AMERICAN UNIVERSITY Department of Economics Comprehensive Examination Econ 01A - MA Theory January 2006 Page 1 of 6 Instructions: You must answer both the macroeconomic and microeconomic sections of this exam. Each section receives equal weight in the grading. Plan to spend about two hours on each section. Make sure you follow the directions in each section carefully. MICROECONOMICS SECTION Directions: Answer all questions from part A (short-answer questions) and from part B (long-answer questions). Please show all your work. 3 short questions + 2 long questions (answer all questions, total of 5) Part A: Answer ALL questions: (20 minutes in each – 60 minutes total)) 1. Assume there are only two goods in the economy – food and cars. a. Show that it cannot be the case that both goods are luxury goods. b. Let there be two individuals in the economy, Shelby and Chris. Shelby and Chris’s demand function for food are given by QSF (PF) = 100 - 5PF QCF(PF)= 200 – 4PF respectively. Find the aggregate demand function for food and depict this graphically. c. Using the aggregate demand function you found in (b), is the demand for food elastic? What does your answer depends on? Here ignore the proportion aggregate demand curve where Shelby’s consumption is zero. 2. Suppose Beth is considering opening a bagel shop, which is risky. With probability 0.5 the business will succeed, resulting in profits of $5,000; with probability 0.5 the business will be a failure and produces losses of $2,000. Beth’s initial wealth is $5,000. a. What is the expected value of the business venture? b. Beth’s utility function for income is U(x) = x1/2. Is she risky averse? 1 c. What is Beth’s expected utility if she opens the bagel business? Should she undertake the project? 3. Graph a typical indifference curve for the following functions. Calculate the marginal rate of substitution for each function. Are these indifference curves convex? a. U = 4X + 2Y b. U = (XY)1/2 c. U = lnX + lnY Part B: Answer ALL questions (30 minutes each – 60minutes total) question) 1. A firm’s production function for hand-squeezed orange juice uses two inputs, oranges and labor. Let x1 denote the kilograms of oranges used and let x2 denote the hours of labor used in squeezing. The production function for orange juice is Y = x11/3x21/3 Where Y is measured in liters of orange juice. Let w1 denote the cost of a kilogram of oranges and let w2 denote the wage for an hour of labor. a. Set up the profit function for this firm. Maximize with respect to x1 and x2. Find the demands for x1 and x2 and find the firm’s profit maximizing level of output. b. Ignore for now your answer to part (a). Minimize the firm’s cost of using x1 and x2 subject to producing a given Y*. What are the conditional factor demand functions of x1 and x2 subject to producing Y*? What is the cost function that minimizes the cost of producing Y* at prices w1 and w2? c. Use the cost function that you derived in part (b). Add a fixed cost of F = 100, and assume that w1 = 3 and w2 = 2. Write down the total cost function C(Y), the average fixed cost function, the average variable cost function, and the marginal cost function. Graph these. On this graph, denote the firm’s supply curve. d. Using the input prices and fixed cost from (c), and assuming that the prices of output is given by p = 20, what are firm’s profits? Redraw graph from (c), and shade the area depicting producer surplus and firm’s profit. 2 2. Joe enjoys only two things in life, eating tacos at Taco Bell and talking with friends on his cell phone. Currently, Joe has $20 dollars per month to spend on these two goods. Suppose Taco Bell is charging $0.50 per taco and his cell phone company is charging $0.25 per minute. a. Write down Carlo’s budget constraint, and depict graphically his budget set. Label the slope. b. Suppose the phone company introduces a new pricing plan where each minute after 50 minutes now costs $0.10. Draw Joe’s new budget set, labeling the slope of each segment. c. Return to the case of no discount pricing. Initially, Joe was consuming 20 minutes of cell phone time and 30 tacos per month. The price of tacos then drops to $0.25 while the price of minutes increased to $0.50. Draw Joe’s new budget set. If Joe’s preferences are well-behaved, did the change in prices make Joe better off? Why? d. Return the case where the price of tacos is $0.50 each and the price of cell phone minutes is $0.25. Again assume that with these prices Joe chooses to purchase 20 minutes of cell phone time and 30 tacos. Draw Joe’s indifference curve through this point, and label it “A”. Suppose the phone company in an effort to please its current customers begins offering the first 30 minutes of phone time for free. On the same graph, draw Joe’s new budget set. Shade the area of the available goods space that makes Joe better off. Do you know whether Joe will consume more cell phone minutes? 3 MACROECONOMICS SECTION Directions: Answer one (1) question from Part A, one (1) question from Part B and three (3) short answer questions from Part C. Please define all variables, explain all models carefully, and label all graphs used to illustrate your answers. PART A. Answer one (1) question (about 40 minutes) 1. (a) Explain carefully the essential differences between the Classical and New Keynesian (or "Neoclassical synthesis") theories of aggregate supply (AS) and aggregate demand (AD)? (Discuss how these relationships are derived and illustrate using diagrams) (b) What do the above differences suggest about the role of policy in the Keynesian and Classical models of AD/AS? (c) Use both the classical and the Keynesian models of AD/AS to show the effects of an unfavorable supply shock such as a rise in the price of oil. What are the effects of this shock in both the short run and the long run? (Illustrate your explanations using graphs; note that the “long run” in this context is the same as what Blanchard calls the “medium run”). (d) Should the central bank intervene to offset the short-run effects of a supply shock that you found in part (c)? Analyze the costs and benefits of central bank intervention in this situation and evaluate under what conditions it would or would not be justified. 2. Consider the following IS-LM model: C = 200 + 0.25Yd T = 200 I = 150 + 0.25Y − 1000i G = 250 (M/P)d = 2Y − 8000i (M/P)s = 1600 where C=consumption, Yd = disposable income, Y = national income, T = taxes, I = investment, i = interest rate, G = government expenditures, (M/P)d = real money demand, (M/P)s = real money supply. Answer the following questions: (a) Solve for the IS and LM equations. (b) What are the equilibrium levels of Y and i? (c) Now suppose that government spending increases to G = 400. What are the effects on equilibrium Y and i? (d) What happens to equilibrium investment (I) and consumption (C) after the fiscal policy change in part (c)? (e) How would your answer to part (d) change if (i) there was no “accelerator effect”? (ii) the central bank targeted the interest rate instead of the money supply? [Answer this part (e) qualitatively; no calculations are required.] 4 PART B. Answer one (1) question (about 40 minutes) 1. (a) Derive and discuss the implications of the Solow (neoclassical) growth model for: (i) the relationship between the rate of saving and the level of GDP per capita (i.e., output per worker) and (ii) the rate of population growth (assumed to be the same as the growth rate of the labor force) and the level of GDP per capita. (Hint: you can consider the Solow model with population growth or the Solow model with technological change). (b) Would your answers to part (a) change if the observed relationships were not with the level of GDP but rather with its growth rate? Explain your answer. (c) Can this model explain persistent differences in growth rates? Discuss. (d) The Solow model can be criticized on several grounds. Discuss in detail at least three of these criticisms. 2. (a) Discuss in detail at least two assumptions of the Solow growth model that can be considered unrealistic. (b) Discuss in detail two implications of the Solow growth model that are controversial or unrealistic. (c) How do the endogenous growth models try to remedy the possible weaknesses of the neoclassical model? Explain in detail. (d) Analyze the effects of an increase in a country’s saving rate using: (i) the Solow model; (ii) an endogenous growth model. Explain carefully and illustrate using graphs. Discuss the similarities and differences carefully. 3. Considering an open economy IS-LM model for a small country with perfect capital mobility, answer the following questions: (a) Explain the (uncovered) interest rate parity condition and discuss how it is used in this model. (b) Compare the effects of a fiscal expansion (e.g., an increase in government spending) on equilibrium output (Y) and the interest rate (i) under a flexible exchange rate vs. a fixed exchange rate. In the flexible case, does the home currency appreciate or depreciate, and does the exchange rate change make the fiscal stimulus more or less effective for increasing Y? Explain. (c) Now compare the effects of a foreign interest rate shock (an increase in the foreign interest rate i*) under a flexible vs. a fixed exchange rate. Which exchange rate system is preferable in this situation and why? PART C. Short Answer Questions: Choose three (3) questions. (about 40 minutes total; each answer should be about 2 paragraphs maximum) 1. Define “procyclical” and “countercyclical” time series variables. How can one determine if a variable is procyclical or countercyclical? 2. Analyze the effects of an increase in the money supply using an aggregate supply/ aggregate demand model. Be sure to show (and explain) both the short-run and “long-run” (what Blanchard calls “medium-run”) effects and explain how the 5 economy gets to the long/medium-run equilibrium. Is money “neutral” in the short run? in the long/medium run? Explain. 3. What do you understand by the term “growth accounting” and what are the main findings of growth accounting exercises with US or OECD data (or, if you prefer any other country’s data)? 4. What is the Fisher equation and what does it imply for the long run relation between the nominal interest rate and the rate of growth of money supply? 5. Briefly compare the policy implications of any three of the following: (a) the original (Keynesian) Phillips Curve model, (b) the expectations-augmented Phillips Curve model with adaptive expectations, (c) the expectations-augmented Phillips Curve model with rational expectations, and (d) the Phillips Curve model with “near rational behavior” due to Akerlof et al. No math is required (just draw diagrams and discuss). 6. Explain the relationship between the effectiveness of monetary policy and the interest elasticity of money demand. What about the relationship between Fiscal policy and the interest rate elasticity of demand? Are the two relationships different? Why? 7. Can faster growth of labor productivity (an increase in γ = ∆A/A, where A = Y/N is labor productivity) reduce the “natural rate of unemployment” (uN) in an expectations-augmented Phillips Curve model? Be sure to highlight the assumptions about expectations under which this is possible and prove your result mathematically. 8. Discuss how the behavior of unemployment has differed between the United States and Europe. Describe the reasons that may explain these differences in the behavior of unemployment. 6