WiMAX &
Developing Countries
Harnessing Broadband Technologies to
Achieve the Information Society
Global Symposium for Regulators
Session I
November 13, 2005
Peter Pitsch
Director, Communications Policy
Intel
Intel WiMAX Vision
WiWi-Fi
High Throughput
Access: Business,
Backhaul & some
Residential
WiWi-Fi
Consumer
Broadband
Access
Mobile/
Portable
Broadband
Hotspot
Backhaul
Wi-Fi
1
Integration Drives Adoption
Wi-Fi Enabled Notebooks
(Mu)
Total Notebook PCs
(Mu)
WiMAX Enabled Notebooks
(Mu)
WiMAX Inflection Point
Source: Intel
WiMAX - Disruptive Potential
Low CapEx
– Open Standards
– Less concentrated IPR
Lower Operating Expense
– All IP Network
– WiMAX Backhaul
Customer Acquisition
– WiFiWiFi-like Distribution
OFDM Performance
Technology
1X1X-EVDO (Rev A) 2.5 MHz
Effective Data Rate
(combined uplink & downlink)
1.5 Mbps (shared)
HSUPA 10 MHz
4 Mbps (shared)
WiMAX (2x2 MIMO) 10 MHZ
20 Mbps (shared)
2
Worldwide WiMAX Trials
>100
IEEE 802.16*
Planned Carrier Trials
2005
2006
2007
Source: Intel estimates
Spectrum by Region
CANADA
2.3, 2.5, 3.5 & 5.8 GHz
USA
2.3, 2.5 & 5.8 GHz
Central & So
America
2.5, 3.5 & 5.8 GHz
EUROPE
3.5 & 5.8 GHz
Possible: 2.5
GHz
MIDDLE EAST
AFRICA
3.5 & 5.8 GHz
RUSSIA 3.5 GHz
Possible: 2.3, 2.5 GHz
ASIA PACIFIC
Speaker
2.3, 2.5,
3.3, 3.5Name
& 5.8
TitleGHz
of Speaker
3
BCL, New Zealand
Base Station
Wireless DSL
Coverage
Broadcast Communications Limited (BCL)
Wholesale Wireless Access Network.
Nationwide deployment from 74 Base Stations
Sites
Network designed for 30,000 connections
initially;
–
Expansion to 100,000 planned.
Network covers around 100,000 sq km
5.8 GHz spectrum
Providing High Speed links – longest distance of
50 km!
Data & Voice
–
–
Range: 50 km
Each CPE delivers 2Mbit/s Asymmetric DSL
Up to four 64 kbps TDM voice lines
CPE
Courtesy of Airspan Networks, 2004
Call To Action for Regulators
3.5 GHz Band – fixed & nomadic services
– Explicitly allow Nomadic use in Fixed Wireless spectrum to support
support indoor modems
and laptops
– Larger block sizes for new allocations
– Access to 3.33.3-3.4 & 3.63.6-3.8 GHz bands where 3.43.4-3.6 GHz has limited availability
2.5 GHz Band – mobile services
– Technologies – such as 802.16 -- which fulfill the services model and adhere to the
regulation should be allowed
5.8 GHz Band – fixed outdoor for Wireless ISPs
– Power output @ 4W EIRP (or 200 mW/MHz)
mW/MHz)
– Greater access across Europe in a reasonable timeframe
<1 GHz BandBand– Work to rere-claim spectrum from digital transition
– Highly desirable for developing nations
Adopt Technology Neutrality - Support at ITU WP8F
4
Suburban
CapeX Comparisons as a function of Deployment Spectrum
Propagation analysis baseline:
Suburban, Max Available PL=145dB, f=700 MHz, Ht=50m, Hr=1.5m
14.0
1230%
Radius (Km) and Capex (% )
12.0
10.0
10.0
8.9
8.0
MIN Site CapEx % Over @700 MHz
Cell Radii (Km)
675%
6.0
5.5
4.0
328%
4.7
455%
3.9
2.9
2.0
100%
126%
f=700
f=850
0.0
f=1900
f=2500
f=3500
f=5800
Frequency of Deployment (MHz)
BACKUP
5
Digital Divide Persists
Penetration %
60
50
40
5x
30
Difference in
Broadband
Availability
20
10
2004
2002
0
>$100k
$75$75-$100k Average
$10$10-$30k
<$10k
Source: Pew Research, 2005
Networks Will Be Deployed in Phases
802.16802.16-2004 &
802.16e
Early
802.16e
Metro Zone
Fixed
Outdoor
Wi-Fi*
Backhaul
802.16e
Mobile
Fixed
Indoor
Enterprise
Campus Piconet
Wi-Fi* Hotspot
Access Service
Portable Service
Mobile Service
Data Overlay w/ Voice
Cell Data Overlay Network
Dense Cell Overlay Network
Mobile Triple Play
•
•
•
•
•
•
Freq up to 5.8 GHz - Lic& UnLic
Low cost network
Residential Gateway focus
Freq < 3.5G Licensed
Low/Mid cost networks
Notebook focus
•
•
•
Freq < 2.5 GHz Licensed
Mid cost networks
Handheld & Notebook
6
Portable/Mobile Data Enabled by
Standards and Interoperability
IEEE: Proven path to innovation and low cost communications
Ethernet
(802.3)
WiFi
(802.11)
(802.16)
10Gbps
Volume
54Mbps
Carriers:
Carriers:next
nextgeneration
generation
data
datanetworks
networkswill
willbe
be
OFDMA
OFDMAbased
based
-------WiMAX
WiMAXisisthe
theonly
onlyOFDMA
OFDMA
WWAN
WWANStandard
Standard
1Gbps
11Mbps
100Mbps
10Mbps
1980s
2Mbps
1990s
2000
IEEE Model
2010
Proprietary Model
Investments in Innovations
100’
100’s of companies
1000’
1000’s of engineers
Single company limits the pace of
innovation
Cost/Price Dynamics
Volume, innovations & competition
drives cost/pricing down
Ability & Motivation for lower cost/pricing
lacking
Broadband Is The Killer Application
Daily Technology Usage
Mobile Voice
Broadband
Internet Access
Mobile
SMS/MMS/ESMS/MMS/E-Mail
Indicates Minutes Per Day of Use by Average Subscriber
Source: CTIA, Online Publisher’
Publisher’s Association, Intel estimates
7
The “Centrino” Phenomenon
Notebook Computer Shipments
100%
Million Units
72
27 30
2001 2002
38
2003
46
82
90
100
55
WiWi-Fi
Penetration
2004 2005E 2006E 2007E 2008E 2009E
0%
Source: Gartner March 2005 for Notebook PC shipments and Intel Estimates for Wi-Fi attach
Wi-Fi + WiMAX Will Become 1 Chip
Laptops Are The Hot Mobile
Devices
Mobile Device Growth Rates
35%
30%
25%
Unit
20%
Growth
15%
%
Laptops
10%
Mobile Phones
5%
0%
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Estimated
Source: Gartner, June 2005
8
And Wi-Fi Is The Fastest Growing
Broadband Technology
Million
Units/Lines
WiWi-Fi
cdma2000
EVDO + WW-CDMA
120
100
DSL Lines
80
60
40
20
0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Source: ABI Research, iGillott, IDC, Point-Topic.
DSL added subs used as proxy for added lines.
The Next Wireless
Transition: OFDM
OFDM
Delivered
Bandwidth
CDMA
GSM
Early ’90s
Mid-’90s
Early ’00s
Mid-’00s
9
WiMAX: Fat Channels, OFDMA,
MIMO
3-Sector Cell Throughput Comparison (1xEV(1xEV-DV Evaluation Methodology)
36
Downlink
30
Uplink
24
Effective
Throughput to
TCP (Mb) 18
12
2 x 1.25
6
0
1xEV1xEV-DO Flash OFDMUMTS R99 HSDPA
HSUPA
Rel.
Rel. 0
IEEE
802.16e
(SISO)
IEEE
802.16e
(MIMO)
Source: Intel Estimates
Mobile WiMAX Rolling Out Early 2006
Korea Telecom’
Telecom’s Commercial “WiBro”
WiBro” Service
Seoul Metropolitan
Major Cities (20)
Minor Cities (54)
“KT is proud to work with Intel to be
the first to rollout WiBRO services,
Mobile Wireless Broadband based
on WiMAX standard technology.”
technology.”
Dr. Hong, Senior Vice President
Source: Korea Telecom
10