MARVIN S. FERTEL President and Chief Executive Officer 1201 F Street, NW, Suite 1100 Washington, DC 20004 P: 202.739.8125 msf@nei.org nei.org February 23, 2015 The Honorable Cheryl A. LaFleur Chairman Federal Energy Regulatory Commission 888 First Street, NE Washington, DC 20426 RE: FERC Examination of the Environmental Protection Agency’s Clean Power Plan (Docket Number AD-15-4-000) Dear Chairman LaFleur: As the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) conducts its technical conferences on the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) Clean Power Plan, the Nuclear Energy Institute1 appreciates the opportunity to provide its views on the importance of nuclear energy in reducing the U.S. electric sector’s carbon footprint, and the critical role of FERC in achieving that goal. Simply put, FERC will play as important a role as EPA in achieving the objectives of the Clean Power Plan – reducing carbon emissions from the electric sector by 30 percent from 2005 levels by 2030. That goal will be much more difficult to the extent that additional nuclear power plants are closed prematurely due to economic stress caused, in part, by flawed market design. Through its oversight of market design and market policies and practices in the nation’s organized markets, and with appropriate changes to capacity markets and energy markets, FERC could help avert additional shutdowns, beyond those that have already occurred. In so doing, FERC would also prevent potential degradation in reliability of electricity service. 1 NEI is responsible for establishing unified nuclear industry policy on matters affecting the nuclear energy industry, including regulatory, financial, technical and legislative issues. NEI members include all companies licensed to operate commercial nuclear power plants in the United States, nuclear plant designers, major architect/engineering firms, fuel cycle facilities, materials licensees, and other organizations and individuals involved in the nuclear energy industry. The Honorable Cheryl A. LaFleur February 23, 2015 Page 2 I. Market Design, Policies and Practices Are Partly to Blame for Nuclear Power Plant Shutdowns In 2013 and 2014, the United States shut down two nuclear power plants, both in competitive markets. The Kewaunee plant in Wisconsin closed in May 2013, the Vermont Yankee plant closed in December 2014. As 2015 begins, nuclear generating assets in Illinois and in other competitive markets are at risk. There were several reasons for the shutdowns that have occurred – including low natural gas prices, and low growth (or no growth) in electricity demand for several years as the U.S. economy emerges from recession. But these plants’ economic situation was also stressed by out-of-market revenues made possible by federal and/or state mandates, by price suppression that occurs in the energy markets, and by capacity markets that do not fully value the attributes the nuclear plants provide. The shutdowns that have occurred are regrettable because Kewaunee, Vermont Yankee and others at risk were, and are, solid performers – all of them highly reliable plants with high capacity factors and relatively low generating costs. In 2014, for example, America’s nuclear power plants operated at a record average capacity factor of 91.9 percent. Total generating cost (fuel, operations and maintenance and capital) averaged $40.83 per megawatt-hour (MWh) in 2013 (the last year for which data is available). Average total generating cost for the top quartile of plants was $27.67/MWh; and for multi-unit sites (like two power stations in Illinois), $34.50/MWh. In our view, it makes no economic sense to shut down facilities like these because replacement generating capacity, when needed, would likely produce more costly electricity, fewer jobs that would pay less, and more pollution. As you know from comments filed in other dockets before the commission, companies operating nuclear power plants and other generating assets in the competitive markets have a number of concerns about operation of the energy and capacity markets. Specifically, we do not believe that wholesale markets always provide accurate price signals to promote efficient operations, nor do they have in place mechanisms to ensure long-term resource adequacy and reliability. For various reasons, locational marginal prices (LMPs) do not reflect the full cost of actual operation of the generation and transmission system. Out-of-market revenues – either as a result of federal and state mandates and incentives or as a result of RTO actions – interfere with price formation and the price signals necessary for efficient dispatch. Finally, wholesale markets do not always compensate generators for the attributes they provide, including such valuable features as assured fuel supply and reliability. The Honorable Cheryl A. LaFleur February 23, 2015 Page 3 The nuclear energy industry applauds the actions taken by FERC to date to address these issues, including: In September 2013, the commission opened a proceeding to examine capacity markets in the eastern RTOs. In April 2014, FERC convened a technical conference to explore the vulnerabilities laid bare by the Polar Vortex, and to discuss lessons learned and whether reforms were necessary to preclude any repetition. Between October and December 2014, FERC conducted a series of three workshops to explore possible improvements to market design and operational practices in order to ensure appropriate price formation in energy and ancillary services markets. FERC is looking broadly at how the RTOs manage the technical, operational and market issues that give rise to uplift payments, the levels of transparency associated with uplift, price caps, scarcity and shortage pricing, and other issues that affect prices. In mid-January, FERC provided participants in those workshops an opportunity to file follow-on comments, and posed a list of substantive questions that demand consideration. Finally, last November, FERC, recognizing the importance of fuel assurance to reliability, ordered the RTOs to report within 90 days on the status of their efforts to address market and system performance associated with fuel assurance issues. The reports, filed last week, are intended to describe the nature of fuel assurance concerns specific to each region, and the strategy the RTO has implemented, or plans to implement, to address fuel assurance concerns. In its order, FERC noted that many of the comments during its technical conferences on capacity markets and the Polar Vortex questioned whether the existing markets value fuel assurance. As currently designed, the eastern capacity market auctions establish capacity prices based on economic bids of sellers, but do not directly take into account generator type, fuel supply arrangements, or operational characteristics. These initiatives at FERC are a remarkably swift response to the market conditions that are placing certain nuclear generating units and other baseload capacity at risk, and the commission deserves great credit for having moved aggressively to address market design, and market policies and practices. Obviously, the issues are not resolved, and the work to date has not yet relieved the economic stress facing some of America’s operating nuclear units. But it appears that FERC recognizes The Honorable Cheryl A. LaFleur February 23, 2015 Page 4 that problems exist and is moving to develop solutions. This is a significant evolution in thinking in a short period of time, and NEI looks forward to continuing progress and concrete remedies. There is no time to lose: Certain nuclear power plants are operating at a loss as we speak. II. Preservation of the Existing Nuclear Fleet is Essential to any Credible Program to Reduce Carbon Emissions and to Preserve Electric Reliability EPA’s proposal is designed to reduce carbon emissions by 30 percent from 2005 levels by 2030, and that goal cannot be achieved without preserving the nuclear power plants that provide approximately 20 percent of America’s electricity, and 63 percent of America’s carbon-free electricity. Nuclear energy provides three times more carbon-free electricity than hydropower and nearly five times more than wind energy. Without nuclear power plants operating in 30 states, carbon emissions from the U.S. electric sector would be approximately 25 percent higher. For perspective, it is instructive to compare the contribution to carbon abatement from various carbon-free sources. For example: In June 2013, Southern California Edison Co. formally announced the permanent shutdown of its two-unit San Onofre nuclear generating station in southern California. In 2011 (the last full year of operation for the two reactors), the station produced 18.1 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh) of carbon-free electricity. In 2013, all of California’s carbon-free renewable generating capacity produced 16.98 billion kWh. San Onofre’s shutdown thus more than offsets the state’s entire carbon-free renewable generation. Exelon Corp. has made it clear that five of its nuclear reactors in Illinois are at risk of premature shutdown. Those five reactors produced approximately 40 billion kilowatthours of carbon-free electricity in 2013 – four times total U.S. solar electricity production (approximately 9 billion kilowatt-hours), and roughly one-fourth as much electricity as America’s entire wind generation (approximately 170 billion kilowatt-hours). This is not to say that nuclear energy is necessarily better than other carbon-free sources of electricity, but simply to note that any reasoned discussion of carbon abatement strategies must start with the facts. The Honorable Cheryl A. LaFleur February 23, 2015 Page 5 EPA’s proposed Clean Power Plan recognizes the critical importance of nuclear energy, and attempts to provide states with an incentive to preserve existing nuclear generating capacity. EPA also recognized that maintaining the existing nuclear fleet is a cost-effective carbon abatement strategy. In its proposed rule, EPA estimated that the cost of keeping “at risk” nuclear plants operating is $12 to $17 per metric ton of CO2 abated – lower than EPA’s estimate that: Adding renewable capacity costs $10-$40 per metric ton of CO2 abated; Increasing natural gas combined cycle power plant utilization rates to 70 percent costs $30 per metric ton of CO2 abated; and Implementing demand-side management programs costs $16-$24 per metric of CO2 abated. It is not the purpose of this letter to restate NEI’s position on the proposed 111(d) rule. In Attachment I, we have included the Executive Summary of NEI’s formal comments to EPA on its proposed Clean Power Plan, which raise a number of concerns with the treatment of nuclear energy in the proposed rule, and enumerate the reasons why the proposed rule does not achieve EPA’s intent. Our purpose here is simply to document the importance of nuclear energy to achieving the goals of the Clean Power Plan, and to note that any program to reduce carbon emissions would be seriously compromised if additional nuclear generating units shut down. To the extent market design, policies and practices under FERC’s jurisdiction may contribute to those shutdowns, then FERC is indirectly responsible for the success or failure of EPA’s initiative to reduce carbon emissions from the electric sector. In addition, nuclear power plant shutdowns may also compromise reliability of electric service and lead to higher wholesale electricity prices. In 2013, the Illinois legislature asked four state government agencies to analyze the impacts of closing down the five nuclear reactors named at risk by Exelon Corp. – Clinton (in MISO), and Quad Cities 1 and 2 and Byron 1 and 2 (in PJM). According to analysis conducted by PJM for the Illinois Commerce Commission (ICC), if Byron, Quad Cities and Clinton retired prematurely, locational marginal prices would likely increase between $2.70 and $3.80 per megawatt-hour in the ComEd zone, and between $0.90 and $1.50 per megawatt-hour in PJM, depending on the different scenarios and sensitivities analyzed. In addition, annual load payments would increase between $307 million and $437 million in the ComEd zone, and between $752 million and $1.3 billion in PJM. PJM also confirmed in its analysis that the system would be “unreliable” in 2019 under all retirement The Honorable Cheryl A. LaFleur February 23, 2015 Page 6 scenarios studied, with “significant thermal and voltage violations” that would require “substantial time to correct.” An analysis prepared by MISO at the request of the ICC found that the annual impact on electric rates from the premature closure of Quad Cities, Clinton, and Byron would range from $810 million (base case) to $1.2 billion (high gas case). Finally, it is worth noting that the Clean Power Plan establishes a 2030 target (30 percent reduction in carbon emissions from 2005 levels). EPA appears to intend that carbon reductions achieved under this rule be permanent and maintained beyond 2030. The nation’s nuclear generating capacity is licensed for an original 40-year license term, with an option (under the Atomic Energy Act) for license renewal for additional 20-year periods. Approximately three-quarters of the reactors operating today have received Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) approval to operate to 60 years. Starting in approximately 2030, however, existing nuclear power plants reach the end of 60 years of operation. Although the industry and the NRC are now developing the framework for an additional 20-year license renewal (past 60 years), it is not certain that all of today’s nuclear power plants will take advantage of this option. Some of this capacity will likely seek a second license renewal to operate past 60 years, but some will not. Additional capital investment will almost certainly be required to operate past 60 years and, in some cases, market conditions or other factors may not justify that capital investment. Operation of the nation’s nuclear power plants beyond 60 years cannot be taken for granted, and failure to address the imperfections that exist in the competitive markets will impact business decision-making in the short-term (leading to more premature shutdowns of productive nuclear energy assets) and in the long-term (because the probability of operating beyond 60 years will decline). III. Conclusion: Time to Act The first step toward addressing a problem is gaining recognition that a problem exists. NEI commends the commission for having taken that first step in 2014. The challenge going forward is to turn intellectual recognition of value into appropriate monetary recognition. The electricity markets have changed significantly since they were restructured. Grid operators today must balance a dynamic and complex set of circumstances: The Honorable Cheryl A. LaFleur February 23, 2015 Page 7 low gas prices, which result in reduced energy market revenues; slow (or, in some regions, zero) growth in electricity demand; state policies that mandate production from certain sources of electricity; growing reliance on renewable and intermittent resources, which creates operational challenges; growing reliance on out-of market revenues; and greater reliance on demand resources, which represent a challenge to the definition of the capacity product. This combination of factors has led to sustained economic stress on some existing generating capacity, particularly baseload capacity. At a time when the surplus of generating capacity in the eastern United States is decreasing, as existing capacity retires, effective and efficient market design and operating practices in the capacity and energy markets are more critical than ever. NEI believes that sustainable market design demands consideration of all the factors that constitute a robust and resilient market. Among other things, those factors include short-term price, long-term price stability, the value of fuel and technology diversity, environmental factors like the Clean Power Plan and others. Short-run cost is an important and necessary metric, but solving this complex equation for that one variable only – lowest possible short-run electricity price – will not produce a reliable, resilient, environmental sustainable and cost-effective system for the long-term. Our thanks in advance for considering these comments. Sincerely, Marvin S. Fertel Attachment c: The Honorable Philip D. Moeller, Commissioner The Honorable Tony Clark, Commissioner The Honorable Norman Bay, Commissioner The Honorable Colette D. Honorable, Commissioner Jeff Dennis, Director, Division of Policy Development Attachment I Executive Summary of the Nuclear Energy Institute’s comments to the Environmental Protection Agency on EPA’s proposed rule to reduce carbon emissions from existing power plants under Section 111(d) of the Clean Air Act NUCLEAR ENERGY INSTITUTE COMMENTS ON THE ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY’S PROPOSED RULE TO REDUCE CARBON EMISSIONS FROM EXISTING POWER PLANTS UNDER SECTION 111(d) OF THE CLEAN AIR ACT DOCKET NO. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In the Federal Register on June 18, 2014, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) proposed new regulations designed to reduce carbon emissions from existing power plants. The proposal is designed to reduce carbon emissions by 30 percent from 2005 levels by 2030. This goal cannot be achieved without preserving the 100 nuclear power reactors that provide approximately 20 percent of America’s electricity, and almost two-thirds of America’s carbonfree electricity. EPA’s proposal recognizes this fact, and attempts to provide states with an incentive to preserve existing nuclear generating capacity. EPA also recognizes that maintaining the existing nuclear fleet is a cost-effective carbon abatement strategy. In its proposed rule, EPA estimates that the cost of keeping “at risk” nuclear plants operating is $12-$17 per metric ton of CO2 abated. This is lower than EPA’s estimate that: Adding renewable capacity costs $10-$40 per metric ton of CO2 abated; Increasing natural gas combined cycle power plant utilization rates to 70 percent costs $30 per metric ton of CO2 abated; and Implementing demand-side management programs costs $16-$24 per metric of CO2 abated. The U.S. nuclear energy industry commends EPA for recognizing the importance of nuclear energy to any credible program to reduce carbon emissions, but EPA’s treatment of nuclear energy in the proposed rule is fundamentally flawed. Despite the agency’s intent, the proposed rule will not preserve nuclear power plants at risk of premature shutdown, and creates a significant penalty for those states that have taken steps to maintain a diversified portfolio of generating assets and reduce carbon emissions by building new nuclear power plants. The nuclear generation component in the proposed rule is based on: 1. A percentage of existing nuclear capacity (six percent), which EPA considers at risk of premature shutdown. Adding six percent of 2012 nuclear megawatt-hours to the denominator when calculating a state’s intensity target will, in EPA’s view, provide states an incentive to avoid premature nuclear shutdowns. 1 2. Nuclear plants under construction (in Georgia, South Carolina and Tennessee) are treated as though they are already operating at 90 percent capacity factors. Output from those plants is added to the denominator when calculating the intensity target, thereby driving down those states’ emission rates. For both existing nuclear generating capacity and nuclear capacity under construction, this approach is not grounded in fact, seems purely arbitrary, and is unacceptable. The Proposed Rule Provides No Incentive To Preserve Existing Nuclear Generating Capacity There is no logical or factual basis to assume that six percent of the nuclear generation in every state with nuclear generation is “at risk.” Although there are nuclear plants at risk, they are generally located in states with competitive markets, not evenly distributed among all states with nuclear capacity. EPA’s approach is thus arbitrary and indefensible analytically. In some states (depending on the make-up of the state’s generation portfolio), the six percent “at risk” factor may have perverse and unintended consequences – i.e., a state could lose its nuclear generation, replace only six percent of it with other zero-carbon resources, still meet the intensity target, but total carbon emissions would increase. As a result, the six percent nuclear factor does not achieve the intended result: It provides no incentive for states to preserve nuclear capacity at risk. The Proposed Rule Penalizes States with Plants Under Construction For nuclear plants under construction, there is no logical basis to include output from these plants in the rate-setting formula. First, these plants are not complete and not operating: Their generating experience and their capacity to avoid emissions have yet to be established. Second, adding potential output from these plants to the denominator in the rate-setting formula reduces the state’s intensity target significantly, thereby penalizing states that have supported new nuclear plant construction. For example, South Carolina’s state target is 22 percent more stringent than it otherwise would be because of EPA’s treatment of Summer 2 and 3. Georgia’s and Tennessee’s targets are 14 percent more stringent on this basis. This is a substantial and unjustified penalty levied on just three states for no legitimate purpose related to the permissible goals of the Clean Air Act.1 1 See, e.g., Motor Vehicle Mfrs.’ Ass’n v. State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 436 U.S. 29, 2 (1983) (agency rules must be “based on consideration of the relevant factors and within the scope of the authority delegated to the agency by the statute”); see also Chevron U.S.A, Inc. v. NRDC, 467 U.S. 837, 845 863 (1984) (considering whether the EPA’s action was “the policy concerns that motivated the enactment,” and noting that an agency’s rules must be based on “a reasonable accommodation of conflicting policies that were committed to the agency’s care by the statute” (citations and quotation marks omitted)). 2 Although the states would be able to receive credit for these new nuclear plants – by counting the output from them in their compliance calculations – that credit is effectively nullified by including that output in the rate-setting formula. NEI does not believe output from the nuclear units under construction should be part of the rate-setting calculation. NEI also strongly opposes any efforts to, in EPA’s words, “include in the state goals an estimated amount of additional nuclear capacity whose construction is sufficiently likely to merit evaluation for potential inclusion in the goal-setting computation.”2 There is only one justifiable approach to new nuclear generating capacity that might be “under construction” either currently or at some time in the future: Remove it entirely from the target-setting calculation but credit the output to compliance. The Appropriate Treatment for Nuclear Generating Capacity in the Rule NEI believes that EPA must revise its proposal in order to provide proper credit for nuclear power as a carbon-free source of electricity, and to ensure that states have a sufficient incentive to preserve the existing nuclear fleet and to build the new nuclear energy capacity that will be required to achieve meaningful reductions in CO2 emissions. NEI does not agree with the proposed treatment of nuclear energy (including six percent of current nuclear generation and all nuclear generation under construction in the rate-setting formula). NEI also believes that two basic principles must govern the structure of any carbon reduction program: Avoided emissions have the same compliance value as emission reductions, and All zero-emission sources (nuclear, renewables, hydro, energy efficiency) displace emissions from affected units and should receive appropriate credit. Aspects of EPA’s proposed rule under Section 111(d) fail to meet these fundamental criteria. Renewable energy, nuclear energy and hydro receive vastly different treatment under the proposed rule, but nuclear energy does not receive appropriate credit. Existing renewables are included in the rate-setting formula; existing nuclear energy is not (save for six percent of existing nuclear generation considered at risk); existing hydro is ignored. EPA’s proposal does not explain why different generation sources are treated differently under the rule, and does not provide appropriate credit for existing nuclear power plants. NEI Recommendations: EPA’s 111(d) Rule Should Send States an Unequivocal Signal to Preserve Existing Nuclear Capacity, Provide Credit for “New” Nuclear Generation 2 If EPA continues with its proposed interpretation of Best System of Emission Reduction (BSER), the agency should remove the six percent “at risk” nuclear capacity from the 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,871. 3 goal calculation. Various stakeholders will doubtless offer alternative approaches to the treatment of existing nuclear generation in their comments. One approach that EPA could consider, however, is for a state to demonstrate in its plan reasonable assurance that it will preserve its existing carbon-free generating capacity, particularly nuclear generating capacity. For operating nuclear generating units in regulated states, such assurance already exists because integrated utilities have a reasonable opportunity to recover costs, plus a reasonable return. In competitive states with nuclear generating units potentially at risk, this assurance could involve a commitment to policy changes through legislation or regulation, or other market-based mechanisms, or a combination that would create incentives for continued operation of these zero-emitting generators. In the event of premature economic shutdown of a nuclear unit (most likely to occur in a competitive market if the unit is not recovering its costs), the lost nuclear kilowatt-hours should be subtracted from the denominator of the state’s compliance calculation. This would provide states an unequivocal signal that existing nuclear generating capacity has irreplaceable carbon-abatement value and must be preserved. This compliance penalty would not apply in any situation or in any state where a nuclear unit shuts down for reasons beyond a state’s control. This compliance penalty would only be applied for the period between premature shutdown and the end of the unit’s remaining useful life.3 In addition, NEI recommends that EPA consider ways to provide at least some limited compliance value for existing nuclear generating capacity, as an additional incentive to the states to preserve that capacity. For example, in all its calculations, EPA assumes a uniform 90-percent capacity factor for all nuclear power plants, existing and new. It is certainly true that the U.S. nuclear fleet, on average, has consistently achieved capacity factors in the 90-percent range for the last 15 years, but the average lifetime capacity factor of the 100 nuclear plants now operating is 81.6 percent through 2013. Given this: 1. States could be allowed to count megawatt-hours produced by any nuclear plant above an 81.6-percent capacity factor to be counted toward compliance; or 2. Alternatively, the same model could be applied on a state-by-state basis: All nuclear megawatt-hours above the lifetime capacity factor of a state’s nuclear generating units could be counted toward compliance; or 3. A single-year baseline may not be appropriate for nuclear power plants, which typically shut down only every 18-24 months for refueling and maintenance outages. If the baseline year happens to be a refueling outage year, it may understate a nuclear generating unit’s long-term performance. For this reason, the 3 The intent is to provide an incentive for states in competitive markets to maintain their nuclear generating capacity, without imposing restrictions in non-market jurisdictions. This concept requires further development before being included in final guidelines. Critical details, such as the definition of “premature economic shutdown” and “reasons beyond the state’s control,” must be addressed. 4 industry typically uses three-year rolling averages when evaluating nuclear plant performance. Given this, another option might be to allow a state to count toward compliance any nuclear megawatt-hours produced above the industry’s three-year rolling average. In sum, creating ways for states to capture limited compliance value for existing nuclear generating units would directly serve and support EPA’s principal objective – ensuring continued operation of the nation’s largest source of carbon-free generating capacity. Remove nuclear generating capacity under construction from the rate-setting formula, and allow states to include “new” nuclear generating capacity, when it is operating, in their compliance calculations, thereby providing an incentive to expand carbon-free nuclear generating capacity. “New” nuclear capacity should include: 1. New nuclear power plants (those currently under construction or others that might be built between now and 2030 and beyond); 2. Power uprates at existing nuclear plants (which increase the plant’s capacity) initiated at the beginning of the 2012 baseline year or thereafter; 3. Nuclear plants relicensed to operate beyond 60 years (second license renewal), and any nuclear plants that had not received license extensions to operate beyond their original 40-year license term as of the beginning of the 2012 baseline year. Nuclear Plant Operation Beyond 60 Years Cannot be Treated as a Foregone Conclusion The proposed rule establishes a 2030 target (30 percent reduction in carbon emissions from 2005 levels). EPA appears to intend that carbon reductions achieved under this rule be permanent and maintained beyond 2030.4 The nation’s nuclear generating capacity is licensed for an original 40-year license term, with an option (under the Atomic Energy Act) for license renewal for additional 20-year periods. Approximately three-quarters of the reactors operating today have received Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) approval to operate to 60 years. Starting in approximately 2030, existing nuclear power plants reach the end of 60 years of operation. Although the industry and the NRC are now developing the framework for an additional 20-year license renewal (past 60 years), it is not certain that all of today’s nuclear power plants will take advantage of this option. Some of this capacity will likely seek a second license renewal to operate past 60 years, but some will not. (In fact, some of today’s capacity may not reach 60 years.) Additional capital investment will 4 See 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,852 (noting that the rule would require each state to “achieve its final CO2 emission performance level by 2030, and maintain it thereafter”); id. at 34,892 (“The proposed goals reflect the EPA’s quantification of each state’s average emission rate from affected EGUs that could be achieved by 2030 and sustained thereafter ….”). 5 almost certainly be required to operate past 60 years and, in some cases, market conditions or other factors may not justify that capital investment. This situation places a high premium on (1) preserving existing nuclear generating capacity by ensuring workable regulatory requirements for second license renewal (i.e., past 60 years), and (2) building new nuclear generating capacity to maintain, at a minimum, nuclear energy’s current 20-percent share of U.S. electricity supply. An Integrated Energy and Environmental Policy is Essential The electric power industry and the federal and state governments must work cooperatively to put in place the policy instruments and financing support necessary to modernize the nation’s electricity infrastructure, increase the use of zero-carbon or low-carbon resources, replace the nuclear reactors that do not reach 60 years or retire at the end of 60 years of operation, and expand the size of the U.S. nuclear fleet beyond today’s 100 gigawatts (GW) of capacity. Absent such cooperation, nuclear energy’s share of U.S. electricity supply will likely decline, and U.S. energy and environmental goals will be seriously compromised. A continuing, growing contribution from nuclear energy is essential to produce baseload electricity at stable prices and to sustain reductions in emissions of carbon and other criteria pollutants. These challenges require an integrated, internally consistent energy and environmental policy, involving both federal and state governments. The federal government could provide the leadership necessary to develop such an integrated policy, but energy policy and environmental policy remain balkanized, scattered among several Executive Branch agencies, each pursuing separate – and not necessarily consistent – objectives. EPA’s proposed rule to reduce carbon emissions from existing power plants continues that pattern. If it is appropriate to reduce the electric power sector’s carbon footprint, that objective should be part of a larger set of energy and environmental policy initiatives that provide the policy conditions necessary to achieve those carbon reductions. 6