Technology Options for Evolution from
Existing Mobile Systems to IMT-2000
IMT-2000 Seminar
Section 3.2.2
Bruce Pales
Business Development Director
Lucent Technologies
+420 266 103 364 Office
+420 605 221 853 Mobile
bpales@lucent.com
2G Standards Evolution Paths
2
© Lucent Technologies 2003 - All Rights Reserved
Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions
1
Voice Capacity Evolution
(Compared in 5 MHz bandwidth)
180
GSM
cdmaOne/CDMA2000
UMTS
160
140
(MRxD+4-BR)/IA
6-sector
IA (Code-limit)
Erlangs
120
SMV+TD
100
CIC 5.9K
3G1x
80
60
EVRC
40
IS-95 (13k)
20
Initial
12.2k
EFR, FH
DTX, DPC
20% HWFL
IA
TD+7.95k
Enhanced
ASICs
25% HWFL
EFR, 4/12
SAIC+8PS
35% IC Gain
61%HWFL
TD
AMR 5.9 47% HWFL
43%HWFL
0
Year
1994
1996
1997
3G1x 22.2
1xEV-DV
UMTS
GSM 9
3
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
1998
39.6
1999
49.8
2000
49.8
2001
79.2
2002
79.2
2003
106.5
2004
168.9
9
17.5
17.5
21.9
21.9
47.5
35.6
94.3
39.2
2008
2005
2006
168.9 168.9
168.9 168.9
107 128/160
52.9
79.2
© Lucent Technologies 2003 - All Rights Reserved
Average Aggregate Throughput
(in 5MHz bandwidth)
kbps
10000
GPRS
EDGE
3G1x
UMTS
1xEV-DO
1xEV-DV
Dual-Antenna
Single-Antenna
Enhanced
Scheduler
1000
3G1x
1xEV- DV
Equalization
AAIR
IA
(TD+Rel.A+MRxD)
/(IA+Rel. A)
DSCH+TD
IA
EDGE+TD
Initial
1/3 Reuse
CS1, CS2
Initial
Initial
EDGE
IA
TD
CS3, CS4
100
Year
4
2001
•The availability of HSDPA is
likely to be further delayed
2002
2000
CDMA2000 231
1xEV-DO
1xEV-DV
GPRS
EDGE
UMTS/HSDPA
2003
2004
2001 2002
450
450
1800
190
229
2003
570
2700
2005
229
330
2004 2005
1140 1140
3105 3105
3725
2 2 9 264
5 5 7 557
2006
1140
3725
3725
373
773
410
750
3300
© Lucent Technologies 2003 - All Rights Reserved
2200
Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions
2006
2
Comparison Remarks
1.All technologies improve with time
2.Technologies using spread spectrum techniques
are superior in both voice and data applications
for the systems considered
3.The key driver for adoption of 3G will be data
applications in addition to its voice capability
4.1xEV-DO, 1xEV-DV and HSDPA can provide data
throughputs significantly higher than that from
GPRS/EDGE
5
© Lucent Technologies 2003 - All Rights Reserved
Successful 3G Technology Migration
Lucent Has Completed Commercial Migration from
Multiple 1G & 2G Mobile Systems to 3G CDMA
Legacy
Network
1G
AMPS
X
2G
3G CDMA
Technology
CDMA2000
cdmaOne
X
CDMA2000
GSM
X
CDMA2000
GSM
X
W-CDMA
TDMA
X
CDMA2000
NMT
6
X
CDMA2000
Infrastructure
Required
Radio Frame on
Existing BTS
BTS Channel
Cards
Overlay
Network
Overlay
Network
Overlay
Network
Overlay
Network
New
Spectrum?
No
No
No
Yes
No
No
© Lucent Technologies 2003 - All Rights Reserved
Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions
3
3G Deployments
OPERATOR
2000
SK TELECOM (S. KOREA)
2001
2002
2003
KTF (S. KOREA)
MAY 1, 2001
LG TELECOM (S. KOREA)
MAY 1, 2001
OCT 1, 2001
NTT DOCOMO (JAPAN)
OCT 24, 2001
MONET MOBILE (USA)
DEC 7, 2001
ZAAP MOBILE (TELEMOBIL-ROMANIA)
LEAP WIRELESS (CRICKET, USA)
DEC 10, 2001
TELESP CELULAR BRAZIL
DEC 12, 2001
CENTENNIAL DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
DEC 15, 2001
VERIZON WIRELESS (USA)
JAN 28, 2002
SK TELECOM (S. KOREA)
JAN 28, 2002
METRO PCS (USA)
FEB 1, 2002
BELL MOBILITY (CANADA)
FEB 12, 2002
KDDI (JAPAN)
APR 1, 2002
CENTENNIAL WIRELESS (PUERTO RICO)
APR 4, 2002
TELEFONICA CELLULAR (BRAZIL)
APR 15, 002
KTF (S. KOREA)
MAY 8, 2002
JUN 3, 2002
TELUS MOBILITY (CANADA)
TELECOM NEW ZEALAND
JUL 22, 2002
SMARTCOM PCS (CHILE)
JUL 26, 2002
AUG 12, 2002
SPRINT PCS (USA)
LEGEND
CELLULAR SOUTH (USA)
SEP 9, 2002
LUCENT
PELEPHONE (ISRAEL)
SEP 30, 2002
CDMA2000 1X
SEP 30, 2002
INTERDNESTRCOM (MOLDOVA)
WCDMA
EPM BOGOTA (COLOMBIA)
7
2004
OCT 1, 2000
OCT 2, 2002
OCT, 2002
CDMA2000 1XEV - DO
© Lucent Technologies 2003 - All Rights Reserved
3G Deployments
OPERATOR
2002
2003
2004
OCT 29, 2002
MONET MOBILE (USA)
NOV 7, 2002
CDMA2000 1X
US CELLULAR (USA)
NOV 12, 2002
WCDMA
TELCEL (VENEZUELA)
NOV 13, 2002
CDMA2000 1XEV - DO
NOV 14, 2002
KIWI PCS (COMSCAPE, USA)
MOVILNET (CANTV, VENEZUELA)
NOV 20, 2002
ALIANT MOBILITY (CANADA)
NOV 25 ,2002
MTS (CANADA)
NOV 27 ,2002
TELSTRA (AUSTRALIA)
DEC 2 ,2002
BELL SOUTH (ECUADOR)
DEC 4, 2002
BELL SOUTH (PANAMA)
DEC 4, 2002
RELIANCE (INDIA)
DEC 12, 2002
DELTA TELECOM (RUSSIA)
DEC 16, 2002
VODAPHONE (J-PHONE - JAPAN)
DEC 20, 2002
IUSACELL (MEXICO)
JAN 24, 2003
TELEFONICA (SPAIN)
JAN 2003
VERIZON WIRELESS (PUERTO RICO)
FEB 4, 2003
HUTCH (HUTCHISON CAT, THAILAND)
3 (HUTCHISON, UK)
As of April
2003, Lucent
deployed 42%
of the 47
commercial 3G
networks
around the
globe
FEB 10, 2003
BELCEL (BELARUS)
FEB 27, 2003
FEB 27, 2003
3 (HUTCHISON, ITALY)
CHINA UNICOM
MAR 28, 2003
3 (HUTCHISON,AUSTRALIA)
APR 15, 2003
T-MOBILE
APR 2003
DEC 2003
MONACO
8
LEGEND
LUCENT
TATA TELESERVICE (INDIA)
AT&T WIRELESS
MAR 2004
© Lucent Technologies 2003 - All Rights Reserved
Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions
4
3G Services – “No Waiting”
Example: Reliance Infocomm – India Mobile
1. Soft launch of CDMA2000 Services within 5 months
of Contract signing
2. Commercial launch within 1.5 months of soft
launch
3. Reliance Infocomm now largest mobile operator in
India with over 6 Million subscribers in over 590
Cities
4. India’s first 3G network providing mobile internet
and other multi media features to Reliance
customers
5. Announced Agreement to Deploy Brew Based Data
Applications
9
© Lucent Technologies 2003 - All Rights Reserved
3G Services – “No Waiting”
Example #2: Delta Telecom – SkyLink St Petersburg
Russia
1. Launched CDMA2000 Services December 16 2002
Alongside NMT Analog Network in 450 MHz Band
2. High Usage Voice Plans Along with High Speed Data
Options
3. ARPU of 3G Subscriber Almost 7x 1G Subscriber
Ø $10 USD ARPU NMT
Ø $67 ARPU CDMA2000
4. Voice MoU of 3G Subscribers 21x 1G Subscribers
Ø 60 MoU NMT
Ø 1315 MoU CDMA2000
5. Announced Agreement to Deploy BREW based Data
Applications
10
© Lucent Technologies 2003 - All Rights Reserved
Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions
5
Bruce Pales
Business Development Director
Lucent Technologies
+420 266 103 364 Office
+420 605 221 853 Mobile
bpales@lucent.com
Lucent Proprietary – Use pursuant to company instructions
6