Malta Mediterranean Forum Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges 04 Foreword from IPLI 06 Opening comments 08 Inauguration speech 10 Panel One: Maltese perspectives 18 Panel Two: Regional perspectives 26 Partners and Special Thanks FOREWORD FROM IPLI It was an honor for IPLI to Industry. This edition of the assessed that it was critical to shared their valuable insights regional cultures and by virtue to co-organizers and participants co-organize the December forum, focused on the growing organize a forum on this topic over the course of this event. of its unique geostrategic for taking part in this event. In 2014 edition of the Malta Libyan conflict, was entitled: in order to shed light on the The purpose behind the Malta location in the heart of the particular, IPLI expresses its deep Mediterranean Forum on Libya: Regional Perspectives growing unrest in the country Mediterranean Forum on Mediterranean basin, Malta gratitude to the Honorable Dr. Governance in cooperation on Governance and Security and the potential ramifications it Governance is to contribute is ideally placed to serve as a George W. Vella, foreign minister, with local Maltese partners, Challenges. Given the close could have in the Mediterranean meaningfully to the advancement focal point for discussion and for his support of this initiative. the Institute for Public proximity of Malta and Libya, region and beyond. To this of policy debates by serving as debate on the major governance Administration and Management combined with the deep end, we were pleased to a forum that actively embraces challenges facing countries in the at the University of Malta, historical connections between welcome a wide variety of contributions from a wide variety Mediterranean area within the and the Malta Chamber of the two countries, IPLI and policy makers, researchers of actors. Given Malta’s status as current geopolitical context. Commerce, Enterprise and Maltese partner institutions and other stakeholders who a crossroads of many influential IPLI wishes to extend its thanks 4 Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges Timothy Reno Director, IPLI Foundation Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges 5 OPENING COMMENTS MR. DAVID G. CUMRI President of the Malta Chamber of Commerce, Enterprise and Industry It is my great pleasure to welcome rich history, Libya has the potential Welcome and thank you for coming agenda for the Mediterranean. you all to the Malta Chamber of to become a regional leader and to the Malta Mediterranean Forum I wish to thank the Honorable Dr. Commerce, Enterprise and Industry see its society and economy flourish, on Governance. Now in its second George Vella, Minister of Foreign for today’s Malta Mediterranean and Malta can and is willing to be year, we hope that this forum will Affairs, for being here with us today; Forum on Governance. Today’s part of the solution in the rebuilding continue to grow because we believe the speakers, who have traveled subject is one that is affecting Malta of the country. Business can have that Malta is the right place for from various places to be here and is various ways, not only because of a significant role in bridging the dialogue and for debate on issues to participate in this forum; and Malta’s geographic proximity to Libya, political, economic, and social divide that concern the Mediterranean. I the Department of Public Policy at but also because of the political and that is a constant threat to peace. Our think that everyone in this chamber is the University of Malta, which has economic history it shares with this Chamber pledges its full support to aware that this year is the twenty-fifth been producing some of the leading neighboring country, which has been the Libyan business community in anniversary of the meeting between administrators and politicians in one of Malta’s closest trading partners order to achieve this goal without Mikhail Gorbachev and George Bush Malta since its inception 35 years over the past fifty years. delay and with the least social cost in Malta that helped to bury the Cold ago. I would also like to extend The Maltese business community is possible. War. Malta plays an important role special thanks to his Excellency the eager to see peace reestablished in On behalf of the Malta Chamber of in development despite its small size Ambassador Antonio Martins da Libya. In connection with the second Commerce, I would like to thank the because it has a heart that wants to Cruz, who has been a supporter Libyan crisis in the space of three Institute of Public Administration and work for peace and development in of this forum since its beginning, years, the Chamber of Commerce Management, the International Policy the Mediterranean. We hope that and Timothy Reno, director of the has reinstated the Libya Action and Leadership Institute, and the this forum will continue to bring International Policy and Leadership Committee, originally set up to University of Malta for organizing this academics, practitioners, and people Institute, which has been a partner of assist Maltese companies in business forum, which I am sure you will find in current affairs together to debate IPAM for four years now. in Libya that were affected by the informative and interesting. and move forward towards a better H.E. DR. GODFREY PIROTTA Ambassador to the Czech Republic and Director of IPAM, University of Malta revolution. With its vast resources and 6 Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges 7 INAUGURATION SPEECH HON. GEORGE VELLA MD., M.P., Minister of Foreign Affairs Republic of Malta spread beyond its borders to other devastating effects that this growth of trust that has been destroyed. As countries in the region. Moreover, of an extremist ideology will have on with all other conflicts, this could very the developments in Libya cannot be the Libyan people themselves, nor well make or break the deal in the long assessed in isolation. Security, political, on the undeniable danger posed term. economic, humanitarian, and migration by extremists training in Libya to In the present fragmented political considerations all contribute to the the country’s neighbors and to the scenario, the United Nations remains, present problematic scenario. European Union itself. Regrettably, in my view, the only body that can There can be little doubt, considering there is no hard and fast answer as resolve the current stalemate. The Malta’s geographic proximity, that to how this threat can effectively be situation does not allow for actors all security is an overriding priority for us. addressed in the immediate term. working in different directions. Above As amply manifested when violence A protracted conflict would only all, we have to continue supporting in Libya reached its peak during the serve to escalate the humanitarian the work of the United Nations and revolution and earlier this year, Malta and migration problem and the that of the Special Representative immediately feels the repercussions likelihood of further entrenchment Bernardino León, particularly as he of turmoil on the ground. Our first of radical groups. In the Libyan strives to bring the parties closer to priority remains that of securing case, disarmament and national an inclusive dialogue. We continue the wellbeing of our nationals, and reconciliation, based on a dialogue to follow his reconciliation efforts then standing ready to provide that reflects all segments of society, are very closely and are fully appreciative logistical assistance to countries that clear prerequisites if this web is to be of the difficulties he and his team request our intervention to insure untangled. continue to encounter at every step. the safe departure of their nationals. Purely from a human perspective, I We are well aware of the possibility The situation is such that I took the wish that more attention would be that these efforts will not succeed, and painstaking decision to call our two paid to the difficult humanitarian we would do well to think about the remaining diplomats in Tripoli back situation that has resulted from eventuality of failure and what should to safety, in view of the pressures they months of violence, an aspect that be done. In other words, we have to were exposed to as a result of the two is somewhat overshadowed by our start thinking also about a plan B. As parallel structures operating in Libya focus on political developments. Most a friend to Libya, Malta reaffirms its at the moment. of the victims of violence in Libya are support and encouragement of all I have on various occasions, both civilians, with thousands of others efforts directed toward the democratic Democracy, freedom, rule of law, and missed, or, worse yet, underplayed, by locally and abroad, vividly spoken living as internally displaced persons. process in Libya and believes that all respect of human rights: these are the the international community. of the threat posed by the rise of This is one of the most dramatic, yet sides should not only lay down their aspirations that led the Libyan people One cannot stress enough the extremist tendencies in Libya. Only least appreciated results of the attacks arms but work towards achieving to rise up against dictatorship and to importance that events in Libya hold a few months ago, the international that continue to be carried out on national reconciliation. Above all, it follow their neighbors in determining for the entire Mediterranean. We, as community was laboring under the a daily basis. One of the greatest remains our duty to reach out to the their future. As you very well know, its neighbors, have a vested interest wrong impression that these trends challenges that must be addressed is people of Libya and deliver to them a the current situation is nowhere near in seeing stability return to Libya; were contained on the eastern side the sense of retribution, if not revenge, categorical message that they are not this idealistic scenario. What we are unless Europe and the international of the country. We are now facing a that has taken hold among the alone in these dire circumstances and facing nowadays is a clear and present community seek ways to help the reality whereby radical and violent population at a grassroots level. Once that the intentional community is not threat of the collapse of the state and people of Libya to reestablish elements respect no borders and are an agreement is hopefully reached by abandoning them and their country to its institutions—a failed state in the a legitimate government within increasingly successful in bring down the political leaders, they will need a bleaker destiny. making, right on Europe’s doorstep. their territory, the instability the the virtual safety net at an alarming to do their utmost to reach out to the But this emergency is somehow being Libyan people face today may soon pace. I need not elaborate on the people and start rebuilding a sense 8 Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges 9 PANEL ONE MALTESE PERSPECTIVES Chaired by H.E. Antonio Martins da Cruz, former Foreign Minister of Portugal 10 Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges 11 H.E. DR. ALEX SCEBERRAS TRIGONA Special envoy for the Prime Minister of Malta, former Minister of Foreign Affairs and Ambassador to the WTO 12 Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges The main problem confronting time slice of responsibility in draft constitution with a declaration intermediaries between the CDA us now is namely that there is no order to protect, a second and of principles, including chapters and the UN. The European Union discernible, coherent international third time slice should be taken on the election of the president, specifically, many of whose member or regional will emerging regarding into account: responsibility whilst the preservation of natural states have direct ties with Libya, Libya. Without this unifying drive, protecting, and responsibility after resources, and the entrenchment could have a role to play, as might we have a grab-as-grab-can situation, protecting. This draft paper, which of authorities such as the central potentially Egypt, the United Arab while the Libyans, who are struggling has been circulating since 2012, bank, the high election committee, Emirates, Qatar, and Turkey, who are to organize their state, face great is a conceptual challenge to the etc. Once the document is finalized, all well-established inside Libya. difficulties. Already, the fact that international community and could in mid- or late January, it will be So is there a discernible international Syria is in such a disastrous, nearly be used to find a handle, as it were, put to a referendum. But can such will to close the Libya dossier and apocalyptic condition is a stain on the situation. voting take place in the present return the country to peace? Or is on the international community’s Moving from concepts to actual conditions? What should come first, there an abandonment, wilful or not? conscience—if one can speak in pragmatic plans: at the moment, the referendum or the collection The challenge to the international those terms. Are we going to let the last democratically elected of weapons? Or does the holding community is to take up its second Libya go down the same road? institution standing in Libya is the of the referendum, in spite of the responsibility whilst and after Let us speak for a moment about Constitutional Drafting Assembly situation, contribute to building protecting and to fulfil these two the Brazilian position paper issued (CDA), whose members represent security? other time slices to the best of its in the Security Council concerning in equal parts the three regions of As the international community, ability. “responsibility to protect.” The Libya: Tripolitania, Cyrenaica, and we have the responsibility to assist interesting point that the Brazilians Fezzan and the south. They have in resolving these dilemmas, in are trying to put forward is that been working extremely well over particular by providing a contact instead of only examining the the last several months to produce a group of countries than can act as Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges 13 H.E. DR. GEORGE SALIBA Former ambassador to Libya, special envoy to the Union for the Mediterranean 14 Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges I personally have always considered Where does Malta stand on the General National Congress took over, Libya as a second home, and I am Libya question? Malta has a clear many Maltese hoped that it would dismayed to see what has happened interest in Libya. It is one of the few lead to a solution to the famous issue to the country. Looking at the history countries with which we have always of the median line between Maltese of the Middle East, each time there had a favorable trade balance. We and Libyan territorial waters, with criticized for being has been an outside intervention— have often been criticized for being its implications for oil exploration. Iraq, Syria, Libya, but also going back friends of Libya, but one cannot Unsurprisingly, in my view, nothing friends of Libya, but to the end of the Ottoman Empire choose one’s neighbors; we have to has moved forward. Additionally, the and the Sykes-Picot Agreement—it live with Libya as it is. Of course, the clearing of the accusation of Malta’s has brought more conflict. Libya commercial and economic interests alleged implication in the Lockerbie right now is in a tragic situation. we had are now suffering. On a incident has remained unresolved. There are more arms in Libya today social level, we also have to face the Unfortunately, I am not optimistic than in the entire UK arsenal. The problem of immigration, of Libyans about Libya. We can organize all the big mistake in Libya, from the very who are seeking to settle in Malta. talks we want, but with the number beginning of the unrest, was the There is also the issue of security and of weapons in circulation and the government’s decision to give money potential exposure of Malta to ISIL, growing hatred between Libyans, to militias to incorporate them, while but I don’t consider this to be a real I do not see how peace can be allowing them to keep their arms. concern here, as we do not share a reached. The other problem is that there is direct border with Libya. no unified authority amongst the Several issues remain unresolved militias, which makes it very difficult between Libya and Malta. When to broker any sort of agreement. Muammar Gaddafi fell and the We have often been one cannot choose one’s neighbors; we have to live with Libya as it is. Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges 15 FRANK V. FARRUGIA Vice-President of Malta Chamber of Commerce, Enterprise and Industry 16 Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges Throughout the years, Malta and ranks fourth among countries where construction, logistics, and related Libya have enjoyed good, well- Maltese companies do business or sectors. established political and economic wish to do business. It is nonetheless clear that the relations. And, despite several In order to facilitate business with revolution and current crisis have obstacles along the way, Libyans Libya and other North African negatively affected the business of infrastructure, and Maltese remain close as people countries, the Malta Chamber has set community. Therefore it is crucial and as economic partners. Since up a North African Business Council. that we safeguard such businesses including the the beginning of the revolution, Maltese companies must join forces and assist in promoting jobs. I truly Libyans see Malta as being a if they hope to serve a market like believe that if the Libyans embrace gateway to Europe. In 2013, the Libya’s, often presenting large-scale the rule of law, adopt human and number of Libyan visitors to public-procurement projects for civil rights, and implement a free Malta stood at 34,621, double international bidders. Maltese firms market economy, Libya’s future, and the number recorded in 2012. must build on and learn from past the region’s, will be brighter. The purpose of their visits varies, successes in order to consolidate affords important from education to business as and future contributions in the rebuilding tourism. Similarly, merchandise of the physical infrastructure of our opportunities for trade between Libya and Malta neighboring Libya. The destruction doubled in 2013 compared to pre- of infrastructure, including the revolution levels. This is a positive Tripoli airport, has created significant sign for our partnership in the years problems on the ground, but it also ahead. Furthermore, according to affords important opportunities for our nationalization database, Libya Maltese businesses, especially in The destruction Tripoli airport, has created significant problems on the ground, but it also Maltese businesses. Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges 17 PANEL TWO REGIONAL PERSPECTIVES Chaired by Mr. Timothy Reno, Director IPLI 18 Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges 19 DR. EDUARD SOLER Coordinator of the Mediterranean and Middle East Programme at CIDOB Foundation 20 Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges Europe is not surrounded by a next door in five years—and having interventionist, with the will to play Europeans have both responsibility ring of friendly and welcoming to respond by a second military a role inside Libya in order to move and influence in Libya. If they states as the European strategy and intervention. The strategy is first one into what is perceived as the best want to avoid having the conflict neighborhood policy envisaged ten of containment, then engagement direction. deteriorate further and spill over years ago. We are surrounded by to obtain de-escalation in the The EU is perfectly aware that any into Tunisia, Algeria, and the Sahel— three regional crises: Ukraine, Syria conflict. Issues related to governance successful strategy will require the the number one priority—they need and Iraq, and Libya. The question and trade will come in a second involvement of regional actors, but to work with neighbors but without now is how important the crisis in step once basic stability has been Brussels sees some of these regional subcontracting or externalizing Libya is, and for whom. The U.K. reached. actors as part of the problem and the resolution of the crisis. In a and France are heavily implicated And let’s remember that Europe is not part of the solution. At this dream scenario, we would have a because of the role they have played only one of Libya’s neighbors, and point, everyone is looking to the successful national dialogue followed in the last four years; Italy, Malta, and that other neighboring countries UN as the best interlocutor possible by reinforced operations under Spain have an interest in ensuring also have interests that we must to unblock the situation, though UN mandate with participation the security of the Mediterranean; take into account. Among countries certain actors would also like to of regional organizations and a and Germany is involved, albeit to the west — Tunisia, Algeria, but see the involvement of regional constructive involvement of regional unwillingly, because of its leadership also the EU — there seems to be a organizations such as the African players. Unfortunately, we seem position in Europe. convergence of opinion about the Union and the League of Arab States. quite far from that. What we need Despite the different degrees of de-escalation approach. Our core Europeans are aware of the regional at this point is for the political involvement, there is a clear, shared interest is not who rules in Tripoli dimension and ramifications of leadership to bring forward new interest in working to avoid letting but rather that the crisis does not the Libyan conflict. They know ideas for reasonable solutions in the Libya fall into complete chaos— spill over. When we look to the Libya is running out of time and short and medium term. essentially like having a Somalia east, it seems that the approach is that, compared to other crises, Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges 21 MR. SELIM GUEDOUAR Expert at Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) 22 Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges Libya and Tunisia, though very close, being affected by the smuggling macroeconomic level, the Tunisian might find themselves. have entirely different development of weapons into the country from situation is fragile, and any disruption Historically, Tunisians went to models and patterns. Tunisia is a Libya, extremely problematic in a causes an additional stress on the Libya for trade and work, and non-exporting country, whereas country that historically has few arms. economy. Libyans used to come to Tunisia for Libya is rich in oil. Furthermore, In addition, training camps in Libya On the plus side, Tunisia benefits tourism. Tunisian workers in Libya their relation, though also close, draw Tunisians, who then return to from capital outflow from Libya, represented a significant economic has known ups and downs. When their country and pose a threat to in part because of movement of slice, up to 0.6% of the GDP. Many revolution broke out in Tunisia in national security. This tarnishes the Libyans to Tunisia. Since agreements of them fled Libya, 40,000 of them 2011, Tunisians’ first thought was, will reputation and image of Tunisia, between the two countries allow for returning in 2012. That equals a Gaddafi meddle in Tunisian affairs? which in turn impacts key sectors the free passage of people between destruction of 40,000 jobs and The Libyan revolution was such as business and tourism. the two countries, it is difficult an increase of pressure on the job therefore welcomed by the Although Tunisia’s major trading to distinguish between tourists, market, which further deteriorates Tunisians. Unfortunately, what we partner is the EU (trade with Libya refugees, and those who have the situation in Tunisia. see now is that Libya has become a represents 5% of the country’s total voluntarily settled. All told, Tunisia The destiny of Tunisia depends factor that hampers the still-fragile exchanges), trade with Libya was hosted 1.1 million Libyans in 2011, very much on that of Libya. As the transition in Tunisia. I am going increasing 25% per year pre2011, or 10% of the total population, and Tunisian Minister of Foreign Affairs to analyze the current situation and in key areas such as oil. Any almost 2 million in 2014. This influx said in 2014, “We consider the crisis according to four channels: security, interruption of this supply of oil is places pressure on the housing in Libya as an internal problem in trade, Libyans refugees and tourists therefore catastrophic for Tunisia. market and participates in inflation. Tunisia, and we are addressing it as in Tunisia, and finally Tunisians in Trade with Libya is also important There is also the risk of exporting the an internal problem because our Libya. in that it generates many jobs in Libyan conflict to Tunisian soil, where security is Libya’s security, Libya’s Regarding security, Tunisia is poor regions of Tunisia. At the both pro- and anti-Gaddafi Libyans stability means Tunisia’s stability.” Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges 23 H.E. AHMET AYDIN DOĞAN Deputy Director of MENA affairs within the Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs Turkey has had very strong relations with this new government. political solution, meaning that political settlement among with Libya since the early 1970s, Regarding the Turkish position on questions of legitimacy and the Libyans with international when Turkish companies started the crisis: it is absolutely in Turkey’s constitutionality should be support. to work not only in the coastal interest for stability, security, and avoided. cities but throughout the country. peace to return to Libya as soon Around 20,000 Turks living in Libya as possible. The reasons are largely initiative and believe that the come. If a unity government and had to be evacuated at the time economic, to allow for the return of dialogue should include all a roadmap for completing the of the revolution. During and after Turkish companies and an increase parties, including civil society transition are created, the main events, we actively supported the in trade between the two countries, actors. challenge will of course be the first transition council and then but there are also strong cultural ties the government through financial between the two peoples. These government, bolstered by strong There should then be a good, and technical assistance, as well as ties were further reinforced by international support. well-prepared referendum with an with police and military training visa-free travel, instated in 2006, and in Turkey at the request of the facilitated by the high number of negotiation between the secure conditions. Another challenge Libyan government. Given the flights between the two countries. political actors and the militias is controlling and reducing the vast current situation, however, all those The Special Representative of the can take place. In parallel, there number of weapons in circulation efforts are essentially meaningless. President visited Libya in October, should be a security dialogue (an estimated 20 million). Finally, If Bernardino León’s initiative where we tried to deliver messages process. there is the issue of border security, is successful next week, and if a to both sides, which can be national unity government can be summarized in five points: from outside of Libya. The only government and a consensus among created, international coalition 11. The crisis is a political one way to obtain a stable, peaceful, the different regions and tribes to and democratic country is monitor and control the borders. efforts should continue, redoubled, 24 Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges and should therefore have a 22. We support Bernardino León’s 33. There must be a national unity 44. We need a cease-fire before 55. There must be no intervention There are three main challenges moving forward in the months to adaptation of the constitution. acceptable rate of participation in which necessitates a strong central Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges 25 Partners INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND MANAGEMENT AT THE UNIVERSITY OF MALTA IPLI FOUNDATION The Institute of Public Administration and Management (IPAM) was established under the terms of an agreement between the Government and the University of Malta to foster the practice and study of administration and management in the public sector. In furtherance of this mission, the Institute’s Statute empowers IPAM to carry out a wide range of scholarly activities, including the organisation of courses, public lectures and conferences, as well as research. The IPLI Foundation is a philanthropic organization dedicated to the mission of supporting research initiatives related to ongoing security and development policy challenges in Europe, the Mediterranean region and Africa. With offices based in Brussels and Paris, the IPLI Foundation cooperates closely with its network of academic institutions and think tanks to support both educational and applied research in the fields of security and development capacity building. For more information please visit: www.um.edu.mt/ipam For more information please visit: www.ipli.eu MALTA CHAMBER OF COMMERCE, ENTERPRISE AND INDUSTRY The Malta Chamber aims to provide enhanced “hands-on” services to individual members, to mobilise sectors, associations and other groupings to pursue common agendas, to effectively respond to current issues and protect members’ interests; and—most fundamentally—to shape the policies which affect Maltese entrepreneurs. The Malta Chamber provides a visible, prominent, strong and single point of reference for the other stakeholders, including government, EU bodies, foreign business representatives in the sectors of trade, manufacturing and services. MALTA MINISTRY OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS The Honorable George W. Vella. For more information please visit: www.foreign.gov.mt SPECIAL THANKS BARCELONA CENTER FOR INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS (CIDOB) For more information please visit: www.maltachamber.org.mt 26 Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges Malta Mediterranean Forum | Libya: Regional Perspectives on Governance and Security Challenges 27