaign on cars' fuel consumption training on energyefficient driving Corporatism low (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) fuel consumption and carbon emission database eco-driving courses walking, cycling, and public transport promotion campaigns low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 36 Sixth national communications under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change [http://unfccc.int/national_reports/items/1408.php] Information/education: transport & climate change High-level abstraction Programme-level operationalisation On-the-ground measures Policy ends (aims) Goals Which general ideas underlie policy development? (e.g. more efficient urbanization) Objectives What does policy formally aim to address? (e.g. urban compactness) Settings What are the specific ambitions of policy? (e.g. % of brownfield land development) Policy means (tools) Instrument logic Which general norms guide policy implementation? (e.g. mixed-use and higher density development) Instruments/tools What specific types of instruments are utilized? (e.g. regulation; fiscal instrument; education) Calibrations What is the strength/ extent of application of the instrument? (e.g. level of taxation; target group/area) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 37 Developed from: Howlett, M. (2009). Policy Sciences 42(1) 73-89. Taxonomy of policy components Petrol 49-65% Diesel 44-56% European Commission (2015). Consumer prices of petroleum products inclusive of duties and taxes. DG-Energy, European Commission, Brussels. high Calibration of fiscal instruments: fuel tax Petrol 55-72% Diesel 46-60% Corporatism (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) low Petrol 57-77% Diesel 48-62% Petrol 60-74% Diesel 58-70% Petrol 49-66% Diesel 42-49% low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 38 high €0 Zahedi, S. & Cremades, L. (2012). Vehicle taxes in EU countries. How fair is their calculation? [http://upcommons.upc.edu/e-prints/bitstream/2117/18150/1/vehicles.pdf]. Calibration of fiscal instruments: circulation tax €70-1083 Corporatism (e.g. routine involvement of unions and employers in government decisions) low €18-468 €0-132 €94-578 low high Individualism (e.g. preference for a loosely-knit social framework) Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 39 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Policy styles Analytical framework Information sources Analysis Conclusions Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 40 Conclusions • common policy challenges ≠ common policy approaches? • curiosity-driven – developing and testing theory • application – understanding the applicability and transferability of policy • extension possible to more countries + time series Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 41 Thank you for your attention http://about.me/DominicStead Dominic Stead International Conference on Climate Change Targets and Urban Transport Policy Malta, April 2015 42