True value through convergence Mobility Solutions Colin Horton Marketing Manager Europe and Africa Residential telecoms issues Either no coverage or….. • Multiple providers & multiple technologies, creating… • Multiple bills (voice & data, mobile & fixed) • Multiple numbers • Multiple devices • Multiple end-user experiences • Multiple customer care contacts Fixed Voice Fixed Data Mobile Voice & Data Combined Residential & Mobile Voice & Data Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions 2 Market Trends – Seamless Communications! Cable Internet IP Network Video Communications Active Phone Book Unified Messaging Mobile / BB Roaming 2G/3G Multicast Service Presence and Location 802.xx Access iLocator Packet Mobile Network Circuit Mobile Network People simply want services that fit their lifestyle and are available anywhere, anytime. Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies 3 true Global Market Trends Tomorrow Users Applications Enterprise M-commerce SMB Vertical Markets Gaming Consumer Consumer Teen/Youth Business Machines Smart Phone PDA Web Browsing Video Simple Apps Yesterday One-Size Fits All Voice Phone Circuit PC Increased Data-capable Device Phone Fragmentation Camera Phone Network computers e-Learning Content Connectivity Audio Location-based Photos Limited Public WiFi WLAN Cable 2.5 G WWAN Vertical-specific DSL IP Core Fiber to the Premises “Wireless Fabric” 3G WWAN Computer PAN Devices Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions Networks 4 Roadmap to NG “Lifestyle” Enhanced Services Expand Into Next Generation Lifestyle Services 2007 And beyond • • • • • • Multimedia content services and messaging Video telephony / conferencing Interactive gaming Intelligent agent services Real-time video communication Entertainment video on Mobiles Converge Communication Services ’05-’06 Current Focus • • • • • • • Converge wireline/wireless telephony services 802.11/cellular Mobile HSD (HSDPA) Blended text and voice services Presence enabled services. E.g. PTT Wireless/Wireline VoIP over wireless & wireline User profiles spanning multiple CPE devices Unified portal service access Migrate Existing Voice Service to VoIP - • IP communication services span text, voice and video services • A unified services architecture enables converged services Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies 5 Mobile Market Reality Today Quarterly Subscribers, Net Adds 1500 1300 1100 900 700 500 AT&T Wireless Cingular Nextel 0.2 Sprint PCS Verizon Wireless T-Mobile 0.15 0.1 0.05 T-Mobile USA Average Revenue Per User 04 2Q 04 03 4Q 1Q 03 03 2Q 3Q 03 02 4Q 1Q 02 02 2Q 3Q 01 4Q 1Q 02 0 2Q04 01 1Q04 Cingular 01 4Q03 Sprint PCS 3Q 3Q03 EasyMobile Fresh Carphone AT&T Wireless 01 Nextel 2Q Verizon Wireless 1Q 300 100 -100 -300 -500 Average Price per Minute 0.25 Minutes of Use ' !" Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies #$"% & !" Easy Mobile/Carphone Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions # $"% & 6 Operator Drivers Leveraging Opportunity to Retain Sub Ownership • Retain ownership of the home subscriber – Better quality, more integrated services than competition. • Differentiate services through compelling Mass Market offers – Easy to use, custom service bundles aligned to target market segments – Consistent branding and common user experience • Take share of telecom wallet through transparent, access agnostic services – Wireless, broadband (WiFI DSL & cable), – Includes seamless handover • Accelerate new service introduction – Home control and application centralization simplify service deployment and consistency – Leverage common applications infrastructure to reduce costs Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies 7 Market Drivers : End User Perspective Service Bundling • Integrated (wireless/Fixed), single provider voice and data service – • Enhanced by a more visual user interface – One device – all my services, regardless of location. • real time menu choices on handling calls and specifying importance Integration of multi-media messaging and calling – • gives equivalent capabilities to existing office communications systems, whether in the office or traveling on the road. allows users to choose voice, text, image, files, or video to most efficiently express their concepts and collaborate remotely. View accessibility and status of other work group members – graphical presence icons that can initiate communications. Key End User Features : Seamless handover between access domains Common service look and feel across domain Common “Buddy Lists” across services One-Stop Billing and Customer Care support Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions 8 What’s Driving the Change….. Regulatory Changes Maturity of Key Technologies Local Number Portability 3G Spread Spectrum IP Voice Telephony IP Data Services + + xDSL DOCSIS WiFi VoIP (QoS) Spectrum IP Multimedia Subsystem Standards Softswitch & Packet Core Converged Devices MIMO/BLAST Source: SBC’s 2003 Analyst Conference 11/14/03 Trend Services Bundling – “Grand Slam” Reduced Barriers to Entry Voice, Data, Video/Entertainment, Mobility Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies 9 Consumer Voice Convergence DSL / Cable • DSL/Cable broadband used for backhaul to network convergence gateway • Move POTS phones to VoIP adaptor DSL / Cable modem • Add WiFi access point/router WiFi Mobiles & Dualfor indoor mobiles and mode Wireless Internet access • Dual-mode Mobile phones can use either outdoor network or indoor WiFi VoIP IAD Mobiles WiFi Access Point, Router POTS phones Residence Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions 10 Convergence In Action: Mobile Professional !" % & % & * ! "# $ % & ' ! "# $ ( % (& #"+ , . , ) ! "# $ /"+ 0 1 Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies 11 Converged Network Scope Converging Voice Services -Lower access costs - Extend subscriber footprint Wireline Voice (Ckt & VoIP) • One Number Services • Wireless Centrex Wireless Voice (Ckt & VoIP) Full IMS Compliance -Increase revenues through new service offerings • IP Centrex • Web Portal Service Control Converged Packet Network • Presence and Location Services • Push to Talk • Wireless Multimedia Services Converging Data Services -Lower network costs with common platforms Wireline Data • IP Mobility Wireless Data • Network convergence enables new hybrid services • Services should be consistent across multiple networks Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions 12 Evolving to Lifestyle Services Feature Driven Implication Definition LOW Value Driven Lifestyle Driven Differentiation, Stickiness & Revenues • Capacity and throughput limited by available network bandwidth • Not typically context sensitive • Low interaction with end users • Only offer static information • “Table stakes” services • Driven by technology, not end user needs • Simple combinations of feature driven services • Enhances and enables more complex communication • More context sensitive • Higher levels of interactivity • Low operator differentiation • High end user churn • Low end user willingness to pay • Difficulty sustaining operator revenues • Easily replicated by all operators HIGH • Are highly interactive, context sensitive & location aware • Don’t ignore continued importance of voice • Offer subscriber personalization to provide stickiness • Deliver value by meeting end user lifestyle needs • Integrated voice and data services – help end users ‘Cross the Chasm’, leading to behavioural change vs. pure data services • Increasing voice & data traffic on the network • Significant & sustained operator revenues • Reduced end user churn • Differentiation between operators Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies 13 Roadmap of Potential Services How do we get there Feature Driven • • • • • • • • • • • • • Instant Messaging Push to Talk Voice Messaging Picture Messaging Video Clip Alerts Video Clips on Demand Ringtones Screensavers Weather/Traffic information Business finder Mapping services Currency Converter Downloading Management apps on handsets • Voice Control • Emergency Call • Person/Asset Tracker Communication Convenience Entertainment Safety & Security Value Driven • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Active Phonebook Instant Conferencing Instant Video Wireline Displacement Bundles Quiz’s Voting Gaming – Single/Multi Player Gaming – Location based Gambling Live Wire Music Portal Finding Places Personal Organiser Location enabled M-advertising and M-Coupons M-Payments Panic Alarm Personal Security Guard Navigation Service Lifestyle Driven • Family Communications Portal • Community Bulletin Boards • Live Wire Plus ! (Personal Preference setting) • Dating Services • Time Out • Portable Travel Agent • Activity Agent • Guardian Angel • Health Monitor • Home Security • Emergency Service Solutions Focus Services Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions 14 Where’s the new revenue coming from? The Consumer 40% increase in $4B revenue-per-year Activity LIFESTYLE Agent DRIVEN Portable IP TV Travel Agent Unified Live Wire Communications $3B $2B FEATURE DRIVEN Location-Based Service $1B Push-toTalk Instant Messaging Lifestyle Services - Rich media entertainment - Interactive - Context sensitive - Highly personalized INCREMENTAL MONTHLY ARPU Media/ Content 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 $1.23 $1.70 2005 Source: Lucent Primary Market Research and Modeling, 2004 $5.47 $3.34 2008 Lifestyle services help the operator maintain relationships with subscribers, regardless of how they access services Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies 15 Emerging Advertising Models Offer Opportunity Advertising Landscape IM Spam Pop-ups “Push” Smart Malls SMS-based advertising Email spam Direct Mail Cable TV Advertising National Local broadcast broadcast Advertising advertising Delivery Method Opt-In/Out Banner Ads Billboards Local Newspapers Trade Magazines “Pull” Opt-in profile-driven LBS Ads Google E-mail LBS drive-by ads AdWords *MTV Amazon Recommendations Electronic Supermarket Coupons Contextual Ads (Amazon) Contextual Ads (Google AdSense) Local Magazines Google AdWords • Area of high privacy concern • Acceptance contingent on consumer opt-in and high degree of personalization in push advertisements Locationbased search Traditional Search Engine Ads Yellow Pages • • “Dumb” Not highly targeted Mostly passive pull advertising (billboards, non-targeted banner ads) Targeted • “Smart” Highly targeted based on factors across time — — — Ad Characteristics • Past behavior Current needs Current state (e.g., Location) Emerging technologies Advertising models are changing in both delivery method and modality, creating an opportunity to leverage networks in new ways Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies 035a,02-17-04,LUCCON01A.ppt sbg, Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions 16 To Deliver Lifestyle Services, the Approach to Service Delivery Needs to Change IM How would you send a picture to your PTT Group ? Individual Services Using Point Solutions IMS Platform IM PTT Application Software Location Application Software PTT Server IM Server IM Server (Presence,AAA) Sub. Database Blended Lifestyle Services Leveraging IMS Platforms Services Supported by a Common IMS Platform PTT Application Software PTT Server Media/Content Application Software MPC/ISG eMRS ISG PDE Sub. Database Sub. Database Live Wire eMRS Sub. Database Activity Agent Communities Application Software PTT Server Application Software Application Software MPC/ISG ISG ISG Presence & Availability Server LSS LSS+MGW eMRS Media Resource Server Unified Comm. Application Software PTA Application Software IM Server Location Application Software Application Software SDSD-HLR Home Subscriber Server Application Software Unified Comm. Server MPC/ISG ISG Presence & Availability Server LSS IMS Platform LSS+MGW eMRS Media Resource Server 1. Point Solutions are expensive and don’t readily support new ‘lifestyle’ targeted blended services 2. Core Networks need to embrace the IMS Service Delivery Framework SDSD-HLR Home Subscriber Server Services Supported by Point Solutions IM Application Software IM Server (Presence,AAA) Sub. Database PTT Location Application Software Application Software PTT Server eMRS Sub. Database MPC/ISG PDE Unified Com Application Software Unified Comm. Server LSS MGC/MRC/MGW/eMRS MGC/MRC/MGW/eMRS Sub. Database Sub. Database IMS: IP Multimedia Subsystem Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies 17 Active Phone Book • A key building block for Blended Services • Simple interface to unify all communications across fixed and mobile end points for – Contact management – Media management (Voice, Video, Email, IM, Collaboration etc.) • Common directories and addressing across applications • Presence, Availability, Location and Policy Sharing across applications • Improved interface and context sensitivity driving usage and ARPU increase – Communication services – Enhanced content Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions 18 The Convergence Trend – The Move From Technology Centric to a User Centric Model “Virtual “Virtual Bundling” Bundling” to to address -users’ desire end address endend-users’ desire for for aa unified unified communication communication experience experience that that delivers delivers voice, voice, video video and and data data services services Brand Brandextension extensioninto intonew new segments segmentsand andnew new service serviceareas areas Moves Movesthe theshare shareofof telecom telecomwallet wallet Dependent Dependenton onAccess, Access, network networkand anddevice device Network Network “IP” “IP” –– Initial Initial Convergence Convergence of of Network Network Elements Elements at at physical physical layers layers Delivers DeliversOpEx OpExand andCapEx CapEx control control Delivers carrier grade Delivers carrier grade security, security,reliability reliabilityand and performance performance Requires unified Requires unified operations operationsenvironment environment Delivers Deliversinteroperability interoperability through throughopen openstandards standards Leverages Leverageslegacy legacynetwork network strength strength “Value “Value over over IP” IP” ™ ™ -Complete Complete Network Network Convergence Convergence at at Every Every Layer Layer to to EFFICIENTLY EFFICIENTLY deliver deliver aa full full seamless seamless LIFESTYLE LIFESTYLE experience experience Delivers Deliversend-to-end end-to-end control controlover overcustomer customer experience experience New Newrevenue revenueand and improves improvescustomer customer stickiness stickiness Access Accessand andDevice Device independence independence High Highspeed speedservice service deployment deployment Maintains intelligence Maintains intelligence in inthe thenetwork network Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies 19 Summary • Different stages and steps for convergence. • Convergence allows a better experience for the end user and new opportunities. • Increased revenue for Operator and reduced Churn. Architecture advantages. • IMS is the basis of fixed/mobile convergence IMS puts the Value in IP TM Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions 20 Thank you Proprietary information - Lucent Technologies Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions 21