Methodologies for measuring the ICT impact on Climate Change Keith Dickerson Chairman SG5 WP3 ICT & Climate Change International Telecommunication Union 1 Editor Group of Deliverable 3 Methodology Yoh Somemura (NTT), Chairman Takeshi Origuchi (NTT), Editor Yong-Woon KIM (ETRI), Co-editor Gilbert Buty (Alcatel-Lucent), Co-editor Didier Marquet (France Telecom), Co-editor Willem Vereecken, (Ghent University), Co-editor Hans-Otto Scheck (Nokia Siemens Networks), Co-editor International Telecommunication Union ITU-T timeline for ICTs and Climate Change December 2007: ITU Technology Watch report to TSAG on ICTs & CC Symposia on ICTs & Climate Change in Kyoto and London July 2008: TSAG sets up Focus Group on ICTs & CC open to ITU non-members 4 deliverables including methodology October 2008: WTSA resolution on ICTs & CC April 2009: FG ICTs & CC report to TSAG May 2009: SG5 renamed “Environment & Climate Change” and sets up: WP3 on ICT & CC JCA on ICT & CC ITU-T FG ICTs & CC Deliverables D1 Definitions Defined key metrics D2 Gap analysis and Standards Roadmap Reviewed activities concerning ICT and climate change inside and outside ITU Identified Gaps and Issues for Future Work D3 Methodologies to calculate carbon footprint ICT devices’ own emissions (embodied and in-use) Mitigations in other sectors using ICTs D4 Direct and Indirect Impact of ITU Standards Identified key activities inside ITU-T and ITU-R Questionnaire sent to ITU-T and ITU-R SGs Goal of Deliverable 3 Methodologies Internationally agreed common methodology for measuring the following impacts of ICTs on climate change: - Reduction of ICT’s own emissions over their entire lifecycle (direct impact) => Power reduction methods - Mitigation that follows through the adoption of ICTs in other sectors (indirect impact) => CO2 saving calculation methods Scope of Deliverable 3 Methodologies To include: a calculation methodology of energy consumption saved through ICT utilization; the definition of basic units relevant to the cases considered; the identification, gathering and processing of relevant parameters (e.g. user behavior); the principles and tools to measure and evaluate the results; a list of examples of the uses of how ICTs can replace or displace other energy-consuming technologies/uses; analysis of existing standards and a proposal for development of new standards if needed. Relevant metrics and Units Metric System Power unit: 1 W = 1 kg m2 s-3 Energy unit: 1 J = 1 W.s 1 kWh = 3,600,000 J Mass unit: 1 kg or 1 t = 1,000 kg Volume unit: 1 m3 = 1,000 L Global warming Potential (GWP) Carbon Dioxide (CO2) = 1 CO2e Methane (CH4) = 25 CO2e Nitrous Oxide (N2O) = 298 CO2e Sulfur Hexafluoride (SF6) = 22,800 CO2e HFC-23 (CHF3) = 14,800 CO2e Direct Emissions – CO2 intensity (1) Calculate energy consumption reduction through the use of ICTs (2) Convert into CO2 emissions reduction Use CO2 emission intensity reflecting the situation in each country. Impact of own GHG emissions LCA require to set Functional Unit System boundary Allocation procedure Case study: LCA of Wired Network Internet Service Provider Boundary for evaluation Transfer facility LAN switch Router Router LAN switch Access network equipment Subscriber module Metallic cable Subscriber station DSU DSLAM OLT Metallic cable ADSL modem Optical cable ONU PC PC PC ISDN ADSL FTTH CO 2 emissions [kg-CO 2/year/subscriber] Disposal/recycling 120.0 Use 100.0 Production Recovery by recycling 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 -20.0 ISDN ADSL FTTH Impact of own GHG emissions LCA require to set Functional Unit System boundary Allocation procedure Case study: LCA of Wireless Network 0.7 Use 50 Production 40 Disposal/ recycling 30 20 10 0 -10 Energy consumption[GJ/year/subscriber] CO2 emissions [kg-CO2/year/subscriber] 60 0.6 Use 0.5 Production 0.4 Disposal/ recycling 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 -0.1 Mitigation - Impact on other sectors Dematerialisation to reduce energy in production of goods (paper, CDs, DVDs, etc.) Efficient use of power (e.g. standby modes, load shifting) Travel avoidance to reduce energy in movement of people (cars, buses, rail, aircraft, etc.) via teleconferencing, etc Process optimisation to improve energy efficiency in moving goods (e.g. mail, trucks, rail cargo, cargo ships) Improved efficiency in use of office space (electricity, office area, etc.) reduces the need for heating lighting, etc (e.g. hot desking) Reduced storage of goods, e.g. in the ‘just in time’ supply chain to save warehouse lighting and heating Improved work efficiency (workload etc.) e.g. streamlining processes and online training Waste avoidance and efficient recycling Evaluation method for “work efficiency” Impact on other sectors - Teleworking Typical CO2 emissions per unit area of office space Japan USA Impact on other sectors - Videoconferencing Evaluation Result Evaluation Result 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Reduction of 53% Disposal Use Production Conference on a trip Video conference Energy Consumption(GJ/year) Video conference held between Tokyo and Yokohama, every working day (240 times / year), eight hours each time, participated in by two people from each office Energy Consumption(GJ/year) Video conference held between Tokyo and Yokohama, once a week (48 times / year), one hour each time, participated in by two people from each office 25 20 Reduction of 52% Disposal Use Production 15 10 5 0 Conference on a trip Video conference Impact on other sectors - Post vs Email Case-study: Comparison of GHG emissions of postal mail and e-mail services Pitfalls: Conventional wisdom “Substituting kilobits for kilograms cuts down carbon emissions…” Obviously, this is an area in which ICT has a critical role to play Reducing travel (of goods and people) is always beneficial This is generally true but… Some projections about the resulting carbon savings are greatly exaggerated Average commuting distance is often overestimated (and sometimes attributed to car travel only) The increase in domestic energy use incurred by teleworking is usually not factored in 16 Domestic carbon footprint Teleworking increases domestic energy consumption Flexible workers estimate that their home is occupied an average 21hrs/week more when they telework This is an (optimistic) >12.5% increase Yearly energy usage of an average UK household (source: OFGEM): 3300 kWh (Electricity) 400 kWh extra 20500 kWh (Gas) 2500 kWh extra 17 Net result 900 Total (kgCO2/day) 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Initial Commuting Tier 1 Tier 2 Domestic increase Conversion factors for the UK: DEFRA (2008) 18 Preliminary conclusions Teleworking is definitely and provably beneficial Most businesses will substantially reduce their carbon footprint by encouraging it However, looking at the big picture, it becomes obvious that: Linear extrapolation leads to overoptimistic projections Accompaniment measures will make a big difference (e.g. “educating” home-workers) Secondary optimisation is needed to maximise impact 19 Secondary optimisation The increase in domestic CO2 emissions can be more than offset by scaling down office space One of the least controversial “green” propositions Potentially huge savings on utility bills and/or rental costs But there are obstacles “Discretisation”: until you can power down a room, floor, building or site you’ve gained nothing! Semi-flexible workers means this is often impractical 20 Further work in ITU-T SG5 Chairman WP3: Mr. Keith Dickerson (BT, UK), Vice chairs: Ms Eunsook Kim (Korea) and Mr. Takeshi Origuchi (NTT, Japan) Q. # Title Rapporteur 17/5 Coordination and Planning of ICT&CC related standardization Paolo Gemma Associate: Franz Zichy 18/5 Methodology of environmental impact assessment of ICT Jean-Manuel Canet Associate: Takafumi Hashitani 19/5 Power feeding systems Kaoru Asakura Associate: Didier Marquet 20/5 Data Collection for Energy Efficiency for ICTs over the lifecycle Gilbert Buty Associate: Dave Faulkner 21/5 Environmental protection and recycling of ICT equipments/facilities Didier Marquet; Júlio Cesar Fonseca Associate: Ms Xia Zhang, Paulo Curado