ITU/BDT Regional Seminar on Mobile and Fixed Wireless Access for Broadband Applications for the Arab Region Session 6b_32 Planning of Broadband Wireless Access for Rural and Remote Areas Ignat Stanev ITC, Bulgaria ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 1 Presentation : motivation and content: Rural and remote areas telecom case : usually not interesting from business point of view telecom development should be supported by government Content: First, this presentation discusses the characteristics of the rural and remote areas through statistical data for different telecom indicators Next, case studies with planning of broadband wireless in the access network of rural and remote areas are presented Finally there is a summary of the requirements to the planning models and tools ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 2 1 Rural population and teledensity Percentage of the population living in rural areas 71% 71% SubSaharan Africa East Asia & Pacific 75% 27% Latin America South Asia Source: The World Bank(1992) 1 : 4,3 1 : 3,4 1 : 1,5 1 : 1,05 ITU WTID 2002 ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Population of large cities as % Large city teledensity [%] Rural areas teledensity [%] Overall teledensity [%] Low Income Lower Middle 6,0 5,8 9,26 24,84 2,15 7,30 2,54 8,77 Upper Middle 16,1 30,77 21,10 22,94 High Income 10,8 57,49 54,83 55,21 Africa 12 6,42 1,39 1,99 Americas Asia Europe Oceania WORLD 13,6 34,8 4,8 25,97 10,9 48,24 17,8 45,97 7,7 17,4 Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 21,72 6,94 30,19 36,77 25,25 11,39 7,84 31,98 38,38 9,20 Session 6b_32 - 3 Largest cities vs. rural areas in some countries Country Egypt Mauritania Sudan Tunisia Djibouti Kuwait Libya Palestine Qatar Syria Urban population (%) 42.6 49.5 37.9 64.4 99.0 98.0 86.2 90.0 91.8 51.4 % of main lines in urban areas Total teledensity [%] 82.0 24.4 100.0 14.1 90.0 6.0 97.0 48.0 100.0 5.0 98.0 96.2 60.0 15.9 80.0 36.1 99.0 110.0 82.5 27.5 120 100 80 Urban population (%) 60 % of m ain lines in urban areas 40 20 ITU WTID 2004 0 Poland China Bulgaria ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Romania Egypt Mauritania Sudan Tunisia Bulgaria Syria Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 4 2 Largest cities vs. rural areas - user behaviour Findings of the United Nations : all growth in population will concentrate in urban areas, no growth in rural areas most of the growth will concentrate in urban areas of less developed regions Users will concentrate in urban areas, areas, as urban areas put higher pressure on the individual to "do what the others do" and from technical point it is easier to connect people in urban areas ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 5 Broadband connection – statistics Top 10 countries by mobile multimedia users as % of population, 2003 Spain Norway Finland UK German Sweden Singapo France S.Kore Japan 0 ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 10 20 30 http://reports.tmgtelecom.com/ssmi Session 6b_32 - 6 3 IT density as bases for BB services requiring PC/Internet access Density statistics for Information technology : Internet hosts per 10 000 inhabitants Internet users per 10 000 inhabitants PCs per 100 inhabitants Low Income 0,98 62,21 0,59 Lower Middle Income Upper Middle Income High Income 4,32 264,94 2,45 78,69 992,66 8,24 1 484,20 3 992,87 37,31 Africa 3,38 84,89 1,06 Americas 1 332,97 2 164,28 26,57 Asia 28,73 433,97 2,18 Europe 191,47 1 804,54 17,94 Oceania 885,26 2 771,59 39,91 WORLD 232,66 820,81 7,74 Ratio Low Income/High Income : 1 : 64 1 : 63 ITU WTID 2002 ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Arab region : Low Income : 5 Lower middle Income : 9 Upper middle Income : 4 High Income : 4 Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 7 EU Project - Broadband for All To develop the network technologies and architectures allowing a generalised and affordable availability of broadband access to European users, including those in less developed regions, peripheral and rural areas. Optimised access technologies, as a function of the operating environment, at affordable price allowing for a generalized introduction of broadband services in Europe including less developed regions ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 8 4 Conclusion for the rural and remote areas characteristics There is difference between rural and urban telecom development, which depends mainly upon the country development (e.g. low income, high income countries) Broadband access depends on the IT penetration in the country and that will influence the rural and remote areas BB access In every region of the world there is diversity of different countries (as low income, high income, etc.) which should present different requirements to the rural and remote areas BB access Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Session 6b_32 - 9 Re-Optimization OpEx intensive Demand Forecast Operate & Maintain Critical Network planning Critical Planning of bradband wireless access Plan New Build CapEx sensitive Purchase / Build BUILD PLAN RUN OPEX Intensive CAPEX Sensitive O ptim um Traffic TrafficDemand Demand Generation / Distribution Generation / Distribution C osts Service ServiceDefinition Definition / Market Capture / Market Capture 15% Access AccessTechnology Technology Selection Selection/ /Roll-Out Roll-Out Business BusinessCase Case Analysis Analysis Service Mix, 85% Geographical Traffic Demand ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Voice Voice ATM ATM SS7 SS7 9% SONET SONET/ /SDH SDH Synchronization Synchronization T otal IP / MPLS IP / MPLS Bandwidth 5% Requirements NODES E xchanges 9% Optical OpticalRing Ring Optical Mesh Optical Mesh CCORE ircuits 52% Link ACCESS 25% Requirements Subscribers WDM WDMLinks Links Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 nodes no. of exchanges Session 6b_32 - 10 5 Planning case studies performed with available network planning tools The case studies present the planning process that needs to be performed for evaluation of wireless broadband access in rural and remote areas Planning includes market definition and optimization of the access network. First access network is optimized regardless of the terrain characteristics, then network is analysed for coverage and result is adjusted correspondingly The case studies are planned with professional NP tools, available through ITU partners Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Session 6b_32 - 11 Planning process for planning of wireline (DSL) BB access network ! # $ ( ( " &'($ " # % " " " " # ! " ITU-BDT Regional Seminar ! Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 # " $ " $ ! Session 6b_32 - 12 6 Planning process for planning of wireless BB access network ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 13 Planning tools - VPIaccessMaker Market definition Evolution forecasting Demand mapping Technology modeling Network design optimization Roll-out results Market capture for a service provider ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 14 7 Planning tools - LStelcom MULTIlink MULTIlink is a complete solution for fast microwave link engineering and designing of PMP/WLL/LMDS networks. It can be used for planning and optimizing single links (e.g. path loss, coverage and availability calculations) as well as for doing network-wide analysis (e.g. interference calculation, channel assignment). ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Oman – Test Case study Session 6b_32 - 15 ITU/BDT Arab Regional Workshop on “Wireless Network Evolution” Evolution” MuscatMuscat-Oman, 0303-05 May 2004 Rural market – Muscat area ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 16 8 Case study - Market forecasting: Permanent service – Residential - connection at 64 Kbit/s Business - connection at 128 Kbit/s Market based on inhabitants / households per sq. km. and penetration from 2% to 10% ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 17 Case study - Technology definition : ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 18 9 Case study - Planning process : ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 19 Case study - Planning wireless : BS coverage calculation Max server coverage ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 20 10 Case study – Papua New Guinea : TELIKOM planning team Suburban / Rural market – Port Moresby area ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 21 Case study – Suburban and rural area : User per sector: 254 Sector payload: 18 Mbps Radius per BS: 3 KM Frequency of Operation: 2.3, 2.4 GHz Bandwidth: 3.5 MHz TELIKOM planning wireless BB access ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 22 11 Case study – Planning process : optimization of service areas ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 23 Case study – Planning wireless : ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 24 12 Case study Stuttgart suburban area : ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 25 Case study Stuttgart - Planning process : ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 26 13 Case study Stuttgart - Planning wireless : BS coverage calculation BS coverage calculation ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 27 Case study Stuttgart – Wireless access network : ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 28 14 Case study Stuttgart - Economic Analysis : ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 29 Conclusion for planning of bradband wireless access Service/market forecasting, access network optimization and economic analysis are main phases of planning also for broadband wireless access in rural and remote areas Planning of broadband wireless access requires additional analysis with regard to evaluation and optimization of the terrain coverage Effective planning of broadband wireless access in rural and remote areas includes application of appropriate planning tools ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 30 15 Requirements to services and customer segments definition and forecasting Broadband penetration forecasts for the residential market - EU e.g. Permanent service Defined by required bandwidth or bit rate y (e.g. no. of subscribers) Saturation limit Logistic or Gompertz' trend Linear trend Exponential trend Time 0 Beginning interval Average interval Forecasting of customer segments e.g. Residential market: Saturation interval Typical for rural and remote areas : ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Individual, family, commune services/users Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 31 Requirements to the modeling of user locations zones /areas => => Digital maps – Geo data nodes / sites ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 32 16 Requirements to the network optimization Location on nodes : E.g. optimal placement of BS Service areas : E.g. optimal service areas of a BS wireless resource is limited, i.e. not possible to have several BS in the same or nearly the same location, as is the case with wireline nodes (e.g. DSLAMs) in some wireless technologies served area is function of the traffic load (the sells breathing effect) ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 33 Future short and long-term work More complex statistical analysis of users in underdeveloped peripheral and rural areas Additional typical case studies from rural and remote areas of less developed regions Application of other NP tolls (through ITU) and preparation of general technical tools requirements for planning of broadband wireless access in rural and remote areas Optional, field trials based on case study results ITU-BDT Regional Seminar Algiers (Algeria) 19-22 June 2006 Session 6b_32 - 34 17