InFER Conference Schedule: March 28th – April 1st
Events labelled “A” and “B” run parallel to each other (applies to workshops and short talks).
Monday
28.03.11
12.00-13.45
Registration & Lunch
13.45-14.00
Welcome
Gareth Roberts, Director of CRiSM
14.00-15.00 Plenary I – Peter Diggle
“Partial Likelihood Analysis of Spatio-temporal Processes”
15.00-15.45 Main Talk 1 – Denis Mollison
“The Structure of Epidemic Models”
15.45-16.15
Tea & Coffee
16.15-17.00 Main Talk 2 – Theodore Kypraios
“Efficient Likelihood-free Inference for Partially Observed Stochastic Epidemic Models”
17.00-17.45 Main Talk 3 – Chris Jewell
“InFER - An Integrated Disease Management System”
17.45-
Poster Session
Wine & Buffet Reception
Tuesday
09.00-12.00
29.03.11
InFER Workshops
Workshop A: “An Introduction to Bayesian Analysis for Epidemic Models”
Workshop B: “Putting Quantitative Epidemiology into Practice”
12.00-13.00 Plenary II – Gavin Gibson
“Assessing the Adequacy of Epidemic Models Using Hybrid Approaches”
13.00-14.00
Lunch
14.00-15.00 Plenary III – Christl Donnelly
“Understanding the Links Between Badgers, Culling and Bovine TB: Silver Bullet or Cautionary Tale?”
15.00-15.45 Main Talk 4 – Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba
Generation and Other Times in Epidemic Models
15.45-16.15
Tea & Coffee
16.15-17.00
Main Talk 5 - Daniela de Angelis - Title: TBA
17.00-17.45 Main Talk 6 – William Browne
“Using Discrete Time Survival Models to Model Breakdown with TB of Cattle Using the Randomised
Badger Culling Trial Dataset”
19.00-
Dinner in Rootes Restaurant
Wednesday
09.00-10.00
30.03.11
Plenary IV - Neil Ferguson - Title: TBA
10.00-10.45 Main Talk 7 – Michael Höhle
“suRv's up: Statistical Software for the Surveillance of Infectious Diseases”
10.45-11.15
Tea & Coffee
11.15-11.45
Short Talks A1 & B1
Short Talk A1 – Juliane Manitz
“Bayesian Hierarchical Model Algorithm for Automated Detection of Infectious Disease Outbreaks”
Short Talk B1 – Leo Zijerveld
“Estimating Parameters for Stochastic Models of Demography and Disease in Wildlife Populations”
11.45-12.15
Short Talks A2 & B2
Short Talk A2 – Trevelyan McKinley
“Exact Simulation-based Inference in Temporal Epidemic Models”
Short Talk B2 – Jantien Backer
“Classical and Bayesian Analyses of Transmission Experiments”
12.15-13.00 Main Talk 8 – Ashley Ford
“Indian Buffet Epidemics - A Non-parametric Bayesian Approach to Modelling Heterogeneity”
13.00-14.00
Lunch
14.00-14.30
Short Talks A3 & B3
Short Talk A3 – Nikolaos Demiris
“On the Epidemic of Financial Crises”
Short Talk B3 – Paul Birrell
“Efficient use of SMC Methods in Structured Epidemic Models with Deterministic Dynamics”
14.30-15.00
Short Talks A4 & B4
Short Talk A4 – Glenn Marion
“Inferring the Spatial Spread of Invasive Aliens Using Epidemiological Models”
Short Talk B4 – Emanuele del Fava
“Statistical Inference for Models of Close-contact Disease Transmission. A Comparison of Bayesian Melding
and Bootstrap Models”
15.00-15.30
Tea & Coffee
15.30-16.15 Main Talk 9 – Mark Woolhouse
“Foot-and-mouth Disease Virus Dynamics at Different Spatial Scales”
16.15-17.15 Plenary V – Laura Green
“Are Clinicians Naturally Bayesian: Can a Bayesian Approach Inform Decision Making?”
19.00-
Dinner in Rootes Restaurant
Thursday
31.03.11
09.00-09.45 Main Talk 10 – Daniel Wilson
“Integrating Models of Evolutionary Ancestry and Transmission”
09.45-10.30
Main Talk 11 - Emma McBryde - Title: TBA
10.30-11.00
Tea & Coffee
11.00-11.30
Short Talks A5 & B5
Short Talk A5 – Anne Presanis
“Changes in Severity of Pandemic (H1N1/A) 2009 Influenza in England: a Bayesian Evidence Synthesis”
Short Talk B5 – Magne Aldrin
“Space-time Modelling of the Spread of a Disease Between Marine Fish Farms”
11.30-12.00
Short Talks A6 & B6
Short Talk A6 – Niel Hens
“Inferring Reproductive Numbers from Final Size Epidemic Data on Hepatitis A in Flanders, Belgium:
Truncation, Censoring and Heterogeneity”
Short Talk B6 – Susanna Lewerin
“Applying Epidemiological Methods in Outbreak Situations”
12.00-13.00 Panel Discussion
“Quantitative Epidemiology in Policy-making”
13.00-14.00
Lunch
14.00-14.30
Short Talks A7 & B7
Short Talk A7 – Brendan Klick
“Transmissibility of Seasonal and Pandemic Influenza in a Cohort of Households in Hong Kong”
Short Talk B7 – Madeleine Cule
“Modelling Transmission of Clostridium Difficile in Hospitals”
14.30-15.00
Short Talks A8 & B8
Short Talk A8 – Ben Cowling
“Inferring Influenza A Infection Attack Rates from Serologic Data Allowing for Cross-reactive Antibody
Responses”
Short Talk B8 – Andrzej Jarynowski
“Contact Network and the Spread of MRSA in Hospitals”
15.00-15.30
Tea & Coffee
15.30-16.15 Main Talk 12 – Simon Cauchemez
“Role of Social Networks in Shaping Disease Transmission During a Community Outbreak of 2009
H1N1 Pandemic Influenza”
16.15-17.15 Plenary VI – Leonhard Held
“Spatio-temporal Modelling of Infectious Disease Surveillance Data”
19.00-
InFER Conference Dinner
Friday
09.30-10.00
01.04.11
Short Talks A9 & B9
Short Talk A9 – Helen Johnson
“Novel ABC - Bayesian Emulation Hybrid Algorithm for Complex Model Calibration: the First Waves”
Short Talk B9 – Christiane Dargatz
“Bayesian Inference for Epidemics using Diffusion Approximations”
10.00-10.30
Short Talks A10 & B10
Short Talk A10 – Oliver Ratmann
“Statistical Inference for Viral Disease Based on Epidemiological and Genetic Summary Statistics”
Short Talk B10 – Romain Guy
“Inference for Epidemic Data Using Diffusion Processes with Small Diffusion Coefficient”
10.30-11.00
Tea & Coffee
11.00-11.45 Main Talk 13 – Ben Cooper
“Analysis of Hospital Infection Data”
11.45-12.45 Plenary VII – Nigel French
“The King's Shilling and the Kiwi Dollar: Experiences of how Models Inform Policy for the Control of
Infectious Disease”
12.45-13.00
Wrap-up
Gareth Roberts, Director of CRiSM
13.00-14.00
Lunch & Farewell