Satellite Markets And Technology Trends Felix Damiba

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Satellite Markets

And

Technology Trends

Felix Damiba

Independent Consultant

Word of Introduction

A 10-year forecast of satellite and launcher markets has good news and bad news for hardware manufacturers: There will be many more satellites to build and launch, but the average manufacturing and launch price will increase only marginally, if at all, and may even drop after accounting for inflation

Source Euroconsult

• Circular Polar Orbit

• Elliptical Inclined Orbit

• Circular Equatorial orbit

(geostationary)

3 Basic Orbits

Geo Satellites

MEO Satellite (O3B)

2 Types Propulsion System

Unified Propulsion (UPS) All Electric Propulsion

• Light Weight Low Cost to launch

• Slow orbit raising, 25 year life time

Launch Vehicles

• Expendable vehicles

– Ariane (Europe), Delta etc..

Expandable Vehicles

• Reusable Orbital Launch Vehicle

• Space-X, Blue Origin Etc..

Estimated Cost

Reusable Vehicle

≥ $2,000 per pound ≤ $1,000 per pound

Game Changer

Global Demand for Bandwidth

7,000.0

6,000.0

5,000.0

4,000.0

3,000.0

2,000.0

1,000.0

0.0

Global Satellite Transponder

Demand

4.3% gain in leased transponders

2014 2015

C Ku Ka

Traditional Satellite

250

200

150

100

50

0

Global HTS Capacity Demand

85% Gain in leased HTS

Capacity

2014 2015

HTS

Global Satellite Market Drivers

• Media Market

• Fixed and Wireless Broadband

• Mobility and Government

 Source NSR

Transponder Demand by Application

In Asia-Pacific 20013-2021

400.0

350.0

Completed

300.0

250.0

200.0

150.0

100.0

50.0

0.0

2013 2014

Est.

2015 2016

Forecasts

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Gov/Mil

Commercial Mobility

Broadband Access

Enterprise Data

Telephony & Carrier

Contribution & OUTV

DTH

Distribution

Source APSCC

Satellite Capacity & Demand

Asia-Pacific

• The demand for bandwidth is insatiable

• Asia-Pacific is the 2 nd largest market for satellite capacity usage

• Telecommunications-related applications utilize >50% of satellite capacity

Source ASCC

Approach on efficient beam power

Standard Beam Coverage Beam hopping in multi-beam

Game Changer?

Ground Segment

• Now

• C-Band 18m-1.8m

• Ku-Band 13m-1.2m

• Ka-band under 1m

Revenue per Site

Best-Effort

Service Level

(Broadband

Access)

Premium Service Level

Revenue per Site

Effective BW per Site vs.

Revenue per Site

Revenue per Site

Satcom Infrastructure Technologies that extend bandwidth & Reduce Expenses

Service   Level

Best   Offer  

MF   TDMA

DAMA SCPC

Medium   Grade

Premium

 

Trends

Mx ‐ DMA Dynamic   SCPC

DVB ‐ S2   Extension

            Bandwidth   Cancellation

HighResCoding

Conclusion

• There will be many more satellites to build and launch. New satellites will be lighter with a longer life time on orbit.

• Ground Equipment Segment manufacturers are adopting more and more new techniques to make satellite capacity cost more and more affordable.

THANK YOU!

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