Building Next Generation Broadband Network (NGBN) Costas Strigaris Huawei North Africa E-mail: costas@huawei.com Mobile: +2 0122300475 HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Content • The value of NGBN • NGBN Challenges • Case Study HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HISILICON SEMICONDUCTOR Page 2 NGBN is the essential national assets “I believe that America should lead the world in broadband penetration” Barack Obama, USA President “Next generation broadband will be critical enabler to build new capabilities and transform our industries” Lee Hsien Loong, PM Singapore “Universal Broadband Access is crucial for Britain’s economy” “Just announced biggest ever investment in Australian broadband-really exciting, infrastructure for the future” Gordon Brown, UK PM Kevin Rudd, Australian PM Appetite for bandwidth is unlimited. It leads to two consequences To achieve the target of Vision 2020, economy of Malaysia is required to transform … (1) Fixed network remains competitive DATO’ SRI MOHD NAJIB TUN ABDUL RAZAK Prime Minister of Malaysia HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HISILICON SEMICONDUCTOR (2) Strong growth in new services Lars Nybergu, President and CEO of TeliaSonera Page 3 NGBN is valuable for the economy, society and industry. Government’s investment accelerates for the GDP contribution, competitiveness, job creation and social benefit National Broadband Networks Deployment Impact on0 GDP 0 0 0 Garnter (USA) 3.9% CEBR (Scotland) 2.5% Government (Korea) 1.3% Government (Australia) 0.8% Criterion Study (US) 0.8% Brooking Institute (US) EIU (NZ) Socio-Economic Benefits 0 0.6% 0.4% Avg. 1.46% 0 •Innovation •Labor Productivity •National Competitiveness •Resources Utilization •Social Inclusion •Lifestyle •For every 1% increase in BB penetration, employment rate increased 0.2-0.3%; •For every $1Investment in BB, the whole society got 10 times return •BB helped the manufacturing sector increase 5%, services sector increase 10% in labor productivity (% increases within five years) Source: Booz & Company analysis HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HISILICON SEMICONDUCTOR Page 4 Government strategies to support NGBN NGBN projects Singapore Malaysia Australia Japan UK Qatar Investment S$1bn US$0,7 bn A$43 bn US$1 bn €2.1 bn ~QAR1 bn Gov. Strategies iN2015 NBN U-Japan NGA Q.NGN TM NBNCo NTT State Investment State major owner State Investment HSBB OpenNet (NetCo) Organization Nucleus Connect (OpCo) State Investment HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HISILICON SEMICONDUCTOR BT State Subsidy Q.NGN Co State major owner Page 5 Three modes of NGBN construction and operation State subsidy mode • Setup stratagem target Government State major owner mode • Setup stratagem target • Provide policy support • Share found public-operated corporation and construct network • Subsection financing allowance • Insure open access • Hold network assets Third party construction mode • Setup stratagem target • Supervise third party operation • Insure open access • Provide part of capital support • Construct network Operator • Service innovation and user management • Be absorbed in service innovation and user management • Be absorbed in service innovation and user management • Hold network assets Third Party — — • Construct network, bandwidth wholesale • Hold network assets Sample: : • Japan u-Japan plan • Malaysia HSBB project • UK BT NGA project HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HISILICON SEMICONDUCTOR • Australia NBN project • Qatar Q.NGN project • Singapore NGNBN project Page 6 Content • The value of NGBN • NGBN Challenges • Case Study HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HISILICON SEMICONDUCTOR Page 7 NGBN is Coming Fast Increase of Video and Mobile Data Traffic Incumbents’ Broadband Plan 60000 Country 单位 : PB/月 月 Unit: PB/M Mobile Data 50000 40000 30000 47% of network traffic increase per year 100 Mbps 90% Business France 2009-2012 100 Mbps ~33% Consumer - Gaming Germany 2009-2014 50 Mbps 75% Korea 2009-2012 1 Gbps 100% Consumer - Video Malaysia 2007-2017 10 Mbps+ 38% Consumer - P2P New Zealand 2009-2019 100 Mbps 75% Singapore 2009-2015 1 Gbps 100% UK 2009-2017 24-100 Mbps 75% Consumer - Web/Email 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: CSMG analysis Source Huawei MI • Video and P2P are major drives of metro and backbone expansion. • MBB traffic goes up to 66 times in next 5 years, mobile operator also face similar issues • 20M~100M ultra broadband era is coming in next 3 years. HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HISILICON SEMICONDUCTOR Coverage 2009-2017 10000 2009 Speeds Australia 20000 0 2008 Program Duration Page 8 Healthy ecosystem realizes the whole NGBN picture Healthy Ecosystem Telecom Network Broadcasting Network NGBN Open, Fast, Affordable Internet Network Service Provider End-user Service Provider Services innovation, QoS Design, build and operation of the network active infrastructure Design, build and operation of the network passive infrastructure Universal coverage, Open access, Fair competition GDP, Competitiveness, Jobs… active infrastructure passive infrastructure Digital Home E -Business E-Government Fast (100M-1G), Affordable End-user Government HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HISILICON SEMICONDUCTOR Page 9 Key elements of NGBN 1 Universal coverage, Open access policy Regulation Fair competition Investment stimulation NGBN Plan EOT (Establish, Operate, Transfer) Joint GTM HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HISILICON SEMICONDUCTOR 2 3 Network Construction & Operation Service Enabler & Bandwidth cost Page 10 Open – APRU Fast – Bandwidth Affordable – Cost Regulation – NGBN’s new challenges Diversified Net Neutral models Regulator’s considerations Retail Service Providers Infrastructure separation Open access method (SLU, Huawei’s Contribution Define and deploy L2 bitstream solution LLU, Bit stream, Duct sharing…) Active Network Passive Network Singapore UK Synchronize fiber open solution with schedule Wholesale pricing Rates of Investment Return Technology evolution … Define physical FTTH open solution How to ensure fair competition and stimulate investment? Italy HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HISILICON SEMICONDUCTOR Define L2 FTTx open solution Page 11 “Scissors Gap” is major challenge A How to keep the technology in line with bandwidth increase? How to generate new revenue? C How to restrain the cost? B Po s oo t-M ’s re G ng wi ro Curve B: Bandwidth Worse Margin Sustainable Margin Good Margin Value per Bit SMS Voice Ultra Broadband Era Broadband Era Voice Era Curve A: ARPU Curve C: Cost Leased line Internet MBB IPTV Killer Applications HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HISILICON SEMICONDUCTOR HDTV Long tail applications Long Tail Applications Page 12 Content • The value of NGBN • NGBN Challenges • Case Study HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HISILICON SEMICONDUCTOR Page 13 Case Study: Singapore NGNBN Target & Plan Dr Lee Boon Yang : Minister of Information, communication and the Arts. “ New business model, solution and innovation of new service will make Singapore more competitive in international environment, promote economic development and remove the digital divide.” S$1bn support from Government NGNBN Target Target Market NGNBN 1. Residential 50M -1G 2. Enterprise100M -1G User development plan by2015 target Residential:330’000 Commercial:80’000 Retail Service Providers RSP 3. Public Active Network Coverage Plan OpCo S$250m NetCo Sep 09 Dec 10 Jun 12 5% 60% 95% Passive Network Source: IDA Singapore HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HISILICON SEMICONDUCTOR Page 14 S$750m NGBN spurs industry development Objectives of Singapore iN2015 # 1 Objectives of China FTTX in 2012 in the world in infocomm value adding to economy & Society 2x increase in Infocomm value to S$26bn 3x increase in Infocomm export to S$6bn 80,000 additional Jobs 90% home using BB 100% PC Penetration >80M fiber-optic broadband port 8M Bandwidth (bps) in city 2M Bandwidth (bps) in rural area 100M Bandwidth (bps) in business building >150B Investment in FTTX (RMB) >50M New added BB users HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HISILICON SEMICONDUCTOR Page 15 Thank you www.huawei.com