LISTS AND DATA ENTRY SECTION 1 Lists and Data Entry Data is stored in the TI-83 in LISTS. There are several ways to create a list. From the home screen curly brackets can be used to store a data set in a list, with a name from L1 to L6 (Fig 1). A better method however is to use the STAT 1:Edit to go to the List Editor and enter the data directly into a column; this method is rather like using a spreadsheet on the computer (Fig 2). Fig 1 Fig 2 In the rest of this unit we will describe how to use the List Editor to define and manipulate lists. A list can be created from an existing list by placing the cursor on the list name at the top of a column and entering a formula, e.g. L1 + 10. (See Fig 3.) If this formula is entered in quotes then the new list will be automatically recalculated when data items in the original list are altered. An auto-calculating list is marked by a dot alongside the list name. In this example L2 is not auto-calculating but L3 is. Notice the change when the first data item is altered (Fig 4). Fig 3 Fig 4 MATHEMATICS 1 LISTS AND DATA ENTRY Example 1 Create a list for the following data set of average temperatures in New Zealand, given in º Fahrenheit. Jan 63 May 53 Sept 52 Feb 62 June 50 Oct 54 Mar July Nov 61 48 59 Apr Aug Dec 57 49 61 Convert these temperatures to º Centigrade, using the formula (F – 32) × (5/9). Solution To create a list use STAT 1:Edit and enter the data as L1 (Fig 5). Now with the name of L2 highlighted with the cursor enter the formula, using L1 as the temperature in º Fahrenheit (Fig 6). You can choose to make L2 auto-calculating by putting the formula into quotes. Fig 5 Fig 6 This calculation could have been done on the home screen as shown (Fig 7). Once again, by putting the formulae into quotes the list would become auto-calculating. The result of this is shown in Fig 8. Notice in this example that L2 is auto-calculating but L3 is not. Fig 7 2 Fig 8 MATHEMATICS LISTS AND DATA ENTRY Exercises 1. Create a list L1 using {4,8,11,14,15,17,20}. Create new lists L1 – 7, 3 × L1, L12. 2. Create a list showing the mean distance from the sun in millions of miles to each planet. Then create a new list showing the mean distance in millions of kilometres. Planet Mercury Venus Earth Mars Jupiter Saturn Uranus Neptune Pluto Mean distance from sun (Millions of miles) 36.00 67.24 92.90 141.73 483.86 887.15 1783.97 2796.46 3666.05 (8km = 5 miles) MATHEMATICS 3 MEDIAN, QUARTILES AND BOXPLOTS SECTION 2 Median, Quartiles and Boxplots The median of a set of data is one measure of the average or centre of the data. When the data are arranged in order, there should be an equal number of data items above and below the median. If the set has an odd number of items, then the median is one of the items. If the set has an even number of items, then the median is the mean of two items. Example 1 Find the median for this set of 24 test marks. 100 83 66 100 81 65 97 80 63 95 77 60 92 75 58 88 71 54 85 70 51 83 69 50 Solution Since there is an even number of test marks the median will be the mean of the middle pair of numbers in an ordered list. In other words, the median will be the mean of the 12th and 13th data items if this list is placed in order. On the TI-83, the median of any list can be found using LIST MATH (Figs 1 and 2). Fig 1 Fig 2 The lower quartile, Q1, of a data set can be described as the median of the lower half of the items and the upper quartile, Q3, as the median of the upper half. If the median is one of the elements, it is not included in either half. 4 MATHEMATICS MEDIAN, QUARTILES AND BOXPLOTS Example 2 Find the quartiles for the same set of test scores. Solution The lower half of this data set has 12 items, so Q1 is the mean of the 6th and 7th items, in this case 64. Similarly, the upper quartile Q3 is the mean of the 18th and 19th items, or 86.5. On the TI-83 to view the statistical results for a list of data, use STAT CALC 1: 1-Var Stats (Fig 3) followed by the list name (Fig 4). Fig 3 Fig 4 Several statistics appear (Fig 5). Use the down arrow several times to see the quartiles and median (Fig 6). Fig 5 Fig 6 Also use the VARS 5: Statistics PTS menu (Fig 7) to bring quartiles to the home screen (Fig 8). (These variables are only available after the 1-Var Stats command has been used.) Fig 7 Fig 8 The Max, Min and Quartiles of a data set are often displayed in a box and whisker plot (boxplot). MATHEMATICS 5 MEDIAN, QUARTILES AND BOXPLOTS Example 3 Create a boxplot of these test marks. Solution Ensure that the Y= screen is cleared (Fig 9) or that all functions are deselected and the Format screen is as shown (Fig 10). To create this plot use STAT PLOT, and select a plot 1, 2 or 3. Select On. For Type select the fifth icon and choose the Xlist to be the List where the data is stored, in this case LI (Fig 11). Set an appropriate window by using ZOOM 9: ZoomStat (Fig 12). Fig 11 Fig 12 The Boxplot should be displayed (Fig 13). Press TRACE and use the cursor keys to read the extremes, quartiles and median (Fig 14). Fig 13 Fig 14 Boxplots are particularly effective for comparison of two or more sets of data. Example 4 Suppose another class sitting the same test score these marks 94 70 93 64 90 61 84 54 81 53 81 48 78 40 75 32 74 Create two boxplots to compare their performance with the original class. 6 MATHEMATICS MEDIAN, QUARTILES AND BOXPLOTS Solution Enter the new scores into another list, such as L2. Each class is set up in a STAT PLOT (Fig 15). Fig 15 Fig 16 The difference between the third quartile Q3 and the first quartile Q1, is called the interquartile range. It measures the spread of the middle 50% of the data. In these examples, the interquartile ranges of the marks are 22.5 for the original class (example 1) and 29 for the second class (example 4). Any data item value less than Q1 – 1.5(Q3 – Q1) or greater than Q3 + 1.5(Q3 – Q1) is called an outlier. A modified boxplot will not put outliers on the whisker, but plot them as single points. The whisker will go to the smallest and largest data items that are not outliers. Example 5 Suppose one student from the original class takes the test late and scores 22. Create a modified box plot for the original class. Solution Add a score of 22 to L1 and choose the modified boxplot icon, icon 4 in the STAT PLOT menu; then choose how the outliers will be denoted (Fig 17). We see a different boxplot with the outlier plotted separately and the next value,50, at the end of the whisker (Fig 18). Fig 17 Fig 18 MATHEMATICS 7 MEDIAN, QUARTILES AND BOXPLOTS Exercises 1. Find the minimum, maximum, median and quartiles for the running speeds of the following creatures, given in mph. Test for outliers. Create a boxplot or modified boxplot for the data. Cheetah Coyote Rabbit Snail 2. 70 40 35 0.03 Cat Hyena Pig Man 29 40 11 28 Lion 52 Greyhound 40 Tortoise 0.18 Find the minimum, maximum, median and quartiles for heights of the following pupils. (Measurements in cm.) 159 161 163 164 165 168 168 169 171 172 173 174 175 175 3. A company has two machines that fill bottles of soft drinks. Samples from each machine show the following number of millilitres per can. Machine 1: 320, 319, 319, 321, 318, 317, 319, 316, 315, 320 Machine 2: 318, 321, 315, 315, 314, 315, 318, 317, 320, 313 Create a boxplot for each machine. Sketch one above the other. Describe the performance of the two machines. 8 MATHEMATICS TWO VARIABLE STATISTICS SECTION 3 Two Variable Statistics Objectives After completing this unit you should be able to use the TI-83 to: • draw scattergraphs • calculate and assist you in your interpretation of Pearson’s product–moment correlation coefficient. • determine the least squares regression line of y on x given by y = ax + b. • predict values using this regression line and comment on their reliability. Example The table below shows the test results for 10 students in both Maths and Physics. Maths 65 45 40 55 60 50 80 30 70 65 Physics 60 60 55 70 80 40 85 50 70 80 (i) Draw a scattergraph for this data and comment on the relationship observed. (ii) Calculate the Pearson’s product–moment correlation coefficient. (iii) Find the least squares regression line for this data. Solution to (i) 1. Enter the data into the Lists on your T1-83 (Fig 1). Fig 1 2. Enter the STAT PLOT Menu and choose PLOT 1. On this screen switch On plot 1. Choose the TYPE of graph to be a scatter graph, the 1st of the 6 icons. MATHEMATICS 9 TWO VARIABLE STATISTICS Choose which data set is to be on the x-axis and which on the y-axis by entering the appropriate list name (L1 and L2). Finally choose how the data points will be shown on the graph (Fig 2). Fig 2 3. In order to draw the graph to an appropriate range on the axes, choose ZOOM 9:ZoomStat (Fig 3). Your scattergraph is drawn (Fig 4). Fig 3 Fig 4 The range on the axes has been set automatically by the calculator. You can see what this range is by pressing the WINDOW button (Fig 5). You may also want to adjust the values selected to those of your choice (Fig 6). Fig 5 4. To see the graph again press GRAPH. Individual points on the graph can be interrogated using the TRACE button and the cursor arrows (Fig 7). Fig 7 10 Fig 6 MATHEMATICS TWO VARIABLE STATISTICS 5. Interpretation. Generally, the higher the Maths mark the higher the Physics mark, and vice versa. Marks scored for Maths and Physics appear to be correlated. Solution (ii) Pearson’s product–moment correlation coefficient simplifies algebraically to a more useful form given by: r= 1. sxy sxxsyy = ∑ xy − ∑ x ∑y n (∑ x ) (∑ y ) 2 2 ∑x − n ∑y − n 2 2 The various statistics used in this formula can be obtained on the TI-83. Choose STAT, CALC 2: 2-Var Stats (Fig 8). Enter the Names of the list holding the Data, i.e. L1 and L2. Notice that the names are separated by a comma (Fig 9). Fig 8 Fig 9 These various statistics are displayed. Notice that to see them all you must scroll down the screen (Fig 10). Fig 10 MATHEMATICS 11 TWO VARIABLE STATISTICS 2. The product–moment correlation coefficient, r, can now be calculated, either manually using the appropriate values from the above screen or using the calculator. In the CATALOG screen scroll down until you reach DiagnosticOn, press ENTER twice (Fig 11). Fig 11 Now choose STAT, CALC 4:LinReg (ax+b) (Fig 12). Next enter the List names for the data sets using a comma to separate the names (Fig 13). Fig 12 Fig 13 On pressing ENTER the following display (Fig 14) is given: Fig 14 3. 12 The value of Pearson’s product–moment correlation coefficient, r, is now seen. In this example, r = 0.7365. This would indicate that although there is a positive correlation it is not very strong. MATHEMATICS TWO VARIABLE STATISTICS The general equation of the least squares regression line of y on x is given by ∑x∑y sxy ∑ xy − n where and a = y − bx = = b y = ax + b 2 (∑ x ) sxx 2 ∑x − n The calculator has already evaluated a and b. They are a = 0.7108 and b = 25.196. So the regression line has equation y = 0.7108x + 25.196. To draw this line on the graph enter these values on the Y= screen manually, or call them up as follows. • Choose Y= (Fig 15) Fig 15 • Now choose VARS 5:Statistics (Fig 16), followed by EQ 1:RegEQ (Fig 17). Fig 16 Fig17 • This has automatically ‘called up’ the regression equation into Y1=. • This can be seen by pressing Y= (Fig 18). Fig 18 MATHEMATICS 13 TWO VARIABLE STATISTICS • To see the regression line on the graph press GRAPH (Fig 19). Fig 19 14 MATHEMATICS MEAN AND VARIANCE OF DISCRETE RANDOM VARIABLES SECTION 4 Mean and Variance of Discrete Random Variables Let X be a discrete random variable taking values x1, x2,....., xn with probabilities p 1, p2,..... pn. The variance of X, denoted by σ2, is the number σ2 = (x 1 – µ )2 p1 + (x 2 – µ )2 p2 + .......... + (x n – µ )2 pn The standard deviation σ of X is the square root of the variance. When given the probability distribution of a random variable X, the TI-83 list facility can be used to find the mean and standard deviation. Example 1 Let the output of the random variable X denote the number of defective computer parts in a shipment of 400. The following table gives the probability density function (pdf) of X: X 0 1 2 3 4 5 pdf(X) 0.02 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.08 Compute the mean and standard deviation. Solution Input the values shown in L1 and L2 (Fig 1): Fig 1 Calculate the mean and standard deviation. Use STAT CALC 1: 1-Var Stats (Fig 2) followed by the list name (Fig 3 ). MATHEMATICS 15 MEAN AND VARIANCE OF DISCRETE RANDOM VARIABLES Fig 2 Fig 3 This gives Fig 4 The mean is 2.5 and the standard deviation is 1.204. Exercises 1. A random variable X has a probability density function given by: X –2 –1 0 1 2 pdf(x) 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 Compute the mean and standard deviation. 2. Bluetits always lay three eggs. The number of eggs which hatch, X, has the following probability distribution: X 0 1 2 3 pdf(x) 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 Compute the mean and standard deviation. 16 MATHEMATICS SUMMARY STATISTICS FOR A SINGLE VARIABLE SECTION 5 Summary statistics for single or variable data Introduction: An introduction to Statistics on the graphic calculator. This topic looks at a single variable. Maths content: Basic simple Statistics. Calculator work: Use of LISTS and STATCALC operations. Level: S3 or S4 In this section you will enter some sets of data into the statistical registers (or lists) of the calculator and calculate a number of different statistics for the data. The TI-83 has six registers (called lists) for storing data. A list can hold up to 999 data values. Option 1 of the STAT EDIT menu takes you to the list screen where lists can be entered and edited. There are 3 main stages involved in using the statistical keys to find the values required. These are: • checking and clearing data lists • entering the data into one or more of the lists and editing where necessary • doing the calculations Before entering new data into your calculator it is good practice to clear away any existing data. The standard way to clear lists is using option 4 in the STAT EDIT menu. You must specify which lists you wish to clear, otherwise you will get an error message. Press [STAT] 4 [2nd] [L1] [ENTER] [STAT] 4 [2nd] [L2] [ , ] [2nd] [ L3 ] [ENTER] See Explanation To clear more than one list at a time, put a comma between the named lists. MATHEMATICS 17 SUMMARY STATISTICS FOR A SINGLE VARIABLE There are other ways of clearing lists which are sometimes faster. One method uses option 4, ClrAllLists, in the MEM menu. As the name suggests ClrAllLists clears all of the data stored in all of the lists. Press [2nd] [MEM] 4 [ENTER] If you examine the list screen you will see that all data has been cleared from each list. A third method of clearing lists is as follows. Press [STAT] 1. The display in the screenshot shows some typical data values. Press [ ∆ ] to move the cursor over L1 at the top of the screen. Press [CLEAR] [ENTER] and all the values in L 1 disappear. To clear L2, position the cursor over L2 at the top of the screen and press [CLEAR] [ENTER]. Repeat for the other lists. The following simple example illustrates how to find a number of statistics for a set of data. Example 1 The marks obtained by pupils in a Geography class test (out of 12 ) were 2, 10, 11, 3, 5, 8, 12, 7, 8, 8 Entering the data Press [STAT ] and you will see the screen shown. Now press 1 or [ENTER] to see the lists. The data are entered one at a time, pressing [ENTER] after each item is entered. Press 2 [ENTER] 10 [ENTER] 11 [ENTER] etc until all the data are entered. Once all the data have been entered the calculator is ready to provide you with the various summary values. 18 MATHEMATICS SUMMARY STATISTICS FOR A SINGLE VARIABLE You can obtain these values by: • selecting 1 - Var Stats from the STAT CALC menu • entering the list to which it is to be applied (in this case L1 ) • pressing [ENTER] to confirm your selection. You should obtain the results in the diagrams which follow. Press See Explanation [STAT] [ ] This is the STATCALC menu. You need to select option 1: 1-Var Stats. 1 [2nd] [L1] 1 - Var Stats is pasted to the Home screen. The list to be summarised, L 1, is entered. [ENTER] The ‘one variable’ summary statistics are displayed. Use the [ ∇ ] key to scroll down to see more. These results are explained as follows: x is the mean of the values in the list. Σx is the sum of the values. Σx2 is the sum of the squares of the values. Sx and σx are measures of how widely spread the data are. (Sx is the value obtained when n–1 is used to calculate the standard deviation and σx is the value obtained when n is used ). n is the number of values in the list. minX and maxX are the lowest and highest values in the list. Med is the median – the middle value when the data are sorted into ascending order. Q1 and Q 3 are known as the quartiles. MATHEMATICS 19 SUMMARY STATISTICS FOR A SINGLE VARIABLE Example 2 A popular brand of battery is sold in packs of four. A price check was made in eleven different large stores and produced the following results: Store Price Store Price W H Smith Woolworth Currys Boots Dixons Rackhams £ £ £ £ £ £ Superdrug Tesco Sainsbury Great Mills Quick Buy £ £ £ £ £ 3.49 3.09 3.49 3.29 3.39 3.79 3.29 2.99 3.29 3.49 3.76 Enter these prices into one of the data lists of the calculator and produce summary statistics for the data. Example 3 Two groups of rats were provided with different diets, one group having a restricted diet and the other permitted free eating. A note was made of the number of days that the rats in each group lived and this data is shown in the lists. Length of lives of rats on a restricted diet and free eating: Restricted 1136 901 1327 1220 789 1181 604 1085 1045 211 974 Free eating 675 791 630 731 547 768 387 702 736 836 Notice that these are not paired data – there is no link between, for example, the first values in each list. Produce summary statistics for these sets of data. 20 MATHEMATICS SUMMARY STATISTICS FOR A SINGLE VARIABLE Calculating the mean and other statistics from frequency data Example 4 The example shows the daily temperatures at midday during the month of June one year. Temp. (°C) Frequency 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Temp. (°C) 1 2 2 3 3 3 1 19 20 21 22 23 24 Frequency 4 2 3 3 2 1 Enter the temperature values in list L1 and the corresponding frequencies in list L2. You now need to instruct the calculator to perform a 1-Var Stats summary of the values in lists L1 and L2. Press See Explanation [STAT] [ ] 1 [2nd] [L1] [ , ] [2nd] [L2 ] Select 1 - Var Stats and paste it to the Home screen. Notice the order: L1 values first, L2 (frequencies) second. [ENTER] Confirm the selection. The summary statistics are displayed. [∇] Scroll downwards to display all the information. MATHEMATICS 21 BOXPLOTS SECTION 6 Boxplots (1) Introduction: This unit explains how to enter data into lists, set up a plot and then to display the plot. Maths content: Statistics – boxplots. Calculator work: LISTS, STATPLOTS. S3 or S4 Level: (This section is adapted from a feature in Tapping into Mathematics with the TI-83 Graphic Calculator, (eds) Barrie Galpin and Alan Graham, Addison Wesley, 1997.) There are three main stages involved in obtaining boxplots on the TI-83. These are: • Entering the data • Setting up the plots • Displaying the plots. Example The gross weekly earnings including overtime for 17 chefs and cooks in £s are shown in the table. Women Men 165 210 110 235 152 128 172 136 147 275 233 188 165 330 130 200 249 Construct a boxplot for each set of data. Start by entering the data into the calculator. Enter women’s earnings in L1 and enter the earnings for men in L 2. Press [2nd] [STAT PLOT]. Each time you wish to set up one or more plots, it is a good idea to begin by switching off all the plots; then switch on the plot which you wish to be displayed. 22 MATHEMATICS BOXPLOTS For the example above two plots must be set up: Plot 1 for the women’s earnings and Plot 2 for the men’s earnings. Select option 1 by pressing either 1 or [ENTER]. Set up Plot 1 as shown ensuring that all the other plots are off. Now move the cursor to the top of the screen and press [ ] to select Plot 2 and press [ENTER]. Now set up Plot 2 as shown. The boxplots are now set up and are ready to be displayed. From the [ZOOM] menu select 9 : ZoomStat. Two boxplots are displayed on the graphing screen. Plot 1 is at the top of the screen and Plot 2 is beneath it. Using TRACE with boxplots The five values which should be marked on a boxplot are: min, Q1, Median, Q3, max Press the [TRACE] key which is located in the top row of the keyboard. Using the right and left cursor keys you can display the above five values on the screen one at a time. Using the up and down cursor keys moves the cross from one boxplot to the corresponding point of the other boxplot. Modified boxplots The TI-83 allows you to draw what are called modified boxplots which are selected using the fourth icon when you are setting up the statistical plots. MATHEMATICS 23 BOXPLOTS The boxplots obtained are similar to regular boxplots except that points more than 1.5 times the interquartile range are plotted individually beyond the end marks of the boxplot. You can trace these points, which are known as outliers. Boxplots (2) (This section is adapted from an item in graphiTI 6 and 7. graphiTI is the newsletter of the TI user group at The Centre for Teaching Mathematics, University of Plymouth.) Not all the measures (mean, median and mode) are suitable for all types of data. For symmetrical data the best measure of average is the mean and the best measure of spread is the standard deviation. (The sample standard deviation is denoted by Sx , the population standard deviation is denoted by σx). For skewed data the best measure of average is the median and the best measure of spread is the interquartile range (Q3 – Q1). Encouraging students to see the shape of the data before calculating the statistics will ensure that they pick out the appropriate measures. The TI-83 can be used to investigate data and summary statistics as follows. Enter the following data into L 1: 4 5 7 6 7 8 8 32 5 14 9 5 14 20 21 6 Set up the [STATPLOT] as shown. Draw a Boxplot showing this data by pressing Zoom 9. From your Boxplot how can you describe the data set? Symmetrical, skewed or what? Calculate the statistics on the data. From [STAT] and CALC choose 1- Var Stats and enter L 1. 24 MATHEMATICS BOXPLOTS A lot of information will appear! What is the appropriate measure of average, the mean(x) or the median (Med)? In the following exercise, find a suitable measure for the average of the data. 1. The following are the sizes of 28 families with children: 3 4 2. 3 5 4 7 4 3 5 6 4 5 5 7 4 5 6 6 4 4 5 3 5 6 7 6 The following are the number of nights stayed in Britain by a sample of 22 overseas visitors in 1996: 1 6 3. 6 5 3 7 2 9 3 11 3 12 1 14 4 15 6 17 7 20 4 22 5 25 The data is the temperature in degrees Centigrade at a weather centre for two weeks in May: 10 11 13 13 9 16 12 14 15 12 10 15 8 10 Either a boxplot or a histogram of the data is the best way to see if the data is skewed. MATHEMATICS 25 MARKS IN EXAMS SECTION 7 Marks in exams: Linear regression Introduction: A look at scattergraphs and the line of best fit for sets of data. Maths content: Straight line fit to data. Calculator work: Using LISTS, STATCALC operations, drawing scattergraphs. S3 or S4 Level: The graphic calculator can be used to plot scatter graphs and to determine the equation of the line of best fit for linear data. Example 13 pupils sat tests in Mathematics, Physics and English. The results are shown in the table below: Maths Physics English 74 61 40 38 62 58 31 48 50 35 20 80 24 69 63 37 27 53 60 27 30 62 43 20 72 14 38 50 72 82 28 57 68 51 21 70 92 16 96 Enter the data into lists L1, L2 and L 3. Consider first the relationship between the Mathematics mark and the Physics mark. Set up Plot 1 as shown, ensuring that all other plots are off. From the [ZOOM] menu choose 9 : ZoomStat. The graph shown will appear. 26 MATHEMATICS MARKS IN EXAMS As the data looks linear we could perform linear regression on it. Press [STAT], choose CALC and then 4: LinReg(ax+b). We want to perform linear regression on L1 and L2 and put the resulting equation into Y1 so that we can plot it on the graph. Enter L1 , L2 and Y 1 as the argument and press [ENTER]. Y1 can be found under [VARS], Y-VARS, 1: Function. The display gives the values of a and b. What has the calculator worked out? The graphic calculator has worked out the theoretical line of best fit using a process called Linear Regression. The equation relating the Mathematics mark to the Physics mark is stored in Y1. The fitted line can be seen by pressing [GRAPH]. Making predictions with the Line of Best Fit Pressing the [TRACE] function allows you to work out a good estimate for any student who may have missed any exams. By using the cursor keys you can display the x and y coordinates at any point along the line. One student was absent for her Physics test. If she scored 54 in her Mathematics test, what mark would you give her for Physics? Repeat the previous steps to find equations to represent the relationships between: (i) (ii) the Mathematics and English marks the Physics and English marks. What mark should the absent student be awarded if she missed her exam in English? Remember: always plot a scatter diagram of your data first. MATHEMATICS 27 HIGHWAY CODE SECTION 8 Highway Code Introduction: This topic investigates the stopping distance of a car which is made up of the thinking distance and the braking distance. Maths content: Fitting lines and curves to data. Calculator work: LISTS and STATCALC functions. Level: S3 The Highway Code gives the following data for the shortest braking distances of a car (with good brakes on a dry road) travelling at different speeds. The total distance is made up from the distance travelled before the driver realises what’s happening (thinking distance) and the distance travelled in bringing the car to a stop (braking distance). Stopping Distances Speed (mph) 20 30 40 50 60 70 Thinking distance(m) 6 9 12 15 18 21 Braking distance(m) 6 14 24 38 55 75 Total (m) 12 23 36 53 73 96 (Average length of car = 4m; Source – Highway Code) 1. Display Speed against Thinking Distance and find the equation connecting S and d. 2. See if you can find a quadratic equation connecting the speed S and the Braking Distance d. 3. Find the equation connecting the Speed S and the Total Distance d. 4. Use the equation in (3) to predict the overall stopping distance for cars travelling at speeds of (i) 55 mph (ii) 73 mph 28 MATHEMATICS HIGHWAY CODE The formula obtained in the above questions contribute towards road safety in a number of ways. They are used to provide advice to drivers on the distance to leave between vehicles; they can also be used by road drivers in considering safe visibility distance and in devising safe speed limits for different types of roads. Solutions Enter the speeds, thinking, braking and total distances in lists L1, L2 , L3 and L4 respectively. 1. The following screenshots illustrate the steps involved in entering the data in lists L 1 – L4. setting up the plot for L1 against L2. obtaining the plot which is a straight line. finding the line of best fit. obtaining the equation of the line. 2. The following screenshots again illustrate the steps involved in setting up the plot for L1 against L3. calculating the quadratic fit to the data. The quadratic is shown. MATHEMATICS 29 HIGHWAY CODE 3. Simply adding the results in the previous two parts will give you the result for the total distance. (Y3 = Y1 + Y2) Obtain S = 0.016d2 + 0.263d + 0.6 30 MATHEMATICS FIRE DAMAGE SECTION 9 Fire Damage Introduction: The relationship between the distance from the site of a fire to the nearest fire station and the amount of damage caused by the fire is investigated. Maths content: Linear regression. Calculator work: Use of LISTS and STATCALC operations. Level: S3 or S4 An insurance company decided to investigate the relationship between the distance from the site of a fire to the nearest fire station (miles) and the amount of damage caused by the fire in thousands of dollars. It investigated a sample of 15 major residential fires in a particular suburban area, obtaining the data shown in the table below. Distance x 3.4 Fire Damage y 26.2 1.8 17.8 4.6 31.3 2.3 23.1 3.1 27.5 5.5 36.0 0.7 14.1 Distance x 2.6 Fire Damage y 19.6 4.3 31.1 2.1 24.0 1.1 17.3 6.1 43.2 4.8 36.4 3.8 26.1 3.0 22.3 Consider the relationship between distance and fire damage. Enter the data into lists L1 and L2 as shown. Set up Plot 1 as shown ensuring that all other Plots are off. From the [ZOOM] menu choose 9 : ZoomStat MATHEMATICS 31 FIRE DAMAGE The graph shown will appear. As the data looks linear we could perform linear regression on it. Press [STAT], and choose CALC and then select 4: Linreg(ax+b) We want to perform linear regression on L1 and L2 and put the resulting equation into Y1 so that we can plot it on the graph. Enter L1 , L2 and Y1 as the arguments and press [ENTER]. (Y1 can be found under [VARS], Y-VARS, 1 : Function.) The display gives the values of a and b. What has the calculator actually worked out? The calculator has worked out the line of best fit using a process called Linear Regression. The equation connecting distance to fire damage is stored in Y1 . Press [GRAPH] to show the fitted line. Use the line to estimate the amount of damage that would be caused by a future residential fire at a site 5 miles from the nearest fire station. To do this press [TRACE] [ ∆ ] and enter a 5 to obtain the result. How sensible do you think it would be to estimate from the graph, the amount of damage for a fire at a distance 10 miles from the nearest fire station? If you think it is not sensible explain why. 32 MATHEMATICS BREAKING STRENGTH OF CABLES SECTION 10 Breaking strength of cables Introduction: The breaking strength of cables depends on the diameter of the cable. It is required to find an equation connecting the diameter and the breaking strength. Maths content: Fitting equations to data. Calculator work: Use of STATCALC and PwrReg. S5 or S6 Level: Cables are tested under laboratory conditions to determine their breaking strength. Weights are attached to the cable and this weight is steadily increased until the cable breaks. The breaking strength of the cable is a function of the diameter of the cable. The results obtained in a number of experimental trials are shown in the table below. Diameter of the cable x(mm) Maximum weight held by the cable before breaking y(kg) 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 2.85 11.41 35.51 65.43 122.07 202.81 326.51 498.46 700.36 Engineers believe that an equation of the form y = kxn could be used to represent the data for the cables. This equation once determined could be used to estimate the breaking strengths of cables whose diameters are not listed in the table above. MATHEMATICS 33 BREAKING STRENGTH OF CABLES Enter the data in lists L 1 and L2 as shown. Press [STAT] CALC and select A: PwrReg and paste it to the home screen. Enter the arguments as shown and press [ENTER] to obtain the results. The equation representing the breaking strength of cables is given by y = 2.95x 3.40 This equation is stored in Y1. Press [2 nd] [STATPLOT] and set up Plot 1 as shown. Press [ZOOM] and select 9: ZoomStat The graph shows the curve and the data points. The equation is a good fit to the data. We can now use the equation to estimate the breaking strengths for cables with diameters not in the table. We can estimate the breaking strength of cables with diameters 2.25 and 3.65 by calculating Y 1(2.25) and Y 1(3.65) as shown. 34 MATHEMATICS BREAKING STRENGTH OF CABLES Task The data below shows the breaking strength for a number of cables. Fit an equation of the form y = kxn to the data and use it to estimate the breaking strengths for d = 1.65 and d =4.75 Diameter 1 2 3 4 5 6 Breaking strength 3.26 15.17 30.49 63.28 145.51 202.02 MATHEMATICS 35 BREEDING GULLS SECTION 11 Breeding Gulls Introduction: A study is made over a number of years of the number of pairs of gulls breeding on a nature reserve. Students are required to fit an equation to the data so that future breeding numbers can be estimated. Maths content: Functions of the form f(x) = abx. Calculator work: STATCALC; Use of ExpReg function. S5 or S6 Level: The number of pairs of breeding gulls estimated each year in a nature reserve is recorded over a 10-year period. The figures are given in the table below: Year 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Number 422 462 505 554 606 664 727 796 871 954 To model the population scientists believe that pairs breed according to the formula P(n) = ab n where n is the number of years after records are started. Enter the data in lists L 1 and L2 as shown. Press [STAT] CALC and select 0: ExpReg and paste it to the home screen by pressing [ENTER]. 36 MATHEMATICS BREEDING GULLS Enter the arguments as shown and press [ENTER] to obtain the results. The equation representing the number of breeding pairs is given by P(n) = 385.259 × 1.095n This equation is stored in Y1. Press [2nd] [STATPLOT] and set up plot 1 as shown. Press [ZOOM] and select 9: ZoomStat The graph shows the curve and the data points. Using the equation for values outside the range of the table is called extrapolation and generally this procedure is not recommended except for estimation purposes. We can estimate the number of breeding gulls in the next two years by calculating Y1(11) and Y 1(12) as shown. Task The data shows the number of pairs of breeding herons. Fit an equation of the form P = abn to the data and use it to estimate the figures for 1997 to 2000. Year 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Pairs 290 343 404 477 563 664 MATHEMATICS 37 PENDULUM LENGTHS AND PERIODS SECTION 12 Pendulum lengths and periods (This section is adapted from a topic in the handbook for the TI-83) Introduction: The mathematical relationship between the time of swing and the length of the string for a simple pendulum is to be established. Maths content: Fitting curves to data. Calculator work: LISTS, STATPLOTS, STATCALC operation. Level: S4 or S5 A group of students are attempting to determine the mathematical relationship between the length of a pendulum and its period (the time taken for one complete swing of the pendulum). The students make a simple pendulum from string and washers and then suspend it from the ceiling. They record the pendulum’s period for each of 12 string lengths. The results are shown in the table. Length (cm) 6.5 11.0 13.2 15.0 18.0 23.1 24.4 26.6 30.5 34.3 37.6 41.5 Time(sec) 0.51 0.68 0.73 0.79 0.88 0.99 1.01 1.08 1.13 1.26 1.28 1.32 Enter the 12 string lengths in list L 1. Enter the corresponding times in L2 . 38 MATHEMATICS PENDULUM LENGTHS AND PERIODS Press [2nd] [STAT PLOT] and set up Plot 1 as shown ensuring that all other plots are off. From the [ZOOM] menu choose 9: ZoomStat The graph shown will appear. This is a scatter plot of the length against time data. Since the scatter plot of length against time appears to be approximately linear, fit a line to the data. We want to perform linear regression on L1 and L 2 and store the resulting equation in Y1 so that we can plot it on the graph. Press [STAT] CALC and select 4: LinReg. Enter L1 , L2 and Y1 as the arguments and press [ENTER]. Y1 can be found under [VARS], Y-VARS, 1: Function. The display gives the values of a and b. What has the calculator actually worked out? The calculator has worked out the theoretical line of best fit using a process called Linear Regression. Residuals are calculated and are stored automatically in the list name RESID,which becomes an item on the LIST NAMES menu. (The residual is the difference between the y value of a plotted point and the y value on the regression line, for the same x value.) Press [GRAPH]. The regression line and the scatterplot are both displayed. MATHEMATICS 39 PENDULUM LENGTHS AND PERIODS The regression line appears to fit the central portion of the scatter plot well. However a residual plot may provide more information about this fit. Press [STAT] 1 to select 1:Edit. The stat list editor is displayed. Press [ ] and [ ∆ ] to move the cursor onto L3. Press [2nd] [INS]. The unnamed column is displayed in column 3 L 3, L 4, L5 and L6 shift right one column. The Name = prompt is displayed in the entry line, and the alpha-lock is on. Press [2nd] [LIST] to display the LIST NAMES menu. If necessary press [ ∇ ] to move the cursor onto the list name RESID. Press [ENTER] to select RESID and paste it to the stat list editor’s Name= prompt. Press [ENTER] and RESID is stored in column 3 of the stat list editor. Press [ ∇ ] repeatedly if you wish to examine the residuals. Notice that the first three residuals are negative. They correspond to the shortest pendulum string lengths in L 1. The next five residuals are all positive and three of the last four are negative. The latter correspond to the longer string lengths in L1. Plotting the residuals will show this pattern more clearly. Press [2nd] [STAT PLOT] 2 to select Plot 2 and select the arrangement shown in the diagram. RESID is simply typed into the Ylist. Press [Y=] to display the Y= editor. Deselect Y1 and switch off Plot 1. Press [ZOOM] 9 to select 9: ZoomStat from the ZOOM menu and Plot 2 is displayed as shown. This is a scatter plot of the residuals. 40 MATHEMATICS PENDULUM LENGTHS AND PERIODS Notice that the pattern of the residuals is a group of negative residuals, then a group of positive residuals, then a group of negative residuals. The residual pattern indicates a curvature associated with the data set for which the linear model did not account. The residual plot indicates a downward curvature, so a model that curves down with the data would be more accurate. Perhaps a function such as a square root would fit. Try a power regression to fit a function of the form y = axb. Press Press Press 2. Press [Y=] to display the Y= editor. [CLEAR] to clear the linear regression equation from Y1. [ ∆ ] [ENTER] to turn on Plot 1. Press [ ] [ENTER] to turn off Plot [ZOOM] 9 and the original scatterplot appears again. Select PwrReg from the STAT CALC menu. The arguments are L1, L2 and Y1 as before. Press [ENTER] to calculate the power regression which is entered in Y1. Again the residuals are stored automatically in the list name RESID. Press [GRAPH] and the regression line and the scatter plot are displayed. The new function y = 0.192x0.523 appears to fit the data well. To get more information we could again examine a residual plot. Press [Y=] to display the Y= editor. Press [ ] [ENTER] to deselect Y1. Press [ ∆ ] [ENTER] to turn off Plot 1. Press [ ] [ENTER] to turn on Plot 2. Press [ZOOM] 9 to select ZoomStat from the Zoom menu. Plot 2, a scatter plot of the residuals, is displayed. MATHEMATICS 41 PENDULUM LENGTHS AND PERIODS The new residual plot shows that the residuals are random in sign, with the residuals increasing in magnitude as the string length increases. With this model, the largest residual is about 0.041 and the smallest negative residual is about –0.027. All other residuals are less than 0.02 in magnitude. Now that you have a good model for the relationship between length and period you can use the model to predict the period for a given string length. To predict the periods for a pendulum with string lengths of 20cm and 50cm continue with the steps (explained earlier) to paste Y1 onto the home screen. Obtain Y1(20) and Y 1(50) as shown. Note: Since a string length of 50cm exceeds the lengths in the data set, and since residuals appear to be increasing as string length increases, we would expect more error with this estimate. This latter estimate is called extrapolation. 42 MATHEMATICS