Industrial Inter-Dependency for Sustainable Growth Hasith Karunasekera & Dr. Shamil Appathurai Mobitel (Pvt) Ltd Sri Lanka ICT Growth proportional to Data Growth/Internet penetration Between 2010 and 2011 Almost all countries increased their IDI values but.. … developed countries have twice the IDI value of the developing ones Source: ITU ICT Growth and Data Consumption Global numbers of individuals using the Internet, total and per 100 inhabitants 3,000 80 70 60 1,500 50 40 1,000 30 20 500 Per 100 inhabitants 2,000 Individuals using the Internet per 100 inhabitants 90 millions 2,500 Individuals using the Internet (in millions) 100 10 0 2013* 2012* 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 0 Source: ITU World Telecommunication /ICT Indicators database Global Data consumption is growing exponentially: - Is this trend different in Sri Lanka? Sri Lanka’s Data demand Thousands Internet Subscriptions - Sri Lanka 1,000 900 800 Fixed Mobile 2006 2007 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2005 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: TRCSL Similar trend for demand in Data BUT…. Significant contribution from Mobile Broadband Energy Consumption – Access Technologies Source: IEEE Communications Magazine • June 2011 Sri Lanka – Energy Balance Units: Peta Joules Energy Balance, 2011 Source: Sri Lanka Sustainable Energy Authority Sri Lanka’s power consumption based on ICT (Telco) Infrastructure UMTS network Access Rate per user ~ 1 Mbps UMTS power per user ~ 4W Mobile Data Subscriber ~ 1 Million Power consumption of Mobile Data users ~ 4 MW ADSL network Access Rate per user ~ 4 Mbps DSL power per user ~ 8W Fixed line Data subscribers ~ 500k Power consumption of Mobile users ~ 4 MW Estimated Energy Requirement for Data consumption in Sri Lanka (2013) ~ 8 MW Sri Lanka Electricity – Demand Growth in System Peak Demand Source: Sri Lanka Sustainable Energy Authority Catering for the peak demand is costly Energy is wasted in non peak hours Sri Lanka ICT Consumption - Demand Data Consumption Peak Demand Source: Mobitel Data Catering for the peak demand is costly Capacity is wasted in non peak hours Infrastructure solutions for Optimal Energy Utilisation Spectrum Re-arrangement for maximum coverage with minimal basestation sites Avoid network duplication through RAN Sharing among operators Provide energy to grid when power generated during off-peak through NetMetering Solutions for Peak Demand Catering Storage & Re-use Pumped Storage Hydro Electricity Battery Cache Smart Grid – Time Shift Sri Lanka Electricity - Supply Grid Installed Capacity by Type Capacities from Major hydro power plants have become constant The increasing demand will be supplied in the future through thermal power plants NRE sources have also entered the play. Source: Sri Lanka Sustainable Energy Authority Source: Sri Lanka Sustainable Energy Authority Sustainable Business = Sustainable Energy Costs Typical Operating Expenses 30 16 Price per unit - GP-1 with Fuel Adjustment (LKR) 25 14 Crude Oil Price per barrel (LKR) 12 20 10 15 8 6 10 4 5 2 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 0 2003 0 2002 Rs. Oil price vs. GP 1 unit price Rs. ‘000 Electricity prices & Fuel Prices Electricity prices have high correlation with world crude oil prices Higher proportion of thermal energy being powered through crude oil In Sri Lanka future electricity prices will be more correlated with coal prices Noracholai, Sampur Thermal Energy (SL) – Now & Future Power Plants in the National Grid Capacity in 2011 (MW) 843.5 300 1400 168 843.5 165 Power Plants in the National Grid Capacity in Future (MW) 165 215 215 Steam, Coal Diesel Engines Gas Turbines, Diesel Oil Combined Cycle, Naphtha and Diesel IPP (Independent Power Producer) 168 Steam, Coal Diesel Engines Gas Turbines, Diesel Oil Combined Cycle, Naphtha and Diesel IPP (Independent Power Producer) Higher portion of thermal power primarily through fuel oil. Sri Lanka identified coal as a low cost energy source Eg: Norocholai Sampur (500MW) (900MW), Risk of increase in pollution Annie Hazlehurst Joint MBA / MS Environment & Resources Candidate Stanford Graduate School of Business New Renewable Energy – Sri Lanka Sources of NRE Tidal Energy Solar Energy Geothermal Energy Wind Power Telco Challenges - for Wind and Solar Constraints on deployment of wind or solar system Site Location – in the solar and wind map Tower height Site Area – considerable area required for solar Hybrid solutions – to provide 24 hour continuous power supply Solar with Generator Wind with Generator Solar and Wind with Generator Re-use existing Infrastructure Eg: battery bank Note: Wind is more efficient than solar cells but much more scarce based on the location of the site. Power Cost Variance in Sri Lanka 3 Per Site Cost - Grid vs. Off-grid 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Grid Power Generator Power Electricity Powered • Directly impacted by Ceylon Electricity Board’s Strategy Generator (Diesel) Powered • Requirement for alternative renewable energy sources Cost-Benefit Analysis - Solar 6 Payback Period Years 5 4 3 2 1 Payback for US Supplier Payback for China Supplier 8 14 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 10 11 12 13 15 16 17 18 19 20 Solar System (kW) Solar System (kW) Area Required (m2) 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 24 33 39 49 56 62 66 Conclusion Data consumption will increase energy consumption ICT solutions and Infrastructure design can be optimised through active collaboration Renewable Energy is cost-beneficial and MUST supplement grid power Thank you ! Don’t commute; Communicate! Dr. Arthur C. Clarke Think Smart, Use Less and Use Better