Board Budget Study Session Sesnon House November 2, 2015 5:00 pm 1 CCFT Question #1: • Over the past five years, what has been the difference between: 1) projected revenues and expenses in the final budget? See slide 3 2) actual revenues and expenses in the actuals at year end. (That is, how close have September projections been to end-of-June actuals?) See slide 4 2 Unrestricted General Fund (Base, Carryover, One-time Unallocated-Actual Compared to Projected Ending Fund Balance (FY 2010-11 thru FY 2013-14) 18 15.5 16 14.8 14 12 10.7 11.1 10.6 10.8 11.3 10.3 10 8 6 4 2 0 FY 2010-11 FY 2011-12 FY 2012-13 Projection Actual FY 2013-14 3 Base-Budget Revenue and Expense Trends FY 2009-10 thru FY 2017-18 Millions of Dollars Revenues Expenses 70.00 65.00 60.00 55.00 50.00 2009-10 Actual 2010-11 Actual 2011-12 Actual 2012-13 Actual 2013-14 Actual 2014-15 Actual 2015-16 Budget 2016-17 Projected 2017-18 Projected Revenues 60.87 61.76 55.89 57.61 58.62 59.37 61.45 59.55 59.55 Expenses 57.88 58.55 59.07 55.46 57.26 57.46 61.66 63.49 66.25 The difference between revenue and expenditures above does not include carryover funds for expenses incurred at the end of one year and paid in the next. The funds have been saved over a number of years by departments to fund equipment and other needs. We have on average $1.5 to $2 million in carryover funds each year. 4 Unrestricted General Fund -Actual Compared to Projected Ending Fund Balance (FY 2010-11 thru FY 2013-14) 1.200 1.000 0.047 0.078 0.046 0.922 0.954 0.800 0.600 0.953 1.009 0.400 0.200 (0.009) FY 2010-11 (0.200) FY 2011-12 FY 2012-13 FY 2013-14 5 CCFT Question: #2 • What have the percentages of faculty compensation as a part of base budget been over the past ten years? Of full-time faculty compensation as part of base budget? • This data has not been compiled. • Overall, the college spends 87% of the base budget on salaries and benefits for employees. See slide #7 6 General Unrestricted Fund Expense Categories as a Percent of Total Actual Expenditures FY 2014-15 (Salaries/Benefits/Retiree Benefits = 87%) 13% 3% 21% Salaries Benefits 63% Retiree Benefits Everything Else 7 CCFT Question #3/#4: • What are the elements of the net ending balance? See slides 9 and10 • What is the general reserve as opposed to the ending balance? The general reserves is one component of the ending balance. See slide #10 8 20.0 General Unrestricted and Restricted Funds: Fund Balance for FY 2010-11 thru Estimated FY 2014-15 18.0 16.0 Community Ed 14.0 Restricted Fund Balance 12.0 Unrestricted Gen'l Fnd: Undesignated Carryover/One-time 10.0 FTES Reserve Deficit Allocation 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 FY 2009-10 FY 2010-11 FY 2011-12 FY 2012-13 FY 2013-14 FY 2014-15 Note: Monthly payroll cost is approx. $5 million 9 FY 2010-11 FY 2011-12 FY 2012-13 FY 2013-14 FY 2014-15 Actual Actual Actual Actual Actual Prop 30 passes II. Fund Balance Analysis GENERAL FUND BALANCE BY SUBFUND BEGINNING FUND BALANCE Fund 11 Genl Unrestricted Fund 12 Genl Restricted Fund 13 District Match Fund 14 Carry-Over Fund 15 Community Ed Fund 17 One-Time TOTAL BEGINNING FUND BALANCE 3,209,000 1,119,666 3,599,048 451,114 6,634,217 15,013,045 3,209,000 1,136,690 3,744,031 761,895 8,593,195 17,444,811 3,000,000 847,337 2,804,130 991,446 4,764,240 12,407,153 3,000,000 2,068,901 4,458,724 1,016,046 3,703,129 14,246,800 3,000,000 726,872 3,565,937 1,114,827 4,690,990 13,098,626 2,975,164 727,965 3,703,129 3,249,405 1,441,585 4,690,990 Fund 17 Detail One-Time -Allocated One-Time -Unallocated Total Fund 17 (Note 1) - - - Note 1: For FY 2010-11 thru FY 2012-13, there were no 'One-Time -Unallocated' funds. This category was initiated beginning FY 2013-14. The general reserve was increased to 7% in 2015-16; $4,407,000 10 Fund Balance: Percent Change From Prior Year 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% FY 2009-10 FY 2010-11 FY 2011-12 FY 2012-13 FY 2013-14 FY 2014-15 -5.00% -10.00% -15.00% -20.00% -25.00% -30.00% -35.00% 11 CCFT Questions: #7/#8/#11 • What percentage of base budget has the Net Ending Balance been over the past 10 years: (How close have we come “to the edge”?)- See slide #13 • To what percentage of base budget did the Net Ending Balance fall at worst of the Great Recession? 17.8%, See slide #13 • What are average net-ending balances around the state? In our area? See handout of statewide ending balances and Slide#14 balances in our area 12 Cabrillo Net Ending Balance as a Percentage of Expenditures • • • • • 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 22% 26.8% 17.8% 20.4% 19.8% • State Institutional Effectiveness Goal: 20% 13 2012-13 Net Ending Balances Cabrillo College $12,177,903 21.18% Foothill-DeAnza College $53,670,758 30.72% Gavilan College $2,937,919 10.56% Hartnell College $9,555,374 29.45% Monterey Peninsula College $3,895,079 12.23% San Jose-Evergreen College $11,200,410 14.95% Average Statewide 16.61% Highest 35.53% Lowest 5.01% 14 CCFT Questions #5/#6 • Over the past 10 years, have we had to spend any part of the 5% General Reserve? No, See slide#10 • What about during the worst parts of the Great Recession? See slide#10 • What percentage of the base budget is the General Reserve now? 7%, See slide#10 • Will new funds, such as the reserve PERS/STRS fund of $2 million be included in the calculation of the Net Ending Balance? No, If the funds remain in the unrestricted general fund, yes. It is likely the funds will be transferred to a restricted fund before the 2015-16 fiscal year is closed. 15 Funding is not set aside for long-term commitments • Total Cost of ownership for Facilities/Technologyaverage cost of $5 million per year • Total cost of retiree medical benefit cost- Annual Required Contribution is $1.6 million based on a 30year amortization schedule. New requirements to amortize over approximately 10-years. New estimate in progress. 2013 Report included a liability over $17 million • Increases in PERS/STRS 16 Reserves General Reserve Currently 7% PERS/STRS $2 Million Unallocated One-time funds “Operating Reserves” 17 Unallocated One-time Funds (Operating Reserve) One-time funds are generated from: • Unspent, unallocated base budget funds after the books are closed. • One-time funding received, not budgeted • Adjustments from the recalculation of state apportionment revenue for previous years are made up to three years after a fiscal year is closed at the local level 18 Unallocated One-time Reserves- Final Budget ONE-TIME UNALLOCATED OPERATING RESERVES Projected Unrestricted General Fund Ending Fund Balance (base budget, carryover, one-time) $12,161,425 Add: One-time State Mandate Reimbursement payment $6,000,000 Less: General Reserve Base Budget/Carryover fund allocations/One-time fund Retire Debt Service Obligation- Certificates of Participation Transfer to Retiree Benefit Fund Establish STRS/PERS Reserve 2015-16 One-time Compensation Agreements- all employee groups Reserves needed to balance 2015-16 budget Technology Infrastructure Allocation ($4,425,000) ($4,216,000) ($950,000) ($1,500,000) ($2,000,000) ($1,461,472) ($228,789) ($1,000,000) 2015-16 One-time Program Planning Allocations (in addition to carryover/one-time reallocations) (250,000) Projected one-time unallocated operating reserves $2,130,164 19 Unallocated One-time ReservesChanges since 2015-16 Final Budget ONE-TIME UNALLOCATED OPERATING RESERVES Estimated balance after 2015-16 Allocations in Final Budget Projected $2,000,000 Add: State Mandate Reimbursement Block grant for 2015-16 2015-16 Estimated Ending Balance $304,836 $1,500,000 Less: Retirement Incentives ? Title V One-time allocation ? Projected one-time unallocated operating reserves $3,804,836 20 2015-16 Changes since 2015-16 Final Budget Revenue Changes: (Ongoing) • Increase in Base Apportionment allocation increased $ 400k over Cabrillo 2015-16 Final Budget • Unrestricted Base Apportionment allocation for Full-time Faculty over $500k Expenditure Changes: Overall Change in Base Budget projection • • • • Increase cost of retiree benefits Increase PERS/decrease STRS Adjust other operating expense budgets Update Budget Reduction total • + $1.3 million balance 21 Cabrillo 2015-18 Budget Planning 2016-17: Loss of FTES impacts other programs: Proposition 30 begins to phase out, enrollment cap drops to 10,400 • • Expenditure Changes: Compliance Requirements: • • Lottery, SIE, Deferred Maintenance, State Mandate Block Grant and Student Services Programs that receive funding based on FTES. Reduces the Full-time Faculty Obligation Number (FON). Unprecedented increases in PERS/STRS rates continue More increases in medical benefit/ retiree benefit contributions Concerns about meeting 50% law compliance 22 2015 through 2020 Base Budget Planning Parameters (Pre 2016-17 Governor's Budget) Enrollment Cap (FTES) Difference between ongoing Revenues & Expenses (Structural Deficit) 2015-16 Revised 2016-17 Projected 2017-18 Projected 2018-19 Projected 2019-20 Projected Budget Stability 10,400 Budget Stability 10,400 Budget Stability? (530,000) 1,370,924 (3,175,076) (3,448,076) (3,210,576) Change in State Revenue Anticipated A. Permanent Loss of Apportionment Revenue (FTES Assumptions- MidCase = 10,400 in 2016-17) B. COLA @ 1.02%, 1.6%, 2.48%, 2.87%, 2.50%* (funding uncertain) C. Unrestricted General Fund Apportionment Increase-Base Allocation and FT-Faculty Hiring D. Growth/Access E. Watsonville Center Revenue adjustments F. Other Misc. Revenue increases G. Enhanced Non-Credit (20, 40, 60, 80 FTES) 0 (2,600,000) ? ? ? 575,000 900,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 1,400,000 3,200,000 ? ? ? ? 0 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 200,000 ? ? ? ? 0 93,500 187,000 280,500 374,000 0 ? ? ? ? 3,975,000 (1,606,500) 1,587,000 1,880,500 1,774,000 H. Fiscal impact of Proposition 30 expiration unknown (sales tax increase ends 12/31/16; Education Protection Account Funding Associated with Prop. 30 = 15% of State Apportionment Revenue). Status update needed. Net change in revenue 23 Enrollment Cap (FTES) Net Increases in Ongoing Expenses 2015 through 2020 Base Budget Planning Parameters (Pre 2016-17 Governor's Budget) 2015-16 Revised Budget Stability Full-time Faculty Position changes net of retirements & adjunct backfill (savings from faculty retirements (net of positions replaced in 2015-16 included in the budget reduction total below*) Public Safety FTES- 300@ 60% of the credit funding rate- needed to maintain 10,400 enrollment cap (This will be offset by a cut of 232 Tus in Instruction as part of their budget reduction plan- approximately $389,000) Enhanced Non-Credit Expenses (Compensation for non-credit not yet negotiated) Step, Column, Longevity Increases, etc. Medical Plan Rate Increase-- 1.95%, 6%... (50%-50% cost share in place) Retiree Benefit Increase *PERS Rate Increase .08%, 1.2%, 3.55%, 1.6%, 1.7% *STRS Rate Increase .63%, 1.85%, 1.85%, 1.85%, 1.85% Utilities (Budget Cut will be submitted in November for 2016-17) Net Operating Increases--includes increases in mandatory benefits Estimated cost of new Sick Leave Law- Effective July 1, 2015 Affordable Care Act Implementation- Penalty Reserve Labor agreements Total Expenditure Increases 0 (420,000) (173,000) (150,000) (90,000) (160,000) (4,000) (475,000) (100,000) (50,000) (1,400,000) (3,022,000) Estimated Budget Reductions * (947,924) Surplus/(Ongoing Shortfall)* 1,370,924 Operating Reserves available to bridge deficit Deficit net of One-time funds 1,370,924 2016-17 Projected 10,400 2017-18 Projected Budget Stability 2018-19 Projected 10,400 2019-20 Projected Budget Stability? ? ? ? ? (841,500) ? (420,000) (273,000) (100,000) (135,000) (470,000) 0 (250,000) ? (450,000) ? (2,939,500) ? (420,000) (273,000) (100,000) (397,000) (470,000) (50,000) (150,000) ? ? ? (1,860,000) ? (420,000) (273,000) (100,000) (180,000) (470,000) (50,000) (150,000) ? ? ? (1,643,000) ? (420,000) (273,000) (100,000) (190,000) (470,000) (50,000) (150,000) ? ? ? (1,653,000) (3,175,076) (3,448,076) (3,210,576) (3,089,576) ? ? ? ? (3,175,076) (3,448,076) (3,210,576) (3,089,576) * Budget reductions include Student Services counseling positions shift to restricted programs, Enrollment Services Management Reorganization changes, a reduction of the Fund 13 match for ASC (formerly DSPS), Retirements from all employee groups included in the 2015-16 Preliminary and Final Budgets. These amounts count toward the $2 million reduction target for 2016-17. COLA, PERS, STRS rate increases were obtained from the School Services Dartboard 7/24/15 Attachment A. 24 New Accreditation Standards-Fiscal • Reflect a realistic assessment of financial resource availability • Develop long-range plans that reflect the total cost of ownership of facilities and equipment. • Plan for updates and replacement of technology, infrastructure, etc. to support mission, operations, programs, and services • Maintain sufficient cash flow and reserves to maintain short and long-term stability & financial solvency • Allocate resources for payment of liabilities and future obligations (post-employment benefits) 25 Risk Factors To determine Reserves needed Cabrillo’s Base Budget Cabrillo’s base, unrestricted General Fund budget is approximately $59 million. Monthly payroll is approx. $5 million Cabrillo’s General Reserve 7% = $4 million Revenue Trends Forecasted deficit spending requires a higher reserve to bridge the deficit. Enrollment Declining FTES requires an extra reserve to manage permanent fluctuations in FTES. Enrollment cap down from 10,887 to 10,400 ($2.6 million reduction in funding in 2016-17) Unfunded Deferred Facilities Maintenance/ Technology Cabrillo’s estimate is $5 million per year (unfunded) Changes in Legislation / Compliance Mandates Cause increases in expenditures / decreases in revenue. Retiree Benefits Cabrillo’s future liability is approximately $17 million with $3 million funded. GASB 74/75 requires amortization over 10 years instead of 30 years 26 Questions? …to be continued in December 27