Views expressed are those of the author and may not reflect opinion of ITU, its members or the government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of the People’s Republic of China For brevity, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of the People’s Republic of China is referred to as Hong Kong in this presentation Contents • Factors for Hong Kong’s broadband success • Broadband statistical analysis Reasons for Hong Kong’s success Top five economies by broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants, 2002 • Geography – Essentially large city – 95% live in apartments • Sophistication – On Internet over 11 years – 46% of 10+ population use Internet at least once a month • Wealth – GDP per capita of US$25’920 (12th highest in world) • Competition – 15 broadband suppliers Korea (Rep.) 21.3 Hong Kong Canada 14.6 11.5 Taiwan, China 9.4 Iceland 8.6 Source: ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database. Geography • Small, compact size and fact that 95% of population lives in apartments makes Hong Kong easy to wire for communications • As a result, high coverage for availability of broadband services Broadband coverage, Hong Kong, June 2002 Cable modem 1.8 m, 85% LMDS 0.95 million 45% Total households 2.1 million ADSL 2 million, 95% Sophistication • Online since 1991 • Among most intense Internet users in world • This drives demand for highspeed access • One of first economies to launch broadband in May 1998. • Biggest reason for broadband demand appears to be convenience (no need for 2nd telephone line, always on) rather than sophistication of applications Hours of Internet use per month, July 2000 Korea (Rep.) Hong Kong 19:20 12:12 Japan 09:27 Singapore 08:48 Taiwan, China 08:04 Australia 07:41 New Zealand 06:59 Source: ITU adapted from Nielsen//NetRatings. Wealth ADSL prices December 2002, US$ 151 Monthly fee 116 Price per Mbps 51 68 Taiwan, China Source: ITU adapted from company reports. Sing-apore 22 43 Aust-ralia 12 15 20 27 Korea (Rep.) 36 Japan 35 New Zealand 38 41 Hong Kong • Relatively affluent • Majority can afford a broadband subscription • Broadband pricing lowest in region • Broadband mainly seen as substitute for 2nd line • Free local calls but not Internet dial-up Competition • Regulation – Local loop unbundling mandated – Regulator ready to act if market negotiations fail – Fixed line incumbent has 24% wholesale DSL lines compared to EU average of 16% • Variety of operators and technologies – Technologies • • • • • DSL Cable modem Fixed wireless / LAN Fibre optic WLAN (> 1’600 hotspots) – 15 Providers • • • • 4 fixed 5 fixed wireless 1 cable TV 5 ISP resellers Often seems to be a third player that has an impact on broadband. Hong Kong Broadband Network is The Third Man. Using fixed wireless to interconnect buildings; Ethernet wiring within buildings Broadband as a commodity It is unlikely that there is this degree of broadband competition anywhere else in the world. There are 15 retail broadband providers in Hong Kong, resulting in intense competition for potential customers. As one broadband provider notes: “Competition is expected to be keener this year as the marketplace approaches commoditisation.” This commoditisation is reflected in stands set up in the street to hawk broadband Internet access as if it was apples or oranges. In order to entice potential users, providers offer everything from toasters to stereo equipment. In Hong Kong, broadband is no longer perceived as a luxury but a mass-market product. “Hawkers” selling broadband access. More work is needed to develop Wanchai Computer Centre, Hong Kong broadband applications and to December 2002 entice users to use them. Once that happens, then Hong Kong will have transitioned from a broadband market to a broadband society. Statistical analysis MARKET DEMAND • Households – With PC – With Internet access – With broadband subscription • Broadband coverage • Price of broadband subscription + operator reports BROADBAND ANALYSIS • Total broadband subscribers – By subscriber: • Residential subscribers • Business subscribers – By technology • DSL • Cable modem • Other • Total Internet subscribers Demand analysis 53.1% No need 70% Households with PCs 22.1% Planning 20.2% Expensive Prevent children Lack skills 60% 50% 15.5% 13.4% Reasons for no Internet connection 40% Type of connection 30% 48.7% 20% 52.5% Broadband 68.2% 36.4% 10% 11.8% Connected to the Internet 0% 1998 2000 2001 Telephone line 33.7% Multiple answers allowed 2002 Source: ITU adapted from Census & Statistics Department, “Thematic Household Survey Report No. 10, Information Technology Usage and Penetration”. Broadband analysis Dial-up 58.0% Broadband 41.8% Internet subscribers by type, 12/02 Broadband accounts by type, 12/02 Households 92.6% Leased line 0.1% Others 0.3% Offices 7.1% Broadband traffic, terabits Nov-02 Aug-02 May-02 Feb-02 Nov-01 Aug-01 May-01 10'000 0 Feb-01 Other 21% Broadband accounts by technology, 12/02 30'000 20'000 Nov-00 DSL 56% Cable modem 23% Source: ITU adapted from Office of Telecommunication Authority (OFTA) and PCCW, i-Cable reports. For questions about this report: Michael.Minges@itu.int For other studies in the series, see: www.itu.int/ITU-D/ict/cs/