Current research Journal of Biological Sciences 4(2): 198-201, 2012 ISSN: 2041-0778 © Maxwell Scientific Organization, 2012 Submitted: November 21, 2011 Accepted: January 04, 2012 Published: March 10, 2012 On the Overflow Alert System Based on Fuzzy Models R. Saneifard and H. Ahmadianrad Department of Applied Mathematics, Urmia Branch, Islamic Azad University, Oroumieh, Iran Abstract: An overflow alert system is a non structural measure for overflow mitigation. This article illustrates an ordered impressionistic fuzzy analysis that has the capability to simulate the unknown relations between a set of meteorological and hydrological parameters. In this article, the researchers first define ordered impressionistic fuzzy sets and establish some results on them. Key words: Defuzzification, fuzzy sets, initial universe set, overflow alert, soft set, universe set Bishu, 1998; Zimmermann, 1991; Saneifard, 2009a). The location important parameters are termed as weighted indices. If the weighted indices are unity, then ordered impressionistic fuzzy sets coincide with impressionistic fuzzy sets. In this article we define ordered impressionistic fuzzy sets and establish some results of them. INTRODUCTION An efficient overflow alert system may significantly improve public safety and mitigate damages caused by inundation. Overflow forecasting is undoubtedly a challenging field of operational hydrology, and over the year lots of analytical works have accumulated in related areas. Although conceptual models allow a deep understanding of the hydrological processes, their calibration requires the collection of a great amount of information regarding the physical properties of the watershed under study, which may be expensive and very time consuming. Since overflow alert systems do not aim at providing an explicit knowledge of the rainfall process, black box models are largely used besides the traditional physically-based ones. Over the last decade, fuzzy technology has been increasingly used in hydrological forecasting. A overflow alert system is a non structural measure for overflow mitigation. Several parameters are responsible for overflow related disasters. A quick responding overflow alarm system is required for effective overflow mitigation measures. Atmospheric parameters that affect overflowing are rainfall, wind speed, wind direction, relative humidity and surface pressure. In our daily life, we frequently deal with vague or imprecise information. Information available is sometimes vague, sometimes inexact or sometimes inefficient. Out of the several higher order fuzzy sets, impressionistic fuzzy sets by (Abel and Sostak, 2007; Sezer, 2008) has been found to be highly useful in dealing with vagueness. impressionistic fuzzy sets is described by two functions: a membership function and a non membership function. The importance of membership degree varies in different situations. The importance of wind speed may be different for different locations. So we need a generalization of impressionistic fuzzy sets, which is called ordered impressionistic fuzzy sets (Kim and PRELIMINARIES We start this section with a simple definition of a fuzzy set and then point out some definitions which are used in this paper (Tanaka and Ishibuchi, 1992; Ma et al., 2002; Tanaka et al., 1982; Saneifard, 2009b; DeWnition: Let U be an initial universe set and E be a set of parameters. Let P(U) denote the power set of U and A dE. A pair (F , A) is called a soft set over U, where F is a mapping given by F:A÷P(U). DeWnition: Let the initial universe U= {L1, L2, L3, L4, L5} be the five selected locations in West Azerbaijan, and E = {P1, P2, P3, P4} be the atmospheric parameters, where P1, P2, P3, and P4 are wind speed, wind direction, relative humidity and surface pressure respectively. Suppose that F(P1) = {L1, L2, L4}, F(P2) = {L3,L5}, F(P3) = {L1, L2, L3}, and F(P4) = {L2, L3, L5}. Each approximation has two parts: C C A predicate p An approximate value set Consider F(P1), here predicate name is wind speed and value set is{L1, L2, L4}. Definition: Let U be an initial universe set and E be a set of parameters. Let P(U) denote the set of all fuzzy sets of U and AdE. A pair (F, A) is called a fuzzy soft set over U, where F is a mapping given by F : A÷P(U). Corresponding Author: R. Saneifard, Department of Applied Mathematics, Urmia Branch, Islamic Azad University, Oroumieh, Iran 198 Curr. Res. J. Bio. Sci., 4(2): 198-201, 2012 Definition: (Yen et al., 1999). Let E be a fixed set and AdE. Impressionistic fuzzy set in E is an object having the form A = {(x, : A(x), <A(x))*x , E}, where the function :A : E ÷[0,1] and < A : E÷ [0,1] define the degree of membership and non membership respectively of the element x to the set A. Also 0 # :A (x) + <A (x) # 1 and B A (x) = 1-:A (x) – <A (x) is called the in deterministic part for x. Clearly 0 # B A (x) # 1. C C The application of fuzzy modeling normally includes three procedures, i.e., fuzzification, logic decision and defuzzification. Fuzzification involves the identification of the input variables and the control variables, the division of both input and the control variables into different domains, and choosing a membership and non membership function. Logic decision involves process design, and the determination of output which may retain a fuzzy or crisp nature. If the output produced is of a fuzzy nature it will require defuzzification which will produce a crisp output. Interpretation of real world situations may be based on either the output of the logic decision or the defuzzified crisp output. is possible only if t = u = 1. Therefore the weighted indices of an ordered super impressionistic fuzzy set are unity. Definition: For two ordered impressionistic fuzzy sets Ap,q and Br,s, Ap,q is said to dominate Br,s if t ,u , p , q Tdk } )1 t ,u , ⎫ x ∈ P⎬ ⎭ is called impressionistic fuzzy set. C C C t ,u , p ,q (S t ,u , B p ,q ) A p ,q = { x , ( µ ( x ) ) , (v ( x ) ) q xi ∈ E } Br ,s = { x , ( µ ( x)) , ( µ ( x)) q xi ∈ E } Definition: If Ap,q and Br,s are two ordered impressionistic fuzzy sets of the fuzzy set E, then: C ) A p ,q ≥ Tdk Similarity measures between ordered impressionistic fuzzy sets: In this study, we introduce the similarity measures of ordered super impressionistic fuzzy sets. Let P(U) be the set of all ordered impressionistic fuzzy sets of X. Let Ap,q , P(U) and Br,s , P(U) be two ordered impressionistic fuzzy sets where: ordered in deterministic part for x. Clearly 0 # π Ap ,q (x) # ) ( (S The ordered super impressionistic fuzzy set St ,u clearly dominates all over the ordered super impressionistic fuzzy set of E. where, the functions :pA : E÷[0,1] and <pA : E÷[0,1] define the degree of membership and non membership respectively of the element x to the set A. p and q are called weighted indices of the set A. Also 0 #(: A(x))p +(<A(x))q #1, π Ap ,q (x) = 1-(: A(x))p +(<A(x))q is called the ( ⎫ ⎪ x ∈ E ⎬. ⎪⎭ Definition: Ordered impressionistic fuzzy set St,u of E is said to be the ordered super impressionistic fuzzy set of E if (:S (x))t = 1, (<S (x))u = 0 and π S t ,u ( x ) = 0, ∀x ∈ E . This Definition: Let E be a fixed set and AdE. For p, q , N, an ordered impressionistic fuzzy set in E is an object having p q the form: Ap ,q = x , ( µ A ( x )) , (ν A ( x )) x ∈ E 1 ⎧ A1,1 = ⎨ x , µ A ( x ) , ν A ( x ) ⎩ Ap ,q * Br ,s ⎧ x , ( µ ( x )) p . ( µ ( x )) r , (ν ( x )) q ⎪ A B A = ⎨ s q s ⎪⎩ + (ν B ( x )) − (ν A ( x)) . (ν B ( x )) ⎫ ⎪ x ∈ E ⎬. ⎪⎭ Definition: Let U be an initial universe set and E be a set of parameters. Let Pp,q(U) denote the set of all ordered impressionistic fuzzy sets of U and AdE. A pair (Fp,q , A) is called an ordered impressionistic fuzzy set over U, where Fp,q is a mapping given by Fp,q : A ÷ Pp,q (U). METHODOLOGY AND FORMULATION 1. If p = q 1, then: ⎧ x , ( µ ( x )) p + ( µ ( x ) ) r − ⎪ A B A p ,q + Br ,s = ⎨ p r q s ⎪⎩ ( µ A ( x )) . ( µ B ( x )) , (ν A ( x )) . (ν B ( x )) C Definition: (Ruoning, 1997). Let U be an initial universe set and E be a set of parameters. Let P(U) denote the set of all impressionistic fuzzy sets of U and AdE. A pair (F, A) is called an impressionistic fuzzy set over U, where F is a mapping given by F: A ÷ P(U). { A p ,q ⎫ ⎧ x , max(( µ ( x )) p ,( µ ( x )) r ), A B ⎪ ⎪ ∪ Br ,s ⎨ x ∈ E ⎬. q r ⎪⎭ ⎪⎩ min(( µ A ( x )) ,( µ B ( x )) ) Ap,qdBr,s iff œx0E& l(µA(x))p#(µB(x))r and (vA(x))q $(µA(x))sm. Ap,q = Br, s iff œx0E& l(µA(x))p = (µB(x))r and (vA(x))q = (µA(x))sm Ap,q = {(x, (vA(x))q, µA(x))p >*x0E} Ap,q1Br,s = {#x, min((µA(x))p , µB(x))r ), max((vA(x)q, (vB(x)s)$*x0E} Let Td k be p i A A p i B B (1) (2) a mapping such that Td k : ( P(U )) 2 → [0,1], k = 1,2. Definition: The similarity measure between two ordered impressionistic fuzzy sets is defined as: 199 Curr. Res. J. Bio. Sci., 4(2): 198-201, 2012 ( ) Tdp1 ,q ,r ,s A p ,q , Br ,s = 1 − 1 n ⎡ ( p ,r ) ∑ ⎢ M (i ) 2n i = 1 ⎣ p+ r 2 + N ( q ,s ) (i ) q+ s 2 w⎤ + I ( p ,q ,r ,s) (i ) 4 ⎥ ⎦ p ,q Td2 (3) where (A p ,q , B p ,q p+ q ⎤ n ⎡ p q ∑ ⎢ M p (i ) + N q (i ) + I ( p,q ) (i ) 2 ⎥ i = 1⎢⎣ ⎥⎦ p+ q ⎤ n ⎡ p q ( p ,q ) p q ∑ ⎢ E (i ) + F (i ) + G (i ) 2 ⎥ i = 1⎢⎣ ⎥⎦ ) = 1− E p (i ) = ( µ A ( xi )) + ( µ B ( xi )) p M ( p ,r ) (i ) = ( µ A ( xi )) − ( µ B ( xi )) p N ( q ,s ) (i ) = (ν A ( xi )) − (ν B ( xi )) q F q (i ) = (v A ( xi )) + (v B ( xi )) r p s Remark: 0 ≤ Td And n is the number of attributes of the system and w= p + q +r + s. If r = P and s = q, then the above formula becomes: T ( 1 − 2n ) ⎡ ∑ ⎢⎣ M p p q (i ) + N q (i ) + I ( p ,q ) (i ) ⎤ ⎥ ⎦ (A p ,q ) , Br ,s ≤ 1 ) ( ( ) if and only if A p,q= Br,s, i.e., (: A(x)) = (: B(x)) and (< A(x))q = (< B(x))s for any xi , E (4) r ( ) p ,q ,r , s A p,q , Br , s = 0 and Remark: If Td k ( ) Td k p ,q ,t ,u Ap ,q , Ct ,u = 0, Ct ,u ∈ P(U ), where M p (i ) = ( µ A ( xi )) − ( µ B ( xi )) p N q (i ) = (v A ( xi )) − (v B ( xi )) q ( Similarity measure algorithm: Reliable overflow prediction cannot be done by subjecting available data to conventional methods of analysis. We therefore turn to ordered impressionistic fuzzy sets and develop a simple but effective model which has been designed in such a way as to produce reliable output in the prediction of overflow possibility. The inputs are basic parameters related to overflow occurrence and fuzzy membership and non membership degrees were assigned to each parameters. The model processes the ordered impressionistic fuzzy set constructed from collected data and identifies the most overflow prone location. q Definition: Another form of similarity measure between two ordered impressionistic fuzzy sets is defined as: p ,q ,r ,s (A p ,q , Br ,s ) = 1− p+r q+s w n ⎡ ⎤ ∑ ⎢ M ( p ,r ) (i ) 2 + N ( q ,s) (i ) 2 + I ( p ,q ,r ,s) (i ) 4 ⎥ i =1 ⎣ ⎦ , p+ r q+s w n ⎡ ⎤ ( p ,r ) ( , ) ( , , , ) q s p q r s ∑⎢E (i ) 2 + F (i ) 2 + G (i ) 4 ⎥ i =1 ⎣ ⎦ C C C (5) Selection of a desired number of parameters (Pj) Selection of a desired number of locations (Li) Constructing ordered impressionistic fuzzy set: ⎧ ⎛ ⎞ ⎛ p j , ⎜ µ Li ( p j )⎟ , ⎜ ν ⎝ ⎠ ⎝ p , q ⎩⎪ p ⎪ Lip ,q ⎨ where E(p, r)(i) = (µA(xi))p+(µB(xi))r F(q, s)(i) = (vA(xi))q+(µB(xi))s G(p, q, r, s)(i) = ) πA p ,q (x ) + π i Br , s then Td k r ,s,t ,u Br ,s , Ct ,u = 0 , for k = 1, 2. p I p,q (i ) = π A p ,q ( xi ) − π B p ,q ( xi ) Td2 ) Td k p ,q ,r , s A p,q , Br ,s = 1 p i =1 p ,q ,r , s k ( Remark: p+ q 2 q Remark: Td k p ,q ,r ,s A p ,q , Br ,s = Td k p ,q ,r ,s , Br ,s , A p ,q = A p ,q , B p , q = − 1 n p G p ,q (i ) = π A p ,q ( xi ) + π B p ,q ( xi ) I ( p ,q ,r ,s ) (i ) = π A p ,q ( xi ) − π B r ,s ( xi ) p ,q d1 (6) ( x) C Calculating π L p ,q ( Pj ) C Calculating Td k C If r = p and s = q, then the above formula becomes: 200 i t ,u , p ,q Find L for which: (S ⎞ ( p j )⎟ Lip ,q ⎠ i t ,u , L p ,q q ⎫⎪ pj ∈ E⎬ ⎭⎪ ) for k = 1, 2 Curr. Res. J. Bio. Sci., 4(2): 198-201, 2012 ( ) ( Td tk,u , p ,q St ,u , Li p,q = max i Td tk,u, p ,q St ,u , Li p,q C Kim, B. and R.R. Bishu, 1998. Evaluation of fuzzy linear regression models by comparing membership functions. Fuzzy Set. Syst., 100: 343-352. Ma, M., M. Kandel and M. Friedman, 2002. A New Approach for Defuzzification. Fuzzy Set. Syst. 128: 351-356. Ruoning, X., 1997. S-curve regression model in fuzzy environments. Fuzzy Set. Syst., 90: 317-326. Saneifard, R., 2009a. Ranking L-R fuzzy numbers with weighted averaging based on levels. Int. J. Indus. Math., 2: 163-173. Saneifard, R., 2009b. A method for defuzzification by weighted distance. Int. J. Indus. Math., 3: 209-217. Sezer, S., 2008. OIIF model of overflow alert. Fuzzy Set. Syst., 24: 279-300. Tanaka, H., S. Uejima and K. Asay, 1982. Linear regression analysis with fuzzy model. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybernet., 12: 903-907. Tanaka, H. and H. Ishibuchi, 1992. Possibilistic Regression Analysis Based on Linear Programming. In: Kacprzyk, J., (Ed.), Fuzzy Regression Analysis. Omnitech Press, Heidelberg, pp: 47-60. Yen, K.K., S. Ghosray and G. Roig, 1999. A Linear Regression Model Using Triangular Fuzzy Number Coefficient. Fuzzy Set. Syst., 106: 167-177. Zimmermann, H.J., 1991. Fuzzy Sets Theory and its Applications. Kluwer Academic Press, Dordrecht. (8) If Li is not unique, choose that one corresponding to which π L ip,q ( Pj ) = C ) m ∑ π L ip,q ( Pj ) i =1 is the greatest i The optimal solution is L . CONCLUSION This study, it is hoped, may go a long way in exploring the possibility of using fuzzy technology to model real time overflow prediction. There are varieties of uncertainties in rainfall and overflow prediction, and it is difficult to treat these uncertainties by using traditional deterministic methods. In this study it has been demonstrated that impressionistic model has its potential usage in overflow prediction. The impressionistic model presented for overflow alarm system has furnished very promising results. This model is applied for five selected area of West Azerbaijan, Iran. Two local parameters were also considered. A critical discussion on the results of proposed model has been conducted. It provides a new way that helps disaster management studies to cope with fatal and rapid changes in highly sensitive parameters. REFERENCES Abel, M. and A. Sostak, 2007. A fuzzy soft flood alarm. Comp. Stat. Data Anal., 42: 47-72. 201