Phase 4, July 2012 A report by London Voluntary Service Council (LVSC) London Voluntary Service Council 2nd Floor 200a Pentonville Road London N1 9JP www.lvsc.org.uk info@lvsc.org.uk 020 7832 5830 Registered charity number 276886 Company registration number 1395546 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 Headline findings The impact of the policy climate Context: London and Londoners Innovation at work Over the years LVSC analysis: a summary Recommendations 3 3 4 4 5 5 7 1.7.1 1.7.2 1.7.3 1.7.4 ...for London‟s voluntary and community sector ...for LVSC and other infrastructure organisations ...for policymakers ...for funders 7 7 7 8 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 About the Big Squeeze Key findings from our 2009, 2010and 2011 surveys LVSC‟s 2011 Big Squeeze Campaign Key aims of the 2012 campaign Methods 9 9 10 10 10 2.5.1 2.5.2 The Big Squeeze survey Desk-based research 10 11 2.6 Our partners 11 3.1 Economic Policy: the impact in London 12 3.1.1 3.1.2 3.1.3 3.1.4 3.1.5 3.1.6 3.1.7 Poverty and financial inequality Unemployment Housing Legal aid Health, social care and health inequalities Education policy and reform Policing, crime and victim support 13 13 14 16 16 17 18 3.2 Other Government policy: the impact in London 18 3.2.1 3.2.2 3.2.3 Big Society Localism Open Public Services and the Work Programme 18 19 20 3.3 Cuts by the Department of Communities and Local Authorities In London 21 3.3.1 22 3.3.2 3.3.3 The role of the Mayor of London and Greater London Authority (GLA) in London‟s economic development Cuts to the London Borough Grants Scheme Cuts to local authority budgets in London 3.4 Cuts to the voluntary and community sector in London 26 3.4.1 3.4.2 Charity Commission registrations and removals in London Local authority cuts to London‟s voluntary and community sector 26 28 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 The economic and political climate Demand for services Organisational change Funding cuts Support needed Breakdown of respondents 30 38 45 51 58 65 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9 5.10 5.11 5.12 5.13 5.14 London‟s voluntary and community sector hit hard Advice services Children & young people‟s services Health & social care services Employment & skills service providers Specialist services for particular communities VCS infrastructure Crime and victim support Housing and homelessness Direct support to alleviate poverty Volunteering Preventative services Local and wider area VCS organisations Learning over the years 70 71 73 74 76 78 80 81 83 84 84 86 86 87 23 25 List of respondents Acknowledgements About LVSC Comparison of survey across the eight English core cities and London 2 Sixty-six per cent of organisations report an increase in demand for their services, and 60% report a decrease in funding, making it an unfortunate reality that London‟s voluntary and community sector are doing far more with much less. And they are doing so by adopting innovative and flexible approaches to providing services for their communities. The Big Squeeze survey is a snapshot of the current impact the economic and policy climate is having on the voluntary and community sector in London and the people that use their services. It suggests that Londoners are being negatively affected by recent local authority cuts, welfare reforms and unemployment. The Big Squeeze 2012 survey was open to London‟s voluntary and community sector organisations during May and June 2012 and was conducted in partnership with London Funders, LASA, Women‟s Resource Centre, Trust for London, City Bridge Trust, False Economy, NAVCA, Greater London Volunteering, London Community Resource Network, Stonewall Housing, London Civic Forum, ROTA, Children England, London Community Foundation and Ethical Property Foundation. This year, the fourth year we conducted the survey, 252 organisations responded. 90% of organisations continue to change the way they work in order to adapt to changes and better meet users‟ needs 60% reported a reduction in their overall funding in 2012-13 with a median decrease of 21-40% 41% closed services over the year 29% expect to close services in 2012-13 66% have seen an increase in demand for their services in the last year, particularly for advice services 71% expect demand to increase next year 50% think they will not be able to meet this increase 54% used their free reserves to cover running costs in 2011-12 At the end of 2011-12, only 34% reported more than three months expenditure in free reserves 8% had no free reserves in 2011-12 85% think that cuts to local authority budgets had a particularly negative impact on their communities 83% said that their users had been negatively affected by loss of services that meet their needs, particularly advice services 63% said that welfare reforms had disadvantaged the communities with which they work 3 56% said their users had been negatively affected by worklessness and 48% said their users‟ health was worse 45% think that no Government policy had a positive impact on the communities with which they work 20%, 22% and 38%, respectively, report Localism, Big Society and more commissioning of public services from the independent sector had a negative impact on their communities Have the highest poverty rates in England More than half live in households with a weekly income below the minimum needed for an acceptable standard of living 82,000 to 133,000 households may be unable to afford their homes following the welfare reforms By 2016, only 36% of housing will be affordable to those receiving housing benefit, compared to 75% pre-reform The unemployment rate is the highest of any region and has increased from 6.7% in the second quarter of 2008 to 10.1% in the first quarter of 2012 Young people (under 25) have been disproportionately affected by unemployment with more than 20% of young people in deprived areas of London not in employment, education or training (NEET), compared to 16.2% nationally Voluntary and community sector employment fell by 9% nationally, with 60% of those losing their jobs being based in London This year saw an increase in long-term change to allow London‟s voluntary and community sector to more effectively meet the needs of service users. Rather than the more short-term, unsustainable changes mentioned in previous years‟ surveys such as staff working unpaid, this year‟s survey saw an increase in strategic changes and development of new business models to address the difficult economic climate. Actions taken to meet users‟ needs Last year‟s survey Improve fundraising or diversify income Collaboration or partnership within sector Making staff redundant Taking on more volunteers Merger with another organisation Collaboration with private sector Better use of technology Redesign services to meet needs Develop new business model Improve work with funder/commissioner 15% 51% 54% 56% 0% 1% 9% 16% 8% 2% This year‟s survey 60% 95% 39% 52% 11% 23% 36% 39% 50% 61% 4 This year there was a more optimistic response to the questions asked in each of the four years‟ surveys. This suggests that London‟s voluntary and community sector organisations are responding more effectively to economic challenges, although they still face large reductions in resources. 2009 2010 2011 2012 Has the economic and/or policy climate affected the communities you work with over the last year? Yes 95% Yes 97% Yes 97% Yes 89% Has demand for your services increased this year as a direct result of the economic or policy climate? Yes 71% Yes 68% Yes 81% Yes 66% Are you confident that you will be able to meet any increases in demand for your services in the coming year? No 80% No 75% No 77% No 50% Is your organisation changing the way it works to cope with any changes this year? Yes 78% Yes 93% Yes 94% Yes 90% What do you expect to happen to your funding from the public sector in the next year? Not asked Decrease Decrease Decrease 53% 77% 53% What do you expect to happen to your funding from trust funders in the next year? Not asked Decrease Decrease Decrease 38% 28% 26% LVSC recorded over 200 London voluntary and community sector organisations closing completely in 2011-12, almost certainly an underestimate, when compared with the loss of 41,000 London sector staff reported by the national Labour Force Survey Our new analysis of Charity Commission figures shows that in London folllowing the UK 2008-9 recession, in 2009-10 new charity registrations tailed off, the number of charities removed in a year almost doubled and net withinyear gains in charities registered was at its lowest for that year than any between 2005 and 2012 Data from False Economy Freedom of Information requests responded to by 18 London boroughs found an overall cut of £87million in London local authority funding for the VCS in 201011 (extrapolation suggests a capital-wide figure of £160million in local authority cuts to the London VCS in 2010 -11). Particularly affected were children & young people‟s services (in terms of the amount of funding cut) and economic, including employment and skills services (in terms of the proportion of funding cut) Cuts to London Councils funding in 2011-12 accounted for a loss of over £12million in income to London‟s voluntary and community sector in 2011-12. Particularly affected in terms of communities were children & young people and 5 Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic communities; in terms of service provision, infrastructure, arts & culture and advice Research in LVSC‟s last Big Squeeze report suggested that in 2011-12, only 55% of the money previously contributed to the London Councils funding by local authorities was transferred to local voluntary and community sector organisations, and this contribution is likely to be reduced further in 2012-13 as no local authorities have signed commitments to ring-fence those reclaimed funds for the local sector The Big Squeeze 2012 survey provided clear evidence of an increase in demand for advice services in 2011-12 to address the immediate impacts of unemployment, welfare reform and/or increasing poverty. It also suggests an increase in demand for support to address the longer-term problems these issues produce, such as support around employment & skills, health, housing & homelessness issues and direct support to alleviate poverty through individual grants and food parcels The survey suggested that in 2011-12 there were again disproportionate levels of closure for preventative services. Children & young people, employment & skills and VCS infrastructure services, as well as specialist services that meet the needs of particular communities were most affected. Disproportionate closures of health & care services were again expected in 2012-13 (as also reported in the 2010-11 survey) LVSC‟s analysis suggests that voluntary and community sector organisations working within a borough or neighbourhood may be being more severely affected than those working over a wider geographical area. Local organisations reported increasing competition for local contracts from national organisations and the private sector and increasing barriers that reduced their ability to bid for contracts Increases in positive survey responses between 2009 and 2012 suggest that the VCS in London is adapting successfully to the hard economic climate to continue to meet its users‟ needs through more partnership working and innovative changes in developing different sources of funding and business and service delivery models. This indicates that the uncertainty brought about by the announcement of major public funding cuts in 2010 may be subsiding, or that such cuts have plateaued However, the survey‟s evidence of continuing cuts to voluntary and community sector funding (estimated at 22% over 2011-12 for the London survey respondents), continuing closure of this sectors‟ services and disproportionate impacts on specific services suggest that the sector in the capital is becoming reduced in number and less diverse. Our respondents suggest that they are already seeing increases in longer-term social problems such as inequality, declining social cohesion, worsening health and well-being and more long-term poverty and unemployment amongst their service users At a time of increasing public sector spending cuts, this survey and other research suggests that London is storing up long-term social problems which VCS services are valiantly trying, but increasingly lacking in resources, to address. This situation can only cost the capital more in the long term 6 1.7.1 ...for London‟s voluntary and community sector Use needs assessments, evaluation and impact measurement to review and develop ways of effectively meeting the needs of the communities you work with: learn from the work of others that has already produced successful results Review new technologies to see if they can increase your impact or efficiency Engage with policymakers and funders, through accountable networks, to tell them of the barriers their policymaking and funding procedures present to your organisation, suggest solutions and to provide them with evidence of your service users‟ needs Consider partnership, collaboration and merger to ensure that you work with other VCS organisations to most effectively meet your users‟ needs 1.7.2 ...for LVSC and other infrastructure organisations Provide support to help VCS organisations develop accountable networks that can inform policymaking and funding processes and ensure that this work is also informed by the needs of policymakers and funders, to improve their involvement Support VCS organisations in developing strong evidence of their users‟ needs and their own impacts, as well as barriers presented by commissioning processes Ensure more effective engagement between neighbourhood, local, regional and national VCS organisations, including specialist and equalities groups, to develop a collaborative „voice‟ for the VCS to work on issues that are panLondon Develop more varied and innovative ways to ensure a less well-resourced sector, in particular, smaller and frontline VCS organisations, can effectively engage with you and access your support 1.7.3 ...for policymakers Develop joint training to raise awareness and understanding across different sectors More effectively engage the VCS in equality and policy impact assessments and use these more regularly to monitor the impact of policies and mitigate against negative impacts To preserve a diversity of VCS provision and service user choice, consider the impacts of policies on different types of VCS organisations, for example, small and specialist organisations, in contrast to large nationals or social enterprises, rather than viewing the sector as a homogenous whole Invest in development of simple ways to measure social and environmental impacts and use such evidence provided by VCS organisations to inform decision-making. 7 1.7.4 ...for funders Work more in partnership with VCS organisations to ensure your operational practice maintains the strengths and diversity of the VCS, reduces barriers to their involvement and advocates and publicises evidence of the positive impacts of the work you fund Support VCS organisations in campaigning for policy change that provides a cost-effective solution to systemic failures which negatively affect many individual service users, and so ensure a more cost-effective solution Support preventative work, particularly in promoting equality and increasing social cohesion, by working with policymakers and the voluntary and community sector to support equality analysis and policy impact assessment Consider the impact funding practices have on ensuring the needs of the most disadvantaged communities are met through the provision of specialist and/or targeted VCS services, and be flexible enough to address any negative impacts on such services and their service users as soon as they become apparent 8 LVSC produced its first “The Big Squeeze - We‟re in it Together”1 report in February 2009. Working with partners, we collected and analysed evidence from across London‟s voluntary and community sector (VCS) through an online survey and the use of case studies. The report aimed to inform debate on the role of our diverse sector in helping Londoners through the recession. A full report was published in July 2009. The process was repeated in April 20102 and in May 20113. With this year‟s fourth report, the Big Squeeze 2012 campaign provides a year-by-year “snap shot” of the impact of the recession and subsequent public spending cuts on Londoners and the VCS organisations working for them. The trends predicted in the 2009, 2010 and 2011 reports have since been confirmed by other more detailed research, suggesting that the negative impacts of economic decline and public sector spending cuts were becoming worse. This was particularly marked for those Londoners already suffering the most disadvantage. This year, we revisited the original survey questions in order to provide a comparison across the years, as well as adding additional questions to determine the impact of new government policies and gain greater insight into the impacts identified in previous years. The additional questions also aimed to help us more easily compare our results with surveys conducted in other regions and cities. In 2011-12, LVSC worked with the Councils for Voluntary Service (CVS) in each of the eight English Core Cities4 to collate and compare the Big Squeeze survey results with findings from other similar surveys of the VCS in our major cities (Appendix 4). It was clear from the information collated from each city that there had been severe cuts to services everywhere alongside rising demand which could not be met despite some valiant efforts. Some information had been collected about the differential effects on different groups; the group most often highlighted as being most badly affected was children and young people, but services to older people, disabled people and people from Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic (BAME) groups had also been lost. Demand for advice on housing and debt had risen; pressure on services supporting people with mental health, alcohol and substance abuse problems was rising; homelessness was increasing; and demand for charity such as food parcels had escalated. Findings across the cities were remarkably similar, suggesting that policies are impacting the most disadvantaged communities in urban areas across England, and lending further credence to the individual survey results. However, the higher housing and other living costs in London suggest that poverty, homelessness, overcrowding and poor quality housing are, and will be, an even greater problem in the capital than in the other major English cities. Each of the CVS, including LVSC, will continue to work with their own city to maintain networks, provide collaborative leadership and support and contribute 9 knowledge and ideas about how best to manage cuts and maintain essential services. LVSC intends to compare this year‟s Big Squeeze survey results with the other English Core Cities, and with similar surveys from the other English region‟s VCS networks5 in a later report. An internal evaluation of LVSC‟s policy team work indicated that last year‟s campaign produced the following evidenced impacts: Informed three London Funders events supporting funders in the capital in their work to address disproportionate cuts to advice, children and young people‟s and infrastructure support services as identified in the report Policymakers and funders informed us it had increased their understanding of the impact of the cuts on the VCS and its service users in London VCS organisations have used the evidence provided to campaign and lobby and to provide evidence of need in funding applications London Assembly members used its evidence to inform their questions on the VCS to the Mayor of London In Kensington and Chelsea, it was suggested that evidence from the Big Squeeze report may have influenced the council to take more seriously the impact of spending cuts on the VCS, and this may have been linked to their decision to make cuts of only six per cent to their VCS funding Contributed to a national policy document, collated through Core Cities, to show national policymakers and funders the different effects of public spending cuts in England‟s major cities Informed the development and implementation of the Digital Switchover programme in London To develop an evidence base and raise awareness of the impact the economic climate and public spending cuts, from the beginning of the 2008 UK recession to the present day, are having on Londoners and the VCS organisations that serve them To make recommendations to reduce the negative impacts on the most disadvantaged Londoners To offer ideas and insights to organisations and policymakers about how to reduce the impact of cuts on their users in future years 2.5.1 The Big Squeeze survey The survey was developed using Smart Survey‟s internet-based software and ran from 7 May to 18 June 2012, following a week-long test period. The link to the electronic survey was circulated through LVSC‟s members and networks, posted on numerous websites and sent out through e-bulletins and Twitter feeds. Telephone reminders and support were used to increase survey responses from the 120 received in 2011. 10 There were 252 respondents to the 2012 survey from at least 213 different organisations. Twenty-nine organisations answered anonymously and 10 organisations provided information about two different projects or services that they ran. Two responses were from local authority workers who worked with the VCS in their borough. Their responses were included as they provided an analysis of the impacts on the VCS and the people they worked with in their local area. Exclusion of these two respondents did not significantly alter the overall results or findings. Data from the survey was adjusted as some respondents had answered „other‟ to a question, but their response could actually be categorised within one of the tick box answers provided. Responses were also compared by the geographical area covered by the organisation. „Wider area organisations‟ were classified as those operating across several London boroughs, pan-London or nationally and „local organisations‟ as those operating in a single borough or neighbourhood. Finally, an attempt was made to weight responses according to the proportion of respondents providing a particular service. This was done to ensure that high proportions of respondents mentioning a specific sub-sector or community group were not skewing the analysis. 2.5.2 Desk-based research Research, case studies and surveys conducted by others were used to provide additional local, regional and national context and further evidence to support and explain the survey findings. LVSC‟s partners in the 2012 Big Squeeze campaign were: Lasa, London Funders, London Civic Forum, Women‟s Resource Centre, Greater London Volunteering, Volunteer Centre Kensington and Chelsea, Stonewall Housing, London Community Resource Network, Children England, ROTA, HEAR, City Bridge Trust, Trust for London, Ethical Property Foundation, NAVCA and False Economy. 11 The current global economic crisis began with the banking crisis late in 2007. By September 2008, the UK had moved into a recession lasting until late 2009. The first Big Squeeze survey was conducted in response. The country finally emerged from recession in the last three months of 2009, but economic growth remained weak and recession returned in early 2012. This fourth Big Squeeze survey therefore covers a period when the economy has entered a „double dip‟ recession, at a time when the current government is aiming to reduce the country‟s deficit through a programme of public spending cuts and there is further financial uncertainty in Europe. Projections predict a slow and uncertain economic recovery6. Since May 2010, the coalition government has prioritised delivering a reduction in public sector net debt, resulting from a rescue of the national banking sector. The UK government‟s austerity programme to reduce the country‟s deficit includes spending cuts in areas such as welfare, central government and local authority budgets and public sector pay. The £18billion savings made by a series of welfare reforms will have the greatest impact on the most deprived as they rely most heavily on benefits7 and are likely to have a greater impact in London, with its higher housing and living costs8. In his March 2012 budget, the Chancellor of the Exchequer suggested that a further £10billion of welfare savings may need to be made by 20169. Despite this policy, the weak economic climate has led the Office for Budget Responsibility to predict that public sector net debt will rise from 67% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) this year to a peak of 76% in 2014 -15, falling thereafter. It forecasts that unemployment will continue to grow and hit a high of 8.7% nationally and living standards will continue falling until 2014. The overall rise in unemployment is expected to have a disproportionately negative impact in London, which has the highest unemployment rates in England10, as will any fall in household income adjusted for inflation in a city with the highest costs in the UK11. One risk to the public finances is the government‟s failure to deliver its planned fiscal consolidation. By the end of 2011–12, 73% of the planned tax increases had been implemented. The spending cuts, however, are largely still to come – only 12% of the planned total cuts to public service spending, and just 6% of the cuts in current public service spending, had been implemented by the end of 2011-1212. Despite this difficult economic climate, the government has also introduced wideranging policy reforms in almost every department. 12 3.1.1 Poverty and financial inequality The recent economic crisis has caused a rise in unemployment, reductions in public spending and higher levels of inflation than income growth. These are likely to lead to a long-term fall in spending power, wealth and access to public services for many London households, even once the economy recovers13. Income inequalities are far wider in the capital than in the rest of the country. The poorest 50% of Londoners have less than 5% of financial or property wealth. The richest 10% have 40% of income wealth, 45% of property wealth and 65% of financial wealth and these inequalities are growing14. London has the highest rates of child (39%), working-age (25%) and pensioner (23%) poverty in England15. High housing costs are a critical factor in explaining London‟s high poverty rates. Taking housing costs into account, the working-age poverty rate in London is 28%, compared to 21% in the rest of England, and the gap has grown in the last decade16. However, poverty is not restricted to the unemployed: just over half of children and working-age adults in poverty in London live in working families17. The London Living Wage calculates that Londoners need an hourly wage 22% higher than those in the rest of England in order to remain above the poverty threshold18. More than half of Londoners live in households with a weekly income below the minimum calculated to provide an acceptable standard of living19. Debt is also a problem for many Londoners. Thirteen per cent of Londoners were in arrears with their debts as compared to the national average of 10% in 2010. In London, since 2008, there has also been a 75% increase in average debt levels among 17-24 year olds from £3,500 to over £5,50020. 3.1.2 Unemployment The unemployment rate in London increased from 6.1% in the third quarter of 2007 to 10.1% in the first quarter of 201221. London has seen a bigger increase in unemployment than the rest of the country since 2009. The unemployment rate is highest in Inner East and South London, yet the increases during 2007-10 have been highest in East and Outer London22. A third of London‟s unemployed population is under 2523. In the second quarter of 2011, 16.2% of England‟s 16-24 year olds were not in education, employment or training (NEET), up from 13.6% in the first quarter of 2008. However, there is considerable variation in youth unemployment across London, and the more deprived areas have a higher proportion of NEETS. Over 20% of 16-24 year olds in North-East London are NEET, and 18-20% in East London24. These figures are particularly concerning because of the high proportion of young people in London and because those who are NEET have worse long-term employment prospects and lower wages in any future employment after leaving school25. Despite, on average, being better qualified than other young people in the rest of England, young Londoners are more likely to be unemployed26. The gap in employment levels in London is higher for lone parents27, working age females, some ethnic and minority groups28, and disabled people in inner London29, 13 compared with the gap nationally. 24.9% of working age adults are economically inactive in the capital compared with 23% nationally30. The main aim of recent government reforms to the benefit system is to provide an incentive for people to work by ensuring that they are better off in employment than on benefits. However, because of higher costs, including housing, childcare and transport31, London households have lower gains, and therefore weaker incentives, than the rest of England to move from unemployment into low paid work. The government has also introduced sanctions and conditionality measures intended to encourage more benefit claimants into work. These include reducing benefit payments to those who cannot show they are actively seeking work and moving lone parents with a child over five onto Job Seekers‟ Allowance (JSA) or Employment and Support Allowance (ESA) where payment is conditional on looking for employment32. However, strengthening financial incentives to work and introducing sanctions for those who do not actively seek work, are likely to have little effect if there are insufficient jobs. The average ratio of JSA claimants to JobCentre Plus vacancies in London was 9:1 in July 2011, compared to 6:1 nationally. Some of the highest ratios in the country were reported in the most deprived London boroughs, including Haringey (29:1), Waltham Forest (25), Hackney (22) and Lewisham (21)33. This suggests there are currently insufficient jobs in London for the number of people searching for work, and this problem is more acute than in areas of deprivation. 3.1.3 Housing In London, there is a huge demand for, and shortage of, housing. The Institute of Public Policy Research predicts that London will have a shortfall of 325,000 houses by 202534. The cost of housing and rents in London has also continued to rise, even during the economic difficulties (unlike other areas of England) and remains the highest of any region. Overall, average house purchase prices are 121% higher in London than nationally, with median social rents 17% and private rents 36% higher35. There is also a greater proportion of people living in the private rented sector in the capital compared to the country as a whole, and these people are more vulnerable to losing their home or living in poor conditions because of their lack of legal rights to a secure tenancy or to make improvements36. Overcrowding is also a problem for Londoners. Nearly 11% of London‟s population live in overcrowded housing, which is more than 800,000 people37. The number of children in London living in overcrowded accommodation increased by 18% between 2008 and 2011, to 24%38. Homelessness is another issue that particularly affects London. The capital now accounts for 75% of all households in temporary accommodation in England. The number of people accepted as homeless by local authorities in London had been falling, but began increasing at the end of 201039. Between 2010 and 2011, it rose significantly, by 27%40. In 2011-12, 5,678 people were seen sleeping rough on London's streets: a 43% increase on 2010 -1141. As part of the government‟s welfare reforms from 2011, the maximum Local Housing Allowance (LHA), which is used to calculate housing benefit payments, was reduced from the 50th to the 30th percentile of local rents. Further caps were introduced for the 14 maximum rents paid. In addition, from 2013, maximum LHA rates will be increased by the usually lower Consumer Price Index inflation rate rather than by reference to actual market rents which is likely, over time, to greatly increase the shortfall between housing benefit payments and actual rent prices42. The Welfare Reform Act 2012 also legislated for an overall benefit cap under a new „Universal Credit‟ benefit system (the government‟s overarching welfare reform package). This is essentially a further limit on housing benefit, particularly in London, as the likelihood of breaching the cap is heavily dependent on housing costs. Cumulatively, the changes will reduce the amount that households on benefits receive to cover their housing costs. There has been much concern that these changes will increase the likelihood of households going into rent arrears, becoming more overcrowded, being made homeless or being forced to move to a different neighbourhood, possibly away from jobs, schools and social networks. Setting the maximum LHA at 30%, rather than 50%, of local rents will affect the whole country proportionally. However, the LHA and Universal Credit caps are the same across the whole country, despite widely different rental costs. The caps will therefore disproportionately affect London, making it likely that those on benefits will be prevented from living in some areas of the capital43. Estimates of the impact of these reforms have predicted that up to 133,000 workless families in London will be unable to afford their homes44: many more than in other regions of the country. Just 51% of London neighbourhoods are expected to be affordable to housing benefit recipients in 2012, compared to 75% pre-reform, and this will be reduced further to only 36% by 201645 . . Other government welfare reform policies linked to housing are likely to cause disproportionate harm to certain groups of people in London. The increase in deductions from housing benefit for „non-dependent‟ household members introduced in April 2012 may force many „non-dependents‟ to move from their family home or social networks. The introduction of the shared room rate for people aged 25-35 years, previously only applicable to under-25s, may have particularly harmful implications for vulnerable single people with no option but to move into shared accommodation. Most of these changes only currently affect private tenants, because of their higher rental costs. However, social renters will not be exempt from the changes: the increase in non-dependent deductions from housing benefit payments and another reform to reduce housing benefit for working-age recipients living in under-occupied social housing may also result in these households going into rent arrears or moving home46. It is likely that the housing situation in London and the disproportionate impacts of housing benefit caps in the capital will worsen as the London property market continues to boom, increasing rents yet further. This is the result of a growing population, insufficient housing construction to meet demand in the capital and increasing overseas investment in London property as a result of its potential investment returns and the UK‟s „favourable‟ tax rules47. 15 3.1.4 Legal aid The Legal Aid, Sentencing and Punishment of Offenders Act achieved Royal Assent in May 2012. Part of the Act aims to reduce the annual £2.1 billion legal aid bill by “focussing legal aid on cases where legal help is most needed, where people‟s life or liberty is at stake or they are at risk of serious physical harm, face immediate loss of their home or their children may be taken into care”48. The cuts, coming into force next year, will mainly affect legal aid for social welfare law by removing support for most cases involving housing, welfare, medical negligence, employment, debt and immigration. It will take time to assess the impact of the Act. Some lawyers are likely to challenge the availability of legal aid for specific cases, and others may decide to take on cases on the less attractive no-win-no-fee terms the Act introduced. However, many claims may simply no longer be viable to bring to court, reducing access to justice. Law centres and Citizens Advice Bureaux will lose one of their main sources of funding as a result of the legal aid cuts and may increasingly have to charge clients for the advice they provide. The Government has announced a £20 million per year fund for the advice sector for 2013-15 to compensate for expected losses to legal aid funding (although the sector has estimated such losses to be £50 million per year)49. London has some of the greatest need for advice services due to problems of poverty, but will be the greatest loser of all regions from the cuts to civil legal aid50. 3.1.5 Health, social care and health inequalities The Health and Social Care Act 201251 set into legislation the largest structural reform of the NHS in its history52. Primary Care Trusts and Strategic Health Authorities are to be abolished by April 2013 and new Clinical Commissioning Groups53 led by GPs and other clinical staff will commission the majority of health services. The Act allows many more health services to be commissioned from the independent sector, with Monitor and the Care Quality Commission regulating providers, while Monitor will simultaneously promote integration of services while ensuring there are no „anti-competitive‟ practices. In another major change, responsibility for public health at the local level will switch to local authorities who will also co-ordinate local Health and Well Being Boards, as well as commission HealthWatch, the successor to the patient and public involvement networks previously known as Local Involvement Networks (LINks). There will also be incentive payments to local authorities to reduce health inequalities in their area. The impact of such major structural change at a time when the NHS, although one of the few government departments not subject to public spending cuts, has committed to large efficiency savings, have led many commentators to predict a period of uncertainty and reduced productivity for the NHS54. To add to those concerns, the government has not published its Transition risk register for implementing the Act‟s proposals, despite a Freedom of Information request55. In London, implementation of the Act is complicated further by the establishment of a new London-wide Health 16 Improvement Board chaired by the Mayor of London, who has a general duty to improve the health of Londoners and a statutory duty to reduce health inequalities in the capital56. The London Marmot Review Team has recently reviewed health inequalities in London in light of the present economic and policy climate57. Their report concluded that within London, there are significant variations in physical and mental health outcomes between and within London boroughs relating closely to socio-economic status. They conclude that these health inequalities are mostly avoidable and unjust, and their research also suggests that the number of Londoners suffering from both poor physical and mental health is likely to increase as a result of the poor economy and increased unemployment. Inequalities are also likely to widen. Those Londoners with low socioeconomic status are more likely to lose their jobs and less likely to have the material or psychosocial resources to deal effectively with that or other negative financial effects. This means that the poorest and most vulnerable will be susceptible to worsening physical and mental health issues. 3.1.6 Education policy and reform The coalition government has pledged to prioritise children and young people and to prevent a rise in child poverty. Budgets for schools have been ring fenced, yet cuts across local authorities and other organisations will negatively affect services available for children and young people. Key government policies that will specifically affect education include: Abolition of the Education Maintenance Allowance (EMA) of £30 per week for those aged 16-18 continuing in education or training before its replacement scheme has been developed. A report by the House of Commons Education Committee found nearly a third (29%) of young people who were NEET would have continued education after Year 11 if they have received more money to cover the cost of transport 58. This is likely to be an even greater issue in London where travel costs are higher than in other regions Introducing more academies and „free schools‟ independent of local authority control and with much greater freedoms. There are concerns that these freedoms will not result in improved standards, but instead in a highly variable standard with children from poorer areas less likely to benefit59 Changes to the university funding system, whereby university tuition fees were effectively trebled, increasing the amount most students would have to take out in loans to afford a university education. There were some changes to the student loan system, including a raised earning limit at which loan repayments would have to be made, but the benefits of this reform appear outweighed by concerns about tuition fee increases Overall, this government‟s education reforms are reported to have reduced young people‟ aspiration to continue into higher and further education. Nationally, numbers of both 16-18 year olds in further education60, and university applications61 have reduced since introduction of the reforms. Young people in London wishing to stay at home to study for a qualification will be particularly disadvantaged by the cuts to 17 EMA and increases in tuition fees because of the higher general costs of living in the capital. This is particularly concerning with the high proportion of young people who are NEET in deprived neighbourhoods in the capital. 3.1.7 Policing, crime and victim support There is evidence that violent crime might increase during a recession62. This is supported by a report that suggests that the strain on families caused by a recession might increase family violence and child neglect63. Reports of increased domestic violence and relationship breakdown have already been published64. This may exacerbate the already disproportionately high rate of violent crime in London, which already comprises a fifth of all crimes against the person in England and Wales65, including almost half of all teenage murders in England66. London also has higher incidences of overall crime than other regions67. Despite this danger of rising crime, the Government‟s Police Reform and Social Responsibility Act 201168 introduced major reforms to the organisation of police services in England and Wales. Outside London, elected Police and Crime Commissioners will hold the local police service to account. In London, the Mayor of London may appoint a Deputy to carry out this role. A new Mayor‟s Office for Policing and Crime69 has been established, which is now responsible for setting the strategic priorities for the Metropolitan Police Service and commissioning London‟s crime and community safety services. The Mayor of London is now directly accountable for the performance of the police service in the capital. It is unclear how the formation of a new structure to lead policing at a time when crime is projected to increase will affect London. A recent report from the Victims' Services Advocates project70 highlighted findings that satisfaction with the Metropolitan Police Service is extremely low, with only 50% of London victims rating the police service as good or excellent. Findings from the report also draw attention to major inconsistencies in services for crime victims across London‟s 32 boroughs. 3.2.1 Big Society The Big Society was launched as a mjor policy initiative underpinning the government‟s agenda for change. It aimed to achieve: Increased community involvement in influencing and delivering local services An increase in the role of the VCS in public service delivery An increase in social action, with people contributing more time and money to improve society As other major policy reforms have grabbed the headlines, government references to the „Big Society‟ have lessened and some commentators see it as an „ex-policy‟71. The government‟s downgrading of the Office for Civil Society72 and the Parliamentary Public Administration Select Committee report on the „Big Society‟, 18 which stated that the government seemed to have „no coherent plan‟ to deliver on its rhetoric73 provide some evidence that the government is losing interest in the idea. Civil Exchange‟s recent audit74 of „Big Society‟ achievements found that instead of being strengthened in the first two years of the Big Society, the VCS is facing an estimated cut in statutory funding of £3.3 billion between 2010 -16, which is unlikely to be replaced by funding from other sources. Although the UK has one of the most diverse public service delivery markets in the world, the private sector has benefited much more than the VCS, because of what the report claims is „an implicit bias in government tendering practices toward the private sector‟. Most interestingly for London, the Audit finds a „Big Society gap‟ in performance against key indicators of „Big Society‟ success between younger and older people, affluent and disadvantaged communities, rural and urban areas and White and Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic (BAME) communities. In the light of the riots in 2011, it is particularly interesting that younger people are far less likely than older people to believe that people in their neighbourhood pull together to improve it, or that many people locally can be trusted. There is a similar gap in views on these points between disadvantaged and affluent areas; rural and urban areas and White and BAME communities. In London, which has a disproportionately young population and a greater proportion of people from BAME communities living in deprived, urban areas this „Big Society‟ gap would, therefore, be expected to be particularly large and may contribute to more feeling social isolation and reduced social cohesion. 3.2.2 Localism The Localism Act75 received Royal Assent in November 2011 and aims to devolve more powers from central government to local authorities and communities. It contains a specific section on London, which also devolves more central government powers to the Mayor of London and the Greater London Authority. At a local level, the Bill contains the following additional new rights: Community right to challenge (which came into place in June 2012) allows a VCS group to challenge to take over delivery if a frontline service is felt to be poor Community right to bid (expected to come into force later this summer) allows VCS organisations to bid to buy assets from local authorities, if they have a community value Community right to build (which came into force in May 2012) will allow a development to take place with no further requirement for complicated planning permission processes, if at least 50% of local people support it in a referendum In London, the Bill: Transfers powers from the Homes and Communities Agency to the Greater London Authority in London, giving the Mayor greater powers to build houses Puts the abolition of the London Development Agency into legislation Allows the Mayor to designate areas in London as Mayoral Development Areas and to establish Mayoral Development Corporations to lead this regeneration 19 Reduces the Mayor's powers over planning to only the largest planning applications; smaller applications will be decided by local authorities Allows the London Assembly to reject Mayoral strategies if two-thirds vote against them Repeals the duty for four-yearly reports on the state of the environment in London and consolidates the six Mayoral Strategies relating to the environment into one Environmental Strategy While gaining additional powers over housing, economic development and regeneration, the Mayor has lost powers on planning to local authorities and in a contradictory policy decision, has relinquished powers over skills and business support in the capital to central government. Some of the functions of the former statutory London Skills and Employment Board are now replaced by the London Enterprise Panel76, which has established an Employment and Skills sub-group, but the latter is not a legal body and has no overall powers or funding to support a coordinated approach to employment and skills issues across sectors in London. Commentators have raised concerns that the localism agenda could fail to address the needs of minority groups and increase inequality77 (a particular issue in a city as diverse as London) and that the new community rights are not accompanied by enough resources to decentralise power from local authorities to local communities78. 3.2.3 Open Public Services and the Work Programme The Open Public Services White Paper79 was published in July 2011 and aimed to outline the government‟s plans for major public service reform. It made a commitment to open up more public service delivery to the independent sector, including the VCS, and to develop more choice and diversity of provision. Despite a strong policy emphasis on the personalisation and decentralisation of service delivery within the Paper, its most cited demonstration of success is the commissioning of the Work Programme, a new national welfare-to-work scheme, which was tendered as large sub-regional contracts mainly won by private sector prime contractors. Even sub-contracting of the VCS resulted in only 20% of delivery though the sector, rather than the Government‟s target of at least 30%. An update document80 describing progress on the Open Public Services White Paper‟s aspirations was published in June 2012. Despite asking how to ensure a level playing field for different types of providers in different sectors in the original White Paper, a year later there still appears to be no plan to address the needs of the VCS around this issue. Indeed, the update paper specifically states that the Government will „look to extend the Work Programme commissioning approach to other service areas‟. LVSC‟s research81 has found that the large minimum contracts, „payment by results‟ models, problems associated with TUPE of other organisations‟ staff and transfer of risk to the provider were all significant barriers to VCS organisations becoming involved in the Work Programme‟s commissioning approach. In the delivery of the Work Programme in London, this has resulted in many specialist VCS providers signing „tier 2‟ or „spot contract‟ agreements with prime contractors and then 20 receiving no referrals, and hence no funding. This suggests that the most disadvantaged and/or vulnerable unemployed Londoners are not receiving the support they need to gain long-term employment through the Work Programme and that their choice of provider has been limited through the use of this commissioning model. In total, in 2011-12, London Boroughs and the Greater London Authority (GLA) lost at least £355 million as a result of funding cuts from the Department of Communities and Local Government. That is 30% of the national cut to local and regional government. The capital‟s local authorities lost £169.3 million; the Greater London Authority (GLA) lost £185.6 million. Greater London Authority (£m) London boroughs and City of London (£m) Metropolitan Police Authority Transport for London London Development Agency Area Based Grant Housing Planning and Delivery £37.6 £108.0 £40.0 - £74.3 £17.9 Local Area Agreement Reward Grant - £64.8 Local Authority Business Growth Incentive grants - £12.4 £185.6 £169.3 Total Grand total £354.9 Table 1: Summary of 2011-12 cuts to London from the Department of Communities & Local Government through the Greater London Authority (GLA) and London boroughs and the City of London 21 Changes in formula grant from 2010-13 All London boroughs + City of London (average) Greater London Authority 2010-11 Adjusted (£m) 2011-12 Adjusted (£m) % change 2012-13 Adjusted (£m) % change 4.76 4.20 -11.7 3.95 -5.8 2.40 2.28 -4.9 2.17 -4.9 Table 2 Cuts in formula grant to the GLA and London boroughs & the City of London between 2010 - 2013 Across London local authorities and the City of London, the formula grant provided by central government through the Department of Communities and Local Government decreased on average by 11.7% between 2010-11 and 2011-12 and by 5.8% between 2011-12 and 2012-13 - an overall decrease of 17.9% over two years. The Greater London Authority‟s formula grant decreased by 4.9% in both years - an overall decrease of 9.6% over two years. Changes in spending power 2011-13 By including additional funding from the NHS for adult social care, council tax freeze grants and transition grants, the changes in spending power of local authorities and the Greater London Authority are more accurately reflected. These figures showed an average reduction in spending power across London local authorities and the City of London of 8.9% over two years and of 6.8% for the Greater London Authority over two years. This reduction is greater in London than the national average 82. % change % change 2010-11 to 2011-12 to 2011-12 2012-13 % change 2010-11 to 2012-13 All London boroughs + City of London (average) -5.3 -3.9 -8.9 Greater London Authority -2.9 -4.10 -6.8 Table 3 Cuts in spending power of the GLA and London boroughs and the city of London between 2010 and 2013 3.3.1 The role of the Mayor of London and Greater London Authority (GLA) in London‟s economic development Although, as a result of the Localism Act 2011, the Mayor of London has gained more powers over housing, economic development and regeneration issues, central 22 Government funding for economic development projects in London has been reduced by more than 85% for 2012 -13 compared to 2009 -10 as part of the planned public sector spending cuts. The Mayor is, therefore, looking for other sources of funding for regeneration work in London until 2014-15. Business rates from London‟s first Enterprise Zone in Newham will provide a source of funding for the new London Enterprise Panel from 2013, and the GLA plans to borrow £110 million over four years for regeneration projects. However, even with these additions, there will probably be less than 20% of the funding the London Development Agency received at its peak (£416 million in 2006-7)83. 3.3.2 Cuts to the London Borough Grants Scheme The London Boroughs Grants Scheme (LBGS) is a statutory scheme set up by the Local Government Act 1985. It is used to fund pan-London and cross-borough VCS projects that fill London-wide gaps in meeting need that would not otherwise be funded locally for reasons of efficiency, cost effectiveness and economies of scale. All London‟s local authorities contribute to the Scheme and agree its annual budget, which is administered by London Councils. Following a June 2010 decision to reduce London boroughs‟ contributions to the London Borough Grants Scheme, as a result of cuts to their own local authority funding, it was agreed that funding for the Scheme would be reduced from over £26 million in 2010 to just under £21 million in 2011-12, followed by further cuts to achieve funding of only £8 million by 2013 - 14. This amounts to a total funding reduction of around 70%, far higher than the cuts experienced by even the worst hit local authorities in London. The decision was taken before the Government produced its new Best Value guidance recommending that VCS organisations should not face disproportionate cuts from local authorities84. Yet many local authorities said that they would invest the funds saved from the LBGS in VCS organisations delivering services specifically within their local borough, suggesting that this funding would not be lost to the sector. However, research in LVSC‟s last Big Squeeze report suggested that in 2011-12, only 55% of the money previously contributed to the LBGS was spent on the VCS, and this contribution is likely to be reduced further in 2012-13 as no local authorities have signed commitments to ring-fence those reclaimed funds for their local VCS. As a result, in August 2011, London Councils cut 215 of the services previously commissioned through the Scheme, affecting a total of 173 VCS organisations. This amounted to a loss of £12,165,809 in annual income to the sector, with average organisational losses of £70,323 per annum. In terms of communities affected by these cuts, it was services for children and young people followed by those for BAME communities that suffered the greatest losses. 23 % of Specialist services organisations for: cut by number Specialist services for: Children and Young People BAME Women Disabled people People of a particular religion or belief Older People LGBT Carers Children and Young People BAME Women Disabled people People of a particular religion/ belief Older People LGBT Carers 36 16 5 5 4 2 2 2 % of London Councils funds cut 37 15 4 4 3 3 1 1 Table 4 Cuts in the LBGS in 2011-12 broken down by the communities for which services were provided In terms of the specific services affected, the greatest effects were seen on arts and culture, VCS infrastructure and advice/legal/advocacy services. Service area Arts and Culture Advice/Legal/Advocacy Infrastructure Health & Social Care Homelessness Volunteering Crime prevention Domestic/sexual violence Counselling Environment Employment and Skills Transport % of organisations cut by number 30 17 16 13 10 9 9 6 5 3 2 1 Service area Infrastructure Arts and Culture Advice/Legal/Advocacy Health & Social Care Volunteering Homelessness Crime prevention Domestic/sexual violence Environment Counselling Employment and Skills Transport % of London Councils funds cut 25 24 19 13 12 8 7 7 5 4 4 1 Table 5 Cuts in the LBGS in 2011-1 broken down by the specific service provided 24 In September 2011, London Councils also agreed a 50% reduction in their contribution to the pan-London European Social Fund (ESF) programme, which the organisation officially co-finances to ensure value for money for London. London councillors decided that the boroughs‟ total contribution to the Fund would be reduced from £2 million to £1 million, which is matched by the ESF, reducing the total resource from £4 million to £2 million. London Council leaders also agreed to scrap the technical assistance programme to support groups funded under the ESF theme. London Councils‟ ESF programme focuses on improving the employability and skills of unemployed and economically inactive people. Thus, at a time when unemployment in London is at its highest levels since the 1990s, and early evidence suggests that Work Programme support is not meeting the needs of the most excluded unemployed Londoners, funding for a programme that provides such specialist employment support has been reduced by half. A further 21 London Councils commissions provided by 20 different VCS organisations are now scheduled to end in September 2012 as they do not fit the principles and priorities agreed for the future 2013 – 15 Scheme. Overall, these final commissions are worth £1.83 milllion annually and represent an average annual cut to each organisation‟s funding of £91,701. Particularly affected in this second round of cuts are services providing specialist legal advice and health and care services. 3.3.3 Cuts to local authority budgets in London The Institute for Fiscal Studies has shown how local government spending, and planned cuts to this have varied across England over recent years. Excluding education, local government expenditure per person in London in 2009 - 10 (£1,868) was much higher than in the rest of the country, although the costs of transport and police in the capital explain a large part of the difference. However, high-spending regions, such as London, are facing much larger local government funding cuts. Councils in the top quarter of spenders in 2009−10 faced average cuts of 17%, versus 6% among those in the bottom quarter. The planned spending cuts are, therefore, larger in high-spending local authorities, which are mainly in the urban and poorer parts of England, than in more affluent rural and suburban areas. London has been especially badly hit with overall cuts in local government spending of 11% (or £221 per person), against a national average of 9% (£112 per person)85. This pattern in spending cuts was also seen within London, where the proportion of spending power reduction was much greater for the more deprived London boroughs such as Hackney (total reduction in spending power over two years is 15%) compared with more affluent boroughs, such as Richmond (total reduction in spending power over two years is 2%). Table 6 shows figures for each authority. 25 3.4.1 Charity Commission registrations and removals in London Using the Charity Commission website, it is possible to search for the number of charities being registered and removed in each financial year throughout London. Although, many VCS organisations are not registered as charities, this provides an overview of what has happened to the charity sector in London since the recession began in September 2008. Figure 1 provides an illustration of total charity registrations, removals and net within-year gains in charities registered for the years 2005-06 to 2011-12. The UK entered recession in September 2008 and didn‟t emerge into growth until December 2009. It can be seen that over this period, mainly symbolised by the 200910 financial year, new charity registrations tailed off, the number of charities removed in a year peaked (almost doubling within the space of one year) and the net annual gain in London charity numbers was the lowest over the seven year period shown. In 2011-12, new charity registrations are increasing and removals are decreasing. However, with the UK entering a second double dip recession it will be interesting to see if charity registrations and removals in London in 2012-13 reflect this in the same way as they did in 2009 -10. London borough Adjusted change in spending power 2010-11 to 2011-12 Adjusted change in spending power 2011-1 to 2012-13 Barking and Dagenham -5.94% -3.4% Barnet -2.60% -2.5% Bexley -2.79% -2.8% Brent -5.85% -4.0% Bromley -2.46% -2.7% Camden -6.54% -4.4% City of London -6.49% -6.5% Croydon -5.02% -2.9% Ealing -4.87% -3.8% Enfield -2.77% -2.5% Greenwich -7.71% -4.4% Hackney -8.80% -6.8% Hammersmith and Fulham -6.56% -4.4% Haringey -7.90% -4.0% Harrow -1.89% -2.4% Havering -1.71% -2.2% 26 Hillingdon -3.11% -3.1% Hounslow -4.69% -3.7% Islington -8.78% -4.3% Kensington and Chelsea -5.26% -4.3% Kingston upon Thames -2.57% -2.6% Lambeth -7.70% -4.5% Lewisham -6.49% -4.3% Merton -3.84% -3.4% Newham -8.80% -6.6% Redbridge -2.59% -2.8% Richmond upon Thames -0.61% -1.6% Southwark -8.44% -4.6% Sutton -2.80% -2.6% Tower Hamlets -8.80% -6.2% Waltham Forest -5.21% -3.7% Wandsworth -6.45% -4.6% Westminster -7.22% -5.0% Table 6 Cuts to London local authority‟s spending power in 2011-12 and 2012-13 LVSC keeps an updated, but not comprehensive, list of London VCS organisations forced to close as a result of funding cuts in our regular funding cuts reports86. These include many smaller community organisations, who have not registered as charities. In the last update (March 2012) an additional 31 VCS organisations (not mentioned as removals on the Charity Commission website) were reported to have closed. 27 300 250 UK recession Number in London 200 New registration Removed charities Net gain in year 150 100 50 0 2011-12 2010-11 2009-10 2008-9 2007-8 2006-7 2005-6 Financial Year Figure 1 Within-year London charity registrations, removals and net gains between 2005-6 and 2011-12. The UK recession began in September 2008 and only ended at the end of 2009 3.4.2 Local authority cuts to London‟s voluntary and community sector The False Economy website87 obtained information on local authority cuts to voluntary and community sector using Freedom of Information requests to councils nationally for the year 2010-11. Although this is not new data, we did not have sufficient time to include an analysis of the data provided by the 18 London local authorities that responded in our 2011 report. A summary of the amount of funding and average percentage cut from local authority funds for groups working within each sub-sector of the VCS is shown in Table 7. This demonstrates that across the 18 London boroughs that responded, children and young people‟s VCS services saw the largest absolute cut in funding terms, losing over £17 million from these 18 London local authorities alone. However, the average per cent of local authority funding cuts was greatest for VCS organisations working on economic issues (which include employment and skills services) and education. Category Children and young people Economic Volunteering Homelessness and housing Total cut (£) 17,045,358 9,435,159 7,546,416 Average % cut 64 84 48 7,495,069 44 28 Disability Community Arts Adult care Elderly Health Information, advice and counselling Citizens Advice Bureaux Domestic violence and sexual abuse Crime Amenities Education Environment Sports Other Equality Transport Grand Total 7,393,163 6,078,366 4,697,098 3,797,896 3,213,038 2,869,584 46 70 53 41 60 54 2,839,513 55 2,523,105 23 2,435,061 43 1,913,037 1,822,367 1,594,324 1,394,204 992,933 912,833 389,010 205,331 86,605,464 63 33 83 72 68 69 51 57 57 Table 7 Cuts to local authority spending on the VCS in 2010-11 according to subsector (as reported by the 18 London boroughs providing data to False Economy‟s Freedom of Information requests. 29 4.1.1 Has the economic and/or policy climate affected the communities you work with over the last year (April 2011- March 2012)? (n=251) Response Response Percent Total 1 Yes 88.5% 222 2 No 4.8% 12 3 Don‟t know 6.8% 17 89% of organisations said that the economic and /or policy climate has affected the communities with which they work over the last year. Over the years 2009 Yes 95% 2010 Yes 97% 2011 Yes 97% 2012 Yes 89% There was a slight fall in the number saying their communities were affected this year compared with previous years, perhaps because many economic and policy changes were announced and implemented when the survey took place in 2011. Comparing local and wider area organisations There was no significant difference between answers for local (neighbourhood, borough) and wider area (cross-borough, London and national) VCS organisations. 4.1.2 If yes, in what way have your users been affected? (n = 219) All the listed options provided in the survey were experienced as affecting the communities the VCS worked with in London. The most common effect was loss of services that met users‟ needs (83%), followed by higher demand for advice services (59%) and increased worklessness (56%). 48% reported worsening health issues amongst their users. Other issues, not specifically mentioned as tick box answers were: Cuts to social care meaning people were not receiving care 3 The most vulnerable affected most negatively 3 Increased crime 1 Opportunities for communities through Olympics 1 1.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 30 Response Response Percent Total 1 Increased worklessness 56.2% 123 Higher demand for advice on issues such 2 as housing, employment or benefits 59.4% 130 More cannot afford 3 their housing costs or risk homelessness 42.0% 92 Worsening health 4 issues (including mental health issues) 47.9% 105 More cannot afford 5 essentials such as food and fuel 40.1% 88 More are not taking up 6 education opportunities 25.1% 55 7 Loss of services that meet their needs 82.6% 181 8 Fewer opportunities to volunteer 18.3% 40 9 More opportunities to volunteer 11.0% 24 10 Other, please specify: 3.7% 8 Comparing local and wider area organisations The issues affecting users did not differ significantly between local and wider area VCS organisation respondents. A slightly higher proportion of local organisations‟ reported that their users were affected by a greater need for advice, housing issues and support around worsening health. 31 4.1.3 How do you think the economic and/or policy climate will affect the communities you work with over the next year (April 2012- March 2013)? (n = 251) Response Response Percent Total 1 Get worse 87.7% 220 2 Stay the same 6.4% 16 3 Improve 1.6% 4 4 Don‟t Know 4.4% 11 88% thought that things would get worse for the communities they work with over the next year as a result of the economic or policy climate. This compares with only 69% who thought their communities would suffer more in the next year in the 2011 survey. Only 2% thought that things would improve for the communities with which they work over the next year. Comparing local and wider area organisations There was no significant difference between the responses of local and wider area organisations to this question. 4.1.4 We would be grateful if you could provide more details explaining your answer (n = 154) Qualitative answers to this question were broken down into the following issues (see table below), which organisations identified as explaining why things would get worse for the communities they worked with over the next year. Issue Cuts to services means users needs are not being met Unemployment will continue to rise More cuts to benefits Specific sub-issue % No. 48% 74 Cuts to charities 36% 56 Cuts to local authority services 33% 18 Cuts to social care services Local services being taken over by nationals with less knowledge Fewer preventative services 5% 7 3% 4 2% 3 Less support for carers 1% 2 21% 33 3% 5 1% 1 21% 33 10% 15 Particular problems with Work Programme Worsening employment conditions Specifically housing 32 Specifically disability Stress and major reform of the NHS will reduce health and well-being The economy will worsen and more cuts will be introduced Inequality will increase Specifically ill effects on mental health More hate crime and less cohesion More poverty Criminal Justice System and Legal Aid reform will lead to more crime and less effective rehabilitation Specifically more debt Specifically more domestic violence and family breakdown Specifically effect of reduced access to Legal Aid 3% 5 21% 33 14% 22 19% 29 15% 23 3% 4 14% 22 2% 3 1% 2 5% 7 2% 3 4.1.5 What government policies have had, or are likely to have, a particularly negative impact on the communities you work with? Response Response Percent Total Re-organisation and 1 efficiency savings in the NHS 47.2% 116 2 Cuts to local authority budgets 84.6% 208 3 Changes to educational policies 26.8% 66 4 Welfare reform 63.4% 156 5 Housing policy 47.6% 117 6 Cuts to legal aid 44.3% 109 Changes to policing and crime policy 20.7% 51 More commissioning of public services from 8 the independent sector 37.8% 93 39.4% 97 10 Big Society agenda 22.4% 55 11 Localism agenda 19.5% 48 7 9 Introduction of the Work Programme 33 Response Response Percent Total 12 None 1.6% 4 13 Other, please specify: 5.7% 14 The policy felt to have the most negative impact on communities was cuts to local authority spending (85%) followed by welfare reform (63%). Almost all policies mentioned were felt to have a negative impact by some respondents. Only 2% thought that no Government policies had a negative impact on the people they worked with. “Nationally the evidence is that the recession is getting worse. Local Authorities are being squeezed more and more each year. Interest rates seem certain to stay low so Trusts etc will continue to suffer reduced income.” “The biggest impact service users will feel directly is likely to be changes to the benefits system; many have reported not understanding what changes are happening and fear they will lose vital support.” Even policies which the Government suggested would support the VCS were thought by some respondents to have had negative impacts on the communities with which they worked, including policy to encourage more commissioning from the independent sector (38%), Big Society (22%) and Localism (20%). For those who ticked „other‟: (3%) had an overall concern about the negative impacts of the general coalition government policy programme and / or direction 4 (2%) were concerned about the lack of emphasis on, or weakening of, equality policy and legislation 2 (1%) were concerned about the negative impacts of immigration policy 1 (1%) was concerned about the negative impact of pension policy Comparing small and large organisations There was little difference between the responses of small and large organisations to this question. Smaller organisations were slightly more likely to see the negative impacts of NHS reform and housing policy. Larger organisations were more likely to see the negative impacts of more localism and changes to policing and crime policy. 34 4.1.6 What government policies have had, or are likely to have, a particularly positive impact on the communities you work with? (n = 209) Response Response Percent Total Re-organisation and 1 efficiency savings in the NHS 7.1% 15 2 Cuts to local authority budgets 4.3% 9 3 Changes to educational policies 6.7% 14 4 Welfare reform 4.8% 10 5 Housing policy 3.4% 7 6 Cuts to legal aid 1.9% 4 Changes to policing and crime policy 6.7% 14 More commissioning of 8 public services from the independent sector 22.0% 46 Introduction of the Work Programme 6.2% 13 10 Big Society agenda 23.4% 49 11 Localism agenda 24.9% 52 12 None 44.5% 93 13 Other, please specify: 3.4% 7 7 9 35 With the dire economic forecast in mind, Brent Mind developed Nucleus, a project driving forward an agenda of self help and recovery, whatever the future held, for people with mental health concerns. They successfully secured funding and the project began in late 2011. “When I first met Jay from Brent Mind‟s Nucleus project I was desperate,” said Maria. “I wanted a way out of the mess I was in. I was homeless, had been diagnosed with depression, was very tearful and wanted to move on.” Nucleus helps people who have the hope and desire to improve their quality of life. People are motivated to make informed choices about services and activities, manage their budgets and plan for the future. A Brokerage Worker works individually with people for a set time period, drawing up action plans and providing key contacts. “As soon as I met Jay he listened to me,” reflected Maria. “That meant so much. He told me I was not alone, we were in this together. For the first time, in a long time, I had somebody to talk to, somebody who listened and didn‟t rush me. “I was living in a hostel and, whilst the place was nice, the people varied. I didn‟t like having to share facilities – toilet, kitchen. It was unhygienic.” Maria was signposted to a resettlement worker and was offered the support she needed. “It was thanks to Jay and Nucleus that I now have my studio flat where I have my own kitchen and bathroom. “I am from Mexico and love to swim but when I came to England I missed it so much. Jay signed me up for the local centre and now I swim for free three or four times a week. This has helped me so much.” Maria has also undertaken various training programmes and workshops geared towards gaining paid employment. “I have always said „I am a survivor‟, and it is true, but without Nucleus I don‟t know where I would be today. I know I would have deteriorated and I would be in a far worse situation. “I am so thankful to Jay and appreciate his help so much. I feel so much better now that I have even started to give up smoking.” *Names have been changed. 36 45% of respondents could not name a Government policy that had had a positive impact on those they worked with. Only 25%, 23% and 22% respectively named the localism agenda, Big Society or more commissioning of public services from the independent sector as having a positive impact on their communities and these were matched by similar numbers who thought these had a negative impact, as per the previous question. “Big Society seems to have disappeared - anyway, it didn't come with funding attached for existing volunteering services.” “Much of our work over the past two years has focussed on the potential of the localism agenda to offer communities greater power and control. However, the combination of all these policy changes is likely to create a 'perfect storm' which will ultimately entrench greater disadvantage within certain communities. As a consequence the people who could benefit most from localism will not be able to access the opportunities offered.” Of those who answered „other‟: Two (1%) provided more provisos as to how policy should be implemented to ensure positive impacts Two (1%) felt that some recent Violence Against Women and Girls policies had been positive Two (1%) felt that there was a positive commitment to reducing climate change; for example, there was a positive impact to the communities with the ruling out of development of a third runway at Heathrow One (0.5%) felt the implementation of the Equality Act 2010 could bring positive impacts but expressed reservations that it may subsequently be „watered down‟ Comparing local and wider area organisations Local organisations were more likely to think there was a positive impact of localism and Big Society on their communities. Wider area organisations were more likely to say that there were no Government policies that had a positive impact on the communities they worked with. 37 4.2.1 Has demand for your services increased as a direct result of the economic or policy climate during 2011 – 2012? (n = 252) Response Response Percent Total 1 Yes 66.3% 167 2 No 8.7% 22 3 Remained the Same 15.9% 40 4 Don't Know 9.1% 23 66% of respondents said that demand for their services had increased during 201112 Over the years 2009 Yes 71% 2010 Yes 68% 2011 Yes 81% 2012 Yes 66% This is the lowest proportion of respondents that said demand for their services had increased over the last year for the four years the Big Squeeze survey has been conducted. However, it still indicates a year-on-year increase in demand for VCS services. In a previous question (4.1.2), respondents stated that a loss of services that met their users‟ needs was the greatest negative impact in 2011-12. The lower percentage saying demand has increased over the year compared with last year may reflect the fact that demand has increased every year over the last three years, so much so that it is now beginning to reach a plateau. “Waiting lists for outreach services have grown - five weeks is not uncommon now. We had previously had similar outreach with only a one or two week wait” Comparing local and wider area organisations There was no significant difference between the proportion of respondents reporting an increase in demand for their services in 2011-12 between local (67%) and wider area (66%) VCS organisations. 38 4.2.2. If yes, how much has demand in services increased by? (n = 165) Response Response Percent Total 1 0-20% 32.7% 54 2 21-40% 37.6% 62 3 41-60% 10.3% 17 4 61-80% 4.9% 8 5 81-100% 1.8% 3 3.0% 5 9.7% 16 6 Demand has more than doubled 7 Don‟t know The median increase in demand, for those respondents that had experienced an increase, was 21-40%. 4.2.3 If demand has increased, please tick which kinds of services this has affected (n = 163) Service Advice Volunteering Employment & Skills VCS Support Children & young people (combined) Physical and mental health (combined) Young people Specialist / equalities Advocacy Mental health Children Homeless Older people Offenders Physical health Drugs & Alcohol Poverty Domestic violence Victim support Environment Number 80 63 62 58 49 44 41 39 38 37 26 26 26 25 20 20 17 17 13 6 % 48.5 38.2 37.5 35.2 30.0 27.0 24.8 23.6 23 22.4 15.8 15.8 15.8 15.2 12.1 12.1 10.3 10.3 7.9 3.6 39 The services most commonly reported to have seen an increase in demand in 201112 were advice (49% of respondents mentioned) and volunteering and employment and skills services (both 38%), followed by VCS support services (also known as infrastructure) (35%). If physical health and mental health are combined, the number reporting an increase in demand is 44 (27%). If children and young people are combined, the number reporting an increase in demand is 49 (30%). Weighting responses for services respondents delivered There was a much greater proportion of organisations offering support, volunteering and employment and skills services responding to the survey than those, for example, offering victim support or environmental services. The results were, therefore, weighted to take into account the proportion of each service provided among the survey respondents. In this case, advice services remain the service most mentioned by respondents as seeing an increase in demand over 2011-12, and employment and skills services remain relatively highly positioned. However, services for the homeless (or those at risk of homelessness), services that directly support individuals in addressing poverty, improving health, and supporting children and young people and victims of crime also feature strongly when accounting for the lesser number of survey respondents who provided these services. This suggests that more and more people are currently seeking advice to address issues that are arising as a result of short-term unemployment, welfare reform and/or increasing poverty, but as these issues become more long-term, there is also an increase in demand for support to address longer-term impacts such as employment and skills, health, and housing and/or homelessness services and to address immediate poverty issues. “As unemployment continues to rise and with major changes in the benefits system and employment rights in the foreseeable future, the need for advice is continuing to increase. This puts additional pressure on advice providers who are struggling to sustain and maintain their current (or reduced level) of service as a result of government policies. 4.2.4 Do you expect demand for your services to increase as a direct result of economic or policy changes now and over the next year (April 2012 - March 2013)? (n = 252) Response Response Percent Total 1 Yes 71.4% 180 2 No 7.5% 19 9.9% 25 11.1% 28 3 Expect demand to remain the same 4 Don‟t know 40 71% thought demand for services would increase next year. This compares with the 86% of respondents in the 2011 survey who thought demand for services would increase in the next year. Comparing local and wider area organisations Slightly more local (76%) organisations thought that demand for their services would increase in 2012 -13 than wider area organisations (69%). The Addiction Support and Care Agency provides a unique service, supporting a wide range of people who need assurance that their details will not be recorded on national systems, and are much less likely to access public health services as a result, including highly paid professionals. ASCA's independent status is therefore crucial: the organisation is noncommissioned and does not report to any external agencies, unless referred by a third party and with the agreement of the client. "Many of our clients hold down highly paid jobs and responsible jobs. While their problem is not yet serious enough to require detox or rehab, they don't want to get to that point. Others have already been there, and need counselling to explore the underlying issues." says ASCA's Ranjit Dhillon. "This is a time when more services are needed as communities are under more stress," she adds. "There are more people coming forward with addictions, mental health problems, stress and eating disorders. We are now opening early mornings and late evenings to increase our accessibility by people in work and with caring responsibilities. We have taken on more volunteers. Our capacity is fully stretched." 4.2.5 If yes, tick which kinds of services you expect to be affected (n=178) Service Advice Employment and skills Support Combining physical and mental health Combining children and young people Volunteering Young People Equalities Number 93 75 70 66 54 62 55 53 % 52.2% 42.1% 39.3% 37.1% 36.5% 34.8% 30.9% 29.8% 41 Mental Health Advocacy Older People Homeless Offenders Children Physical health Drugs and Alcohol Domestic violence Poverty Victims Environment 52 48 42 38 35 34 33 29 28 24 14 10 29.2% 27.0% 23.6% 21.3% 19.7% 19.1% 18.5% 16.3% 15.7% 13.4% 7.9% 5.6% Advice (52% of respondents) and employment and skills services (42% of respondents) were predicted to see the highest increases in demand over 2012-13. Weighting responses for services delivered by respondents Again, when the proportion of survey respondents delivering particularly services is weighted, the order is changed, although advice services remain the service that most people expect to continue to see an increase in demand for in the future. The weighted list suggests that respondents expect to see even more demand for services to address the long-term social impacts of poverty and unemployment such as homelessness, increased crime, reduced care for older people, increasing drug and alcohol use and health problems. Children and young people and employment and skills services are still also expected to continue to see increasing demand in 2012 -13. “Long term unemployment will rise - as opportunities to obtain unskilled work continue to fall.” “We support families with disabled children. Statutory support is shrinking and many families will fall through the net and no longer qualify for support; welfare reform and education policy in particular will mean these families are squeezed out even more.” From analysis of questions 4.2.3 and 4.2.5, there is a clear conclusion that there is a disproportionately large increase in demand for advice services and this is expected to continue in 2012-13. 4.2.6. Has your organisation been able to meet any increases in demand for its services in the past year (April 2011 – March 2012)? (n = 252) 42 Response Response Percent Total 1 Yes 56.0% 141 2 No 33.7% 85 3 Don‟t know 10.3% 26 56% said they had been able to meet the increased demand for their services over the year. This compares with 57% last year. 34% said that they could not meet the increased demand. Comparing local and wider area organisations A slightly higher proportion of wider area organisations (57%) said that they had been able to meet increases in demand than local organisations (54%) although this was not a significant difference. 4.2.7 Are you confident that you will be able to meet any increases in demand for your services in the coming year (April 2012- March 2013)? (n = 252) Only 25% thought that they would be able to meet demand for services in the coming year. 50% thought that they would not be able to do so. Response Response Percent Total 1 Yes 24.6% 62 2 No 50.0% 126 3 Don‟t know 25.4% 64 Comparing local and wider area organisations There was no difference between the proportion of local or wider area organisations who were confident that they could meet increases in demand in the coming year. Over the years – not able to meet demand 2009 80% 2010 75% 2011 77% 2012 50% The numbers saying they will not be able to meet demand in the future have fallen over four years. This suggests that more and more VCS organisations are beginning to adapt to the year-on-year increases in demand for their services. 43 4.2.8 What are the main reasons why you cannot, or think you will not be able to, meet the demand for your services? Response Response Percent Total 1 Lack of funds 91.3% 63 2 Uncertainty about funding 71.0% 49 3 Lack of space / accommodation 21.7% 15 4 Lack of staff 44.9% 31 5 Lack of qualified staff 21.7% 15 6 Lack of volunteers 11.6% 8 7 Lack of qualified volunteers 15.9% 11 8 Lack of staff management support 13.0% 9 9 Lack of volunteer management support 23.2% 16 Inability to access 10 staff or volunteer training 7.3% 5 Overreliance on staff working more than 11 standard working hours 42.0% 29 Overreliance on volunteers working 12 more than standard working hours 15.9% 11 13 Other, please specify: 5.8% 4 The main reason given for failing to meet increased demands was a lack of funds (91%), although uncertainty about funding (71%), lack of staff (45%) and overreliance on staff working more than standard hours (42%) were also common responses. All the reasons provided in the survey were chosen by at least 7% of respondents, suggesting that all are present difficulties to London‟s organisations wishing to meet the needs of their service users. Of the other reasons given: Two respondents (3%) stated that they could not meet demand because their organisation had closed 44 Two respondents (3%) said that they were lacking referrals as funding cuts in other sectors meant signposting and referrals were being cut, forcing them to engage in more outreach work to find the people they aim to support Lack of funding was also the most common reason for not being able to meet demand for services in 2010-11. Interestingly from the point of view of volunteering services, 12% reported a lack of volunteers, 16% a lack of qualified volunteers and 23% a lack of volunteer management support as the reason that they thought they would not be able to meet demand for services. 4.3.1 Is your organisation already changing the way it works to cope with any changes? (n = 252) Response Response Percent Total 1 Yes 90.1% 227 2 No 7.5% 19 3 Don‟t know 2.8% 7 90% of organisations had already changed the way they worked to cope with changes. Over the years 2009 78% 2010 93% 2011 94% 2012 90% Each year the majority of organisations have continued to take action to adapt to changes. This suggests the flexibility and innovation of the VCS in striving to ensure that it can continue to meet its users‟ needs. Comparing local and wider organisations There was no significant difference in the proportion of local or wider area organisations that had changed the way they worked. 45 4.3.2. If yes, what actions has your organisation taken? Response Response Percent Total 1 Collaboration with other VCS organisations 46.9% 106 2 Collaboration with private sector organisations 23.0% 52 Sharing back office functions (such as finance 3 or HR support) with other organisations 16.8% 38 Outsourcing some of your functions 9.7% 22 5 Making staff redundant 39.4% 89 6 Taking on more volunteers 52.2% 118 4 7 Taking on apprentices/interns/students 31.4% 71 8 Increased use of ICT or social networking 35.8% 81 Developing fundraising 9 capacity / diversifying income streams 60.2% 136 10 Moving / sub-letting premises 17.3% 39 11 Working with commissioners 27.9% 63 12 Improving relationship with funders 34.1% 77 38.9% 88 Developing new ways to 13 measure your organisation‟s impacts 14 Redesigning services better around user‟s needs 38.5% 87 15 Developing a new business model 50.0% 113 16 Merger with another organisation 10.6% 24 17 More informal partnership work 48.2% 109 4.9% 11 18 Other, please specify: The most common action to adapt to change was to develop fundraising capacity/ diversify income streams (60%) although taking on more volunteers (52%), 46 developing a new business model (50%), more collaboration (47%) and more informal partnership working (48%) were also common responses. 11% of respondents had merged with another organisation, or were looking to merge. Of the other responses: Four organisations (2%) were reducing paid staff hours or working more hours unpaid Three (1.5%) were making increased efficiency savings Two (1%) were using more infrastructure support One (0.5%) was recruiting more staff One(0.5%) was taking on temporary rather than permanent staff One (0.5%) had recruited a new Chair and Board to take the organisation forward Last year, 54% of 2011 survey respondents had made staff redundant compared with 39% this year. “[We are producing more] online resources, however, I have found that our client group does not engage or have enough understanding to make the most of them.” “Re-structuring the organisation to cut costs and work more effectively.” “Exploring new and different ways of working with and across the LGBT sector.” “Exiting contracts with delayed [Payment by Results] PBR elements and contracting to work on only 'fair' PBR contracts or grants.” 47 When I talk to our residents at my YMCA and ask them what they really want, like many others, they say they want their own home with their own front door When I look at our council‟s housing waiting list it shows a significant increase in single people applying for housing, limiting the chance for our residents being offered a flat. When I ask our housing staff what the biggest barrier is in preventing our residents from moving on in their lives, the overwhelming feedback is that there isn‟t enough suitable „move-on‟ accommodation. When I consider the changes in housing benefit, it seems clear to me that shared accommodation is becoming one of the only options for most of our residents – not an ideal solution. When I read the Joseph Rowntree Foundation Housing Report on young people, that states 1.5 million young people will, by 2020, be pushed into the private rented sector, where quality and security can be questionable, I think there has to be a better alternative. I got inspired by this to find a solution. Y:Cube Housing was born. Y:Cube Housing schemes consist of clusters of self-contained units that don‟t require any capital grant and offer good quality, affordable accommodation for single people. The schemes are well suited for location on a variety of sites, which may not be suitable for a traditional development. Y:Cube is fully funded by a large pension fund, so a housing provider need only sign a lease (in the range of 10-20 years) to see the units craned in and installed on the site. Their first residents can be moving in within four months from signing the lease. At the end of the lease the units are simply disconnected and moved elsewhere. That is why, when I think about the future for our residents, I get excited. Over the next few months we will be launching the first Y:Cube scheme in London. Y:Cube isn‟t just good news for our residents, it can provide ideal accommodation for workers and students. Y:Cube Housing is an exciting development in single person housing - it might not solve every housing issue that we‟re seeing, but it‟s an important start. Key points: Y:Cube is a new, bespoke housing solution with cubes made off-site and put together in a variety of configurations. Schemes can be up and running just four months after planning consent has been secured. Running costs for the tenants are kept low as schemes meet Code 3 for Sustainable Homes and are designed to last 60 years.. The single room reference rates for under 35 year olds won‟t apply if the accommodation is managed by a registered housing provider. Andy Redfearn, Director of Development at YMCA London South West 48 Response Response Percent Total 1 Collaboration with other VCS organisations 46.9% 106 2 Collaboration with private sector organisations 23.0% 52 Sharing back office functions (such as finance 3 or HR support) with other organisations 16.8% 38 Outsourcing some of your functions 9.7% 22 5 Making staff redundant 39.4% 89 6 Taking on more volunteers 52.2% 118 4 7 Taking on apprentices/interns/students 31.4% 71 8 Increased use of ICT or social networking 35.8% 81 Developing fundraising 9 capacity / diversifying income streams 60.2% 136 10 Moving / sub-letting premises 17.3% 39 11 Working with commissioners 27.9% 63 12 Improving relationship with funders 34.1% 77 38.9% 88 Developing new ways to 13 measure your organisation‟s impacts 14 Redesigning services better around user‟s needs 38.5% 87 15 Developing a new business model 50.0% 113 16 Merger with another organisation 10.6% 24 17 More informal partnership work 48.2% 109 4.9% 11 18 Other, please specify: . 49 Comparison with last year Changes Improve fundraising / diversifying income Collaboration within sector Sharing back office functions Making staff redundant Taking on more staff Taking on more volunteers Taking on more apprentices / interns Making changes to premises / moving / subletting Merger with another organisation Collaboration with private sector Outsourcing services Better use of ICT / social networking Developing new ways to measure impacts Redesign services better around users needs Develop new business model Improve work with funders / commissioners Get more support from infrastructure Increased efficiency savings More staff working unpaid / reducing paid hours 2010-11 15% 51% 16% 54% 8% 56% 3% 2011-12 60% 47% 17% 39% 0.4% 52% 31% 32% 17% 0% 0.8% 0% 9.% 1% 11% 23% 10% 36% 39% 16% 39% 8% 2% 3% 5% 50% 61% 1% 1% 8% 2% The reports of actions taken were more organised and less pessimistic than those expressed in last year‟s survey. In last year‟s responses many commented that they had only just heard of large cuts to their funding and were struggling to cope with increasing demands for services as their resources were dwindling. This year, fewer respondents mentioned unsustainable short-term actions such as making staff redundant, making efficiency savings and staff working unpaid or reducing their paid hours. Instead, this year, there is more positive strategic planning such as developing new business models, diversifying funding sources, redesigning services, making greater use of ICT or social media and working in collaboration, including with the private sector, funders and commissioners. This year, 10% of respondents had merged and one other organisation was seriously considering merger, while in answer to last year‟s survey, of the 3% of organisations that mentioned mergers, none mentioned concrete plans to take this forward. 50 4.4.1 Overall has your organisation's funding increased or decreased from 2011-12 to 2012-13? Response Response Percent Total 1 Increased 15.9% 40 2 Decreased 59.9% 151 3 No Change 19.1% 48 4 Don‟t Know 6.4% 16 60% of respondents had seen a reduction in their total funding in 2011-12, with only 16% reporting an increase. Of the 15% who quantified their funding increase, the median increase was 1-20%. Of the 59% of respondents with a decrease in their funding who quantified this, the median loss was 21-40%. One organisation said it had lost 100% of its funding. The averages of the median figures (a 10% increase for 15% of respondents and a 30% decrease for 59%) estimates a net reduction of 22% in London‟s VCS survey respondents‟ total funding in this one year alone. Comparing local and wider area organisations Slightly more local organisations (66%) had seen a decrease in their funding than wider area organisations (55%) over the year. 4.4.2 Compared to 2011-12, what do you expect to happen to your funding from the public sector in the next year (April 2012- March 2013)? (n = 252) Response Response Percent Total 1 Increase 4.0% 10 2 Decrease 53.2% 134 3 No change 18.7% 47 4 Don‟t Know 12.7% 32 5 Not applicable 11.9% 30 53% expected their public sector funding to decrease over the next year, with only 4% anticipating an increase. Of the 4% expecting an increase in their public sector funding, the median was expected to be 21-40%, although one organisation expected an increase of over 51 100%. Of those who expected a decrease, the median estimate was 21-40%. This is the same median decrease as estimated last year. Using the same calculation as above, this estimates a net decrease in public sector funding to the survey respondents of 26% over 2012-13. Comparing local and wider area organisations There was no difference between local and wider area organisations in the proportion who thought their public sector funding was likely to decrease (53%). Over the years % expecting public sector funding to decrease 2009 N/A 2010 53% 2011 77% 2012 53% This suggests most people expect last year‟s public spending cuts, which the Government stated would be front-loaded, will prove to be more extensive than those in 2012-13. Alternatively, last year‟s cuts may have reduced the number of organisations funded by, or the percentage of their funding that comes from, the public sector either through closure of the organisation itself or through diversification of its funding income to more non-public sector sources. This could explain the increase in the proportion of survey respondents answering „no change‟ or „not applicable‟ from 13% in 2011 to 31% in 2012. Nevertheless, despite the more optimistic assessment in 2012, over half of respondents expected a decrease in their public sector funding in 2012-13. Following the cuts last year, many organisations may struggle to cope with a further decrease in their funds from the statutory sector. 4.4.3 Compared to 2011-12, what do you expect to happen to your funding from trust funders in the next year (April 2012-March 2013)? (n = 252) Response Response Percent Total 1 Increase 17.9% 45 2 Decrease 25.8% 65 3 No change 20.2% 51 4 Don‟t know 23.8% 60 5 Not applicable 12.3% 31 Only 26% expected their trust funding to decrease this year, while 18% expected an increase. Of the 16% who could quantify the expected increase in their trust funding in 201213, the median increase expected was 1-20%. Of 26% who expected and quantified a decrease in their trust funding, the median estimate was a loss of 21-40%. 52 Using the same calculation as before, this estimates a net loss of 14% in trust funding from the survey respondents from 2011-12 to 2012-13. Comparing local and wider area organisations Slightly more wider area organisations (20%) expected their funding from trust funders to increase than did local organisations (14%) but for more local organisations, this question was not applicable, suggesting a higher proportion received no trust funding. Over the years those expecting a decrease in trust funding 2009 Not asked 2010 38% 2011 28% 2012 26% This has shown little change over the years, suggesting that people are more confident of funding from charitable trusts than from the public sector and that their confidence in trust funders seems to be increasing as public spending cuts bite. 4.4.4 Have you closed any services in 2011-12? (n = 252) Response Response Percent Total 1 Yes 41.3% 104 2 No 56.0% 141 3 Don‟t Know 3.2% 8 41% had closed services in the last year – this compares with 51% in 2010-11 and respondents‟ estimates at the time that 54% would be closing services in 2011-12. This suggests that the sector could be adapting more successfully to the economic climate and managing to keep more services open than expected. Alternatively, many of the organisations expecting to close services in 2010 -11 may themselves have closed completely and would then have been unlikely to complete this survey in 2012, thus potentially biasing results towards a more positive figure. Although 41% is less severe than estimated last year, the reported closure of services by 51% of organisations in 2010-11 and by 41% of organisations in 2011-12 demonstrates the large and negative impact that the current climate is having on London‟s VCS and the people who rely on its services. Comparing local and wider area organisations More local organisations (49%) closed services than wider area organisations (38%). 4.4.5 If yes, which services were these? (n = 102) 98% of organisations that reported that they had closed services in 2011-12 completed this question. 53 The services most affected by closures were employment and skills services (29% of those who had closed services cut those relating to employment and skills). These were followed by support services for other VCS organisations (28%), specialist services for particular communities (26%) and advice services (23%). If children and young people‟s services are grouped together, they account for 25% of closures. If physical and mental health are grouped together, they account for 17%. Weighting responses for services delivered by respondents If services closed are weighted for the proportion of these services provided by survey respondents, specialist services for particular communities are the most affected, followed by employment and skills, environmental services and support services for other VCS organisations. If children and young people are grouped together, they are the second most affected. If physical and mental health are grouped together, they are below the top five most affected by closures. This indicates that employment and skills, children and young people, specialist services for particular communities and support services for VCS organisations were disproportionately cut in 2011-12. This compares with last year when advice, children and young people and health services were being disproportionately cut. 54 With only eleven weeks notice, Greenwich‟s Youthreach service was told that its funding had been cut by 100 per cent. Not the 40 per cent that staff had hoped for, but a 100 per cent cut. Closure. “We‟ve been here 25 years, and in eleven weeks, it‟ll be gone,” said Maria Day, Youthreach‟s Director. Many of the volunteer counsellors had, as children, been helped by places like Youthreach, and with this cut, felt that their chance to do the same for others was being snatched away from them. Youthreach provided weekly counselling sessions for young people between the ages of 11 and 25 who needed support of some kind but often did not meet stringent NHS criteria for more formal care. The typical Youthreach service user was not an offender or someone identified as having high level clinical needs, as with other youth counselling services. It was in many respects a typical VCS preventative service. “We can‟t pass them onto anyone,” said Maria, speaking about the young people who used Youthreach‟s service. “What remains available is really narrow.” For users, the closure of Youthreach was a loss. “I loved Youthreach,” says Alicia*. “I didn‟t have to worry about being judged. My counsellor made me feel normal at a time when I wasn‟t normal in my head.” Alicia started to lose weight after her five-year relationship broke up. “I started throwing up,” she said. “I had panic attacks. I lost my fertility. I got down to five-and-a-half stone, nearly five stone.” After her mother convinced her to see a GP, her blood tests “came back on the borderline of okay. I wasn‟t so bad that I was nearly dying, so they said they wouldn‟t do anything about it unless I went to an institute myself.” Several months after the Youthreach service closed, Alicia said, “Unfortunately, I am again having issues with my health, weight, body image. I know of course it won't ever fully disappear, but seeing as I'm not at my worst state, I am not eligible for help from the doctors, and seeing as services such as Youthreach have been taken away, there is no help.” For Emily*, Youthreach “was an enormous relief. Obviously it wasn‟t going to make all my issues suddenly vanish because they‟re to do with the way I think. But, seriously, it felt really good.” Having conquered much of her anxiety, yet with nowhere now to go for counselling for herself as Youthreach has closed, Emily instead is going to try to help others. She is currently planning to start volunteering with other young people suffering from anxiety and depression. *names have been changed Adapted from „One Cut‟, a blog post by Jon Ronson 55 Preventative versus curative services Only 13% of services closed were purely „curative‟ (services that address a particular problem once it has arisen) suggesting that „preventative‟ services (that work with people to stop them developing a problem) are being disproportionately closed (32%), as also suggested by our survey in 2010-11. 4.4.6 Are you expecting any of your services to close in the next year (April 2012 – March 2013)? (n = 252) Response Response Percent Total 1 Yes 29.4% 74 2 No 42.5% 107 3 Don‟t Know 28.6% 72 Only 29% of organisations expected to close services this year, compared to 54% who expected to close services in the previous year (2010-11). Comparing local and wider area organisations Slightly more local organisations (34%) expected to close services in 2012-13 than wider area organisations (28%). 4.4.7 If yes, which services are these? (n=73) The highest per cent of service closures expected in 2012-13 are to support services for VCS organisations (29%), employment and skills services (26%) and specialist services for particular communities (25%). If children and young people are grouped together, they account for 25% and physical and mental health for 26% of expected service closures. Weighting responses for services delivered by respondents Weighting for proportion of services delivered by groups responding to the survey shows that the highest cuts proportionately are to health services, followed by children and young people‟s services, specialist services for particular communities, support services for VCS organisations and employment and skills services. Thus all these services are estimated to be at a disproportionate risk of closure in 2012-13. Preventative versus curative services Again preventative services were felt to be most in danger with four times as many (32%) potentially being cut, as compared to curative services (8%) expected to be closed in 2012-13. 56 4.4.8 Have you had to use your unrestricted or free reserves to pay for some or all of your organisation‟s expenditure over 2011-12? (n = 252) 54% of organisations have had to use reserves to pay for some or all of their expenditure this year. 8% said that their organisation had no free reserves in 201112. Response Response Percent Total 1 Yes 53.6% 135 2 No 29.4% 74 3 Don‟t Know 10.3% 26 My organisation had 4 no unrestricted or free reserves in 2011-12 7.5% 19 Comparing local and wider area organisations Slightly more wider area organisations (56%) had used free reserves to pay for expenditure over 2011-12 than local organisations (50%). However, a greater proportion of local organisations (11%) had no unrestricted or free reserves in 201112 than wider area organisations (4%). 4.4.9 If yes, by the end of 2011-12, are your organisation‟s unrestricted or free reserves… (n = 133) Response Response Percent Total 1 Zero 6.8% 9 2 Less than one month‟s expenditure 8.3% 11 3 Less than three month‟s expenditure 37.6% 50 4 Less than one year‟s expenditure 30.1% 40 5 More than one year‟s expenditure 3.8% 5 13.5% 18 6 Don‟t Know At the end of the year, 7% of organisations had no free reserves. Only 34% of respondents stated that they had more than three month‟s expenditure in free reserves. Over half (53%) of respondents had less than three months‟ expenditure in free reserves at the end of 2011-12. 57 Comparing local and wider area organisations No local organisations, and 6% of wider area organisations, had free reserves worth more than one year‟s expenditure at the end of 2011-12. There was no difference between local (6%) and wider area (7%) organisations reporting zero free reserves at the end of 2011-12. 4.5.1 What support do you need to help you respond to economic and/or policy changes in 2012-13? (n = 244) Response Response Percent Total 1 Fundraising 58.2% 142 Lobbying or campaigning for 2 sustainable funding /contracts 43.4% 106 Lobbying or 3 campaigning for policy change 36.9% 90 Influencing commissioning 4 processes / needs assessments 40.6% 99 5 Tendering for contracts 36.9% 90 6 Demonstrating your impact or added value 44.3% 108 Business support, such as planning, 7 governance or employment advice 26.2% 64 8 Collaboration and partnership working 43.9% 107 9 Consortia development 20.9% 51 10.7% 26 10 Mergers 11 Support to work with the private sector 26.6% 65 12 Support to work with the statutory sector 22.1% 54 13 We do not have any support needs 10.2% 25 14 Other, please specify: 1.2% 3 58 The greatest support needs are around fundraising (58%), with other common needs being support to lobby and campaign on VCS funding (43%); influence policy (37%); measure impact (44%); collaboration or partnership working (44%). There was considerably more demand for support on collaboration and partnership working (44%) than consortia development (27%) or merger (11%). 10% of respondents said that they had no support needs with reasons given including: Two (1%) organisations were closing because of loss of all their funding One (0.5%) works with its national centre when it needs support One (0.5%) said its work was too specialist to make any external support worthwhile as it would take so long to understand their organisation One (0.5%) said that policy changes did not impact on their organisation‟s work One (0.5%) said that their needs varied too widely over time to decide Of those who answered „other‟: One (0.5%) said they didn‟t know One (0.5%) wanted help to ensure their work continued to reflect their mission, rather than simply surviving for its own sake One (0.5%) wanted more acknowledgement of the importance of localism and that wider consortia did not always bring economies of scale 4.5.2 Do you have any suggestions as to how London Voluntary Service Council (LVSC), policy makers and funders can help support you in the year ahead? 4.5.2a Suggestions for LVSC (n = 99) Fifty-seven (58%) see LVSC's role as proactively campaigning and lobbying funders and commissioners, including London Councils, trust funders, the Mayor of London, Greater London Authority (GLA) and national government. Suggestions for doing this included: Collecting evidence on the role and benefits of the VCS in the capital, including the benefits of small, specialist and equalities groups Lobbying for improvements to funding practices and commissioning processes for the sector Defending high quality services and good employment practices in the VCS Improving partnership working within the sector and helping groups to engage with funders and commissioners by providing a united lobbying voice for London's VCS Sending out clear, useful and up-to-date information (including contact details of commissioners and funders) to support groups to engage in this work Monitoring and publicising successes and changes in funding and commissioning policy and practice that makes improvements for the VCS and its users 59 12% specifically mentioned LVSC‟s role in providing evidence and arguments to funders and commissioners on the benefits of small, specialist and equalities VCS groups and community development approaches. 3% specifically mentioned making the case for the different needs in London and the role of London‟s VCS in addressing these. 3% felt LVSC should lobby to stop minimum level contracts and payment by results models being applied inappropriately to London‟s VCS organisations by commissioners and prime contractors. 3% argued that LVSC should specifically campaign to improve sub-contracting arrangements between prime contractors and the capital‟s VCS. 2% felt LVSC should gather evidence of the benefits, and campaign for funders to support VCS infrastructure organisations. 2% stated that LVSC should develop arguments and campaign to ensure funders and commissioners take a long-term cost-saving approach by investing in preventative services. Overall, 23% felt that LVSC should have a policy influence and communications role. 5% praised LVSC‟s current policy work but some felt it could be more proactive, bring the sector together better to work on issues more collaboratively and provide clearer information and communications. 16% requested that LVSC measure the impacts of new policy and its implementation. Issues suggested included the impacts of cuts on London‟s VCS and their service users (8%, with three suggesting that LVSC should continue its present work on this issue), the impacts of welfare reform (3%) and, in particular, housing benefit reform (1%) in London. 2% mentioned collecting evidence of issues arising from recent legal aid cuts and 2% said collecting case studies and information on the implementation of the Localism Act. 16% wanted LVSC to provide more support on partnership working, collaboration and consortia development, not just between VCS organisations but also with the private sector, the statutory sector (including the NHS) and with trade unions. Some of this work should be specifically with London‟s VCS, bringing them together to develop a united voice to lobby policymakers and funders. Other cross-sector partnerships could provide in-kind support, share good practice and training across the sectors and support higher quality, more integrated service provision. Support for small and specialist VCS organisations to collaborate and/or develop consortia is particularly important in the present economic climate when they are often felt to be too small to be cost effective when commissioned individually. 15% wanted LVSC to provide more training and one-to-one support services, particularly around organisational issues such as business planning, collaboration, merger, tendering, contract negotiation and related VAT issues, measuring impact, the pension system and fundraising. 5% specifically mentioned that this training should be free in the present financial climate. One respondent suggested that LVSC should establish and manage a team of expert volunteers to provide support on these issues, while another suggested that LVSC should establish and support Centres of Excellence to share learning, knowledge and skills. 9% of respondents to this question specifically mentioned that LVSC needed to do more face-to-face work, come out to meet groups, be more inclusive and more proactively engage grassroots groups and communities. An additional 3% of 60 respondents wanted LVSC to work better and more closely with local Councils for Voluntary Service in London, 2% of respondents‟ suggested that LVSC should work more closely in partnership with specialist equalities VCS infrastructure organisations and 7% suggested that it should continue or improve support of equalities work with small and specialist organisations. There is a clear need to better link grassroots community development, borough-level VCS organisations and equalities groups to address issues that affect London‟s VCS as a whole. This could be facilitated by LVSC adopting a more outreach-based approach, increasing its own collaborations and promoting and facilitating more London-wide partnership working. 5% of respondents felt that LVSC should have a greater role in networking VCS organisations themselves, as well as with policymakers and funders. Suggestions included more free events, roundtables, virtual e-mail groups, use of social media and more effective and frequent two-way communications. Finally, 3% of respondents stated that they did not have any suggestions for LVSC nor require any support from them, while two respondents had not heard of LVSC and did not have a clear idea of its role. 61 15billion is an independent agency that makes a difference by supporting young people into employment and training. Business Development Manager Philip Mathew is relieved that 15billion was not involved in the government-funded Work Programme this year: “The Work Programme is officially in dire straits. Some organisations have gone into liquidation as a result of the payment by result rules. The latest performance figures do not read at all well.” Meanwhile, 15billion continues to do what it does best: providing a lifeline for some of London‟s most vulnerable young people. Dega* came to the UK as a refugee from Somalia under very difficult circumstances. She was attending college but has had to drop out to look for employment in order to feed the family. She is now volunteering with 15billion whiles she seeks full time employment. She says, “Before the recession you could find a job in many fields but now there are only a few jobs, in very limited areas. 15billion provides people with the opportunity to train and gain the experience they need. 15billion is very important to me because it is allowing me to gain valuable knowledge about the recruitment and training industry.” After suffering serious childhood trauma, John* turned to crime. When he came out of jail he was determined to turn over a new leaf. 15billion supported him onto a construction course, which he passed with flying colours, and he is now a peer educator at 15billion, supporting other young adults. John says, “The recession has affected me a lot: to change my life I needed to get a job. 15billion gave me this opportunity so I pursue my goals and thank them very much for giving me this chance. 15billion is one of the very few organisations that stick with their words! Without them I know for sure I would be committing crime. 15billion gave me this second chance. I will not fail again in life.” *names have been changed 4.5.2b Suggestions for policymakers (n = 92) 34% of respondents suggested there should be more training available to help policymakers better understand the VCS and vice versa 23% thought that policymakers should take more time to evaluate the impact of their policies and mitigate any negative effects 17% wanted policymakers to measure the social impacts of their policies. 15% thought that policymakers needed to address the impact of changes in commissioning on smaller VCS organisations, specifically mentioning payment by results, larger contracts, minimum contract levels, prime contractor behaviour and allocating risk 14% suggested that policymakers should take more account of evidence in formulating policy 62 13% thought there should be more emphasis on preventative services, which saved money in the long-term 13% thought policymakers should consider how their policies could better support smaller and local VCs organisations and 11% wanted policymakers to give greater consideration to reducing inequality when formulating policy Other suggestions included: Better understanding and support for VCS infrastructure (4%) Ringfence specific funds for VCS organisations (3%) Better understanding and support for specialist organisations or services that worked with particular communities (3%) Address the problems with immigration policy that leave people unable to work (2%) Provide more support and subsidies for individuals to enter training and education at a time when unemployment is high (1%) Measure the environmental impacts of their policies (1%) Specifically revise housing policy in London (1%) 4.5.2c Suggestions for funders (n = 92) 65% suggested that the operational practice of funders could be improved with 16% specifically mentioning that there needs to be less bureaucracy, 12% better communication with funded organisations and potential fundees, 10% thought that they should address the problems caused for VCS organisations by large contracts, payment by results and the use of prime contractor models, 10% that they should demonstrate greater openness and accountability and 8% that should be less risk averse. Another 6% thought that funders still unnecessarily favoured new projects above funding services that were proven to work, while 3% felt funders needed to provide longer timescales to complete tenders for contracts. 15% thought that funders should target more funding at small and local organisations 12% that they should work more in partnership with the VCS 11% thought that they should specifically fund VCs infrastructure 10% that they should invest more in preventative and/or policy work 10% that they should specifically target their funding at reducing inequality and promoting social cohesion 9% that they should target funds to specialist organisations or services that work with particular communities 9% that they should provide longer-term funding agreements 7% that funders should ring-fence some of their funds for the VCS and 5% that they need to work better and more closely with other funders Other suggestions included: Funders should provide more transitional funding to help VCS organisations to prepare for the new economic and policy climate (2%) 63 Funders should publicise and advocate for the organisations that they fund (2%) More funding needs to be targeted at medium-sized groups (2%) More funding should address climate change / environmental sustainability (1%) Funders should have more awareness about how much it costs to recruit, train and support volunteers (1%) Funders should provide more resources and support for credit unions (1%) “I found Southwark Muslim Women‟s Association (SMWA) at a very difficult time,” says Mariam*. “I was isolated and living in a hostel with my young daughter. I had applied to do other courses but they were full or had no crèche. SMWA had both. “More than anything, SMWA provided me with emotional support and helped me access other services I needed. I was so vulnerable, and the people I met here were just so kind. Without SMWA I would be one of the many women who end up being treated for depression. Instead, I have had a chance to get my life on track and I have now applied to do an access course to go to University.” SMWA's Bridging Communities interfaith project aims to empower women to share information about their faith and culture. The project is also helping SMWA reach out to other community organisations and make new links with people from other faiths. However, SMWA foresees challenges over the coming year. "We realize we must continue to improve in the areas of monitoring and building up our resources. With the right kind of training we can continue to improve in this area. We also need to find better ways of reaching out to potential members, to find new links to women who can benefit from our services, whatever their faith. "For this we need not only the funding and expert advice, but also the staff. Without good communications and outreach we cannot reach the people who can really benefit from our services. However, we know that funding itself will be one of the major issues we face this year. “There is much discussion about the „Big Society‟ as a new way of providing services from the current government and it cannot be denied that there is a lot of uncertainty about what this really entails. But at SMWA we know that with sufficient support and funding, small groups can make a big contribution. We are delighted to be running a volunteer programme that gives people the skills, knowledge and confidence to contribute on a personal level to society. But we also need the commitment of a core team of dedicated, trained staff to make sure that projects such as these can be developed to their full potential." *names have been changed 64 4.6.1 Who funds respondents? (n= 247) Response Response Percent Total 1 Local Authority 55.9% 138 2 Primary Care Trust 18.6% 46 Another local 3 statutory sector funder 8.1% 20 4 London Councils 15.4% 38 Greater London Authority 7.7% 19 3.2% 8 Government Department 21.1% 52 8 National Lottery 33.6% 83 9 Local charitable trust 26.7% 66 5 Another regional 6 statutory sector funder 7 10 London-based charitable trust 40.5% 100 11 National charitable trust 41.3% 102 12 Private sector sources 24.7% 61 39.3% 97 13 Other, please specify: The majority of respondents (56%) received some local authority funding. This is significant at a time of considerable local authority funding cuts. 27%, 41% and 41% respectively received funding from local, regional or national charitable trusts suggesting that a significant proportion of organisations are not wholly dependent on Government funding. 25% received funding from the private sector. Analysis of „other‟ sources of funding Income generation / membership Donations No funding / in-kind support only Other charities Schools and colleges 20.6% 8.1% 3.2% 2.4% 2.0% 51 20 8 6 5 65 Church European Irish government Personal budgets Investment income LINKs 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 2 1 1 1 1 1 From those that answered „other‟, there is a reasonably large proportion (21%) that receive some of their funding from income generating activities/membership fees and (8%) from donations. 71 organisations (29%) did not receive any funds from the public sector, although this included the 8 organisations who received no funding at all. The remaining 26% were mainly funded through trusts, the Big Lottery, the private sector, donations and their own income generating activities. The Third Sector Research Centre found that 36% of VCS organisations received some funding from statutory sources, but this is higher for certain groups and those in deprived areas88. Amongst our respondents this was 71% indicating London organisations, particularly those LVSC works with, are more dependent on public sector funding. Comparing local and wider area organisations More local groups (68%) were funded by local authorities than wider area groups (48%) and many fewer local groups were funded by national government (6 vs 24%). National Lottery funding was higher for wider area groups (35 vs 28%), as was funding from the private sector (27 vs 14%) and through income generating activities (21 vs 4%). Local and regional trust funding was reasonably similar between the two. 4.6.2 Frontline or infrastructure organisations (n = 241) Response Response Percent Total 1 Frontline service delivery organisation 39.4% 95 2nd 2 tier/Infrastructure/support/umbrella organisation 24.9% 60 A mixture of frontline delivery and support services 33.6% 81 4 Don't Know 0.8% 2 5 Other, please specify: 1.2% 3 3 66 39% provided frontline services, 25% were purely infrastructure and 34% provided a mixture of both. Of the three that responded „other‟ one was a grant funder and two said that they had closed all their services as a result of loss of funding. The NCVO Almanac 2012 found that only 1% of voluntary and community sector organisations were „umbrella bodies‟. This could indicate that LVSC‟s survey and contacts are biased to infrastructure organisations or that groups themselves define „infrastructure services‟ much more widely than sector „umbrella bodies‟ or a combination of the two. 4.6.3 Geographical area served (n = 244) Response Response Percent Total 1 National 23.0% 56 2 London-wide 20.1% 49 3 Several London boroughs 25.0% 61 4 A single London borough 23.8% 58 A small 5 neighbourhood or ward in London 6.6% 16 6 Other, please specify: 1.6% 4 There was a roughly equal split between groups working at national, regional, subregional and borough level. Only 7% worked at neighbourhood level suggesting that this section of VCS is significantly under-represented amongst survey respondents. Of the four respondents replying „other‟ one worked in two London boroughs only, one mainly worked in Tunbridge Wells, although also in London one also worked in Oxfordshire and one also worked in the USA. 4.6.4 Services the respondents provided (n = 247) Most popular services provided by respondents were volunteering (42%) followed by support services for other VCS organisations (40%) employment & skills (39%) and advice services (37%). 30% provided specialist services for particular communities. When children & young people are grouped together they cover 40% of respondents and physical and mental health together, 38% 67 Response Response Percent Total Advice services (e.g. benefits, debt, 1 employment, redundancy advice) 37.2% 92 Support services for other organisations 2 (e.g. infrastructure support, fundraising support/advice) 40.0% 99 3 Volunteering 42.1% 104 4 Physical health and care services 20.6% 51 5 Mental health and care services 26.3% 65 6 Advocacy and/or interpreting services 25.9% 64 7 Employment & Skills services 38.5% 95 8 Children‟s services 24.7% 61 9 Youth services 30.0% 74 Older people‟s services 19.4% 48 Specialist services for 11 a particular community 30.4% 75 Direct support for those in poverty (e.g. 12 individual grants or food packages) 10.1% 25 Services for those 13 who misuse drugs and alcohol 14.2% 35 16.2% 40 15 victims of crime 7.7% 19 Support services for 16 ex-offenders or those at risk of offending 15.4% 38 15.4% 38 10 Domestic and/or 14 sexual violence Support services for Services for the 17 homeless (or those at risk of homelessness) 68 Response Response Percent Total Recycling or 18 environmental 8.1% 20 9.3% 23 services 19 Other, please specify: Other services mentioned were: Arts and culture 6 Education 5 Support for carers 4 Mediation 2 Mentoring 2 Community development 2 Parenting support 1 2.4% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% Again this does not follow the spread of organisational services identified in NCVO‟s UK Civil Society Almanc 2012 where organisations delivering health and social care make up the greatest subsector of the voluntary and community sector (23%) and, for example, housing organisations make up only 2% of the sector. This could be the result of the different cateogrisation processes used within the almanac and this service, but also suggests that LVSC‟s respondents were less likely to include specific subsectors of the VCS such as international development or grant-making foundations. In attempt to address any sampling bias, comparisons of subsectors were weighted inversely according to the number of respondents providing that particular service. 69 This chapter provides an in-depth picture of the impact of the economic climate and policy changes on Londoners and the VCS, including staff, volunteers and trustees, combining LVSC‟s survey findings with research and data collected by others. The impact on advice services, health, and volunteering have remained key themes since LVSC started the Big Squeeze campaign in 2009. In 2012, advice remained a key service area affected by increases in demand while organisations facing disproportionate service closures included those providing support with employment & skills, specialist support for particular communities and VCS infrastructure support, as well as those working with children & young people. This year‟s results also suggested that services addressing the longer-term impacts of poverty were starting to see increased demand, including providers of support in health and care, crime and victim support, housing and homelessness, and alleviating poverty. It has been another tough year for London‟s voluntary and community sector (VCS). Forty-one per cent of organisations closed services in 2011-12. Estimates from respondents‟ answers suggested a net total loss of funding to London‟s VCS of 22% over the year (plus a 26% reduction in net public sector funding over the year). Research from other sources reinforces these findings. Of 39 London VCS groups providing figures for 2011-12 on the Voluntary Sector Cuts website89, the average cut is 26% of their previous annual income. Furthermore, LVSC‟s analysis of the data collected by False Economy for London identifies information shows that cuts made to the VCS by 18 London local authorities and under the regional London Councils grants scheme90 total £87million. Extrapolated to all 32 London local authorities and the City of London this could equate to £160million lost to the city‟s sector from this year‟s local authority spending cuts alone. Similarly, NCVO‟s desk-based research91 estimates that total local government spending on the VCS was reduced by £90.3 million nationally in 2011-12, (suggesting an estimated reduction of £19million in London, assuming 21% of the VCS is based in the capital, from NCVO‟s own figures). However, if central Government cuts are also included they calculate total government spending on the sector will be reduced by £178million across the country in 2011-12 (an extrapolated loss of approximately £37million in the capital). ACEVO produced research92 based on data provided by 1,725 VCS organisations that applied to the Office for Civil Society Transition Fund. It estimated that even in the best-case scenario, charities were set to lose 7.6% of their statutory income, while English local authorities faced an average 4.4% drop in spending power in 2012. Applicants reported facing cuts of £412m; based on what was happening to 70 these organisations, cuts to the wider sector were likely to be between £970m and just over £5.5bn. 23% (405) of applicants were based in London; these organisations had on average lost 43.6% of their income. London-based applicants reported a total income loss of £145.95 million. This suggests that overall, given the large number of charities in London, this region was most severely affected in terms of income loss to the VCS. Indeed the Big Squeeze 2012 survey suggested that LVSC‟s respondents were significantly more reliant on public sector funding than VCS organisations nationally. This is confirmed by LVSC‟s analysis of London organisations involved in the Cabinet Office‟s Third Sector survey93 and research from the Third Sector Research Centre94 which found that that VCS organisations in the capital are more dependent upon public sector funding, and suggesting that London‟s VCS will be more adversely affected by public sector funding cuts than VCS organisations across the UK as a whole. The Big Squeeze 2012 also found that 54% of respondents used free reserves to cover running costs in 2011-12, while at the end of 2011-12, only 34% reported more than three months expenditure in free reserves. 8% had no free reserves in 2011-12. This tallied with a Community Matters membership survey95 which showed that most of their member respondents were living on reserves, which had dropped by an average of 29% (down to £31,000). The Association of Charitable Foundations has also reported that its members are receiving more applications from charities that look to be at financial risk, with many having low or no reserves or running at a deficit96. 39% of organisations made staff redundant in 2011-12. Analysis of the Labour Force Survey between December 2010 and December 2011 showed that employment in the VCS fell by nearly 9%97, an estimated fall of 70,000 employees over the past 12 months. In comparison, public sector employment fell by 4.3% whilst private sector employment rose by 1.5% over the same period. The majority of the VCS fall (80%) occurred among female employees, with 56,000 fewer in the sector than 12 months previously, a decline of 10%. London saw a proportionately greater loss of 41,000 staff (59% of the total workforce loss). Despite these high levels of service closure, loss of funding and staff redundancy across the VCS in London. this year‟s survey demonstrated that the sector was responding more strategically to economic pressures than in previous years. Changes in ways of working relied more on strategic planning to better met users‟ needs in innovative ways than in previous years‟ surveys, when shorter-term, less sustainable changes, such as using more volunteers and staff reducing paid hours or increasing unpaid hours, were more often cited. Respondents to the Big Squeeze 2012 reported the largest increases in demand for their services, and expect further increases next year. This was confirmed by the 63% of all respondents who said that welfare reforms and 45% who said that legal aid cuts had, or were likely to have, disadvantaged the communities they worked with. While this year‟s survey did not provide conclusive evidence of more advice 71 services being cut, closure of advice services was disproportionate in the 2011 survey. This suggests that advice services in London are seeing large increases in demand at a time when funding remains the same or is being reduced. This finding echoes a report by Justice for All98 which found that advice charities were fast approaching a bottom line below which they cannot operate. Many had already closed (including Law for All and the Immigration Advisory Service) and more would follow. The report identified local authority funding as the biggest source of income for half of advice charities, usually funding core running costs and generalist advice. Following cuts, 22% of advice charities faced closure and most were making major cutbacks to frontline services. 62% were now advising fewer clients. This echoes the Big Squeeze 2012 finding that 85% of respondents felt that cuts to local authority budgets were having, or were likely to have, a negative impact on the communities with which they work. The Justice for All report found that legal aid rates had been cut by 10% since October 2011 and that from April 2013, legal aid would be virtually removed all together from charities. Face-to-face advice was under most threat, although this core service made the biggest difference to users and saved long-term costs. The Capitalise 2011 report99 from the London Debt Strategy Advisory Group also predicted a significant rise in the demand for debt advice from 2011 nationally. The higher levels of debt arrears in London that they evidenced suggested that both demand and need for debt advice in the capital were likely to be at a higher level. In relation to proposed changes to housing benefits and other welfare reforms, the report forecast an increase in the risk of rent arrears amongst tenants in London. Similarly the London Advice Watch report100 on the impact of changes to public sector funding of free advice services in London found: London has some of the greatest need for advice services, but will be the greatest loser if the government cuts much of civil legal aid as currently planned Just under 77,000 Londoners will lose housing, employment, debt, welfare benefits and immigration advice If the legal aid cuts are implemented Londoners will lose £9.33million in funding for housing, employment, debt, and welfare benefits law cases. The research estimates this will cost the government £55m in other expenditure Despite high number of advice services in London there remain significant gaps in provision, particularly in outer areas There are barriers to Londoners from the lowest social classes using telephone advice lines and they are reluctant to do so Government Transition Fund payments to advice providers will be largely wasted, as organisations will be unable to replace legal aid and other government funding One VCS advice organisation responding to the Big Squeeze 2012 reported on the importance of linking advice work with policy change to address policies that systematically failed their clients and led to increased demand for advice. They said: 72 “Current available funding of advice services is sufficient to meet only a fraction of unmet need and there is no long-term commitment to on-going funding. It is therefore very important to invest in initiatives and services that will... lessen demand in the longer term... Not investing in preventative work or early action will fail to address underlying systemic failings and fail to realise the full potential of advice services which, when they work well, can transform lives, improve outcomes across public services and save public money.” The Big Squeeze survey 2012 suggested that children & young people‟s (CYP) services continued to be disproportionately cut across London. This confirms research by the National Children‟s Bureau101, which found that that this large sector within the VCS (49% of English charities work with children and young people and 26% work in this area only) is amongst the hardest hit by government austerity measures. 52% of CYP VCS organisations were reliant on statutory funding, as opposed to only 38% of the wider VCS, making them more vulnerable to public sector spending cuts than VCS organisations in general. In addition, Unite‟s survey of 147 play workers in England from across sectors (of whom 42% were in the VCS) found that 38% said play organisations were planning to cut services completely; 74% said employers had made cuts or intended to; 55% said play staff had been made redundant; and 81% said employers had reduced staff hours. The results of a Freedom of Information request by Unite to the 430 English and Welsh councils on their youth service spending was responded to by 112 councils, with 82 providing information to compare cuts from 2010-11 to 2011-12102. This showed that 20% of youth centres were due to close in the next year alone. In the past year, spending on services for young people had dropped by a national average of 12.3%, with London services experiencing an average drop of 13.7%. LB Bromley reported the third highest cut of all responding councils of 27%, while LB Haringey reported the loss of 7 youth centres, with only 4 set to remain open in the borough. A London Funders event103 on cuts to CYP services in the capital following LVSC‟s Big Squeeze 2011 noted particular needs associated with CYP in the capital: London‟s child population is growing (0-4 year olds rising by 12% from 200833). Youth unemployment in London affects one in four (against one in five nationally). There will be a shortfall of 70,000 school places in the capital in the next four years. Tight financial settlements for local authorities and changes in health commissioning resulted in front-loaded cuts to the children and young people‟s VCS in 2011-12. Static council tax in 2012-13 was expected to add further to these pressures. Local authorities account for at least 60% of funding for CYP services in London. The loss of regional structures is beginning to be felt, yet the need for services to liaise and be coordinated across Greater London remains. 73 The John Lyons Charitable Trust (a funder of CYP VCS organisations) had received fewer applications for grants in 2011-12: among the reasons were severe cuts in local authority funding that had led to the closure of many small and medium groups working with children and young people, and a reduction in VCS staff working on development and fundraising. Despite this there has been a resurgence in applications from youth clubs which had proved resilient due, often, to strong support in the local community and long-standing experience of applying for grants from foundations. The Trust is also funding new services especially in areas where traditional youth clubs are lacking. The BBC‟s Children in Need Fund reported a big spike in applications for small grants, while receiving fewer bigger applications than in recent years. While the average value of funding requested was rising, there was a notable drop in the quality of applications. Finally, levels of applicants‟ free reserves were lower than in previous years. 27% of this year‟s Big Squeeze 2012 survey respondents mentioned changes to educational policies, including the end of Educational Maintenance Allowance, as having a negative impact on the communities with which they worked, specifically on the confidence and aspirations of young people: “Much of our work is involved in providing young people with employability skills, but sadly there are no jobs. Changes in educational policies and cuts in school budgets will inhibit our ability to offer employability skills, work related learning and work experience to young people. This will impact on self confidence, motivation and attainment and leave them inadequately prepared for the world of work and learning.” The Big Squeeze 2012 survey found that 48% of respondents had seen worsening health (including mental health) amongst service users in 2011-12 and 47% thought that re-organisation and efficiency saving in the NHS had had, or were likely to have a negative impact on the communities with which they worked. Twenty-one per cent predicted that stress and major reform of the NHS would reduce the health and wellbeing of their service users in 2012 -13, while only 7% though that the NHS reforms and efficiency savings would have a positive impact. “Feedback direct from users [is that they] cannot afford classes. This community is already vulnerable, mental health is a major issue and they are not eating healthily as they face more poverty and this leads to worsening health and general wellbeing.” “People with mental health problems need 'hope'. There is such a heavy atmosphere surrounding the economic climate and that feeds into the negativity that's around already. With regard to re-organisation and 'efficiencies' within the NHS - translated to mental health this means that for 'efficiency' reasons people in our area are now going into acute inpatient wards out of borough - this cuts them off from their community and affects 74 visiting. It is being proposed that longer term treatment wards will also be out of borough.” There is extensive evidence that recession and economic decline have a negative effect on both physical and mental health. Experience from previous economic downturns predicts an increase in health inequalities, with more suicides, attempted suicides, homicides, domestic violence and mental health problems and worse disease outcomes such as tuberculosis and HIV104. There is also evidence of a longer term effect. One Dutch study of mortality over almost 200 years showed that being born during a recession increases risk of mortality in later life, and disproportionately so for the poorest105. In addition, unemployment (particularly longterm) increases the risk of poor physical and mental health, and is associated with unhealthy behaviours such as increased smoking and alcohol consumption and decreased physical exercise. The health and social effects resulting from a long period of unemployment can last for years106. A report from Newcastle107 investigated some impacts of the NHS reforms on VCS organisations providing health and care services. It found that many organisations receiving funding from Primary Care Trusts (PCTs) were concerned about whether this would be replaced when Clinical Commissioning Groups (CCGs) took over budgets. Many reported that although GPs had shown initial interest in their services this tailed off when it became clear that these non-clinical services required funding. VCS organisations who had used funding from outside the health service to meet the cost of working with referrals from GP practices and other statutory providers reported that ithey would have to start charging commissioners for such work, if it was to continue. The report recommended that CCGs should consider grant funding rather than contract funding some of the smaller non-clinical VCS services. LVSC suggests this solution would encourage a preventative approach to healthcare. An earlier report by NCVO and the King‟s Fund108 emphasised the difficulties caused to VCS organisations by the transition to the new NHS structures. They reported that as PCTs were dissolved, many VCS organisations rapidly lost their key contacts. As CCGs were embryonic organisations grappling with a range of new responsibilities and their own organisational development, they were unlikely to be able to offer support to the sector during the transition period. They argued that funding and support needed to be made available to help VCS organisations with the transition to new arrangements. Big Squeeze 2012 results showed, although it was not clear whether there had been a higher rate of closure of mental and physical health and care services in 2011-12 (as had been reported in 2011), respondents felt that health and care services were likely to be disproportionately closed in 2012-13. Although only 5% of Big Squeeze 2012 respondents specifically mentioned cuts to social care services and 1% less support for carers as having a negative impact on the communities they work with, this was not a separate tick box category in the survey, and many may have felt that this was covered by the „reform of the NHS‟ category. This is a major issue for older people, although not exclusively, and research by Age UK London and the Greater London Forum for the Elderly 109 has shown that spending by local authorities on older people‟s services in London has 75 shrunk over the last three financial years, despite increased numbers of older people in the population. They reported a spending cut of just over 3.4% from 2009 -10 to 2011-12. This figure would have been almost 7.4% without an additional transfer of just over £99.85 million from the NHS to support social care budgets across London. Finally, funding for drug and alcohol services is particularly affected by NHS reforms with the National Treatment Agency (NTA) being absorbed by the new body Public Health England, while substance misuse service funding will no longer be ringfenced. Local drug and alcohol prevention, treatment and rehabilitation services are expected to be commissioned by public health teams that are moving into local authorities with integration provided by the input of local Health & Well Being Boards while other funding is being transferred to the Mayor‟s Office for Policing & Crime in London and prison drug and alcohol services will be commissioned by the NHS Commissioning Board110. There is concern amongst VCS organisations involved in providing drug and alcohol services that these changes could reduce service provision and integration, particularly with mental health services111. One specialist drug and alcohol VCS organisation responding to the Big Squeeze 2012 survey stated: “Substance misuse money is ringfenced only up to March 31st 2013. Our regulatory body the NTA will be absorbed in a shadow form (if they continue to exist at all) into Public Health England and our commissioned services may all be decommissioned. Substance misuse is not high on GP Commissioning, Public Health England's or Health and Wellbeing Boards list of key priorities so may well experience extensive disinvestment, leaving our service users with no access to help.” Furthermore DrugScope112 has found that young people experiencing problems with drugs and alcohol will increasingly find it difficult to get support, as services close or reduce their staff numbers. Drugscope found that some local authorities have imposed funding cuts on their young people‟s services of up to 50%. A number of young people‟s treatment services have already closed in the London boroughs of Hammersmith & Fulham, Newham and Merton. Increased worklessness was identified as a negative effect on service users by 56% of Big Squeeze 2012 respondents and 21% thought that unemployment would continue to rise and have negative impacts on the communities they worked with in 2012-13. Welfare reform and introduction of the Work Programme were identified as having a negative impact on the communities they worked with by 63% and 39% of respondents respectively. Only 5% though welfare reform would have or would be likely to have a positive impact on the communities with which they worked. This figure was only 6% for the introduction of the Work Programme. “Long term unemployment will rise - as opportunities to obtain unskilled work continue to fall. Commissioning and Work Programme policies have reserved much more work solely for large and, generally, commercial organisations. 76 Waiting for 6 months to get paid - is too risky for us. [Our] organisation is facing closure.” Big Squeeze 2012 responses identified employment and skills services as experiencing a large increase in demand in 2011-12 and expected to see more increases in demand in 2012-13. At the same time, employment & skills services were identified as experiencing disproportionate levels of closure in 2011-12 and it was expected that this would continue in 2012-13. The issue of growing unemployment in London has been demonstrated by the Office for National Statistics (section 3.1.2), and this is a particular issue for young people in London, with the most recent figures showing that long-term youth unemployment in London increased by 7900 to almost 20,000 between 2011 and 2012113. The ACEVO Commission on Youth Unemployment114found that unemployment at this early stage of life leads to: A greater likelihood of being unemployed and welfare-dependent later in life In their mid-thirties, earnings on average of £1,500 - £3,000 per year less than peers who had not been unemployed A long-term adverse effect on mental and physical health Possibly, greater involvement in criminal offending A reduction in social mobility and an increase in social exclusion The Commission estimated that the on-going impact of youth unemployment represents £689 million per year nationally in future benefit payments due to additional periods of unemployment. Big Squeeze 2012 respondents raised concerns about the Work Programme commissioning approach. Earlier research by LVSC115 has demonstrated the negative impact of the Work Programme on the number of VCS providers commissioned to deliver employment & skills services through Government welfare to work programmes and this could explain why this subsector of the VCS is particularly affected by closures, despite unemployment levels rising across London. LVSC‟s research identified barriers presented to VCS providers by: The Payment by Results model, which requires organisations to have significant reserves or other ways to maintain cash flow The minimum contract and large geographic size of contract areas for prime contractors The transfer of risk from Government to prime contractors and the subsequent transfer of all this risk, in many cases from prime contractors to small VCS subcontractors Complicated TUPE arrangements required to take on staff from previous delivery organisations, which, in addition, were often not openly detailed prior to the award of the contract Lack of guaranteed numbers of referrals from prime contractors to many of the VCVS organisations they sub-contract, resulting in many receiving no referrals and hence no funding 77 Use of referral to VCS services by prime contractors as part of service user support, for which they did not pay, despite receiving funding from government for using such services to achieve volunteering or employment „results‟ In April 2012 LVSC reported that many VCS providers were still receiving no referrals from the Work Programme despite being signed up as „tier 2‟ subcontractors with the prime providers116. A number of VCS sub-contractors have withdrawn from their Work Programme subcontracts117. Philip Blond, Director of think tank ResPublica, Phillip Blond, has written that: “Both payment-by-results and the pre-tender capital requirements of the Work Programme effectively excluded smaller charities and local social enterprise providers. Prime contractors are meant to work with local charities, but there is little doubt that both the goodwill and the resources of the charities are being exploited.”118 A specialist VCS employment & skills service provider responding to our survey stated: “The Work Programme and welfare reform will only work if there are jobs for people to access... Large companies are the only ones who can carry the financial burden of the programme until the economy turns for the better so logically the Government must seek ways to ensure the smaller players carry less of the burden in the meantime. Failure to act now will have the following consequences: the programme will fail; the Third Sector will cease to exist in the welfare to work arena leaving a market devoid of innovation and diversity with a few large players left in a dominant position able to dictate not only price but policy to the Government.” Disproportionate closures of VCS employment & skills services suggested by the Big Squeeze 2012 is supported by data from False Economy (section 3.3.2), which found that in the 18 London boroughs that responded to its Freedom of Information requests on cuts to their funding of their local VCS, the largest cuts were to organisations providing „economic‟ services, including employment & skills support. Cuts to European employment and skills programmes, particularly the European Social Fund (ESF)119 in London may also have contributed to the high number of closures. “[Our] funding finished yet clients are still wanting to access the service. Those most in need of employability support and requiring higher level of intervention are not and will not get it.” Last year‟s Big Squeeze 2011 indicated that services that provided specialist support to particular communities, such as women, Black Asian and Minority Ethnic (BAME), Lesbian Gay Bisexual and Transgender (LGBT), Deaf and disabled people, refugees and asylum seekers, gypsies and travellers, and specialist religious organisations 78 were experiencing disproportionate loss of funding, as public services favoured costsaving by commissioning larger-scale generic services. However only a very small proportion of organisations work within each of these subsectors: for example specialist women120, Deaf and disabled people121 and LGBT122 groups are each estimated to make up less than 1% of London‟s VCS. In this year‟s survey we therefore created a category for groups providing specialist services for particular communities, which when categorised together covered 30% of respondents. Eighty-three per cent of respondents to this question suggested that the greatest negative impact of the economic and policy climate on their service users was the loss of services that meet users‟ needs, while 48% thought this would have a negative impact in 2012-13. This may be related to the finding that 85% of respondents thought that cuts to local authority budgets had had, or were likely to have a negative impact on the communities with which they work. In the past it has often been local authorities or London councils that have funded these specialist services in London. One respondent predicted higher-than-average cuts to LGBT services in particular: “The funded LGBT sector organisations are heavily dependent on income from the public sector, it has twice the reliance on public sector income and half the benefit from individuals when compared to VCS as a whole. This will have repercussions for the activity level of organisations as the cuts bite.” The survey also provided some evidence that, when taken together as a category, specialist services for particular communities had faced a disproportionate number of closures and that this was expected to continue in 2012-13. There was anecdotal evidence that it was these particular communities that were already most vulnerable and were being most negatively affected by the economic and policy climate. 15% of respondents felt that inequality would increase, of whom 3% believed this would lead to more hate crime and less social cohesion. A respondent whose organisation provided specialist support to gypsies and travellers stated: “Client numbers have increased for our accommodation/benefits advocacy and advice, and the issues are new and more complex... The possibility of providing for Traveller site accommodation has diminished with the Localism [Act]. The closure of Traveller education services across London will impact on children's education. The rise in rents in London and particularly in private rented accommodation and the benefit cap will cause housing crisis and eviction. Because of the size of their families Travellers are disproportionately housed in private rented accommodation which they won‟t be able to afford with the benefit cap. The requirement and conditions for looking for work are difficult for Travellers because of poor literacy and poor access to the internet, low educational qualifications and prejudice. There are specific bars to access to legal aid for trespass which disproportionately affect travellers on 79 unauthorised camps. Loss of Traveller education services will further disadvantage this marginal community.” A recent report by the Victim Support Advocates Project provided evidence of the need for more specialist non-police or third-party reporting services for the victims of crime, the type of services that often provided by specialist VCS organisations. It noted that victims of hate crime prefer to receive support from specialist organisations for victims with certain characteristics, such as ethnicity, religion or sexual orientation123. A number of reports have found that specialist services for particular communities are being cut more than generic services, including those for deaf and disabled people‟s organisations124, BAME community organisations125 and specialist women‟s domestic violence services126. “We are a specialist organisation [providing support] on Immigration, Nationality, Asylum and the Human Rights Act. London Councils stopped supporting us. Two large national organisations providing [similar] such services closed down in last 12 months.” 40% of responses to The Big Squeeze 2012 were from organisations providing VCS support services (or infrastructure organisations). However, even when weighted for this high level of representation, findings still suggested that in 2011-12 such services had faced disproportionately higher numbers of closures and that this was expected to continue in 2012-13. “As a 2nd tier organisation, it is our members that we cannot support as fully as previously and they in turn that cannot support their clients/service users.” These findings are supported by last year‟s Big Squeeze 2011 report, which demonstrated that in London local authorities where accurate figures were available, the average percentage cut to local Council for Voluntary Service (CVS) funding by the local authority was three times higher that then average percentage cut to the local authority budget by central Government. This year‟s analysis of London Councils funding cuts also showed that VCS infrastructure organisations were particularly affected (section 3.3.2) accounting for 25% of London Councils funding cuts in 2011-12. This year‟s survey also suggests that there is a greater need for these services than ever, with only 10% of respondents stating that they did not have any support needs, 90% stating that they had changed the way they work over the last year and 38% providing detailed answers as to how LVSC could support them over the next year. “[VCS support services] can help us to make a good application for funding because we are still seeking funding to at least pay for our basic running costs and one full time manager. Also, [VCS support services] can advocate on our behalf to change the way small organisation with only one paid worker are 80 funded because they really make a big difference for the people that they serve.” Each area of support mentioned in the 2012 survey was needed by at least some respondents. The highest support need expressed was for fundraising (58%) followed by demonstrating impact and collaboration and partnership working (both 44%) and lobbying or campaigning for sustainable funding or contracts (43%). Need for support around mergers (11%) had increased since the 2011 survey. When asked what support LVSC specifically could provide, the majority of respondents felt that it should be helping them to proactively campaign and lobby funders and commissioners (58%). This is consistent with the NAVCA Chief Officer Survey 2012, which found that 72% of CVSs responding were involved in campaigns to save local VCS services127. Respondents also thought that LVSC could support organisations to measure the impacts of new policy and its implementation in London (16%), engage in partnership working, collaboration or consortia development (16%) and provide more training and one-to-one support (15%). Finally, 9% of respondents felt that LVSC needed to adopt a more outreach-based approach to support so that there could be better co-ordination between small grassroots, cross-borough and London-wide frontline VCS organisations, equalities groups and local and specialist infrastructure to develop a London-wide voice and greater collaboration across the capital. Fifteen per cent of respondents delivered services for ex-offenders or those at risk of offending, while 8% supported victims of crime. Five per cent of respondent specifically thought that reforms to the criminal justice system and legal aid would have a negative impact on the communities with which they worked in 2012-13. Twenty-one per cent thought that changes to policing and crime policy had, or were likely to have, a negative impact on their service users, with only 7% answering that they thought they would have a positive impact. “Courts deal with victims of crime at the lower end of the scale. People are experiencing offences that are indirectly related to Domestic Abuse, AntiSocial Behaviour and youth deviancy. All [these are] areas that support has been withdrawn from, and are areas which are inter-connected but not obvious when the official offence of a crime is looked at.” Some support for the finding that changes to policing and crime policy would have a negative impact on communities was provided by a recent statement from Victim Support, who are currently campaigning against the Government‟s policy to devolve the commissioning of victim and witness support to local Police & Crime Commissioner area level128. In London this would mean that the Mayor‟s Office for Policing & Crime would commission these services. Victim Support argue that this would lead to greater inconsistency in victim support services across the country and would cost an additional £21 million to set up. Their research in London found huge inconsistencies in the services for victims across London as a result of different 81 commissioning models in the 32 boroughs and made recommendations for improvements by the Mayor‟s Office for Policing & Crime. However, even if the Mayor‟s Office improves the commissioning of such services across London, there are still costs associated with its set up, which they argue would be better spent on services for victims of crime. The small number of groups working in this area responding to the Big Squeeze 2012 make findings less reliable but there was some suggestion that after weighting for this, services supporting victims of crime had seen a higher than average increase in demand in 2011-12 and it was expected that demand for support for exoffenders and those at risk of offending would see a higher increase in demand in 2012-13. This is consistent with evidence that levels of crime increase during a recession129. Data from the Metropolitan Police Service shows that rape and homophobic offences are the two crime types which increased the most in London between May 2008 and January 2012 compared to the previous four years, by 32% and 12% respectively130. These figures are also consistent with the 15% of Big Squeeze 2012 respondents who felt that inequality would increase as a result of the economic and policy climate and the 3% who predicted an increase in hate crime and reduced community cohesion. “Local police seem to de-prioritise domestic violence; [there are] fewer specialist services; Supporting People funding has turned refuges in to homeless hostels with minimal support and little life changing.” The riots in August 2011, an extreme example of a collapse in community cohesion, started in Tottenham in the London Borough of Haringey, and although they spread over England in the next four days, the majority (68%) of disorder-related crimes were recorded in the capital131. A recent cross-government report specifically mentioned the role of the VCS in responding to the riots in a chapter entitled “Big Society at Work”. It specified the work of London VCS organisations Hackney Community and Voluntary Services, Croydon Voluntary Action, Leap Confronting Conflict and Volunteer Centre Kensington & Chelsea. The report made a number of recommendations for supporting the VCS to help reduce the chance of further such unrest, including: more effective commissioning of the VCS to deliver improved social, economic and environmental well-being and support for VCS organisations to give vulnerable and marginalised groups a voice within local decision-making. However, the findings of the Big Squeeze 2012 suggest that there are still huge barriers to effective commissioning of the VCS, and that London VCS organisations working with vulnerable and marginalised groups face disproportionately large numbers of closures. There was no evidence from this year‟s survey that crime and victim support VCS services had faced disproportionate closures in London. However, a national survey132 for specialist criminal justice system infrastructure support agency Clinks found that of 75 respondents 95% had, or expected to have, a reduction in income, 77% were using their reserves to survive and 55% had made redundancies in 2011. 82 This suggests that organisations working in this specialist subsector maybe suffering disproportionate impacts as average Big Squeeze survey percentages for these questions were a lot lower: 60% reported a reduction in income (although this did not include those who expected to see a reduction in come); 54% had used their reserves and 39% had made staff redundant. Clinks argue that because VCS organisations working with offenders are not as popular with the giving public, they are more dependent on public sector funding, and so more at risk in the current climate of public sector funding cuts. The evidence provided in section 3.1.3 demonstrates the potentially disproportionate impact of Government welfare reform, and in particular of housing benefit, in London and suggest that rough sleeping and homelessness are increasing in the capital. Forty-two per cent of Big Squeeze 2012 respondents reported that more service users could not afford housing costs or risked homelessness. 63% and 48% respectively though that welfare reform and housing policy had a negative impact on the communities with which they worked; only 5% and 3% respectively thought the impact was positive. After weighting for services provided by respondents, there was a suggestion that demand for VCS housing or homelessness services had increased in 2011-12 and this increase was expected to continue in 2012-13. “Many of our service users live in the private rented sector in Central London and so face homelessness as a result 0f benefit cuts. Demand has more than doubled but funding has decreased.” “The number of callers to Stonewall Housing's Advice Services (for lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender people) has increased to its highest ever level. The number in unaffordable accommodation has rocketed by 26% compared to last year.” However, the survey did not provide evidence that VCS housing and/or homelessness services had faced disproportionate closures in 2011-12.This may be because sample numbers were not high enough to demonstrate such an impact. Homeless Link‟s most recent national Survey of Needs and Provision (SNAP) report133 identified significant challenges for projects working with homeless people as they faced constraints on their capacity to provide services while demands for support increased. Fifty-eight per cent of homeless projects responding received reduced funding in 2011/2012, and with 63% of these saying this had affected services. The SNAP report demonstrates that homelessness is increasing nationally, with homelessness acceptances by local authorities 14% higher in 2011 than the year before and recorded rough sleeping 23% higher in Autumn 2011 than in Autumn 2010. It shows that London has the highest density of homeless people at 647 people per bed space. However, although the number of projects in London requiring 83 their clients to have a local connection increased by 38% between SNAP 2011 and 2012, London remains the region with the highest average proportion of clients without a local connection (23%). Crisis recently released a briefing134 on the impacts of the housing benefit cuts, showing that the average one bedroom claimant in London would lose £22 per week in benefit payments as a result. The report predicted that ultimately these reforms would cost more than is saved in reduced payments, as social problems such as homelessness increase, and exhorted the government to protect the most vulnerable from the brunt of the cuts. Only 10% of Big Squeeze 2012 respondents reported that they provided direct support to alleviate poverty, such as grants for individuals or food packages. However, 40% stated that more of their service users could not afford essentials such as food and fuel, and 14% predicted increased poverty next year in answer to an open-ended question. After weighting for the number of respondents providing services, results suggested that demand for services providing direct support to alleviate poverty had increased. “The recession means that people in work are seeing a drop in wages leading to debt which would previously have been manageable.” “A number of our women are finding it harder to access benefits, living expenses are going up and they are finding it harder to cope.” This confirms findings from the Guardian‟s „Breadline Britain‟ investigation135 which showed that up to 3.6 million UK households were at risk of slipping into poverty as a result of spiralling living costs, shrinking incomes and welfare benefit reforms. Breadline Britain reported that the Trussell Trust, a charity that provide food parcels, had seen a 100% increase in demand in a year. FareShare, a charity that supplies millions of free meals to charities, food banks and breakfast clubs using food donated by supermarkets, had also reported that it could not keep pace with demand, which it expected to continue growing for at least five years. Recent estimates also suggest that at least 560,000 London households live in fuel poverty, meaning they need to spend 10% or more of their income on energy to heat their home, and this is continuing to rise 136. Year on year up to 2011, the Big Squeeze surveys showed increasing demand for volunteering opportunities by service users. However, this year‟s findings are mixed. 18% of respondents said that there were fewer opportunities for their service users to volunteer, while 11% thought that there were more. 12% of respondents reported that they did not have enough volunteers, 16% that they did not have enough qualified volunteers and 23% had a lack of volunteer management support which meant they would not be able to meet any increases in demand for services in the 84 future. 52% of organisations reported that they were taking on more volunteers in 2011-12 but this was lower than the 56% of respondents in the 2011 survey. “Having willing volunteers to help in our winter night shelter is a great thing. However, the danger is an over-reliance on the voluntary sector with too little investment. This will potentially undo any great work eventually.” “We have taken on more volunteers to meet the demand on our services and our capacity is fully stretched.” “Increased requests for volunteering. Demand for volunteering into work experience will increase further as unemployment remains high.” One organisation responding to the 2012 survey stated that they were losing volunteers as a result of the introduction of the Work Programme: “We have lost valuable volunteers to the Work Programme yet 82% of our volunteers are successful in securing employment. That opportunity is now taken away as they are swept off to join the Work Programme.” However, other volunteer-involving VCS organisations in London reported that they had been sent volunteers by Work Programme contractors with out receiving any contributions from their payments for volunteer placements. After weighting responses for the type of services provided by respondents, it was not clear that there was an increase in demand for volunteering services in 2011-12, and there was no evidence of disproportionate closures to volunteering services. However, anecdotal evidence from London volunteer centres suggests that they are suffering further funding cuts and disproportionate closures. “Our members are largely Volunteer Centres [VCs]: some have already lost out as a result of commissioning, and the VC function is being picked up by other organisations. At the same time, they are under pressure to work with volunteers with additional needs eg unemployed, mental health etc. And the age old hunt for core funding is still with us, of course. Big Society seems to have disappeared - anyway, it didn't come with funding attached for existing volunteering services. Local authority cuts [will also have a negative impact] many VCs get funding from their local authority” These mixed findings are supported by other national research. The last Citizenship Survey to be carried out by the Government137 found 25% of people reported that they volunteered formally at least once a month in 2010-11, a lower rate than at any point between 2001 and 2007-08 (when it ranged between 27% and 29%), but unchanged on 2008-09 and 2009-10 levels. Levels of informal volunteering once a year (55%) were unchanged on 2009-10 but lower than in all years prior to that, following a particularly large decrease from 2008-09 to 2009-10 (from 62% to 54%). This indicates that despite the Big Society initiative to promote more volunteering, levels actually fell following the coalition government entering power. 85 An Institute of Volunteering Research study of local volunteer centres (VCs) 138 found a decline in the average income of VCs, particularly in local government funding. 89% of VCs receive income from local government, which has decreased by 12% (£28,000) from 09/10. Local government funding has a median for London VCs of £87,000 (compared to a national median of £28,308). Central government funding in London is £99,645 (£35,044 national median), indicating that VCs in London are receiving greater government support than the national average. At the same time the Mayor of London has set up his own volunteering programmes, Team London139, and the London Ambassadors volunteer programme (8,000 volunteers) for the Olympics, while 70,000 volunteers have been recruited for a separate Games Makers volunteer programme for the Olympics. The London Assembly has raised concerns that the latter two programmes should help deliver the Olympic legacy of increased employment for east Londoners, particularly those who had previously been long-tern unemployed, but it was unclear if measures had been put in place to achieve this140. At the same time the government has launched its volunteering programme for young people, National Citizen Service 141. It is unclear how these national and regional volunteering programmes are co-ordinated and how well they are working in partnership with existing VCS organisations and their volunteering programmes and opportunities.. It has been suggested that there should be more support for volunteeringinfrastructure, backed up by better coordination across government to maximise the potential of such programmes142. The Big Squeeze 2012 showed that preventative VCS services are being disproportionately cut compared with curative or crisis services, and that this is expected to continue in 2012-13. It is clear that the sudden and deep cuts in public sector spending have meant that commissioners have had to make quick decisions that have favoured short-term solutions, at the risk of producing longer-term problems which which will cost more to solve in the future. Responses to the Big Squeeze 2012 suggest that negative impacts are being experienced more by local VCS organisations than VCS groups working over a wider area. However, the small numbers in each category reduces the reliability of these results. Results suggested that service users of local organisations were experiencing greater needs, and that these organisations were seeing more demand for services, funding reductions and service closures than organisations working over a wider area. They were also more likely to have no free reserves at the end of 2011-12. This could reflect the fact that more local VCS respondents were funded by local authorities, which have had large cuts to their budgets, while wider area organisations were more likely to be funded by the National Lottery, private sector or income-generating activities. 86 Local VCS organisations were also more likely to state positive benefits from the Government‟s Localism and Big Society policies, with VCS organisations working over a larger area more likely to see no benefits of any Government policies for the communities with which they work. This may reflect the fact that wider area organisations will face more difficulties gaining funding from all the local authority areas across which they work, and may also work with minority groups, who may not benefit from localist or Big Society policies, as they are present within such small numbers within a single borough or neighbourhood. Many local organisations expressed concerns about national organisations competing with them to deliver services in their local area. This reflects the findings of the NAVCA Chief Officer Survey 2012, which found that competition from national organisations is a growing problem for local charities and community groups. One respondent said: “Commissioning has opened up to the independent sector which means national organisations are tendering for services in local communities which they have no knowledge about apart from the information provided in the tender spec. Their approach is to win the contract for 3 years and then move on elsewhere. They are extremely skilled in writing tenders and although encouraged to use local providers to help them deliver services they tend not to do this.” The Big Squeeze 2012 results suggest that London‟s VCS organisations are learning to cope more effectively with the economic challenges to themselves and their service users since the recession began in the UK in 2008. This reflects the conclusion of the NAVCA Chief Executive Survey 2012 that uncertainty brought about by major funding cuts in 2011 is subsiding. Organisational support needs were diversifying beyond the demand for fundraising support, while actions that groups were taking to respond to the changes brought about by the economic and policy climate were becoming more strategic over the years. This year fewer respondents mentioned unsustainable actions such as making staff redundant, taking on more volunteers, making efficiency savings and staff working unpaid or reduced hours. Instead, more respondents answered that they were developing new business models, diversifying funding sources, redesigning services, making greater use of ICT or social media and working in collaboration, not just with other VCS organisations, but also with the private sector, funders and commissioners. However, very few of the recommendations from last years‟ survey appeared to have been implemented across the VCS, funders and policymakers. Across the board, VCS organisations were still reporting problems with policymakers not valuing the VCS and the social and environmental benefits that its service provision can bring, and not assessing the impacts, particularly around equality issues, of their policies. Funders were still seen as bureaucratic, unaccountable, and averse to working more closely with other funders, while their funding processes seemed to be moving to 87 create even greater barriers to VCS organisations with the introduction of larger contracts and payment by results models. Despite this, Big Squeeze respondents have taken on board the need for greater collaborative and partnership work both within and between sectors. There was a large increase in the numbers working informally in partnership or in more formal collaborations, and a much higher number reporting that they were working to improve their relationships with funders and commissioners. Overall there is cause for optimism in this demonstration of the London VCS‟s flexibility and innovation in continuing to provide services and better meet the needs of the most disadvantaged Londoners, at a time of reduced resources and higher demand. However, it is concerning that the Big Squeeze 2012 recorded increasingly negative impacts of economic and other policies, particularly on the most disadvantaged Londoners, coupled with continuing high proportions of service closures, with disproportionate losses to preventative services. This survey‟s findings estimate a net loss of 22% of funding to the VCS in London in this one year alone. It is certain from LVSC‟s work demonstrating the total closure of two hundred of London VCS organisations in this year alone (section 3.4.1) and the reported loss of so many VCS staff in London evidenced by the Labour Force survey (section 5.1), that the sector must now be significantly smaller than at its peak in 2008, when LVSC estimated that there were around 60,000 VCS organisations in London. However, the different figures for funding loss across London‟s VCS produced by the different studies informing this report, demonstrate how hard this is to quantify in a sector that consists of so many unregistered informal community groups, and where data from Charity Commission returns automatically introduce a two year time lag in the provision of data and analysis (the NCVO 2012 Civil Society Almanac actually reports figures from 2009 -10, as a result of these delays). LVSC‟s Big Squeeze survey and report aims to introduce some more real time indications of what is happening to the sector in 2012, but this is limited by the number of survey respondents and the quality of data provided. Nevertheless, it is hard to see from this year‟s findings how London‟s VCS organisations can continue to adapt and innovate in order to meet the growing needs of Londoners, if these financial and policy pressures continue in the years to come. Policymakers and funders are asked to consider more carefully the implications of a smaller and less diverse VCS and what this will mean for the most disadvantaged Londoners, social cohesion and equality. It is encouraging that this year‟s survey demonstrates how many of London‟s VCS organisations continue to survive to support their users. However, it is only once they are in an environment where they can thrive that the full benefits of the sector‟s activities for Londoners can be fully developed and evidenced. 88 Survey respondents who gave permission to be named in this report included: Calthorpe Project The Barons Court Project Voluntary Action Lewisham Brockley Tenants' Co-operative Ltd. The Cranfield Trust SHARE Community Barnet Refugee Service Partnership for Young London Croydon CAB Kensington and Chelsea Social Council Enfield Voluntary Action Blenheim CDP St Marks‟ Family Centre REAP Centre for Armenian Information & Advice Ealing Mediation Service Harrow Mencap Barnabas Workshops CommUNITY Barnet RF Barnet Newham Monitoring Project Islington Law Centre Kingston Churches Action on Homelessness Urban Partnership Group Hillside Clubhouse VCS Learning Solutions CIC Brent Mind Greenwich & Lewisham Young People's Theatre Shepherds Bush Housing Group Southwark Muslim Women's Association Volunteer Centre Southwark Stonewall Housing Volunteer Centre Kensington & Chelsea Hounslow Education Business Partnership MECMAC WHEAT Mentor Support Trust Third Age Foundation Ellingham Employment Streetvibes Youth Waltham Forest Community Credit Union Carers Support (Bexley) Laburnum Boat Club 89 Harrow Samaritans Revolving Doors Agency London Community Resource Network The Citizens Trust Royal Medical Benevolent Fund Central & Cecil African Health Policy Network Brent BASIS project Addiction Support and Care Agency Toynbee Hall The Children's Society YouthNet Kids Can Achieve Paddington Arts Eco-Actif Services CIC Elephant Jobs Mousetrap Theatre Projects IROKO Theatre Company Ed-bus Black Environment Network London Civic Forum Destiny Enterprise Solutions CIC Red Kite Learning Belvedere Community Forum Ealing CVS DASL Crisis Independent Living Alternatives Inspire! Acton Community Forum Lasa Early Years Network Tower Hamlets Kairos in Soho Emmanuel Youth & Community Centre Newlon Fusion Victim Support London The Consortium of LGBT VCOs British Institute of Human RIghts Ilays Hounslow Brent Private Tenants Rights Group Race on the Agenda CALM (Campaign Against Living Miserably) Woman's Trust Spare Tyre The Nia Project Play Association Tower Hamlets (PATH) Core Arts Southall Day Centre Walworth Garden Farm 999 Club 90 Mary Ward Legal Centre Afro-Asian Advisory Service Cabinda Community Association African Physical Training Organisation (APTO) Talking Matters Wellbeing Centre Boznia Herzegovina Community Advice Centre Brent Penrose Zacchaeus 2000 Trust Cancerkin (The Royal Free Cancerkin Breast Cancer Trust Ltd) Camden Federation of Private Tenants Headliners (UK) Kith & Kids Brook London HACT National Pensioners Convention, NPC Step Up Casa de la Salud HIspano Americana-CASAHA People Empowering People 15billion My Voice London Barnet Voice for Mental Health South London CVS Partnership Inclusion London Community Development Network London Contact a Family Southwark Mediation Centre Alone in London Asylum Aid Standing Together Against Domestic Violence Mosaada Centre for Single Women AdviceUK HACAN Clear Skies (Heathrow Association for the Control of Aircraft Noise) Voluntary Action Westminster Voluntary Action Waltham Forest Thank you all, and also all the other organisations and individual project and service managers who took the time to complete the survey. We hope that allowing you to respond confidentially has helped more people to provide detailed answers to the questions, during what this report shows, is a difficult and uncertain policy and funding climate. 91 Acknowledgements Our respondents We would like to express our sincerest thanks to all the London VCS groups who responded to this year‟s Big Squeeze survey. We are very grateful that you took the time to share some of your expertise and tell us some of the issues you are facing, as we realise that for most organisations funds are stretched and staff and volunteers are busier than ever. Our partners Secondly we would like to thank our partners, particularly: Kate Burls and Chloe Roach from London Civic Forum – for marketing and communication support Gaynor Humphries and Catherine McLoughlin from London funders – for strategic advice, contacts, and additional support Paul Treloar from Lasa for expert advice and input LVSC This report was written by Alison Blackwood Many thanks to other members of staff who supported the development of the survey, marketing and communications, and final analysis: Tim Brogden Steve Kerr Sandra van der Feen Michelle Curtis Chris Taylor Lin Gillians Additional telephone support for the survey was provided by: Chris Taylor and Sue Robson 92 LVSC is the collaborative leader of London's voluntary and community sector. We support London's voluntary and community organisations to improve the lives of Londoners. What we do The voluntary and community sector (VCS) makes a huge contribution to the lives of Londoners, providing a range of services and support to the capital's diverse communities. LVSC brings together London's voluntary and community sector organisations to learn and share best practice and to create a co-ordinated voice to influence policy makers on issues affecting Londoners. LVSC's vision is of a vibrant and sustainable city where the lives of Londoners are enhanced through voluntary and community action. Our aims To be a central resource for knowledge and policy for the London voluntary and community sector; To act as a collaborative leader for London's voluntary and community sector; To enable the voluntary and community sector to best deliver for Londoners. London Voluntary Service Council (LVSC) is the collaborative leader for the VCS in London. We bring together London VCS organisations to learn and share best practice and to create a co-ordinated voice to influence policy makers and statutory partners. We provide up-to-date support services for VCS groups around their business, policy analysis and influence and training for those working in the sector. Our strategic objectives are to: be a central resource for knowledge and policy for London VCS; act as a collaborative leader for London‟s voluntary and community sector; and enable the voluntary and community sector to best deliver for Londoners. Poverty, equality, health and climate change are the crosscutting themes throughout all of our work and this report specifically addresses the issues in London around the first three, with implications for the last 93 Compiled by Alex Whinnom, Director, Greater Manchester Centre for Voluntary Organisation, St Thomas Centre, Ardwick Green North, Manchester M12 6FZ alex.whinnom@gmcvo.org.uk 0161 277 100 City Birmingham (BVSC) Bristol (Voscur) Greater Manchester (GMCVO) Date of data Feb 2012 March 2012 March 2012 Sample size 1,158 44 337 Services cut Communities most affected Trends Impact 50% had cut services themselves; of these 60% had cut services by more than 40%. 61% of 36% report cuts to services for children and young people; 30% to older people; high impact also reported on disabled people and people with long term conditions. Women and people from ethnic minorities also cited. 55% reported increased demand for services which cannot be met. 81% were confident they could sustain their services for the next year, compared with 58% for three years and 45% for five years. Projected cuts to generalist advice services expected to have impact on benefits up-take (analysis pending). 56% report cuts to services for young people; 38% older people; 25% disabled people. Full equalities impact analysis pending. 80% of groups reported increased demand for their remaining services, but only 41% were able to meet this demand. 36% hope to continue to do so and 66% were aware of new needs emerging. Analysis pending 50% report cuts to services for young people; 35% older people; 33% disabled people. Full equalities impact analysis pending. 73% of groups reported increased demand for their remaining services but only 42% were able to meet this demand and only 32% hoped to continue to do so, whilst 54% were aware of new needs emerging. Analysis pending. Separate evidence of increase in child poverty (Save the Children); anecdotal evidence of rise in food poverty amongst working poor; increase in homelessness. No correlation yet proved. services affected by cuts. 39% had cut services themselves since April 2011 and 78% knew of other organisations that had done so 56% had cut services themselves since April 2011 and 70% knew of other organisations which had done so City Date of data Leeds (VAL) Nov 2011 Liverpool (LCVS) London (LVSC) Dec 2011 July 2011 Sample size Services cut 78 43% had cut services, and 43% had reduced the number of users or communities worked with. 91 16.5% or organisations had no cuts to services; 35% had cuts of 10% - 20%; 37% had cuts of 20%-50%; 11.5% had cuts 60%-100% 120 51% had cut services 2010/11, 14% of services cut were advice services, 12% health or care, 9% youth and 3% employment Communities most affected Trends Impact 26% had become more reliant on volunteers No clear trends as all communities affected; loss of access to support into employment, social support for people with learning difficulties, older people and mental health service users, Children and young people, particularly, but also people from ethnic minorities and refugees, disabled people, older people, LGBT people and women Retraction from nonstatutory service provision and reduction in preventative services to those vulnerable people. Some protection for services to children. Generally thought that welfare reform will have greater adverse impact on vulnerable people and communities than cuts. Clear evidence that child poverty, inequality and rough sleeping are 54% expected more increasing (although services to close in cannot prove a direct 2011-12. 86% reported correlation with public increase in demand. spending cuts). N. LVSC found advice London evidence of a services and rise in mental health preventative health and problems. Changes to care services were Local Housing being disproportionately Allowance and cut Universal Credit cap will have a disproportionately negative impact in the capital, because of higher housing costs. 95 City Date of data Newcastle (Newcastle CVS) Feb 2012 Nottingham (NCVS) Survey to be carried out April 2012 Sheffield (VAS) July 2011 Update planned June 2012 Sample size 53 30 Services cut Communities most affected Trends Impact 59% had lost funding. 45% expect to close a service and 47% to reduce the number of beneficiaries supported. Children and young people‟s organisations; and refugee and asylum seeker groups seem to have had disproportionate cuts. Also women‟s organisations – interviewed ten in Feb 2012 and most had reduced funding and had no capacity for networking and campaigning work Increase in rough sleeping – people offered blankets. 57% report increased Growing demand on demand. 74% plan to housing and debt increase their use of advice sessions; volunteers. 57% queuing starting at currently using reserves 7am for an advice (was 15% July 2009) session at 9am. More Council placing larger people presenting at contracts which appear mental health groups to disenfranchise small, with much greater local groups. needs (medium to severe mental health distress) Services most affected are health cut by 46% and advice 35%. Children and young people 50%; disabled people 25%; women, people from ethnic minorities and older people also badly affected. 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