Slovenian EU Council Presidency in 2008; Some Lessons for Malta prof. Marjan Svetličič Faculty of Social Sciences, Ljubljana, Slovenia Malta, ERAZMUS April 25. 2011 Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 1 The Economist’s modest expectations (Dec 18, 2007, p. 40) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. To oversee the last chapter of Yugoslavia break up; Coordinating Presidency, keeping the seat warm between 2 giants; Germany and France SLO is irrelevant, can not convince Putin… Not to be too creative But, knowing when bullshitting has started in the Balkans marjansvetlicic@siol.net Svetlič Ljubljana Svetličič Marjan, SVETLIČIČ MARJAN 22 Objectives 1. Theory 2. Priorities and realization 3. Preparations 4. Trio 5. What competences needed for presidency? 6. Major problems 7. Lessons learned Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 3 How B. Gates change a light bulb ? Small states can not do what he can!! Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 4 1. Theory framework 1. Small countries (SCs) have less potential to preside (resource limitations…), 2. Have less formal and informal sources of power 3. But have some advantages Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 5 Advantages of SCs are: 1. Perception of being weak can enhance their influence 2. Honest broker, conflicts avoiding behavior 3. Too small to have strong national interests 4. Historical context (Luxemburg…), 5. Selectivity, specialization, 6. Use soft sources of influence, … 7. Alliances….. Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 6 Presiding state gets sources of influence beyond formal ones (voting…) 1. 2. 3. 4. Asymmetrical acces to information Asymmetrical control over negotiating processes Confessionals (confidential bilateral talks) Supranational entrepreneur role (Moravcsik 1999) Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 7 And limitations are…. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Less potential for the implementation of national interests; EU interests in the forefront Preoccupied with administrative tasks, Inherited agenda Short term in office Formal power limited by informal rutine Handling of unplanned events Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 8 H. Macmillan Events, events are biggest political problem my boy Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 9 Role of the presiding state 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. • Management, coordination and administration Agenda setting, shaping, structuring, exclusion- impulse-giving Leadership, strategic guidance Brokerage- mediating Representation SLO Brussels based presidency Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 10 2. SLO priorities 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Future of Europe-Lisbon treaty Lisbon strategy implementation Enlargement-Western Balkans Climate change, energy security; relations with Russia Intercultural dialogue Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 11 Slovenia, a “star pupil among NMSs” graduated Contributing to the erosion of divisions between old and new Members Became 16th member??! marjansvetlicic@siol.net Svetlič Ljubljana Svetličič Marjan,ARJAN SVETLIČIČ 12 12 Weaknesses 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Too discrete, modest, Not aggressive in media Not really agenda setter, low energy Social issues underestimated; Insecure in areas of strengths (Kosovo…) Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 13 3. Preparation for the Presidency (1) Started in 2005; Administrative academy 65 seminars and workshops, individual training By EIPA Maastricht, Centre for Political and Diplomatic Studies Oxford, Diplomatic Academy Vienna, Ethos Challenge Counseil Paris and CEES 284 training sessions in about 18 months, for 5.853 candidates Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 14 Preparation for the Presidency (2) communication skills: public speaking, including written communication, oral communication with media and other publics, managing stress and other problems in public speaking leadership skills: team work, preparation for and chairing of working groups expert competences: written and oral communications, fast reading, negotiations, rhetoric Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 15 Preparation for the Presidency (3) training for press officers: responsibility towards information source, crisis communication and public issues’ governance, reporting to press in a foreign language training for translators and interpreters: translation skills, Slovenian ‘EU vocabulary’, interpretation in the EU institutions specific skills: event management, financial management, protocol Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 16 Organization and costs 1. 2. 3. Core Working Group for the EU Presidency chaired by the then Prime Minister Presidency Programme Sub-group (chaired by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs) • Human Resources Sub-group (chaired by the Ministry of Public Administration) • Public Relations and Promotion Sub-group (Government Communication Office) • Presidency Secretariat (chaired by the SecretariatGeneral of the Government of the RS) • Presidency Budget Sub-group (chaired by the Ministry of the Finance) 62.3 million euros Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 17 4. Empirical assesment of presidency? About the survey E-survey, open between 7th July and 4th September 2008; 40 questions Sent to e-mail group set up by the Sub-group for human resources (454), PermRep diplomats and experts (112) and ambassadors (44) Response: 407, out of that 235 fully answered and 172 where at least one question is missing Response rate 61%, to all questions 35% Representative in terms of sectors, functions, experiences… Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 18 Usefulness of training; correlations 1. 2. 3. Usefulness; mean 3.89 Lack of applicative knowledge Strong correlations: between field training and decision making Usefulness of procedures training and decision making system Foreign languages and personal competence building Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 19 Training for Presidency was instrumental; 72% participated (ranked by mean values) Mean Very usefull Participation at working groups before Presidency 4,18 76% Meetings with EU institutions and other members 4,13 n.a. Improving foreign languages 3,89 3,76 n.a. 52% Personal competences: rhetoric's, chairing meetings, negotiations, diplomacy 3,75 52% Procedures and decision making in my field 3,59 55% Field knowledge 3,17 45% General knowledge about institutions and their functioning Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 20 4. Role of Trio; Germany, Portugal, SLO Not considered highly important More for preparations Presiding state is alone when presiding Cooperation with general secretariat of the Council more important Delegating certain tasks on other partners proved good practice (agriculture to Germany, enlargement Turkey, environment France…) Informnal contacts!!! SLO among two large stones/states; Germany and France (PR attention) Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 21 How important was trio in selected functions agree completely agree partly do not agree The trio was crucial for familiarizing the NMSs with the activities and functions of EU 13,7 56,4 30,0 The close cooperation with the GSC was more important than with the trio 63,2 30,5 6,3 The trio was useful, but it would be more appropriate to distribute work according to different sectors 13,6 45,7 40,7 The trio was not important for the realization/implementation of the Presidency 17,0 40,4 42,6 The cooperation among the trio depended on informal contacts between individuals 38,9 55,8 5,3 Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 22 The most problematic aspects of trio functioning (3 answers were possible to be selected) Number % Cooperation in the realization of trio-Presidency was too weak 128 31,4 Cooperation of the trio was not possible due to different NIs 104 25,6 Cooperation of the trio was limited to the working-level officials 101 24,8 Cooperation of the trio was founded on good relations between political elites 83 20,4 Bigger and more experienced States in the trio tried to dominate with their positions 68 16,7 There was no appropriate cooperation between the Presidencies because of broken personal contacts (following changes in personnel positions after the Presidency of the respective trio-partner) 35 8,6 Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 23 Do you agree with the following statements about agenda formation in the Council working parties? Agenda was determinded: number Yes % No % according to the programme of the Presidency 152 77,6 22,4 according to my own judgement 152 62,5 37,5 as a combination of priorities arising from the programme of the Presidency and Slovene national priorities 148 58,1 41,9 external events 148 31,8 68,2 by the General Secretariat of the Council 148 23,6 76,4 I did not have a role which included the possibility to shape agenda 144 16,2 84,0 by the Commission 147 13,6 86,4 by the trio 147 8,2 91,3 Agenda was influenced mostly by the European Parliament 145 2,1 97,9 Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 24 Presidency and national interests There were no specific Slovene interests in my working area 33% Slovenia defended/enforced its interests more easily during the Presidency 25% Because of the Presidency, we had to give priorities to interests of the EU 21% The Presidency had no influence on the difficulty of defending/enforcing Slovene interests Slovenia defended/enforced its interests with more difficulty during the Presidency 14% Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 8% 25 National interests and TRIO 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Presidency facilitate realization of NI more than limit it Partly because high correspondence of NI with EU interests (40% and 21% with TRIO) TRIO was not irrelevant; but not highly relevant either The most important contribution; facilitate taking over presidency and assisting in negotiations The role of GSC more important Individual cooperation among TRIO diplomats crucial for its success, Too weak cooperation and different interests major problem Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 26 “Defending” national interests harder if ….(acc. to ranks): Weak on human resources: advantage given to EU interest Hierarchy in institutions Not enough knowledge in related fields Internal political disagreements Not enough knowledge in the field If not enough inter ministerial cooperation; advantage given to EU interests Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 27 5. The most important competences were (ranks by importance) 1. 2. 3. 4. Soft skills: English, networking, rhetoric, team work, negotiations Hard knowledge; Analytical skills, Position drafting; why; implementation, reluctance to confess, others are major players Least important ; French and German language But experiences and procedures/functioning of institutions, were the most important “knowledge” (4,18 compared to mastering issues 3,17) Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 28 You are assessed by the ability to articulate the problem not by your (hard) knowledge Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 29 The importance of informal contacts (ranks) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Most frequently with other members representatives Slovene public servants General secretariat of Council Commission Interest associations and NGOs EP nearly 4 times less important Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 30 Why low rank of hard knowledge? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. The best civil servants selected Presidency is about the implementation of the program not so much about designing it Few confess to not know things Less important if national positions not needed (in 33% areas) Hands on experiences more important (median 4,18 compared to mastering issues 3,17) At priority areas the role of major actors more important Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 31 6. Major problems were: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Lack of cadre Weak intra and inter ministries cooperation Hierarchy in institutions Lack of knowledge in the related fields Interesting; internal political problems were not a barrier Lack of hard knowledge 4x less problematic than lack of cadres Institutional memory problem; 42% of respondents will change the jobs; Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 32 Limited Human resources 2.775 participated 315 newly engaged, (245 students) Assisted by: 34 foreign diplomats and 93 Slovene experts from universities…. Fluctuation before the presidency (fear of 16 hours work day…) Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 33 Problems; interpretation 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Presidency bring changes in operation of diplomacy Also new views on problems Problems of vertical coordination in public administration is accentuated Training does not provide enough applicative knowledge; experiences rated higher; Reverse flow of information from top down Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 34 Selection of cadres for international posts 1. 2. 3. 4. Home winners-defeated abroad Inadequate selection reason for failures Employ untraditional criteria: • CC competencies (multicultural families, bilingual families), holistic knowledge • Articulation competencies, speedy decisions, non conflict, multi focused problem solving What experiences are relevant? student, diplomat/manager?? Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 35 Priorities in terms of future presidency are: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Inter ministries cooperation Intra ministries cooperation Improving negotiation and communication skills Foreign languages Enhancing informal contacts Improving hard knowledge Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 80% 66% 65% 63% 59% 54% 36 7. Lessons learned, education/training (survey + workshops) #1 More EU knowledge in schools More interdisciplinary education and training More cases and interactive form in education General education on the EU affairs for the entire administration and working of the institutions Modernize teaching of foreign languages (combination with communication skills) Skills can not be taught over night and need to be practiced Holistic education Tailor-made training for specific positions Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 37 Lessons learned; institutions #2 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. Enhancing inter and intra ministerial cooperation and informal flow of information “the Brussels experience” good for small countries, Central role of the communication between the PermRep and the capital Diplomatic service in the EU MS and in the third countries More team work Enhance informal form of info flows Enhance the importance and application of lobbying Functional command of either French… Hierarchy to be based on expertize not position (political posting???) Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 38 Lessons learned #3 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Related experiences (Security Council, OSCE Organization for security and cooperation in Europe) highly relevant Early preparations are crucial Be selective; priorities Cooperate with others on less priority areas Be ready for events; pre mortem analysis Prepare on issues and on how to be presented; soft skills Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 39 Lessons learned; practical matters #4 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. One stop event location works well (nearly 150 meetings in Brdo); facilitate coordinating, managerial. logistic aspects…; Trio instrumental for small and new members Assistance by experienced partners instrumental PR problems; press tired of EU, Customization of EU topics for general public, more visibility What with people temporary hired for presidency? Institutional memory? Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 40 Conclusions 1. 2. 3. 4. Possession of knowledge; yes for hard, not enough for soft Hard knowledge is necessary but not sufficient condition for Presidency Articulation of knowledge (in English…) and informal networking are crucial Katzenstein is wrong; no utilization of small states advantages of small administration Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 41 One has to know how to use all the keys to get better music Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 42 One does not need a big army to win the war I wish you and us succes in 2017!!! Svetlič Svetličič Marjan, Ljubljana 43