European Journal ofPsvcliolog}' of Education 2004. Vol. XIX, nU, 385-406 'O2004.J.S.P.A, Pathsways to school achievement in very preterm and full term children Wolfgang Schneider University ofWiirzburg. Germany Dieter Wolke Jacobs Foundation, Zurich, Switzerland Matthias Schlagmiiller University of Wurzburg, Germany Renate Meyer University ofKonstanz. Germany Individual differences in academic success were investigated in a geographically defined whole-population sample of very preterm children with a gestational age of less than 32 weeks or a birth weight of less than 1500 gm. The sample consisted of 264 verv preterm children (75.6% of German-speaking survivors) and 264 controls matched for gender, socioeconomic status, marital status and age of mother, who were studied from birth. The present analyses focused on the impact of cognitive skills assessed at ages 6 and 8 on academic success at the age 13. IQ scores, prereading skills, reading, spelling, and math performance assessed during the last kindergarten year and again at the end of Grade 2 were used as predictors of academic success in early adolescence. Differences between very preterm children and controls in cognitive abilities already observed in earlier assessments remained stable over time, with controls on average performing more than half a standard deviation above the level of preterm children. Preterm children also performed poorer on the literacy measures and indicators of math performance. Multivariate and causal modeling revealed different prediction patterns for the two groups. Whereas IQ was particularly important for the prediction of Research on this project was financially supported by a grant of the German Research Foundation (Deutsche Forschungsgemcinschaft) to Wolfgang Schneider and Dieter Wolke (SCHN 315/15-1), We would like to thank Klaus Riegel and Barbara Ohrt who sel up the Bavarian Longitudinal Study in the !980s. Furthermore, thanks are due to David Bjorklund for his valuable comments on an earlier drafi of ihe manuscript and Marco Ennemoser for his assistance in data analysis. 386 W. SCHNEIDER, D, WOLKE, M. SCHLAGMULLER, & R. MEYER academic success in the pre-term sample, general IQ was less relevant for the prediction of academic success in the control group. When subgroups of at-risk children were formed according to birth weight categories, we found that school problems were most pronounced for children with extremely low birth weight (WOO gm and less). Very preterm delivery is often related to a negative consequences such as brain insults and pulmonary problems (cf,. Hack, Klein, & Taylor, 1995; Landry, Fletcher, Denson, & Chapieski, 1993). Further adverse consequences include poorer mental and motor development relative to term controls during the preschool and kindergarten years (Wolke, 1998; Skuse, 1999), For instance, meta-analyses of studies on the intellectual development of very preterm and/or very-low-birthweight (VLBW) children have revealed that their IQs are approximately 0.5 standard deviations below those of temi infants {e.g,, Aylward, Pfeiffer, Wright, & Verhulst, 1989; Escobar, Littenberg, & Petitti, 1991; Omstein, Ohisson, Edmonds, & Asztalos, 1991), Other developmental problems such as language delays as well as articulation problems have also been noted to be more common in VLBW children (ef,, Friedman & Sigman, 1992; Wolke & Meyer, 1999). It is still unclear whether these deficits are due to damage and thus inhibition of. normal development in specific areas of the brain, or related to general IQ deficits. Most follow up studies of VLBW samples into the school-age years indicate continued problems in early and middle childhood (cf. Hack et al., 1995; Taylor, Klein, Minich, & Hack, 2000; Whitfield, Grunau, & Holsti, 1997, Wolke, Schulz, & Meyer, 2001). This research .suggests that cognitive problems range from global mental impairment to subtle weaknes.ses in specific neuropsychological domains, such as language, memory, executive function, and visuo-niotor skills. Although there is some evidence that VLBW children may have more marked impairments in the areas of visuo-spatial functioning and memory than in the language domain, the overall pattem is not yet clear. Behavioral problems of VLBW children include attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), as well as deficits in social competence and adaptive behavior (e.g., Botting, Powls, & Cooke, 1997; Hille, den Ouden, Saigal, Wolke, Lambert, Whitaker, Pinto-Matrin, Hoult, Meyer, Verloove-Vanhorick, & Paneth, 2001; Sommerfelt, Ellertsen, & Markestad, 1993). Moreover, deficiencies in acadeniie achievement sueh as reading skills and mathematics have been reported in several studies (Hille, den Ouden, Bauer, Brand, & Verloove-Vanhorick, 1994; Ross, Lipper, & Auld, 1991; Bhutta, Cleves, Casey, Cradock, & Anand, 2002). Given that the cognitive and behavioral problems of VLBW children interfere with learning, there is reason to believe that their academic problems accumulate with increasing age. In fact, several cross-sectional studies have reported higher rates of special education and more pronounced learning difficulties in older compared to younger samples of VLBW children (e.g., Wolke, 1997; McCormick, Gortmaker, & Sobol, 1990; Zelkowitz, Papageorgiou, Zelazo, & Weiss, 1995), The leaming difficulties lead to a relatively high number of VLBW children requiring special education. For instance, Hille et al, (1994) found that many of their VLBW children suffered from reading and spelling problems when tested at the age of about eight years, with a large percentage (more than 20%) of these children located in special education settings. Evidence from related studies in North America (Saigal, Szatmarl, Rosenbaum, Campbell, & King, 1991; Whitfield et al, 1997) or across the Westem countries (Saigal, den Ouden, Wolke, Hoult, Pameth, Streiner, Whitaker, & Pinto-Martin, 2003) suggest that the percentage of at-risk children receiving some form of special education may be even higher, up to 45%. This is considerably more than you would expect for the general child population in European countries. For instance, in Germany, only about 4% of a given school age cohort receive special education. There is also increasing evidence that the school-related problems of VLBW children continue to be substantial in adolescence and do not seem to reduce over time (Botting, Powls, Cooke, & Marlow, 1998; Cohen, Beckwith, Pamielee, Sigman, Asamow, & Espinosa, 1996; Saigal, Hoult, Streiner, Stoskopf, & Rosenbaum, 2000; Taylor et al., 2000). SCHOOL ACHIEVEMENT IN PRETERM AND FULL-TERM CHILDREN 387 The achievement problems may be even more pronounced for those preterm children with extremely low birth weight (ELBW; 1000 g and less) or bom at extreme prematurity (<28 weeks). Those studies that compared groups at differeut neonatal risk (i.e., ELBW children and VLBW children whose birth weight ranged between 1000 and 1500 g) found that ELBW participants were even more disadvantaged than their VLBW counterparts (e.g., Klebanov, Brooks-Gunn, & McCormick, 1994; Saigal et al., 2000; Taylor et al., 2000), and that there was a substantial negative correlation (about -,50) between birth weight and the number of academic problems identified in adolescence. For instance, Taylor et al. (2000) reported that about 45% of the less than 750 g group were placed in special education programs compared to 25% of the 750 g to 1499 g group, and 14% of the term children. Subsequent comparisons of the three groups at middle school-age suggested that the consequences of premature delivery and very low birth weight were as apparent at this measurement point as at early school age. Rates of grade repetition, special school programs, and severe achievement problems were more prevalent in the less than 750 g group than in the two other groups. There was also evidence that the less than 750 g group developed at a slower pace relative to the (wo higher birth weight groups, and that verbal leaming skills were specifically impaired (see also Taylor, Minich, Klein, & Hack, in press). Most of these studies also emphasized the importance of social risk factors, indicating that children from low SES famiiies and/or unfavorable family background were particularly vulnerable (Botting et al., 1998; Saigal et al., 2000), i,e,, the effects were additive (Wolke, Schutz, & Meyer, 2001). In contrast, studies of larger or low-risk preterm infants have not reported significant deterioration in academic behavior over time (e,g,, Schothorst & van Engeland, 1996), or reported only weak relationships between language problems of at-risk children identified during the preschool years and subsequent reading and spelling skills (Wcindrich, JennenSteinmetz, Laucht, Esser, & Schmidt, 2000). The patterns of findings appear to suggest that school achievement is more severely affected the lower the birth weight or gestational period is, and that these deficits are long lasting. However, there are several shortcomings of earlier studies. Many previous longitudinal studies included no control group, employed arbitrary criteria to define cognitive impairment, were single-centered studies, and generally included only short follow-up periods (see Wolke, Ratschlnski, Ohrt, & Riegel, 1994; Wolke & Schulz, 1999, for more details regarding these problems). Unclear is whether writing, reading or mathematical achievement deficiencies are specific skill deficits or are more often explained by general cognitive impairment (i.e., low IQ), There is a distinct lack of prospective research on differences or similarities in the causal pathways between early deficits in pre-reading skills, the acquisition of literacy and later school outcome in neonatal at-risk children. There is plenty of evidence that individual differences in phonological information processing skills such as phonological awareness, verbal memory capacity, and processing speed predict reading and spelling development in 'normal', that is, randomly selected samples (cf, Bryant, MacLean, & Bradley, 1990; Schneider & Naslund, 1999; Wagner & Torgesen, 1987), However, it is still uncertain whether the same mechanisms that produce leaming problems in term children also cause reading and spelling deficiencies in VLBW children. Thus understanding possible differences would have immediate implications for educational intervention strategies with very pretcmi infants. For instance, if it tums out that VLBW children's reading problems are mainly caused by poor phonological processing skills and not that much by low [Q, then it would make sense to use phonological training programs with these children before they enter elementary school. Such training programs have been shown to be particularly effective during the last year of kindergarten (for a review, see Bus & van Ijzendoorn, 1999). Given that in most eases objective data on the risk status of VLBW children are available from birth on, it should be rather easy to identify these children in kindergarten and select them for specific phonological treatment. So specific educational intervention programs (and not only different kinds of medical treatment) could prevent prematurily born children from developing reading and spelling problems. 388 W. SCHNEIDER, D. WOLKE. M. SCHLAGMULLER, & R. MEYER The present paper reports on a large longitudinal study that investigated the intellectual abilities, self-concept, language comprehension and expression, prereading and academic skills in a population of very preterm children, matched term controls, and a representative sample of children in the same age cohort living in a geographically defined area in the south of Germany. These children were followed from hirth and tested at the ages of 5 months, 20 months, 4;8, 6;3, and 8;5 years. Questionnaire information on the cognitive and social development of the sample and their school performance was obtained when participants were 12 to 13 years old. Results obtained for ihe preschool period have been published elsewhere (e.g., Wolke, Ratschinski, Ohrt, & Riegel, 1994; Wolke & Meyer, 1999). In this paper, we explore developmental trends in school achievement focusing on reading and spelling development and school achievement between the ages of 6 to 13 years. The aims ofthe present study were: 1) To investigate the size of differences in cognitive development, achievement and scholastic outcome between extremely, very low birthweight and low birthweight children and to estimate the impact of socioecomic factors. 2) To assess the causal pathways between pre-reading (phonological) skills and the acquisition of literacy. Specifically, do the same relationships between preschool measures of phonological skills and early literacy hold for both the VLBW children and the control sample? 3 To assess the impact of early biological and social risk factors and early school achievement in explaining scholastic outcome at 13 years of age. Do the same factors predict later poor school outcome in groups of high- versus low-risk very pretemi and control children? Method The design of the Bavarian Longitudinal Study (BLS) has been described elsewhere in detail (e.g., Riegel, Ohrt, Wolke, & Osterlund, 1995; Wolke et al., 1994) and will only be briefly outlined here. Ait infants born alive in a geographically defined area in Southern Bavaria (Germany) between February 1985 and March 1986 and who required admission to a children's hospital within the first 10 days after birth comprised the target sample. During the study period, 70,600 births were registered in the region. The inclusion criterion was met by 7,505 children (10.6% of all births). The at-risk population ranged from very ill preterm infants to tenn infants who required only brief observation in the special eare units. In addition, 916 healthy infants receiving care in the normal postnatal wards in the same hospital centres or adjacent to the children's hospital were recruited as control infants during the same period. Samples The following samples were included in the subsequent analyses: Very preterm children. Ofthe 7,505 at-risk children, 560 were very pretenn (<32 weeks gestation) or very low birthweight children (birthweight<1500 g; referred to as VLBW/VP subsequently) (see Wolke & Meyer, 1999). This sample comprised virtually all (>99%) VLBW/PV children boni during thi.s period in this region. Of these VLBW/VP children, 158 died during the initial hospitallsation, and another seven died belween discharge from hospital and 6;3 years of age. Four parents gave no written informed consent for participation in the study. Forty-two parents and children were not included in the study because they did not speak German. The potential sample of survivors thus comprised 349 very pretenn children. Of these, 264 very pretenn children could still be assessed at the ages of 6 to 13 years. A comparison of those children who dropped out during the course ofthe study with those who participated from 3 years onwards did not show any systematic differences (cf Wolke & Meyer, 1999). SCHOOL ACHIEVEMENT IN PRETERM AND FULL-TERM CHILDREN 389 For several statistical analyses, the sample of very preterm children was further subdivided in groups of extremely low birthweight (ELBW; less than 1000 g), very low birthweight (VLBW; between 1000 and 1500 g) and low birthweight (LBW; between 1500 atid 2500 g and gestational age less than 32 weeks). Control group. From the 916 term children who received care in the normal postnatal wards, a comparison group of 264 children was group-matched to the 264 VLBW children according to sex of child, family SES, marital status ofthe parents, and maternal age. Normative sample. A normative sample representative ofthe total population of Bavarian infants was drawn from the complete BLS sample. Five stratification variables for constituting a representative sample were available from the Statistical Yearbook 1985 for Bavaria and the Bavarian Perinatal and Neonatal Survey 1985. These were sex distribution of newborn infants (51% male), size ofthe community the parents were inhabiting (>50,000 inhabitants=27%), educational level of mothers giving birth in 1985 (basic education: 9 years or iess-14%; moderate education: 10-12 years with passed final exams: 76%; completed high school or university education: 10%), gestation at birth (<32 weeks^O.9%; 32-36 weeks=6%), and whether the infant had been admitted to a children's hospital within the first 10 days of life (10.6%). There were 311 children in the normative sample. This sample was solely studied to determine cohort-speeifie and regional norms, such as means, SD's and cut-off points for determining cognitive impairment. Medical and psychological foUow-up data around birth and in preschool Prenatal and neonatal assessments are described in more detail in Wolke, Ratschinski, Ohrt, and Riegel (1994). Within the group of very pretenn children, the amount of biological risk was assessed using the 'Duration ofTreatnient Index'. Daily assessments of level of care, respiratory support, and neurological status such as mobility, muscle tone, and neurological excitahility were conducted from the first day after birth. The 'Duration ofTreatnient Index' was computed as the number of days until the infant reached a stable clinical state (Wolke et al., 1994; Gutbrod, Wolke, Sochne, & Riegel, 2000). SES was computed as a weighted composite score of maternal highest educational qualification, and occupation ofthe head of family (Bauer, 1988). For the analyses presented in this article, however, a transformed categorical measure was used (high, middle, and low SES). As part of a full neurological and psychological assessment program, children's eognitive development was assessed at 5 and 20 months of age, corrected for prematurity with the Griffiths Scales of Babies Abilities (Brandt, 1983), and the Columbia Mental Maturity Scale (CMM; Burgemeister, Blum, & Lorge, 1972) at 4 years 8 months chronological age. The si.x-year assessment The major aim of this assessment was to test children's cognitive and language skills before they began elementary school (Wolke & Meyer, 1999). Ninety-four percent ofthe children were still in kindergarten at the time of testing, and those who had entered school had less than three months of schooling. Cognitive status. Children's intelligence was assessed with the German version ofthe Kauftnan Assessment Battery for Children (K-ABC; Kaufman & Kaufman, 1983; Melchers & Preuss, 1991). This battery is based on neuropsychological and information-processing theories of intellectual functioning. Intelligence is measured with the Mental Processing Composite (MPC; eighl sublests), designed to test basic mental processes. The MPC is subdivided in two further subscores, the simultaneous information processing score (SGD) based on the results of five suhtests requiring the processing of several stimuli at the same time, and the sequential information processing score (SED) based on three subtests that 390 W. SCHNEIDER, D. WOLKE, M. SCHLAGMULLER, & R. MEYER require Ihe processing of individual stimuli one-by-one. The Achievement Score (AS) includes three subtests measuring what has been learned by the child. Language development. Four subtests were used from a German test battery for language development (the Heidelberger Sprachentwicklungstest HSET; Grimm & Scholer, 199!). These included the following subscales: plural-singular rules, correction of semantically inconsistent sentences, sentence production, and understanding of grammatical structures. Standardized scores (T-scores) are available for each subtest as well as for the total score of the four subtests. Academic self-concept. The cognitive self-esteem scores of the Harter Pictorial Perceived Competence Scale (Harter & Pike, 1984; Asendorpf & van Aken, 1993) were chosen to assess academic self-concept. The cognitive competence subscale emphasized academic performance (being smart, feeling good about one's performance). Each item was scored on a four-point scale, where a score of 4 indicated the most competent, and a score of 1 the least competent. Prereading skills. The ability to recognize and categorize sounds (phonological awareness) has been found to be particularly predictive of later reading and spelling skills and difficulties (cf, Bradley & Bryant, 1983; Goswami, 1990; Schneider, 1993; Schneider & Naslund, 1999), even when controlling for social and environmental factors (Raz & Bryant, 1990). The phoneoddity task involves rhymes in which three of four words share a common phoneme and the child has to detect the odd word (Bradley & Bryant, 1983), This can be problematic, however, because children must retain four words in order to make a decision. Given that not all of the six-yearolds have a memory span of four words (see Schneider & Naslund, 1999), a modified phoneoddity measure was adapted for this study that makes fewer requirements on memory (Skowronck & Marx, 1989), The rhyming task consisted of 18 word pairs, half of which rhymed. The number of correctly identified rhyming and non-rhyming pairs was counted. In the sound-to-word matching task, children had to repeat each given word, and then indicate if a specific phoneme pronounced by the experimenter was included in the presented word. For example, the experimenter presented the word "Auge" and asked children whether it contained an "au" phoneme. Again, the number of correct responses was counted. Both the rhyming and sound-to-word matching task items were presented from a standard prerecorded tape to all children to control for possible differences in pronunciation by different experimenters. Intemal consistency was high for both tasks (alpha's>.90). The naming of numbers and letters assessed children's knowledge of the alphabet and the number sequence 0 to 9, Children were instructed to read a row of letters (random order) and to indicate those that they knew. Answers were judged correct if the child could name, pronounce, or say a word that began with the letter. Similarly, the digits were presented and the child asked to name them. The total number of correct answers was calculated separately for the naming of letters and numbers. The eight-year-assessment This assessment took place when children were in the fmal period of second grade. Their average age was 8 years and five months. Intelligence and language development. Again, children's intelligence was assessed with the German version of the K-ABC, A total IQ score (Mental Processing Component: MPC) as well as the various subtest scores described above were used in the statistical analyses. Also, the test battery for language development (HSET) described above was used at this measurement point. School achievement. The Zurich Reading Test (Grissemann, 2000) was used to assess reading speed and the number of reading errors. In addition to this standardized test assessing children's word decoding skills, a pseudoword reading test developed by Leon-Villagra and Wolke (1993) was given. It has been repeatedly shown that poor readers experience particular SCHOOL ACHIEVEMENT IN PRETERM AND FULL-TERM CHILDREN 391 problems with pseiidowords, whereas normal readers' performance does not differ significantly as a function of word materials (i.e., meaningful words versus pseudowords; see Schneider & Naslund, 1999; Winimer, 1996), Internal consistency for the pscudoword reading test was sufficiently high (alpha=.9t), A standardized spelling test {Diagnostischer Rechtschreibtest DRT 2; Muller, 1983) was used to assess children's spelling competencies. This closed test required participants to fill in single words dictated by the experimenter into sentences depicted on the test materials. The numbers of orthographic errors served as the dependent variable. Finally, a measure assessing mathematical competencies was provided which was developed by Wolke and Leon-Villagra (1993) as a German adaptation of the test package by Stigler, Lee, and Stevenson (1990), The three subtests Estimation of sizes. Reasoning, and Visualization were highly correlated (>,40) and summarized in one scale (Math performance; alpha=.93). Self-concept. In addition to academic success, self-perceived academic competence was assessed again using the German version of the Pictorial Scales of Perceived Competence described above (Barter & Pike, 1984; Asendorpf & van Aken, 1993). The 13-year assessment Academic success. When participants were about 13 years of age, a questionnaire was seni out to them as well as to their parents in order to obtain information on academic success and changes in self esteem. The response rate was good: 76% of all surviving very preterm participants and about 95% of the controls (and their parents) answered the questionnaires. A complex procedure was developed to measure academic success taking into account level of educational track and performance within each track based on end of school year grades. This procedure had to acknowledge the fact that in German schools (Bavaria) a selection procedure (educational tracking) takes place after Grade 4 (the last year of elementary school). Those children with above average or average achievement scores move on either to the high or middle educational tracks (Gymnasium or Rcalschule). Those children with belowaverage academic performance continue with the low educational track (Haup(schule), Finally, children with particularly poor academic achievement may receive special education (Sonderschule), The ranking scale depicting academic succes.s combined information on the educational track status and academic performance within the particular educational track (as indicated by grades in math and German). The highest score of 9 was given to those students who not only attended the Gymnasium (highest track) but also were at the age-appropriate grade level (Grade 7) and showed average or above average performance {i.e,, grade mean better than average), A score of 8 was given to those Gymnasium students who attended the ageappropriate class level but whose performance was below the mean, etc. Finally, a score of 1 was given to students who had received special education throughout their sehool career. Statistical analysis In a first step, comparisons were made between the total sample of VLBW/VP children and matched control groups. Analyses of variance were carried out to assess group differences. In a second step, multiple regression analyses were run for both groups in order to investigate the impact of social and cognitive variables assessed over the preschool and kindergarten years on subsequent reading, spelling, and math performance at the end of second grade. More comprehensive structural equation modeling was carried out next, with the aim of assessing the roles of preceding noncognitive and cognitive measures for academic success measured at the age of 13, Finally, the sample of very preterm children was further subdivided in comparison groups that differed in birth weight. More specifically, a set of ANOVAs was conducted using the subsamples of extremely low birthweight eliildren (ELBW; less than lOOOg), very low birthweight children (VLBW; between 1000 and 1500 g), and low birthweight children (LBW; 392 W. SCHNEIDER. D, WOLKE. M, SCHLAGMULLER, & R. MEYER more than 1500g and less than 2500g; gestational age less than 32 weeks) to investigate whether differences in birthweight were associated with educational outcomes. Results Preliminary analyses revealed that there were no differences between the control group and the normative sample for any of the variables under study. For the sake of simplicity, only the control group data are used in the following analyses. Table I gives the means and standard deviations for ali of the variables considered in subsequent analyses, as a function of group membership. The table also indicates the significance of group differences and their practical importance (effect size), using the eta statistics. As can be seen from Table 1, group differences for all of the variables under study were significant. Moreover, the majority of these differences were substantial, as indicated by the effect sizes (eta scores). With a few exceptions, eta scores ranged between .5 and 1, indicating that the mean differences between the VLBW children and the controls ranged between half a standard deviation and a standard deviation for those variables, which reflects moderate to strong effects. Table I Means and standard deviations for all of the variables considered in subsequent analyses, as a function of group membership VLBW Variable SES Gri'mih's EQ (20 mths) CMM7'-scorc(4;8yrs) Language r-score (6;3 yrs) Lener Knowledge (6;3 yrs) Number Knowledge (6;3 yrs) Phoneme Test (6;3 yrs) Rhyming Task (6;3 yrs) K-ABC Scale S1F(6;3 yrs) K-ABC. Scale SlF(8;5yrsj Zurich Reading(en-ors;8;5yrs) Spelling test (errors; 8;5 yrs) Mathematics lest (8;5 yrs) Academic success (13 yrs) Control M SD M SD 1.89 92,06 40,49 44,97 5.12 5,41 9.15 11,37 86,61 89,28 38,46 14,56 12,45 4.42 0.75 21.60 17.51 8,25 6,67 3,72 4,61 5,10 16,50 17,98 52.64 7.04 5,19 2,94 1.91 106.39 50.46 51,52 8,46 7,98 11,83 13.46 100.16 100.52 13.52 10,59 16,30 6.76 0.75 6,71 10.00 6,77 7,83 2,45 3,17 3,11 11,24 9,92 14,15 5,66 3,39 2,31 P< n.s. 001 001 001 001 001 001 001 001 001 001 001 001 001 eta 0,03 1,01 0.72 0,47 0,46 0,83 0,69 0,51 0,98 0.81 0.75 0.63 0.90 0.83 The relative impact of biological and social risk factors on academic achievement To assess the relative impacts of biological and social risk faetors on indicators of cognitive and academic achievement at the age of 8 years, analyses of variance using group membership (VLBW vs. control) and SES (low, middle, high) as independent variables were carried out for IQ (K-ABC-MPC), reading (number of errors, Zurich reading test), spelling (number of errors, DRT 2), and math (conceptual understanding - see Table 2). For the IQ variable (MPC) there was a significant group effect, F(l,487)=68.9, p<.(i], and also a reliable effect of SES, F(2,487)=8.8,/3<,01. As can be seen from Figure 1, effects of SES were similar for the two group.s. However, the effects of premature birth were stronger than effects of SES, given that low-SES control children performed better than high-SES children at risk, /(142)^3.67,/)<.0L The group difference in mean IQ at age 8 was substantial (about a standard deviation) and comparable to the differences found at earlier assessments (Caughy, 1996; Landry, Smith, Miller-Loncar, & Swank, 1997; Sameroff, Seifer, Baldwin, & Baldwin, 1993; Wolke et al., 1994; Wolke & Meyer, 1999). About 21,9% of the VLBW children but only 2,3% of the controls showed serious intellectual deficiencies, with IQs more than two standard deviations below the mean. SCHOOL ACHIEVEMENT IN PRETERM AND FULL-TERM CHILDREN 393 no 105 100 95 - • - S E S high - • -SES middle -•-SES low 90 80 VLBW Control Group Figure I. Results of an analysis of variance using group tnembership (VLBW vs. control) and SES (low, middle, high) as independent variables and IQ (K-ABC total score; at age: 6;3 years) as dependent variable The analysis of variance using reading errors at age 8 as Ihe dependent tiieasure yielded significant effects of group, F( 1,485)^54,6, p<.0\, but no effect of SES, /^(2,485)-2.0,/j> 05 (Table 2). Again, control children outperformed VLBW children. The group by SES interaction was not significant. Overall, the mean reading error difference between VLBW children and controls was about three quarters of a standard deviation, thus indicating a moderately strong effect. Fitidings for the spelling error variable were similar. Group membership .showed a main effect (F( 1,483)^46.2, / J < . 0 1 , but there was no effect of SES and no interaction. The mean perfoniiance difference between the two groups was about two thirds of a standard deviation, again indicating a moderately strong effect. Finally, an analysis of variatice with group membership and SES as independent factors and math performance (conceptual understanding) yielded slightly different results. Both group membership, F(],490)-97.9,/?<.0l, and SES, f(2,490)-4.2,;?<.05 (Table 2), had a significant effect for the group and SES variable, respectively. There was no significant interaction. Table 2 shows the means and standard deviations oflhe three criterion variables as a function of group and SES. Table 2 Means and standard deviations (in parentheses) of ihe three criterion variables assessed at 8:5 years, as a function of group and SES VLBW Control Variable SES low SES tniddie SES high SES low SES middle SES high Zurich Reading (errors; 8;5 yrs) 45.82 (55.55) 15,39 (7.01) 12,01 (5.52) 34,05 (48,09) i4,66 (6,87) 12.62 (4.87) 36.74 (56.43) 13.40 (7.29) 12.75 (5,37) 15.77 (14.72) 11.01 (5.74) 15.31 (3,50) 13,78 (14,22) 10.77 (5.7 i) 16.42 (3.06) 9,97 (12,67) 9,67 (5,44) 17,48 (3.44) Number of cnrors DRT 2 (8;5 yrs) Mathematics test (8;5 yrs) Prediction of school achievement at age 8. Multiple stepwise regression analyses were run to explore the impact of biological risk, social background, and cognitive abilities assessed during the preschool and kindergarten years on reading, spelling, and mathematics perfonnance at the end of Grade 2. Data of both the VLBW and control children were simultaneously entered in the regression analysis, and group membership was coded as a dummy variable. Predictors used were SES, language developtnent (total score), intelligence (K-ABC total score, assessed at age 6), letter and number knowledge at age 6, self-concept at age 6, as well as rhyming and phoneme discrimination at age 6, W. SCHNEIDER, D. WOLKE, M. SCHLAGMULLER, & R. MEYER 394 Table 3 shows the outcome of stepwise regression analyses carried out separately for reading, spelling, and math. When reading errors in the Zurich Reading Test were used as criterion variable, about 40% ofthe variance could be predicted by the intelligence variable {K-ABC-MPC at 6 years) alone. In subsequent steps, rhyming skills and number knowledge accounted for additional variance in the reading variable. Overall, about 50% ofthe variance in reading errors was explained by this combination of predictor variables. Group membership did not significantly contribute to the prediction. Table 3 Results of stepwise regression analyses for age 8 data, separately for the criterion variables reading, spelling, and math Predictors (a) Dependent variable: Reading {R^ coiTected: 0.50) IQ Rhyming Number Knowledge (b) Dependent variable: Spelling {R- correcled: 0.41) Letter Knowledge 10 Number Knowledge Rhyming (c) Dependent variable: Math {R- corrected: 0.56) IQ Phoneme Knowledge Number Knowledge Group Letter Knowledge Beta T P< .41 8.88 4.97 4.11 0.01 0.01 0.01 .13 5.93 4.80 4.75 2.96 O.OI O.OI O.OI 0.03 .52 .13 .11 .08 .08 12.15 3.09 2.80 2.24 2.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.05 .22 .17 .25 .23 .22 Similar findings were obtained for spelling. Here, letter knowledge, IQ, number knowledge, and rhyming contributed to the prediction, explaining about 4 1 % ofthe variance in the dependent variable. Again, group membership did not contribute to the prediction. Finally, the stepwise regression analysis using mathematics performance as dependent variable yielded different results. Here, IQ turned out to be a very powerful predictor, accounting for about 45% of the variance. Adding phoneme and number knowledge further improved model fit. In addition, group membership and letter knowledge contributed to the prediction of math performance. Overall, 56% ofthe variance in math perfonnance could be explained by these predictor variables. Given that group tnembersliip was a significant predictor of math performance, separate stepwise regression analyses were carried out as a function of this classification variable. Overall, results for VLBW children were most impressive. IQ turned out to be a powerful predictor, accounting for about 64% of the variance. Adding number knowledge further improved model fit. In total, 67% ofthe variance in VLBW children's math performance could be explained by these two predictor variables. In comparison, only about 23% of the variance in the control children's math performance could be explained by the regression model, indicating that IQ, letter knowledge, and SES assessed in kindergarten had the greatest predictive power. Predietion of academic achievement at age 13. As can be seen from Table 1 {last row), control children showed higher levels of academic achievement than VLBW children when the two groups were compared at age 13. This difference was not only statistically significant but also substantial, yielding a difference close to a standard deviation. Causal modeling using latent variables (AMOS) was used to explore the importance ofthe kindergarten predictor variables as well as that of academic achievement assessed in elementary school {i.e., at age 8) for prediction of academic success at the age of 13. SCHOOL ACHIEVEMENT IN PRETERM AND FULL-TERM CHILDREN 395 A sequential strategy was used to test the assumption that the same pattem of interrelationships would hold across the two groups. In a first step of analysis, we explored whether the same measurement model held across the two groups. This assumption had to be rejected given that model fit was very poor (;j<.0001). In a second step, we tested a simultaneous model that allowed for different measurement models across groups but assumed that the structural relations among constructs (i.e., the path coefficients) should be equivalent across the two groups. Again, model fit was suboptimal (/?<.OO1), indicating that the simultaneous model did also not hold using such less strict assumptions. As a consequence, the simultaneous model was rejected and independent (one sample) models were estimated next. ln the initial model specified for VLBW children, individual differences in biological risk and SES were used as exogenous variables, which were assumed to predict IQ and phonological skills assessed during the last year of kindergarten. In tum, the kindergarten measures should predict reading, spelling, and math performance assessed at the end of second grade (i.e., age 8). The model also specified a significant impact ofthe latter variables on the measure of academic success at the age of 13. Initial model estimates indicated that the original model did not fit the data. A closer inspection of modification indices showed that the inclusion ofthe biological risk variable as exogenous factor caused estimation problems. To improve model fit, the model was re-speeified, and the biological risk variable was omitted. The resulting causal model is depicted in Figure 2. As can be seen from this figure, SES at birth had a moderate impact on IQ assessed at age 6. In ttu-n, IQ had a substantial effect on phonological awareness in kindergarten and also strongly predicted math performance at age 8. IQ did not directly influence reading but had a substantial indirect effect via phonological awareness. In comparison, the IQ effect on spelling was insignificant and thus was omitted from Figure 2. Interestingly, phonological awareness in kindergarten had a very strong impact on both reading and spelling assessed at the end of second grade, explaining considerable amounts of variance in these constructs (67% and 76% for reading and spelling, respectively). The three school achievement measures assessed at age 8 (i.e., reading, spelling, and math) had moderate but reliable effects on academic success measured at the age of 13. Overall, about 64% ofthe variance in the academic success measure could be explained by this model. 76 Figure 2. Structural equation model showing relationships between SES, IQ, phonological awareness, and academic performance for the at-risk sample Note. Chi-sqijare=196.21 (48 (//);;J=.OOO; n-t=.98; RMSR= 108. 396 W. SCHNEIDER, D, WOLKE, M, SCHLAGMULLER, & R, MEYER Model fit was examined using the comparative fit index (CFI; Bentler, 1990) and the root mean square error of approximation (RMSEA; Steiger, 2000), The CFI has a range from 0 to 1,0, with higher numbers representing better fit. CFI values larger than .95 seem generally acceptable. The RMSEA index provides a measure of misspecification per degree of freedom. Values under .06 indicate relatively good fit between a hypothesized model and the observed data (Hu & Bentler, 1998). The model fit indicators obtained for the preterm sample did not fulfill each of these threshold values {CFI=,98; RMSREA=.1O) indicating that one should be somewhat cautious when interpreting the causal model, A similar model was specified for the matched control children (cf.. Figure 3). Overall, the structure of path coefficients was similar to that obtained for the VLBW children, SES assessed at birth had a somewhat stronger effect on IQ assessed at age 6 in this group than it had for the VLBW children, IQ showed a strong impact on phonological awareness during the last kindergarten year, and also had a moderately strong effect on math at the end of Grade 2. IQ also had an indirect effect on reading via the phonological awareness variable. Again, the effect of IQ on spelling was negligible and insignificant. Although all of the three school achievement measures showed a significant effect on academic success at the age of 13 years, spelling had the strongest impact. Overall, 42% of the variance in the academic success variable were explained by this model. The model estimated for the controi children yielded a data fit similar to that specified for the VLBW children {CFI-.98, RMSREA=. 10). 49 Figure 3. Structural equation model showing relationships among SES, IQ, phonological awareness, and academic performance for the control group Note. Chi-square=l92.89 (48df);p=.O00: CFI^,9S: RMSR^.107. Comparisons among at-risk subsamples More recent findings have indicated that children of extremely low birthweight {ELBW; less than 1000 g) show poorer educational outcomes as compared to VLBW children, preterm children with low birthweight (LBW; more than 1500 g), and term-born controls (e.g., Klebanov et a!,, 1994). A closer inspection of our biological risk sample showed that 57 participants belonged to the ELBW group, another 135 children to the VLBW group, whereas 72 children could be classified as members of the LBW group. The means and standard SCHOOL ACHIEVEMENT IN PRETERM AND PULL-TERM CHILDREN 397 deviations of IQ and outcomes on various educational test measures are given in Table 4, as a function of group niemhersliip. Table 4 Means and standard deviations for relevant variables, as a function of at-risk subsamples and control group ELBW(l) Variable SES Griffith's EQ {20 nnhs) C M M T-score (4;8 yrs) Language 7-score (6;3 yrs) [.elter Knowledge (6;3 yrs) NumlKT Know ledge (6;3 yrs) I'lioncmi; Tesl (6;3 yrs) Rhyming Task (6;3 yrs) K-At3C. Scale S ; F ( 6 ; 3 yrs) K-ABC. Scale SiF(8;5 yrs) larter Scale cognition (6;3 yrs) laner Scale cognition (8;5 yrs) Zurich Reading (err; 8;5 yrs) Spelling lest (errors; 8;5 yrs) Mathematics test (8;5 yrs) Academic success (13 yrs) VLBW (2) LBW (3) control M SD M SD M SD M SD 1.89 82.76 34.29 44.88 4.46 4.94 7.13 9.26 77.46 79.38 3.05 2.88 65.12 17.46 9.38 3.12 0.82 25.72 18.77 8.19 6.57 3.94 4.92 5.67 I6.B1 19.80 .55 .53 66.88 6.87 5.38 2.81 1.85 91.64 39.56 4S.O0 4.59 5.47 9.50 11.81 88.48 89.89 3.07 3.22 35.38 14.71 12.75 4.21 0.72 21.84 17.02 7.70 6.13 3.60 4.40 4.96 15.29 16.76 .51 .45 48.99 6.73 4.93 2.78 1.9 99.93 46.86 50.44 6.67 5.67 10.07 !2.32 90.57 96.67 3,03 3.31 21.59 11.76 14.59 5.85 0.78 13.53 15.55 8.57 7.53 3.79 4.34 4.38 15.90 14.57 .48 .41 34.73 6.76 4.24 2.78 1.91 106.39 50.46 51.52 8.46 7.98 11.83 13.46 100.16 100.52 3.22 3.45 13.52 10.59 16.30 6.76 0.75 6.71 10.00 6.77 7.83 2.45 3.17 3.11 11.24 9.92 .42 .40 14.15 5.66 3.39 2.31 SNK-Test 1-2 1-3 2-3 • •• * • • • * • • • •• • • ** • • • • • • * • * Note. Several analyses of variance were carried out using group membership as independent factor and IQ measures, language ability, and prereading measures as dependent variables. Effects of group membership were significant for all ofthe IQ measures depicted in Table 4 (all/3's<.OO5). Subsequent S(udent-Newman-Keuls (SNK) tests revealed that ELBW children performed significantly poorer than VLBW children on these measures, who in turn were outperfonned by the LBW children. Although control children tended to perform better than the LBW children, IQ differences were not significant. A significant main effect of group membership was also found for the HSET language test, F(3,479)=6.56, /?<.002). Subsequent SNK tests showed that ELBW children performed significantly worse than all of the other groups, and that VLBW children were outperformed by both the LBW and the control children, which did not differ from each other. Furthermore, significant effects of group membership on results ofthe phoneme test and the rhyming task were found, F(3,479)=6.18,/J<.002, and F{3,479)=5.99, /X.003, respectively. Again SNK tests showed that the ELBW children performed poorest on both of these measures. On both tasks, the two other at-risk groups performed significantly better than the ELBW children, but did not differ from each other. Control chiidren performed best on these tasks, and significantly better than the three remaining groups. Another set of analyses of varianee were carried out for the educational outcome measures assessed at the ages of 8 and 13 to compare performance of the three at-risk subgroups with that of the term-born eonfrols. The analysis using group membership as independent factor and reading (number of errors, Zurich reading test) as dependent measure yielded a significant group effeet, F{3,479)=34.31, p<.Q I. Subsequent Student-Newman-Keuls (SNK) tests revealed that the controi children and the LBW group differed significantly from the VLBW group, which in turn performed significantly better than the ELBW group. A similar ANOVA carried out for spelling as dependent variable yielded a main effect of group, f(3,479)=23.65,;?<.01. Post hoc SNK tests showed that all ofthe subgroups differed reliably from each other: the control children performed best, followed by the LBW, VLBW, and ELBW groups, respectively. The ANOVA carried out for math performanee at age 8 yielded comparable results, F(3,479)=48.05,/J<.OI. Again, subsequent SNK tests revealed that the W, SCHNEIDER, D. WOLKE, M, SCHLAGMULLER, & R, MEYER 398 control group performed best, followed by the LBW, VLBW, and ELBW groups, respectively. Finally, a similar analysis of variance using group as independent factor and academic success at the age of 13 as dependent variable indicated that the pattern of findings obtained for the early elementary school years was replicated. There was a reliable group effect, F(3,527)=49.41, /X.Ol. Subsequent SNK tests showed that all of the four groups differed significantly from each other, with the control group and the ELBW children forming the extremes. An interesting finding concerned the development of academic self-concept in the various groups, A repeated measurement analysis of variance using group membership as independent factor and academic self-concept assessed at the ages of 6 and 8 years as dependent variable revealed significant effects of group, f(3,453)=16.27,/J<,OOI, and time, F(i,453)^12,43,p<.00l. Overall, the control children's self-concept was better than that of the at-risk children, and self-concept generally increased from time 1 to time 2. However, these findings were qualified by a significant group x lime interaction, F(3,453)=5.72,p<.001 which is illustrated in Figure 4. Subsequent SNK tests showed that increases over time were found for all groups except for the ELBW children whose academic self-concept dropped between 6 and 8 years of age. 3.5 ;ion 3.3 Harlei c oo o • 3.1 2.9 • -•-LBW • .«... V L B W --•-ELBW .4I_ control 2,7 2,5 8;5 6;3 Group Figure I. Analysis of variance using group membership (ELBW, VLBW, LBW and control) and age (6;3, 8;5) as independent variables and self-concept (Harter scale; Cognition) as dependent variable Discussion The present study yielded coherent findings over time. First of all, the size of differences in cognitive ability variables between the VLBW/PV and control children remained stable over time. In an earlier comparative analysis of the present sample, Wolke and Meyer (1999) already emphasized the fact that at 6 years of age, very preterm children performed more poorly on all of the K-ABC subscale composites, with group differences in the simultaneous infonnation processing component (SGD) heing particularly large (i,e., more than a standard deviation). In comparison, group differences obtained for the sequential information processing component (SED) were smaller, with preterm children on average performing half a standard deviation below the level of the controls. By and large, this pattern of findings was replicated in the assessment when children were 8 years of age. As can be seen from the last column of Table 1, effect sizes (eta scores) obtained for the language and phonological information processing variables assessed at the age of 6 years ranged between .5 and ,8, indicating that the task-specific differences between preterm and control children were not SCHOOL ACHIEVEMENT IN PRETERM AND FULL-TERM CHILDREN 399 only significant but also practically important. Similarly, pronounced group differences in early literacy (i.e., number and letter knowledge) existed before children entered school. Not surprisingly, these early group differences affected the acquisition of reading and spelling skills at school. Control children outperformed the VLBW/VP children on all of the literacy measures, with differences varying between a half to two thirds of a standard deviation. Again, theses differences reflect substantial effects. They were most pronounced for mathematics performance requiring visualization and reasoning (eta=.9O), indicating that VLBW/VP children's school problems were not restricted lo the literacy domain. The present analyses thus concur with fuidings from other longitudinal studies indicating that children bom prematurely and with a lower birth weight are at increased risk of school failure (for a review, see Taylor et al., 2000; Bhutta et al., 2002). They do not confirm findings that effects of early biological risk on academic performance may not be strong (e.g., Schothorst & van Engeland, 1996; Weindrieh et al., 2000). Being born very pretcrni puts these children, as a group, at statistically and practically higher risk for cognitive impaimient and schooling difficulties (Bhutta et al., 2002; Wolke, 1998). Very low birth weight or very preterm birth is strongly predictive of poor general cognitive abilities (IQ) and specifically, processing of simultaneous information required in many life tasks such as in solving mathematical problems or dealing with the social and behavioural demands of peer groups (Hille et al., 2001). Thus, within the VLBW/VP group, cognitive processing in different domains was the major factor predicting school achievement. Additional analyses of the impact of socio-economic status (SES) on cognitive abilities and school perfomiance in the two groups revealed that this variable was infiuential, but that there was no group by SES interaction. Overall, effects of SES were similar for VLBW/VP and control children. As previously reviewed, the effects of very premature birth were stronger than those of SES differences, given Ihat low-SES control children outperformed high-SHS children at risk (Wolke, 1998). Very preterm children from low SES background are thus at double jeopardy for poor scholastic outcome. Another issue of interest that stimulated the present analyses was whether the same structural relationships between preschool measures of phonological skills and early literacy would hold for the groups of preterm and control children. Although findings from the various analyses of variance consistently showed that mean level of group performance differed for almost all of the variables considered, this does not necessarily imply that structural relationships follow a different pattern. Indeed, findings from multiple stepwise regression analyses with school performance measures as criterion variables revealed that prediction patterns for the reading and spelling variables did not differ across groups. However, whereas individual differences in IQ level were not that relevant for the prediction of math performance in the control group, they were much more important for predicting math performance in the group of VLBW/VP children. To our knowledge, similar analyses and results have not yet been reported in the relevant literature. The fact that individual differences in biological risk did not prove similarly important is likely due to the fact that IQ and biological risk were intercorrelated. Thus neonatal risk and brain injury is refiected in the cognitive function domain rather than transmitted by a separate route. Another important research issue tackled in our study concerns the long-term prediction of academic success in early adolescence based on preschool information and information on academic performance in elementary school. Results of a sequential testing procedure indicated that separate causal models had to be specified for the two subgroups. The resulting model for the VLBW/VP children (depicted in Figure 2) shows a strong impact of IQ assessed during the last kindergarten year on math performance, thus replicating the outcome of the stepwise regression analyses. In addition, IQ had a substantial indirect effect on reading which was mediated by phonological processing assessed at age 6. IQ differences also predicted individual differences in phonological processing, which in tum had a strong impact on reading (but not on math). In accord with the findings of the relevant literature (e.g., Schneider & Naslund, 1999; Wagner & Torgesen, 1987), the literacy and math variables had a direct effect on academic success in the secondary school system, accounting for about 64% of the variance in this variable. 400 W. SCHNEIDER, D. WOLKE, M. SCHLAGMULLER, & R. MEYER Overall, the results for the control group showed a similar causal pattern. For instance, it seems remarkable that early SES differerence are not only related to IQ differences in both samples but also have a direct effect on academic success which is not mediated by other variables in the analyses. This finding suggests that there are other relevant factors not specified in the model that are responsible for these SES effects e.g., attitudes, home, environment and aspirations (e.g., Fergusson & Woodward, 1999; Schoon, Bynner, Joshi, Parsons, Richard, & Sacker, 2002). The main difference between the two causal models concerned the impact of early IQ on school performance, which was still moderately strong for the control sample but not as pronounced as in the group of preterm children. In particular, the impact of IQ differences on math performance was much stronger for the at-risk sample than for the control children. Related to this, the model specified for the control children explained less variance in the school performance variables, compared to the findings for the preterm group. Again, this outcome confirms the findings from the regression analyses described above, indicating that general cognitive difficulties are pervasive in VLBW/VP children and less so in healthy full-temi children. Surprisingly, however, IQ differences also predicted levels of phonological processing in both groups, a finding not in accord with those reported in the relevant literature (e.g.. Bus & van Ijzendoorn, 1999; Schneider, Roth, & Ennemoser, 2000). Another deviation from typical findings concerned the predictor weight of the school achievement measures. It was true for both groups that spelling performance at age 8 explained more variance in the academic success variable assessed at age 13 than proficiency levels in reading. The latter finding may be due to idiosyncracies of the German school system, where spelling performance is particularly important for selection processes taking place after elementary school, that is, after Grade 4. Given that the VLBW/VP children generally operated at a lower academic achievement level than the control children, spelling problems could have been mainly responsible for class repetition and other problems at the secondary school level. So far, we have only discussed implications of very premature birth and very low birthweight combined. To remain consistent with earlier publications dealing with the Bavarian study (e.g., Wolke & Meyer, 1999; Wolke et al., 1994; Hille et al., 2001), our at-risk sample was further classified according to gestational age and not birth weight (even though we should note that there is a considerable overlap in these two classification criteria). A final issue of interest concerned the question whether differences in birth weight have an impact on educational outcomes. Given that most recent studies on the issue relate levels of birth weight with educational success, we re-classified our sample according to birth weight categories as suggested by the WHO. This seemed important because current information on the effect of birth weight on school function is limited by rather small samples from a single site, hospital, or school district. Further concerns are raised when very low birth weight children are considered as a whole and simply compared with normal birth weight groups, without considering heavier low birth weight (1501 through 2500 g) children (cf., Klebanov et al., 1994). Our findings indicate that individual differences in birth weight among at risk children do predict later academic outcomes. School problems were most pronounced for the ELBW children, regardless of measurement point, even though they also existed for the VLBW group. In comparison, academic performance of the LBW children was more comparable to that of the control group children. These findings are in accord with those of other longitudinal assessments (e.g., Klebanov et al., 1994; Saiga! et al., 2000), As previously proposed, biological risk does distinguish children on the group level (i.e., ELBW have lower scores than VLBW or LBW children). However on an individual level, the functional impairment in general cognitive ability is the major predictor of school achievement. Thus those children who had severe neonatal complications but these did not effect general cognitive abilities have a good chance of good school adjustment. Previous reports of the Bavarian Longitudinal Study suggest that if the VLBW children had not caught up within the first 20 months in their mental development and head growth, the chances for adaptive cognitive development by 8.5 years were highly reduced (Wolke, Schulz, & Meyer, 2001). Very preterm birth is a major reproductive risk that appears to reduce the expression of genetic potential (Koeppen-Schomerus, Eley, Wolke, Gringras, & SCHOOL ACHIEVEMENT IN PRETERM AND FULL-TERM CHILDREN 401 Plomin, 2000), Early recovery and intact general cognitive ability (on the functional level) provides a good prediction of longer temi educational achievement in this group. The inclusion oflhe academic self-concept variable indicates that the objective academie differences are also reflected in altered self evaluations. We already knew from the relevant literature that prematurily born children show lower levels of academic self-concept in adoleseenee (cf., Cohen et al,, 1996), Our analyses revealed that at-risk children's academic self concept was already generally lower than that of the matched controls from age 6 on, and that different developmental trends could be observed as a function of risk subtype. The most problematic trend was found for the ELBW children, whose academic self-concept deteriorated significantly from age 6 to age 8. Although the two other at-risk groups tended to score lower than the control children, the overall developmental trend paralleled that of the controls in that their self-eoncept improved over time. The divergent pattern detected in case of the ELBW children indicates that this group is in particular need of specific intervention. Such a conclusion is substantiated by the findings for the prereading variables. The ELBW children performed significantly worse than the other groups on both the phoneme and rhyming tasks. A closer inspection of their scores on these tasks revealed that about 30% of the ELBW children but only about 4% of the control children ranked below the 5th percentile. Thus about one third of the ELBW children showed a severe risk regarding subsequent reading and spelling acquisition in school. Using a more lenient criterion, more than 65% of the BLBW children was classified into the lowest quartile of the distribution, which again indicates a substantial risk. Although the situation was comparably better for the two other at-risk groups, about one quarter of the LBW children and about 45% of the VLBW children belonged to this at-risk category (i,e,, lowest 25%). Overall, then, the academie situation appears difficult for prematurely bom children. Although their lower IQ may limit the chances of cognitive interventions, the findings nevertheless identify potential levers of where to intervene. As already noted above, phonological training programs typically carried out during the last year of kindergarten have been proven successful in groups of normal and at-risk children. Given the generally low levels of phonological skills found for the VLBW children included in our analyses, these children bom prematurely qualify as candidates for such educational intervention programs. There is some evidence that these children may benefit from such programs, A recent training study by Schneider. Roth, and Ennemoser (2000) revealed that the few prematurely bom children in that sample (N=5) benelited as much as the rest of the sample from the training procedure, and, as a consequence, did not develop academic problems in sehool. 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SCHOOL ACHIEVEMENT IN PRETERM AND FULL-TERM CHILDREN 405 De.s differences individitelles coiiceniant le siicces academique sont recherchees en cadre d'une population geogrciphiquement definie eiitiere des enfaitls ne.s avant lerme ages de mains de 32 semaines avant !a naissance et tin puids de naissance moin.s de 1500 gramntes. La population coneernee se compose de 264 prematures (75.6% des survivants qui parlent I'allemand) et 264 en/ants pour le groupe de controle. gemines le sexe. I'etat socio-economiqiie. la situation de famille et I 'age de la mere, qui sont examines depuis lew naissance. Les analyses actueltes sont pointees a I'influence des capacites cognitives revues a I'dge de 6 et 8 ans au succes academique a I'age de 13. Les scores de t'intelligence, les capacites avant lire, tire, epeler et la capacite en matbematiques obtenus pendant la derniere annee aujardin d'enfants et de notiveati a la fin de "Grade 2" sont utilises pour la prediction du succes academique a I'age adolescent. Les differences entre les prematures et tes en/ants de controle concernant les capacites cognitives deja ohservces dans les recherches precedentes restent stables tout le temps, les cnfants de controle montrent une performance en moyen une demie deviation miettx que les prematures. Les prematures sont aussi pire concernant les mesures de la litterature et la performance en mathematiqiies. Les modeles multivariates et de causalite montrent des modeles prevoyantes differentes pour les deux groupes. Pendant que I 'intelligence est particulierement importante pour la prediction du succes academique dans la population prematuree. I'intelligence generate est nioins important pour la prediction du succes academique dans le groupe de controle. Si des sous-groupes des enfants en risque sont formes accordes aux categories du poids de naissance, on a montre que les problemes a I'ecole sont particutieremenl valable pour les enfants de poids extremement bas (1000 grammes et encore moins). Key words: Longitudinal study, Preterm children, School achievement. Received: March 2004 Revision received: August 2004 Wolfgang Schneider. Department of Psychology, University of Wiirzburg, Wittelsbacherplatz 1, D-97()74 W(ir/burg, Gemiaiiy; E-mail: Schncider@psychologie.uni-wuerzburg.de Current ihe me of research: Cognitive development, Prediction of school performance. Prevention of dyslexia, Reading and spelling. Longitudinal studies. Most relevant publications in thefteld of Psychology of Education: Artelt, C , Schiefele, U., & Schneider, W, (2002). Predictors of reading literacy. European Journal of P.sychology of Education. 16, 363-384. Schneider, W., & Bjorklund, D.V. (2003). Memory and knowledge develiipmcnt. In J, Valsiner & K. Conoily (Eds.). Handbook of developmental psychology (pp. 370-403). London: Sage. Schneider, W., Knopf, M., & Stefanek, J. (2002). The development of verbal memory in childhood and adole,scence: Findings from the Munich Longitudinal S\ody. Journal of Educational Psychology. 94, 751-761. Schneider, W., & Pressley, M, (1997). Memory development between 2 and 20. Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum, Weinert, F.E., & Schneider, W. (Eds,), (1999). Individual development from 3 to 12: Findings from ihe Munich Longitudinal Study (LOGIC). Cambridge, MA: Cambridge University Press. 406 W. SCHNEIDER. D, WOLKE, M, SCHLAGMULLER, & R, MEYER Dieter Wolke. Professor Unit, of Perinatal and Paediatric Epidemiology, Department of Community based Medicine, University of Bristol. 24 Tyndall Avenue, Bristol, BS8 ITQ, UK. And Scientific Director Jacobs Foundation, Seefeldquai 17, P.O. Box, C H - 8 0 3 4 Zurich) E-mail: Dieter-Wolke@jacobsfoundation,org; Web site: www,aispac.bris,ac.uk/welcome/dieter_biog,slitml, www,jacobsfoundation,org Current theme of research: Longitudinal studies of biological at risk children. Longitudinal studies of antisocial behaviour in adolescence. Bullying behaviour and schooling. Sleeping and Feeding Development. Mosi relevant publicalionx in ihe field of Psychology of Education: Wolke. D,, & Samara, M. (2004), Bullied by siblings: Association with peer vicxiimisaiion and behaviour problems in Israeli lower secondary school children. Journal of Child Psychology- and Psychiatry. 45. 1015-1029, Woods, S,, & Wolke, D, (2004), Direct and relational bullying among primary school children and academic \.. Journal of School Psychology. 42. 135-155, Saigal. S,, den Ouden, L., Woike, I),, Hoult, L,, Paneth. N,, Slreiner, D,L,, Wbitaker, A,. & Pinto-Martin, J, (2003). School-age outcomes in children who were extremely low birth weight from four internalionai population-based cohorts. Pediatrics, 4, 943-950, Woods, S,, & Wolke, D, (2003), Does ihe content of anti-bullying policies inform us about the prevalence of direct and relational bullying behaviour in primary schools? Educalional Psychology. 23(2), 381-402, Wotke, D., Woods, S,, Schulz, H,, & Stanford, K, (2001). Bullying and victimisation of primary school children in South England and South Germany: Prevalence and school factors. British Journal of Psychology. 92, 673-696, Matthias Schlagmiiller. Department of Psychology, University of WUrzburg, Wittelsbacherplatz 1, D-97074 Wiirzburg, Germany; E-mail: schlagmu(gpsychologie,uni-wuerzburg,de Current theme of research: Memory development. Strategy development. Most relevant publications in the field of Psychology of Education: Schneider. W,, SchlagmQIler, M,. & Vise, M, (1998), The impact of metamemory and domain-specific knowledge on memory performance, European Journal of Psychology of Education, /.?, 91-103, Schlagmuller. M,, & Schneider. W,(20fl2), The development of organizational strategies in children: Evidence from a microgenetic longitudinal study. Journal of Experimental Child Psycholog}', 81. 298-319, Renate Meyer. Am Steinbach 17, D-90559 Burgtbaiin, Germany; E-mail: r.e,meyer@t-onlitie.de Current iheme of research: Longitudinal studies of biological at risk children, Mo5f relevant publications in the field of Psychology of Education: Wolke, D,,& Meyer, R, (!999), Cognitive status, language aUainment and pre-reading skills of 6-year-old very preterm children and their peers: The Bavarian Longitudinal Study, Developmental Medicine and Child Neurology: 41(2), 94-109, Wolke, D,, Meyer. R,, Ohrt, B , & Riegel, K, (1995), The incidence of sleeping problems in preterm and fuUterm infants discharged from special neonatal care units: An epidemiological longitudinal study. Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry. i6(2), 203-223. Wolke, D., Gray, P,. & Meyer, R, (1994), Excessive infant crying: A controlled study of mothers helping mothers. Pediatrics. 94(3), 322-332,