PRESENTATION FORMAT Brief overview of the profile of Barbados Overview of macro-economy (key indicators) Very brief overview of Barbados’ cultural profile Main focus is “The Barbados Competitiveness Programme” (very broad, considered by many to be quite ambitious)!! Questions may be asked during and/or after presentation BARBADOS COUNTRY REPORT Barbados COUNTRY PROFILE Capital: Location: Climate: Literacy : Population: Size (Land Area): Currency: Bridgetown 13.10N 59.32W Tropical (16-31 Celsius) 97% 275,000 166 sq miles BDS (1 us=1.98Bds) Barbados Structural Characteristics Small Open Economy Low diversification – narrow domestic production base i.e. production is concentrated on few goods and services Susceptible to natural disaster and external shocks Small market size Limited natural resources and heavy dependence on imports (final and intermediate goods) Services Oriented. Tourism is the major foreign exchange earner. Financial and Business Services also important High Debt/GDP ratio INTERNAL ENVIRONMENT WEAKNESSES STRENGTHS •Weak Business Facilitation •Political stability •Loss of competitiveness •Long tradition of economic & social policy & planning •Weak entrepreneurial culture •Paucity of R&D & innovation •Market imperfections: commercial structure considered to be oligarchic •Highly trained workforce •Competitive investment incentive regime •Reliable infrastructure Macro-economic Fundamentals Real GDP Growth (%) Traded Sugar Non-Sugar Agriculture & Fishing Manufacturing Tourism Non-Traded Mining & Quarrying Electricity, Gas & Water Construction Wholesale & Retail Government Transportation, Storage & Communication Business & Other Services Inflation Unemployment 2002 0.7 (2.2) (10.0) 2003 2.0 2.7 (19.0) 2004 1.4 (8.3) (5.4) 2005 4.0 (0.8) 11.3 2006 5.7 8.1 (12.0) 2007 1.7 (7.3) 0.9 2008 0.3 (0.3) (6.9) 2009 2010 (4.1) 0.3 (4.3) (0.4) 1.2 (20.3) (0.6) 1.0 (2.7) 1.8 6.4 3.5 7.7 1.2 6.5 4.7 (1.7) 7.0 1.7 (15.6) 3.0 0.6 4.1 (3.8) (8.1) 2.2 (12.8) 5.1 9.6 1.8 2.8 6.1 5.6 6.9 2.1 (5.3) 5.6 8.0 (0.6) 14.0 5.3 3.5 (2.9) (0.7) 18.1 5.0 (3.1) 9.5 (0.4) 7.0 3.0 2.8 (1.2) (12.9) 4.5 (5.9) 1.3 0.1 6.5 3.0 2.9 3.6 (2.2) (12.2) 0.5 (3.4) 0.5 (4.1) (7.9) (37.3) (0.4) 0.7 (5.2) (18.2) (0.8) (4.7) 3.0 3.0 (2.9) (2.3) 0.2 10.3 2.9 4.5 1.6 11.0 5.1 5.1 1.4 9.8 4.9 5.0 6.1 9.1 5.9 6.0 7.3 8.7 6.1 6.0 4.0 7.4 3.0 2.2 8.1 8.1 (2.8) (2.9) 3.6 10.0 Annual Average 2011 0.8 (2.5) (7.9) 2012 0.1 (3.9) 4.4 (1.1) (4.4) 3.6 0.4 10.5 2.1 (9.6) 2.3 1.0 (5.6) (5.3) (0.2) 1.7 (13.6) (1.4) 10.4 0.0 3.0 (5.5) (4.9) (3.7) 1.2 (5.4) 0.9 (7.6) 1.7 1.9 (0.3) (2.5) (1.1) 2.1 (4.9) 1.9 (0.5) 2.6 2.7 0.3 1.0 5.8 10.8 0.6 1.2 9.5 11.2 1.8 3.0 4.5 11.6 2.3 2.6 4.7 9.8 1.2 (1.7) (5.8) Economic Challenges Continued weak economic growth (GDP contracted by 0.4 percent in Q1 2013). 6.0% decline in tourism arrivals (end of 2012) due to weak external markets, mainly the US and UK ( Visitor arrivals were down 9.0 percent in Q1.2013 which led to a 2.0 percent decline in tourism output to date) While inflationary pressure has abated (inflation rate fell from 9.5% in 2011 to 4.5% in 2012), volatile food prices remains a concern during 2013 While the unemployment rate at the end of 2012 rose slightly to 11.6%, compared with 11.2% end of 2011, it still remains uncomfortably high Foreign reserves levels remains relatively stable at about 19 weeks of imports, expectations are that this could fall slightly in 2013 Increase in the fiscal deficit to 7.3% of GDP due to a 5.7% contraction in current revenues, while total expenditures rose by 3.7% VAT receipts fell by 7.o for fiscal year 2012/13 due to slow down in economic activity Barbados Economic Performance 2002-2012 Pre-crisis Growth Analysis: Prior to 2008, real gross domestic product (GDP) grew by an annual average rate of 2.6 percent, reaching as high as 4.0 percent and 5.7 percent in 2004 and 2005, respectively. Post crisis Growth Analysis: Since the onset of the global economic downturn in 2008, GDP contracted below pre-crisis levels (turned negative in 2009 but regained some momentum around 2010 and has since then has remained virtually flat; albeit below 1.0%) Comparative Regional GDP Growth Where are we Now? Basic Requirements •Institutions •Infrastructure •Macroeconomic environment •Health and primary education Factor Driven Economies Stage 1 Efficiency Driven Innovation and Sophistication Factors •Business sophistication •Innovation Efficiency Factors •Higher education and training •Goods market efficiency •Labour market efficiency •Financial market development •Technological readiness •Market size Economies Stage 2 Innovation Driven Economies Stage 3 Problematic Factors for Doing Business in Barbados Crime and theft 2% Inadequate supply of Tax regulations infrastructure 3% 4% Government instability/ coups Policy instability 1% 1% Inadequately educated workforce Corruption 2% Poor public health 1% 0% Foreign currency regulations 5% Inefficient Government Bureaucracy 18% Restrictive labour regulations 5% Access to financing 15% Inflation 9% Tax rates 10% Insufficient capacity to innovate 10% Poor work ethic in national labour force 15% The Barbados Competitiveness Program (BCP) Objectives: To increase the competitiveness of Barbados by supporting initiatives to: (i) rationalise the incentive system and regulations to ensure a coherent framework to support business development (ii) rationalise the institutional architecture of business development services and introduce a framework for clustering initiatives Objective Cont’d (iii) improve logistics and trade facilitation, lower the cost of the movement of goods and people, and enhance access to infrastructure through Public Private Partnerships (PPPs), among other modalities (iv) strengthen public-private dialogue to develop and implement a medium- term competitiveness strategy Programme Components (i) ensuring a coherent framework to support business development incentives and regulations (ii) ensuring a coherent BDS architecture for business development (iii) improving trade logistics and trade facilitation and enhancing access to infrastructure (iv) strengthening public-private dialogue on competitiveness I. Ensuring a Coherent Framework to Support Business Development: Incentives and Regulations (A) Taxes and Incentives a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model a Tax Expenditure Budget (B) Business Climate Reform the approval process for domestic and international investments- Physical Investment Permits the expansion of access to credit through the rationalisation of government-sponsored development funds (ii) Ensuring a Coherent Business Development Services (BDS) Architecture for Business Development (A) Improving BDS and Innovation Evaluation of existing institutions Institutional strengthening of Oversight Unit Development of a Strategic Plan, new BDS instruments and an improved monitoring and evaluation system Institutional strengthening of new BDS agencies inclusive of staff training (B) Pilot Cluster Programme Design of the pilot cluster implementation unit and training of staff Design and setup of a Monitoring and Evaluation System Cluster selection Development of a strategic plan and the implementation of cluster support activities. (iii) Improving Trade Logistics and Trade Facilitation and Enhancing Access to Infrastructure Trade Logistics and Trade Facilitation Design of a Central Cargo Examination Facility (CEEF); Training Visit to a regional CCEF Establishment of an Electronic Single Window (ESW) Update of the Port’s Management Information System Update of Customs Management Information System Implementation of a document Management System and IT upgrades for all agencies related to the ESW; and Training of the public and private sector to use the ESW (iii) Improving Trade Logistics and Trade Facilitation and Enhancing Access to Infrastructure - Cont Transportation Sector Improvements Overall transport sector study will include the development of a transport sector strategy document that will assist in establishing strategies and priorities over the medium to long term Road infrastructure analysis An analysis of the medium- to long-term plan will be carried out with respect to the major highways, and secondary, feeder and link roads, considering the possibilities of extending, widening, upgrading and improving them (iii) Improving trade logistics and trade facilitation and enhancing access to infrastructure -Cont Enhanced Access to Infrastructure through Public-Private Partnerships The adoption of a Public-Private Partnership (PPP) procurement methodology Evaluation of potential PPP projects and submission of a recommendation of the PPP project candidates to the Cabinet Committee on Infrastructure Provision of “hands on training” to the public stakeholders involved in the PPP project cycle; and Design of a robust monitoring and evaluation system (iv) Strengthen public-private dialogue to develop and implement a medium-term competitiveness strategy (A) Design and strengthening of the Commission on Competitiveness and establishment of its Technical Unit Redesign of the Commission on Competitiveness; and The establishment of the Commission’s Technical Unit (B) The development of a National Competitiveness Strategy and Action Plan. Provide support to the services inputs required for developing an integral/systematic Medium Term National Competitiveness Strategy (NCS) Institutional Context Social Partnership Agreement Barbados National Standards Institution (BNSI) Financial Services Commission (FSC) Fair Trading Commission (FTC) Port Expansion THANK YOU!