Felix Damiba
Independent Consultant
Word of Introduction
A 10-year forecast of satellite and launcher markets has good news and bad news for hardware manufacturers: There will be many more satellites to build and launch, but the average manufacturing and launch price will increase only marginally, if at all, and may even drop after accounting for inflation
Source Euroconsult
• Circular Polar Orbit
• Elliptical Inclined Orbit
• Circular Equatorial orbit
(geostationary)
3 Basic Orbits
Geo Satellites
MEO Satellite (O3B)
2 Types Propulsion System
Unified Propulsion (UPS) All Electric Propulsion
• Light Weight Low Cost to launch
• Slow orbit raising, 25 year life time
Launch Vehicles
• Expendable vehicles
– Ariane (Europe), Delta etc..
Expandable Vehicles
• Reusable Orbital Launch Vehicle
• Space-X, Blue Origin Etc..
Estimated Cost
Reusable Vehicle
≥ $2,000 per pound ≤ $1,000 per pound
Game Changer
Global Demand for Bandwidth
7,000.0
6,000.0
5,000.0
4,000.0
3,000.0
2,000.0
1,000.0
0.0
Global Satellite Transponder
Demand
4.3% gain in leased transponders
2014 2015
C Ku Ka
Traditional Satellite
250
200
150
100
50
0
Global HTS Capacity Demand
85% Gain in leased HTS
Capacity
2014 2015
HTS
Global Satellite Market Drivers
• Media Market
• Fixed and Wireless Broadband
• Mobility and Government
Source NSR
Transponder Demand by Application
In Asia-Pacific 20013-2021
400.0
350.0
Completed
300.0
250.0
200.0
150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
2013 2014
Est.
2015 2016
Forecasts
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Gov/Mil
Commercial Mobility
Broadband Access
Enterprise Data
Telephony & Carrier
Contribution & OUTV
DTH
Distribution
Source APSCC
Satellite Capacity & Demand
Asia-Pacific
• The demand for bandwidth is insatiable
• Asia-Pacific is the 2 nd largest market for satellite capacity usage
• Telecommunications-related applications utilize >50% of satellite capacity
Source ASCC
Approach on efficient beam power
Standard Beam Coverage Beam hopping in multi-beam
Game Changer?
Ground Segment
• Now
• C-Band 18m-1.8m
• Ku-Band 13m-1.2m
• Ka-band under 1m
Revenue per Site
Best-Effort
Service Level
(Broadband
Access)
Premium Service Level
Revenue per Site
Effective BW per Site vs.
Revenue per Site
Revenue per Site
Satcom Infrastructure Technologies that extend bandwidth & Reduce Expenses
Service Level
Best Offer
MF TDMA
DAMA SCPC
Medium Grade
Premium
Trends
Mx ‐ DMA Dynamic SCPC
DVB ‐ S2 Extension
Bandwidth Cancellation
HighResCoding
Conclusion
• There will be many more satellites to build and launch. New satellites will be lighter with a longer life time on orbit.
• Ground Equipment Segment manufacturers are adopting more and more new techniques to make satellite capacity cost more and more affordable.
THANK YOU!