CRES: 2004-001 DOES CORPORATE REAL ESTATE CREATE WEALTH FOR SHAREHOLDERS? Kim Hiang LIOW and Joseph T.L. Ooi, Department of Real Estate, National University of Singapore Corresponding author Dr Kim Hiang LIOW Associate Professor and Deputy Head (Academic) Department of Real Estate National University of Singapore 4 Architecture Drive, Singapore 117566 Tel: 65 68743420 Fax: 65 67748684 Email: rstlkh@nus.edu.sg Acknowledgement We would like to thank Mr. Chew Chee Song for providing valuable research assistance with data collection and processing. Abstract This study examines the influence of corporate real estate (CRE)on shareholder value using two valuebased measures: economic value added (EVA) and market value added (MVA).We find that CRE has impacted negatively on non-real estate firms’ EVA and MVA in the period 1997-2001. This happens for the non-real estate corporations from different industries. Further, the higher the real estate asset intensity, the greater the negative impact on the firms’ EVA and MVA. Our results have important implications for the traditional notion that there is a competitive advantage in owning CRE by diversified conglomerates .Specifically, more studies are needed to explore and compare the main reasons and motivations as to why Asian non-real estate firms are still more involved with real estate activities than their counterparts in Europe and USA even though ownership of CRE appears to destroy shareholders’ wealth. . Keywords: corporate real estate, economic value added, market value added, real estate asset intensity Introduction Corporate real estate (CRE) refers to the land and buildings owned by companies not primarily in the real estate business. In today’s business environment, many non-real estate firms are investing significantly in properties that are used for operational and investment purposes. In some cases, real estate has become the corporations’ largest asset. From an international perspective, the ownership of significant amounts of real estate by corporations in the United States (Johnson and Keasler, 1993; Seiler, Chatrath and Webb, 2001), UK (Liow, 1995), Singapore (Liow, 1999) and European countries (Laposa and Charlton, 2001) has been well documented. Additionally, many property analysts have also noted that Asian companies are more deeply exposed to real estate than their counterparts elsewhere in the world. In this paper, we consider a broader perspective of CRE to comprise both business (operational) properties and other non-business (i.e. investment) properties of a non-real estate company. This is an expansion of the definition adopted by Manning and Roulac (1999) that defines CRE as “real property that house productive activities of a traditional corporation”. There are four main reasons to adopt a broader definition of CRE. First, changing business, property and capital market conditions have prompted many traditional non-real estate companies to re-examine their property holdings, and in particular commercial real estate, both as an operating business and as an asset class. Consequently, real estate has been increasingly viewed as having investment and operating characteristics that render it both an asset class within the investment world and a distinct business area within the economy. Second, some major non-real estate companies combine primary (non-property) business with property business in order to diversify risk. CRE in these corporations comprises both operational and investment properties. Thirdly, the distinction between operational and non-operational properties can be arbitrary. Because changing business needs may affect the requirements for operational properties, the non-operational property holdings may be restructured when the companies conduct regular reviews of their business strategies and real estate holdings. Even for non-real estate companies that regard their CRE as simply an agent of production. The need for property can still change. For instance, some operational properties might become non-operational properties because they are in excess of business requirements (i.e. surplus). Analyzing the impact of CRE from both the operational (space) and nonoperational (investment) perspectives will help provide a complete picture of how real estate interacts with corporate strategy in a non-real estate company context. Finally, the adoption of a broader definition of CRE supports our empirical tests. This is because our CRE data used for the empirical tests do not separate net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) and weighted average cost of capital (WACC) for operational and investment properties. Given the prominence and significance of real estate in a corporation’s asset base, there is increasing concern as to whether ownership of CRE is a “value-enhancing” asset. The concept of shareholder value provides a direct capital market indicator to demonstrate to management how real estate affects the financial health of the company (Louargand, 1999). In this regard, the adoption of alternative metrics to measure corporate performance such as the Economic Value Added (EVA) and Market Value Added (MVA) has important implications on the attractiveness of real estate as an asset class and as a business entity. As Ooi and Liow (2002) find that EVA tends to understate the true economic performance of property investment and development companies, similar questions can be raised with regard to the contribution of CRE to EVA and MVA in diversified non-real estate companies. Additionally, as a 2 consequence of many corporate restructuring activities involving real estate in the USA in the 80’s, non-real estate corporations would have to re-examine the tradition notion that there is a competitive advantage in CRE asset ownership (Brueggeman, Fisher and Porter, 1990). However, there is little evidence on the possible impact of CRE, whether as an asset or as a business unit, on the overall economic performance of diversified conglomerates with property and non-property businesses. Hence these firms might not know whether their real estate assets are creating value or destroying value within their business portfolio. The principal task in this research is to evaluate the possible impact of ownership of CRE on shareholder value using EVA and MVA metrics. The key question to address is: “Does CRE create wealth for shareholders?” This is important since the question of whether stock markets are able to value CRE holdings adequately poses great concern for corporate management. There is evidence in the literature to support the management claim of significant “hidden value” in CRE that is not reflected in a company’s share price. For example, Brennan (1990) categorized real estate as “latent assets” where the value of assets owned by a corporation might not be accurately reflected in its share prices. If ownership of CRE decreases firm valuation, then there appears to have little incentive for non-real estate firms to own properties. Based on the 1997-2001 EVA and MVA performance of listed non-real estate firms that have significant property asset holdings on the benchmark stock market index in Singapore, the empirical evidence suggests that many companies involved in property have struggled to create shareholder wealth – if they have not destroyed it.. During this period, many Asian markets experienced severe recession following the financial crisis experienced in the region. The Asian Financial Crisis has escalated the riskiness of real estate investments in East Asia. Conceptual Foundation of Shareholder Value, EVA and MVA For a non-real estate firm with significant CRE, its shareholder value is derived from the profitability of its primary business and the value of its real estate holdings. However, the contribution from real estate is often hidden. This paper applies the concept of shareholder value to investigate the influence of CRE on wealth maximization. The concept of shareholder value states that a company only creates value for its shareholders when the return it achieves on its capital is greater than its opportunity cost. Modern corporations are obliged to maximize shareholder value, i.e. an expectation of return is created with every dollar raised and invested. Traditional measures of corporate performance such as accounting profits, returns on investment (ROI) and return on equity (ROE) have been criticized as inconsistent with the goal of wealth maximization. The conceptual foundation of EVA, one of the important shareholder value measures, is based on the “residual income” concept. As defined by Stewart (1991), EVA is net operating profit minus an appropriate charge for the opportunity cost of all capital in an enterprise, i.e. EVA = operating profit – cost of capital employed ……………….. ……………………………………… (1); or EVA = operating profit – (capital employed X average cost of capital)…………………………………….(2) Equation (2) thus shows that the magnitude of EVA depends on: (a) the firm’s net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT); (b) Its total capital invested to generate net income; and (c) Its weighted cost of capital (WACC). 3 Economic profit is derived after subtracting the cost of capital employed. This includes equity as well as debt capital. A positive EVA indicates that the operating profit is sufficient to cover the total cost of capital. The EVA equation hence highlights four ways in which a firm can increase shareholders’ wealth. First, by utilizing existing resources more efficiently to yield higher earnings; second, by injecting more capital into projects which are expected to earn positive NPV; third, by withdrawing capital from activities and assets that yield unattractive returns; and finally, by employing optimal capital structure and exploring alternative sources of finance to reduce its WACC. Applying to the business unit level, EVA provides a powerful management tool for investors and corporate managers to identify where value has been created or destroyed in a business organization. From the CRE perspective, there are two main ways in which real estate might affect shareholder value. First, occupancy costs play a very important role in determining the cost base and hence the net operating profit of the firm. The proportion of fixed occupancy cost thus fundamentally affects the value of the business entity through the simple equation: profit = revenue – cost. The second way is through its cost of capital. The presence of real estate on the balance sheet could mean a higher cost of capital that includes a substantial risk premium to account for higher operating leverage arising from ownership of fixed real estate. Another source of added risk comes from increased financial leverage as a result of financing CRE using debt. Higher ownership of CRE normally suggests that the firm is likely to have a higher debt ratio (i.e. high-geared). As debt financing has the effect of leveraging (positively or negatively) any changes in the company’s returns, it then means that a high real estate / high-geared firm may be riskier than a low real estate / lowgeared firm and in turn will result in unfavorable stock market valuation. Another important value-creation measure, MVA, is closely linked to the EVA metric. It is defined as the difference between a company’s total market value and invested capital and is used to assess if a company has created shareholder value. If the MVA is positive, the company has created wealth for its shareholders; if otherwise, the market value is less than the capital invested, and the company has destroyed shareholder value. In short: Market Value Added (MVA) = Market Value of Equity (MV) – Book Value of Equity (BV)…………(3) Conceptually, MVA is identical in meaning to the market-to-book value ratio (MV/BV). The only difference is that MVA is an absolute measure while MV/BV is a relative measure. If MVA is positive, it means that MV/BV is more than one. Conversely, a negative MVA means that the MV/BV is less than one. The next question is how is the MVA linked to EVA, which measures the absolute wealth the company creates each year? A positive EVA indicates that the operating profit is sufficient to cover the total cost of capital. MVA can be interpreted as the value the market places on the future stream of annual EVAs. Generating big, positive EVAs year after year is the key to enriching investors. The connection between MVA and EVA is therefore: MVA = Present value of all future EVAs……………(4) Corporate Real Estate in Singapore The selection of Singapore CRE for this study was mainly due to practical reason. This was because timeseries data on real estate owned by business firms are not publicly available and has to be extracted manually from annual accounts of Singapore listed firms. Most of the company accounts were available from the University library. 4 Singapore is one of the strongest Asian economies and leading financial centre in Asia. The real estate sector, in particularly commercial real estate, has played an important role in enhancing the Republic’s status and attracting multi-national companies to establish their regional headquarters in Singapore. Another interesting institutional factor is, compared with real estate market in the USA, Asia is characterized by land scarcity and high population density, and thus real estate values are relatively high. This has made real estate the most favored investment target within Asia. There is a strong desire by individuals and corporations to own real estate on further belief that the Pacific-Asia region is potentially a hot spot in international real estate markets because of its rapid urbanization and economic growth that have created enormous opportunities for land and property development. Of the many countries in the region, Singapore real estate possess great potential to be one of the key investment targets in years to come in view of increasing globalization in Asian property and stock markets. We identified 109 listed business firms that were “real estate intensive”.1 A focus on “real estate intensive” business firms would profile the companies better and reflect the growing strong feature of real estate in corporate financial management. As there was no prior agreement in the literature as to the level of real estate asset holdings (in both absolute and relative terms) that could be considered as “real estate intensive”, as in the previous studies (Liow, 1999), we defined real estate asset intensity (PPTY%) as the proportion of total tangible assets represented by property in a non-real estate company’s asset structure and applied a 20 per cent cut-off point to identify “real estate intensive” non real-estate firms. The choice of the cut-off point was guided by several research studies to the effect that a benchmark portfolio should hold 20 per cent real estate (Firstenburg, Ross and Zisler, 1988). Table 1 reports the distribution of the gross real estate asset holdings (PTYABS) and real estate asset intensity (PPTY %) of the sample companies for the financial year 2001. Total real estate asset holdings were approximately S$34.22 billion, and property made up about 43.24 per cent of a non-real estate corporation’s total tangible assets. Additionally, Figure 1 reveals that 55 per cent of the “real estate intensive” companies had PPTY % of between 20 per cent and 40 per cent. Only 8 companies were extremely “real estate intensive” with at least 80 per cent of their resources invested in property. (Table 1 and Figure 1 here) The proportion of total tangible assets made up by real estate varied considerably between different business segments. Specifically, the role of CRE varied from around 32.5% for manufacturing companies to around 73.4% for hotels and restaurants in year 2001 (Table 2). Statistically the Chi-square values of 35.25 (absolute level) and 31.75 (PPTY %) (both significant at the 1% level) derived from non-parametric Kruskal Wallis tests indicated that there were marked differences in the absolute and relative levels of CRE ownership and investment among the seven non-real estate business segments. Hence CRE ownership is a function of industry. (Table 2 here) Over the period 1997-2001, absolute CRE holdings reported a decrease from S$410.46 million in 1997 to S$313.95 million in 2001. However, the average PPTY % increased from about 40.3% to 43.2% over the same period. As of December 2001, all 239 listed companies of the Singapore Stock Exchange Mainboard business sectors (multiindustry, manufacturing, commerce, transport/communication, construction, hotel /restaurant and services) were included in the population. The total gross real estate holdings of these companies (balance sheet value) were estimated at S$145.72 billion, and real estate made up about 24.5% of these companies’ total tangible assets. 1 5 On average, the hotel / restaurant group was ranked the most “real estate intensive” with its PPPTY % ranged from 56.1% (1997) to 73.4% (2001). The multi-industry group was ranked the second most “real estate intensive” with an average PPPTY % of 48.4% over the five-year period. Consistently at the lowest ends were the manufacturing and the transportation/storage/communication groups, with annual PPTY % ranged between 26.6% and 36.9%. Table 3 presents a summary of CRE of the companies by three asset subtypes.2 As noted, about 72.4% of the real estate held by the non-real estate firms was used as fixed properties (i.e. operational properties). Of the 109 firms, 55 per cent of them have no real estate interest other than owner-occupied factory and office premises (Group 1). Some other companies are willing to take limited property market risk in holding investment properties (Group 2 – 14 companies) or development properties (Group 3 – 15 companies). Finally, another 18 companies (16.5 per cent) hold real estate in fixed properties, investment properties and development properties. Over time, real estate has become the largest asset in these firms. In some cases the corporations’ real estate spins off as a separate business altogether as they diversify. The corporate scene in Singapore has witnessed a number of such developments in recent years. (Table 3 here) The contribution of CRE to the companies’ bottom lines (sales turnover and net profit before tax –NOPAT) is summarized in Table 4. Additionally, Figure 2 displays the absolute NOPAT derived from the CRE by industry. The information was derived from the segmental analysis provided by 44 of the 109 non-real estate companies (40.4%). The breakdown is: multi-industry (10 firms); manufacturing (12 firms); hotels/ restaurants (8 firms), commerce (6 firms); construction (3 firms); transport /storage/communication (3 firms), and service (2 firms). On average, CRE contributed to about 21.8% and 40.8% of total sales turnover and NOPAT respectively. Additionally, there were wide variations with regard to the degree of contribution that real estate can make to total sales turnover and NOPAT. For example, construction firms emerged as the top performers in their CRE contributions to sales turnover (58.9%). On the other hand, multi-industry firms derived 78.4% contribution to NOPAT from their CRE assets and outperformed other sectors. (Table 4 and Figure 2 here) Finally, in term of segmental NOPAT per unit of PPTY%, Table 5 shows that firms in the multi-industry were again the top performer. On average, every 1% of PPTY was associated with NOPAT of S$0.73 million. This compares favorably with firms in the hotel industry, although have the highest PPTY %, only ranked sixth in term of segmental profit per PPTY %. Additionally, Figure 3 reveals that 20 companies (45.4%) derived negative segmental profit per PPTY %. Only 5 companies (11.3%) were able to generate at least NOPAT of S$1million per PPTY %. To the extent The Singapore Accounting Standards allow CRE to be classified in three groups. First, properties held under fixed assets are tangible assets that are used by an enterprise in the production of goods and services and are not intended for sale. Most owner-occupied properties are part of tangible fixed assets. Second, an investment property is an investment in land or buildings that are not occupied substantially for use by, or in the operations of, the investing enterprise or another enterprise in the same group as the investing enterprise. This category only includes completed properties held by non-real estate companies for generating rental income. Finally, development properties are properties in the process of construction. They can appear in the balance sheets as long-term investments or current assets. To qualify as long-term investments, there must be both the intention and the ability of the firm to hold the development properties for more than a year. On the other hand, development properties classified under current assets have to be readily realizable in nature and not intended to be held for more than a year. 2 6 that business firms indeed commit their real estate assets to the highest and best use in order to minimize costs and/or maximize earnings is therefore one important issue in strategic corporate real estate asset management. (Table 5 and Figure 3 here) Empirical Procedures The primary motivation of this paper was to evaluate the CRE impact of EVA and MVA. Our empirical investigation was carried out in two parts. In the first part, the annual performance (both EVA and MVA) for the 109 non-real estate firms were measured and analyzed. All the relevant accounting items were obtained from Datastream (DS). Net interest expense (DS code 2408) was added back to cash earnings (DS code 2260) to derive the firm’s NOPAT. It did not take into account unrealized capital gains. Current debt (DS code 308) was added to total capital employed (DS code 322) to derive the firm’s invested capital at the end of each year. To compute the company’s rate of return on capital employed, we divided NOPAT by the average capital employed for the particular year (i.e. the beginning capital plus ending capital divided by two). The average balance was employed (instead of the beginning balance as proposed by EVA proponents) to compute the rate of return because new funds might be added back to the existing capital base throughout the year. The cost of debt and cost of equity were weighted based on the firm’s capital structure to derive the WACC for each firm using the popularly known Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). The EVA of a company was computed by deducting the cost of capital (total capital investment multiplied by the WACC) from the firm’s NOPAT. Similarly, the MVA of a company is computed by deducting its total shareholders’ equity (BV) from its market value (MV). In the second part, we sought to isolate the possible impact of CRE on the firm’s EVA and MVA by pooling all the cross-sectional observations over the sample period. Specifically, the EVA (and MVA) of the individual firms in each year were regressed against the set of specific variables using a panel regression format shown in equations (5) and (6). EVA it = a i + a 1* WACC it + a 2 * PP it + a 3* PPTY % it + µ it ……………(5) MVA it = b i + b 1* WACC it + b 2 * PP it + b 3* PPTY % it + µ it ……………(6) with the i and t subscripts denoting the cross-sectional and time-series dimensions respectively. The dependent variables, EVA and MVA, are the annual economic value added and market value added respectively. WACC represents the yearly weighted average cost of capital (cost of debt and cost of equity) of each firm; PP represents the net operating profit generated by the real estate assets and was derived from the segmental analysis in the annual report; PPTY% is real estate asset intensity (gross property asset value / total tangible asset value) each year to proxy for additional income or capital gain. The main idea behind equations (5) and (6) is that they first estimated an unlevered beta for the company (i.e. beta that is adjusted to exclude financial risk). Then, two CRE variables were included (PP and PPTY%) to assess the possible impact of CRE on the firm’s EVA (and MVA).3 Of specific interest in this study was whether the coefficients a3 and b3 were statistically different from zero and their respective signs. The It may appear that EVA (equation 5) and MVA (equation 6) are identical with the same predictors. This is certainly not the case. Instead, our intention was to investigate the influence of CRE (represented by PPTY%) on EVA and MVA in the same multivariate context (i.e. WACC, PP and PPTY%). 3 7 results would reveal whether CRE has a significant positive (negative) impact on shareholders’ wealth. We further repeated the regressions on firms classified by industry and by PPTY%. Finally, the advantage of adopting a panel specification format for equations (5) and (6) is that it facilitates the identification of effects that are simply not detectable in pure cross-section or pure time-series studies. In the above estimation models, we specified the error term µ i to be fixed for each company over the analysis period 1997-2001. This error term represents the effects of omitted variables unique to each company and stays constant over time. The fixed effect model provides a common set of partial regression coefficients while allowing a different intercept for each of the cross-sectional units. Results and Discussion The estimated annual EVA and MVA results for the 109 firms (in the seven industries) over the financial years 1997 to 2001 are reported in Tables 6-7 and displayed in Figure 4. First, the 5-year average EVA for the full sample was about S$ 24.96 million. In addition, firms in the multi-industries were the top performer registering a positive EVA of S$74.26 million. On the other hand, the construction sector performed badly in registering a negative average EVA of S$3.46 million. On a year-to-year basis, the majority of the non-real estate firms derived positive EVA with average EVA reported a decrease from 1997 to 1999 before picking up in the year 2000. Average MVA for the entire period was a positive of S$39.87 million. This suggests non-real estate firms were still able to create wealth for their investors in spite of the unfavorable market environment during the period. Further industry analysis indicates that the “multi-industries” and “hotel/restaurant” sectors were the two worst MVA performers (MVA of negative S$0.28 billion and negative S$0.20 million respectively). On the other hand, despite reporting a negative EVA, the construction sector stood up in achieving an average MVA of S$2.3 million. (Tables 6-7 and Figure 4 here) Table 8 provides the main results from estimating models 5 and 6. The focus was on the coefficients attached to the PPTY % variable. For the full sample, the results indicate that both coefficients (a3 on EVA and b3 on MVA) were both negative and statistically significant at the 1% and 5% level respectively. These results suggest that higher PPTY% was associated with lower EVA and MVA. Hence non-real estate firms would be better off without owning properties. The sector results (Part B) were broadly consistent. All the industry sectors did not perform well under the EVA and MVA metrics with their CRE. Finally, the firms were classified into two portfolio based on their PPTY% level (Part C). Again, CRE has an adverse effect on EVA and MVA. (Table 8 here) One likely quest of the quest for shareholder value is that as in the case of property companies (Ooi and Liow, 2002), CRE investment and ownership would be viewed unfavorably because of its adverse effect on EVA and MVA. In particular, if investment decisions would be made on the basis whether they would yield positive EVA and MVA or not, then non-real estate firms would have no incentive at all to own properties! Under these circumstances, it seems strategically wise for non-real estate firms to refocus its energies and resources on their core businesses where they have competitive advantage. Hence a review of the CRE asset strategy would be timely to evaluate the comparative advantages of owing real estate. Essentially, this review looks at ways in which EVA and MVA can be 8 improved through rationalizing, liquidating, or curtailing investments in real estate operations that cannot generate returns greater than the cost of capital. For some companies, if the pride of real estate ownership is less significant, divestment of non-core real estate assets may become a viable option to boost share prices and increase shareholder wealth. Another main implication arising from the quest for value is that it will put greater pressure on corporate management to boost returns through effective corporate real estate asset management. Hence, asset management will take on a more important and pro-active role. This means that existing real estate assets would be subject to more frequent and rigorous evaluation to justify their continual inclusion in the firm’s asset portfolio. In particular, CRE performance would be benchmarked against the cost of capital which should be optimized to support the business strategy and real estate strategies. Finally our evidence that CRE has an adverse impact on shareholder wealth during the 1997-2001 periods should not be taken as the case that CRE has a negative impact on non-real estate firms for any other time period. Since the Asian financial crisis it would appear that holding real estate assets as part of investment portfolio would lead to lower returns and greater risk. This was in great contrast with the situations in the late 1980s and early 1990s where many Asian countries (including Singapore) reported remarkable growth in their property markets. In consequence, many non-real estate firms made “extremely healthy profits” from their CRE and the ownership of CRE on shareholder wealth might have been a positive one. Hence, our main finding that CRE has a negative impact on shareholder value would be much more convincing if we could have chosen a more neutral (or balanced) over return period for the empirical tests. However, the choice of other sample periods earlier than 1997 would result in much smaller sample size for the empirical tests. Conclusion The major contribution of this research is an extension of previous research on the relationship between CRE and shareholder wealth. Panel regressions were conducted to shed lights on how ownership of CRE, as represented by the real estate asset intensity (PPTY%), affected EVA and MVA of non-real estate corporations that own significant properties. Although CRE affects shareholder value through its impact on net operating earnings and cost of capital, the value of CRE is usually hidden from investor and, therefore, not fully reflected in share prices. What is even of great concern is that this study has found that ownership of CRE appear to destroy shareholders wealth under the EVA and MVA metrics. The negative impact of CRE on EVA (and MVA) exists for non-real estate firms from the different industries. Further, the higher the real estate asset intensity, the greater the negative impact on the firms’ EVA and MVA. Our results have at least two important implications for corporate management. First, a negative EVA (and MVA) associated with real estate serves as a red flag that the CRE holding strategy and business of the firm may need to be reviewed for its competitive advantages of owing real estate. Under this circumstance, divestment of non-core real estate assets may become a viable option for many business firms to boost share prices. On the other hand, EVA (and MVA) is just one dimension of corporate performance measure. Other factors such as the long-term sustainable growth of the company are equally important. Hence, conglomerates with diverse business units should not divest 9 themselves of their property business based solely on EVA and /or MVA. The second implication is related to the unresolved question of why some non-real estate firms still own properties even though the inclusion of real estate in a business portfolio is likely to decrease shareholder wealth. Further research is definitely necessary to explore and compare the main reasons and motivations as to why non-real estate companies own properties in Asia, Europe and USA. In all, given that real estate is neither the core business nor the only business at many non-real estate firms, it is interesting to find out why so many corporations (particularly Asian firms) are still hanging on to ownership of CRE. Table 1 Real Estate Asset Holdings of the “Real Estate Intensive” Companies* Size of PTYABS (S$ Number of companies million) Mean PTYABS (S$ Mean PPTY% 2 million)1 PTYABS > 1000 7 3012.19 61.71 100 ≤ PTYABS ≤ 1000 34 311.44 54.69 50 ≤ PTYABS ≤ 100 18 66.36 40.10 0 ≤ PTYABS ≤ 50 50 27.03 34.00 All 109 313.95 43.24 * For Financial Year 2001 PTYABS (S$m) = gross property asset value reflected on balance sheets (million) 2 PPTY% (real estate asset intensity) = [gross property asset value (PTYABS) / gross total asset value] x 100% 1 10 Source: Derived from Company Accounts Figure 1 Distribution of Real Estate Asset Intensity (PPTY%) 60 50 40 Number 30 20 10 0 PPTY%> 80% 60%<PPTY%<80% 40%<PPTY%<60% 20%<PPTY%<40% PPTY% Source: Derived from Company Accounts Table 2 CRE Asset Holdings of Singapore Non-real Estate Firms1 Business segments Number of Companies Average PTYABS(S$ million)2 Average PPTY% 3 Multi-industry 10 1431.72 46.77 Manufacturing 45 204.30 32.45 Commerce 17 212.61 47.30 Transportation / Storage / Communication 7 67.64 36.86 Construction 14 78.97 48.67 Hotel /Restaurant 11 430.19 73.35 Services 5 156.80 47.05 11 Overall 109 Chi-square value 4 313.95 43.24 35.25* 31.75* For the Financial year 2001 Average PTYABS (S$m) = gross property asset value (million) 3 Average PPTY% = [gross property asset value (PTYABS) /gross total asset value] x 100% 4 Derived from non-parametric Kruskal-Wallis tests * Indicates two-tailed significance at the 1% level 1 2 Source: Derived from Company Balance Sheets and Datastream Table 3 Group2 Analysis of CRE by Asset Subtypes1 Number of companies Average PPTY% (%) Proportion of real estate held as Fixed assets Investment properties Development properties 1 60 36.86 1 - - 2 14 36.42 0.558 0.442 - 3 15 48.47 0.526 - `0.474 4 18 60.85 0.180 0.583 0.237 5 2 84.90 - - 1 Mean 109 43.24 0.724 0.153 0.123 1 Properties in corporate balance sheet are analyzed by three major asset subtypes: fixed assets, investment properties and development properties. 2 Classification of companies based on property asset subtype: Group 1 All properties are held as fixed assets Group 2 Properties are held as fixed assets and investment properties Group 3 Properties are held as fixed assets and development properties Group 4 Properties are held as fixed assets, investment properties and development properties Group 5 Properties are classified as development properties only Source: Derived from Company Balance Sheets Table 4 Contribution of CRE to Sales Turnover and Net Profit before Tax (NOPAT) MI 28.2 26.2 21.9 19.2 24.5 24.0 Percentage contribution of CRE to sales turnover (%) Industry MU CO TR CN HO 3.9 19.0 1.8 57.8 17.3 2.6 14.4 6.5 57.3 22.1 7.0 10.8 10.3 53.0 17.2 8.9 13.1 13.7 65.6 10.8 6.9 15.6 17.1 60.8 24.0 5.9 14.6 9.9 58.9 18.3 SEE 14.1 19.8 24.6 24.5 23.1 21.2 MI 75.4 93.2 Percentage contribution of CRE to Net Profit before tax (NOPAT) Industry MU CO TR CN HO 5.8 20.2 -1.9 52.5 46.3 10.3 62.7 42.0 44.2 48.1 SEE 45.9 58.7 Year 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 5-yr average Year 1997 1998 Average 20.3 21.3 20.7 22.3 24.5 21.8 Average 34.9 51.3 12 1999 2000 2001 5-yr average 51.1 45.5 127.1 78.4 -64.6 68.6 -11.8 1.6 53.4 83.5 72.7 58.5 59.6 40.4 10.7 30.2 55.4 90.0 54.6 59.4 -128.2 -573.0 593.6 -2.6 60.4 56.7 77.6 59.9 12.4 -26.9 132.1 40.8 Note MI MU CO TR CN HO SEE : : : : : : : Multi-industry Manufacturing Commerce Transport / storage / communication Construction Hotel / restaurant Service Figure 2 Net Profit before Tax (NOPAT) due to CRE 1200000 1000000 SGD 800000 600000 400000 200000 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 -200000 Year whole MI MU CO TR CN HO SE Table 5 Net Profit before Tax from CRE (NOPAT- CRE): 1997-2001 Industry MI CO MU CN HO TR SE Average NOPAT – CRE (S$’000) 34780.282 24341.742 12164.565 7628.966 4512.209 2181.094 2155.881 PAI 47.39% 52.06% 33.61% 64.10% 60.75% 27.41% 47.59% (NOPAT-CRE) per PAI 733.916 467.571 361.933 119.017 74.275 79.573 45.301 Rank 1 2 3 4 6 5 7 13 Figure 3 Net Profit before tax from CRE (NOPAT-CRE) per PPTY % : 1997-2001 5 9 10 20 SGD('000) per PAI < 0 0 < SGD('000) per PAI < 200 200 < SGD('000) per PAI < 1000 SGD('000) per PAI > 1000 Table 6 Average EVA results (S$’000) of non-real estate firms: 1997-2001 Industry Multi- industry (MI) Manufacturing (MU) Commerce (CO) Construction (CN) Hotel (HO) Services (SE) Transport (TR) Total Industry 5-year average Ranking Firms 10 46 17 14 11 5 6 109 MI 74,261 1 MU 24,717 4 1997 103,795 30,175 28,418 2,633 22,043 8,851 14,251 34,070 CO 13,982 5 1998 98,758 2,0628 9,107 -23,508 15,800 16,096 18,559 24,788 CN -3,464 7 1999 -19,893 15,383 -796 378 4,156 8,712 11,578 5,921 HO 31,366 3 2000 94,897 29,470 17,294 4,521 25,721 25,145 16,471 29,563 SE 7,763 6 TR 15,339 2 2001 93,746 27,927 15,889 -1,342 89,109 -19,987 15,833 30,476 All 24,964 NA 14 Note MI MU CO TR CN HO SEE : : : : : : : Multi-industry Manufacturing Commerce Transport / storage / communication Construction Hotel / restaurant Service Table 7 Average MVA results (S$’000) of non-real estate firms: 1997-2001 Industry Multi- industry (MI) Manufacturing (MU) Commerce (CO) Construction (CN) Hotel (HO) Services (SE) Transport (TR) Total Industry 5-year average Ranking Firms 10 46 17 14 11 5 6 109 MI -281,547 7 1997 18,798 203,073 252,824 27,114 -78,953 31,360 133,066 129,046 MU 174,529 1 CO 62,212 4 1998 -524,634 86,863 -21,427 -2,764 -204,588 -20,993 55,164 -55,313 CN 23,817 5 1999 -102,276 270,530 125,250 52,507 -188,032 172,543 110,203 115,829 HO -203,930 6 2000 -374,558 202,452 -18,350 29,557 -168,128 142,376 23,489 34,621 SE 113,358 2 2001 -425,065 109,727 -27,239 12,673 -379,948 241,502 -94 -24,823 TR 64,366 3 All 39,872 NA Note MI MU CO TR CN HO SEE : : : : : : : Multi-industry Manufacturing Commerce Transport / storage / communication Construction Hotel / restaurant Service Table 8 EVA and MVA Analysis: Summary of Regression results on PPTY% Coefficients (a3 and b3) Full sample MI MU CO HO Others Portfolio 1 Portfolio 2 Dependent variable EVA (a3) MVA (b3) -25,927* -68, 511,238** Part B: By Industry -36,645* 171,000,000 -12,709* -45,800,571 -53,120* -269,000,000** -1,128 -116,000,000* -380 -62,584,355 Part C: By Real estate asset intensity (PPTY%) -22,411** -98,592,678** -6,793 -32,231,375 Sample PAI (5-year average) 46.54% 47.39% 33.61% 52.06% 60.75% 46.56% 65.29% 27.78% Notes Two regression models are estimated: (Model 5) EVA it = a i + a 1* WACC it + a 2 * PP it + a 3* PPTY% it + µ it; 15 (Model 6) MVA it = b i + b 1* WACC it + b 2 * PP it + b 3* PPTY% it + µ it. We focus on the coefficients of PPTY % in both equations and assess whether a3 (on EVA) and b3 (on MVA) are statistically different from zero and their respective signs. The results will suggest whether corporate real estate has a significant positive (negative) impact on shareholders’ wealth. We perform the regressions on the full sample and on the firms classified by industry and by level of property asset intensity respectively. We use fixed effect panel regression methodology that provides a common set of partial regression coefficients while allowing a different intercept for each of the cross-sectional units. NB: Full sample: 44 firms x 5 years = 220 observations MI : Multi-industry MU : Manufacturing CO : Commerce HO : Hotel / restaurant Others : Construction, services, transportation/storage/communication *, ** : Indicates two-tailed significance at the 1% and 5% level respectively Figure 4 200,000 Comparison of 5-Year Average EVA and MVA Performance among Sectors SGD('000) 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 -50,000 -100,000 -150,000 -200,000 -250,000 -300,000 MI MU EVA 74,261 24,717 13,982 -3,464 31,366 MVA -281. 54 174,529 62,212 23,817 -203,93 CO CN SE TR Overall 7,763 15,339 24,964 113,358 64,366 39,872 HO Sector Note MI MU CO TR CN HO SEE : : : : : : : Multi-industry Manufacturing Commerce Transport / storage / communication Construction Hotel / restaurant Service 16 References Bacidore, J M, J A. Boquist, T T. Milbourne and A V. Thakor (1997), The Search for the Best Financial Performance Measure, Financial Analyst Journal 53(3), 11-20. Brennan, M. J. 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