Forecasting Ecological Change in the Central Plains Biodiversity Focus Group Craig C. Freeman Biodiversity Institute & Kansas Biological Survey University of Kansas Lawrence, KS 66047 ccfree@ku.edu Primary Objectives Deploy natural history collection data to: document biodiversity patterns add value to existing collections build public support for biodiversity Answer fundamental questions about how human-mediated changes affect the biodiversity of the Central Plains ecological services agriculture (crops, pollinators, pests, forage) public health (disease vectors, emerging diseases) invasive species Web-based integration of occurrence data for critical collections that are digitally ready Databasing and georeferencing of critical collections that are not digitally ready Integration, mapping, and analysis of biodiversity data using web-based informatics tools Survey and inventory of target areas and taxa where critical gaps are identified Molecular sequencing of target taxa for species identification and analysis of genetic patterns across ecological gradients Collection Assets Primary Assets Kansas State University University of Kansas Museum of Entomological and Prairie Arthropod Research – 824,000 insects Herbarium – 200,000 vascular plants and bryophytes Biodiversity Institute – >7 million specimens KBS Aquatic Insect Collection – 500,000 specimens Secondary Assets Ft. Hays State University Sternberg Museum – fish collections State Agencies KDHE – 55,000 invertebrate records from stream monitoring work KDWP – mussel collections Processing Collection Data Taxon Priorities Asset Assessment Databased? No Database Yes Georeferenced? No Georeference Yes Error Estimated? Yes Integrate No Estimate Error Taxon Priorities Identified in proposal Birds Fish Insects Terrestrial (grasshoppers) Aquatic Mammals Reptiles Unionid mussels Vascular plants Taxon Priorities Potential additions Aquatic invertebrate data collected by KDHE and KDWP (vouchers?) Leafhoppers, crickets Lichens Processing Collection Data Taxon Priorities Asset Assessment Databased? No Database Yes Georeferenced? No Georeference Yes Error Estimated? Yes Integrate No Estimate Error Priority Collections & Taxa Collection Total Specimens Great Plains Specimens Great Plains Databased Great Plains Georeferenced Great Plains Error Estimate Lichens (KU) 10,000 9,000 (90) 8,100 (90) 6,075 (75) 0 (0) Plants (KSU) 200,000 100,000 (50) 30,000 (30) 0 (0) 0 (0) Plants (KU) 375,000 225,000 (60) 125,000 (56) 7,500 (6) 0 (0) Subtotal Plants/Lichens 575,000 334,000 (58) 163,100 (49) 13,575 (8) 0 (0) Amphibians/Reptiles (KU) 292,000 40,000 (13.7) 40,000 (100) 25,844 (64.6) 25,844 (64.6) Birds (KU) 100,000 41,535 (41.5) 41,535 (100) 528 (1) 0 (0) Fish (KU) 630,000 567,000 (90) (19,895 lots) 567,000 (100) (19,895 lots) 567,000 (100) (19,895 lots) 0 (0) Insects (KSU) 824,000 659,000 (80) 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0) 4,300,000 2,795,000 (65) 419,250 (15) 377,330 (90) 0 (0) Invertebrates (KDHE/KDWP) 55,300 55,300 (100) 55,300 (100) 55,300 (100) 0 (0) Invertebrates (KU) 1,000 200 (20) 200 (100) 160 (80) 0 (0) 165,000 55,926 (34) 55,926 (100) 54,728 (98) 33,013 (60.3) 6,367,300 4,213,961 (66) 1,179,211 (28) 1,080,890 (92) 58,857 (5.5) 6,942,300 4,547,961 (65) 1,342,311 (29) 1,094,465 (82) 58,857 (5.4) Insects (KU) Mammals (KU) Subtotal Animals Grand Total Specimens Processing Collection Data Taxon Priorities Asset Assessment Databased? No Database Yes Georeferenced? No Georeference Yes Error Estimated? Yes Integrate No Estimate Error Databasing Issues Infrastructure support Specify – collection management software DiGIR (Distributed Generic Information Retrieval) – protocols and tools for linking independent databases Most retroactive databasing in 2006/2007 done with non-EPSCoR resources KS specimens processed first; NE and CO specimens next, followed by other Great Plains specimens Retroactive Databasing >70,000 specimen records added to databases since mid-2006 Insects Vascular plants KSU – 4,500 grasshoppers KU – 1,000 grasshoppers KSU – 54,000 KU – 11,000 (QC = 15,500) Lichens KU – 700 (QC = 1,000) How Many Specimens? Nebraska Vascular Plants Birds Reptiles Fish Mammals Lichens Inverts Colorado Kansas 0 50 100 150 200 250 Databased specimens (x1000) from KS, CO, and NE in collections at the University of Kansas. CO and NE totals do not include an estimated 20,000 undatabased plant records from each state. Estimates of the number of insect records remain unreliable. Georeferencing and Error Estimation Issues MaNIS (Mammal Network Information System) protocols used for georeferencing and error estimation BioGeomancer Workbench not available for batch processing of records Two-step approach used to process records until Workbench is available (summer 2007?) Georeferencing and Error Estimation High priority Medium priority Birds Insects (selected groups) Vascular plants Amphibians/reptiles Invertebrates Lichens Low priority Fish Mammals Georeferencing and Error Estimation Started with 29,361 KS bird records Started with 131,735 KS plant records Survey, Inventory, Modeling, and Molecular Studies Biodiversity research projects involving graduate students Phylogeography of the Common Nighthawk (Brett Benz, supervised by A.T. Peterson) Variation among populations of selected riverine fishes in the Kansas River basin and other basins in the Great Plains (Matt Davis and Pingfu Chen, supervised by E.O. Wiley) Goals for the 2nd Year Add 75,000–100,000 new specimen records to databases Georeferencing and error estimation Process ca. 200,000 specimens Complete KS specimens; start NE and CO Protocols for attaching georeference and error data with original collection data Deploy collection data for vascular plants, lichens, birds Acknowledgments Special Thanks KSU M. Papes (KU birds), A. Peterson (KU birds) H. Huang, B. McCann, M. Sedarous, C. Ramirez, J. Soberón, D. WhiteMan (KU) Kansas State University Herbarium: C. Ferguson, M. Mayfield, S. Mohandass Museum of Entomological and Prairie Arthropod Research: G. Zolnerowich Biology: M. Evans-White, K. Gido, D. Hoeinghaus, A. Joern KU Biodiversity Institute: A. Bentley (fish), R. Brown (herps), A. Crowther (inverts), M. Engel (insects), Z. Falin (insects), D. Fautin (inverts), C. Morse (plants), A. Peterson (birds), M. Robbins (birds), J. Simmons (herps), J. Thomas (insects), R. Timm (mammals), L. Trueb (herps), E. Wiley (fish) Kansas Biological Survey: D. Huggins (aquatic insects), P. Liechti (aquatic insects), E. Martinko (insects)