Commonwealth of Massachusetts State Freight and Rail Plan Draft Findings and Recommendations Northeast Regional Meeting Massachusetts Department of Transportation March 25, 2010 Freight & Rail Plan – Key Components • Multi-modal Freight Plan and standalone Rail Plan • Evaluation of existing conditions and trends – – – – Heavy inbound & through-traffic for all modes Light-weight, smaller volume outbound Highway dominant freight mode – low rail share Land use and policy issues • Analysis of future conditions • Evaluation of issues and opportunities • Recommendations – Infrastructure improvements and state freight policy Freight & Rail Plan EXISTING FREIGHT NETWORK AND FORECAST U.S. Highway Congestion Increasing • High volume freight truck routes to increase 230% from 2002 to 2035 • US needs $225 billion per year in transportation for state of good repair – spending less than 40% of that Freight & Rail Plan Sources: Federal Highway Administration, Office of Freight Management and Operations, Freight Analysis Framework, version 2.2, 2007; National Transportation Policy and Revenue Commission U.S. Rail Corridors and Congestion • Rail volumes expected to increase 88% from 2002 to 2035 – 1.7 billion tons to 3.2 billion tons • AAR estimates $148 Billion capacity investments needed to meet future demand Freight & Rail Plan Source: Federal Highway Administration, Office of Freight Management and Operations, Freight Analysis Framework, version 2.2, 2007 Regional Context - New England Issues • Highway – Aging, congested infrastructure and few access points into Massachusetts from other New England states • Rail – Freight has to travel through Albany to move from the New York City region – Passenger connections are important and need improvement • Marine – Port of Boston serves local market – Opportunities for growth but faces competitive challenges Freight & Rail Plan Daily Long-Haul Traffic, 2002. Source: U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration, Office of Freight Management and Operations, Freight Analysis Framework, version 2.2, 2007 Port of Boston and Northeast Port Container Traffic • Port of Boston serves 30% of New England’s waterborne freight – up 10% from 8 years ago • 75-90% of port cargo has a destination within 100 miles • Top bulk commodities: petroleum, LNG, salt, scrap metal • Top container commodities: fish, furniture, beer & wine, papers, autos Source: American Association of Port Authorities Freight & Rail Plan Massachusetts Highway Network Freight & Rail Plan Massachusetts Freight Rail Network Freight & Rail Plan Massachusetts Passenger Rail Network Freight & Rail Plan Massachusetts Multi-Modal Freight Network Freight & Rail Plan Rail Carloads vs Massachusetts GSP • GSP increased 61%, Rail 24% from 1991-2007 • GSP increased 11%, Rail decreased 5% from 2002-2007 $350,000 $300,000 Carloads 500,000 $250,000 400,000 $200,000 300,000 $150,000 200,000 $100,000 100,000 $50,000 0 $0 2007 2006 2005 Real GSP 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 Carloads 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 Freight & Rail Plan Real GSP in Millions of $ 600,000 Massachusetts Freight Volumes Projected to Increase • Freight Volumes projected to increase by 70% by 2030 • Each mode to grow with trucks increasing mode share Freight & Rail Plan Massachusetts Freight Volumes Projected to Increase • Freight Volumes projected to increase by 70% by 2030 • Each mode to grow with trucks increasing mode share Freight & Rail Plan Expansion of Large-Scale Distribution Activity Beyond Boston Metro Area Freight & Rail Plan Expansion of Large-Scale Distribution Activity Beyond Boston Metro Area Freight & Rail Plan Expansion of Large-Scale Distribution Activity Beyond Boston Metro Area Freight & Rail Plan Northeast Region Distribution Activity Freight & Rail Plan Logan Airport Air Freight Facilities The value of air cargo exports at Logan Airport increased by 107% from 1997 to 2007 Source: MassPort Freight & Rail Plan INFRASTRUCTURE CONDITIONS AND NEEDS Multi-Modal Freight Infrastructure is Aging Merrimack River Bridge Braga Bridge, Fall River Freight & Rail Plan Infrastructure Constraints Defined • 286k: 286,000 lbs rail car capacity becoming industry standard vs current 263,000 lbs • Double-Stack: Vertical rail line clearance for two intermodal containers with a clearance of 20’8” Freight & Rail Plan Infrastructure Constraints Defined (cont’d) • Last Mile Truck Access – Trucks provide the last connection between multiple modes and the final destination such as airports, seaports and intermodal rail transfers • Designated Truck Routes • Over weight permitting • Harbor Depth – Increasing harbor depths will allow larger ships to enter the port as well as reduce existing vessel delays due to the wait for tidal levels to be sufficient Freight & Rail Plan MODAL SHIPPING PATTERNS AND DIVERSION Modal Variation in Shipping Patterns Truck – 239 million tons Through, 18% Internal, 32% Rail – 18 million tons Inbound, 37% Outbound, 13% Freight & Rail Plan Through, 38% Internal, 0.3% Outbound, 14% Source: Global Insight TRANSEARCH 2008 Release Inbound, 48% Example of Modal Shipping Variation Secondary Traffic movements are mostly local, almost all by truck Shipments from the New York, NY Region Freight & Rail Plan Paper products move longer distances, often throughtrips by truck or rail Benefits of Modal Shifts from Truck to Rail and Marine Shipping • Rail costs are approximately 50% lower than truck and water 75% lower than truck • 1.9 to 5.5 times greater fuel efficiency for rail • Fewer greenhouse gases per ton of freight moved • Congestion relief of less truck VMT growth • Reduced highway pavement maintenance costs Freight & Rail Plan “Comparative Evaluation of Rail and Truck Fuel Efficiency on Competitive Corridors”, Federal Railroad Administration, November 19, 2009 Limitations of Modal Shifts • Rail and marine more competitive on longdistance goods movement • Significant reduction in MA businesses shipping heavy bulk loads that benefit from rail • Large distribution markets in NJ, NY, PA, etc. • Infrastructure constraints such as: – – – – Weight on rail (286k) Vertical clearances (double-stack) for rail corridors Port and navigational channel depth Landside access and intermodal connections Freight & Rail Plan Passenger Rail Annual Ridership: 1997 – 2008 in thousands 35,000 Attleboro to Providence, Weekday service 30,000 25,000 Attleboro to Providence, Weekend service Greenbush Worcester Old Colony Fare increase 20,000 Fare increase 15,000 10,000 5,000 Newburyport 2008 2007 Amtrak 2006 2005 2004 MBTA South Side 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 MBTA North Side 3,000 2,500 Acela 2,000 1,500 1,000 Downeaster 500 0 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 Freight & Rail Plan Most Passenger Rail is Shared Use with Freight • Capacity, operations, and liability challenges • Can work well together – Downeaster/Pan Am/MBTA Freight & Rail Plan New England High Speed and Intercity Passenger Rail Vision • Downeaster improvements • Knowledge Corridor / Conn River Line • Capitol Corridor to Nashua, Manchester and Concord, NH • South Coast Rail • Inland Route BostonSpringfield Freight & Rail Plan FREIGHT INVESTMENT SCENARIOS: EVALUATION OF 5 OPTIONS Freight Investment Scenarios • Facilitating anticipated growth in goods movement • Balancing and diversifying the multi-modal freight system • Reducing congestion and environmental impacts • Enhancing economic development opportunities Freight & Rail Plan Types of Projects Considered • • • • Weight on Rail Double-Stack Port Dredging Intermodal/Transload and Port Facilities • Highway Capacity – Highway Corridor Improvements / Lane Additions – Truck Access to Ports and Intermodal (“last mile”) Freight & Rail Plan Types of Benefits Measured • Economic Benefits – Shipper Cost Savings; Truck Congestion Benefits; Freight Logistics Benefits; Near and Long Term Jobs • Transportation – Auto Congestion Benefits; Reduced Accidents; Reduced Highway Maintenance • Environmental – Reduced Greenhouse Gases; Reduced Emissions No-Build (Baseline) Scenario Freight & Rail Plan Truck Mode Optimization Investment Scenario • Objective: Examine highway capacity expansions for major freight truck corridors in MA Freight & Rail Plan Millions Truck Mode Optimization Cost-Benefit Analysis Summary $6,000 • Economic Benefits: $5,082 $4,900 $5,000 – Cost Savings: $1,040 million – Near-Term 4,700 jobs – Long-Term 4,300 jobs $4,000 • Transportation: $3,000 – $4,236 million • Environmental: $2,000 $1,000 $182 $0 Total Benefits Total Costs Net Present Value Econ Benefits Environment Total Costs Net Present Value (NPV) Transportation Freight & Rail Plan – Greenhouse Gas Emissions: CO2 1,005,480 ton increase – Emissions increase $194 million • Benefit-Cost Ratio: 1.0 Northern Tier Investment Scenario • Objective: Improve the East-West rail connections from New York through Ayer to Maine – 286k upgrade on connections to Maine, Worcester and Springfield – Full double-stack capability on Patriot Corridor – Supporting investments to intermodal facilities in Ayer Freight & Rail Plan Millions Northern Tier Cost-Benefit Analysis Summary • Economic Benefits: $400 $350 $348 $300 $255 $250 – Cost Savings: $319 million – Near-Term 150 jobs – Long-Term 100 jobs • Transportation: $200 – $27 million $150 • Environmental: $93 $100 $50 $0 Total Benefits Total Costs Net Present Value Econ Benefits Environment Total Costs Net Present Value (NPV) Transportation Freight & Rail Plan – Greenhouse Gas Emissions CO2: 3,494 ton reduction – Emissions reduction $2 million • Benefit-Cost Ratio: 3.7 Southeastern MA Multi-Modal Scenario • Objective: Improve marine, rail, roadway, and freight distribution system in Southeastern Massachusetts – Improved seaport facilities in New Bedford and Fall River – South Coast Rail 286k improvements to Fall River and New Bedford – Improved truck access to ports – Port dredging of New Bedford to allow larger ships and short-seashipping Multi-Use Facility at State Pier Restructure Rte 6 Bridge, Truck Access at Rte 18 & Channel Deepening North Terminal Expansion Freight & Rail Plan Millions Southeastern MA Cost-Benefit Analysis Summary $200 $150 $185 • Economic Benefits: $135 – Cost Savings $110 million – Near-Term 340 jobs – Long-Term 50 jobs $100 • Transportation: $50 – $25 million ($50) $0 ($50) Total Benefits Total Costs Net Present Value Econ Benefits Environment Transportation Total Costs Net Present Value (NPV) Freight & Rail Plan • Environmental: – Greenhouse Gas Emissions CO2: 1,298 ton reduction – Emissions reduction $780,000 • Benefit-Cost Ratio: 0.7 Central and Western MA Freight Scenario • Objective: Improve connections on north-south rail corridors and improve truck access to intermodal and aviation facilities – 286k improvements on north-south rail corridors – Second generation double-stack on north-south corridors 286k Double Stack Freight & Rail Plan Millions Central and Western MA Cost-Benefit Analysis Summary $250 • Economic Benefits: $212 $200 $143 $150 – Cost Savings $158 million – Near-Term 105 jobs – Long-Term 75 jobs • Transportation: – $53 million $100 • Environmental: $69 – Greenhouse Gas Emissions CO2: 2,187 ton reduction – Emissions reduction $817,000 $50 $0 Total Benefits Total Costs Net Present Value Econ Benefits Environment Total Costs Net Present Value (NPV) Transportation Freight & Rail Plan • Benefit-Cost Ratio: 3.1 Boston Area Freight Distribution Scenario • Objective: Facilitate goods movement distribution through landside and water connections in Boston Freight & Rail Plan Millions Boston Area Freight Distribution Cost-Benefit Analysis Summary $450 • Economic Benefits: $415 $400 – Cost Savings $359 million – Near-Term 190 jobs – Long-Term 85 jobs $350 $290 $300 $250 • Transportation: $200 $126 $150 – $54 million • Environmental: $100 $50 $0 Total Benefits Total Costs Net Present Value Econ Benefits Environment Total Costs Net Present Value (NPV) Transportation Freight & Rail Plan – Greenhouse Gas Emissions CO2: 4,053 ton reduction – Emissions reduction $3 million • Benefit-Cost Ratio: 1.4 Benefit-Cost Ratio and Total Cost by Investment Scenario 4 $5,000 $4,500 3.5 $4,000 3 2.5 $3,000 2 $2,500 $2,000 1.5 $1,500 1 $1,000 0.5 $500 0 $0 B-C Ratio Total Costs Northern Tier Freight & Rail Plan B-C Ratio Total Costs Southeastern MA B-C Ratio Total Costs Central Western B-C Ratio Total Costs Boston Distribution Network B-C Ratio Total Costs Truck Mode Optimization Cost, Millions of $ Benefit-Cost Ratio $3,500 Benefit-Cost Ratio and Total Cost by Investment Scenario – Excluding Truck Mode Optimization 4 $350 3.5 $300 3 2.5 $200 2 $150 1.5 $100 1 $50 0.5 0 $0 B-C Ratio Total Costs Northern Tier Freight & Rail Plan B-C Ratio Total Costs Southeastern MA B-C Ratio Total Costs Central Western B-C Ratio Total Costs Boston Distribution Network Cost, Millions of $ Benefit-Cost Ratio $250 Assessment of Modal Shift to Rail • Rail mode share in 2007 = 6.45% – US Average = 12% – Projected to drop to 6.13% by 2035 • Northern Tier or Central/Western investment scenarios needed to maintain rail share – 5% increase in overall rail volumes • All investment scenarios increase rail volumes by 14% and increase rail mode share to 7.1% • CSX Transaction – Double-stack on highest volume corridor Freight & Rail Plan Freight Projects with Strongest Return on Investment (ROI) Freight & Rail Plan Policy Issues • Land Use Development – Identifying, preserving and facilitating freightintensive uses in Massachusetts • Funding and Financing – Freight considerations in prioritization of projects – Public benefits justify participation in public-private partnerships – Industrial Rail Access Program (IRAP) • Regulatory Environment – Truck routes, regional multi-modal planning, etc. • Passenger Rail – Reverse commute, operations, TOD / Smart Growth Freight & Rail Plan Commonwealth of Massachusetts Massachusetts Department of Transportation State Freight and Rail Plan Thank you Questions and Discussion www.mass.gov/massdot/freightandrailplan March 25, 2010 Actions to Address Land Use Development Policy Issues • Freight-intensive land use policy – Include freight-intensive uses in 43D Priority Sites and Growth District Initiative • Statewide inventory of strategic sites – Partner with EOHED, MassEcon, MassDevelopment – Large and medium parcels with multi-modal access • Industrial incentive areas to preserve freight land uses – Modeled after Agricultural Incentive Areas • Pre-review of freight-intensive development under MEPA Freight & Rail Plan Actions to Address Funding & Financing Policy Issues • Greater consideration of freight in transportation funding decisions • Increased use of public-private partnerships for strategic multi-modal investments – Public participation in funding private freight facilities based on anticipated public benefits • Industrial Rail Access Program (IRAP) – Matching funding and low-interest loans for economic development opportunities • Continue to pursue Federal funding opportunities such as TIGER and HSIPR Freight & Rail Plan Actions to Address Regulatory Policy Issues • MassDOT to actively manage all truck routing – Heavy haul routes – Web-based system for truckers and local communities – Streamlined permitting – Coordination of hazardous materials routing • Engage in regional multi-modal planning and investments such as I-95 Corridor Coalition • Pro-active truck parking / rest area program Freight & Rail Plan Actions to Address Passenger Rail Policy Issues • Increase MBTA rail ridership by improving operations and service of existing system • Promote reverse commute and jobs access – Integrate with Gateway Cities / EOHED initiatives • Enhance transit-oriented development / sustainable development at train stations – Livable Communities initiative by EPA, HUD and US DOT – planning and implementation funding – Expand recommendations from South Coast Rail Economic Development and Land Use Plan Freight & Rail Plan