Housing in London The evidence base for the London Housing Strategy December 2012 HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N Copyright Greater London Authority December 2012 Published by Greater London Authority City Hall, The Queen’s Walk London SE1 2AA www.london.gov.uk enquiries 020 7983 4100 minicom 020 7983 4458 ISBN 978-1-84781-537-8 Cover image: Townsend Landscape Architects Contributors credits Contains Ordnance Survey data © Crown copyright and database right 2012 All rights reserved Greater London Authority Copies of this report are available from www.london.gov.uk Housing in London The evidence base for the London Housing Strategy December 2012 HOUSING IN L ONDON Contents introduction6 People7 PLACES31 APPENDICES 51 5 introduction HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N Housing in London is the evidence base for the Mayor’s London Housing Strategy. The Mayor formally adopted his London Housing Strategy in February 2010 and in December 2011 he consulted on proposals for a new Strategy. Housing in London is divided into two sections, reflecting the thematic chapters of the public consultation draft of the new London Housing Strategy: People This section covers demographic pressures, housing affordability, the wider housing market, mobility and housing need. Places This covers housing supply, empty homes, the private rented sector, decent homes, accessible housing, energy efficiency and fuel poverty Three appendices follow. The first includes general contextual and historical information about housing in London, the second provides notes and sources for each chart or map, and the third briefly summarises available measures of housing supply. All data in this document was the latest available as of September/ October 2012. This edition of Housing in London is the latest in a series, with previous editions available from the Greater London Authority website (www.london.gov.uk). Any comments on this edition or suggestions for future versions are welcomed and should be emailed to mayor@london.gov.uk. . 7 people HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 1.01 London’s population rose to 8.2m in 2011, close to its previous peak Trends in London’s individual and household population, 1901 to 2011 10 5 9 8 4 7 6 3 5 4 2 3 2 •The 2011 Census revealed that London’s population had grown by around a million in the previous decade. The 2011 population of 8.2 million is second only to the 8.6 million peak recorded in 1939. •The increase in the last decade continues a trend that began in the 1980s, after almost half a century of declining population. •The decade to 2011 also saw a rise in average household size to 2.5, the first such rise in at least a century. 1 1 0 1901 1921 1939 1961 1981 2001 0 Population (millions, left axis) Households (millions, left axis) Average household size (persons, right axis) Source: GLA 1.02 Population growth was higher in London than in the rest of the country in the last decade, but household growth was similar Percentage growth in households and population by region, 2001 to 2011 •London’s population grew by 12 per cent between 2001 and 2011, compared to growth of 6 per cent in the rest of England. Population growth was slightly faster in Inner London (13 per cent) than in Outer London (11 per cent). •Growth in the number of households in London did not keep up with population growth, particularly in Outer London where household growth was just 6 per cent. •In the rest of England the number of households grew faster than the population over the last decade, and the average household size fell. Percentage growth 2001 to 2011 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Inner London Outer London Population change London total Rest of London Household change Source: Office for National Statistics 9 1.03 London’s boroughs include those with the largest and the smallest average household sizes in the country Top and bottom English five local authorities by average household size, 2011 •According to the 2011 Census, the four local authorities with the largest average household sizes in England are all in London, with Newham well ahead at three people per household and three Outer London boroughs following behind. •The three local authorities with the smallest average household sizes are also in London. The City of London has by far the smallest households (1.6 people per household on average) and Kensington and Chelsea and Westminster are not far behind with an average of two people per household each Top five Newham Harrow Redbridge Brent Slough Bottom five Isles of Scilly Fylde Westminster Kens. & Chelsea City of London 0 1 2 3 4 Average household size London boroughs Non-London Source: Office for National Statistics 1.04 Future household growth is expected to be fuelled by a rise in the proportion of one person households Projections of household types in London, 2001 to 2031 1.80 •There are around 3.3 million households in London, a figure that is expected to rise sharply in coming years, although by how much depends on the trends in population and average household size already mentioned. •According to the current household projections, one person households are expected to account for 68 per cent of overall household growth from 2011 to 2031, to outnumber couple households by 2016, and to comprise 43 per cent of all households by 2026. The number of lone parent households is also expected to grow One person Number of households (millions) 1.60 1.40 Couples 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 Lone parents 0.40 Other 0.20 0.00 2001 Source: GLA 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 1.05 London’s population grew by 115,000 between 2010 and 2011, driven mostly by natural change Components of population change in London, 2001-2 to 2010-11 •London’s population is estimated to have grown by 115,000 between mid 2010 and mid 2011. Most of this growth was due to natural change (births minus deaths), which has risen from 47,000 between 2001 and 2002 to 86,500 between 2010 and 2011. •Net in-migration accounted for the remainder of population growth. Both net out-migration to the rest of the UK and net in-migration from the rest of the world fell sharply between 2008 and 2010, but net international in-migration rose again between 2010 and 2011. 200 Number of people (000s) 150 100 50 -50 2010-11 2009-10 2008-09 2007-08 2006-07 2005-06 2004-05 2003-04 2002-03 -150 2001-02 -100 Net international migration Net UK migration Natural change Source: Office for National Statistics 1.06 The last five decades have seen considerable change in London’s tenure mix Long term trend in household tenure in London, 1961 to 2011 70 Percentage of all households 60 Owner occupied 50 40 Social rented 30 20 Private rented 10 0 1961 1971 1981 1991 Source: Office for National Statistics 2001 2011 •Census data shows that the proportion of London households who own their home fell to 50 per cent in 2011 from a high of 57 per cent in 2001, though it is still above the levels of the 1960s and 1970s. •The proportion of households who live in social housing peaked at 35 per cent in 1981 and has since fallen to 24 per cent. •The private rented sector was once the largest tenure in London but shrank from 46 per cent to 14 per cent of all households between 1961 and 1991. Since the 1990s it has grown to a quarter of all households in London. 11 1.07 Owner occupier households comprise the majority in outer London but the minority in inner London Trend in household tenure in London (with owner occupation split), 1993 to 2010/11 45 Owned with mortgage Percentage of all households 40 35 30 Social rented 25 Owned outright 20 Private rented 15 10 5 •Owner occupiers who are still paying off a mortgage account for all of the recent fall in owner occupation. The share of London’s households who are paying off a mortgage fell from nearly 40 per cent in the mid 1990s to just under 30 per cent in 2010/11. •The proportion of households owning outright has increased slightly over the entire period but has been relatively stead in recent years, as has the level of social renting. •Over the last decade the size of the private rented sector has risen by about ten percentage points. 1 9 -1 10 -0 20 08 07 20 20 05 20 03 20 01 99 20 19 97 19 95 19 19 93 0 Source: GLA, Department for Communities and Local Government 1.08 Owner occupier households comprise the majority in outer London but the minority in inner London Housing tenure of households by borough, 2011 150,000 75,000 15,000 Owned Social rented Private rented Source: Office for National Statistics •The proportion of households who own their home ranges from just 26 per cent in Hackney and 27 per cent in, Tower Hamlets and Westminster to 73 per cent in Bexley and 74 per cent in Havering. •Most of London’s social housing is concentrated in inner boroughs, comprising 44 per cent of the local housing stock in both Hackney and Tower Hamlets. •Private renting households are also concentrated towards the centre, with Westminster the only borough where private renting is the most common tenure. HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 1.09 The three main tenures accommodate very different mixes of households by income London household income distribution by tenure, 2008-11 •Around a third of households in social housing in London have annual gross household incomes off less than £10,000, and around another third have incomes between £10,000 and £20,000. •Households in the market tenures have a much wider range of incomes, although the private rented sector has a higher proportion of households in low to middle incomes than owner occupation. •Around a tenth of owner occupying households in London have annual incomes over £100,000, compared to around 7 per cent of private renting households. 700 Thousands of households 600 Owners 500 Private renters 400 Social renters 300 200 100 Over 100 90 to 100 80 to 90 70 to 80 60 to 70 50 to 60 40 to 50 30 to 40 20 to 30 10 to 20 0 to 10 0 Annual gross household income (£000s) Source: GLA, Department for Communities and Local Government 1.10 London has both more poor and more rich households than the rest of the country, distributed unevenly by tenure Distribution of London households by national income quintile and tenure, 2010/11 900 Owners 800 Social renters Households (000s) 700 Private renters 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Lowest 20% Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 •London is a relatively unequal city, with more than its share of households at both the top and the bottom of the national income distribution. •Unsurprisingly, social rented and owner occupied housing play very different roles, with most of the poorest households in social housing and most of the richest in owner occupation. •Private tenants, in contrast, are much more evenly spread throughout the national income distribution, reflecting the diversity of the sector. Highest 20% National household income quintile Source: GLA, Department for Communities and Local Government 13 1.11 Most younger households rent their homes in the private sector, most older ones are owner occupiers Age of household reference person by tenure, London 2010/11 •London has a relatively large number of households headed by someone aged under 35, and over half of them are renting in the private sector. •The owner occupation rate increases with age, so that two thirds of households headed by someone aged 55 or over is in the owner occupied sector. •Social renting households are in the minority throughout the age distribution, but there are over four times as many older households (those headed by someone aged 55 or over) in social housing than there are in private rented housing. 800 Number of households (000s) 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 16-24 25-34 Owners 35-44 45-54 Social renters 55-64 65 or over Private renters GLA, Department for Communities and Local Government 1.12 Rates of employment and economic activity in London vary widely between tenures Employment status of household reference person and partner by tenure, London 2010/11 Owners Social renters •Across all tenures around three quarters of London households include one or more people in work, but this figure falls to just 39 per cent in social housing. •In both social housing and owner occupation around a quarter of households include retirees, compared to only five per cent of households in the private rented sector. Private renters All tenures 0 20 40 60 80 Percentage of households by tenure 100 Source: GLA, Department for Communities and Local Government One or more work full time One or more work part time None working, one or more retired None working and none retired HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 1.13 Private renting households are generally satisfied with their accommodation but less happy about renting itself Satisfaction by tenure with current accommodation and current tenure, London 2010/11 (with confidence intervals) •While owner occupiers are overwhelmingly satisfied with their housing, tenants are generally somewhat less satisfied with both their current accommodation and their current tenure. •Around 80 per cent of private renting households are satisfied with their current home, but only around half are satisfied with private renting itself. The pattern is very different for council renting households, who are more satisfied with their tenure than with their own accommodation. Percentage of households 100 80 60 40 20 0 Owner occupied Private rented Council rented Satisfied with accommodation Housing association rented Satisfied with current tenure Source: GLA, Department for Communities and Local Government 1.14 Most people in London would prefer to own their home, but preferences differ between inner and outer London Preferences for buying or renting, by region •When asked if they would prefer to buy or rent given a ‘free choice’, 77 per cent of inner Londoners and 94 per cent of outer Londoners say they would prefer to buy. •Nationally, the preference to buy was highest amongst home owners (95 per cent) and lowest amongst social renters (58 per cent for local authority and 61 per cent for housing association tenants). •Only 17 per cent of renters expect to buy a home in the near future. Inner London East Midlands North East North West South East West Midlands Yorks & Humber East South West Outer London 0 20 40 60 80 100 Percentage of respondents Would choose to buy Would choose to rent Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 15 1.15 High housing costs are seen as one of the main downsides to living in London ‘Major problems’ with quality of life in the locality, as reported by Londoners, 2009 to 2011 Cost of housing Traffic congestion 2009 2010 2011 Cost of living (non-housing) Unemployment Fear of crime •The cost of housing in London has consistently been among the problems most cited by Londoners as one of the worst things about living in the capital. •In 2011, 24 per cent of respondents described the cost of housing as a ‘major problem’ with the quality of life in their area, up from 22 per cent in 2010 and 14 per cent in 2009. •The next biggest problems were traffic congestion (22 per cent of respondents) and the non-housing cost of living (17 per cent). Fear of attack 0 10 20 30 Percentage of respondents Source: GLA 1.16 The burden of housing costs is higher for renting households, though ameliorated by benefits Median housing costs as % of income Median of housing costs as a share of gross household income in London, by tenure and income definition 50 40 30 20 10 0 Household head and partner only All household members Including benefits Social renters Household head and partner only All household members Excluding benefits Private renters •The burden of housing costs varies by tenure and by whether you count just the income of the household head and partner or include other household members too. Taking incomes of all household members into account makes a big difference for private renting households, due to the number of multi-adult households in the sector. •Benefits have the greatest impact on social housing tenants, reducing their costs from 40 to 30 per cent of income. •On any definition, owner occupiers paying off a mortgage have the lowest average housing cost burden (those who already own their home outright are excluded). Owner occupiers Source: GLA, Department for Communities and Local Government HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 1.17 Average house prices vary widely across London Median house price by Middle Super Output Area, 2012 •While prices paid by first time buyers in London recovered quickly from the dip in 2008-9 and are now well above their previous peak, the average mortgage advance is no higher than in 2007. •Deposits have had to rise to fill the gap, on average roughly doubling from pre-recession levels. Median price (£000s) 0 – 250 250 – 350 350 – 475 475 – 700 700 – 1,000 1,000 – 2,175 Source: GLA, Land Registry 1.18 Homes in conservation areas in London command a 37 per cent price premium over other homes in the region Mean price per square metre of sales within and outside conservation areas by region, 1995-2010 Price per square metre 3,000 2,500 Inside conservation area Outside conservation area 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 Ea Nor st the M rn i No dlan Yo d rk rth W s s& e W Hu st es m t M be id r Ea land st s A Ou Sou ngli a t Ou ter h W te Sou es r M th t et Ea ro st po lit Lo an nd on 0 Source: English Heritage, London School of Economics •Between 1995 and 2010 twelve per cent of homes sold in London were in conservation areas, and they sold for an average of £2,710 per square metre compared to an average £1,975 per square metre for homes outside conservation areas. •This conservation area ‘premium’ of 37 per cent in London is by far the largest of any region in England, with the North West’s premium of 21 per cent the next highest. 17 1.19 After a relatively modest fall, London’s house prices are back on their long-term trend of real-term growth Index of mix-adjusted average house prices in London, 1969 to 2012, adjusted for inflation, (1990 =100) 250 House price index Fitted exponential trend 200 150 •Average London house prices, adjusted for inflation, have increased more than fourfold since the late 1960s, following an exponential growth path over the long term. •London’s average house price fell by 16 per cent in real terms between mid 2007 and mid 2009, but that was only enough to return prices to their long term trend. Since mid 2009 prices have increased 12 per cent in real terms. 100 50 09 20 04 20 99 19 19 94 89 19 84 19 79 19 74 19 19 69 0 Source: GLA, Office for National Statistics 1.20 After lagging behind in recent years, new house prices in London have recently overtaken those of second hand homes. Annualised change in mix-adjusted average prices for new and second hand homes, London 30 New homes 25 Pre-owned homes 20 15 10 5 0 -5 2006 2007 2008 2009 -10 -15 -20 -25 Source: Office for National Statistics 2010 2011 2012 •Average prices for new homes in London recovered strongly from their 2008-9 dip, growing by an annualised rate of over ten per cent for most of the last two years. In quarter 3 of 2012 annualised growth in new home prices dipped to three per cent. •Prices of pre-owned homes saw more modest growth in recent years, though in the last quarter the annualised rate of growth rose above that of new homes for the first time in two years. HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 1.21 London’s house prices seem increasingly detached from those in the rest of the country Ratio of prices in London and wider South East to UK average 2.00 1.50 1.00 •According to Nationwide the average house price in London in Q3 2012 was 1.84 times the average price in the UK as a whole. •This ratio tends to follow a cyclical path, but whereas in the past London’s prices were usually aligned with those in the outer metropolitan region and the rest of the South East, in the last few years London’s prices have grown faster than anywhere else in the country. London Outer Met Rest of South East 0.50 09 20 04 20 99 19 94 19 89 19 84 19 79 19 19 74 0.00 Source: Nationwide 1.22 Median house prices rose to 8.5 times median earnings in London in 2011 Ratio of median house prices to median earnings, 1997 to 2011 •The diverging price trends in London and the rest of the country are reflected in the ratio of median prices to median earnings, a simple measure of housing affordability. •In England as a whole the ratio has fallen (and therefore affordability has improved) back to the levels of 2004, but in London the ratio rose to a new peak of 8.5 in 2011 as price increases again outstripped growth in earnings. 10 London 8 England 6 4 2 0 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 19 1.23 Mortgage lending in London has been relatively flat for more than two years Quarterly number of mortgage loans by type, London •According to figures from the Council of Mortgage Lenders there were around 20,500 new mortgage loans in London in Q3 2012, 21 per cent up on the previous quarter but only four per cent up on the same period last year. •Some quarterly volatility aside, the overall level of new mortgage lending in London has been relatively flat in recent years and remains well below pre-recession levels. •New mortgages in London are split relatively evenly between home movers and first time buyers. Thousands of new loans 25 20 Home movers First time buyers 15 10 5 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Council of Mortgage Lenders 1.24 Deposit requirements for house purchase remain very high 15 5 0 0 Deposit as % of purchase price (median) Deposit as % of purchase price (median) 10 England 30 London 15 South East 45 South West 20 East Anglia 60 West Midlands 25 East Midlands 75 North West 30 Yorks & Humber 90 North Average first time buyer deposit (£000s) First time buyer deposit requirements by region, 2011 •The typical first time buyer in London was required to put down a 25 per cent deposit in 2011, significantly more than in any other region. •Given that the median price paid by first time buyers was around £300,000, this implies a typical deposit level of £75,000 in London, twice as high as the national average. •Note that ‘First time buyers’ are defined as anyone not currently owning at the time of purchase, so it can include those who have previously owned. Average first time buyer deposit (£000s) Source: GLA, Council of Mortgage Lenders and Office for National Statistics HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 1.25 While deposit requirements are very high, low interest rates have reduced average first time buyer mortgage repayments Trend in median deposit requirement and mortgage repayments as a share of income for first time buyers in London 30 Mortgage repayments as % of income (median) 25 20 15 Deposit required (median) •The typical first time buyer mortgage changed dramatically in 2008, with average deposit requirements climbing to 25 per cent and low interest rates bringing mortgage repayment costs (comprising both capital and interest payments) down to just over 20 per cent of income on average. •These two trends mean that owner occupation has become much more expensive to access but somewhat less expensive to maintain. 10 2012 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 0 2011 5 Source: Council of Mortgage Lenders 1.26 Around 6 per cent of recent home buyers in London are estimated to be in negative equity, down from 13 per cent last year Estimates of negative equity by broad region, 2011 and 2012 2011 21.5% 2012 15.5% 13.0% 14.3% 8.1% 8.0% North Midlands 6.0% 5.6% London Rest of South Source: Council of Mortgage Lenders •The Council of Mortgage Lenders estimates that 6 per cent of mortgages advanced in London since 2005 are currently in negative equity. •This figure is down more than half from the CML’s estimate of 13 per cent in 2011. Negative equity rates in the South of England are well below those in the North due to the much higher house price drops in the latter. 21 1.27 Mortgage possession orders in London are falling but landlord possession orders are rising Mortgage and landlord possession orders made in London Possession orders (thousands) 35 30 Landlord 25 20 15 Mortgage 10 •The number of mortgage possession orders granted in London rose in the last recession, albeit not to anything like the levels seen in the early 1990s. Low interest rates and forbearance by lenders have since reduced the number of orders to 6,500 2011, the lowest figure since 2003. •However the number of orders granted to private and social landlords for possession of their properties has risen in the last two years, from 22,500 in 2009 to 27,100 in 2011. 5 0 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 Source: Ministry of Justice 1.28 Home sales in London are running at about half of their pre-recession levels Quarterly Land Registry sales in London (four quarter moving average) •There were a total of 92,000 home sales in London over the twelve months to Q2 2012, an average of 23,000 a quarter. •While the level of sales in London has picked up from its trough of just over 10,000 in Q1 2009, it is still only around half of pre-recession levels, which on average saw around 40,000 sales a quarter and 160,000 in a year. Sales per quarter (000s) 50 40 30 20 10 20 11 20 09 20 07 20 05 20 03 20 01 19 99 19 97 0 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government, Council of Mortgage Lenders HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 1.29 Most population churn in London takes place through the private rented sector Length of time at current home by tenure, London 2008-11 •Eleven per cent of households in London have lived in their current home less than one year, but this figure varies from three per cent of owner occupiers to seven per cent of social renters and 32 per cent of private renters. •Private tenants account for 23 per cent of all households in London but two thirds of recent moves in 2008-11. •The number of moves into or within owner occupation has fallen in recent years, primarily due to ongoing restrictions on mortgage lending. Percentage of households in tenure 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 <1 year 1 year 2 years Owners 3-4 years 5-9 years 10-19 20-29 years years Social renters 30+ years Private renters Source: GLA and Department for Communities and Local Government 1.30 The Seaside & Country Homes scheme frees up around 200 social rented homes in London a year Moves per year under the Seaside & Country Homes scheme 250 200 150 100 50 Source: GLA 20 11 /1 2 1 /1 10 20 0 20 09 /1 9 /0 08 20 20 07 /0 8 0 •The Seaside & Country Homes scheme offers older London social housing tenants the opportunity to move to suitable accommodation in other regions. •Between 2007/08 and 2011/12 a total of 1,028 council and housing association tenants in London took advantage of the scheme to move out. •Tenants who are underoccupying their current homes are given priority in the scheme. In the last three years alone a total of 1,473 bedrooms were freed up in London as a result of the scheme. 23 1.31 Many council homes in London have been freed up through the Seaside & Country Homes scheme, particularly in east London Social rented homes freed up through Seaside & Country Homes scheme moves since 2007/08 •Since 2007 1,133 council and housing association homes have been freed up in London after the tenants moved out through the Seaside & Country Homes scheme. •The number of homes freed up through the scheme varies widely by borough, from two in Brent and the City of London to 85 in Southwark and 97 in Greenwich. 0–5 5 – 30 30 – 50 50 – 70 70 – 97 Source: GLA 1.32 Most moves into social housing in London are local Origin of moves into housing association homes in London, 2011/12 16% 1% •Of the 17,900 households recorded as moving into housing association homes in London in 2011/12, the great majority (83 per cent) came from within the same London borough as their new home. •17 per cent came from elsewhere in London and just one per cent from outside London. 83% Within borough From elsewhere within London From outside London Source: GLA, Department for Communities and Local Government HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 1.33 Around 740,000 households in London are underoccupying their homes, most of them owner occupiers Underoccupation by tenure in London, 2008-11 45 Percentage of households 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Owner occupied Social rented Private rented •Underoccupied households are those with two or more bedrooms more than they require according to the bedroom standard. •There are around 740,000 underoccupied households in London, a quarter of all households in the capital. Around 84 per cent of these are owner occupiers. •There are an estimated 50,000 underoccupied households in social rented housing, which has the lowest rate of underoccupation at seven per cent, compared to ten per cent of private renting and 38 per cent of owner occupying households. All tenures Source: GLA, Department for Communities and Local Government 1.34 The number of households accepted as statutorily homeless increased last year but remains low by recent standards 35 30 30 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 10 10 / 9 20 8/ 0 20 0 6/ 0 5 20 0 4/ 0 20 0 2/ 0 20 0 0/ 0 20 0 8/ 9 19 9 11 0 7 0 3 5 1 5 London as % of England 35 9 London total (000s) Homeless households in priority need accepted by London boroughs, 1998/1999 to 2011/12 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government •The number of households accepted as statutorily homeless in London fell by almost 60 per cent between 2004/05 and 2009/10, largely as a result of boroughs’ efforts to prevent or address homelessness. •In 2011/12 the number of acceptances rose to 12,730, up from 9,460 in 2009/10 but still well below the peak of 30,080 in 2003/04. •Homeless acceptances in London have comprised between 20 and 25 per cent of the national total for the last several years. 25 1.35 London boroughs prevented or relieved homelessness for 29,900 households in the last year Homelessness prevention and relief in London, 2009/10 to 2011/12 2009/ 10 2010/ 11 2011/ 12 0 10 20 30 Number of cases (000s) Relief of homelessness 40 •Homelessness prevention means helping people avoid homelessness by obtaining other accommodation or remaining in their current home, while homelessness relief refers to cases where a homeless household is helped to secure accommodation without being accepted as statutorily homeless. •In 2011/12 London boroughs prevented homelessness in 26,000 cases and relieved homelessness in 3,900 cases, for a total of 29,900. •This total was down slightly from 32,500 in 2009/10 and 32,900 in 2010/11. Helped obtain other housing Helped remain in current home Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 1.36 Ethnic minority households are disproportionately likely to become homeless Homeless acceptances in London by ethnicity of household head, 2011/12 London population 2001 66 Homeless acceptances in London 2011/12 36 0 14 37 50 Percentage of total 15 12 5 •Households from ethnic minority groups are disproportionately likely to become statutorily homeless, reflecting in part greater exposure to risk factors such as poverty, deprivation and overcrowding. •Black or Black British households comprised 14 per cent of the general population in 2001, but 37 per cent of those accepted as homeless in 2011/12. 15 100 White Black or Black British Asian or Asian British Mixed or other ethnic origin Source: Office for National Statistics, Department for Communities and Local Government HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 1.37 The number of homeless households in temporary accommodation has grown recently but remains low in historic terms Homeless households placed in different forms of temporary accommodation by London boroughs, 1999 to 2012 Number of households (000s) 70 60 50 40 30 •In mid 2012 there were 37,190 homeless households living in temporary accommodation in London. This represents an increase of 1,570 on the year before, but is 26,630 lower than the peak of 63,820 households in late 2005. •Most homeless households are living in homes leased by London boroughs from private sector landlords. The number in bed and breakfast accommodation has risen in the last year but remains low at six per cent of the total. 20 10 11 20 09 20 07 20 05 20 03 20 01 20 19 99 0 Other, including social housing stock Leased from private sector Hostels and women's refuges Bed and breakfast and shared Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 1.38 Average lengths of stay in temporary accommodation are coming down again Length of stay of households leaving temporary accommodation in London, 1998/99 to 2010/12 •2011/12 saw an improvement in waiting times for those in temporary accommodation in London, with a third leaving temporary accommodation after less than six months, up from twenty per cent in 2009/10. •The proportion waiting wait two years or more to leave temporary accommodation has fallen to 37 per cent, from 50 per cent in 2009/10. •12,590 households left temporary accommodation in 2011/12, down from 16,120 in 2009/10, suggesting that it is the reduced inflow which is reducing waiting times. 80 60 40 Over 2 years 1 year to 2 years 2010/11 2008/09 2006/07 2004/05 2002/03 0 2000/01 20 1998/99 Percentage of total 100 6 months to 1 year 20 10 /1 1 20 08 /0 9 20 06 /0 7 05 20 04 / 20 02 /0 3 19 98 /9 9 20 00 /0 1 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government Under 6 months 27 1.39 Turnover in social housing has slowed, with fewer tenancies becoming available Social housing lettings in London as a proportion of total stock, 1997/98 to 2010/11 12 Housing association 10 8 Council 6 •Turnover in London’s social housing has fallen since the late 1990s, with lettings as a percentage of stock falling to six per cent in council housing and eight per cent in housing association homes. •Reasons for the fall in turnover include longer life expectancies and the high cost of market housing making it harder for tenants who want to move out to do so. 4 2 0 8 /1 09 20 /0 20 07 6 /0 05 4 /0 03 20 20 2 01 /0 0 20 /0 99 19 19 97 /9 8 0 Source: GLA, Department for Communities and Local Government 1.40 The number of people seen sleeping rough in London over the course of the year has risen substantially People seen sleeping rough in London, 2005/06 to 2011/12 6,000 Returner Stock Flow 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2005/06 Source: Broadway 2007/08 2009/10 2011/12 •Outreach teams counted 5,678 people sleeping rough in London over the course of 2011/12, up 43 per cent from 2010/11. •People who sleep rough can be broadly categorised as ‘flow’ (those new to the streets), ‘stock’ (people sleeping rough both this year and last year) and ‘returners’ (those not previously seen sleeping rough for over a year). Two thirds of those recorded in this period were new to the streets and this group accounted for most of the rise since 2010/11. •Rough sleeping is concentrated in a few boroughs, with more than half found in Westminster alone. HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 1.41 The proportion of new rough sleepers who spend just one night on the streets has risen for the past three years Number of contacts with people seen sleeping rough for the first time 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 •Of the 3,825 people seen sleeping rough in London for the first time in 2011/12, 70 per cent were seen just once. This figure has risen for each of the last three years, largely as a result of efforts under the Mayor’s ‘No Second Night Out’ scheme to ensure that nobody spends more than one night on the streets. •Three per cent (124) of the people seen sleeping rough for the first time in London went on to be seen eleven more times. 1,500 1,000 500 0 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 Eleven or more Six to ten Three to five Two One Source: Broadway 1.42 Just under half of rough sleepers are UK nationals Nationality of rough sleepers in London, 2008/09 to 2011/12 •For the second year running over half of those seen sleeping rough in London in 2011/12 were non-UK nationals, while 47 per cent were from the UK. •28 per cent came from Poland and other Central and Eastern European Countries, eleven per cent from other European countries such as Ireland and Portugal, six per cent from Africa, six per cent from Asia and two per cent from America or Australasia. 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 Source: Broadway 2 /1 11 20 1 /1 10 20 0 /1 09 20 20 08 /0 9 0 UK Central/Eastern Europe Rest of world Other Europe 29 1.43 The majority of rough sleepers need support to deal with addiction or mental health problems Support needs of rough sleepers in London, 2011/12 17% Alcohol 7% 12% •The support needs of a third of rough sleepers seen in 2011/12 are not known or have yet to be assessed, but 76 per cent of those assessed need support to deal with alcohol, drug or mental health problems, with alcohol problems the most common. •35 per cent of those assessed have support needs in two or more categories, with eleven per cent having support needs in all three. 11% 6% Mental health 5% 15% Drugs None: 24% Source: Broadway 1.44 Overcrowding in London is rising again, after falling throughout most of the 20th century Household overcrowding rate in London, 1931 to 2001 •In 1931 a quarter of households in London was considered overcrowded (in that they had more than one person per room), a figure which fell to four per cent in 1991. •But in the 1990s the trend was reversed, with overcrowding rising to five per cent of households in 2001. Inner London has consistently had higher rates of overcrowding than Outer London. •Results from the 2011 Census were not yet available at the time of writing 35 Inner London London Outer London Percentage of households 30 25 20 15 10 5 01 20 91 19 81 19 71 19 61 19 51 19 41 19 19 31 0 Source: Great Britain Historical GIS Project, Office for National Statistics HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 1.45 Social housing has seen the biggest rise in overcrowding in recent years Household overcrowding rate by tenure, 1995-98 to 2008-11 Percentage of households 18 16 14 Social renters 12 10 Private renters 8 6 All tenures 4 2 •Around 260,000 households are overcrowded in London, comprising roughly 125,000 in social housing, 90,000 private renters and 45,000 owner occupiers. •In recent years the overcrowding rate has grown most rapidly in social housing and now stands at 17 per cent. •12 per cent of private renting households and three per cent of owner occupiers are overcrowded, compared to eight per cent across all tenures. Owner occupiers -1 0 07 20 -0 8 05 20 -0 6 20 03 -0 4 01 20 -0 2 19 99 -0 0 97 19 19 95 -9 8 0 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 1.46 Around 35,000 households in London are severely overcrowded Overcrowding and severe overcrowding in London by tenure, 2008-11 18 Percentage of households 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Owner occupied Social rented Severely overcrowded Private rented All tenures All overcrowded Source: Department for Communities and Local Government •Households with two or more bedrooms less than they need are defined as severely overcrowded. •Around 17,000 households in social housing are severely overcrowded, compared to 12,000 in the private rented sector and 6,000 in owner occupation. •Around two per cent of both social rented and private rented households are severely overcrowded, compared to around half a per cent of owner occupied households. 31 PLACES HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 2.01 New housebuilding in London is lower than in the 1960s and 70s but higher than in the 80s and 90s Gross new house building in London by tenure, 1961 to 2011/12 •Government statistics show an increase in average annual housebuilding in London from around 15,000 homes in the 1990s to around 20,000 in the last decade. •New council housing supply has risen from the low tens to the low hundreds, but is still dwarfed by new private and housing association supply. •While providing a useful historical trend, these figures cover new building only and exclude conversions and changes of use. They therefore tend to under-estimate total housing provision in London. 30 20 Local Authorities 2010/11 2005/06 2000/01 1995/96 1990/91 1986 1981 1966 1961 0 1976 10 1971 Number of homes (000s) 40 Housing Association and other public sector Private sector Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 2.02 Affordable housing delivery in London increased in 2011/12 to the highest total for at least twenty years Affordable housing delivery in London, 1991/92 to 2011/12 (including acquisitions) Thousands of homes 20 15 10 5 Intermediate 2 0 /1 11 20 /1 8 09 20 /0 6 07 20 /0 4 20 05 2 /0 03 20 20 /0 0 Affordable Rent 01 8 /0 /9 19 99 6 /9 19 97 4 /9 95 19 93 19 19 91 /9 2 0 Social rent Source: Department for Communities and Local Government •According to government statistics the number of affordable homes delivered in London in 2011/12 rose to 17,240, the highest figure in at least twenty years (just above 17,150 in 1995/96) and the fourth annual increase in a row. •Two thirds of the homes delivered were for social rent, the highest proportion since 2001/02. Just over a hundred were Affordable Rent and the remainder were Intermediate. •These figures include homes not funded by the GLA (or formerly the Homes and Communities Agency), as well as a small number of ‘Assisted Purchase’ sales, neither of which are included in the GLA’s own affordable housing statistics. 33 2.03 Newly built homes comprised the vast majority of affordable housing delivery in 2011/12 New build completions as a proportion of affordable housing delivery in London, by tenure 100 80 60 Social rent 40 Intermediate 20 •The government’s official statistics indicate that newly built homes comprised 93 per cent of affordable housing delivered in London in 2011/12, with the rest consisting of existing homes added to the stock of affordable housing through acquisitions. •New build has made up the majority of social rent delivery since at least the early 1990s, but until 2006/07 most intermediate housing delivery was in the form of acquisitions, either by housing associations or by households buying on the open market. 2 0 /1 11 20 8 /1 09 20 6 /0 07 20 4 /0 05 20 2 /0 03 20 0 /0 01 20 8 /0 99 19 6 /9 97 19 4 /9 95 19 /9 93 19 19 91 /9 2 0 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 2.04 Affordable housing delivery in the last four years varied widely by borough Affordable housing delivery in London by tenure and by borough, 2008/09 to 2011/12 6,300 3,150 630 Social rent Intermediate Source: Department for Communities and Local Government •Of the 57,800 affordable homes delivered in London in the last four years (again, as defined by government statistics), the borough with by far the highest share was Tower Hamlets with 6,300, followed by Hackney at 3,970. •The lowest borough totals were in the City of London (20 homes), Kensington and Chelsea (280) and Kingston upon Thames (320). •The proportion of total delivery that comprised social rented housing varied from 0 per cent in the City and 22 per cent in Wandsworth to 71 per cent in Waltham Forest and 75 per cent in Kensington and Chelsea. HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 2.05 While completions rose in 2011/12, affordable housing starts fell sharply Affordable housing starts and completions in London funded by the GLA and HCA, 2008/09 to 2011/12 18 Non-new build Number of homes (000s) 16 New build 14 12 10 8 6 4 Starts 2011/12 2010/11 2009/10 2008/09 2011/12 2010/11 2009/10 0 2008/09 2 •The number of affordable housing starts funded by the GLA (and formerly the HCA) in London rose by 5,000 between 2008/09 and 2010/11, but fell sharply to 4,290 in 2011/12. The drop was largely due to the transition to a new funding programme for affordable housing. •Completions funded by the GLA rose to 16,170 in 2011/12, up from 12,870 in 2010/11. •These figures exclude homes not funded by the GLA or HCA but which are included in charts 2.02 to 2.04. Completions Source: GLA, Homes and Communities Agency 2.06 While affordable housing supply has risen, sales of social housing through the Right to Buy remain very low Affordable housing supply and Right to Buy sales in London, 1981 to 2011/12 30 Number of sales (000s) 25 20 15 10 5 1 /1 10 20 6 1 /0 05 20 /0 00 20 6 /9 95 19 1 /9 19 90 86 19 19 81 0 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government •Between 1981 and 2004/05 the average number of social rented homes sold each through the Right to Buy in London was 11,270, but following the introduction of restrictions in 2005 sales fell to a few hundred a year. •In 2011/12 just 290 council homes in London were sold under the Right to Buy, and another 140 housing association homes were sold through the Right to Buy and Right to Acquire. •The present government has loosened restrictions on the Right to Buy but these have yet to translate into substantially higher sales in London. 35 2.07 The net number of new homes completed in London dipped in 2010/11 before rebounding in 2011/12 Net conventional housing supply in London, 1990 to 2011/12 •GLA estimates of new housing supply are based on data reported by London boroughs and take into account conversions and changes of use as well as new build. This measure of housing supply also takes account of homes demolished or replaced through redevelopment •Data from the London Development Database (2003/04 onwards) shows that net conventional housing supply (which includes new build and supply from conversions or changes of use) fell from 29,440 in 2008/09 to 17,980 in 2010/11 before rising again to 24,870 in 2011/12. 35 Number of homes (000s) 30 25 20 15 10 Housing Provision Survey 5 London Development Database 2010/11 2008/09 2006/07 2003 2004/05 2001 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1987 0 Source: GLA, Department of Communities and Local Government 2.08 New housing supply has recovered far more quickly in London than in the rest of England 300 25 250 20 200 15 150 10 100 0 /1 10 20 /0 08 20 /0 06 20 /0 04 20 1 0 9 50 7 5 Rest of England net additions (000s) 30 5 London net additions (000s) Department for Communities and Local Government, Net supply of housing: 2011/12, England Source: Department for Communities and Local Government •Net conventional housing supply in London recovered in 2011/12 to 24,870, up 39 per cent from 2010/11 and twelve per cent below its peak in 2008/09. •Supply in the rest of England has yet to recover much of its drop following a peak of 179,800 in 2007/08. Net conventional completions were 110,030 in 2011/12, up six per cent from 2010/11 but still 39 per cent down from their peak. HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 2.09 Most new housing supply is concentrated in inner London Net conventional housing supply by borough and tenure, 2007/08 to 2010/11 9,300 4,650 930 •Net conventional housing supply in London in the four years 2007/08 to 2010/11 totalled just over 100,000. •During this period new housing supply was concentrated in Inner London, particularly in Tower Hamlets (9,270 new homes), Islington (6,160) and Hackney (5,620). The lowest level of new supply was in the City of London (330 new homes), followed by Kingston upon Thames with 870. •Across London 37 per cent of new supply was affordable and 19 per cent for social rent. The affordable share varied from one per cent in the City and 16 per cent in Redbridge to 52 per cent in Brent. Market Intermediate Social Source: GLA 2.10 The proportion of family sized homes has increased sharply in the last three years Family sized homes as a proportion of new build completions in London, 1991/92 to 2011/12 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 Housing associations 5 2 0 /1 11 20 8 /1 09 6 /0 20 07 4 /0 20 05 /0 20 2 0 /0 03 20 01 20 /0 99 6 /9 19 97 4 /9 19 95 /9 19 2 /9 93 19 91 19 8 Private 0 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government •The supply of new homes with three or more bedrooms in London fell as a proportion of total supply from 35 per cent in 1996/97 to just 12 per cent in 2008/09, but has since risen to 23 per cent in 2011/12. •The proportion of family sized homes rose from 11 per cent in 2008/09 to 22 per cent in 2011/12 in the private sector, while for homes built by housing associations the proportion of family sized homes rose from 13 to 26 per cent. 37 2.11 Just over half of all homes in London are flats now, after they accounted for most of the growth over the last decade Percentage of total Mix of housing types in London in 2001 and 2011 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Share of stock 2001 Share of stock, 2011 •Houses (including bungalows) accounted for 52 per cent of London’s housing in 2001 and flats (including maisonettes and apartments) the remaining 48 per cent. •By the time of the 2011 Census the pattern had reversed with flats comprising 52 per cent and houses 48 per cent. •Between 2001 and 2011 flats accounted for 84 per cent of the growth in housing in London. Share of stock change, 2001-11 Houses or bungalows Flats, maisonettes and apartments Source: Office for National Statistics 2.12 New homes tend to be built at much higher densities in London than in other regions Average density of new homes built by region (dwellings per hectare) 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 2000 h ut So ut h Ea W es t st n do So d Lo n lan ds ng fE st o Ea W es t M id an id l 2005 lan ds r be m st M Ea Hu W es t Yo rk s & rth No No rth Ea st 0 2010 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government •New homes in London were built at an average density of 120 dwellings per hectare in 2010, compared with a national average of 43. •The average density more than doubled in London between 2000 and 2010, the largest regional increase in both proportional and relative terms. •In every other region the average density of new homes in 2010 was between 34 and 41 dwellings per hectare. HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 2.13 Net planning permissions for new homes in London have averaged around 45,000 over the last three years Trend in net conventional housing approvals in London. •The number of net new planning permissions for new homes in London averaged around 52,000 between 2003/04 and 2006/07 and then spiked to 80,200 in 2007/08, just before the credit crunch and subsequent recession. •Planning permissions fell sharply from their peak in 2007/08 but in the last three years have not been far below the 2003/04 to 2006/07 average, with an average of 45,000 net new approvals in 2008/09 to 2010/11 90 Number of approvals (000s) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 1 0 /1 10 20 /1 9 /0 09 20 08 /0 8 20 7 /0 07 20 6 06 20 /0 5 /0 05 20 04 20 20 03 /0 4 0 Source: GLA 2.14 There are around 170,000 homes in the planning pipeline, with the largest numbers in inner east London Net conventional homes not started or under construction by borough, March 2010. 24,000 12,000 2,400 Source: GLA Not started Under construction •There are 170,460 homes in London with outstanding planning permission, of which 53 percent are under construction and 47 per cent not yet started. •A a third of this pipeline is in three east London boroughs: Greenwich (with 23,080 homes), Tower Hamlets (19,490) and Newham (12,370). •The smallest pipeline is in the City of London (530 homes), followed by Kingston upon Thames (1,230 homes) and Sutton (1,250). 39 2.15 In Inner London more people support new housing supply than oppose it, while the opposite is true in Outer London Support and opposition for more homes being built in the local area, by region. Inner London North East West Midlands South West East Midlands North West •Support for or opposition to more homes being built in the local area varies widely between regions and particularly so within London. •In Outer London nearly 60 per cent of respondents say they would oppose more homes being built in their area, while Inner London is the only part of the country where support for new housing supply is substantially higher than opposition. South East Yorks & Humber East Outer London 0 50 Percentage of respondents Support Neither Oppose 100 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 2.16 Just over two per cent of homes in London are empty, the lowest figure on record Empty properties as a proportion of all homes in London and England, 1991 to 2011. 6 Percentage of homes 5 4 3 2 England 1 •The housing crash of the early 1990s was marked by a peak in empty homes at 5.3 per cent of all homes in London. Since then the rate of empty homes has fallen much faster in London than in England as a whole. •The proportion of homes standing empty in London was 2.3 per cent, down from 2.4 per cent in 2010 and the lowest figure for at least the last twenty years. •The proportion of homes in London which have been empty for more than six months is lower still, at less than one per cent. London 11 09 07 20 20 05 20 03 20 01 20 99 20 19 97 19 95 19 93 19 19 91 0 Source: GLA, Department for Communities and Local Government HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 2.17 Inner London boroughs tend to have higher rates of empty homes Empty homes by borough, 2011 1.2 – 1.5 1.5 – 2.0 2.0 – 2.5 •Empty homes are scattered unevenly across London, the rate depending on factors including the quality of the local housing stock, the strength of the housing market, the progress of major regeneration schemes and the effectiveness of efforts to bring empty homes back into use. •Inner London boroughs tend to have higher rates of empty homes, with Westminster the highest at 3.4 per cent of total stock, although Wandsworth, its neighbour across the river, had the lowest reported rate at 1.2 per cent. 2.5 – 3.0 3.0 – 3.5 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 2.18 London has a relatively low proportion of empty homes in comparison with other regions Empty properties as a proportion of all homes, by tenure and region, 2011 Percentage of homes empty 6 5 4 3 2 1 st d h ut So h Ea lan ng ut So W W es t M est id lan Ea ds st M id lan ds Yo No r rk s a th E as nd Hu t m be No r rth W e En st gl an d Ea st of E Lo n do n 0 •London has the lowest overall rate of empty homes of any region in England, primarily due to a relatively low rate of vacancy in the private sector, where 2.4 per cent of homes are empty compared to 3.5 per cent in England as a whole. •Although the rate of vacancy in council and housing association homes is lower than in the private sector (1.8 and 1.3 per cent respectively), in both cases the rate in London is slightly higher than the rate in England as a whole. Private sector All tenures Council Department for Communities and Local Government Housing association 41 2.19 More than half of the second homes recorded in London are located in six boroughs Number of dwellings recorded as second homes for council tax purposes, 2012 Kensington & Chelsea 7,474 Westminster 7,436 Others 25,704 •In 2012 there were 53,150 homes in London recorded as second homes for council tax purposes, 1.6 per cent of all homes in London. •By far the most second homes were recorded in Kensington and Chelsea and Westminster, which accounted for a quarter of the London total between them. •Three more boroughs (Tower Hamlets, Camden and Barnet) accounted for a further quarter of the London total, with the remaining 27 boroughs accounting for less than half. Tower Hamlets 5,025 Barnet 2,678 Camden 4,836 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 2.20 Average private rents vary widely across London Median monthly rent for a two bedroom home by London borough, year to June 2012 0-950 950-1,050 1,050-1,265 Source: Valuation Office Agency 1,265-1,500 •The highest average private sector rents in London are found in north and west Inner London. •Rents are generally lower in outer London, particularly in the east and south. •The median monthly rent for a two bedroom property ranges from £800 in Bexley to £2,600 in Kensington and Chelsea. The median monthly rent is £1,520 in Inner London, £1,080 in Outer London and £1,230 in London as a whole. 1,500-2,600 HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 2.21 Average rents for two-bedroom homes grew faster in Outer London in the last year Percentage change in median monthly rent for a two-bedroom home, June 2011 to June 2012 % Change 0-3 3-5 5-6 6-10 •While the level of median monthly private rents for two bedroom homes is higher in Inner London boroughs, the rate of change over the last year was higher in Outer London at 11 per cent compared to 3 per cent in Inner London. •At borough level the biggest increases were in Ealing (14 per cent) and Kingston (12 per cent). Rents did not fall in any borough but were static (at least in nominal terms) in Southwark, Brent and Havering. 10-14 Source: Valuation Office Agency 2.22 Average private rents in London have both risen and fallen in real terms over the last decade Annual percentage change in average private rents and house prices in London compared to inflation 20 10 -10 11 20 09 20 07 20 05 20 20 03 0 •Average private sector rents in London have fluctuated around the general rate of inflation (as measured by the national Retail Price Index) over the last decade, falling in real terms in 2003 and 2004, rising in 2005 to 2007, falling again in 2008 and 2009, and rising in 2011 and 2012. Between 2002 and 2012 real-terms growth in average rents has been slightly negative. •House price growth in London has been stronger, with the average price rising by around twenty per cent in real terms over the decade. Private rents RPI inflation House prices -20 Source: GLA, Office for National Statistics and Valuation Office Agency 43 2.23 Average private rents in London are twice as high as the national average Median monthly private rents by region and number of bedrooms (12 months to June 2012) 2,500 2,000 1,500 •Median monthly rents in London are roughly twice the national average for each size home. •The average rent for a one bedroom home in London (£995) exceeds the average rent for a three bedroom home in every other region, which ranges from £500 in the North East to £850 in the South East. 1,000 500 4+ bedrooms So Eas t ut h W e So s ut t h Ea st Lo nd on En gl an d t M ds id lan ds t lan M id Ea st W es r W es be m rth No Hu Yo r ks & No rth Ea st 0 3 bedrooms 2 bedrooms 1 bedroom Source: Valuation Office Agency 2.24 Around 850,000 tenants in London receive housing benefit, most of them social housing tenants Housing benefit recipients in by region and tenure, August 2012 Social Private 500 400 300 200 Source: Department for Work and Pensions London North West South East West Midlands Yorks & Humber East South West 0 East Midlands 100 North East Number of recipients (000s) 600 •In August 2012 the number of housing benefit recipients in London was 848,180, by far the largest total of any English region and equivalent to a quarter of London households (although a household can include more than one benefit recipient). •567,430 recipients in London, or two thirds of the total, are in social housing, with the remaining 280,750 in the private rented sector. HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 2.25 People in employment accounted for most of the growth in London’s housing benefit caseload in recent years Housing benefit caseload in London by tenure and employment status, November 2008 and August 2012 Benefit recipients (000s) 600 500 Not in employment In employment 400 300 200 100 0 Nov-08 Aug-12 Nov-08 Private rent •There are 280,000 housing benefit recipients in London’s private rented sector, equivalent to a third of the private rented market if we assume each household includes just one benefit unit. •There are almost 570,000 housing benefits in social housing in London, equivalent to around three quarters of the sector. •The housing benefit caseload has grown in both rented sectors since the data bega in November 2008. Recipients in employment accounted for two thirds of the growth in private rented housing and all of the growth in social housing. Aug-12 Social rent Source: Department for Work and Pensions 2.26 The number of privately renting housing benefit recipients in London has increased in recent years, but at a declining rate Percentage monthly change in housing benefit recipients in London by tenure (three-month rolling average) 3.0 2.5 Private Social 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Feb 09 Feb 10 Feb 11 -0.5 Source: Department for Work and Pensions Feb 12 •In early 2009 the number of private rented sector tenants in London on housing benefit was growing by around two per cent a month, but since then growth has slowed and in the last few months the number of privately renting recipients even fell slightly. •By contrast, the number of housing benefit recipients in social housing has grown much more slowly and sporadically, but in the last few months has overtaken growth in the private sector 45 2.27 London has far more homes in multiple occupation than any other region Estimated number of homes in multiple occupation by region, 2009 •Homes in multiple occupation (HMOs) are properties that accommodate two or more distinct households which share facilities such as kitchens or bathrooms. •London boroughs estimate that there are nearly 150,000 HMOs in London, more than a third of the national total. •While clusters of HMOs have been linked to ‘studentification’ in other parts of the country, in London they accommodate a more diverse mix of residents. Number of HMOs (000s) 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 n do st Lo n Ea So ut h W es h ut So rth t t r W es be ks Yo r No Hu gl & En of st Ea m an d ds lan ds id lan M Ea st id tM W es No rth Ea st 0 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 2.28 Most homes in London were built before the second world war, with implications for stock condition and energy efficiency Estimated dwelling age by tenure, London 2010 Housing association 800 Local authority 700 Private rented 600 Owner occupied 500 400 300 200 Post 2002 1996-2002 1991-1995 1981-1990 1975-1980 1965-1974 1945-1964 1919-1944 1900-1918 0 1850-1899 100 Pre 1850 Number of homes built (000s) 900 •London’s housing stock is relatively old, with 15 per cent of it dating from the 19th century or earlier, and over half from before the second world war. Just ten per cent of London’s homes date from 1991 or later. •The distribution of dwelling ages varies between tenures, with just one third of owner occupied or private rented homes built after the war, compared to four fifths of council housing and two thirds of housing association homes. •The relative age of London’s housing stock makes it more expensive to maintain or upgrade to modern standards. Source: GLA, Department for Communities and Local Government HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 2.29 Around a quarter of homes in London fall below the Decent Homes standard, down from a third two years ago Proportion of homes below the Decent Homes standard by region, 2008 and 2010 (with confidence intervals) •The official Decent Homes standard sets minimum standards in terms of thermal comfort, state of repair, age and layout of kitchens and bathrooms, and meeting the legal minimum standard of fitness for housing. •In 2008 one third of homes in London (across all tenures) were estimated to fall below the standard, but by 2010 this had fallen to one quarter. In both years the London figure was in line with the national average and similar to most other regions. 50 2008 2010 40 30 20 10 d an t gl h ut So En W es ds t lan W es id tM st ds rth No W es Yo rk Ea st M id lan Ea n do r be Lo n st m Ea s& Hu h ut So No rth Ea st 0 Source: GLA, Department for Communities and Local Government 2.30 In London, privately rented homes are more likely to fall below the Decent Homes standard than those in other tenures Proportion of homes in London below the Decent Homes standard by tenure, 2008 and 2010 (with confidence intervals) •While the proportion of homes in London below the Decent Homes standard fell from one third to one quarter between 2008 and 2010, the only statistically significant changes by individual tenure were for council rented and owner occupied homes. •Rates of non-decent housing are highest in London’s private rented sector, where around one third of homes still fall below the standard. All tenures Housing association Council rented Private rented Owner occupied 0 10 2008 20 30 40 50 2010 Source: GLA, Department for Communities and Local Government 47 2.31 The number of social rented homes in London below the Decent Homes standard has fallen sharply since 2005 Number of council and housing association homes which fail the Decent Homes Standard as at 31 March each year Thousands of homes below standard 250 200 Council 150 100 50 •In 2005 just over 260,000 social rented homes in London were below the Decent Homes standard, most of them council housing. Since then the number of housing association homes below the standard has fallen by 85 per cent (as of 2012) and the number of council homes below the standard by 55 per cent (as of 2011). •In March 2011 there were just over 100,000 council or housing association homes below the standard, a number which is expected to fall when 2012 figures are published for council homes. Housing association 0 2005 2007 2009 2011 Source: Department for Communities and Local Government, Tenant Services Authority and Homes and Communities Agency 2.32 A relatively small proportion of households in London require a home adaptation due to disability, but more of them need to move to satisfy it Proportion of households requiring home adaptation for disability by region, 2008/09 – 10/11 •Around 180,000 households, six per cent of all households in London, include someone whose disability requires adaptation to the homes. This is a relatively low rate compared to other regions, probably due in large part to London’s relatively young population. •Twelve per cent of households in London who require a home adaptation are seeking to move to a home more suitable for coping with disability. This figure is relatively high in London and compares to a national rate of eight per cent. 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 d an st gl Ea No rth En ds r id lan be m Hu Ea st M W es t Yo rk s& h W es t rth No So ut ds st W es tM id lan Ea st Ea h ut So Lo nd on 0 Require home adaption due to disability Of which, seeking to move to a more suitable home Source: Department for Communities and Local Government HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 2.33 London’s homes are a major source of the city’s carbon emissions CO2 emissions from housing in London, 2008/9 Cooking 100 80 Percentage of total •London’s domestic buildings account for 36 per cent of the City’s overall CO2 emissions (excluding aviation). •Space heating and cooling accounts for 61 per cent of total emissions from housing, compared with 18 per cent from hot water heating, 18 per cent from lighting and appliances, and three per cent from cooking. •The amount of energy used for cooling is expected to increase as summers in London get hotter, while the amount of energy required for space and water heating in new homes should reduce as new homes are built to be more energy and water efficient. Workplaces Lighting and appliances Hot water heating 60 Housing 40 20 Space heating and cooling Transport 0 All sectors Housing only Source: GLA 2.34 London has significantly lower per capita carbon emissions than the rest of the country Per capita domestic carbon emissions by source, London and UK 2010 London UK - 2 4 6 Tonnes of CO2 per capita Industry and commercial Domestic Source: Department for Energy and Climate Change 8 •London’s per capita carbon emissions amounted to 5.6 tonnes in 2010, well below the UK average of 6.6 tonnes. •The biggest difference between London and the UK is in emissions from road transport (1 tonne per capita in London compared to 1.6 in the UK as a whole), while emissions from industry and commerce (excluding power stations of national importance) are relatively similar. •Emissions from London’s housing are lower (despite its age) because it has many more flats and terraced homes, which are more energy efficient than detached homes. Road transport 49 2.35 On average, private sector homes are significantly less energy efficient than affordable homes Energy efficiency rating band by tenure, London 2010 Total Housing association Council Private rented Owner occupied 0 50 Percentage of homes in tenure B C D E F 100 •The energy efficiency of housing is measured by the Standard Assessment Procedure (SAP) which uses a banding system in which A-band homes are the most energy efficient. •In 2010 around forty per cent of homes in London were in bands E to G, but this proportion varied widely by tenure, from around twenty per cent of housing association homes to around half of owner occupied homes. •At the other end of the scale, around a third of housing association homes were in bands B to C compared to around ten per cent of owner occupied homes. G Source: Department for Communities and Local Government 2.36 The last four years have seen rapid growth in the number of new cavity wall and loft insulations in London Cumulative cavity wall and loft insulations in London, 2008/09 to 2011/12 Rate per 10,000 households 600 500 Loft insulation 400 300 200 100 Cavity wall insulation 0 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 Source: Department for Energy and Climate Change •The number of homes in London receiving insulation through schemes such as the Carbon Emission Reduction Target (CERT), Warm Front and the Community Energy Savings Programme (CESP) has grown rapidly in recent years, from less than one per cent in 2008/09 to cumulative figures of five per cent (for loft insulation) and three per cent (for cavity wall insulation) in 2011/12. •London’s home insulation is still relatively low compared to other regions, due to a combination of higher costs and more ‘hard to treat’ homes such as flats or solid-wall properties in London. HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 2.37 Around one in ten London households are in fuel poverty, a lower rate than other regions Proportion of households in fuel poverty by region, 2010 •According to the government’s preferred measure of fuel poverty, around 330,000 households in London, or eleven per cent of the total, were living in fuel poverty in 2010. This is the lowest fuel poverty rate of any region in England. •The recent review of fuel poverty measures led by John Hills found that London also has the lowest average ‘fuel poverty gap’, defined as ‘the amounts by which the assessed energy needs of fuel poor households exceed the threshold for reasonable costs’. 25 20 15 10 5 ds lan W es tM id Ea st t W es No rth rth r m be No ds Hu & ks Yo r Ea st M id lan an d gl t Ea st of En h h W es Ea st ut So ut So Lo n do n 0 Source: Department for Energy and Climate Change 51 Ap pendices HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N A1.1 London boroughs Enfield Barnet Harrow Brent Hillingdon 14 Haringey 8 Hounslow 10 11 9 3 5 7 13 Camden 12 Ealing Redbridge 2 1 Newham Greenwich Bexley 4 Lewisham Merton 6 Bromley Sutton Havering Croydon 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Barking and Dagenham Tower Hamlets Southwark Lambeth Wandsworth Kingston upon Thames Richmond upon Thames Hammersmith and Fulham Kensington and Chelsea Westminster City of London Islington Hackney Waltham Forest Source: GLA A1.2 Proportion of households who owned their home in 2001 by Middle Super Output Area Source: Office for National Statistics Proportion of households 80 to 96% 67 to 80% 52 to 67% 36 to 52% 8 to 36% 53 A1.3 Proportion of households in social housing in 2001 by Middle Super Output Area Proportion of households 51 to 85% 33 to 51% 20 to 33% 11 to 20% 1 to 11% Source: Office for National Statistics A1.4 Proportion of households in privately rented homes in 2001, by Middle Super Output Area Proportion of households 80 to 96% 67 to 80% 52 to 67% 36 to 52% 8 to 36% Source: Office for National Statistics HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N A1.5 Gross residential density (persons per hectare) in London in 2011, by Middle Super Output Area Gross population density (Persons per hectare) 150 to 250 100 to 150 50 to 100 20 to 50 2 to 20 Source: Office for National Statistics A1.6 Population of London, 1801 to 2011 10,000 Outer London 9,000 Rest of Inner London Population (000s) 8,000 City of London 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 Source: Office for National Statistics. Data provided to GLA 11 20 01 20 81 19 61 19 39 19 21 19 01 19 81 18 61 18 41 18 21 18 18 01 0 55 A1.7 Population density in London, 1801 to 2011 500 City of London 450 Rest of Inner London Density (population per hectare) 400 Outer London 350 London 300 250 200 150 100 50 11 20 01 20 81 19 61 19 39 19 21 19 01 19 81 18 61 18 41 18 21 18 18 01 0 Source: Office for National Statistics. Data provided to GLA. A1.8 Median age of homes in London by Middle Super Output Area Period home built (median) Pre 1900 1900-1918 1919-1929 1930-1939 1945-1954 1955-1964 1965-1972 1973-1982 1983-1992 1993-1999 2000-2009 Source: Valuation Office Agency, Council tax statistics 2012. HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N A1.9 Land owned by the GLA Source: GLA Housing and Land Directorate 57 A1.10 Household tenure by London borough, 2001 and 2011 Owner occupied 2011 % 2001 % Borough Barking and 37,628 57 Dagenham Barnet 84,518 68 Bexley 70,599 80 Brent 55,927 57 Bromley 95,806 77 Camden 31,967 36 City of London 2,148 52 Croydon 95,525 70 Ealing 74,375 64 Enfield 77,994 72 Greenwich 45,422 50 Hackney 27,613 33 Hammersmith 33,157 45 and Fulham Haringey 42,240 47 Harrow 59,467 77 Havering 72,608 80 Hillingdon 69,674 73 Hounslow 50,890 62 Islington 26,451 33 Kensington and 34,613 45 Chelsea Kingston-upon43,917 73 Thames Lambeth 44,028 38 Lewisham 53,831 51 Merton 54,313 70 Newham 40,048 45 Redbridge 69,488 77 Richmond52,766 71 upon-Thames Southwark 33,235 32 Sutton 56,777 75 Tower Hamlets 22,742 30 Waltham Forest 52,918 60 Wandsworth 60,203 53 Westminster 31,831 36 City of London 1,704,719 58 Inner London 484,107 41 Outer London 1,220,612 69 33,230 48 79,541 67,908 48,960 93,821 32,042 1,868 87,085 65,594 70,549 45,299 26,553 59 73 44 72 33 43 60 53 59 45 26 Private rented 2001 % 2011 % Social rented 2001 % 2011 % 3,850 6 12,328 18 24,933 38 23,459 34 20,950 5,750 18,172 10,756 23,134 1,047 18,177 19,616 11,052 9,316 13,379 17 6 19 9 26 25 13 17 10 10 16 34,854 10,556 33,181 17,393 31,434 1,573 30,472 34,182 26,591 20,004 29,449 18,957 12,191 23,881 17,815 34,241 938 23,339 22,277 19,299 36,617 43,669 19,334 13,377 26,591 18,425 32,295 725 25,887 22,472 21,073 34,662 44,430 26 11 30 13 32 36 21 28 22 20 29 15 14 24 14 38 23 17 19 18 40 52 14 14 24 14 33 17 18 18 18 34 44 28,654 36 15,934 22 25,555 32 24,630 33 25,133 31 41,136 55,822 72,284 64,291 49,807 27,771 19,565 9,179 5,049 9,439 11,690 13,821 32,095 18,324 10,337 18,141 22,206 25,217 27,890 8,798 13,022 16,146 19,729 40,488 27,242 8,923 13,799 16,752 21,682 39,342 40 66 74 64 53 30 22 12 6 10 14 17 31 22 11 18 23 27 31 11 14 17 24 50 27 11 14 17 23 42 28,707 37 21,262 28 28,108 36 20,565 27 19,271 25 41,196 65 9,688 16 14,312 22 6,832 11 7,502 12 44,872 50,664 47,360 35,628 63,986 35 44 60 35 65 51,351 64 37,783 53,763 26,935 49,379 61,304 33,172 1,618,315 477,089 1,141,226 31 69 27 51 47 31 50 35 60 23,660 14,054 12,202 16,385 11,858 20 13 16 18 13 12,855 17 14,323 7,152 13,105 14,086 27,169 29,408 467,083 246,246 220,837 14 9 17 16 24 34 16 21 12 38,133 28,216 19,503 34,570 22,657 29 24 25 34 23 17,440 22 28,493 12,429 32,964 25,102 41,317 41,949 819,085 419,073 400,012 24 16 33 26 32 40 25 31 21 48,983 38,190 11,219 33,505 9,354 42 36 14 37 10 8,930 12 56,639 11,749 41,236 21,393 26,551 26,365 790,371 463,890 326,481 Notes: Owner occupied includes shared ownership. Private rented includes ‘Other rented’. The table excludes those recorded as ‘living rent free’. Source: Office for National Statistics, Census 2001 table UV063 and Census 2011 table QS402EW. 54 16 53 24 23 30 27 39 18 45,619 36,052 11,102 30,092 11,289 35 31 14 30 11 10,051 13 52,644 11,422 40,106 21,376 26,516 27,348 785,993 446,815 339,178 44 15 40 22 20 26 24 33 18 HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N A1.11 Net housing supply by borough, 2010/11 Borough Barking and Dagenham Barnet Bexley Brent Bromley Camden City of London Croydon Ealing Enfield Greenwich Hackney Hammersmith and Fulham Haringey Harrow Havering Hillingdon Hounslow Islington Kensington and Chelsea Kingston upon Thames Lambeth Lewisham Merton Newham Redbridge Richmond upon Thames Southwark Sutton Tower Hamlets Waltham Forest Wandsworth Westminster London Conventional completions Non selfcontained completions Vacancies returning to use Total housing supply Net affordable conventional supply Affordable as % of total conventional 339 679 168 393 672 538 98 1,122 264 455 1,182 391 457 0 0 0 -9 -34 138 54 7 31 8 2 -5 -20 89 135 -109 -34 82 110 -22 155 282 -42 -279 88 114 428 814 59 350 720 786 130 1,284 577 421 905 474 551 143 224 60 184 198 142 2 385 73 220 775 221 150 42% 33% 36% 47% 29% 26% 2% 34% 28% 48% 66% 57% 33% 322 440 69 303 667 512 168 136 1,342 728 356 787 350 320 1,444 327 1,296 425 481 746 17,977 -7 0 0 -72 0 752 246 121 0 -12 0 -17 -600 -18 235 0 1,192 2 -21 -122 1,851 93 41 127 116 489 133 -3 328 550 2 -11 193 120 -52 471 189 684 105 108 630 4,882 408 481 196 347 1,156 1,397 411 585 1,892 718 345 963 -130 250 2,150 516 3,172 532 568 1,254 24,710 49 167 0 175 349 -43 61 65 744 339 48 370 111 45 587 222 292 248 109 152 6,867 15% 38% 0% 58% 52% -8% 36% 48% 55% 47% 13% 47% 32% 14% 41% 68% 23% 58% 23% 20% 38% Notes: Conventional housing supply comprises new build and conversions. Vacancies returning to use include only those that were vacant for more than six months. A negative figure indicates an increase in the number of long-term vacant homes. Source: GLA, London Plan Annual Monitoring Report 8, 2012. 59 A1.12 Affordable housing delivery by borough Borough Barking and Dagenham Barnet Bexley Brent Bromley Camden City of London Croydon Ealing Enfield Greenwich Hackney Hammersmith and Fulham Haringey Harrow Havering Hillingdon Hounslow Islington Kensington and Chelsea Kingston upon Thames Lambeth Lewisham Merton Newham Redbridge Richmond upon Thames Southwark Sutton Tower Hamlets Waltham Forest Wandsworth Westminster London 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 Total 2009/10 to 2011/12 Proportion social rented (%) Proportion intermediate (%) 180 210 280 560 320 220 10 1,030 400 210 390 1,260 570 270 390 310 610 500 230 0 750 260 550 1,340 690 60 370 660 350 850 390 230 0 580 670 890 490 1,020 210 820 1,260 940 2,020 1,210 680 10 2,360 1,330 1,650 2,220 2,970 840 51 68 67 69 64 74 0 64 62 62 58 54 29 49 32 33 31 36 26 100 36 38 38 42 46 71 300 290 100 410 440 320 30 80 700 340 90 700 330 60 640 130 1,990 250 270 470 13,560 270 310 170 380 670 90 30 80 1,010 520 110 580 250 40 820 230 1,260 460 230 550 14,010 480 400 460 640 330 890 60 110 680 900 470 810 30 240 760 260 1,800 630 420 180 17,240 1,050 1,000 730 1,430 1,440 1,300 120 270 2,390 1,760 670 2,090 610 340 2,220 620 5,050 1,340 920 1,200 44,810 55 59 56 61 53 66 75 67 68 64 54 52 57 68 63 65 70 65 28 64 61 45 41 44 39 47 34 25 33 32 36 46 48 43 32 37 35 30 35 72 36 39 Notes: See DCLG statistical release on affordable housing supply for full notes and definitions. Source: Department of Communities and Local Government, Affordable housing supply statistics. HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N Appendix 2: Sources and notes 1.01 GLA, Analysis of Census data. Average household size in 1951 is for all UK and thus is likely to overstate the actual average for London. Figures from 1961 are for London only. 1.02Office for National Statistics, Census 2011. 1.03Office for National Statistics, Census 2011. 1.04GLA, Intelligence Update 01-2011: 2010 Round Demographic Projections using the 2009 SHLAA, 2011. 1.09GLA and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA analysis of DCLG English Housing Survey data, 2010/11. The income variable used is household gross annual income, including income from all household members (not just the household reference person and their partner). Note that confidence intervals are not shown for this and the following three charts for formatting reasons, but as the figures are taken from a limited single-year sample they should be treated as broad estimates. 1.10GLA 1.05Office for National Statistics, Mid-year estimates components of change analysis, 2012. The figures for each individual year were the best estimates made at the time, and have not been revised in light of more recent data such as the 2011 Census. 1.06GLA and Office for National Statistics, GLA analysis of historical Census data. ‘Private rented’ includes those households renting with a job or business. Households renting from housing associations were included with private renting in 1961 and 1971, but as housing association properties amounted to only 4% of the total in 1981 this is unlikely to make a large difference to the trends shown. 1.07GLA and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA analysis of DCLG Survey of English Housing and English Housing Survey data. 1.08Office for National Statistics, Census 2011. and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA analysis of DCLG English Housing Survey data, 2010/11. 1.11GLA and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA analysis of DCLG English Housing Survey data, 2010/11. 1.12GLA and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA analysis of DCLG English Housing Survey data, 2010/11. 1.13GLA and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA analysis of DCLG English Housing Survey data, 2010/11. The figure for satisfaction with accommodation is calculated by summing those who answered ‘very satisfied’ and ‘fairly satisfied’. The figure for satisfaction with current tenure is calculated by summing those who ‘strongly agree’ that they are satisfied and those who ‘tend to agree’. 61 1.14Department for Communities and Local Government, Public attitudes to housing in England: Report based on the results from the British Social Attitudes survey, 2011. 1.15GLA, Annual London Survey 2011. and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA analysis of DCLG English Housing Survey data, 2010/11. Equivalent figures for England as a whole are presented in DCLG’s 2010/11 English Housing Survey household report. quartile ratio as in previous editions of Housing in London, because DCLG’s table showing lower quartile ratios for London contains an error. 1.23Council of Mortgage Lenders, Mortgage lending statistics. 1.16GLA 1.17GLA and Land Registry, GLA analysis of Land Registry price paid data. The Land Registry publishes price paid data on a monthly basis under the Open Government License. 1.18English Heritage and London School of Economics, An assessment of the effects of conservation areas on value, 2012. 1.24GLA, Council of Mortgage Lenders and Office for National Statistics, Calculated by GLA from ONS House Price Index table 24 and CML statistics on median deposit requirements. 1.25Council of Mortgage Lenders, Mortgage lending statistics. 1.26Council of Mortgage Lenders, News and views, October 2012. 1.27Ministry of Justice, Mortgage and landlord possession statistics, 2012. 1.28Department 1.19GLA and Office for National Statistics, GLA analysis of ONS House Price Index data, 2012. This time series has been constructed by the GLA using the ONS quarterly mixadjusted house price index for London and quarterly Retail Price Index data. An exponential trend curve has been fitted. for National Statistics, House Price Index, 2012. for Communities and Local Government and Council of Mortgage Lenders, Housing live table 584, and CML statistics table PT1. 1.29GLA and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA analysis of DCLG English Housing Survey data, 2008/09 to 2010/11. 1.20Office House Price Indices, 2012. The format of this chart was adapted from a chart in the IPPR report ‘Affordable capital? Housing in London’. 1.30GLA, Seaside and Country Homes programme monitoring data. 1.21Nationwide, 1.31GLA, Seaside and Country Homes programme monitoring data. 1.32GLA 1.22Department for Communities and Local Government, Housing live table 577. This chart uses the ratio of median prices to median earnings, rather than the lower and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA analysis of DCLG CORE data on general needs lettings, 2011/12. HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 1.33GLA and Department for Communities and Local Government. GLA analysis of DCLG English Housing Survey data, 2008/09 to 2010/11. 1.34Department for Communities and Local Government, Statutory Homelessness Statistics, 2012. 1.35Department for Communities and Local Government, Housing live table 790. 1.36Office for National Statistics and Department for Communities and Local Government, Census 2011 and DCLG Statutory Homelessness Statistics, 2011. for Communities and Local Government, P1E data on statutory homelessness. 1.43Broadway, Street to home - Annual report, 2011/12. 1.44Great Britain Historical GIS Project and Office for National Statistics, Data for 1931 to 1991 is copyright of the Great Britain Historical GIS Project (run by Humphrey Southall and the University of Plymouth), data for 2001 and 2011 is from the respective ONS Census releases. The measure of overcrowding used is ‘persons per room’, as distinct from the bedroom standard used elsewhere in ‘Housing in London’. According to this measure, households with over 1 persons per room are overcrowded and those with over 1.5 persons per room are severely overcrowded. 1.37Department 1.38Department for Communities and Local Government, Housing live table 779. Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA analysis of DCLG parliamentary written answers and statements 18 May, 2009 for years 1997/98 to 2007/08, DCLG Housing Strategy Statistical Appendix and Regulatory Statistical Return data for 2008/09 to 2010/11. 1.45Department for Communities and Local Government, Data provided to GLA, 2012. The measure of overcrowding used is the bedroom standard. Rolling three-year averages are used to overcome the problem of small sample sizes. 1.39GLA, 1.40Broadway, 2.01GLA Street to home - Annual report, 2011/12. 1.42Broadway, and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA analysis of DCLG English Housing Survey data, 2008/09 to 2010/11. The measure of overcrowding used is the bedroom standard. Rolling three-year averages are used to overcome the problem of small sample sizes. Street to home - Annual report, 2011/12. 1.41Broadway, 1.40GLA Street to home - Annual report, 2011/12. Note that the base figure for this graph excludes 426 people for whom the nationality is missing or not known. and Department for Communities and Local Government, Data for 1961 to 1969 from Annual Abstracts of Greater London Statistics, data for 1970 to 1989 provided by DCLG, and data from 1990/91 is from DCLG Housing Live Table 232. These figures are gross in the sense that they do not account for homes demolished or replaced. As stated in the text they also exclude new supply from conversions and changes of use and are 63 therefore an undercount of total new housing supply in London. 2.02Department for Communities and Local Government, Data provided to DCLG. As shown in 2.03, these figures include acquisitions of existing homes and so are not the same as the growth in the overall stock of housing. 2.03Department for Communities and Local Government, Data provided to DCLG. Each series excludes minor categories which are not entirely new build or acquisitions, e.g. PFI and ‘other HCA schemes’. 2.08Department for Communities and Local Government, Net supply of housing 2011/12. Note, the London total is estimated by summing the London borough figures, as DCLG no longer publish any regional totals. 2.09GLA, Analysis of data from London Development Database, 2012. 2.10Department for Communities and Local Government, Housing live table 254. 2.11Office for National Statistics, Census 2011. 2.12Department 2.04Department for Communities and Local Government, Housing live tables 1006 to 1007. for Communities and Local Government, Land use change statistics table P231, 2011. 2.13GLA, 2.05GLA and Homes and Communities Agency, London affordable housing statistics 2008/09 to 2011/12. Figures for 2008/09 to 2010/11 refer to homes ‘sponsored’ by London boroughs as recorded by the Homes and Communities Agency, and include a small number of homes located outside London. Figures for 2011/12 refer to homes located in London but exclude a small number of homes sponsored by authorities outside London. 2.06Department for Communities and Local Government, Department for Communities and Local Government, Housing live table 648. 2.07GLA and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA Housing provision survey and London Development Database, DCLG Net supply of housing statistics 2011/12. London Plan Annual Monitoring Report, 2012. 2.14GLA, London Plan Annual Monitoring Report, 2012. 2.15Department for Communities and Local Government, Public attitudes to housing in England: Report based on the results from the British Social Attitudes survey, 2011. 2.16GLA and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA Analysis of historic data provided by DCLG and Housing Strategy Statistical Appendix data. 2.17Department for Communities and Local Government, Housing live tables 615 (empty homes) and 100 (total stock by local authority area). 2.18Department for Communities and Local Government, Housing live tables 615 (empty homes) and 100 (total stock by local authority area). HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N 2.19Department for Communities and Local Government, Council Tax Base 2012. 2.20Valuation Office Agency, Private rental market statistics, 2012. 2.21Valuation Office Agency, Private rental market statistics, 2012. Office for National Statistics and Valuation Office Agency, Calculations by GLA based on ONS house price data, ONS inflation data, and data on private rents from GLA surveys (2002 to 2009) and VOA data (2010 to 2012). This chart shows annualised changes in RPI inflation, the ONS house price index for London and a mix-adjusted index of private rents calculated by GLA. Rental data for 2002 to 2009 are calculated from averages over the whole year, while figures for 2010 to 2012 are the averages as at July in each year. English Housing Survey data, 2010/11. Confidence intervals are not shown for formatting reasons, but as the figures are taken from a limited single-year sample they should be treated as broad estimates. 2.29GLA and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA analysis of English Housing Survey data, 2010/11. 2.22GLA, 2.23Valuation Office Agency, Private rental market statistics, 2012. 2.30GLA and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA analysis of English Housing Survey data, 2010/11. 2.31Department for Communities and Local Government, Business Plan Statistical Appendix and Regulatory Statistical Return data, various years. Homes and Communities Agency, Statistical Data Return, 2012. 2.32GLA and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA analysis of DCLG English Housing Survey data, 2008/09 to 2010/11. 2.33GLA, 2.24Department for Work and Pensions, Stat X-Plore (Housing benefit statistics), 2012. 2.25Department for Work and Pensions, Stat X-Plore (Housing benefit statistics), 2012. 2.26Department for Work and Pensions, Stat X-Plore (Housing benefit statistics), 2012. 2.27Department for Communities and Local Government, Housing Strategy Statistical Appendix data, 2009. A fuller definition of HMOs is given in CLG, Licensing of Houses in Multiple Occupation in England: A guide for landlords and managers, 2010. 2.28GLA and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA analysis of DCLG Delivering London’s Energy Future: The Mayor’s climate change mitigation and energy strategy, 2011. 2.34Department for Energy and Climate Change, Local authority energy efficiency statistics, 2012. Excludes emissions not considered to be within the influence of local authorities, such as motorways and European Energy Trading Scheme power sources. 2.35GLA and Department for Communities and Local Government, GLA analysis of English Housing Survey data, 2010/11. The Standard Assessment Procedure (SAP) is DECC’s methodology for assessing and comparing the energy and environmental performance of dwellings. Its purpose is to provide 65 accurate and reliable assessments of dwelling energy performances that are needed to underpin energy and environmental policy initiatives. The SAP was updated in 2009 by the Building Research Establishment. 2.36Department for Energy and Climate Change, Local authority energy efficiency statistics, 2012. 2.37Department for Energy and Climate Change, Fuel poverty statistics, 2012. HO U S I NG I N L O N DO N Appendix 3: Measures of housing supply used by the GLA There are many ways to measure housing supply, but none that by itself tells us everything we need to know. The GLA therefore uses different measures of supply for different purposes. This note explains how each measure is defined and what it is used for. Planning The housing targets in the London Plan are monitored using the measure of net conventional housing supply and data from the London Development Database. Net conventional supply covers new build, conversions and changes of use and is adjusted to take account of homes demolished or replaced. It does not take account of increases or losses of affordable homes due to sales or acquisitions. The advantage of this measure is that it covers all tenures and all changes to the dwelling stock; the main disadvantage being the long time-lag between the end of the financial year and the publication of figures in the London Plan Annual Monitoring Report. Housing investment The GLA publishes statistics on the affordable homes it funds, and the Department of Communities and Local Government takes these figures and adds affordable homes funded by other sources (typically a relatively small amount) to produce its annual statistics on affordable housing supply. This measure of supply benefits from comparability over time and with other parts of the country, and from the inclusion of acquisitions in the measure of affordable housing supply. Its disadvantages are that DCLG include some minor elements not commonly understood as new supply such as Right to Acquire sales, and that this measure accounts only for demolitions directly related to new affordable housing developments. Affordable housing supply by this measure will therefore typically be higher than by the measure of net conventional supply. Comparisons Both these measures of housing are legitimate in their own right, but comparisons between the two should only be undertaken with care, not least because they may each measure a given home as ‘complete’ at a different point in time. Other measures There are also other measures of housing supply which are not used by GLA for monitoring purposes but which are also useful in their own right and are often quoted by other organisations or the press when discussing housing supply. These include DCLG statistics on gross new build starts and completions, NHBC statistics on new housing registrations and analysis by other commentators/ organisatons such as Molior, Savills or the HBF. These all have their own different advantages and disadvantages, but none can be straightforwardly compared to the data discussed above. 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