Committed to Connecting the World International gateway liberalization WSIS Facilitation Meeting on Action Line C6 ITU Headquarters, Geneva, 20 May 2008 Infrastructure sharing: extending ICT access to all Vaiva Lazauskaite vaiva.lazauskaite@itu.int Regulatory and Market Environment Division, BDT International Telecommunication Union International Telecommunication Union Committed to Connecting the World Trends in Liberalization of ICT markets Liberalization, which in general refers to fewer government restrictions in exchange for greater participation of private entities, has become more widespread, including by percentage of ITU Member States and types of ICTs. 100% Competition in International fixed telephony 90% Percent of ITU Member States 80% 70% Competition in mobile 60% 50% Competition in Internet services 40% 30% Competition in IGW 20% 10% Monopoly 0% 1998 2007 International fixed 1998 Mobile 2007 1999 2007 Internet services 2004 2007 International gateways Note: This figure reflects what is legally permissible ITU World Telecommunication Regulatory database May 2008 2 Committed to Connecting the World Promises and Expectations of Liberalization Telecommunication sector in general: ¾Increased investment: ¾ Market players are able to take rational “Buy or build” decisions. ¾Increased competition: ¾New market players. ¾Better and newer services ¾Lower costs and lower prices ¾Faster growth of the market: ¾Increased teledensity; ¾Increased usage of services. ¾Contribution to economic growth International gateways: ¾ Increased investment: ¾Investing in new gateways; ¾Upgrading existing gateways to meet increased demand. ¾ Bigger choice of international connectivity providers. ¾ Lower prices of international communications. ¾ Increased international bandwidth. ¾Faster market growth: ¾Increased traffic and use. ¾Contribution to economic growth: ¾Decrease in grey markets; ¾Increase in state revenues. May 2008 3 Committed to Connecting the World Experience: Tanzania (1) ¾ Liberalization of IGW in 2005 together with introduction of converged licensing framework ¾ By May 2006 four new service providers were licensed that are rolling out wireless services Fixed, mobile and Internet markets’ development in Tanzania, 1997-2007 9000 25% Fixed lines 8000 Liberalization of IGW 7000 Thousands 6000 20% Mobile subscribers 15% 5000 4000 10% Fixed lines per 100 inhabitants 5% Mobile subscribers per 100 inhabitants Internet users per 100 inhabitants 3000 2000 1000 0 Internet Users 0% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 ITU World Telecommunication/ ICT Indicators database May 2008 4 Committed to Connecting the World Experience : Tanzania (2) ¾ Fixed international tariffs: ¾ From 2000 - 2005 average tariffs of international calls dropped by 38 percent, ¾ From 2005-2006, after liberalization of fixed telephony market and international gateways, they decreased by 57 percent. ¾Mobile international tariffs: ¾ 2000 - 2005 average tariffs of international calls dropped by 49 percent, ¾ From 2005 - 2006 they decreased by 68 percent. 5 May 2008 Tanzania Communication Regulatory Authority Committed to Connecting the World Experience : Tanzania (3) ¾ The cost of connectivity in 1999 was extremely high with a mere 32kbit/s link costing about USD 16’000. As a result of converged licensing framework and increasing number of ISPs the bandwidth prices have dropped to about USD 3’000 per Mbit. ¾ In developed countries, however, bandwidth of 1 Mbit is available for as low as USD 300. ¾ Like many other African countries, Tanzania lacks a cheap and high-capacity Internet connection. All ISPs are connected via expensive satellite connections. International Internet bandwidth, Mbit/s, 2007 4 Burundi 10 Congo (Dem . Rep.) 37 Zam bia Malaw i 67 Rw anda 70 Mozam bique 72 100 Tanzania 344 Uganda 759 Kenya 0 May 2008 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 ITU World Telecommunication/ ICT Indicators database 6 Committed to Connecting the World Experience : Thailand (1) ¾Liberalization of IGW in 2006. ¾There are six international gateway operators in Thailand. ¾After liberalization of international gateways, the number of Internet users increases. Fixed, mobile and Internet markets’ development in Thailand, 1997-2007 100% 60 Liberalization of IGW 50 90% 80% 70% 40 Fixed lines 60% Mobile subscribers Internet Users 50% 30 40% 20 30% 20% 10 10% 0% 0 Fixed lines per 100 inhabitants Mobile subscribers per 100 inhabitants Internet users per 100 inhabitants 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 ITU World Telecommunication/ ICT Indicators database May 2008 7 Committed to Connecting the World Experience : Thailand (2) Growth of broadband subscribers in Thailand ¾ In line with Internet users, the number of broadband subscribers was growing. ¾ This means greater required bandwidth. Ministry of Information and Communication Technology ¾ In 2007 (right after liberalization of IGW) International Internet bandwidth increased by more than 2.5 times Evolution of International Internet Bandwidth in Thailand, Mbit/s 30000 24894 25000 20000 15000 6808 10000 5000 268 642 1011 1438 3006 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 9909 0 May 2008 2005 2006 2007 ITU World Telecommunication/ ICT Indicators database 8 Committed to Connecting the World Experience: Botswana (1) ¾ In 2006 - Liberalization of IGW and new licensing framework. ¾ According to the Botswana Telecommunications Authority, during the period of March 2006 - March 2007, fixed telephony experienced a slight increase. The total number of subscribers (lines) increased from 132 to 137 thousand. Fixed, mobile and Internet markets’ development in Botswana, 1997-2007 80% 1500 Liberalization of IGW 1000 70% 60% Fixed lines Mobile subscribers Thousands 50% Internet Users 40% 30% 500 Fixed lines per 100 inhabitants 20% 10% 0 0% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 May 2008 Mobile subscribers per 100 inhabitants Internet users per 100 inhabitants ITU World Telecommunication/ ICT Indicators database 9 Committed to Connecting the World Experience: Botswana (2) Mobile penetration, per 100 inhabitants, 2007 ¾ From 2006 - 2007 mobile penetration increased from 47 to 76 percent Zimbabwe 9 Zambia 22 Namibia 39 76 Botswana 87 South Africa 0 60 40 60 80 100 Mobile tariff, (100 minutes of use per month), USD 50 34.5% 40 USD ¾ Tariffs of mobile services were decreasing in neighboring countries. In Botswana they decreased by 65.9 percent during a threeyear period 20 11.4% 30 39.4% 65.9% 20 10 35 31 33 20 55 36 41 14 1999 2006 1999 2006 1999 2006 2003* 2006 0 Namibia May 2008 South Africa Zambia Bostwana 10 ITU World Telecommunication/ ICT Indicators database Committed to Connecting the World Experience : Botswana(3) ¾ 26 licensed ISPs in 2007. ¾ Internet access is very limited: ¾ Half of all households have access to electricity; ¾ Personal computers costs about USD 1,000; ¾ Bandwidth costs are between USD 5,000-8,000 per month for 1 Mbit. ¾ The number of Internet users in the country is about 80’000 with an average bandwidth of 17 bits/s per capita or 375 bits/s per user. International Internet bandwidth, Mbit/s, 2007 Botswana 30 Zambia 37 Namibia 56 Zimbabwe 57 3380 South Africa 0 May 2008 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 ITU World Telecommunication/ ICT Indicators database 11 Committed to Connecting the World Experience : Indonesia ¾Liberalization of IGW in 2004 ¾Increase of the traffic (minutes in and out) by 200%. ¾Increase of the total revenue by 94%. ¾Decrease of the price of services. LIRNEasia research May 2008 12 Committed to Connecting the World Some other: Kenya: ¾ Liberalization of IGW in 2005; ¾ Increase of total bandwidth available to the country by almost 700% in 2006; ¾ Decrease the price of international telephone calls (around 70%) and Internet connection and charges. Morocco: ¾ Liberalization of IGW in 2002; ¾ Increase of bandwidth; ¾ Decrease of the price of services (Internet connection and roaming charges); ¾ 99% of Internet connection in 2007 are broadband; ¾ Broadband prices are the cheapest in Africa, at USD 18 per month for a 256 kbps package; ¾ Offers highest broadband speeds in Africa (20Mbit/s). May 2008 13 Committed to Connecting the World Liberalization of International gateways ¾ It is evident from the experience throughout the world that liberalization of international gateways has brought many benefits to the sector including the decrease of tariffs and boosting sector growth: ¾ All analyzed countries to a certain extent experienced some or all expected benefits. ¾ Liberalization of IGW alone could not address all challenges. Important challenges remain: ¾ Dominance control; ¾ Interconnection issues; ¾ Cost of access to international bandwidth; ¾ Security issues. May 2008 14 Committed to Connecting the World Liberalization of International gateways ¾ Monopoly of IGW, however, may cause additional challenges: ¾ IGW monopoly cannot entirely prevent bypass or arbitrage market practices (call back, illegal VoIP); ¾ Costs and energy to control illegal bypass and grey markets; ¾ Demand for international bandwidth is rapidly growing – is a single operator able to provide all required demand? ¾ Monopoly of IGW is barely sustainable in the world of convergence, rapid technological development and globalization. Even if liberalization of the IGW is just one piece of larger system, it may significantly influence market development. May 2008 15 Committed to Connecting the World More Information ¾ GSR 2008 Discussion paper on International Gateway Liberalization: the Singapore experience http://www.itu.int/ITUD/treg/Events/Seminars/GSR/GSR08/papers.html ¾ Trends in Telecommunication Reform 2008 (forthcoming) May 2008 16 Committed to Connecting the World Thank you! International Telecommunication Union Committed to connecting the world May 2008 17