Great Basin Tree-Ring Records from Lower-Forest-Border Sites Franco Biondi and Scotty Strachan 10 The 9 pinyon treering chronologies (red triangles) were compared to all the Pinus monophylla (blue), and a Juniperus scopulorum (green) chronologies in the International TreeRing Data Bank. The first principal component (PC1, 61% variance for the period 1551-2001) of the 9 pinyon chronologies had a 0.9 correlation with PC1 (56% variance for the 1630-1976 period) of the 14 ITRDB chronologies. SSP PTS639 WLL639 D3 38˚N N PAN639 KRW 0 100 120˚W W D4 200 118˚W W 116˚W W 114˚W W MTI Trees 0 18 33 18 26 28 15 22 38 15 30 30 27 28 328 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 0 1 0 17 2 10 17 10 15 14 12 18 15 18 17 16 14 15 193 KRW WRI WHR STC Based on the 1551-2001 period, there is a separation between northern (RMS, SSP, DES) and southern sites (MTI, KRW). The remaining, central eastern sites tend to be more similar to the southern than the northern group. 1900 1950 2000 35˚N = -0.19 = 0.78 30˚N 25˚N Cluster Dendrogram SSP km 0 DES 1550 1650 1750 1850 20˚N 130˚W Table 2. Summary of piñon (Pinus monophylla) tree-ring chronologies. Trees/ LAR/ Long Lat First Last MSL Yrs Cores Total (°W) (°N) Yr Yr -117.78 39.24 1504 2001 498 10/19 330 261/6274 -115.53 40.15 1413 2001 589 16/31 282 38/8729 -117.53 39.06 1300 2002 703 8/15 349 62/5238 -114.21 38.92 1454 2002 549 14/25 345 178/8614 -114.30 39.05 1449 2002 554 13/23 280 127/6447 -115.37 38.95 1400 2002 603 11/13 352 204/4581 -115.39 38.92 1254 2002 749 15/22 358 91/7874 -116.49 37.99 1365 2003 639 13/24 283 300/6790 -115.41 37.63 1301 2003 703 11/18 439 279/7906 MS 0.22 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.19 0.19 0.12 0.20 0.13 St. Dev. 0.21 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.19 0.19 0.13 0.19 0.14 A1 0.29 0.26 0.47 0.25 0.30 0.23 0.36 0.24 0.26 400 800 125˚W 120˚W W Period N=3 1530-2001 1488-2001 1551-2002 1473-2002 1487-2002 1512-2002 1430-2002 1375-2003 1373-2003 115˚W 110˚W 105˚W Sample Linear Correlation -0.7 1950 Year (1551-2001) DES RMS SSP SCK STC WHR WRI KRW MTI 1850 SCK RMS Site ID 1800 Period SS =0.75 1530-2001 1590-2001 1551-2002 1487-2002 1484-2002 1491-2002 1461-2002 1375-2003 1373-2003 MTI 11S, 339570, 4234930 11S, 432939, 4343383 11T, 624945, 4445195 11S, 454450, 4323404 11S, 741500, 4311400 11S, 733700, 4326300 11S, 641450, 4312080 11S, 639900, 4309600 11S, 620500, 3849800 11S, 345750, 4253600 11S, 544400, 4204500 11S, 640600, 4166000 11T, 429000, 4436000 11S, 309200, 4282600 Sections 1750 40˚N DES Brawley Peak, NV Desatoya Mts, NV (DES) Ruby Mts, NV (RMS) South Shoshone Peak, NV (SSP) Great Basin Nat’l Park, NV (SCK) Great Basin Nat’l Park, NV (STC) White Pine Range, NV (WHR) White Pine Range, NV (WRI) Granite Mts, CA Lucky Boy Pass, NV Kawich Range, NV (KRW) Mt. Irish, NV (MTI) Fencemaker Pass, NV Pine Grove Hills Totals Cores 1700 0.3 Location (UTM) 1650 From the time-series graph of PC1 scores, the 'Dust Bowl' drought of the 1930s appears to be exceeded only once (in the 1630s) during the past 450 years. PC1 of the 9 pinyon 50˚N chronologies shows excellent agreement not only with PC1 of the other pinyonjuniper records from the Great Basin 45˚N but also with hundreds of other ITRDB chronologies in western North America. km 36˚N N 0 Site (ID) Total Samples 2 21 33 18 26 28 15 22 38 26 30 30 28 28 345 1600 Year Table 1. Summary of piñon (Pinus monophylla) field collections. Elev (m) 2330 1930 2160 2400 2400 2400 2220 2400 1800 2400 2250 2500 2100 2350 1550 MTI KRW _ I t = chronology value at year t = mean annual value w = ring-width measured at year t in sample i nt = number of samples at year t y = curve-fitted value at year t in sample i (w0.5 – y) = i = index value at year t in sample i cit = correction factor added to make the overall mean equal to 1 365639 461639 460639 HCR639 MDY639 DCW639 STC WHR WRI SCK DES BRY639 PEX639 WRI + cit RMS SCK nt it N 40˚N WHR i =1 ) 487639 STC • • • • • • −y WHS639 SSP It = ∑ (w 0.5 PQP639 RMS i = nt D2 1 A total of 9 pinyon tree-ring chronologies were obtained, out of 14 sites sampled in 2002-2004 (Tables 1 and 2), using the following formula: D1 Mean Tree-Ring Index 1 1 1 With funding from the Paleoclimate Program of the National Science Foundation, we are developing tree-ring records from lowerforest border species in the Great Basin. Ecotonal environments are ideal places for treering studies of hydroclimatic variability, and this mountain tree-ring network updates and expands prior collections in the area. While we plan at least two more seasons of field work, we present here the main features of pinyon (Pinus monophylla) chronologies developed to date. JARAU1 2 Recent mortality 42˚N N 5 4 0 Climate Change -5 5 -10 P-J Expansion PC1 Score Reduced Fire Frequency 0.9 Fire Suppression 3 0.7 1 0.5 2 Height Grazing 6 In the Great Basin of North America, long records of climate are important for fire management, and also for understanding the mechanisms behind recent expansion of piñon-juniper woodlands. Ecotonal environments characterized as lower forest border sites are ideal places for tree-ring studies of hydroclimatic variability. Piñon (Pinus monophylla) trees from 14 sites in the Great Basin have been sampled to develop a network of moisture-sensitive records spanning the past few centuries. A total of 9 tree-ring chronologies have been developed to date, and the main features of this mountain tree-ring network are presented. Principal component and cluster analysis were used to identify bioclimatic zones. For the 1551-2001 period, PC1 accounts for 61% of the variance, and shows a significant precipitation signal. The 'Dust Bowl' drought of the 1930s appears to have been exceeded only once (in the 1630s) during the past 450 years. In the Great Basin, land management agencies have little to no information on ecosystem dynamics and their driving forces (such as wildfire and climate) prior to Euro-American settlement. While rapid urban and population growth is increasing the public scrutiny of land use practices, managers are confronted with regional environmental changes, clearly illustrated by the expansion of pinyon-juniper (P-J) woodlands. The interaction of landscapelevel factors in determining the recent increase of P-J vegetation is not well understood, even though it has important implications for fire management in the Great Basin. In addition, decadal-scale trends of P-J expansion are superimposed on shorter pulses of mortality, such as those seen in the past few years. PJ Woodland Expansion Abstract The main climate signals (shown by bootstrapped response functions of PC1 with monthly mean temperature and total precipitation from Nevada Climate Divisions 2 and 3) point to cool- and warmseason precipitation. -0.5 -0.3 -0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7