Route 79 / Davol Street Corridor Study Appendix K Memorandums CTPS CENTRAL TRANSPORTATION PLANNING STAFF Staff to the Boston Region Metropolitan Planning Organization DRAFT MEMORANDUM DATE TO FROM RE November 26, 2012 Ethan Britland, Route 79 MassDOT Project Manager Scott Peterson, Director of Technical Services Route 79 Modeling Assumptions Introduction The Central Transportation Planning Staff (CTPS) has been asked to support the Route 79 Traffic Study, using its regional multimodal travel demand model set, referred to as the model through the rest of this memo. This model set is the same one that was used to support the on goings South Coast Rail Final Environmental Impact Report (FEIR) project. CTPS will apply this model to several transportation alternatives in a horizon year of 2035 in order to produce transportation metrics for the project team. The transportation metrics will include measures such as traffic volumes at key locations, vehicle miles and hours traveled, in addition to various pollutants that impact air quality. This will be done after calibrating the model to a base year condition, circa 2010. The calibration process ensures that the model is replicating existing traffic data and conditions as close as possible. The Model The model is based on procedures that have evolved over many years at CTPS. It follows the traditional four step travel-modeling process of trip generation, trip distribution, mode choice, and trip assignment and is implemented in the EMME software package. This modeling process is employed to estimate present and future daily transit ridership and daily highway traffic volumes, primarily on the basis of demography and the characteristics of the transportation network. The model set covers eastern Massachusetts, from the New Hampshire border in the north to the Narragansett Bay in the south, and extends just east of Worcester. The travel demand model set is data driven and one of its key inputs is land use information by transportation analysis zone (TAZ), a process call trip generation. All calculations are performed at the TAZ level. The TAZ is a unit of geography the model uses to produce and attract person trips. Figure 1, identifies the number and boundaries of the TAZ’s used in the Fall River area. The TAZ is similar in size to Census block groups, but may not always match them precisely, since they were developed with a transportation focus. Figure 2 shows a detailed TAZ map in the vicinity of Route 79 study area. The land use information; specifically population, household, and State Transportation Building • Ten Park Plaza, Suite 2150 • Boston, MA 02116-3968 • (617) 973-7100 • Fax (617) 973-8855 • TTY (617) 973-7089 • ctps@ctps.org Ethan Britland, MassDOT November 26, 2012 2 Ethan Britland, MassDOT November 26, 2012 employment, are obtained from a variety of sources and will become the primary building blocks for inputs used in the model, which this memorandum will discuss. CTPS FIGURE 2 TAZ’s in Route 79 Study Area Route 79 Transportation Study 3 Ethan Britland, MassDOT November 26, 2012 Land Use Inputs All of the demographic assumptions, namely households, population, and employments came from the regional planning agencies (RPAs) , which were covered by the model set and were used in the RPAs most current Long Range Transportation Plans. Households and employment by type are the variables upon which trip generation is performed. The forecasts for the region were developed by collecting household, population, and employment forecasts produced independently by the seven RPAs in eastern Massachusetts: the Central Massachusetts Regional Planning Commission (CMRPC), Merrimack Valley Planning Commission (MVPC), Metropolitan Area Planning Council (MAPC), Montachusett Regional Planning Commission (MRPC), Northern Middlesex Council of Governments (NMCOG), Old Colony Planning Council (OCPC), and Southeastern Regional Planning and Economic Development District (SRPEDD). Forecasts for the 101 cities and towns that make up the MAPC area (also the Boston Region MPO area) were developed by MAPC based on a scenario it has developed, known as the Metrofutures scenario, in which growth was targeted to communities’ denser areas, with a focus on development around transit stations. The current round of projections conforms to the regional totals for population and employment growth issued by MassDOT in December 2010. These totals anticipate total population growth of 8.3% from 2010 to 2035 and employment growth of 8.0% over the same time period. The regional control totals were developed by MassDOT through a process that involved estimating state-level population, labor force, and employment in future years and then allocating population and jobs to the state’s thirteen Regional Planning Agency districts. The MassDOT projections assume that historical patterns of net domestic outmigration will diminish (though not disappear) in the coming decades; they assume sizeable increases in labor force participation rates for the 65 – 75 year old population; and they assume that the labor force participation rate for the 16- 25 year old population will stabilize (rather than continuing to decline, as projected by BLS.) Overall, 40% of the state’s population growth and 48% of employment growth is allocated to the MAPC region. This translates to an increase of 267,000 residents and 143,000 jobs over the 25 year forecast period. It is important to note that nearly 90% of the net increase is anticipated from 2010 – 2020, with much slower growth in employment afterward as a result of a constrained labor market as the baby boomers retire from the labor force. At the municipal level, 2010 total population is based on the 2009 Census Bureau Population Estimates and the regional population control total, assuming a constant municipal share from 2009 to 2010. 2010 municipal population in households is calculated by subtracting the 2010 population in group quarters (sum of TAZ-level projections) from the projected total population. 2010 municipal household demand is estimated by applying the 2010 MetroFuture municipal average household size to the 4 Ethan Britland, MassDOT November 26, 2012 projected population in households. TAZ-level population and household estimates for 2010 were created as follows: the Development Database count of housing units completed prior to 2010, by TAZ, was added to the base year estimates; the product of this addition was summed for the municipality and compared to the 2010 municipal household demand described in the previous paragraph. The resulting ratio was used to scale the household estimates at the TAZ-level so they sum to the 2010 municipal household demand described above1. After the base year was developed, CTPS incorporated each RPA’s estimate of growth at the TAZ level into the model. Employment base year estimates were developed by CTPS using the annual employment estimates produced by the state’s Division of Employment and Training (DET). The three employment types were used in this model were originally developed from Standard Industrial Codes (SIC) that were later matched to the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS), which is the standard used by Federal statistical agencies in classifying business establishments for the purpose of collecting, analyzing, and publishing statistical data related to the U.S. business economy. The employment types are retail, service, and basic. Retail employment represents any sale of goods for consumption like a grocery store or shopping center that attracts large people to them, but doesn’t include wholesale activity. Service employment produces services rather than products. Examples of service sector jobs include housekeeping, psychotherapy, tax preparation, guided tours, nursing and teaching. Basic includes everything, retail and service doesn’t, such as manufacturing, fishing, farming, and mining activities. Route 79 Assumptions A summary of the population, household, and employment assumptions used in the model for Fall River, Swansea, and Somerset in the base year and in 2035 are shown in Table 1. The base year assumes that these three communities had 122,887 people resided in 51,623 household in 2010. There 43,592 jobs located in these three communities, with service and basic employment being the primary employment types. Fall River has by far has the largest number of people, residences, and jobs of the three communities In 2035, population increases by 14.7% for the three communities up to 140,923. Households increase at a slightly higher rate, 18%. Employment grows by 14.5% for a total of 49,000 jobs. The percent growth by community differs slightly, but Fall River still has the largest absolute increases. Appendix A contains the 2010 TAZ level assumptions and Appendix B contains the 2035 TAZ level assumptions. 1 The base year estimates include some TAZ-specific adjustments made by CTPS based on information from municipalities, TMA’s, and feedback from businesses. 5 Ethan Britland, MassDOT November 26, 2012 Table 1 Land Use Assumption in Fall River, Somerset, and Swansea 2010 Town Fall River Somerset Swansea Subtotal Population 88,857 18,165 15,865 122,887 Total Basic Retail Service Household Employment Employment Employment Employment 38,457 34,006 13,475 5,551 14,980 7,087 4,445 1,288 1,494 1,663 6,079 5,141 1,236 2,156 1,749 51,623 43,592 15,999 9,201 18,392 2035 Town Fall River Somerset Swansea Subtotal Population 103,495 19,115 18,313 140,923 Household 46,361 7,656 7,258 61,275 Total Basic Retail Service Employment Employment Employment Employment 38,809 15,843 6,220 16,746 4,921 1,428 1,715 1,778 6,170 1,483 2,618 2,069 49,900 18,754 10,553 20,593 6 Ethan Britland, MassDOT November 26, 2012 Appendix A 2010 Base Year Land Use Assumptions by TAZ 2010 Town TAZ Population Household Total Employment Basic Retail Service Fall River 2768 2,972 1,439 679 477 0 202 Fall River 2767 3,007 1,155 5,509 3,555 233 1,721 Fall River 2769 1,089 283 194 0 21 173 Fall River 2770 1,987 831 973 46 182 745 Fall River 2771 2,624 1,026 649 33 11 605 Fall River 2772 1,172 608 141 106 0 35 Fall River 2774 1,513 670 454 179 48 227 Fall River 2775 766 330 240 167 0 73 Fall River 2773 3,880 1,691 1,111 119 71 921 Fall River 2777 2,524 1,108 581 31 21 529 Fall River 2776 1,761 721 243 51 75 117 Fall River 2781 520 214 161 18 0 143 Fall River 2780 1,075 407 1 0 0 1 Fall River 2779 566 193 148 26 15 107 Fall River 2778 1,576 637 66 12 7 47 Fall River 2782 992 560 189 61 0 128 Fall River 2783 780 453 692 468 32 192 Fall River 2785 3,076 1,363 1,034 369 222 443 Fall River 2784 508 386 3,250 847 849 1,554 Fall River 2786 4,660 1,909 1,294 533 80 681 Fall River 2787 1,594 734 1,570 1,431 43 96 Fall River 2788 2,150 903 383 90 60 233 Fall River 2791 586 335 2,231 801 555 875 Fall River 2789 2,820 1,311 344 79 95 170 Fall River 2790 2,391 1,119 1,174 326 202 646 Fall River 2793 4,745 2,136 351 90 17 244 Fall River 2794 1,242 480 1,051 606 51 394 Fall River 2792 4,590 2,082 1,705 358 846 501 Fall River 2795 3,943 1,782 852 79 204 569 Fall River 2796 2,592 1,164 862 92 15 755 Fall River 2798 1,222 464 811 270 300 241 Fall River 2797 4,460 1,859 412 72 161 179 Fall River 2799 6,375 2,748 894 370 161 363 Fall River 2801 2,006 782 258 53 35 170 Fall River 2800 3,453 1,647 537 250 68 219 Fall River 2802 4,261 1,672 1,213 906 92 215 Fall River 2803 1,912 717 1,741 498 779 464 Fall River 2804 1,467 538 8 6 0 2 7 Ethan Britland, MassDOT November 26, 2012 2010 Town TAZ Population Basic Retail Service Total Employmen Employmen Employmen t t t Household Employment Somerset 2755 2,467 971 338 66 85 187 Somerset 2754 2,534 864 418 31 265 122 Somerset 2756 4,386 1,778 409 41 246 122 Somerset 2757 1,498 615 293 51 0 242 Somerset 2758 1,300 527 432 166 90 176 Somerset 2760 1,431 575 560 283 161 116 Somerset 2759 866 348 196 7 0 189 Somerset 2761 916 327 158 8 17 133 Somerset 2762 908 375 319 99 194 26 Somerset 2763 1,315 493 848 296 300 252 Somerset 2764 544 214 474 240 136 98 Swansea 2742 3,318 1,147 203 55 0 148 Swansea 2741 2,162 739 1,029 307 335 387 Swansea 2745 1,091 457 337 35 56 246 Swansea 2743 2,689 968 360 122 88 150 Swansea 2744 766 365 2,744 589 1,598 557 Swansea 2746 976 361 0 0 0 0 Swansea 2748 1,542 658 205 64 49 92 Swansea 2747 691 287 5 2 0 3 Swansea 2749 2,630 1,097 258 62 30 166 124,897 51,623 43,592 15,999 9,201 18,392 Subtotal 8 Ethan Britland, MassDOT November 26, 2012 Appendix B 2035 Future Year Land Use Assumptions by TAZ Town TAZ Population 2035 Total Household Employment Basic Retail Service Fall River 2768 4,311 2,102 918 645 0 273 Fall River 2767 3,730 1,509 7,615 4,947 272 2,396 Fall River 2769 1,247 346 208 0 22 186 Fall River 2770 2,458 1,058 1,049 51 191 807 Fall River 2771 3,064 1,248 699 36 11 652 Fall River 2772 1,332 707 152 114 0 38 Fall River 2774 1,735 795 535 213 51 271 Fall River 2775 878 392 259 180 0 79 Fall River 2773 4,424 1,982 1,195 128 74 993 Fall River 2777 2,885 1,311 635 33 23 579 Fall River 2776 2,012 857 280 61 79 140 Fall River 2781 697 293 174 20 0 154 Fall River 2780 1,175 463 1 0 0 1 Fall River 2779 1,696 681 159 28 16 115 Fall River 2778 747 300 71 13 7 51 Fall River 2782 1,374 745 203 65 0 138 Fall River 2783 912 538 754 511 34 209 Fall River 2785 2,890 1,395 1,135 403 249 483 Fall River 2784 1,072 655 3,488 913 898 1,677 Fall River 2786 5,133 2,189 1,419 578 89 752 Fall River 2787 1,946 922 1,689 1,541 45 103 Fall River 2788 2,061 919 271 60 64 147 Fall River 2791 1,080 522 2,474 880 632 962 Fall River 2789 3,606 1,691 369 85 100 184 Fall River 2790 2,237 1,117 1,270 354 214 702 Fall River 2793 5,444 2,531 378 97 18 263 Fall River 2794 1,448 579 1,150 664 55 431 Fall River 2792 5,268 2,466 1,811 386 886 539 Fall River 2795 4,495 2,099 915 86 215 614 Fall River 2796 2,827 1,312 930 100 16 814 Fall River 2798 1,374 545 1,078 274 560 244 Fall River 2797 5,110 2,217 440 78 169 193 Fall River 2799 7,286 3,253 959 400 168 391 Fall River 2801 2,321 944 277 57 37 183 Fall River 2800 4,222 2,062 595 280 71 244 Fall River 2802 5,110 2,102 1,361 1,019 105 237 Fall River 2803 2,223 875 1,884 536 849 499 Fall River 2804 1,665 639 9 7 0 2 9 Ethan Britland, MassDOT November 26, 2012 2035 TAZ Population Town Total Household Employment Basic Retail Service Somerset 2755 2,569 1,038 347 67 91 189 Somerset 2754 2,723 963 445 33 284 128 Somerset 2756 4,484 1,862 428 42 263 123 Somerset 2757 1,527 644 297 52 0 245 Somerset 2758 1,357 565 443 168 97 178 Somerset 2760 1,143 469 610 303 183 124 Somerset 2759 914 377 199 7 0 192 Somerset 2761 962 353 237 8 94 135 Somerset 2762 941 397 333 100 207 26 Somerset 2763 1,527 590 1,065 391 341 333 Somerset 2764 968 398 517 257 155 105 Swansea 2742 3,801 1,365 226 61 0 165 Swansea 2741 2,772 1,001 1,258 361 442 455 Swansea 2745 1,286 553 411 41 81 289 Swansea 2743 3,068 1,145 423 146 98 179 Swansea 2744 922 447 3,333 731 1,910 692 Swansea 2746 1,150 442 0 0 0 0 Swansea 2748 1,641 725 227 71 54 102 Swansea 2747 853 364 6 3 0 3 Swansea 2749 2,820 1,216 286 69 33 184 142,958 61,275 49,900 18,754 10,553 20,593 Subtotal 10 CTPS CENTRAL TRANSPORTATION PLANNING STAFF Staff to the Boston Region Metropolitan Planning Organization MEMORANDUM DATE TO FROM RE December 13, 2013 Ethan Britland, Mass DOT Ying Bao, Ben Dowling, CTPS Staff CTPS Modeling Methods and Results for Route 79 Transportation Study 1 INTRODUCTION MassDOT conducted a study of the Route 79/Davol Street Corridor in Fall River. The study strived to balance transportation needs and improve connectivity within the Route 79 corridor to support economic development opportunities. This study pivoted off of the work done in the Route 79/Davol Street Transportation Study, completed in June 2008. A primary recommendation of that study was to conduct a more detailed review, analysis and refinement of three developed alternatives. In the current study, CTPS assisted MassDOT to evaluate the traffic impacts associated with three build alternatives. 2 METHODOLOGY CTPS utilized the regional travel demand model set developed for the South Coast Rail project to conduct this analysis. This model is a traditional four-step travel demand model, which includes trip generation, trip distribution, mode choice, and trip assignment, and is implemented using the EMME software. For this project only the trip assignment step in the process was run. Changes in land use were accounted for utilizing trip table manipulation methodologies. The model was used to simulate existing roadway traffic conditions and to forecast future-year roadway traffic conditions in eastern Massachusetts. Results from the model set provide detailed information relating to roadway travel in the study area and across the region. State Transportation Building • Ten Park Plaza, Suite 2150 • Boston, MA 02116-3968 • (617) 973-7100 • Fax (617) 973-8855 • TTY (617) 973-7089 • ctps@ctps.org CTPS 2.1 2 November 29, 2013 Major Features of the Model Some important features of the model set are listed below: 2.2 1. The modeled area encompasses 182 cities and towns in eastern Massachusetts. The area is divided into 2,924 internal Transportation Analysis Zones (TAZs). There are 117 external stations around the periphery of the modeled area that allow for travel between the modeled area and adjacent areas of Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island. 2. The model set was developed using data from various data sources: a Household Travel Survey, an External Cordon Survey, several Transit Passenger Surveys, the 2000 and 2010 U.S. Census data, and an employment database for the region. CTPS obtained the most current highway volumes available to help calibrate the model for use in this study. 3. In the model the transportation system is broken down into three primary modes. The transit mode contains all the MBTA rail and bus lines, commuter boat services, regional transit agencies (including SRTA), and private express bus carriers. The auto mode includes all of the express highways, all of the principal arterials, and many minor arterials and local roadways. Walk/bike trips are also examined and are represented in the non-motorized mode. 4. The model is set up to examine travel on an average weekday for two time periods. The time periods are the AM peak (6 am – 9 am) and the PM peak (3 pm – 6 pm). This study’s base year was 2010 and its forecast year was 2035. Model Calibration The regional model set used for this study was originally developed for the South Coast Rail Study. Extensive network refinements were made for the Route 79 study including inclusion of the Grand Army of the Republic Highway Bridge (Route 6 Bridge). The model was calibrated to the latest available roadway counts. Initially, the project consultant requested that CTPS provide modeled traffic volumes at approximately ninety intersections, or one-hundred and fifty approach locations in Fall River and Swansea. CTPS focused its calibration efforts on these key locations. CTPS ran a series of highway CTPS 3 November 29, 2013 assignments iteratively in conjunction with roadway network refinements to more accurately represent the roadway system in the study area. CTPS strived to develop a calibrated model that was within plus or minus 10% of observed volumes at every location provided by the project consultants. Overall, the percentage difference between model estimated volumes and observed counts at all of the selected intersections and approach locations was -7% in the AM peak period and 0% in the PM peak period. 3 Model Results CTPS modeled four future year (2035) scenarios, a no-build scenario and three build alternatives. The transportation network of the no-build alternative includes all transportation projects included in the Long Range Transportation Plans (LRTP) of the Boston region Metropolitan Planning Organization and the Southeastern Economic Development District. The demographics underlying the no-build are also from the officially adopted transportation plans. The demographics for each build alternative were modified to reflect the development associated with the new parcels while at the same time maintaining regional control totals for population and employment. The following section briefly describes the networks for each modeled build alternative. 3.1 Alternatives Examined There were three future year build alternatives analyzed for this study. Rough schematics of the proposed alternatives are depicted in Appendix B. Alternative 1: Elevated Route 79 Alternative 1 is the most similar to the existing no-build condition. In Alternative 1, Route 79 remains elevated but is moved east. North and South Davol Streets remain and five new developable parcels (constituting 10.1 acres) are created. This alternative requires construction of five new bridges and four streets provide east-west connectivity to the waterfront, Turner Street, South Coast Rail, President Avenue and Brownell Street). Brightman Street is accessed from North Davol Street and Brightman Street provides direct access to northbound Route 79. There are shared use bicycle paths throughout the area with connections to Veterans Memorial Bridge path. Alternative 2: Urban Boulevard Alternative 2 de-elevates Route 79 and converts Route 79 into a boulevard. The new boulevard is also moved east of where the old elevated alignment was located. Alternative 2 creates five new development parcels totaling 10.6 acres. All of the bridges are removed in the alternative, except for the u-turn CTPS 4 November 29, 2013 from northbound to southbound Davol Street. Alternative 2 provides four street connections to the waterfront (Turner Street, South Coast Rail, President Avenue and Brightman Street). The boulevard includes a landscaped median strip and Brightman Street is two way and provides direct access to northbound Route 79 and southbound Davol Street. Southbound Davol Street is two-way and northbound Davol Street is eliminated. There are shared use bicycle and pedestrian paths throughout the area providing connectivity to the Veterans Memorial Bridge path. Alternative 3: Boulevard with Frontage Roads Alternative 3 also de-elevates Route 79 and converts it into a boulevard with frontage roads on either side. The alignment is moved east creating six development parcels totaling 15 acres. All bridges are removed in the scenario. Four streets provide east-west connectivity to the waterfront (Turner Street, South Coast Rail, President Avenue and Corey Street). The boulevard has a grass median. Brightman Street is two-way with direct access to/from northbound Route 79. Northbound Davol is one-way, as is southbound Davol south of President Avenue. This alternative also includes bicycle and pedestrian paths throughout the area providing connectivity to the Veterans Memorial Bridge path. 4 Preliminary Findings Generally, Alternative 1 provides for the most amount of north-south traffic throughput through the corridor. Alternatives 2 and 3, which are de-elevated provide for less north-south throughput but allow for greater amounts of eastwest travel between Fall River and the waterfront zones. A detailed table of the model highway assignments for the no-build and three build alternatives can be found in Appendix A. 5 Air Quality The air quality analysis performed by CTPS for the Route 79 Transportation Study utilized the same methodology used for regional air quality conformity determinations, a process which was recently certified by the Federal Transit Administration (FTA) and the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) for the Long Range Transportation Plan. The travel demand model estimates traffic volumes, average highway speeds, vehicle-miles traveled and vehicle-hours traveled. CTPS utilizes these outputs along with the emission rates developed by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) MOBILE 6.2 emissions modeling software to forecast emissions for the no-build condition and the three build alternatives. CTPS 5 November 29, 2013 The air quality analysis estimated emissions from cars and trucks of carbon monoxide (CO), carbon dioxide (CO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs). As Table 1 shows, the four alternatives have very similar emissions profiles. The alternative which generates the fewest amount of emissions, by a small margin, is the no-build. The build alternatives generate slightly higher emissions levels because of a combination of additional population and employment in the study area and because speeds through the study area are decreased in the build alternatives—slower speeds and congestion roughly equates with higher emissions levels. Table 1 AM and PM Peak Period Regional Air Quality Regional CO-winter (kg) Regional Nox (kg) Regional VOC (kg) Regional CO2 (kg) No-Build 491,200 8,984 10,746 31,911,100 Alt. 1 491,500 8,992 10,756 31,938,300 Alt. 2 491,600 8,990 10,754 31,934,200 Alt. 3 491,500 8,990 10,753 31,932,800 Scenarios 6 Environmental Justice Analysis An Environmental justice (EJ) analysis is based on the principle that all people have a right to be protected from environmental pollution and to live in and enjoy a clean and healthful environment. Environmental Justice policy directs state agencies to examine the impact state funded projects have on EJ populations. This is done to ensure that EJ populations have a voice in environmental decision making and receive the full protection afforded them through existing environmental rules and regulations. The environmental justice assessment performed by CTPS for the Route 79 Transportation Study is a detailed, system-level analysis. This assessment examines the distribution of benefits and burdens that may be experienced by the existing population of Fall River from construction of the proposed alternatives. 6.1 Methodology CTPS uses a standardized modeling routine to perform the environmental justice analysis. In this analysis, EJ areas are identified by the demographics of CTPS 6 November 29, 2013 the populations living in a transportation analysis zone. CTPS used the Southeastern Regional Economic and Development District (SRPEDD) definition for environmental justice in this study. SRPEDD defines an environmental justice zone as any zone which meets any of the following criteria: • • • Low-income population – any zone having median income at or below $39,399 Minority population – any zone that has 25% or greater minority population Limited English Proficiency (LEP)—any zone whose population has a LEP of 7.61% or higher For the Route 79 Transportation Study, the study area was defined as the City of Fall River. Based on the above definition, 32 out of 44 zones in Fall River qualify as environmental justice zones. The data used to select EJ versus nonEJ zones were obtained from the 2010 Census for low income and minority categories and from the 2000 Census for the LEP category. 6.2 Performance Measures Three categories of performance measures were adopted in the environmental justice analysis for the Route 79 Transportation Study. These performance measures work as indicators of the benefits and burdens for EJ and non-EJ TAZs. The three categories of performance measures are: • • • Accessibility to jobs and needed services Mobility and congestion Environmental impacts In terms of travel, accessibility is determined by both the ability to reach desired destinations and the ease of doing so. An accessibility analysis for an EJ study investigates the number of employment opportunities, health care facilities, and higher education facilities, which can be reached within 20 minutes by car. It also examines the average travel time from environmental justice areas to industrial, retail, and service employment opportunities, health care, and higher education institutions. The mobility and congestion analysis examines only highway modes and focuses on the average door-to-door travel time under a congested condition for auto trips travelling from and to the EJ areas. The two types of door-to-door travel times examined are: CTPS 7 • • November 29, 2013 Highway production time – The average travel time of all auto trips departing from a TAZ Highway attraction time – The average travel time of all auto trips arriving at a TAZ The environmental impact focuses on the impacts of the roadway project to the regional and local air quality. The air quality analysis for EJ studies examines the volumes of carbon monoxide (CO) and fine particulate matters (PM2.5) emitted per square mile, and average vehicle-miles traveled under the congested traffic conditions. CTPS performed a statistical significance analysis on the accessibility, mobility and environmental impact EJ results. Most of the differences between the nobuild and build alternatives were found to be statistically insignificant, meaning the differences were likely due to normal variability. 6.3 Results Summary The Environmental Justice analysis performed for the Route 79 Transportation Study shows that none of the alternatives considered will have a major impact on environmental justice communities. For this analysis, the City of Fall River was defined as the study area. Of the 43 zones that make up Fall River, 11 are non-EJ TAZs and 32 TAZs meet the definition of an EJ zone. Results were calculated as between the build alternative and the no-build alternative for each TAZ. In the accessibility and mobility analyses, the benefits and burdens were averaged by the number of residents in each zone. In the environmental analysis, they were weighted by the size of zone. All results were aggregated to the study area for EJ and non-EJ TAZs, respectively. Only the two three-hour peak periods were examined. 6.3.1 Accessibility Analysis The accessibility analysis examines the number of basic, service and retail jobs that are available within a 20 minute drive of EJ and non-EJ zones. The accessibility analysis also examines the number of hospital beds and college enrollment slots available within a 20 minute drive. The jobs, education and medical data are geocoded into the model and are associated with a particular TAZ. Results from the accessibility analysis are summarized in tables 2 and 3. Table 2 compares the number of jobs and services available within 20 minutes by car, for EJ and non-EJ neighborhoods, respectively. It also summarizes the average travel time from EJ and non-EJ neighborhoods to reach these jobs and service. The results indicate that there will be very little change in the number of jobs available within 20 minutes driving time after construction of the build CTPS 8 November 29, 2013 alternatives. All build alternatives show a slight decrease in accessibility to employment in comparison with the no-build, for both EJ and non-EJ zones. This slight decrease is due to a decrease in speeds the study area, which was an expected outcome. The results also indicate there will be very little change in the average highway travel time for EJ and non-EJ zones in the study area to basic, service and retail jobs. Table 2 Accessibility Summary (Build Alternatives vs. No-Build) – Employment Opportunities and Services Basic Employment Number of Available Basic Jobs/Service Scenarios Retail Employment Average Highway Time (minute) Number of Available Retail Jobs/Service Service Employment Average Highway Time (minute) Number of Available Service Jobs/Service Average Highway Time (minute) EJ Non-EJ EJ Non-EJ EJ Non-EJ EJ Non-EJ EJ Non-EJ EJ Non-EJ No-Build 39,936 37,512 11.9 12.3 25,591 24,273 12.3 13.2 38,115 35,768 11.1 11.4 Alt. 1 39,096 36,596 11.9 12.3 24,723 22,594 12.3 12.9 36,969 35,077 11.0 11.4 Alt. 2 38,998 36,629 11.9 12.3 24,690 22,589 12.4 12.9 36,866 35,057 11.0 11.3 Alt. 3 39,099 36,602 11.9 12.2 24,703 22,613 12.3 12.9 36,936 35,113 11.0 11.3 Compare Build Alternatives to No-Build Alt. 1 vs. No-Build -2.1% -2.4% 0.0% 0.0% -3.4% -6.9% 0.0% -1.9% -3.0% -1.9% -0.8% 0.0% Alt. 2 vs. No-Build -2.3% -2.4% 0.0% 0.0% -3.5% -6.9% 0.3% -1.9% -3.3% -2.0% -0.8% -0.4% Alt. 3 vs. No-Build -2.1% -2.4% 0.0% -0.5% -3.5% -6.8% 0.0% -1.9% -3.1% -1.8% -0.8% -0.4% Note: travel times are rounded to the nearest 0.1 Note: Only Fall River zones were analyzed Table 3 presents the number of health care facilities and higher education institutions that are accessible within 20 minutes highway time, for the no-build and build alternatives. It shows that the build alternatives will have very little impact on accessibility to health care and education facilities in both EJ and non-EJ zones. TABLE 3 ACCESSIBILITY SUMMARY (BUILD ALTERNATIVES VS. NO-BUILD) - COLLEGES AND HEALTH CARE FACILITIES Access to Education Facilities Number of Available College Enrollment Scenarios Access to Health Care Average Highway Time (minute) Number of Available Hospital Beds Average Highway Time (minute) EJ Non-EJ EJ Non-EJ EJ Non-EJ EJ Non-EJ No-Build 13,948 12,152 12.0 11.1 747 668 9.6 9.8 Alt. 1 13,942 12,152 12.1 11.1 725 668 9.4 9.9 Alt. 2 13,942 12,152 12.1 11.1 725 668 9.3 9.9 Alt. 3 13,943 12,152 12.1 11.1 725 668 9.3 9.8 Compare Build Alternatives to No-Build Alt. 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 0.0% -2.9% 0.0% -2.8% 0.6% Alt. 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 0.0% -2.9% 0.0% -3.0% 0.6% Alt. 3 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 0.0% -2.9% 0.0% -3.0% 0.4% Note: travel times are rounded to the nearest 0.1 6.3.2 Mobility Analysis Results from the mobility analysis are summarized in table 4. In all three build alternatives highway production times increase over the no-build for both EJ and non-EJ zones, however the increase is uniform across build alternatives for both EJ and non-EJ zones.. This slight change is due to a decrease in speeds in the study area, which was an expected outcome. These changes were found to be statistically insignificant. The attraction times change very little between scenarios for both EJ and non-EJ zones and these changes were also found to be statistically insignificant. CTPS 3 November 29, 2013 Table 4 Mobility Summary (Build Alternatives vs. No-Build) Average Highway Production Time (minutes) Scenarios Average Highway Attraction Time (minutes) EJ Non-EJ EJ Non-EJ No-Build 13.9 15.3 5.8 7.8 Alt. 1 15.0 16.4 5.9 7.9 Alt. 2 15.0 16.4 5.9 7.9 Alt. 3 15.0 16.4 5.9 7.9 Compare Build Alternatives to No-Build Alt. 1 8.3% 7.0% 1.3% 1.2% Alt. 2 8.3% 7.0% 1.3% 1.2% 7.0% 1.3% 1.2% Alt. 3 8.3% Note: travel times are rounded to the nearest 0.1 6.3.3 Environmental Impact Analysis The results of the environmental impact analysis for the combined AM and PM peak periods are shown in table 5. This analysis focused on the impact to air quality with respect to congested roadway conditions. Generally air quality is marginally worse in the build scenarios than in the no-build, for both environmental justice zones and non-environmental justice zones alike. These changes in air quality are more pronounced than the air quality results (reported at the regional level). This is not surprising, as air quality is driven by speed and the vast majority of changes in speeds are occurring in the study area. CTPS 4 November 29, 2013 Table 5 Peak Period Emission Impacts Summary (Build Alternatives vs. Existing Conditions) VMT per Square Mile CO per Square Mile (g/mile2) PM2.5 per Square Mile (g/mile2) Scenarios EJ Non-EJ EJ Non-EJ EJ Non-EJ No-Build 40,961 21,443 365,306 189,270 518 271 Alt. 1 42,829 22,251 381,170 196,223 542 281 Alt. 2 41,180 22,111 366,089 195,075 522 279 Alt. 3 40,149 21,568 357,878 190,499 509 272 Compare Build Alternatives to No-Build 7 Alt. 1 4.6% 3.8% 4.3% 3.7% 4.6% 3.7% Alt. 2 0.5% 3.1% 0.2% 3.1% 0.7% 3.0% Alt. 3 -2.0% 0.6% -2.0% 0.6% -1.7% 0.6% Conclusion The results of this analysis show that the three proposed build alternatives provide greater east-west connectivity within Fall River. The build alternatives each provide different levels of north-south throughput within the 79 corridor. The results of the analysis also show that none of the proposed alternatives would have a major impact on regional air quality or regional measures of environmental justice. YB/bhd/bhd cc: Scott Peterson CTPS 5 November 29, 2013 Appendix A AM Peak Period Modeled Highway Volumes (6 am – 9 am) Scenarios 2012 Counts 2035 No Build Alt. 1 Ramp from Route 79 northbound to Route 24 (North) northbound 2,665 3,411 3,479 3,373 3,383 Route 79 southbound near Cedar St 2,618 2,619 2,704 changed changed Route 79 northbound near Cedar St 2,180 2,704 2,835 changed changed Ramp from Route 24 (North) southbound to Route 79 southbound Ramp from Veteran’s Memorial Bridge to N. Davol St (one-way southbound) 1,888 2,912 3,064 2,915 2,916 1,610 1,814 1,886 1,124 1,063 N. Davol St (one-way southbound) between U turns near Cedar St 1,590 1,647 1,882 changed changed N. Davol St (one-way northbound) between U turns near Cedar St 1,475 1,548 1,813 changed changed Route 79 northbound north of Brightman St 1,465 1,751 1,759 changed changed Route 79 southbound on-ramp from Veteran’s Memorial Bridge 1,413 1,465 1,459 2,319 2,271 Ramp from Veteran’s Memorial Bridge to Route 79 northbound 1,403 1,624 1,693 2,188 2,063 Route 79 northbound off-ramp to Veteran’s Memorial Bridge 1,338 1,548 1,821 1,980 1,899 Route 79 off-ramp to Veteran’s Memorial Bridge 1,250 2,539 2,312 2,519 2,402 Route 79 southbound north of Brightman St 1,070 1,019 1,110 1,075 1,159 920 891 973 888 888 COUNT LOCATIONS Alt. 2 Alt. 3 Route 79 Corridor Locations Major Route 79 northbound off-ramp to N. Main St Route 79 southbound on-ramp from N. Main St 880 1,181 1,089 1,037 981 23,763 28,671 29,749 19,416* 19,023* 715 952 1,075 changed changed Ramp from N. Davol St to Route 79 northbound Route 79 northbound to southbound U turn south of Veteran’s Memorial Bridge 505 525 631 changed changed 438 777 1,018 765 removed Route 79 southbound off-ramp to N. Davol St (one-way southbound) 293 369 566 331 310 N. Davol St southbound to northbound U turn near Cory St 220 255 removed removed removed N. Davol St southbound to northbound U turn near Cedar St 208 233 396 removed removed Route 79 southbound off-ramp to N. Main St Route 79 southbound on-ramp from U turn south of Veteran’s Memorial Bridge 170 180 165 42 42 135 135 135 removed removed 68 68 68 removed removed Subtotal Route 79 Corridor Locations Minor Route 79 off-ramp to N. Davol St (one-way northbound) north of President Ave N. Davol St northbound to southbound U turn near Cedar St Route 79 northbound on-ramp from N. Main St Subtotal 10 10 10 10 10 2,760 3,502 4,061* 1,147* 362* CTPS 6 November 29, 2013 Route 24 Locations Ramp from Route 24 (North) southbound to I-195 westbound 1,398 2,075 2,075 2,086 2,086 Ramp from I-195 eastbound to Route 24 (North) northbound 2,368 2,670 2,666 2,721 2,678 Ramp from Route 24 (North) southbound to I-195 eastbound 1,685 1,747 1,745 1,825 1,825 Ramp from I-195 westbound to Route 24 (North) northbound 2,468 2,630 2,616 2,625 2,626 Ramp from President Ave to Route 24 (North) southbound 1,348 1,378 1,378 1,392 1,392 Ramp from President Ave to Route 24 (North) northbound 835 1,281 1,283 1,288 1,285 Ramp from Route 24 (North) northbound to President Ave 1,540 1,525 1,525 1,525 1,525 Ramp from Route 24 (North) southbound to President Ave 698 720 747 720 719 Route 24 (North) southbound south of Route 79 off-ramp 2,433 3,164 3,190 3,238 3,238 Route 24 northbound south of Route 79 northbound on-ramp 4,130 5,054 5,039 5,108 5,063 18,900 22,241 22,261 22,525 22,434 I-195 eastbound west of Route 24 (South) 8,363 10,490 10,567 10,558 10,494 I-195 westbound west of Route 24 (South) 11,825 12,010 12,054 11,940 11,944 I-195 W. bound east of Route 103 8,518 13,048 13,194 12,781 12,879 I-195 E. bound east of Route 103 7,678 7,570 7,587 6,965 7,093 I-195 westbound on-ramp from Route 24 (South) northbound 3,470 4,525 4,550 4,545 4,515 I-195 eastbound on-ramp from Route 24 (South) northbound 3,050 3,410 3,407 3,463 3,419 I-195 eastbound off-ramp to Route 24 (South) southbound 2,590 2,810 2,820 2,792 2,811 I-195 westbound off-ramp to Route 24 (South) southbound 2,415 3,605 3,605 3,616 3,615 I-195 westbound off-ramp at Plymouth Ave 2,085 1,910 1,904 1,913 1,930 I-195 eastbound off-ramp at Plymouth Ave/Hartwell St 1,750 1,723 1,740 1,383 1,691 Route 103 E. bound on-ramp to I-195 E. bound 1,615 1,600 1,599 1,611 1,609 I-195 eastbound on-ramp at Plymouth Ave 1,223 1,241 1,241 1,243 1,243 I-195 on ramp from Lee's River Rd. 1,165 1,197 1,075 1,393 1,387 I-195 westbound on-ramp at Plymouth Ave/Pleasant St 1,125 4,102 4,157 4,139 4,106 Lee's R. Ave. S. bound approach to Route 103 715 781 816 1,212 1,224 I-195 W. bound off-ramp to Route 103 W. bound 668 678 677 677 677 I-195 W. bound off-ramp to Route 103 E. bound 540 989 989 946 923 I-195 off ramp to Lee's River Rd. 423 347 372 930 799 Route 103 W. bound on-ramp to I-195 E. bound 335 492 501 504 494 Route 103 E. bound on-ramp to I-195 W. bound 18 18 18 18 18 59,568 70,604 70,746 72,626 72,869 Rotary exit to President Ave 2,363 2,394 2,427 2,513 2,397 Rotary entrance from N. Eastern Ave 2,138 2,504 2,509 2,510 2,507 Rotary entrance from President Ave 1,763 1,929 1,938 1,956 1,948 Rotary exit to N. Eastern Ave 1,590 1,622 1,629 1,627 1,623 President Ave. E. bound approaching N. Main St. 1,508 1,558 1,394 1,456 2,106 980 1,121 1,122 1,142 1,138 Subtotal I-195 Locations Subtotal "Interior" Locations Rotary circulating road between exit to and entrance from N. Eastern Ave CTPS 7 November 29, 2013 N. Main St. N. bound approaching President Ave. Rotary circulating road between exit to and entrance from Route 24 (North) 975 932 1,048 1,350 850 933 963 969 970 966 Rotary circulating road between exit to and entrance from President Ave 808 815 815 815 815 N. Main St. S. bound approaching President Ave. 773 816 663 517 464 President Ave. W. bound approaching N. Main St. 728 1,014 1,130 1,203 1,176 Highland Ave Southbound 585 550 550 549 550 Highland Ave Northbound 543 551 550 552 552 Lindsey St. S. bound approaching Brownell St. 285 379 240 113 113 Brownell St. E. bound approaching Lindsey St. 85 94 202 89 89 Brownell St. W. bound approaching Lindsey St. 75 102 72 57 57 Lindsey St. N. bound approaching Brownell St. 55 55 55 55 55 16,183 17,395 17,193 17,470 17,402 Subtotal West of the River (non I-195) Locations Brayton Ave S. bound ramp to Route 6 W. 215 215 215 215 215 Brayton Ave S. bound after ramp to Route 6 1,020 1,256 1,320 1,387 1,352 Route 6 W. approaching Brayton Ave. 1,708 3,316 3,306 3,651 3,451 95 95 95 95 95 Brayton Ave. N. bound ramp to Route 6 E. Brayton Ave. N. bound after ramp to Route 6 133 137 141 141 139 1,825 1,916 1,930 2,118 1,943 Read Street E. bound approaching Brayton Ave. 500 510 511 510 513 Brayton Ave S. bound approaching Read St. 955 1,081 1,098 1,103 1,090 Brayton Ave. N. bound approaching Read St. 345 433 441 454 450 Read St. W. bound approaching Brayton Ave. 543 655 674 672 683 Route 6 E. bound approaching Brayton Pt. Rd. 930 1,045 1,057 1,246 1,072 Brayton Pt. Rd. S. bound approaching Route 6 788 825 822 823 824 Brayton Pt. Rd. N. bound approaching Route 6 1,625 1,618 1,632 1,632 1,612 Route 6 W. bound approaching Brayton Pt. Rd. 1,623 3,148 3,139 3,472 3,260 Route 6 E. bound approaching Lee's R. Rd. 1,678 1,804 1,813 1,840 1,816 Lee's R. Rd. S. bound approaching Route 6 828 912 894 887 908 Route 6 E. bound approaching Brayton Ave. Lee's R. Rd. N. bound approaching Route 6 598 667 663 805 662 Route 6 W. bound approaching Lee's R. Rd. 1,445 3,003 2,995 3,312 3,107 Route 103 E. bound approaching Brayton Pt. Rd. 1,335 1,237 1,283 1,671 1,656 Brayton Pt. Rd. S. bound approaching Route 103 520 520 519 520 520 Brayton Pt. Rd. N. bound approaching Route 103 340 428 429 430 429 Route 103 W. bound approaching Brayton Pt. Rd. 330 141 153 171 206 Route 6 E. bound approaching Gardner's Neck Rd. 1,075 1,245 1,249 1,283 1,261 Gardner's Neck Rd. S. bound approaching Route 6 830 1,324 1,325 1,338 1,322 Gardner's Neck Rd. N. bound approaching Route 6 743 1,043 1,043 1,039 1,035 Route 6 W. bound approaching Gardner's Neck Rd. 1,190 2,931 3,030 3,007 2,830 I-195 W. bound west of Lee's River Rd. 8,318 12,125 12,116 12,074 12,239 I-195 E. bound approaching Lee's River Rd. 6,150 5,824 5,857 5,779 5,788 CTPS 8 November 29, 2013 Lee's R. Ave N. bound approach before I-195 on-ramp to I-195 W. bound 825 840 830 834 842 Route 103 W. bound approaching Lee's R. Ave. 950 1,607 1,618 1,600 1,592 1,975 2,237 2,237 2,243 2,242 41,430 54,133 54,430 56,347 55,149 1,555 1,616 1,619 1,637 1,653 President Ave W. bound approaching Highland 578 1,010 1,097 1,117 1,062 Highland Ave S. bound approaching President 575 586 591 558 558 President Ave. E. bound approaching Robeson 1,563 1,742 1,800 1,799 1,785 President Ave W. bound approaching Robeson 1,128 1,517 1,585 1,601 1,554 Robeson St. N. bound approaching President 825 814 814 814 814 Robeson St. N. bound approaching President 895 812 818 820 841 President Ave. E. bound approaching Elsbree 1,563 1,749 1,777 1,780 1,759 President Ave W. bound approaching Elsbree 2,230 2,442 2,464 2,480 2,463 Elsbree St. S. bound approaching President 1,218 1,249 1,282 1,256 1,252 President Ave. E. bound approaching Lindsey 1,640 1,699 1,533 1,622 2,283 President Ave W. bound approaching Lindsey 1,165 1,297 1,333 2,024 2,159 173 178 one way one way one way 1,025 1,102 913 removed removed 773 906 855 removed removed Route 103 E. bound approaching Lee's R. Ave. Subtotal President Ave E. bound approaching Highland Lindsey S. bound approaching President President Ave E. bound approaching Davol President Ave W. bound approaching Davol President Ave W. bound ramp onto Davol northbound Davol St. northbound approaching President Subtotal * subtotals are significantly less than other scenarios because network has been changed 448 448 removed removed removed 1,675 1,848 1,790 removed removed 22,239 21,011 22,239* 17,506* 18,181* CTPS 9 November 29, 2013 PM Peak Period Modeled Highway Volumes (3 pm – 6 pm) Scenarios 2012 Counts 2035 No Build Alt. 1 Alt. 2 Alt. 3 Ramp from Route 79 northbound to Route 24 (North) northbound 2,349 2,986 3,121 2,957 2,937 Route 79 southbound near Cedar St 3,326 4,108 4,086 changed changed Route 79 northbound near Cedar St 2,830 3,062 3,126 changed changed Ramp from Route 24 (North) southbound to Route 79 southbound 3,228 4,389 4,511 4,510 4,408 Ramp from Veteran’s Memorial Bridge to N. Davol St (one-way southbound) 2,045 2,315 2,299 979 936 N. Davol St (one-way southbound) between U turns near Cedar St 2,158 2,678 3,161 changed changed N. Davol St (one-way northbound) between U turns near Cedar St 2,410 2,364 2,660 changed changed Route 79 northbound north of Brightman St 1,383 1,735 1,752 changed changed Route 79 southbound on-ramp from Veteran’s Memorial Bridge 1,360 1,403 1,412 2,909 2,817 Ramp from Veteran’s Memorial Bridge to Route 79 northbound 1,146 1,309 1,477 2,269 2,098 Route 79 northbound off-ramp to Veteran’s Memorial Bridge 3,303 3,590 3,987 4,070 3,967 Route 79 off-ramp to Veteran’s Memorial Bridge 2,358 2,838 2,753 3,191 2,995 Route 79 southbound north of Brightman St 1,830 2,569 2,539 2,195 2,398 Route 79 northbound off-ramp to N. Main St 1,105 1,160 1,363 1,102 1,105 Route 79 southbound on-ramp from N. Main St 1,621 1,581 1,495 1,421 1,487 32,451 38,086 39,647 25,602* 25,147* 1,447 1,327 1,374 changed changed Ramp from N. Davol St to Route 79 northbound 696 800 966 changed changed Route 79 northbound to southbound U turn south of Veteran’s Memorial Bridge 360 405 727 620 removed Route 79 southbound off-ramp to N. Davol St (one-way southbound) 484 506 662 493 450 N. Davol St southbound to northbound U turn near Cory St 299 405 removed removed removed N. Davol St southbound to northbound U turn near Cedar St 189 291 842 removed removed Route 79 southbound off-ramp to N. Main St 177 56 52 52 52 Route 79 southbound on-ramp from U turn south of Veteran’s Memorial Bridge COUNT LOCATIONS Route 79 Corridor Locations Major Subtotal Route 79 Corridor Locations Minor Route 79 off-ramp to N. Davol St (one-way northbound) north of President Ave 136 136 136 removed removed N. Davol St northbound to southbound U turn near Cedar St 99 99 99 removed removed Route 79 northbound on-ramp from N. Main St 15 15 15 15 15 3,901 4,039 4,721* 1,180* 517* Ramp from Route 24 (North) southbound to I-195 westbound 2,509 3,438 3,420 3,557 3,522 Ramp from I-195 eastbound to Route 24 (North) northbound 2,082 2,127 2,127 2,128 2,127 Ramp from Route 24 (North) southbound to I-195 eastbound 2,271 2,633 2,635 2,654 2,650 Subtotal Route 24 Locations CTPS 10 November 29, 2013 Ramp from I-195 westbound to Route 24 (North) northbound 1,784 1,962 1,958 1,958 1,962 Ramp from President Ave to Route 24 (North) southbound 1,882 1,873 1,885 1,889 1,889 Ramp from President Ave to Route 24 (North) northbound 792 960 960 1,017 964 Ramp from Route 24 (North) northbound to President Ave 1,299 1,343 1,343 1,343 1,343 Ramp from Route 24 (North) southbound to President Ave 1,192 1,711 1,848 1,713 1,711 Route 24 (North) southbound south of Route 79 off-ramp 4,089 5,909 6,020 6,036 5,995 Route 24 northbound south of Route 79 northbound on-ramp 3,358 3,705 3,700 3,759 3,708 21,257 25,660 25,895 26,053 25,871 I-195 eastbound west of Route 24 (South) 9,118 9,636 9,704 9,691 9,649 I-195 westbound west of Route 24 (South) 5,670 6,388 6,549 6,361 6,320 I-195 W. bound east of Route 103 9,431 11,644 11,814 11,130 11,229 I-195 E. bound east of Route 103 9,474 10,653 10,726 9,700 9,845 I-195 westbound on-ramp from Route 24 (South) northbound 3,892 3,909 3,929 3,934 3,916 I-195 eastbound on-ramp from Route 24 (South) northbound 3,390 3,354 3,353 3,355 3,354 I-195 eastbound off-ramp to Route 24 (South) southbound 3,718 4,412 4,465 4,319 4,343 I-195 westbound off-ramp to Route 24 (South) southbound 3,466 4,628 4,613 4,745 4,710 I-195 westbound off-ramp at Plymouth Ave 2,114 2,071 2,076 2,124 2,137 I-195 eastbound off-ramp at Plymouth Ave/Hartwell St 2,335 2,612 2,732 2,360 2,524 Route 103 E. bound on-ramp to I-195 E. bound 1,096 1,302 1,351 1,078 1,068 I-195 eastbound on-ramp at Plymouth Ave 1,949 1,865 1,865 1,846 1,846 792 1,195 1,225 1,495 1,344 I-195 westbound on-ramp at Plymouth Ave/Pleasant St 1,824 4,108 4,146 3,975 3,982 Lee's R. Ave. S. bound approach to Route 103 1,030 1,205 1,189 1,427 1,411 I-195 W. bound off-ramp to Route 103 W. bound 1,531 1,722 1,793 1,914 1,836 861 845 901 826 702 1,061 987 967 1,786 1,666 Route 103 W. bound on-ramp to I-195 E. bound 444 388 329 706 708 Route 103 E. bound on-ramp to I-195 W. bound 26 26 27 186 82 63,220 71,032 71,852 72,956 72,670 Rotary exit to President Ave 2,094 2,502 2,662 2,547 2,531 Rotary entrance from N. Eastern Ave 2,013 2,141 2,163 2,226 2,170 Rotary entrance from President Ave 2,523 2,577 2,639 2,644 2,606 Rotary exit to N. Eastern Ave 2,259 2,438 2,488 2,475 2,448 President Ave. E. bound approaching N. Main St. 1,987 2,514 2,221 2,643 2,020 Rotary circulating road between exit to and entrance from N. Eastern Ave 1,438 1,487 1,499 1,503 1,503 N. Main St. N. bound approaching President Ave. 1,201 1,093 1,074 1,178 801 777 795 818 824 821 1,175 1,348 1,348 1,334 1,345 812 884 695 587 402 Subtotal I-195 Locations I-195 on ramp from Lee's River Rd. I-195 W. bound off-ramp to Route 103 E. bound I-195 off ramp to Lee's River Rd. Subtotal "Interior" Locations Rotary circulating road between exit to and entrance from Route 24 (North) Rotary circulating road between exit to and entrance from President Ave N. Main St. S. bound approaching President Ave. CTPS 11 President Ave. W. bound approaching N. Main St. November 29, 2013 1,073 1,171 1,152 1,296 1,276 Highland Ave Southbound 708 643 643 646 644 Highland Ave Northbound 499 658 617 647 643 Lindsey St. S. bound approaching Brownell St. 342 430 397 255 250 Brownell St. E. bound approaching Lindsey St. 165 160 790 162 23 Brownell St. W. bound approaching Lindsey St. 119 158 105 98 100 Lindsey St. N. bound approaching Brownell St. 128 129 324 128 128 19,311 21,126 21,652 21,191 19,709 Brayton Ave S. bound ramp to Route 6 W. 392 392 392 392 392 Brayton Ave S. bound after ramp to Route 6 621 744 841 851 777 3,263 4,032 4,245 4,657 4,348 96 96 96 96 96 426 434 454 459 452 Route 6 E. bound approaching Brayton Ave. 2,810 3,135 3,173 4,000 3,747 Read Street E. bound approaching Brayton Ave. 1,192 1,405 1,464 1,529 1,385 Brayton Ave S. bound approaching Read St. 1,032 1,081 1,099 1,103 1,089 Brayton Ave. N. bound approaching Read St. 1,175 1,318 1,325 1,279 1,356 Read St. W. bound approaching Brayton Ave. 798 826 811 809 802 Route 6 E. bound approaching Brayton Pt. Rd. 1,746 2,160 2,196 3,024 2,774 Brayton Pt. Rd. S. bound approaching Route 6 995 1,087 1,082 1,085 1,086 Brayton Pt. Rd. N. bound approaching Route 6 2,897 2,862 2,934 3,030 2,851 Route 6 W. bound approaching Brayton Pt. Rd. 2,845 3,451 3,624 3,998 3,743 Route 6 E. bound approaching Lee's R. Rd. 2,134 2,789 2,793 3,025 2,970 Lee's R. Rd. S. bound approaching Route 6 557 689 644 656 664 Lee's R. Rd. N. bound approaching Route 6 960 1,351 1,345 1,908 1,760 Route 6 W. bound approaching Lee's R. Rd. 2,294 2,886 3,045 3,394 3,168 Route 103 E. bound approaching Brayton Pt. Rd. 1,546 1,403 1,485 1,754 1,607 Brayton Pt. Rd. S. bound approaching Route 103 870 898 897 908 898 Brayton Pt. Rd. N. bound approaching Route 103 438 387 386 388 387 Route 103 W. bound approaching Brayton Pt. Rd. 589 579 591 796 776 Route 6 E. bound approaching Gardner's Neck Rd. 2,195 3,122 3,118 3,370 3,306 Gardner's Neck Rd. S. bound approaching Route 6 534 858 873 882 884 Gardner's Neck Rd. N. bound approaching Route 6 624 633 628 631 633 Route 6 W. bound approaching Gardner's Neck Rd. 1,946 2,647 2,724 2,806 2,745 I-195 W. bound west of Lee's River Rd. 7,601 9,786 9,896 9,610 9,706 I-195 E. bound approaching Lee's River Rd. 8,996 9,952 10,015 9,705 9,738 Lee's R. Ave N. bound approach before I-195 on-ramp to I-195 W. bound 1,433 1,470 1,469 1,469 1,469 Route 103 W. bound approaching Lee's R. Ave. 2,784 3,140 3,148 3,124 3,181 Subtotal West of the River (non I-195) Locations Route 6 W. approaching Brayton Ave. Brayton Ave. N. bound ramp to Route 6 E. Brayton Ave. N. bound after ramp to Route 6 Route 103 E. bound approaching Lee's R. Ave. Subtotal 1,607 1,875 1,882 1,877 1,874 57,391 67,483 68,670 72,610 70,659 CTPS 12 November 29, 2013 President Ave E. bound approaching Highland 2,158 2,366 2,722 2,621 2,557 President Ave W. bound approaching Highland 1,012 1,213 1,365 1,384 1,358 Highland Ave S. bound approaching President 667 630 726 641 565 President Ave. E. bound approaching Robeson 1,499 1,529 1,714 1,719 1,676 President Ave W. bound approaching Robeson 1,093 1,228 1,338 1,335 1,353 Robeson St. N. bound approaching President 998 952 1,039 1,065 1,036 Robeson St. N. bound approaching President 1,143 1,208 1,337 1,347 1,333 President Ave. E. bound approaching Elsbree 2,424 2,264 2,455 2,414 2,395 President Ave W. bound approaching Elsbree 1,984 2,052 2,465 2,350 2,334 Elsbree St. S. bound approaching President 1,296 1,615 1,608 1,764 1,601 President Ave. E. bound approaching Lindsey 2,192 2,534 2,034 2,931 3,616 President Ave W. bound approaching Lindsey 1,902 1,756 2,090 2,114 2,040 Lindsey S. bound approaching President 209 211 one way one way one way 1,337 2,028 1,529 removed removed President Ave W. bound approaching Davol 983 908 504 removed removed President Ave W. bound ramp onto Davol northbound 966 899 removed removed removed President Ave E. bound approaching Davol Davol St. northbound approaching President Subtotal * subtotals are significantly less than other scenarios because network has been changed 2,894 2,936 3,371 removed removed 27,990 26,329 27,990* 21,686* 21,865* CTPS 13 Appendix B Alternatives Schematics Alternative 1 November 29, 2013 CTPS 14 Alternative 2 November 29, 2013 CTPS 15 Alternative 3 November 29, 2013