SAN JUAN 2030 TRANSPORTATION PLAN Final Document January 2011 As Approved by the Policy Committee of the Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) AS SUBMITTED TO THE POLICY COMMITTEE OF THE M ETR O PO LI T AN P LAN N IN G O R G AN I Z ATIO N N O V EM BER , 2 0 0 9 R e v is e d D EC EM BER , 2 0 1 0 Pre p a re d fo r t he M PO b y THE STRATEGIC PLANNING OFFICE OF THE PUERTO RICO HIGHWAY AND TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC WORKS i SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Disclaimer This document is the product of a project financed in part by the U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) and Federal Transit Administration (FTA). The contents of this report reflect the views of the Puerto Rico Department of Transportation and Public Works (DTPW) and the Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO). The Authors are responsible for the facts and accuracy of the data presented herein. The contents of the San Juan Urbanized Area Long Range Transportation Plan (San Juan Urbanized Area LRTP) do not necessarily reflect the official views or policies of the U.S. Department of Transportation. This report does not constitute a standard, specification, or regulation. The San Juan Urbanized Area 2030 Long Range Transportation Plan lapsed on November 2009 and subsequently in October 2010, chapter 6 „Financial Constraint Analysis” was revised based on the financial status of the Department of Transportation and Public Works and the Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority (PRHTA). This document is a revised version of the San Juan Urbanized Area 2030 Long Range Transportation Plan, including changes to Chapter 6 (Financial Constraint Analysis), as well as other parts of the document, for the corresponding approval by the members of the MPO. As Approved by the Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) on December 6, 2010 Final Approval January 2011 (After 45 days of public review and comments) i SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 2 Introduction 1 1.1 The Context And Importance Of The Plant 1 1.2 Regional Context 2 1.2.1 The Vision 3 1.2.2 Demographic Profile 5 1.2.3 Environmentally Sensitive Areas Strategic Approach To Transportation Planning for the San Juan TMA 2.1 Strategies For Integrated Planning With The San Juan TMA 15 17 18 2.1.1 Criteria for Transportation Supportive Land Use Planning 22 2.1.2 Policy guidelines 23 2.2 Strategies for Public Transportation in the San Juan TMA: Rehabilitate, Expand and Develop25 2.2.1 Provide Enhanced and Improved Público Service 26 2.2.2 Improve and Expand the Bus System 27 2.2.3 Bus Rapid Transit in Selected Corridors 27 2.2.4 Extend Tren Urbano and Provide Coordinated Transit Connections 28 2.2.5 Policy Guidelines 30 2.3 Strategies For the San Juan Roadway Network: Improvement and Maintenance of Existing Facilities 32 2.3.1 Identify and Program Improvement and Maintenance of Existing Facilities 34 2.3.2 Complete Key Components of the Strategic Roadway System 34 2.3.3 Policy Guidelines 36 2.4 Strategies for Non-motorized Modes in the San Juan TMA: Improve, Expand, Maintain, and Extend 36 2.4.1 Improve Pedestrian and Bicycle Facilities within the San Juan TMA 37 2.4.2 Expand Pedestrian and Bike Access 38 2.4.3 Policy Guidelines 38 2.4.4 Non-Motorized Modes 39 2.5 Strategic Approach for Ports, Airports, and Freight within the San Juan TMA 2.5.1 Policy Guidelines 40 41 ii SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 3 LRTP Technical Approach and Methodology 3.1 Overview of Technical Approach 41 3.2 1993 San Juan Travel Model 42 3.3 Recent Changes to the San Juan Travel Model for the LRTP 43 3.3.1 Zone Structure 44 3.3.2 Travel Model Changes 46 Network Testing and Analysis 47 3.4 4 41 Development of the LRTP for the San Juan TMA 4.1 Development of the LRTP for the San Juan TMA 2003-2004 49 49 4.1.1 2000 Network Analysis 50 4.1.2 Existing-Plus-Committed (E+C) Network 58 4.1.3 2030 Network Analysis 66 4.1.4 Long Range Transportation Plan Recommendations 74 4.1.5 Immediate Action Plan Recommendations CONSISTENT WITH REASONABLE REVENUE FORECASTS 83 4.2 The 2010 Plan Update to the year 2030 4.2.1 4.2.2 4.3 5 6 85 Reaffirmation of Strategies, Policies and Project Endorsements previously adopted in the March 2006 Long Range Transportation Plan 85 Projects already advanced to construction Cost Adjustments and Rescheduling of Pending projects 85 89 4.3.1 Consideration of increasing construction costs 89 4.3.2 Reasonably Expected Resources 89 4.3.3 Rescheduling and Conditional Endorsement of Pending Projects 89 4.3.4 Non Motorized Modes 99 Congestion Management and Air Quality Conformity in the San Juan TMA 102 5.1 Congestion Management Process 102 5.2 Air Quality Conformity in the San Juan TMA 104 5.2.1 Previous and Continuing Commitments 105 5.2.2 Conformity Analysis 105 Financial Constraint Analysis 111 6.1 111 Existing Financial Conditions in the Transportation Sector in Puerto Rico iii SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 6.1.1 The Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority (PRHTA) 112 6.1.2 Sources of PRHTA Revenues 112 6.1.3 Revenue Sources Comprising Dedicated Revenues 113 6.1.4 2030 projections: 2004 vs. 2009 assumptions and tendencies 124 6.1.5 Federal Funds 126 6.1.6 Borrowing 126 6.1.7 Assessment of Current Revenue Sources 126 6.1.8 Forecast Growth in Dedicated Revenues 126 6.1.9 Forecast Growth in Federal Funds 128 6.2 Action Plan for Financing the Regional Transportation System 129 APPENDIX A 132 APPENDIX B 137 APPENDIX C 140 APPENDIX D 157 APPENDIX E 173 iv SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1-1 Urbanized and Rural Areas defined by the 2000 CENSUS 1 Figure 1-2 San Juan 1990-2000 Urban Area 2 Figure 1-3 Projected Change in Population 2000 to 2030. 9 Figure 1-4 Employment Change 2000-2030 12 Figure 1-5 Distribution of Population by Age and Sex, 2000 – Puerto Rico 14 Figure 1-6 Distribution of Population by Age and Sex, 2030 – Puerto Rico 14 Figure 1-7 Environmentally Sensitive Areas 16 Figure 2-1 Land Use for the San Juan Metropolitan Area 21 Figure 2-2 Tren Urbano Aligment. 29 Figure 2-3 2030 Transit Plan for the San Juan TMA 31 Figure 2-4 2030 Highway Plan for the San Juan TMA 33 Figure 3-1 Proposed Regionalization Scheme for Puerto Rico 45 Figure 4-1 Volume Capacity Ratio Categories for Principal Roads in the San Juan TMA 54 Figure 4-2 Volume Capacity Ratio Categories for Principal Roads in the Central San Juan Region 55 Figure 4-3 Volume Capacity Ratio Categories for Principal Roads in the Caguas Region 56 Figure 4-4 2030 E+C Volume to Capacity Categories for the San Juan TMA 63 Figure 4-5 2030 E+C Volume to Capacity Categories for the Central San Juan Region 64 Figure 4-6 2030 E+C Volume to Capacity Categories for the Caguas Region 65 Figure 4-7 Volume to Capacity Ratio Categories for the San Juan TMA 70 Figure 4-8 Volume to Capacity Ratio Categories for the Central San Juan Region 71 Figure 4-9 Volume to Capacity Ratio Categories for the Caguas Region 72 Figure 6-1 Actual PRHTA Pledged Revenues 1999 to 2009 (FY´s) 115 Figure 6-2 Gasoline Tax Revenues: Projected vs. Real Revenues for Fiscal Years 2004-2009 118 Figure 6-3 Diesel Oil Tax Revenues: Projected vs. Real Revenues for Fiscal Years 2004-2009 119 Figure 6-4 Motor Vehicle License Fee Revenues: Projected vs. Real Revenues for Fiscal Years 2004-2009 120 Figure 6-5 Toll Revenues: Projected vs. Real Revenues for Fiscal Years 2004-2009 122 Figure 6-6 Petroleum Taxes Revenues: Projected vs. Real Revenues for Fiscal Years 2004-2009 124 v SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN LIST OF TABLES Table 1-1 Municipalities in San Juan Urbanized Area 6 Table 1-2 Projected Population Change by Municipality in San Juan Urbanized Area 2000-2030 7 Table 1-3 Projected Change in Employment by Municipality in San Juan Urbanized Area 2000-203010 Table 2-1 Performance Indicators 28 Table 4-1 Transit Boardings (2000) 51 Table 4-2 VMT by Roadway Classification (2000 Base) 52 Table 4-3 Transit Boarding‟s (2030 E+C) 59 Table 4-4 Vehicles Miles Traveled by Roadway Classification (2030 E+C) 60 Table 4-5 Transit Trips by Mode Choice (2030 Plan) 67 Table 4-6 Vehicles Miles Traveled by Roadway Classification (2030 Plan) 68 Table 4-7 Access Improvement Projects for the Luis Muñoz Marin International Airport 80 Table 4-8 E+C Network Cost Estimates 81 Table 4-9 Projects Advanced into construction or completed since 2006 Plan 86 Table 4-10 2030 San Juan TMA: Short Range Projects (2010-2015) (Cost Feasible Plan) 90 Table 4-11 2030 San Juan TMA LRTP: Intermediate Range Projects (2015-2020) (Cost Feasible Plan) 95 Table 4-12 2030 San Juan TMA: Long Range Projects (2020-2015) (Cost Feasible Plan) 97 Table 4-13 Non Motorized Mode Completed Projects 100 Table 4-14 Non Motorized Mode Projects (Short Range 2010-2015) (Cost Feasible Plan) 101 Table 5-1 Vehicle Miles Traveled by Roadway Classification (2000 Base) 106 Table 5-2 Vehicle Miles Traveled by Roadway Classification (2005) 106 Table 5-3 106 Vehicle Miles Traveled by Roadway Classification (2010) Table 5-4 Vehicle Miles Traveled by Roadway Classification (2020) 107 Table 5-5 Vehicle Miles Traveled by Roadway Classification (2030 PLAN) 107 Table 5-6 MOBILE6.2 PM10 Emission Factors (g/VMT) 108 Table 5-7 PM10 Emission for Roadway Fugitive Dust Factor Calculation 109 Table 5-8 PM10 Emission Inventory Results 109 Table 6-1 PRHTA Dedicated Revenues 1999-2009 (FY´s) 114 Table 6-2 Total Revenues from the Tax on Petroleum Products (1999-2009) 123 Table 6-3 Federal Revenues for Fiscal Years 2005-20091 126 Table 6-4 Forecast Dedicated Revenues for Fiscal Years 2010-2014 127 Table 6-5 Federal Funds for Fiscal Years 2010-2014 129 vi SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN LIST OF APPENDIX TABLES Table C 1 Revenue Projections 141 Table C 2 Expenditure Projections 143 Table C 3 Federal Transit Administration (FTA) Program Allocation 153 Table D 1 Illustrative Non-motorized Mode Projects (Resources not available yet) 158 Table D 2 2030 Plan Network Projects-Short Term (Illustrative) 161 Table D 3 2030 Plan Network Projects-Intermediate Term (Illustrative) 164 Table D 4 2030 Plan Network Projects-Long Term (Illustrative) 165 Table D 5 Projects Recommended but Not Included in Network Analysis-Short Term (Illustrative)166 Table D 6 Projects Recommended but Not Included in Network Analysis-Intermediate Term (Illustrative) 167 Table D 7 Projects Recommended but Not Included in the 2000 Network Analysis (Illustrative) 168 Table D 8 San Juan TMA Immediate Action Program (Illustrative) 168 Table D 9 Illustrative and Unfunded Transit Projects 172 vii SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 THE CONTEXT AND IMPORTANCE OF THE PLANT Transportation systems, interacting with the land use and socioeconomic activity systems determine traffic and transit flows, which in turn determine many aspects of daily life and impact the built and natural environments. The movement of goods and resources, essential to economic activity, occurs in many of the same facilities that serve general traffic and transit operations. Highways, roads and especially local streets, all basic elements of the transportation system, also constitute critical elements of urban public spaces, were people interact and generate social dynamics and a sense of identity and place. This becomes clear when we recognize that the users of roads and streets include not only drivers of automobiles and trucks, but also cyclists and pedestrians. Indeed, the increasingly popular concept of “livable communities” requires that pedestrian needs be addressed and protected, and transit opportunities developed to ensure that people have the opportunity of going about their daily lives, at the local and regional levels, without being forced to use the automobile. Long term transportation planning aims to address all of these issues, while serving a vision of the type of community, city, and region which has been adopted by the citizens, in an informed and inclusive participation process. The institutions called for to develop transportation system planning include local governments, various agencies and public corporations, and even mayor transit and freight operators. These diverse actors have different or even conflicting perspectives and interests. For that reason, since 1973 the Federal Government has been legislating, through Authorization Acts approved every six years, requirements for a Continuous, Cooperative and Comprehensive transportation planning process. To comply with that requirement, a Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) must be organized and designated by Governors and local elected officials for each urbanized area, as defined by the most recent decennial population census. The MPO thus serves as a forum for discussion among the many public and private actors in the region, with the responsibility (among others) of developing long range multimodal transportation plans and short range multimodal transportation improvement programs for implementing them in compliance with all applicable federal and local legislation. In Puerto Rico, after each new Census has redefined urbanized areas, all Governors and local officials, since this requirement has been in place, have designated the Commonwealth‟s Department of Transportation and Public Works (DTPW) as the operating arm of the MPO for all urbanized and metropolitan areas, providing the staff for the MPO. The DTPW, being an umbrella for a number of agencies and public corporations, uses the technical resources of the Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (PRHTA) to conduct studies and develop plans and programs that are presented for consideration and adoption by the MPO. In considering these plans and programs, and to comply with the federal requirement of providing a forum for achieving consensus, the MPO acts through Policy Committees that include (as voting members) the Mayors of all municipalities included in the urbanized or metropolitan area, as well as the heads of public agencies and corporations with direct responsibilities over land use planning, environmental protection and transit or traffic operations. 1 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Three such Policy Committees are currently in operation: one for the San Juan Urbanized Area – (SJUA), or San Juan Transportation Management Area – (SJTMA): (encompassing 38 municipalities and over 1 million inhabitants), another for the Aguadilla Urbanized Area – (AUA) or Aguadilla Transportation Management Area – (ATMA): (11 municipalities and over 200,000 inhabitants), and a third for the other nine urbanized areas (UZA‟s: with populations between 50,000 and 200,000), grouped into five Transportation Planning Regions (TPR). Long range transportation plans must be prepared and adopted for the SJUA, the AUA and each TPR at least every five years, with a 20 year (minimum) planning horizon. Based on these plans, every year the MPO then defines the use of yearly federal funding allocations through a Transportation Improvement Programs (TIP) for the SJTMA, another for the ATMA and another for the UZA‟s. In general, without an appropriate, updated long range transportation plan for a region, no federal funds may be programmed for improvements to its transportation system. Currently, Federal Regulations (specifically in CFR 23 Part 450) require a long range metropolitan transportation plan, updated in accordance with the cycles defined in 450.322 (c), for all urbanized areas as defined by the most recent decennial census. In the case of the San Juan Urbanized Area, which constitutes a Transportation Management Area (TMA) with a Municipality (Guaynabo) that was listed as a Non-Attainment Area for PM10, this requirement implied that the 2030 Long Range Transportation Plan (2030 LRTP) adopted by the Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) in November, 2004, supported by a NEPA Conformity Determination dated September of 2005, needed to have an updated, adopted, and certified LRTP before lapsing on September 27, 2009. Effective February 11, 2010, Guaynabo was re-designated as an attainment area, subject to compliance with a limited maintance plan (LMP), in coordination with the Puerto Rico Environmental Quality Board (EQB) (Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 7 / Tuesday, January 12, 2010 / Rules and Regulations, page 1543) In order to continue in compliance with the above mentioned regulations, but even more so, to comply with public transportation policy, this new 2030 LRTP updates information, analyses and recommendations of the 2030 LRTP, so that both the MPO and the federal governments may continue to serve the public interests with programs and projects addressing the needs of the San Juan Urbanized Area. Currently, these activities are severely curtailed by a major reduction in the revenues and financial capacity of the Authority, as will be discussed in the financial constraint analysis chapter. This further increases the importance of good planning. Once adopted by the MPO, this Cost Feasible Plan will serve as the Interim 2030 San Juan Urbanized Area Long Range Transportation Plan. This Interim Plan along with anticipated amendments, will remain valid and in effect through 2015. 1.2 REG IO N A L CO N TEXT San Juan is the capital and largest city in Puerto Rico. As a result of the 2000 Census, the urbanized area for San Juan increased significantly, covering nearly one-half of the island. The 2000 Census expanded the Transportation Management Area (TMA) for the San Juan region 2 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN beyond the 1990 Census boundaries. The TMA has changed from 13 municipalities to all or portions of 38 municipalities. These 38 municipalities contained 59 percent of Puerto Rico‟s population in the year 2000 and 70 percent of the island‟s jobs. Four (4) of these 38 municipalities are overlapping with Aguadilla TMA and urbanized area under 200,000 population (UZA). Manatí, is overlapping with Aguadilla TMA . Patillas, Salinas and Naguabo are overlapping with urbanized areas under 200,000 population (UZA). See Figure 1-1. The definition of the San Juan TMA (SJTMA) in the 2000 Census incorporates the former San Juan Metropolitan Area together with the former urbanized areas of Vega Baja, Caguas, Humacao, and Cayey-Cidra. A comparison of the two areas is shown in Figure 1-2. This expanded SJTMA contains a wide variety of community types. It includes the traditional core of San Juan, which is dense and highly urban in character, and major suburbs, such as Caguas and Humacao, which have traditional town centers but have generally less density. It includes outlying towns, such as Naranjito and Juncos, and semi-rural communities, such as Ciales and Aibonito. This is a very diverse set of settlement types within the same TMA, each with distinct transportation challenges. Transportation solutions are likely to be quite different based on the character of each community. The purpose of the San Juan Urbanized Area - 2030 Long Range Transportation Plan is to integrate transportation planning with islandwide planning efforts, ensure intermodal efficiency, provide guidance on public policy, promote sustainability and land use compatibility, and update and expand the Interim San Juan 2025 Metropolitan Transportation Plan as a result of the new SJTMA. Significant sections of the principal islandwide transportation corridors traverse the SJTMA, and the transportation facilities in those corridor sections serve both islandwide and regional transportation functions. The mountains and the El Yunque National Forest extend east-west through the center of the enlarged SJTMA. They generally divide the area into a northern section that includes the former San Juan 1990 Urbanized Area and a coastal corridor east to Fajardo and a southern section that includes Caguas and the communities along the PR-30 corridor to Humacao. These two sections have very different urban development forms and characteristics, although over the last 10 to 15 years, there has been increasing commuting from the communities south of the mountains destined to jobs in the northern section . 3 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 1-1 Urbanized and Rural Areas defined by the 2000 CENSUS 1 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 1-2 San Juan 1990-2000 Urban Area 2 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Transportation planning for the San Juan TMA (38 municipalities) must recognize and cope with the fact that the mountains and El Yunque limit the transportation connections between the north and south sections of the TMA to two principal corridors. They are the PR-3/PR-53 coastal corridor at the eastern edge of the TMA and the PR-1/PR-52 corridor between San Juan and Caguas. While there are a few other connections across the mountains, such as PR-181 south from Trujillo Alto and PR-167 south from Naranjito, these are narrow, circuitous routes across rugged terrain and are not major traffic carriers. In addition to traditional transit offerings, such as public buses and the Tren Urbano (metro) systems, público service has long served the SJTMA, providing access to the central business districts. In the outlying areas of the SJTMA, público service is the only available transit. Save for the occasional Municipal shuttle service. Recently, however, the cost to operators has risen and fewer of them are offering público service. It is therefore important that the plan for the SJTMA incorporates and promotes this service through policies that will sustain the current system and offer opportunities for new operators. Improvements to the transportation system in the SJTMA will concentrate on the reduction and management of existing highway problems, completion of strategic components of the highway network, the expansion of public transportation and non-motorized transportation, and improvements to ports and airports. A strategic approach was developed for each mode as part of the Islandwide Long Range Transportation Plan and has been used to analyze the SJTMA. This approach is discussed in Section 2. 1.2.1 THE VISION The strategic approach identified in the Islandwide Plan was developed based on the Vision for 2030. The Vision was established by analyzing the key factors affecting travel today and the expected future conditions. The Vision thus took into consideration, among others, the following issues: Automobile dependency and frequency of use – Reducing this problem implies promoting multimodal options, prioritizing functional transit alternatives, developing pedestrian and cycling options, as well as making better use of the existing highway and street facilities. • Increasing urban traffic congestion – Attacking congestion at its roots means improving coordination of land use and transportation planning; focusing on public transportation; optimizing non-motorized modes (pedestrian, cycling); utilizing congestion management techniques; improving deficient intersections; and controlling illegal parking. 3 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN • Extensive urban sprawl and loss of rural lands - Reducing urban sprawl also involves coordinating transportation improvements with land use planning; applying a regional approach to planning of both public and private transportation; making viable the densification and rehabilitation of urban areas by means of improved transit systems; and minimizing or avoiding altogether road projects that stimulate urban sprawl • Inadequate accesses to ports and airports – Addressing this problem implies increasing the capacity of existing seaports and airports; making them more efficient intermodal links; designing complementary installations; improving access to both labor force and freight; and establishing efficient route management programs for freight transportation. • Negative transportation impacts on the natural and cultural environments – To manage and minimize these impacts several issues must be addressed, such as ensuring the consideration and mitigation of negative impacts (to environmental, community and cultural resources) during design, construction and operation of transportation facilities; constraining the development of transportation facilities, especially roadways, in areas identified for conservation; avoiding negative impacts on communities, as required by local and federal regulations; protecting areas of ecological value; encouraging the use of recycled materials during the construction, operations and maintenance of transportation facilities; reducing dependency on fuels and non-renewable resources through the promotion of alternative fuel technologies and by providing fiscal incentives for using recycled materials and alternative fuels; taking measures to reduce negative impacts to places of ecological, historic, cultural, architectural and agricultural value; and protecting the installed capacity of the transportation system. The combination of these concepts and their discussion in multiple public meetings throughout Puerto Rico resulted in the Vision for 2030: In 2030, the transportation system in Puerto Rico will meet the needs of all sectors of society, providing mobility for all, and easy access to all destinations. The system will promote the efficient use of resources including energy, land, existing facilities, and funding. It will support and protect the natural and manmade environments, respecting the structure of society and cultural resources. It will support economic development strategies. All aspects of the transportation system will be designed to enhance the quality of life and promote safety and security. This Vision is the guiding structure for the strategic approach used to develop the SJTMA Transportation Plan. The strategic approach for each mode identifies specific projects within San Juan to address improvements to existing roadways, increase public transportation (Tren Urbano, MBA routes restructuration, BRT‟s and Light Rails developments, and reinforce bus and público service), new bicycle and pedestrian facilities, and expanded freight capacity. 4 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 1.2.2 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE Most of the individual population changes from 1990 to 2000 in the 38 municipalities that make up the 2000 Census defined SJTMA did not exceed a 20 percent increase. The five municipalities that reached an increase greater than 20 percent include: Toa Alta, Gurabo, Trujillo Alto, Las Piedras, and Cidra. The greatest growth in population is expected in Toa Alta with an increase of 27,374 between 2000 and 2030. Other areas that will increase by more than 10,000 people during the same time frame are, Trujillo Alto, Carolina, Toa Baja, San Juan, Caguas, Cidra and Gurabo. Overall, this represents a shift in population growth to the southeast and west of the San Juan urban center showing that the suburban areas will experience the most growth. The change in population is listed by municipality in Table 1-1 and shown in Figure 1-3 by transportation analysis zones (TAZ). Percent change in employment for the 38 municipalities in the SJTMA was not very significant, ranging from less than one to eight percent. Employment growth is expected to remain in the urban core. The employment in San Juan is projected to increase by 19,761 in 2030, and it will remain the largest area of employment in the region. Other areas that are expected to experience growth in employment are Bayamón (5,238) and Carolina, Guaynabo and Caguas, all with an increase of just over 3,000. The change in employment is listed by municipality in Table 1-3 and shown in Figure 1-4 by transportation analysis zones (TAZ). The Commonwealth has an unemployment rate of 16.0, and the San Juan TMA is at 15.6 percent, which is high compared to the United States unemployment rate of 9.6 percent as of September, 20101. Although there is not a significant increase in the population and employment of San Juan anticipated between 2000 and 2030, there will be a shift in the location of people. The majority of employment will remain within the urban core of San Juan but the population is changing and moving to the suburban areas of San Juan. This urban sprawl provides challenges in the development of a transportation system. Commuters from the outer regions into the urban center place a greater demand on the transportation infrastructure. The strategic approach of this plan focuses on quality of life and providing transportation in an efficient manner that is compatible with land use demands. It is recognized that to limit urban sprawl, land use and transportation plans must be compatible and have the same objectives. 1 U.S. Bureau of Labor 5 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table 1-1 Municipalities in San Juan Urbanized Area Table 1-1A Municipalities in San Juan Urbanized Area Aguas Buenas Las Piedras Aibonito Loiza Barranquitas Manati Bayamon Maunabo Caguas Morovis Canovanas Naguabo Carolina Naranjito Cataño Orocovis Cayey Patillas Ciales Rio Grande Cidra Salinas Coamo San Juan Comerío San Lorenzo Corozal Toa Alta Dorado Toa Baja Guaynabo Trujillo Alto Gurabo Vega Alta Humacao Vega Baja Juncos Yabucoa 6 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table 1-2 Projected Population Change by Municipality in San Juan Urbanized Area 2000-2030 Municipality 2000 2010 2020 2030 Absolute Change Percent Change 2000-2030 2000-2030 Aguas Buenas 29,032 31,706 33,172 33,921 4,889 16.84% Aibonito 26,493 27,539 28,553 29,194 2,701 10.20% Barranquitas 28,909 31,469 33,737 35,466 6,557 22.68% Bayamón 224,044 227,035 230,108 232,662 8,618 3.85% Caguas 140,502 145,638 148,947 150,809 10,307 7.34% Canóvanas 43,335 47,740 50,567 52,147 8,812 20.33% Carolina 186,076 193,773 197,750 200,050 13,974 7.51% Cataño 30,071 28,443 29,020 30,007 -64 -0.21% Cayey 47,370 48,495 49,553 50,254 2,884 6.09% Ciales 19,811 21,009 22,138 22,968 3,157 15.94% Cidra 42,753 48,250 51,374 53,051 10,298 24.09% Coamo 37,597 40,285 42,346 43,843 6,246 16.60% Comerío 20,002 20,246 20,906 21,465 1,463 7.31% Corozal 36,867 39,857 42,103 43,612 6,745 18.30% Dorado 34,017 36,515 38,023 38,824 4,807 14.13% Guaynabo 100,053 103,342 104,839 105,271 5,218 5.22% Gurabo 36,743 42,513 45,417 46,770 10,027 27.29% Humacao 59,035 62,217 64,104 65,067 6,032 10.22% Juncos 36,452 41,034 43,634 45,224 8,772 24.06% Las Piedras 34,485 39,454 41,949 43,103 8,618 24.99% Loíza 32,537 35,897 38,871 41,264 8,727 26.82% Manatí 45,409 49,804 51,987 52,911 7,502 16.52% 7 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Maunabo Municipality 12,741 2000 13,280 2010 13,822 2020 14,152 2030 1,411 11.07% Absolute Change Percent Change 2000-2030 2000-2030 Morovis 29,965 33,276 35,910 37,874 7,909 26.39% Naguabo 23,753 24,902 25,703 26,188 2,435 10.25% Naranjito 29,709 31,133 32,678 33,834 4,125 13.88% Orocovis 23,844 25,559 27,146 28,316 4,472 18.76% Patillas 20,152 20590 21066 21329 1177 5.80% Río Grande 52,362 57,096 59,678 60,979 8,617 16.46% Salinas 31,113 33077 34688 35858 4745 15.30% San Juan 434,374 438,307 442,151 445,403 11,029 2.54% San Lorenzo 40,997 45,378 47,833 49,174 8,177 19.95% Toa Alta 63,929 78,908 86,996 91,303 27,374 42.82% Toa Baja 94,085 98,815 102,603 105,473 11,388 12.10% Trujillo Alto 75,728 85,949 91,099 93,617 17,889 23.62% Vega Alta 37,910 40,816 42,841 44,217 6,307 16.64% Vega Baja 61,929 66,058 68,892 70,626 8,697 14.04% Yabucoa 39,246 41,865 43,863 45,413 6,167 15.71% TOTAL 2,363,430 2,497,270 2,586,067 2,641,639 278,209 15.56% Note: Manati and Naguabo are overlapping with other areas, as well as Patillas and Salinas. Coamo,Patillas and Salinas are not included in this list 8 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 1-3 Projected Change in Population 2000 to 2030. 9 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table 1-3 Projected Change in Employment by Municipality in San Juan Urbanized Area 2000-2030 Municipality 2000 Actual Change Percent Change 2000-2030 2000-2030 2030 Aguas Buenas 2,134 2,311 177 8.28% Aibonito 6,400 6,807 407 6.37% Barranquitas 3,511 3,775 264 7.52% Bayamón 74,650 79,933 5,283 7.08% Caguas 42,028 45,123 3,095 7.36% Canóvanas 5,653 5,998 345 6.11% Carolina 50,226 53,812 3,586 7.14% Cataño 11,616 12,244 628 5.41% Cayey 11,314 12,066 752 6.64% Ciales 2,740 2,928 188 6.88% Cidra 7,742 8,252 510 6.59% Coamo 4,319 4,617 298 6.90% Comerío 2,554 2,563 9 0.34% Corozal 4,423 4,738 315 7.12% Dorado 7,446 7,979 533 7.16% Guaynabo 56,861 59,959 3,098 5.45% Gurabo 4,029 4,112 83 2.05% Humacao 17,833 19,079 1,246 6.98% Juncos 4,848 5,174 326 6.73% Las Piedras 7,042 7,452 410 5.82% Loíza 1,943 2,080 137 7.07% Manatí 17,729 18,877 1,148 6.48% Maunabo 1,376 1,491 115 8.33% 10 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Municipality 2000 Actual Change Percent Change 2000-2030 2000-2030 2030 Morovis 2,385 2,533 148 6.21% Naguabo 3,028 3,204 176 5.81% Naranjito 4,417 4,741 324 7.33% Orocovis 2,632 2,846 214 8.13% Patillas 2,963 3,197 234 7.90% Río Grande 5,511 5,639 128 2.32% Salinas 5,216 5,619 403 7.73% 273,617 293,378 19,761 7.22% San Lorenzo 4,978 5,298 320 6.42% Toa Alta 1,807 1,915 108 5.96% Toa Baja 11,325 11,944 619 5.47% Trujillo Alto 7,644 8,173 529 6.92% Vega Alta 5,077 5,342 265 5.22% Vega Baja 9,564 9,848 284 2.97% Yabucoa 6,165 6,590 425 6.90% TOTAL 694,746 741,637 46,891 6.27% San Juan Note: Manati and Naguabo are overlapping with other areas, as well as Patillas and Salinas. Coamo,Patillas and Salinas are not included in this list 11 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 1-4 Employment Change 2000-2030 12 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN There are other demographic issues that face the San Juan region and the island as a whole. Year 2030 projections forecast that the population is aging and that a significant percentage of the population will be over the age of 75. Estimates indicate that the older population is increasing in Puerto Rico by about 20,000 people each year 2. These changes are shown in Figures 1-5 and 1-6. This shift to an aging population changes the types of demands placed on the transportation system. Awareness of the issues related to older drivers must be addressed in the transportation planning process and in the policy development. Much of the older population is reliant on a personal vehicle because of the lack of public transportation in their area. To effectively provide public transportation many considerations need to be made. The stations must be located within an acceptable walking distance; buses, trains and stations must accessible to people with disabilities and door-to-door service must be considered. According to the American Association of Retired Persons, older populations are often intimidated by modern roadway designs because reduced vision or reaction time are not taken into consideration. The Transportation Plans for the SJTMA and the rest of Puerto Rico provide support for projects that improve the driving environment for older populations. The Federal Highway Administration has developed a handbook for state traffic officials on road design and management that improve the safety of the driving environment for older persons. The improvement and development of non-motorized modes is especially important for providing mobility to an aging population. Plans for non-motorized modes in the SJTMA are discussed in later sections of this document. The implementation of pedestrian and public transportation projects that are strategically linked to land use will provide greater mobility for aging populations and decrease dependency on the automobile. Growth of Older Population, El Puente Volume 17, Number 1, Transportation Technology Transfer Center; University of Puerto Rico, Summer 2004. 2 13 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 1-4 Distribution of Population by Age and Sex, 2000 Figure 1-5 Distribution of Population by Age and Sex, 2000 – Puerto Rico Puerto Rico 75+ 70-74 Men Women 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5- 9 0- 4 (200,000) (150,000) (100,000) (50,000) 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 Figure 1-5 of Population by Age and Sex, 2030 Figure 1-6 Distribution ofDistribution Population by Age and Sex, 2030 – Puerto Rico Puerto Rico + 57 47-07 Men Women 96-56 46-06 95-55 45-05 94-54 44-04 93-53 43-03 92-52 42-02 91-51 41-01 9-5 4-0 (200,000) (150,000) (100,000) (50,000) - 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 14 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 1.2.3 ENVIRONMENTALLY SENSITIVE AREAS Puerto Rico‟s landscape ranges from coastal to mountainous regions, these features are all found in the San Juan TMA. The elevation in the area ranges from low in the coastal regions to high in the mountainous areas towards the center of the island. Mountainous areas abound in the southwestern portion of the TMA, in the municipalities of Cayey, Aibonito, Barranquitas and Orocovis. There are also high elevations in the El Yunque Forest and the rest of the Sierra de Luquillo range. This National Forest is mostly located in Río Grande but extends from Naguabo to Canóvanas. There are several other forests and natural reserves throughout the TMA including the Humacao Natural Reserve and the Carite Forest in Cayey. There is also a cluster of forests in the western portion of the TMA, in the southern end of Ciales. The San Juan TMA also contains part of Puerto Rico‟s large karst region. Karst features can be found in parts of Dorado, Toa Alta, Corozal, Vega Alta, Vega Baja, Morovis, Manatí and Ciales. Most of the wetland features in the TMA are located near the coast, but emerging wetlands and other sensitive areas may be found throughout the region. In attention to Federal and Commonwealth policies, these features must be directly considered in the transportation planning process. This, not only to determine if there are any environmental features that could prohibit the development of any particular project in the region, but also to ensure that transportation projects and programs support land use policies that protect environmentally sensitive areas. Major environmentally sensitive areas in the San Juan TMA are shown in Figure 1-7. 15 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 1-7 Environmentally Sensitive Areas 16 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 2 STRATEGIC APPROACH TO TRANSPORTATION PLANNING FOR THE SAN JUAN TMA The development of a Long Range Transportation Plan (LRTP) for Puerto Rico, including the San Juan TMA, is based upon a strategic planning approach that focuses on making those improvements to the transportation system that will enhance the quality of life on the island. This quality of life strategy includes controlling urban sprawl, addressing environmental issues, maintaining rural areas, and promoting sustainability. It recognizes the importance of integrating transportation planning with land use planning and focuses on the maintenance and improvement of existing transportation facilities as a more desirable alternative to major investments in new infrastructure. It emphasizes the role of public transportation and non-motorized modes as alternatives to congestion and pollution, and as a means of providing access that reduces the need for trips by private automobiles. This plan considers among the goals of the SJTMA MPO the provision of an efficient, safe, fiscally constrained, and sustainable transportation system. The priorities set forth by the MPO with regard to the transportation system (highways, bus and “publico” service, passenger rail lines, non-motorized pathways, etc.) that will link the different areas of the SJTMA, include the access to cargo and passenger ports (both sea and airports), education and employment centers, emergency services, and other facilities. These would require, among other efforts, the completion of the STRAHNET mentioned above, the improvement and when necessary, the provision of new accesses and/or connections to that network, and the further integration of the multi-modal transportation system. For more details on these, see Appendix A, Eight (8) SAFETEALU Planning Factors. The public policy contained in the San Juan Urbanized Area 2030 LRTP, and reflected in this plan for the San Juan TMA, represents a shift in strategy by those responsible for mobility and development in the Commonwealth. While the commitment to complete the Strategic Highway Network (STRAHNET) remains a priority, there will be very few new major roads constructed in the foreseeable future. Instead, there will be a commitment to the maintenance of existing facilities and improved operation techniques for the current infrastructure, including low cost improvements, protection of the environment and expansion of both existing and planned transit. The SJTMA in concord with the MPO members developed in consultation with all interested parties a Public Participation Plan. It defines the participation process, providing, the reasonable opportunity to be involved in the metropolitan transportation planning process. The Public Participation Plan also promotes the continued emphasis on public involvement in the implementation of plans, programs, and projects. For more 17 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN details, see Appendix B. This transportation plan provides policy guidelines based on the goals, objectives, and strategies set forth for the San Juan Urbanized Area 2030 LRTP. The intent of this plan is to determine the projected needs of current and future generations and to provide a strategic approach to implementing projects to satisfy these needs, within the fiscal limitations of public agencies responsible for the systems‟ development and maintenance. Other major public policy documents, considered in this plan‟s preparation, are the following: “Objetivos y Políticas Públicas del Plan de Uso de Terrenos de Puerto Rico 1995” (Objectives and Public Policies of the Land Use Plan for Puerto Rico) “Una Nueva Visión Para Puerto Rico: Programa de Cambio y Recuperación Económica.”, adopted by the Government of Puerto Rico in 2009 Land Use and Transportation Plan for the San Juan Metropolitan Region, adopted by the Puerto Rico Planning Board in 1982, as amended Transportation Plan: Document of Public Policy and Strategy for the Development of the Transportation System of Puerto Rico (DTPW, 1991) Various Land Use Plans adopted by Municipalities recognized as “autonomous” by Law 81 of 1991 The Safe, Accountable, Flexible and Efficient, Transportation Equity Act – a Legacy for Users (SAFETEA-LU) Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) 23, Part 450 and CFR 49, Part 613 This LRTP aims to consider public policy established by these and various other sources, in order to guide the implementation of transportation projects so that they reflect the needs of the community and incorporate all aspects that may affect quality of life. A primary focus of public policy related to transportation is the relationship of transportation projects and land use. Other significant issues include sustainability, intermodalism, connectivity, safety, comfort and aesthetics, environmental justice and transportation management. Policy guidelines have been structured to mirror the strategic approach and are incorporated into each. 2.1 STRATEGIES FOR INTEGRATED PLANNING WITH THE SAN JUAN TMA The quality of life strategy emphasizes the critical interrelationship between planning for transportation and land use planning. Well planned communities with compact cores, mixed land uses, walkable environments, and an integrated approach to housing, employment, goods and services, education, recreation, and government, can reduce the need for automobile travel and resist the pressures of sprawl. The redevelopment of core areas and infill of vacant areas can also help to contain the effects of sprawl and 18 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN reduce the propensity to use the automobile. Cities and towns in which the use of public transportation is encouraged through community planning have a reduced need for automobile use and are thus less affected by congestion, pollution and other problems resulting from automobile dependence. Fostering the interrelationship between transportation planning and land use planning has several important aspects: Support and encourage the definition of a region-based land use plan for the San Juan TMA and specific land use plans for municipalities Encourage the development of a plan for preserving the natural environment Assist local jurisdictions to define land development regulations that require consideration of land use and transportation interrelationships Devise a system of market-based incentives and fiscal measures to bring about the kind of development and redevelopment promoted by public policies An integrated effort to define a desirable future for the San Juan region involves a coordinated program for land use planning that meets the needs of highly urbanized areas, suburban communities with cohesive identities, smaller towns, and rural communities within the TMA. This coordination should come from the Planning Board, working in concert with local governments and community representatives. It should link land use, environmental, and social concerns with transportation components. Such a coordinated planning process would be based on the transportation that supports the land use planning criteria discussed below. Part of the strategy could be to focus all activities related to transportation planning as a linkage that supports the interconnection and integration of the San Juan TMA, and the neighboring North, East, and Southeast Transportation Planning Regions (TPR´s), their economic strategies and joint land use planning vision. Notwithstanding their municipal autonomy and different economic activities, (manufacturing, tourism, agriculture, service, etc.), these regions could coordinate regional and inter-regional joint efforts in such a way that one region supports the comparative advantage of the other while receiving benefits from such support. In addition to promoting integration between modes and cooperation between municipalities, an Education Program on transportation should be coordinated with the Department of Education. The goals of the education program would be to promote pedestrian and traffic safety, especially at schools, and improve the effectiveness of the transportation system by providing continuous information to users of all ages. Multiple programs would be needed in order to educate the public, especially through driver education. Promotional materials such as brochures, public service announcements, and training seminars for local government staff will be needed to share information on the program. The primary messages of the public education program will be to: 19 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Promote safe interaction and shared use of roadways by cyclists and automobiles Promote pedestrian safety through programs directed at children and youngsters Encourage the use of public transportation Encourage driving behavior that increases highway capacity and safety Promote the advantages of coordinated land use and transportation improvements Land use characteristics of the San Juan area are shown in Figure 2-1. 20 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 2-1 Land Use for the San Juan Metropolitan Area 21 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 2.1.1 CRITERIA FOR TRANSPORTATION SUPPORTIVE LAND USE PLANNING In order to move toward a system in which the need for mobility via the individual automobile is reduced, communities that promote less demand for travel by the automobile should be promoted. These communities are planned and designed or have been modified over time to make it easy to meet most daily needs within a relatively compact area. They have considered the interrelationships between walking to nearby destinations and the use of public transportation. This interrelationship should produce a sustainable transportation system that supports good land planning and environmental policies, that supports economic development initiatives, and that enhances safety and security. Land use planning in the San Juan TMA that is congruent with the PRLRTP should focus on three interrelated aspects: Reinforce the centrality of the City of San Juan and the numerous smaller cities and towns within the TMA, thereby reducing transportation demand Limit the extent of sprawl Protect rural, agricultural and environmentally sensitive areas In order to reinforce the centrality of the City of San Juan and other well-defined town centers, land use decisions, development projects, and transportation infrastructure should promote dense development and redevelopment, mixing uses and following design guidelines that are appropriate to the setting. This emphasis on context-specific design can give communities a more desirable character that helps reduce the desire to escape to the suburban fringe. This context-specific approach should promote a mix of uses, providing housing, employment, goods and services, recreation and public uses in a walkable environment. Where all of these life necessities are close together and easy to access by foot or public transportation, the need for automobile trips is reduced. Specific strategies should be identified to promote infill of areas passed over by the wave of suburbanization and the redevelopment of those parts of the region that have been underdeveloped, or which have deteriorated over the years. This infill can reduce the impetus to go further out into the fringes of the urban region and can help produce communities that have more internal coherence. Emphasis should be given to providing multiple modes of mobility and access. Public transportation, using públicos, buses, rail, and taxis, is an important means of meeting this objective. A continuous and interconnected network of safe and attractive sidewalks and bikeways is equally important. The effectiveness of the public transportation and bicycle and pedestrian systems can be enhanced by controlling on-street parking in core areas. This will make sidewalks and pedestrian street crossings safer and will 22 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN discourage automobile travel. Parking prices are regulated by the Department of Consumer Affairs, which has resulted in very low price for parking in most areas of the SJTMA. In areas served by transit, parking prices should be allowed to reflect market value thereby not favoring one mode of transportation more than another. Reinforcing the centrality of cities and towns is directly related to limiting the extent of sprawl. Sprawl may be controlled by changing the prevailing suburban paradigm for building neighborhoods. It may be necessary to redefine the desirable character of future developments to make more compact and integrated communities. Developers and consumers may be influenced to make good decisions, countervailing the trend to suburban-style products, if there are models and examples of good urban development that they can relate to. Sprawl can also be controlled by other means. One is to provide incentives for new development and redevelopment as infill to already built-up areas of cities and towns, replacing deteriorated neighborhoods and inappropriate uses, and by filling in areas that have been bypassed, as discussed above. Another means is avoiding the construction of new roads to serve anticipated developments in outlying areas. This decision to limit the extent and kind of access that will be provided in fringe areas that have been in the process of suburbanizing will depend on determination to resist influences that promote expansion. Directly related to the reinforcement of the historic centers of San Juan and other significant towns in the area, and the determination to limit sprawl, is the protection of the TMA‟s rural and environmental areas. It is important to limit the amount and character of transportation improvements that may be programmed to serve such areas. Additionally, the means should be defined to reinforce land development procedures, restricting development in these areas. It will also be necessary to provide these areas with alternative means of access and mobility that do not encourage or allow for development that adversely affects their character. 2.1.2 POLICY GUIDELINES The quality of life strategy incorporates all aspects of planning in the development of the LRTP. The concept of integrated planning incorporates issues of land use, consensus building, environment, technology, and finance into the program and project development of transportation facilities beyond mode specific requirements. The regional transportation system for the SJTMA must be an interconnected system that promotes multimodalism by linking strategic roadway networks, transit lines and bicycle and pedestrian facilities with ports, airports and urban and suburban activity centers. Transportation projects that focus on multimodalism will be priorities because they incorporate the goals of sustainability and land use compatibility. Listed below are 23 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN policy guidelines that support the objectives of the San Juan Urbanized Area 2030 Transportation Plan: 2.1.2.1 Land Use and Development Contribute to achieving the goals of the regional and municipal land use plans Establish processes and standards for the design, construction, and operations of transportation facilities. Coordinate new residential and commercial developments with the planned transportation network to facilitate programming and construction Support land use policies through design and upgrades of roadways and public transportation Include transportation enhancement projects and community improvement projects in the development of a transportation project when applicable Plan parking policies for urban and suburban areas as an integral part of the transportation system and land use plans o Provide incentives to only provide minimum parking for new developments o Limit parking on public areas when it interrupts the flow of vehicles and affects the safety and movements of pedestrians o Identify individual problems for corridors and possible solutions through studies on parking that accompany transportation projects o In areas served by transit parking prices should reflect the market value 2.1.2.2 Consensus Building Build consensus on issues of regional land use and transportation planning via the Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) Consider all the users a transportation facility may serve Develop infrastructure that is balanced at the socio-economic level to foster agreeable relationships between the different regions of the island Promote participation from the private sector in the development and implementation of transportation programs and projects Establish educational services that clearly explain the transportation system for the general public and programs that can be presented in the schools 24 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 2.1.2.3 Environment Include measures to reduce or mitigate negative impacts to environmental, community and cultural resources in standards for the design, construction and operation of transportation facilities Constrain the development of transportation facilities, especially roadways, in areas identified for conservation Avoid negative impacts on communities in compliance with Executive Order 12898 on Environmental Justice Protect ecological areas of value, such as wetlands, forest and bodies of water by adapting the design of transportation facilities to fit the setting Encourage the use of recycled materials during the construction, operations and maintenance of transportation facilities Reduce dependency on fuels and non-renewable resources through the promotion of alternative fuel technologies and tax breaks for use of recycled materials and alternative fuels Take measures to reduce negative impacts on places of ecological, historic, cultural, architectural and agricultural value as they are considered to be nonrenewable resources 2.1.2.4 Technology Consider technology initiatives that increase mobility and safety in the development of transportation projects Develop public sector capability to provide transportation management Incorporate parking into overall transportation management 2.1.2.5 Finance Promote transportation investment, including proper financing of transit operation, as an indispensable element of urban and economic development Assign proper programmatic and budgetary consideration to the maintenance, protection and capacity management of existing transportation facilities 2.2 STRATEGIES FOR PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION IN THE SAN JUAN TMA: REHABILITATE, EXPAND AND DEVELOP The Department of Transportation and Public Works (DTPW) and the Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority (PRHTA) promote sustainable cities by encouraging mass transit and transit-oriented development through our Tren Urbano corridor and the Joint Development Program. In Puerto Rico, a densely populated island 25 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN of 3,425 square miles, 94% of its population lives in urban areas, while in mainland United States this sector represents 79%, according to 2000 Census. The trend of urban sprawl and growth in Puerto Rico urge this integrated vision in developing roads, highways and transit infrastructure for future generations since it have a direct impact in land use and urban development. The DTPW and the PRHTA envision the development of surface transportation as a means to develop better access and mobility infrastructure for people and economic development, in order to build livable and sustainable places around the island. Strategies to enhance public transportation will benefit overall mobility by reducing the demand for roadway improvements, facilitate redevelopment of urbanized areas into more compact and walkable environments, and reduce development pressures on rural and environmental areas. It will also provide enhanced mobility for the substantial number of daily trips made from households with no automobile. Included in the development of all new public transportation projects should be consideration for pedestrian and bicycle access to the facility. The incorporation of these amenities will not only decrease automobile traffic in and around transit stations but will provide for a safer transportation system. This section summarizes strategies and policy guidelines to improve operation and mode integration between transit services, including: Público Services, Metrobús, Metropolitan Bus Authority (AMA, for its Spanish acronym), and Tren Urbano Figure 2-2 shows the 2030 Transit Plan for San Juan. 2.2.1 PROVIDE ENHANCED AND IMPROVED PÚBLICO SERVICE The San Juan TMA has benefited historically from extensive mobility provided by private operators of its públicos. For many residents, especially those without access to an auto, públicos offer the only mobility and access to employment opportunities, medical care, shopping, social services, and other essential needs. In the San Juan region and other urban and rural areas across the island, públicos have been a major commuter mode. Despite the important role they have played in the past, público service has been declining in recent years and its future as a significant travel mode may be threatened. Increasing auto ownership has led many people to abandon shared riding in favor of driving alone. Costs for público operators have risen, making it more difficult for them to make a profit and maintain their vehicles. Regulations governing operations, routes, frequency of service, and other issues affecting the success of individual operators provide an adverse environment. However, if público service is allowed to decline and eventually cease to exist, San Juan will lose a critical segment of its transportation system. In order to strengthen the Públicos system the Commonwealth recently approved Law Number 148 of August 3, 2008. Law Number 148 of August 3, 2008 was created to transfer the regulatory and operation responsibilities of the transportation services provided by Públicos, Local Taxis, as well as some other private transit service providers, from the Public Service Commission to the Department of Transportation and Public Works (DTPW). This means that the DTPW will be the only regulatory agency of public transportation in Puerto Rico. Law Number 5 of February 8, 2009 26 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN extended the transition period until January, 2010. By this date the DTOW will be empowered to elaborate and establish plans to enhance public transportation in all the Municipalities. This process presents an opportunity to reverse the trend of Público service decline in most parts of the Island and offer an integrated service to other modes of transportation. Currently, DTPW is working in the development of new regulations and creating a Regulation Office that will offer the services to the Público and Local Taxis providers. Since Tren Urbano started operations in June 2005, some integration coordination efforts have been developed. Those efforts include some public routes modifications to serve Tren Urbano stations. As mentioned before, because of the Law Number 148, both Tren Urbano and Públicos will be regulated by the DTPW by January 2010. This will facilitate the coordination of Público service to support the rail service and not compete with one another. 2.2.2 IMPROVE AND EXPAND THE BUS SYSTEM Historically buses operating under the Metropolitan Bus Authority (AMA) have complemented públicos within the San Juan urban area. AMA service remains vital to the public transportation system and should be expanded and improved. In May of 2005, some changes were made to AMA routes to provide access to the Tren Urbano stations. In August of 2008 a phase A of a routes restructuration plan was implemented. By 2010, a mayor restructuration routes plan is scheduled. This will provide bus service into urbanized parts of the San Juan TMA that presently have little or no bus service and will serve as a Tren Urbano feeder system. New bus service will be focused upon major trip generators, linking neighborhoods with major destinations for work, shopping, and medical services. New types of bus service are being planned, including corridor applications of bus rapid transit (BRT), which is elaborated upon in the following section. 2.2.3 BUS RAPID TRANSIT IN SELECTED CORRIDORS There are many parts of the San Juan TMA that could benefit from effective, highcapacity transit service. Possible extensions of the Tren Urbano cannot serve all of the areas needing high-capacity transit because of the prohibitive cost. BRT in its various forms could offer a less expensive approach to serving major corridors and high-density areas not directly served by Tren Urbano and could also provide enhanced transit access to Tren Urbano. In its highest-capacity form, BRT consists of buses operating on their own guideway, separated from other traffic. Passenger-carrying capacities under this design approach those of grade-separated rail transit. BRT could also involve buses operating in an exclusive lane on an expressway or street, possibly with exclusive ramps or the ability to pre-empt traffic signals to facilitate bus movement. The Interim Plan of 2000 identified several corridors that could be candidates for BRT service. Currently, TU extensions are planned to Carolina, Caguas and Hatillo through BRT‟s 27 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN and to San Juan by a Light Rail. 2.2.4 EXTEND TREN URBANO AND PROVIDE COORDINATED TRANSIT CONNECTIONS Tren Urbano is a 10.7 mile (17.2 km) fully automated rapid transit that serves the metropolitan area of San Juan, which includes the municipalities of San Juan, Bayamón, and Guaynabo. TU consists of 16 stations on a single line. TU complements other forms of public transportation on the island such as the public bus system, “públicos”, water ferries, and shuttles. The entire mass transportation system has been dubbed the “Alternativa de Transporte Integrado” (Integrated Transportation Alternative) or “ATI”, under the Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority. Paid fare service of Tren Urbano started on June 6, 2005. From June 2005 to may 2006, average weekday boarding stood at 21,645 and from 2006 to 2007, ridership increased to 24,945. Nonetheless, by 2008 to 2009 average weekday ridership had increased to 31,599 (or 41,000 including weekend ridership) with an Annual Increment of 39.57%. Table 2-1 Performance Indicators Monthly % Annual Average Increment Performance Indicator Total Passenger Entries Weekday Ridership Weekend Ridership Up to the year 2009 783,366 31,599 9,829 Up to the year 2009 39.57% 56.18% 21.33% Currently, TU consists of one rapid transit route. It contains 16 stations, ten of which are elevated, four at grade or in open cuttings, and two underground. The stations in the system are: Sagrado Corazón (Sagrado Corazón) Hato Rey (Golden Mile / José Miguel Agrelot Coliseum) Roosevelt (Golden Mile) Domenech (Hato Rey) Piñero (Hato Rey) Universidad (Río Piedras / University of Puerto Rico) Río Piedras (Río Piedras) Cupey Centro Médico (University of Puerto Rico, Medical Sciences Campus) San Francisco Las Lomas Martínez Nadal Torrimar (Guaynabo) Jardines Deportivo (Juan Ramón Loubriel Stadium) 28 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Bayamón (Bayamón) A single trip costs $1.50 ($0.75 if you transfer from an AMA bus) including a 2 hour bus transfer period. Students and seniors (60-74 years old) pay 75 cents per trip. Senior citizens older than 75 and children under 6 ride for free. Figure 2-2 Tren Urbano Aligment. Several future Tren Urbano extensions have been proposed by previous plans and studies, including an extension east into Carolina from Río Piedras, an extension over the mountains south to Caguas, an extension from the Sagrado Corazon Station north to Miramar or across the San Antonio canal to Old San Juan, and an extension east to Luís Muñoz Marín International Airport. Some of these potential expansion corridors may ultimately use some other transit technology such as bus rapid transit (BRT) or light rail (LRT). Nevertheless, this will require direct and efficient interface with Tren Urbano, as well as a coordinated fare system. 2010 Metropolitan Area Transportation Project Summary The Department of Transportation and Public Works and Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority have envisioned the need to improve the quality of existing public transportation services under its control and to develop an integrated AMA, TU and Metrobús public transportation system in order to ensure the success of transportation services within the San Juan Metropolitan area. Our main objectives are the following: To improve the quality of service To reduce excessive costs To eliminate redundancies on routes 29 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Also, secondary objectives for the route planning and redesign were developed which included: To increase by at least 25% the ridership on AMA, Metrobús and TU To optimized the use of resources In order to reorganize the Metropolitan Regional Transportation as an integrated system, AMA will be restructuring the main transportation lines of the Metropolitan Region (Trunk routes) as well as the feeders routes with a uniform fare of $0.75. These main lines will be the “backbone” of the Metropolitan Regional Transportation System and will include: Tren Urbano TU – Main Line from Bayamón Centro to Sagrado Corazón Metrobús III - Main Line from Sagrado Corazón TU to Old San Juan AMA A5 – Main Line from Sagrado Corazón TU to Carolina (Iturregui) AMA B7 – Main Line from Río Piedras TU to Carolina (Iturregui) The feeder‟s routes and Metrobús will be redirected to the main lines in order to produce a more efficient time and distance route to compete with the private car. Also feeder‟s routes will be redeveloped to decrease mode split from the main origin and destiny. 2.2.5 POLICY GUIDELINES The following guidelines were developed to promote public transportation in the San Juan area: Provide individual municipal agencies with incentives to develop local transit routes in their urban centers Plan the routes of other modes of transportation to connect with Tren Urbano stations Design Tren Urbano station areas under the guidelines of the regional and municipal land use plans emphasizing bicycle and pedestrian safety Emphasize safety and security in the design and operation of transit facilities Give transit preferential treatment on roadway facilities where feasible Utilize mass transportation to promote urban densification and revitalization where applicable Recognize the importance of transportation in social programs such as welfare to work Follow federal regulations from the Americans with Disabilities Act in providing access to users Provide incentives for public transportation to reduce dependency on the automobile 30 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 2-3 2030 Transit Plan for the San Juan TMA This figure is subject to change 31 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 2.3 STRATEGIES FOR THE SAN JUAN ROADWAY NETWORK: IMPROVEMENT AND MAINTENANCE OF EXISTING FACILITIES The quality of life strategy emphasizes making the most of today‟s roadway system through improvement and maintenance of existing facilities, adding those components that will complete the essential network, and through the application of congestion management strategies. An effective and efficient roadway system is essential to personal mobility. It must provide effective access to ports and airports, which are vital to San Juan and the entire island, and must facilitate the distribution by truck of freight throughout the urbanized area. Public transportation vehicles, such as públicos and buses, depend upon safe and efficient roadways to provide basic personal mobility and permit this non-automobile mode to function adequately. A major focus of this Plan is roadway maintenance and improvement over new construction. This approach will strengthen the transportation system by improving the current conditions without the impacts of major construction. On-going maintenance programs will limit the need for major repairs in the long run, will provide a more efficient system and increase roadway safety. Figure 2-3 shows the 2030 Highway Plan for the San Juan TMA. Additional considerations that have guided the quality of life approach to roadway improvements include adopting new design standards that address multi-modal and multi-use requirements. It also includes designing improvements that recognize population aging and the need for safety considerations such as improved and enlarged signs and facilities that are designed for a slower reaction time. 32 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 2-4 2030 Highway Plan for the San Juan TMA 33 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 2.3.1 IDENTIFY AND PROGRAM IMPROVEMENT FACILITIES AND MAINTENANCE OF EXISTING The ability of the existing roadway network to carry traffic safely and efficiently is impaired by poor or outdated design of many important system components and the cumulative, deteriorating effect of limited or deferred maintenance. Problem areas in the roadway system should be reconstructed and upgraded to safe standards, and roadway maintenance throughout the system should be strengthened to ensure that these standards are sustained. New commercial development can hinder traffic flow and contribute to congestion. Prior to issuing building permits, a traffic impact analysis should be required. Improvements to the existing roadway system that can have a substantial impact on its safety and efficiency include: Identifying critical components that are most severely impaired by obsolescence and deterioration, and programming and funding their immediate improvement. Identifying, redesigning, and reconstructing problem intersections throughout the San Juan TMA. Adding technology enhancements to the existing system, including such items as barrier free tolling, monitored ramp access to major arterials, and coordinated signal systems in arterial corridors and urban centers with optimized signal timing Initiating congestion management strategies, such as staggered work hours, carpooling and vanpooling, promoting home-based work, the designation of high occupancy vehicle (HOV) lanes, and improved incident detection and management. Upgrading critical parts of the existing network to enhance capacity and eliminate bottlenecks. Previous plans have identified many proposed improvements to address specific problem points or arterial sections. These improvements include grade separations or urban interchanges to relieve severely congested intersections, limited widening of congested arterial sections where adjoining land use permits, and minor intersection channelization and approach widening to improve safety and capacity. Promoting through Commonwealth and municipal transportation agencies the adoption of pavement preservation programs to extend pavement service life, improve safety, and lower life-cycle costs. Such programs could be coordinated with public sector, highway users, industry groups, and non-profit organizations. 2.3.2 COMPLETE KEY COMPONENTS OF THE STRATEGIC ROADWAY SYSTEM The San Juan TMA includes several key sections of the islandwide strategic highway 34 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN network, notably the PR3, 18, 22, 26, 30, 52, and 53 corridors. The development of safe and effective, high-capacity roadways in these corridors is of critical importance to person and freight mobility and economic vitality throughout the island. There are several gaps in the strategic roadway system within the San Juan TMA, and the elimination of these gaps is a key transportation objective shared by the San Juan TMA and Islandwide Plan. Outside these critical sections of the islandwide strategic roadway system, little construction of new, major roadways or expressways is anticipated in the San Juan LRTP. This strategy is supportive of the Commonwealth's land use policy to encourage concentration of urban areas and discourage sprawl in the San Juan region. It was previously reflected in the Department of Transportation and Public Works (DTPW) Interim Plan for the San Juan Region of August 2000, which called for no new major highways to be built in the San Juan Metro Area.3 At least in that part of the region north of the mountains, no new major highway corridors were included in the Plan, although it did include the completion of gaps in major highways, planned upgrading of selected existing arterial corridors, and the completion of corridor improvements already underway. Subsequent system planning for the expanded San Juan TMA will proceed under the same premise. However, it is difficult to preclude new road construction in the area south of El Yunque and the mountains, because that area has not had previous, coordinated urban transportation planning covering the large area from Naranjito to Humacao. There could be significant "missing links" in the transportation infrastructure that will require major investments over the next 30 years. The San Juan LRTP will make appropriate recommendations for new and improved roadways in this part of the region. However, the LRTP is not the venue for making detailed decisions about corridor alignment alternatives for possible new facilities. That should be done through the DTPW‟s normal project planning process. Completion of the Strategic Roadway Network within the SJTMA is essential both for islandwide and regional reasons. It will also be important to ensure that both longdistance and local/regional traffic needs are reflected in the planning and design of this facility. During the planning of any freeway construction or reconstruction rest/service areas should be considered. At least five rest/service areas have been proposed for construction in the SJTMA. The five identified are: south side of Toa-Baja-Dorado toll plaza, south side of the Buchanan toll plaza in Bayamón, west side of the Caguas south toll plaza, PR-52 between PR-184 and PR-1 in Cayey and PR-52 between Cayey and Salinas. At present, all of these issues need to be addressed within the constraints of the very serious financial situation of transportation agencies in Puerto Rico, and the economic recession that limits government expending in general. This context This statement was made for the metro area as defined by the 1990 Census. The 2000 Census expansion of the TMA had not occurred at the time the Interim Plan was released. 3 35 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN requires innovative financing and partnerships, both public-public (between various government levels and entities) and public-private (between public agencies and private businesses) to ensure adequate investment levels in the transportation system, and appropriate maintenance and operation of existing facilities. 2.3.3 POLICY GUIDELINES The following guidelines were established in relation to the roadway component of this plan: Revise current regulations for the construction of roadways to assure that the design serves both the needs of pedestrians and vehicles Design projects in a way that will discourage low density development Conduct traffic impact analysis prior to issuing building permits for new commercial and residential developments in congested areas Consider aesthetic elements related to the urban, suburban or rural characteristics during design Consider the inclusion of rest/service areas in any new construction or reconstruction of the freeways 2.4 STRATEGIES FOR NON-MOTORIZED MODES IN THE SAN JUAN TMA: IMPROVE, EXPAND, MAINTAIN, AND EXTEND The strategies for non-motorized transportation modes included in this plan are in accordance with the federal laws and regulations, and with the Puerto Rico public policies for land use and transportation. The quality of life strategy recognizes the importance of improvements to the network of non-motorized modes – pedestrian and bicycle facilities and hiking and equestrian trails. It is based on the premise that providing an effective system for walking and bicycling can reduce the need for automobile trips and can increase the effectiveness of public transportation. Additionally, it can reinforce the desirability of interconnected mixeduse projects of moderate and high density that could result from a new planning model for community building. Improvements to the systems for non-motorized modes can be made by: Providing for improvements, expansion, and maintenance of existing facilities Planning and funding for new facilities Coordinating islandwide and local efforts 36 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Ensuring that existing and new facilities are interconnected with public transportation Providing new developments development guidelines requiring facilities in future At the time of the preparation of this LRTP, an islandwide bicycle and pedestrian plan is being prepared by the DTPW. While that study has not yet been released, its preliminary recommended actions for the San Juan TMA have been made available for inclusion in the LRTP. Pedestrian and bicycle facilities range widely in extent and quality throughout the San Juan area. Most established urban cores and town centers within the TMA have sidewalks, but they are often not continuous and are poorly maintained, with frequent obstacles and interruptions, and often are made impassible due to parking on the sidewalk. Existing networks of sidewalks can be improved in quality by better design. There are partial pedestrian and bicycle networks for portions of the San Juan TMA. They should be interconnected and their coverage extended to expand both the geographic range of the systems and the kinds of amenities and quality of facilities provided. 2.4.1 IMPROVE PEDESTRIAN AND BICYCLE FACILITIES WITHIN THE SAN JUAN TMA There are basically two types of pedestrian and bicycle facilities: Non-motorized environments within urban areas and town centers (e.g. streets and sidewalks) that encourage both pedestrian and bicycle use as a regular means of access and mobility Recreational trails for both bicyclists and walkers that extend through scenic or recreational areas, which may be in both urban and rural settings Within traditional urban areas and town centers, both sides of the street typically have continuous and interconnected sidewalks, and this is the basic network for pedestrian movement throughout urban areas and town centers. They provide for access and mobility independent of automobiles and enhance access to public transit. Sidewalks are a reliable and safe means of mobility when they meet some key criteria. These include facilities that are continuous and interconnected, without discontinuities that might require users to step into the street and into the path of automobile traffic. They should be wide enough to allow for safe movement, including movement for users in wheelchairs, and they should be free of obstructions, including informal parking for cars, dumpsters, utility poles, walls, and fences. Sidewalks should be paved with a continuous and smooth surface that is in good repair, without uneven areas, unguarded openings, excavations, and other circumstances that might cause injury. They should be enhanced with safe and well-marked crosswalks and ramps for wheelchairs at intersections. Sidewalks may invite more frequent use when they are provided with amenities that make the walking 37 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN experience enjoyable. These include landscaping, attractively designed pavement patterns, street furnishings such as lighting, seating, transit shelters, screening from unsightly or unsafe adjacent uses, and trash receptacles. In hot and sunny climates such as Puerto Rico‟s, shade is an important component. This may take the form of regularly spaced street trees and awnings, arcades, and other overhead shelters. In both urbanized areas and town settings, conflicts with the automobile are an impediment to safe pedestrian and bicycle use. The most frequent conflict is the use of the sidewalk as an informal parking area, blocking pedestrian routes, and necessitating waking in the street. In addition, the narrowness of sidewalks and the street congestion make crossing the street unsafe. Bicycle facilities in urban areas and town centers that are successful allow for safe movement in street traffic through designating separate well-marked bicycle lanes. Most of the past efforts at designating and developing pedestrian and bicycle facilities have been focused in a few, concerned communities. These efforts include facilities for both recreational and non-recreational purposes, such as commuting, access to transit, and other purposes by identifying projects that support the overall transportation network. The San Juan region is making good progress in its pedestrian and bike program by identifying projects that support the overall transportation network. 2.4.2 EXPAND PEDESTRIAN AND BIKE ACCESS Two types of pedestrian and/or bicycle facilities could make non-automobile trips more appealing. First, access to public transportation stops or stations can be improved with continuous sidewalks. By providing good pedestrian access to public transportation, ridership will increase and automobile trips can be reduced. It will also be important to enforce parking and other regulations to ensure that pedestrian facilities are not blocked. Second, networks of pedestrian/bicycle facilities need to be created to allow pedestrians and bicyclists to take longer trips. In the San Juan TMA the Loíza pedestrian/bicycle path, the Martin Peña Canal path, and the path along the bay in Old San Juan could be connected to form part of a pedestrian/bicycle network of paths. On a smaller scale, urban pedestrian and bicycle networks could be extended into suburban and rural areas, possibly with Commonwealth financial assistance but primarily at the initiative of municipalities. Local governments could solicit help from private developers in the form of land donations or reservations for trails and/or in the construction of trails through their properties. 2.4.3 POLICY GUIDELINES The Puerto Rico Government Program (2009-12) includes several strategies related to transportation, energy and environment. It proposes therefore the adoption of “green plans” that aim for energy conservation, protection and conservation of natural resources as well as for the reduction of its impact on the infrastructure and the environment. It also proposes for an efficient transportation system that reduces the need for the private car and therefore the congestion and 38 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN pollution by promoting the use of the “Tren Urbano” and other non motorized modes of transportation, I order to enhance the mobility and access in our communities. The Law #132 of the 3rd of June, 2004 that amends the Law #22 of th 7th of January, 2000, known as the Law for the Vehicles and Transit of Puerto Rico provides for the conditions that permit and promote the use and enjoyment of the bicycle as an alternative mode of transportation and recreation. The pedestrian and bicycle trails or linear parks proposed in the San Juan Metropolitan Transportation Plan are known as “green infrastructure”. This alternative mode of transportation is the most efficient in short trips and permits the recovery and better use of our public spaces while helping reduce the vehicular congestion, the consumption of fossil fuels and by thus to the enhancement of the air quality. The following two policies are used to guide the formulation of bicycle and pedestrian components of the San Juan 2030 Transportation Plan: Emphasize safety, accessibility and aesthetics in the development of pedestrian and bicycle facilities Provide incentives for non-motorized modes to reduce dependency on the automobile 2.4.4 NON-MOTORIZED MODES Non-motorized modes are integrated into the transportation plan to promote the quality of life strategy. Pedestrian and bicycle facilities encourage densification and incorporate land use and mobility by providing access to resources while preserving the environment and enhancing sustainability. The DTPW has identified 35 bicycle and pedestrian facility projects in the San Juan TMA. 39 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 2.5 STRATEGIC APPROACH FOR PORTS, AIRPORTS, WITHIN THE SAN JUAN TMA AND FREIGHT The quality of life strategy focuses on enhancing the capacities of existing ports and airports to provide the needed services in the future. It also recognizes the importance of the international flow of freight to the islandwide economy and the essential requirement for efficient distribution of goods throughout the island. It further recognizes the importance of the role played by airports and ports in the vital tourism industry. The intent of this strategy is to focus resources on the improvement of those existing facilities that can be adapted to future needs. Planning for Puerto Rico‟s future freight system should consider the following key assumptions, issues, and characteristics: The Port of San Juan and Luís Muñoz Marín International Airport will continue to be the principal points of entry and exit for international freight and passenger traffic. Puerto Rico has a tremendous investment in these facilities, and they are well located to serve the greatest concentration of origins and destinations on the island for this international traffic, namely the San Juan region. The principal problems facing the Port of San Juan are the need for better vehicular access to port facilities and constraints on site expansion that make it essential that the port make the most effective use of its existing space. The port also needs to upgrade its physical facilities to accommodate the largest cargo and cruise ships. These issues need to be addressed while coordinating with important urban developments such as the San Juan Waterfront and continued growth of the Puerto Rico Convention District. The principal problem facing Luís Muñoz Marín International Airport is the need to expand and/or reorganize its air cargo facilities and improve vehicular access to its cargo area, as well as continuing improvements to passenger and luggage services. Trucks will remain the mode for freight distribution on the island for the foreseeable future. The possibility of islandwide freight and/or passenger rail service appears to be beyond the 2030 timeframe of the LRTP. The future feasibility of such service is very likely to depend upon the future emergence of one or more major freight generators or attractors outside the San Juan region that could generate sufficient freight movement to justify the large investment in building a rail system. LRTP recommendations for facilities improvements, capacity expansion, and access improvements at principal ports and airports, as well as general recommendations for improved truck operations on the island‟s roadway network will be presented in a later section of this report. 40 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 2.5.1 POLICY GUIDELINES Policy statements reflecting the Plan‟s Ports, Airports and Freight mobility are stated below: Coordinate ground, air and maritime transportation services for freight and passengers Develop and implement master plans for the ports and airports of the island emphasizing, safety, access, efficient intermodal operations and freight movement Promote increased investments by the private sector in all aspects of airports and seaports‟ use, operations and development 3 LRTP TECHNICAL APPROACH AND METHODOLOGY The 2030 LRTP for the San Juan TMA was the product of an extensive transportation planning process, stretching over nearly two years and involving computerized travel forecasting models to test alternative transportation improvement proposals. This chapter provides an overview of the technical approach and methodology used in developing the LRTP. It includes a description of both the travel demand models used to estimate future travel and the network analysis process for defining and testing possible future transportation improvements. A request for proposal was published to elaborate 2040 Puerto Rico Long Range Transportation Plan which includes a new travel demand model. The revision of the SJ TMA assumes the travel demand analysis of the 2030 PRLRTP. 3.1 OVERVIEW OF TECHNICAL APPROACH While this section focuses on the key technical procedures and techniques used in developing the plan, it must be emphasized that transportation planning is not simply a mechanical process of collecting data, modeling travel, and defining needed improvements. The overall vision for the region and its transportation system strongly influences the nature of possible solutions to travel deficiencies. The vision guiding transportation and land use planning in the San Juan region is sensitive to environmental consequences of transportation investments and seeks to optimize usage of existing transportation facilities. It is cognizant of the role played by the automobile in precipitating urban sprawl and discourages major investments in new roadway corridors that will encourage further sprawl. In subsequent discussions of how the plan was developed, the role played by these and other planning considerations will be noted. The methodology for developing the San Juan Urbanized Area 2030 LRTP builds upon the technical approach used in preparing the 1993 San Juan LRTP. The models and techniques used in that earlier plan were overhauled and updated, using detailed travel and demographic data from the 2000 Census, supplemented by roadside travel surveys conducted in August and September of 2003. The key technical tool used in developing 41 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN the LRTP is a set of mathematical models that are designed to estimate and replicate existing travel patterns in the San Juan region. They are then applied to independent forecasts of population and employment, which are the producers of travel, to yield forecasts of future travel in the region. The ability of existing transportation systems to accommodate this future travel is then assessed, and the need for system improvements is identified. 3.2 1993 SAN JUAN TRAVEL MODEL Between 1990 and 1992, a full set of then state-of-the-art and state-of-the-practice travel demand forecasting models was developed and validated for the 12 municipalities composing the San Juan region (Bayamón, Canóvanas, Carolina, Cataño, Dorado, Guaynabo, Loíza, Río Grande, San Juan, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, and Trujillo Alto). The development of the models was initiated in 1990 with the collection of transportation system and travel survey data, including: A major roadway network inventory of approximately 6,300 regional roadway links An inventory of the 40 transit (AMA) routes in the region An inventory of the 116 público routes in the region A travel survey of daily travel characteristics for over 1,803 households An establishment survey of travel characteristics of employees and visitors to commercial and public establishments Comprehensive AMA and público ridership counts Traffic counts at ten external stations A travel survey of passengers in autos entering and passing through the San Juan region at ten external stations The above information was combined with preliminary information from the 1990 Census for the development of a “four-step” travel demand forecasting process. The steps in this process of model development are described below. The trip generation module was implemented using a cross-classification model stratified by income group and household size to estimate trip productions for each transportation analysis zone (TAZ). Trip attractions were estimated by an aggregate cross-classification model, based on the number of households and the numbers of basic, retail, service, and government employees in each TAZ. The trip generation module forecast total person trips in motorized vehicles for home-based work, home-based shop, home-based school, home-based other and non-home-based trip purposes. Commercial vehicle travel was estimated from non-home-based vehicle trips (after application of the mode choice module). Vehicle trip attractions were also estimated for internal-external travel. The trip distribution module was implemented using the gravity model based on auto travel time as the measure of separation between TAZs. Home-based work trips were distributed using peak-period travel times and all other trip purposes were distributed using off-peak travel times. 42 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN The mode choice module was implemented using a nested logit model formulation. The choice between auto and transit was modeled at the top level of the nesting structure. Under the auto mode, person trips were split between drive alone, twoperson autos, and three or more person autos. Under the transit mode, trips were split by mode of access (walk or drive) and underneath access mode by transit submode (bus or público). The trip assignment module incorporated a time-of-day of travel module based on the diurnal / directional split information summarized from the household travel survey for trips made in automobiles. Auto trips were assigned for the morning peak, afternoon peak, and off-peak periods. Transit trips were assigned by purpose with home-based work trips being assigned using morning peak transit networks. All other transit trips were assigned to the off-peak period transit networks. The traffic assignment process used equilibrium assignment techniques that considered both travel time and travel cost. Congestion delay was estimated by state-of-the-art intersection delay techniques pioneered in San Juan. The transit assignment process used multi-path transit assignment techniques embodied in the EMME/2 travel modeling package. Two enhancements were made to the SJLRTP travel models in 1993: Naranjito was added to the 12-municipality San Juan modeling area to remain consistent with the new Census definition of the San Juan Metropolitan Area The mode choice module was re-estimated to be more consistent with model forms used in other parts of the U.S. and to be more responsive to planning needs for the region 3.3 RECENT CHANGES LRTP TO THE SAN JUAN TRAVEL MODEL FOR THE The travel model used for the 2030 San Juan TMA long-range transportation plan represents a major update to the 1993 travel model. Since no new household survey data were available, much of the new model calibration was based on the original 1990 household survey data. However, the 1990 household data were re-expanded to take advantage of the final 1990 Census data that became available after the original model calibration in 1992. In addition, results from the 2000 Census were used for the estimation of demographic and socioeconomic data required as inputs for the travel model. It should further be noted that, after the 2004-2005 redevelopment of the San Juan travel demand model, hereby described, its use by specialized consultant teams working in several major transit proposals during 2007 to 2009 resulted in corrections to the databases and some model elements. The following discussion nonetheless continues to reflect the original exercise, since it established or confirmed the basic structure and calibration of the model. 43 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 3.3.1 ZONE STRUCTURE Based on the results of the 2000 Census, the U.S. Bureau of the Census recommended a large Transportation Management Area (TMA) for the San Juan region that basically covers the eastern one-third of the island. Independently, the DTPW recommended a regionalization scheme that divides Puerto Rico into 12 Planning Regions as illustrated in Figure 3-1. The 13 municipalities included in the existing San Juan travel model comprise the Metro Northeast Planning Region. Four of the Planning Regions -- Metro West, Metro Northeast, Metro South, and Metro East -- almost exactly match the expanded San Juan TMA suggested by the Census Bureau. The area covered by the East Planning Region is identical to the Fajardo Urbanized Area (UZA) defined by the Census Bureau. The three municipalities comprising the East Planning Region -- Luquillo, Fajardo, and Ceiba -- are physically as close to Old San Juan as municipalities in the Metro West and Metro East Planning Regions. Therefore, the municipalities in the East Planning Region have been included in the PRLRTP travel model for the San Juan TMA. The San Juan TMA model comprises 1,247 TAZs and 33 external stations. 44 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 3-1 Proposed Regionalization Scheme for Puerto Rico 45 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 3.3.2 TRAVEL MODEL CHANGES In addition to the expansion of the region included in the San Juan travel model, changes to the modeling process were implemented to address issues identified with the original SJRTP travel models: The trip generation process was modified to use auto ownership and household size as explanatory variables rather than income group and household size. Local planners were more confident in their abilities to forecast auto ownership than income level for small areas in the region. Modeled trip purposes were disaggregated to better represent the types of trips made in the San Juan region. The most important change was the subdivision of the general home-based work trip purpose into trips that travel directly from home-to-work and those that drop-off children at school on the way to work. Separate trip generation models were developed for each sub-purpose. Socioeconomic sub-models used to estimate households by auto ownership and household size for each TAZ were recalibrated based upon 2000 Census data. The trip generation implementation software was modified to produce trips by auto ownership level for each home-based trip purpose. The trip distribution models were recalibrated to account for the new trip purposes and the expanded study area. In addition, trips were distributed by auto ownership level. In accordance with Federal Transit Administration (FTA) modeling guidelines, trip distribution for trips made by zero-auto households was based on composite “impedances” that considered AMA, público, and shared ride service between TAZs. Distribution of trips from all other households was based upon impedances that considered only auto travel time. The mode choice models were modified to accept home-based trips by auto ownership level as input. The mode choice model constants were recalibrated for each new trip purpose / auto ownership market. Time-of-day of travel models were used for the revised trip purposes. The traffic assignment process was updated to use Highway Capacity Manual 2000 capacity and delay calculations. The traffic assignment process was updated to perform “class-based” assignments, providing the capability to summarize the numbers of singleoccupant vehicles (SOV), HOV, and trucks assigned to each network link. In addition, the three classes of vehicles could be simultaneously assigned to their appropriate “sub-networks.” For example, HOVs were allowed to use HOV only network link, as well as all network links available to SOVs. A feedback procedure was developed to achieve closure between input speeds used for trip distribution and mode choice and final speeds forecast by the traffic assignment process. 46 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 3.4 NETWORK TESTING AND ANALYSIS The public transportation and roadway elements of the LRTP were derived from an analytical process of network development, model application, and analysis. The objective of this process was to develop recommended improvements for the LRTP that addressed existing and future transportation problems and were consistent with the plan‟s focus on improving overall quality of life. The process started with the modeling and analysis of base year conditions to build a foundation for developing the San Juan Urbanized Area 2030 LRTP. The base year essentially represents existing or near existing conditions, and in this case, the year 2000 was established as the base year because of its tie to Census data. Roadway and transit networks were defined to reflect 2000 conditions for those modes, and the updated travel model was used to estimate and assign 2000 travel to the networks. A calibration process assessed how well the models had replicated actual 2000 conditions and appropriate adjustments were made to model parameters. The results of the 2000 modeling and network analysis provided a basis for later comparing travel changes from the 2030 forecasts to base year conditions. The first networks that were defined to reflect future conditions and to which 2030 travel was assigned were the transit and roadway existing-plus-committed (E+C) networks. The DTPW in 2004 provided a description of then planned transportation improvements for which funding was committed, and these projects were coded into the 2000 network. The resulting E+C network represents the transportation infrastructure that would be available to meet future travel demand, if no other transportation improvements were made beyond those for which funds are currently committed. The public transportation E+C incorporated the Tren Urbano that began operations in June 2005, as well as related público and bus system adjustments and improvements needed to provide access to the transit stations. The roadway E+C included the new PR-66 toll road from Carolina to just east of Río Grande, the first stage of the PR-5 expressway in Bayamón, and a number of other expressway and arterial improvements. Modeled future traffic assigned to the E+C networks was compared to system capacities to determine estimated, future capacity deficiencies or congested locations. The results of the E+C networks analyses produced proposals for new improvements to be tested in subsequent, modified future networks in an effort to relieve as much of the forecasted congestion as possible. In many cases, these improvement proposals reflect projects that have been proposed in the past by the DTPW or by previous studies, but in other cases, potential new solutions were perceived. After analyzing the results of the E+C networks, both the transit and roadway networks were modified to reflect new improvement projects, and the travel model was applied to the new or modified 2030 transit and roadway networks to test those ideas. An analysis of the 2030 networks results determined whether proposed projects had achieved their intended purposes. The capital costs of the resulting improvements were estimated, and overall program costs were compared to projected available transportation revenues to define a financially constrained LRTP. The approach for developing the financial plan is described in Chapter 6. Proposed improvement projects 47 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN were prioritized according to the benefit they would produce in congestion relief, access/mobility improvement, and contribution to improved quality of life. Application of the revenue constraints to the prioritized improvements yielded a LRTP including only those new projects that can be funded under projected revenues through 2030. As noted earlier, priority was given to greater funding of maintenance and operations for transit and roadway networks to maximize the benefits from past infrastructure investments. While the results of this 2030 network analysis produced the recommended actions that are reflected in the LRTP, it is expected that the continuing transportation planning process for the San Juan TMA will work through more iterations of the network modeling process to test new ideas over the coming months and years. In fact, the methodology, technical approach, and public involvement program put in place in the course of developing the San Juan Urbanized Area 2030 LRTP are more important than the plan itself, because that methodology allows the plan to be updated periodically in response to changing conditions in the region. Just as the 1993 San Juan travel model provided the technical foundation for developing the San Juan Urbanized Area2030 LRTP, the updated model developed over the last few months will provide the foundation for future model updates to reflect demographic changes in the region. 48 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 4 DEVELOPMENT OF THE LRTP FOR THE SAN JUAN TMA 4.1 DEVELOPMENT OF THE LRTP FOR THE SAN JUAN TMA 2003-2004 This chapter describes the technical process followed in 2003-2004 for the development of the original San Juan Urbanized Area 2030 LRTP. It documents the testing and evaluation of possible transportation system improvements through network analysis, and from this analysis, defines the recommended LRTP and the cost and implementation priorities of associated improvement projects. The chapter is divided into four sections to describe the modeling results, the analysis for determining recommendations for the LRTP for 2005, and the 2010 update. Latter modifications to the original LRTP‟s recommendations, through adjustments, corrections and amendments approved by the MPO, are incorporated when appropriate, in this and other chapters. In 2009, recommended project lists were particularly adjusted to consider cost inflation, and the nature and scope of the recommendations were revised in the context of financial constraints facing the Government of Puerto Rico and especially the Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority. The chapter begins with a discussion of the year 2000 networks for public transportation and roadways to provide an understanding of base year system conditions and deficiencies. The first assignment of projected 2030 travel was made to the Existing plus Committed (E+C) network. A set of transit and roadway improvements for which funding has been committed was added to the 2000 transit and roadway networks to form the E+C networks. Following an analysis of the E+C networks modeling results revised and refined transit and roadway networks were prepared for further testing by adding other improvement projects to address continuing system problems. With minor modifications, those new networks represent the transit and roadway elements of the San Juan TMA LRTP. Within the overarching context of the vision and strategic implementation plan developed for the future of transportation and land use in the SJTMA, presented in Chapters 1, 2, 3, and the preceding sections, Section 4.1.4 focuses on recommendations for infrastructure projects and services, based on the analysis of transportation needs and extensive public involvement conducted for the SJTMA and PRLRTP. The LRTP also includes modal elements for non-motorized travel (pedestrian and bicycle facilities), ports, and airports, and recommended actions for these plan elements are included in the chapter. Recommendations for public transportation have been discussed by mode (roadway, transit and non-motorized). Anticipated implementation timeframe for these actions were categorized into short-term (2010 – 2015), intermediate term (2016-2022) and long-term (2023-2030) time periods. Section 4.2 describes 2010 update adjusting 2005 schedule to 2010-2014 (short term) and 2015-2030 (long term). These recommendations are categorized by mode type (non-motorized, transit and roadway) and by anticipated timeframe for implementation (short-term and long-term). Cost estimates are also provided for each category, but have been updated and, following the 2007 planning regulations, adjusted for inflation. 49 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Federal transportation regulations dictate that implementation of the transportation projects and programs recommended, both in the PRLRTP and the San Juan TMA LRTP, be paid for based on reasonable expectations of future available revenues. As such, implementation schedule and cost estimates for all projects must be realistic. While this chapter concentrates on recommendations, Chapter 6 discuses the associated financial issues that determine the availability of funds to pay for the continued development of transportation infrastructure, operations and maintenance throughout the region. It should be noted, however, that the analysis associated with this financially constrained plan is based solely on PRHTA´s financial projections, but the recommended projects could, and in some cases should, be developed by local authorities, other Commonwealth agencies, the private sector, or a combination of participants. The following recommended project list should not, therefore, be interpreted as indicative of a specific or exclusive responsibility of any one entity, even if most of them are expected to be developed by the PRHTA. See table C-3, in Appendix C for FTA Program Allocation for all sections within of the SJTMA Further, PRHTA‟s current financial situation requires that the Authority identify and implement cost reduction and revenue enhancement options, as well as other mechanisms to renew and expand its investment capacity, but the corresponding analyses are still ongoing. As a result, available financial projections show very limited investment capacity. This in turn generates restrictions and qualifications on the projects endorsed by the plan. Those restrictions will stay in place, however, only until the PRHTA implements the selected options to improve its financial situation. At that moment, this San Juan Urbanized Area 2030 LRTP will be amended as required. 4.1.1 2000 NETWORK ANALYSIS 4.1.1.1 2000 Public Transportation Network The existing public transportation network serving the San Juan TMA consists of fixed route bus service and privately operated, but publicly regulated público services. The AMA fixed bus service consists of 40 different bus routes serving the high-density retail, office, and residential areas of the San Juan, Bayamón, Cataño, Guaynabo, Carolina and Trujillo Alto municipalities. Two separate bus routes also extend as far as Loíza to the east and Toa Baja to the west. Most of the remaining surrounding municipalities around the central San Juan metropolitan region depend upon público service providers to transport passengers. This service is typically between the smaller city centers to and from major transport hubs in San Juan. The interlocal público service between the individual city centers is not as commonly found in the larger San Juan TMA (e.g. service between Humacao and Toa Alta, Caguas and Humacao and Bayamón and Cataño). The fixed bus routes operate at frequencies ranging from every seven minutes to every 30 minutes during the peak hours. Most of the bus routes operate on Saturdays, Sundays and holidays but the frequencies are about half of what they are during weekday peak hours. Law Number 148 of August 3, 2008 was created to transfer the planning and regulation responsibilities of the transportation services provided by Públicos and Local Taxis, as well as some other private transit service providers, from the Public Service Commission to the Department of Transportation and Public Works 50 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN (DTPW). Law Number 5 of February 8, 2009 extended the transition period until January 2010. Públicos do not always follow fixed time schedules in providing their services to the public. The typical públicos owner/operator waits at a specified públicos station until enough riders are present to justify driving to various destinations. For purposes of the modeling efforts in this project, however, a fixed headway was assumed of 30 minutes for the peak periods and 60 minutes for the off-peak periods since a variable headway cannot be coded into the model. A summary of the model output is presented in Table 4-1. The table indicates that primary transit boardings are on públicos with daily boardings of 292,319; 55 percent of total daily boardings. This is followed closely by the combination of bus and metro bus, together totaling 236,589 daily boardings. During peak hours busses carry 29 percent of their daily boardings and públicos 28 percent. Table 4-1 Transit Boardings (2000) Mode Peak Off-Peak Daily Bus 49,306 119,155 168,461 Metro Bus 22,687 45,441 68,128 Ferry 620 671 1,291 Público 83,316 209,003 292,319 Rail 0 0 0 LRT 0 0 0 Islandwide Bus 0 0 0 Total Boardings 155,929 374,270 530,199 Total Linked Trips 82,573 187,242 269,815 Boardings / Linked Trip 1.89 2 1.97 4.1.1.2 2000 Roadway Network The 2000 roadway network is considered to be the base year highway network for the San Juan TMA. Over the past dozen years, several models have been run for the San Juan region. However, the 2000 Census greatly expanded the definition of the metropolitan region of San Juan, incorporating at least a portion of 38 different municipalities extending from Manatí in the north central portion of the island to Río Grande, close to the northeastern corner of the island, to Maunabo, located along the southeast coast line. In fact, the San Juan TMA covers the entire eastern one third of the island with the exception of Ceiba, Fajardo, and Luquillo municipalities, which form 51 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN their own much smaller urbanized area. An overall statistic that is useful to establish the base model network results for the year 2000 is the Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) for various classifications of roadway type and the characterization of land uses through which they traverse. Table 4-2 provides these numbers for the San Juan TMA. Table 4-2 VMT by Roadway Classification (2000 Base) Facility Type Area Type Total Freeway Ramp Principal Minor Collector Local Urban Business District 2,624,069 221,85 8 1,801,83 7 1,046,94 2 204,249 267,336 6,166,291 Urban 5,657,874 347,59 0 4,946,12 4 3,590,62 6 664,952 421,014 15,628,181 Rural 5,283,939 133,39 4 2,219,09 8 2,505,43 1 1,196,441 129,183 11,467,485 Total 13,565,882 702,84 1 8,967,05 9 7,142,99 9 2,065,642 817,533 33,261,956 Note: All units in this table reflect miles and not kilometers. Reviewing these results, it can be noted that 18.5 percent of the total vehicle miles traveled within this metropolitan area occurs in defined urban business districts such as the dense urban core of San Juan or Central Bayamón or the core areas of other satellite cities in the metropolitan region such as Caguas and Humacao. Another 47 percent of the travel occurs in the urban areas that include large portions of Carolina, Guaynabo, Bayamón and peripheral communities surrounding the core urban areas scattered within greater metropolitan San Juan. 34 percent of vehicle miles traveled occurs in the rural areas within this metropolitan region. While this may seem strange, one must remember that a significant range of hills and mountains cuts an east/west swath through the San Juan TMA. Development has not (and in many cases cannot) occurred along the twisting winding roadways, which form the network of secondary facilities within this region. Another statistic gleaned from this table is the fact that 40 percent of all vehicle miles traveled occur on freeways, with significantly fewer miles incurred upon each of the other facility types. It should be pointed out, however, that a network model typically does not have many coded local streets and some collector roads due to the limitations in computational size of the network. So the 40 percent should be viewed in comparison with “all major” roadways within the region and not simply “all roadways”. The output from the 2000 highway network modeling runs displays significant areas of congestion throughout the metropolitan region, but concentrated along the main strategic highway corridors stretching east-west between Manatí and Canóvanas and as far south as Cayey. Most of the smaller city centers in extra-urban municipalities (communities beyond the suburbs that are commuter towns) did not show extensive 52 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN traffic congestion, and neither did the vast majority of principal and secondary roadways linking these smaller city centers together. As expected, the morning peak hour period showed extensive queues on several roadway links leading inbound into the San Juan municipality, while the afternoon links showed congestion on the outbound roadway links leading away from the San Juan municipality. It is important to point out that the afternoon peak period appears to be more dispersed than the morning peak period and results in less “peaking” of traffic volumes on the major highways within the central metropolitan region of the San Juan TMA. The following observations indicate where the critical deficiencies exist within the metropolitan region based primarily on the year 2000 morning peak period analysis. These deficiencies occur on both the smaller two-lane undivided roadways as well as the major highway corridors up to eight lanes in width. Sections of some of the major highways exceed 12,000 vehicles per hour in a single direction, significantly exceeding the designed capacity of such facilities. Figures 4-1, 4-2, and 4-3 display generally some of the San Juan volume to capacity ratio categories for all principal roads in the San Juan TMA, central San Juan, and Caguas region respectively. Within the dense roadway network within the San Juan municipality, most of the principal highways (PR-1, PR-2, PR-3, PR-8, PR-18, , PR-22, and PR-26) all experience congestion during the peak periods. The PR-22/PR-18 interchange area near Plaza Las Américas is a congestion hot spot, as are the interchanges of PR-17/PR-181, PR-181/PR-3, PR-1/PR-3, and PR-3/PR-8, all of which are located in the San Juan municipality. Secondary roadways and even some local collectors are also congested in the San Juan municipality including the local street system east of Plaza Las Américas, and PR-21 between PR-20 and PR-18, which serves the Centro Medico complex. In the Bayamón municipality, significant congestion occurs where the PR-167, PR-2, and PR-174 routes intersect near the central business district The Cataño municipality has congestion along PR-5, PR-28, PR-165 and PR869. 53 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 4-1 Volume Capacity Ratio Categories for Principal Roads in the San Juan TMA 54 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 4-2 Volume Capacity Ratio Categories for Principal Roads in the Central San Juan Region 55 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 4-3 Volume Capacity Ratio Categories for Principal Roads in the Caguas Region 56 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Other areas outside of the dense urban section of the San Juan TMA have several patterns that are indicative of existing congestion corridors. Many of these are in exurban residential areas that have sprung up to the south, east, and west of the older urbanized San Juan area and do not have the physical number of roadways comparable to the more established region. In addition, many of the congested facilities are only two-lane, undivided and often mountainous or hilly roads that provide less capacity than roadways closer to the San Juan older urbanized region. Both PR-1/PR-20 and PR-52 corridors north and south of Caguas are congested with a directional bias during the morning and afternoon peak periods. In a similar manner, both PR-22 and PR-2 are congested from the center of San Juan (at PR-26) all the way west to the Manatí municipality. PR-30 is particularly congested between its interchange with PR-52/PR-1 and the Gurabo municipality. East of PR-189, it evenly congested in both directions. Likewise, the short connector portion of PR-189 between PR-30 and Caguas is very congested. The PR-149 corridor between Ciales and Manatí is also showing signs of congestion, as are all collector roadways in the area south of PR-2 and east of Toa Alta all the way to Bayamón. The PR-165 corridor linking Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Dorado and Cataño is also a congested facility along the north coast line. The peak period is very directional along this facility. PR-167 is congested through all of Bayamón. Some drivers have begun utilizing the roughly parallel two-lane PR-861 as an alternative, leading to poor levels of service on this facility. PR-28 and PR-177 in Bayamón are also two additional principal arterials that are very congested in the east/west direction. There are portions of PR-5 and PR-20 in Bayamón and Guaynabo that do operate at acceptable levels of service during the peak period. PR-18, north of Roosevelt Road in the section where recent marginal roads and other improvements made, also has available freeway capacity. However, the critical northbound to eastbound ramp from PR-18 to Roosevelt is still a constrained facility. PR-181 is a very congested facility through San Juan and Trujillo Alto. Based on the 2000 model results, it appears that PR-26 operates at an acceptable level of service, at least during the morning peak period between PR -3 and Muñoz Marín Airport. It seems that most westbound commuters stay on PR-3 past its interchange of PR-26 prior to turning north to enter the central San Juan area. 57 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Two local streets that are congested include Paseo de Los Gigantes in Carolina and Jose De Diego in San Juan, particularly that portion between PR-3 and PR181. As mentioned earlier, the PR-3 corridor is congested in both directions all the way into Canóvanas. Several collector roadways in this growing eastern region are also becoming quite congested including PR-185, PR-188, PR-951, and PR857. Some of the more congested facilities among smaller two-lane roadways are located northwest of Caguas traversing the hilly terrain. Many of these roadways feed into the already congested PR-1 corridor. Similarly, the areas south of Trujillo Alto are also growing rapidly resulting in severe congestion on PR-181 and the alternate parallel route, PR-851. Finally, the PR-183 corridor between San Lorenzo and Las Piedras is over capacity. It should be noted that for several of the local and secondary roadways that the model indicates are failing, the failure may be reflect a particularly poor intersection along this route and not necessarily indicative of the entire segment experiencing overcapacity conditions. Therefore, intersection treatments may be an applicable mitigation method that could resolve the congestion without requiring the construction of additional lane capacity. 4.1.2 EXISTING-PLUS-COMMITTED (E+C) NETWORK An analysis of traffic assigned to the transit and roadway E+C networks reveals the levels of congestion that will result if no further improvements are made to existing transportation facilities beyond those now committed for construction. The definition, testing, and modeling results for the E+C transit and roadway networks are discussed in the following sections. 4.1.2.1 E+C Public Transportation Network The implementation of Tren Urbano dominates the modifications to the 2000 transit network to create the E+C transit network. The 17-kilometer rail rapid transit line starts revenue operation in 2005 between its western terminus at Bayamón Station and its eastern terminus at Sagrado Corazon Station in Santurce. Its L-shaped alignment serve the highest densities of employment and population in Puerto Rico, including such major traffic generators as the Hato Rey financial district, the University of Puerto Rico in Rio Piedras, the island‟s largest medical complex at Centro Medico, and central Bayamón. Complementing the Tren Urbano, modifications were made for the existing bus and público service to enable these transit modes to provide better access to the train stations. These committed bus and público system changes were reflected in the E+C network. 58 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN A summary of the transit boardings from the model output are presented in Table 4-3. The 2030 E+C total daily boardings are more than double the 2000 base year. This model has the addition of rail, reflecting Tren Urbano. Daily rail boardings are anticipated to be nearly 14 percent of daily boardings. Públicos will remain the strongest transit service having 63 percent of daily boardings. The rail boardings are comparable to the daily bus boardings. Approximately 37 percent of daily rail boardings will be during the peak periods, whereas 25 percent of daily bus boardings are during peak hours. Table 4-3 Transit Boarding’s (2030 E+C) Mode Peak Off-Peak Daily Bus 47,228 136,264 183,492 Metro Bus 19,039 46,863 65,902 Ferry 631 700 1,331 Público 198,074 482,728 680,802 Rail 56,100 94,690 150,790 LRT 0 0 0 Islandwide Bus 0 0 0 Total Boardings 321,072 761,245 1,082,317 Total Linked Trips 144,182 349,924 494,106 Boardings / Linked Trip 2.23 2.18 2.19 4.1.2.2 E+C Roadway Network Several major programmed improvements are reflected in the E+C roadway network including: PR-66 toll road from PR-26 to east of Río Grande PR-5 expressway in Bayamón and Naranjito PR-53 toll road through Maunabo PR-3 upgrading in San Juan and Carolina PR-181 in Trujillo Alto PR-693 in Dorado 59 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN PR-6671 in Vega Baja PR-778 in Comerío PR-31 in Juncos PR-18 in San Juan These and a number of other smaller projects included in the E+C network provide additional system continuity and capacity to critical sections of the base year (2000) network. The estimated 2030 vehicular traffic assigned to the E+C roadway network also reflects public transportation improvement assumptions, most notably the operation of Tren Urbano service between the Sagrado Corazon Station in Santurce and the Bayamón Station, as well as restructured bus and público service to the train stations. Given the modest growth forecasts for population and employment through 2030, traffic volumes are expected to experience a similar modest growth. Thus, 2030 patterns of traffic flow and congestion are expected to be similar to existing patterns. Conditions should improve in areas where significant new projects have been added in the E+C network but could further deteriorate in other areas of concentrated growth and existing congestion. Just as for the 2000 base year analysis, a useful statistic to review is the VMT summary for various classifications of roadway type and the characterization of land uses through which they traverse. Table 4-4 provides these numbers (in units of miles) for the 2030 E+C San Juan TMA network. Table 4-4 Vehicles Miles Traveled by Roadway Classification (2030 E+C) Facility Type Area Type Freeway Ramp Principal Minor Collector Local Total Urban Business District 2,807,433 260,113 2,246,808 1,422,876 266,232 321,514 7,344,977 Urban 6,248,915 366,842 4,675,928 3,842,467 746,180 448,535 16,328,866 Rural 5,417,881 141,287 1,951,197 2,622,170 1,299,019 134,121 11,565,675 Total 14,474,229 768,242 8,873,933 7,907,513 2,311,431 904,170 35,239,518 The overall growth of VMT between the 2030 E+C network and the base 2000 year is approximately 9.5 percent or just less than two million additional vehicle miles. The facility type proportions remain virtually unchanged between 2000 and 2030 with the majority of miles continuing to be travel upon the freeway system. There is, however, a slightly larger percentage of roadways listed as being urban versus the rural category when compared to 2000. Just as for the 2000 model, an analysis was performed on the AM peak period runs to determine what types of impacts to traffic flow the expanded roadway system plus the Tren Urbano would have on the network. 60 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figures 4-4, 4-5, and 4-6 display the 2030 E+C volume to capacity categories for the San Juan TMA, central San Juan, and the Caguas region, respectively. This set of figures looks remarkably similar to those exhibited for the 2000 base year run, indicating that high levels of congestion still exist in many parts of the TMA. Even though several projects will provide additional capacities, the growth in population (and thus automobiles) will tend to absorb this added capacity in short order. Finally, keep in mind, how much over congested many facilities are in the 2000 network. Much of the traffic flow in 2000 operates in constrained conditions, so opening additional capacity will be filled up quickly with latent demand. A comparison of the 2030 E+C output with the 2000 output indicates very many of the roadway links are again congested. Some of the more notable differences are described below: PR-183, PR-789, and PR-203 south of Caguas and Gurabo show a significant increase in traffic based on projected population growth in this area. The PR-2/PR-22 corridor east of Manatí continues to grow significantly in congestion east into San Juan as this corridor continues to become more dense. There is a slight decline in the traffic volumes along Ponce De Leon and Roosevelt in central San Juan, likely due to improved transit service, especially the parallel Tren Urbano. Another parallel facility, PR-21, however, continues to show an increase in traffic within central San Juan. One E+C improvement which significantly improves traffic flow is the completion of all interchange work at PR-18 and Roosevelt Road. The 2030 E+C model reflects a decrease in ramp traffic volumes at this interchange as compared to the 2000 model. On the other hand, the PR-8, PR-181, PR-3 triangle continues to get worse in 2030, while the PR-26 facility southeast of Muñoz Marín Airport begins to deteriorate as drivers seek any alternative route in the San Juan and Carolina municipalities. As mentioned earlier, one of the major highway improvements included in the E+C model was the construction of PR-66 from Carolina to Río Grande. This additional four-lane toll facility is supposed to provide congestion relief for the parallel PR-3 corridor. Unfortunately, the demand for east/west travel especially west of Canóvanas grows between the 2000 AM peak hour and the 2030 AM peak hour, thereby causing both PR-66 and PR-3 to be overcapacity. The PR-2 and PR-177 (Avenida Lomas Verdes) crossings of the Rio Bayamón are congested in the AM peak period, underscoring the need for another bridge across that river. The DTPW has been projecting the need for such a bridge as part of the possible extension of PR-199 (Avenida Las Cumbres) westward from its present terminus in Guaynabo. The PR-5 Rio Hondo Expressway carries less traffic in the E+C network than PR-167 just to the west. However, this may be the result of the temporary 61 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN termination of PR-5 at PR-199 in the E+C network. Future extension into Naranjito should attract more traffic from the congested PR-167 corridor. Finally, the PR-183 corridor between Las Piedras and San Lorenzo continues to become more congested in 2030 62 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 4-4 2030 E+C Volume to Capacity Categories for the San Juan TMA 63 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 4-5 2030 E+C Volume to Capacity Categories for the Central San Juan Region 64 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 4-6 2030 E+C Volume to Capacity Categories for the Caguas Region 65 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN The conclusion from the analysis of the 2030 E+C network revealed there would be significant congestion in many corridors and parts of the San Juan TMA that would not be mitigated by the improvements included in that network. Based on the experience learned from the E+C analysis, a revised future network was developed, including both additional roadway and public transportation improvements. The testing of that network is described in the following section. 4.1.3 2030 NETWORK ANALYSIS The 2030 Plan network consists of the 2004 E+C network previously described with the addition of several major transit and roadway components. The assumptions utilized in the coding of this network as well as the output generated by the model runs are described in the following two sections. 4.1.3.1 2030 Plan Public Transportation Network The major transit components added to the 2004 E+C network as envisioned through dialogue with the Department included the extension of Tren Urbano system with a BRT line eastward from its current terminus several kilometers into the municipality of Carolina with future extensions to Canóvanas and north to Old San Juan with a light rail line. In addition, a BRT line is envisioned to occur within the PR-52/PR-18 corridor between Caguas and San Juan with an interface with Tren Urbano near Centro Medico in San Juan. To complement these transit additions, the model also assumed that additional público routes (and some fixed bus routes in Carolina and eastern San Juan) would be reoriented slightly in order to serve nearby train stations. In addition, competing público services, particularly in the PR-3/PR-66 corridor and the PR-52/PR18 corridor would be eliminated. The headways for the BRT east into Carolina would be five minutes during the peak periods, while the Caguas to San Juan light rail system would be 15 minutes during the peak period and 30 minutes during the off-peak period. In addition, two new rapid bus lines are envisioned to be in place by 2030 to serve other congested areas of the San Juan municipality. One would be the Ramal Este Busway, an exclusive two-lane two-way busway to be constructed along the south shore of the San Jose Lagoon between the intersection of PR-23/PR-27 (Roosevelt and Barbosa) and PR-8 just to the south of the Teodoro Moscoso Bridge. The second would be a connecting bus way along Roosevelt Avenue (PR-23) between PR-27 (Barbosa Avenue) and PR-2 in Caparra. This particular busway would operate in the same corridor as automobiles due to the tight right-of-way constraints and would require reconstruction of Roosevelt Avenue such that only buses and right turning vehicles utilize the right-most lane in each direction. Although not specifically modeled, the bus lanes can be pre-empted at several of the signalized intersections giving them slight priority over other vehicular traffic. A summary of the transit boardings from the model output is presented in Table 4-5. 66 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table 4-5 Transit Trips by Mode Choice (2030 Plan) Mode Peak Off-Peak Daily Bus 41,927 120,050 161,977 Metro Bus 20,453 44,204 64,657 Ferry 514 558 1,072 Público 215,241 577,817 793,058 Rail 94,108 170,436 264,544 LRT * 5,652 183 5,835 Islandwide Bus 1,077 3,079 4,156 Total Boardings 378,972 916,327 1,295,299 Total Linked Trips 155,313 396,303 551,616 Boardings / Linked Trip 2.44 2.31 2.35 * Refer to San Juan Caguas Mass Transit System proposed as light rail system, when the analysis was perform The 2030 Plan total daily boardings reflect an over 19 percent increase over the 2030 E+C network. This model has the addition of rail, reflecting Tren Urbano and the addition of light rail and an islandwide bus service. Daily rail boardings are anticipated to be approximately 20 percent of daily boardings, up from 14 percent for the 2030 E+C. Públicos will remain the strongest transit service having 61 percent of daily boardings. The rail boardings are greater than the daily bus boardings. The new transit services added for the plan, LRT and the islandwide bus comprise of 5,835 and 4,156 daily boardings, respectively. 4.1.3.2 2030 Plan Roadway Network The Plan model considers all of the programmed improvements defined for the E+C network and adds a significant number of other projects as listed below. In order to determine which roadway elements should be tested within the Plan network, a significant effort was made to document and ascertain with the Department‟s help a universal list of projects from every municipality within the greater San Juan region. The next step in determining the 2030 Plan was to identify those projects that were more local in scope (i.e., rehabilitation of a bridge or widening of a problem intersection), and remove these from consideration. The result of this effort produced a more manageable list of recommended roadway projects for inclusion within this 2030 model. Although other projects (as will be discussed later) are also worthy for inclusion, only the following elements were coded into the 2030 Plan which forms the basis of the remaining discussion in this chapter. 67 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN PR-874 upgraded to a four-lane cross-section from Canóvanas to Monserrate Avenue PR-27 extension from PR-3 to PR-199, replacing in part PR-844 PR-199 east extension from PR-181 to PR-66 PR-199 west extension from PR-20 to PR-5 New truck route to the Port of San Juan from Becharra to PR-22 at Avenida De Diego PR-53 completion of missing section from Yabucoa to Guayama Upgrade PR-181 to a four-lane facility between PR-30 and PR-183 Prior to reviewing the 2030 Plan run results, a summary of the Vehicle Miles Traveled is always useful in providing a broad comparison with the 2000 base year and the 2030 E+C outputs. Table 4-6 shows this output. Table 4-6 Vehicles Miles Traveled by Roadway Classification (2030 Plan) Facility Type Area Type Collector Local Freeway Ramp Principal Minor Total Urban Business District 2,787,908 260,266 2,242,808 1,431,079 256,701 318,338 7,297,100 Urban 6,453,635 372,317 4,378,839 3,800,927 717,528 440,730 16,163,975 Rural 5,679,645 150,954 1,728,686 2,597,625 1,292,224 130,077 11,579,211 Total 14,921,188 783,537 8,350,333 7,829,631 2,266,453 889,145 35,040,287 The 2030 Plan network is similar to the 2030 E+C network, with a noticeable difference in rural freeway miles. This is the result of significant upgrading of PR-3 as a partial expressway and the construction of PR-53 through the mountainous region between Yabucoa and Guayama. It should be noted that the Plan total vehicle miles traveled is approximately 120,000 miles less than in the E+C network. This reflects the increased transit component assumed for the Plan model such as BRT between San Juan and Caguas, and to east into Carolina. This difference in vehicle miles traveled is reflected as well in comparing the traffic volumes between the E+C model outputs for the San Juan TMA with the 2030 Plan output. More specific differences are pointed out below but in general, it appears that the 2030 Plan produces somewhat less automobile traffic across the roadway system as 68 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN compared to the E+C network, even with the understanding that the 2030 Plan includes slightly more roadway kilometers. Figures 4-7, 4-8 and 4-9 illustrate the volume to capacity ratio categories for the San Juan TMA, central San Juan, and the Caguas region, respectively. 69 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 4-7 Volume to Capacity Ratio Categories for the San Juan TMA 70 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 4-8 Volume to Capacity Ratio Categories for the Central San Juan Region 71 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 4-9 Volume to Capacity Ratio Categories for the Caguas Region 72 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN The detailed analysis is summarized in the key points below: The new PR-199 extensions east and west absorb a tremendous increase in eastbound daily trips near the interchange with PR-66, with additional westbound trips near the interchange with PR-5. Even along the existing sections of PR-199 near PR-52, increases are noted. Very little change is observed along the PR-22/PR-2 corridor because no additional transit or highway components were placed into the model. Therefore, this corridor continues to exhibit significant congestion, particularly during peak periods. The PR-21 corridor begins to show less congestion as compared to the E+C network. This may be the result of increased ridership on the closely parallel Tren Urbano system. PR-833 shows an increase in daily traffic in the southern portion of Guaynabo. In the Caguas area, the PR-52/PR-1 corridor both show declines in daily traffic, reflecting perhaps the utilization of light rail in this corridor north to San Juan. However, in San Juan, the PR-52 corridor does exhibit a spike in traffic north and south of PR-199, indicating the continued growth in traffic even with this mass transit in place. Significant increases also occur along PR-174 south of PR-2, again in Bayamón. Both PR-22 and PR-23 show increases of daily vehicles east of PR-2, while PR2 shows a decrease of vehicles in the same region. Remarkable declines in traffic occur on PR-8, PR-26, and PR-3, all of which connect Carolina to San Juan. On PR-3, the decline is eastbound daily trips just to the east of the PR-8 interchange. In contrast to this decline is the observation of significant traffic volume increase along PR-3 just east of PR-188 in Canóvanas. The increase of vehicles eastbound and vehicles westbound tremendously congests this roadway. The parallel route of PR-66 also has increases in both directions. Nonetheless, both PR-66 and PR-3 remain congested in the 2030 Plan between Carolina and Canóvanas. This leads to the possible speculation of extending some form of dedicated mass transit to Canóvanas from the eastern terminus of the proposed BRT Carolina station. PR-843 north of Caguas has a reduction of directional daily vehicles. Finally, the PR-30 corridor between Juncos and Humacao shows very little change when compared to the E+C network. 73 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN While the overall impression may be that there are still many roadway segments with volume to capacity ratios greater than 1.0, the 2030 Plan does reflect the fact that in many cases, the v/c ratio is brought closer to 1.0 as compared to the E+C model in which it hovers closer to 1.5. 4.1.4 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN RECOMMENDATIONS 4.1.4.1 Public Transportation Public transportation is a major component of the San Juan 2030 Transportation Plan in providing mobility, ensuring sustainability and connecting modes. The recommendations of this plan are to: Provide enhanced and improved público service Extend Tren Urbano with different technologies as BRT‟s and Light Rail Provide Enhanced and Improved Público Service The público system is a way to provide basic mobility to all residents and an alternative to automobile trips. Prompt and aggressive action by the Commonwealth and municipalities will be needed on several fronts to preserve and strengthen público service as listed below. Revise regulations governing público operations to encourage entrepreneurship. Provide for subsidies to support the recommended increase in público service Restructure público routes and hours of operations to serve and support Tren Urbano and other new systems stations, and allow for coordinated fares Allow público vehicles and operators to serve as taxis to off-route destinations, during non-peak hours or when demand is low Encourage público service between major communities in the region. Continue to support the development of público terminal facilities Since Tren Urbano started operations in June 2005, some integration coordination efforts have been developed. Those efforts include some public routes modifications to serve Tren Urbano stations. As mentioned before, because of the Law Number 148, both Tren Urbano and Públicos will be regulated by the DTPW by January 2010. This will facilitate the coordination of Público service to support the rail service and not compete with one another. The key to ensuring the success of the público system is to provide public financial incentives. These will be needed to enable público operators to provide a prescribed level of service that is deemed necessary to meet basic mobility needs. These incentives could take the form of payments to público operators in exchange for operating certain levels of service and/or direct subsidies paid to público riders. Extend Tren Urbano, Bus Rapid Transit and Light Rail In June 2005, Tren Urbano started operations over the entire 17 kilometers between Santurce and Bayamón via Hato Rey and Rio Piedras. It provide the highest density 74 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN corridors in the San Juan region with high-capacity, grade-separated rapid transit service. Several future Tren Urbano extensions have been proposed by previous plans and studies. However, the top priority is likely to be eastward from Rio Piedras to Carolina, as a BRT system along the PR-3 right-of-way. This extension will provide rail transit service to the second largest municipality in the San Juan TMA and help to relieve congestion in the PR-3 and PR-26 corridors. Other included extensions are eastward from Carolina to Canóvanas , westward from Bayamón to Hatillo, as a BRT system, with a first stage of a BRT from Bayamon to Toa Baja and to the north, to Old San Juan, as a Light Rail. All extensions are included subject to FTA funding availability, but the proposed system for Bayamon to Toa Baja have a special assignation of local funds to be using for the development of the infraestructure of the proposed project Mass Transit System, Extension to Caguas The 2030 Plan network included a transit link between the Tren Urbano‟s Cupey Station and Caguas. The link reflects the probable use of BRT transit technology built on guideway in the right-of-way of the PR-52 toll road. This concept has been previously assessed in a study sponsored by the City of Caguas. This project is contingent upon specific FTA and local funding. See appendix D for the proposed illustrative and unfunded projects. Mass Transit System, Extension to Carolina The 2030 Plan network included a transit link between one of the Tren Urbano‟s Station, and the planning phase of this projects consider about three (3) points of connection between TU system and Carolina System. The link reflects the probable use of BRT transit technology built on or through the Corridor of the PR-3 from Rio Piedras to Carolina. This project is contingent upon specific FTA and local funding. See also in appendix D for the proposed illustrative and unfunded projects. The Municipality of Carolina is planning also a Multimodal Transportation Center for the purpose of transfer station for the different transportation modes. The mass transit system proposed for Carolina must have a connection to this transfer center. Mass Transit System, Bayamon to Toa Baja The Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority (PRHTA), proposes a mass transit system through PR-22, as another alternative for congestion management in northern Puerto Rico. The proposed system traverses from Bayamon through PR-5 to Toa Baja through PR-22 (Toll Plaza). As a first stage of this effort, the PRHTA is planning to construct new reversible dynamic expressway lanes at the PR-22 freeway, between kilometer 22.0 near the Toa Baja Toll Plaza and kilometer 12.0, near the intersection with PR-167, just before reaching the bridge over Bayamón River, at Bayamón. Although this project will be constructed without federal funds, the approval of the Federal Highway Administration is necessary, because the PR-22 freeway is part of the Interstate Highway System. The proposed project includes the construction of two (2) dynamic-priced toll express lanes at PR-22 freeway between the municipalities of Toa Baja and Bayamón, along the median section. Both these lanes will operate in alternative directions on peak periods: 75 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN eastbound from 6:00 A.M. to 12:00 Noon and westbound from 12:00 Noon to 6:00 P.M. This project is divided into three (3) units and its total length is approximately 10 kilometers. Unit Number 1 is from kilometer 22.0 to kilometer 20.0, Unit Number 2 is from kilometer 20.0 to kilometer 15.0 and Unit Number 3 is from kilometer 15.0 to kilometer 12.0 Mass Transit System, Extension to Old San Juan The Municipality of San Juan, in coordination with the PRHTA/DTWP, is planning a proposed mass transit project that will be connect the TU system (Sagrado Corazon Station) to Old San Juan that will be use a proposed light rail transit technology. The proposed system would primarily travels along Calle del Tren in the Isleta of San Juan and the Fernandez Juncos Avenue in Santurce Note:Tren Urbano extensions and other rail systems are recommended but subject to identification of additional FTA funding sources or other funding mechanisms. 4.1.4.2 Roadways In addition to the recommended strengthening of the DTPW maintenance program for existing roadways in the San Juan TMA, the following key capital improvement projects are recommended: PR-199 (Avenida Las Cumbres). PR-199 extends east-west across the south side of the San Juan municipality. Its unique continuity makes it an extremely important component of the region‟s major roadway network. . Previous plans have underscored the need for developing a continuous, east-west transportation corridor across the San Juan region north of the mountains. The PR-199 corridor has been designated to serve that function, and improvements have been underway on various sections for several years. A critical gap exists between the intersection of PR-5/199 in Bayamón and Via Real in Guaynabo, which will require a new bridge across the Rio Bayamón. In Trujillo Alto and Carolina, another new section will be needed to extend PR199 eastward from PR-181 to a connection with the planned PR-66 toll road. The existing sections of PR-199 will require upgrading in some areas to provide a consistent six-lane arterial cross section. West of PR-167 in Bayamón, right-of-way should be preserved for the eventual extension of PR199 west into Toa Alta to a connection with PR-2 and PR-22 near PR-165 or PR-693. Where significant local land use impacts can be avoided, interchanges should be developed at major intersections, and roadside access should be controlled, primarily by fronting development away from the roadway. PR-199 is also a potentially important transit corridor (see later section on public transportation improvements), and a median area should be reserved, where possible, for a future busway or bus lanes. PR-5 (Rio Hondo Expressway). This project has been in design and construction for many years. It should improve access to the Bayamón commercial center, as well as access to the western terminus of the Tren 76 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Urbano. It will facilitate park-ride, público, and bus access to Tren Urbano from southern Bayamón and Naranjito. This roadway is being designed and built as an expressway between PR-2 and PR-199 in Bayamón. North of PR-2, it is an existing expressway to PR-22, and then continues north as an arterial to the ferry terminal in Cataño. As it traverses Bayamón Center, it passes two Tren Urbano stations. Thus, PR-5 is an important transit access route to three major destinations: Tren Urbano, the Cataño ferry, and Bayamón Center. Beyond 2030, right-of-way should be preserved to extend PR-5 south of PR199 to connect with PR-167 in Naranjito. PR-167 could then be improved south to Comerío PR 66 and PR 3. It is recommended that the proposed PR-66 toll road be completed, extending east from PR-26 to east of Río Grande, roughly paralleling PR-3. This is part of the Islandwide circumferential corridor expressway. PR-3 between Río Grande and the PR-53 expressway south of Fajardo should also be upgraded to expressway standards. PR-27 (Avenida Dr. Barbosa). This route should be extended south from its intersection with PR-3 to tie into PR-844 at PR-845. The PR-844 alignment would be used to connect to PR-199 at its existing interchange with PR-844. A four-lane arterial cross-section should be developed throughout the proposed extension from PR-3 to PR-199. This improvement would provide an alternative to PR-181 for traffic destined to Rio Piedras and Hato Rey from communities in southern San Juan and Trujillo Alto. It also has significant transit service potential with buses and/or públicos operating on PR-199 and then using the new PR-27 connection to access Tren Urbano at Rio Piedras. 4.1.4.3 Non-Motorized Modes Non-motorized modes are integrated into the transportation plan to promote the quality of life strategy. Pedestrian and bicycle facilities encourage densification and incorporate land use and mobility by providing access to resources while preserving the environment and enhancing sustainability. DTPW has identified 35 pedestrian and bicycle facility projects in the San Juan TMA. See Appendix D, Illustrative NonMotorized Mode Projects (Resources not available yet) Table. 4.1.4.4 Ports, Airports and Freight The Puerto Rico Ports Authority (PRPA), a public corporation created in 1942 to develop and operate ports and airports within the Commonwealth, operates and manages the Port of San Juan (Commonwealth's largest port), and the Luis Muñoz Marín International Airport and their respective complementary facilities. PRPA supervises all land operations, and is also in charge of the capital improvements projects programmed within said facilities according to a Master Plan approved by its Board of Directors. Based on these considerations, the following project recommendations proposed on this LRTP for airport and seaport facilities will focus on the solution of 77 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN surface transportation connectivity issues, but not in the planning and programming process of such projects, since that is an exclusive jurisdiction of the PRPA. However, this San Juan TMA LRTPA will detail in the following subsections those access improvement projects under the jurisdiction of PRPA, based on their Master Plan that are relevant to the recommendations included in this LRTP. Said mention does not include a detailed and independent analysis of internal infrastructure needs. Port of San Juan The ability of the Port of San Juan to continue to serve the needs of the island of Puerto Rico will require not only increased waterside capacity, but also increased landside access. Significantly increasing the Port of San Juan‟s waterside capacity will not only require additional wharfs, but also increased channel and berth depth to handle post Panamax ships. In addition, improved highway access, as well as reorganization of wharfs and other port functions, could make the port operate more efficiently. Capacity and Facilities Improvements. Proposed capacity and facilities improvements for the Port of San Juan are drawn primarily from discussions with port and industry representatives and reflect proposals that may already be in the pipeline for implementation by the Ports Authority. More detailed assessment of port infrastructure improvements and their costs is not in the scope of this LRTP but will undoubtedly be the subject of future plans and studies by the Ports Authority. Site expansion for the Port of San Juan is constrained by surrounding urban development, environmentally sensitive wetlands, and the Bay of San Juan. This means that future expansion space must come from within by displacing non-port related activities from the site and by reorganizing the location of functional areas and the allocation of space to these functions to achieve greater operational efficiency and release land for expansion use. The development of Puerto de Las Américas in Ponce should take some pressure for expansion off the Port of San Juan by accommodating some of the expected growth in transshipment and general import/export traffic. New wharf space and the latest post-Panamax cranes are needed, and channels and berths should be deepened to 50 feet to accommodate the largest cargo vessels and cruise ships. 4 Access Improvements. Port operations are currently spread among three areas that are physically separated from each other by waterways, and there are no internal roadways to interconnect these areas. The cruise ship berths and cargo operations north of the San Antonio canal get their access from Avenida Fernandez Juncos, and all vehicular traffic from these operations must pass through the traffic bottlenecks at each end of the twin bridges across the San Antonio canal. Improvement of traffic conditions at these bottlenecks would greatly benefit access to this part of the port. The second port area includes the cruise ship and cargo operations on the Miramar peninsula, and their access comes from Expreso Luis Muñoz Rivera (PR-1). A more 4 The LRTP references proposed port infrastructure improvements as identified by the Ports Authority, but the LRTP scope does not include a detailed and independent analysis of internal infrastructure needs. 78 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN detailed study of access to this area of the port is needed that would also consider the access requirements of the new convention center and its related development and the reconstruction of the interchange complex at the south end of the San Antonio canal bridges. Moreover, internal circulation between port functions on the Miramar peninsula could change and be improved if the Isla Grande Airport is eventually relocated to another site. The current system of slip ramps and marginal roadways along the Expreso Luis Muñoz Rivera should also be reassessed as part of a detailed access study for this part of the port. The third port area is the large sector south of Martin Pena Channel that gets its access from Expreso John F. Kennedy (PR-2) through a series of slip ramps and marginal roadways. The lack of a ramp for southbound to eastbound traffic at the PR-2/22 interchange requires trucks destined south on Expreso Las Américas (PR-18/52) to head north on PR-2 into Santurce and then turn east and south via PR-1 to reach PR-18, requiring two crossings in heavy traffic of the Martin Pena Channel. Previous studies and plans have proposed a connection between the Avenida De Diego interchange on PR-22 and the port via the Bechara Industrial Park east of PR-2, but the proposal has not been implemented because the connector would cross a wetlands area just north of PR-22. This connector is again recommended for implementation with the further recommendation to pursue mitigating measures to replace the affected wetlands. Truck access to the port could also benefit from scheduling more truck movement outside normal peak commuting hours to avoid congestion on approach routes. Luis Muñoz Marín International Airport Extensive improvements have been made in recent years to passenger terminal facilities, terminal access roadways, and parking at Luis Muñoz Marín. According to industry representatives, the primary need now is for new and expanded cargo handling facilities and improved vehicular access to the cargo area. Specifically, cargo area access from the east off PR-26 could be improved and made more direct by constructing a loop ramp in the northeast quadrant of the PR-26/cargo access road interchange. This will allow cargo traffic from the east to exit directly to the cargo access road, rather than the present arrangement of exiting one mile to the east at the Campo Rico interchange and then using the PR-190 marginal road to reach the cargo access road. This will provide adequate spacing on PR-26 between the northbound entrance ramp at Campo Rico and the proposed new exit ramp at the cargo access road. According to the PRPA, there are on schedule two (2) main projects for the Luis Muñoz Marín Airport to improve access to freight area and airplane services. Both projects are detailed below. Estimated cost for both projects sums $24.75 million. 79 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table 4-7 Access Improvement Projects for the Luis Muñoz Marin International Airport Project Road widening - Air Freight Area Access road to General Aviation Area Stage Estimated Cost Completion Date Design $16,780,000 June 2013 Construction $7,970,000 May 2011 Source: Puerto Rico Ports Authority 4.1.4.5 Cost Estimates Cost estimates have been prepared for two categories of projects in the San Juan TMA: Projects already committed for construction over roughly the next five years and reflected in the E+C network. Projects tested in the 2030 Plan network and recommended for construction over the next 20 years by the LRTP. Cost estimates for the E+C network are given in Table 4-8 and cost estimates for the whole 2030 Plan network are given in Appendix D5. Table 4-8 includes Strategic Road Network (STRAHNET) projects which were part of the 2000 network analysis, including projects that are already completed, projects in an advanced stage of construction (within the fiscally constrained plan) and projects which do not have funding available yet (see Table 4-8). Those projects committed for construction in San Juan Urbanized Area 2030 LRTP short range total $436.41 million (see Table 4-13). Projects recommends by the LRTP for construction by 2030 total $ 1.54 billion (see tables 4-13, 4-14 and 4-15). Appendix D includes several tables listing illustrative projects identified in DTPW‟s or local plans which are not part of the fiscally constrained plan. Where available, costs for specific projects were taken from DTPW estimates. Costs for all other recommended projects were based upon “per kilometer” unit costs for constructing new or upgraded routes, as derived from DTPW‟s islandwide universe of capital project descriptions and costs. The total cost of combined IAP, Short, Intermediate, and Long Term projects presented below for the San Juan TMA LRTP, as well for the Aguadilla TMA LRTP and the five transportation regions, do not surpass the available resources for UZA plans and other projects detailed in Table 6.5, according to 2005 financial analysis. Section 4.2 updates this analysis in order to 5 Several municipal governments under the San Juan TMA have recently informed a number of additional roadway projects that are currently under evaluation by the PRHTA for recommendation to the MPO, as a possible inclusion in this Plan. 80 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN comply with February, 2007 regulation, and new financial situation of the PRHTA as explained in Chapter 6. Table 4-8 E+C Network Cost Estimates Route Description Stage Cost (millions) PR-18 Improvements to PR-52 Interchange(Phase N1) Improvements to PR-52 Interchange (Phase N2) Reversible Lane PR-52 to PR-1 PR-18 Total Completed Completed Completed $ 13.39 $ 9.27 $ 3.40 $ 26.06 PR-26 Miramar Construction PR-26 Total Under Construction $ 17.43 $ 17.43 PR-52 PR-1 to PR- 199 (including reversible lane) Caguas Toll Plaza Modifications PR-52 Total Completed Completed $ 6.96 $ 4.65 $ 11.61 PR-53 PR-53 Humacao, Yabucoa & Maunabo PR-53 Maunabo, Patillas & Guayama (funds not identified yet) PR-53 Total North East Highway from Sta. 22 + 30 to Sta. 33 + 00 (PR-958 East) North East Highway from Sta. 33+00 to Sta. 39+80 (PR-958 East) North East Highway from Sta. 39+80 to Sta. 47+10 (PR-959 West) North East Highway from Sta. 47+10 (PR-959 West) to Sta. 58+30, including road and earthwork in Toll Plaza North East Highway from Sta. 58+30 to 71+00, including Int. with PR-956 PR-66 Total* (Considered under PPP) Completed Unfunded $200.00 $ 600.00 $ 800.00 PR-66 Total Strategic Roadway System Projects in E+C *Upon Available Funds. Those projects which are not thus marked have been constructed or are under construction. $ 23.76 Under Construction Unfunded Unfunded $ 13.37 $ 19.20 Unfunded $ 18.21 $106.50 $ 31.96 Under Construction Total $961.60 4.1.4.6 Priority Staging Since the recommended transportation plan is derived from the process of producing this document, it must be constrained within the financial resources available to DTPW, and the projects must be prioritized and programmed in order to establish a mechanism for funding these projects. All projects that are proposed and recommended would be utilizing only projected 81 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN available funds from established sources in order to become fully constructed. With that in mind, a three stage prioritization program is listed in this report: short-term, intermediate, and long-term. The combination of these three elements formulates the essence of the recommended 2030 Transportation Plan. The short-term components include all of the Immediate Action Plan activities as described in Section 4.1.5, with a total cost of $12.8 million. These are recommended for quick implementation because not only do they improve “spot” congestion facilities, but they show the government‟s ability to demonstrate noticeable action to local drivers. Secondly, the short-term components includes all of those elements listed previously in Table 4-8 and those identified for short term in the 2000 Network Analysis are included in Appendix D which have been committed to being completed by the end of 2008. The intermediate projects identified in Table 4-8 (E+C network) are basically those projects necessary to complete the strategic highway network within the San Juan area. Many of these projects have already begun construction and simply need to be completed during the next several years6. The intermediate projects in the 2000 Network Analysis are included in Appendix D. These include all of the projects tested in the 2030 Plan run including the PR-199 east and west extensions, the extension of Tren Urbano east to Carolina and a new light rail system from Caguas to the Villa Nevarez station, linking to the existing Tren Urbano system. While there are not many projects listed in this group, the few that are tend to be expensive elements and therefore the funding should be concentrated in order to make these projects achieve completion prior to the year 2020. The long term projects in the 2000 Network Analysis are included in Appendix D. In addition to this estimated funding list, consideration should be given to the establishment of high capacity corridors extending south from Caguas to Cayey along PR-52, east from Carolina to Canóvanas in the PR-66/PR-3 corridor, and west from the San Juan municipality to Manatí along the PR-22/PR-2 corridor. These high capacity corridors can include the construction of additional heavy rail, light rail, high occupancy vehicle lanes, busways, or some combination of these. In summary, the 2030 San Juan Transportation Plan indicates that a good balance between roadway and transit projects can be achieved given the constrained funding limitations over the next few decades. Once DTPW begins to implement the critical projects identified, traffic flow for all persons, using all modes, should be noticeably better than current conditions. 6 Numerous highway and other projects recommended for the Short- and Intermediate-Term constitute relatively minor reconstruction or improvement activities that address immediate needs or safety situations in roads and bridges. Projects of this nature are, in general, endorsed by this plan, subject to compliance with applicable regulations and the actual programming of funds by the MPO, DTPW, PRHTA, and/or municipalities. 82 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 4.1.5 IMMEDIATE ACTION PLAN RECOMMENDATIONS CONSISTENT WITH REASONABLE REVENUE FORECASTS Personal and freight mobility in the San Juan TMA can be significantly enhanced by relatively low cost, easy-to-implement actions to improve the safety and efficiency of the existing highway network. These actions include intersection signalization and channelization, improved pavement markings and signs, limited route widening, elimination of hazardous roadway characteristics, turning lanes, and other traffic engineering and operational improvements. Because their capital cost is low and they can generally be accomplished within existing rights-of-way, these improvements can be implemented within a short time frame. These short-term improvements have been grouped into an Immediate Action Program (IAP). The IAP will provide immediate relief to critical, hazardous locations and congestion bottlenecks across the island that do not require major capital cost solutions. The identification of problem locations for inclusion in the IAP drew upon several sources. Probably the most important source was the local knowledge of regional DTPW/ PRHTA and municipality staff and officials. A meeting was held with senior engineering staff from the seven DTPW regions to enlist their help in identifying intersections and roadway sections in their respective regions that were prime candidates for low-cost, immediate action improvements. A similar meeting was held with municipality staff from throughout the island. DTPW regional and municipality staffs were asked to classify their problem locations according to the following types of intersection or roadway deficiencies: Need for new right or left turn lanes and intersection channelization or to improve or extend existing turn lanes and channelization Significant pavement deficiencies (poor drainage, potholes, uneven pavement) Insufficient roadway lighting or lack of lighting Insufficient pavement markings or lack of markings Deficient traffic signs or lack of essential signing+ Inadequate or poorly coordinated traffic signals or lack of needed signalization Capacity constraints and hazardous conditions resulting from reduction in number of traffic lanes or obstacles immediately adjacent to traffic lanes Visual obstructions caused by illegal signs, foliage, and other roadside features Need for installation or replacement of median or roadside safety barriers DTPW and municipality staffs were asked to focus on the most serious, “spot” problem locations and to exclude other problems and deficiencies that could and should be addressed through routine roadway maintenance programs. Municipalities were also asked to provide information on (1) the most common types of accidents at high83 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN accident locations within their jurisdictions, (2) their assessment of the principal causes of congestion at congested peak period locations, (3) locations of existing traffic signals, and (4) intersections needing new signals. Regional transportation plans that have been completed for several communities around the island were another source of candidate IAP projects. Transportation study reports from San Juan, Caguas, Toa Alta, Humacao, and several smaller communities were reviewed to identify recommended short-term improvements. To the extent possible, these previously recommended actions were checked with DTPW improvement records to determine which proposals have already been implemented. Major corridor studies by DTPW that may have identified spot improvement needs were reviewed, as well as local petitions made by municipalities to DTPW for traffic improvements. Finally, the IAP drew upon a list of improvement needs identified by the Small Capital Rapid Implementation Project Team (SCRIPT). SCRIPT is a joint effort by the DTPW, the Traffic Safety Commission (TSC), and the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) to facilitate low-capital improvements at spot locations on highways to improve safety and traffic operations and to reduce congestion. The proposed San Juan TMA Immediate Action Program is listed in Table D-8 sorted by municipality (See Appendix D). Intersection improvements are identified by the two primary cross routes involved (for example, PR-10 and PR-143), and route segment improvements are defined by route number/name and the kilometer posts that mark the beginning and end of the improvement (for example, PR-162 from kilometer 6.2 to 6.4). The type of improvement is described along with its cost and any clarifying notes. The IAP includes 78 projects throughout the island with a total estimated cost of $28 million in 2004 dollars. All of these projects are deserving of early implementation; however, pragmatically, their implementation will undoubtedly be spread over several years. Moreover, as the IAP is continually updated, new improvement needs will emerge that may merit earlier action than some of those in this edition. To speed relief to as many areas as possible, it is proposed that top implementation priority be given to those IAP projects that can address problems at high-accident locations at an implementation cost of $500,000 or less for each project. In developing the IAP two other significant contributors to congestion were observed which merit comment and suggested solutions. The first concerns the congesting effects of illegal street parking in the centers of towns and villages. Most small towns do not have bypasses for state routes, typically requiring those routes to pass through the center of town. Traffic is often impeded by illegally parked cars that occupy moving lanes on narrow streets. This problem can be addressed by enforcing curb parking prohibitions, desirably in concert with local efforts to provide alternative off-street parking. The second issue is the need for effective, well-planned, and enforced Maintenance of Traffic (MOT) plans and programs for construction projects. Many MOTs are not fully implemented or followed in practice, causing major traffic congestion and incidents. 84 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 4.2 THE 2010 PLAN UPDATE TO THE YEAR 2030 4.2.1 REAFFIRMATION OF STRATEGIES, POLICIES AND PROJECT ENDORSEMENTS PREVIOUSLY ADOPTED IN THE MARCH 2006 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN This 2010 Update and Re-adoption of the San Juan Urbanized Area 2030 LRTP previously adopted by the MPO, in March of 2006, reaffirms the continuity of the problem descriptions, Vision statement, Strategies and recommendations stated in said previous Plan. Specific project endorsements and scheduling, however, are modified as per the discussions in the following sections. 4.2.2 PROJECTS ALREADY ADVANCED TO CONSTRUCTION A number of projects recommended in the March 2006 LRTP Plan have been already implemented or advanced into construction. These are presented in the following table. Some of these projects are listed also in the 2030 LRTP Plan Network Analysis that is included in Appendix D. 85 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table 4-9 Projects Advanced into construction or completed since 2006 Plan Municipality Highway Project Description Estimated Construction Cost (YOE) dollars Barranquitas PR-162 Bridge Replacement #358, over Usabón River $1,069,159 Bayamón PR-167 Geometric improvements from Intersection with PR-199 to Intersection with Ramón Rodríguez Street $6,645,298 Bayamón / Toa Alta PR-5 Construction of PR-148 between Bayamón and Toa Alta $13,451,381 Bayamón PR-2 Reconstruction and Rehabilitation of slab bridge Bridges 1093 & 1553 (AC-010181) $ 4,000,000 Caguas PR-189 Widening from Rafael Cordero to PR-1 $2,804,492 Caguas PR-196 Extension José Garrido Ave. from PR-52 to PR-1 (AC-019604) $3,840,802 Caguas PR-1 Geometrics Improvements, Int. PR-765 & Barrio Borinquen (AC-100219) $1,809,320 Caguas PR-52 Caguas PR-52 Caguas / Gurabo PR-30 Pavement Rehabilitation (AC-300106) $28,171,766 Canóvanas PR-66 Expressway construction $20,018,071 Canóvanas PR-66 Expressway construction $21,793,439 Carolina PR-874 Widening from Monserrate Avenue to Canóvanas Phase II $16,357,613 Cataño PR-22 Rehabilitation Ramp PR-22 and PR-5 $1,342,250 Cayey PR-171 Muñoz Rivera Street. Widening, Geometric improvements, and extension of Muñoz Rivera Avenue $6,040,127 Cayey PR-206 Two-lane bypass construction west of Cayey fromPR-1 to PR-14 $14,221,593 Cayey PR-1 Widening and Geometric improvements from AC-100202 to PR-738 $7,378,582 Ciales PR-615 Construction of bridge over Toro Negro River, PR-615, from km 24.65 to PR-149, plus pavement and drainage improvements $12,896,903 Re-surface of pavement and construction of Reversible lane from Int. PR-199 to Plaza Peaje Caguas Norte AC-520102 Re-surface of pavement and construction of Reversible lane from Int. PR-199 to Plaza Peaje Caguas Norte AC-520097 $20,114,842 $12,121,723 86 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Municipality Highway Project Description Estimated Construction Cost (YOE) dollars Cidra PR-173 Landslide Correction, PR-173 Km. 3.0 (AC_017331) $ 448,706 Comerío PR-778 New two-lane road $33,107,182 Corozal PR-159 Widen from two lanes to four lanes $1,362,393 Guaynabo PR-22 Widening from Buchanan Toll Plaza to PR-165 $21,636,867 Guaynabo PR-22 Rehabilitation of Pavement from Buchanan Toll to Int. PR-167 (AC-220163) $22,304,703 Guaynabo PR-165 Merge Lane and Geometric Improvements PR-22 Ramp to PR 165 $1,178,959 Guaynabo PR-20 Guaynabo/ San Juan PR-177 Humacao PR-3 Replacement Bridge #1022 over Mabu Creek (AC-300045) $5,771,500 Humacao PR-53 Pavement Rehabilitation from km. 24.00 to km. 40.00 (AC-005372) $ 16,507,546 Las Piedras PR-30 Drainage repair km. 21.50 Industrial Zone (AC-300107) $2,108,167 Las Piedras PR-30 Repair of Road PR-30 Km. 24.1 (AC-300114) $918,960 Las Piedras PR-204 Extension PR-204 from PR-30 to PR-183 $7,778,900 Maunabo PR-53 Maunabo Tunnel and Int. from PR-53 to PR-901 $151,809,395 Naguabo PR-191 Repair of Road PR-191 Km. 21.6, 22.6,23.2 y 26.6 (AC-019141) $ 270,398 Naranjito PR-152 Landslide Correction km. 17.30 $1,193,411 Naranjito PR-148 Bridge over Rio LaPlata (Cable Bridge) (AC-014809) $32,091,784 Naranjito PR-5 New 4-lane bridge over Rio La Plata and PR-148 $32,043,150 Naranjito PR-152 Geometric improvements, Intersection of PR- 779, PR-802 and PR-803 $1,019,916 Improvements to intersection of PR-20 Expressway Martinez Nadal with PR-1 (Ramp PR-20 / PR-169 to San Juan) Improvemnts to Signals from Int Ramirez de Arellano Ave. to Calle Parana (AC-017743) $8,581,030 $1.222,440 87 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Municipality Highway Project Description Estimated Construction Cost (YOE) dollars Naranjito PR-152 Geometric improvements, Intersection of PR-164, PR-814, PR-810 and PR-811 $2,565,951 Río Grande PR-9187 Construction of Río Grande bypass (PR-9187), Phase 1: New interchange of PR-3 with PR-187 and connector from PR-956 to PR-3 $3,917,813 San Juan PR-26 Impact attenuator installation $1,701,369 San Juan PR-17 Reconstruction of PR-17, from PR-18 to PR-25 $7,739,351 San Juan PR-21 Improvements PR-176, PR-8838, PR-8839, and Villa Nevárez Station $33,457,503 San Juan Bypass From PR-17 to PR181 Bypass construction of the intersection of PR-17 and PR-181 (at km 8.347) $25,733,860 San Juan PR-27 Replacement of Bridge #. 87 over Martin Peña Canal, Barbosa Ave, PR-27, Km. 2.40 $33,778,801 San Juan PR-3 Intersection of PR-181 KM. 2.89 with PR-3 and PR-47. $39,069,424 San Juan PR-1 Intersection 5 Phase II , Improvements to Muñoz Rivera of PR-181 KM. 2.89 with PR-3 and PR-47. $39,069,424 San Lorenzo PR-203 Geometric Improvements Intersection PR-203 and PR-931 $1,455,180 Toa Alta PR-5 Reconstruction of PR-148 $11,230,835 Toa Alta / Vega Alta PR-22 Pavement Rehabilitation $13,615,854 Trujillo Alto PR-181 New 4-lane roadway $14,510,145 Vega Baja PR-6671 New 4 lane connector $5,685,686 Vega Baja PR-686 Scouring Correction $1,347,362 Yabucoa PR-901 Geometric improvement $658,383 Total Cost $ 729,608,686 88 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 4.3 COST ADJUSTMENTS AND RESCHEDULING OF PENDING PROJECTS 4.3.1 CONSIDERATION OF INCREASING CONSTRUCTION COSTS The February, 2007, a new Federal Regulation was prepared that outlines new and changed requirement for metropolitan and statewide transportation planning., which, among other provisions, require that the estimated cost of projects recommended in an LRTP, as well as the projected revenues to support those costs, be adjusted according to cost inflation factors applied in accordance to how far in the future the project is recommended for implementation. In accordance with these guides, the 2005 cost and projected revenue estimates that were presented in the March 2006 Plan had to be adjusted with inflation factors that correspond to the proposed staging of the projects. Projects that were included in the March 2006 LRTP retain the endorsement of the present 2010 update, but their cost estimates were inflated with an averaged 4% annual cost increase, applied according to the new recommended staging of the project. The application of a year of expenditure (YOE) dollar increase factor to the cost of construction and property acquisition costs for the short range projects takes into consideration the decrease from the original estimates evidenced both when awarding bids (by an average of 23.86 percent since January 2009) and when acquiring (by about 25 percent since 2009), respectively. For intermediate and long range projects the YOE of 4 percent (compound) is being applied to current cost estimates. 4.3.2 REASONABLY EXPECTED RESOURCES Chapter 6 presents an extended discussion of the financial resources that, on this date, can be reasonably expected to be available for the implementation of the programs and projects that were included in the March 2006 LRTP retain the endorsement of the present and incorporated in this 2010 Update. This financial exercise, however, had to be conducted in a particularly difficult moment for the Highways and Transportation Authority (PRHTA), the principal investment arm of the Government of Puerto Rico for development and operation of the transportation system. 4.3.3 RESCHEDULING AND CONDITIONAL ENDORSEMENT OF PENDING PROJECTS The previous section, in making reference to the fiscal constraint analysis in Chapter 6, indicate that the PRHTA, even when basing the projected financial scenario only in existing revenue sources (adjusted for inflation), will permit utilization of the expected stream of federal allocations to the agency, mainly from the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), and also maintain investment in the highways‟ system‟s maintenance and operations. Candidate projects for using that federal funding, originally endorsed in the March 2006 LRTP, have been rescheduled and their cost inflated as described above. The resulting project lists for this 2010 Update of the LRTP is presented in the following table which is part of the cost feasible plan: 89 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table 4-10 2030 San Juan TMA: Short Range Projects (2010-2015) (Cost Feasible Plan) ACNUMBER MUNICIPALITY DESCRIPTION ESTIMATE COSTRUCTION COST (YOE) dollars 020802 Aguas Buenas Construction of North Bypass, Aguas Buenas Phase I: From PR-156 km.53 to 46 + 00 Station (Including Bridge over Rio Bairoa, Level Intersectiom with PR-156) 000541 Bayamon "SCOUR REPAIR AND 2" CONCRETE OVERLAY, BRIDGE JOINT REPAIR" BRIDGES #1171 & #1172 PR-5, KM 2.5 $4,428,000.00 010161 Bayamón Construction of Extension from km. 1.04 to Caridad del Cobre Ave., Bayamón, Among PR199 to Urb. Cana $2,836,799.00 100528 Bayamón Construction of Rio Hondo Ave. PR-5 Phase III, from Los Millones Street to PR-199 (1+00.00 (MA) Station to 48+20.00 Station) $22,497,280.00 000533 Bayamón Construction of Extension of PR-5 from PR-167 (El Porton) to Int. PR-5 with PR-199, Las Cumbres Ave. Phase I $13,520,000.00 $20,000,000.00 PR-22 Dynamic Priced Toll Expressway Lanes and Bus Rapid Transit System: Dynamic Priced Toll Expressway Lanes (DTL) (Phase IA) Construction of Bus Rapid Transit and High Occupancy Toll Lanes PR-22 from km. 20.0 to Toa Baja Toll Plaza (Phase II) Construction of a Dynamic Toll Lanes, from km. 15.00 to Km. 20.00, PR-22 220187 221187 222187 Bayamón / Toa Baja (Phase III) Construction of a Dynamic Toll Lanes, from km. 12.00 near PR-167 to Km. 15.00 near “La Arena” Toa Baja,PR-22 223187 Bus Rapid Transit 224187 (Phase IB) Construction of Access to Transfer Station in PR-165 and Connection to Phase IA $40,000,000 (Phase IV ) Construction of a Bus Rapid Transit from PR-22 Int. PR-167 to Int. PR-5 / Construction of a Bus Rapid Transit from PR-22 Int. PR-5 to TU Bayamon Station (Phase V) Construction of Parking Lot and Transfer Station PR-165 Toa Baja (Phase VI) Construction of a variable Dynamic 90 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN ACNUMBER MUNICIPALITY DESCRIPTION ESTIMATE COSTRUCTION COST (YOE) dollars Toll Lane from the Toa Baja Toll Plaza to Int. with PR-694, including access to the parking lot on PR-165 017739 Bayamón Improvements to the Intersection of PR-177/PR174, including the Ints. with PR-889 $10,000,000.00 520105 Caguas Concrete Overlay, Full Depth Slab Bridge 858, PR-52 $2,450,514.00 000124 Caguas Linear Park Caguitas River Phases I and II, from Corridor Verde del Rio Caguitas (From PR-156 to PR-1) $3,400,000.00 003402 Caguas Construction of Extension Degetau Street from Luis Muñoz Marin Ave. to PR-788 $22,000,000.00 096205 Canóvanas Replacement of Bridge Num. 606 over Canovanas River Km. 1.6 $6,354,400.00 026118 Carolina SPAN #3 SLAB REPLACEMENT BRIDGE #2458 PR-26, LOS ANGELES $4,499,456.00 301125 Carolina Rehabilitation of Bridge Num. 1200 Over Rio Grande De Loiza, PR-3 km. 10.8 $600,000.00 301125 Carolina Rehabilitation of Bridge Num.1200 on PR-3 $600,000.00 500043 Cayey Caminos Reales de Jájome. Pedestrian trails rehabilitation between Jájome Alto and Jájome Bajo districts $1,500,000.00 017242 Cidra East Connector of Cidra From Street #2 (Industrial Avenue) to PR-734 Phase I $12,979,200.00 017247 Cidra East Connector of Cidra from PR-1 Access and PR-7787 to PR-52 (Phase III) $14,038,303.00 017246 Cidra East Connector of Cidra from PR-734 to PR-1 Access and PR-7787 (Phase II) $13,498,368.00 800319 Coamo Installation of Metal Bridge (Acrow Bridge) for Replacement of Bridge Num. 1730 in PR-150 km. 15.10 $500,000.00 801271 Coamo Replacement of Bridge Num. 172 over Descalabrado River $6,467,968.00 005375 Fajardo, Ceiba, Naguabo and Yabucoa Instalation of Rumble Strip on Shoulders PR-53 and PR-60 From Fajardo to Yabucoa $800,000.00 083503 Guaynabo Improvements to PR-835 providing access to Guaynabo and other facilities $6,556,950.00 019923 Guaynabo Construction of Las Cumbres Ave. from Borbon $34,214,226.26 91 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN ACNUMBER MUNICIPALITY DESCRIPTION ESTIMATE COSTRUCTION COST (YOE) dollars Street to PR-833 300110 Gurabo Widening to three (3) lanes PR-30 from PR-203 to PR-181 $12,500,000.00 006002 Humacao Highway PR-60 ramp and intersection PR-198, Humacao - Traffic Signal and Pavement markings $247,595.00 003140 Juncos Highway PR-31 intersection PR-9919, Traffic Signal and Pavement markings and video detection $300,000.00 300108 Juncos-Gurabo Rehabilitation of various bridges PR-3 $4,000,000.00 992201 Las Piedras Construction of 4 lanes CONNECTOR PR-9922 INT. PR-9939 & PR-183 $1,843,919.00 018760 Loíza South Bypass From PR-188 to Medianía Baja $13,300,000.00 005374 Maunabo-Yabucoa TO BUILD AN EXTENSION OF PR-53 BETWEEN YABUCOA AND MAUNABO (EARMARKED) $5,909,998.00 803271 Naguabo Replacement of Bridge Num. 121, over Palmas Creek $5,750,000.00 015567 Orocovis Connector Construction PR-5555 from PR-155 Km. 29.1 to PR-568 $5,200,000.00 918701 Río Grande Bypass Construction From Rio Grande (PR9187), Intersection Level Phase from PR-3 int. PR-187 and Connector with PR-956 to PR- $6,000,000.00 300068 Río Grande.-Fajardo Conversion to Expressway PR-3 Rio Grande to Fajardo $20,247,562.00 301115 Río Grande.-Fajardo Improvements to Signals System, Safety and Pavement Marking in PR-3, from km. 21.00 to km. 47.6, from Rio Grande to Fajardo and Pavement Rehabilitation from km. 36.2 to km. 46.9 $12,000,000.00 100229 Salinas Replacement of Bridge Num. 21 over Nigua River, PR-1 Km. 91.18 $5,624,320.00 026112 San Juan Rehabilitation of Bridge Num. 753 over Roberto H.Todd Ave., PR-26 Baldorioty de Castro Espressway $2,000,000.00 010163 San Juan Revitalization of Historic District of San Juan Streets $3,278,475.00 990105 San Juan PHASE II OF THE INTELIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM (ITS) FOR $6,240,000.00 92 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN ACNUMBER MUNICIPALITY DESCRIPTION ESTIMATE COSTRUCTION COST (YOE) dollars THE SAN JUAN METROPOLITAN AREA 990111 990112 800307 800308 San Juan PHASE III OF THE INTELIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM (ITS) FOR THE SAN JUAN METROPOLITAN AREA, INCLUDING ADVANCE SIGNAL SYSTEMS, HIGHWAY ADVISORY RADIO (HAR), HIGHWAY SERVICE PATROL, DYNAMIC MESSAGE SIGNS (DMS), CCTV CAMERAS AND CONSULTING SERVICES $6,489,600.00 San Juan PHASE IV OF THE INTELIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM (ITS) FOR THE SAN JUAN METROPOLITAN AREA, INCLUDING ADVANCE SIGNAL SYSTEMS, HIGHWAY ADVISORY RADIO (HAR), HIGHWAY SERVICE PATROL, DYNAMIC MESSAGE SIGNS (DMS), CCTV CAMERAS AND CONSULTING SERVICES $6,749,184.00 San Juan Traffic Improvements to Zone I: Hato Rey / Rio Piedras: Luis Muñoz Rivera Ave. from San German Street to Borinquen Street, and Ponce de Leon Ave., from GandaraStreet to Segarra Street (24 intersections) $2,400,000.00 San Juan Traffic Improvements to Zone II: Santurce /Miramar: Ponce de Leon Ave. from Muñoz Rivera Expressway to Miramar Street $1,600,000.00 (16 Intersections) 800309 San Juan Traffic Improvements to Zone III: Santurce /Miramar: Fernandez Juncos Ave. from Miramar Street to Sagrado Corazon TU station $1,800,000.00 (18 Intersections) 001860 San Juan Improvements on PR-18 and PR-22, Construction of access ramps to collector (west side) of PR-18 from Roosevelt Ave. to Calaf Street. 010190 San Juan Acuaexpreso Modernization Project (Diverplex) $5,604,480.00 San Juan-GuaynaboBayamón-CarolinaTrujillo Alto-Toa Baja Reconstruction of Roads PR-17, PR-25, PR-26, PR-177 and PR-199, Highway Optimization Plan (POC) $3,076,054.70 800316 026119 San Juan, Carolina, Canóvanas Installation of Rumble Strip on Shoulders PR-26 and PR-66 $20,800,000.00 $440,000.00 93 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN ACNUMBER ESTIMATE COSTRUCTION COST MUNICIPALITY DESCRIPTION (YOE) dollars 800285 San Juan-Bayamón Installation and Integration of video camara, Expresway PR-22 from Rio Hondo to Minillas, PR-18 from Minillas to Int. PR-52 km.0.0 and from PR-52 km. 0.0 to Montehiedra. 084511 San Juan-Trujillo Alto Widening of PR-845 from Pasternak Street to Int. with PR-199 $10,294,755.33 018345 San Lorenzo Reconstruction of Road PR-183 KM 14.8, 18.8 $850,000.00 016593 Toa Alta Utilities Relocation in PR-165 Intersection PR861(AC-016584)- $1,081,600.00 010166 Toa Baja TOA BAJA RECREATIONAL TRAIL DESIGN AND CONSTRUCTION (EARMARK) $2,141,568.00 $1,279,398.00 Reconstruction and optimization of highways in San Juan Metropolitan Area, (POC 2) 1. Connector of PR-865 to PR-867, Toa Baja Toa Baja- San Juan 802316 2. PR-35, Fernández Juncos Avenue from Miramar Street to Sagrado Corazón, San Juan $2,567,476.00 3. PR-1, Avenida Muñoz Rivera, Desde Calle San Germán Hasta Int. PR-1/PR-3, San Juan 220191 VARIOUS: Guaynabo, Bayamón, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Vega Alta, Vega Baja, Manatí, Barceloneta, Arecibo y Hatillo Installation of Rumble Strip on Shoulders PR-22 $1,400,000.00 220154 Vega Baja Construction of West Ramps Access in PR-22 to Trio Vegabajeño Ave. $1,081,600.00 802316 Various Roads (San Juan/Toa Baja) 068617 Vega Baja 3.55 Reconstruction Metropolitan Region Conector PR865/PR-867, Toa Baja, PR-35 Fernandez Juncos Ave. From Miramar Street to Sagrado Corazon, PR-1 Muñoz Rivera Ave. from San German Street to PR-3 San Juan Widening of PR-686 from Km. 16.0 to Int. PR6686, and from the New Connector to Felisa Rincon de Gauiter Ave. Total Cost $ 2,567,476.00 $16,000,000.00 $436,406, 525.29 94 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table 4-11 2030 San Juan TMA LRTP: Intermediate Range Projects (20152020) (Cost Feasible Plan) ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION COST (YOE) MUNICIPALITY ROADWAY PROJECT DESCRIPTION Cidra PR-172 Replacement Bridge #542 km. 11.40, over Bayamón River (Cidra Lake) $ 5,733,160 Loiza PR-187 South Bypass from PR-188 to Median Baja (CFHWA) $22,014,193 Cayey PR-206 Peripheral road from Int. PR-1 with PR-141 to Int. PR-1 with PR-170, East Bypass Phase II $49,347,441 Aguas Buenas PR-208 Construction of Aguas Buenas North Bypass, Unit 1 from PR-156, km 53 to station 46+00 at the atgrade int. with PR-173 (includes bridge over Bairoa River and int. atgrade with PR-156, km 53 $26,318,635 Aguas Buenas PR-208 Aguas Buenas Bypass Phase II from PR-173 to PR-156 $26,318,635 Canóvanas PR-962 Replacement of Bridge #606 over Canóvanas River, km 1.6 $ 8,696,435 Vega Baja PR-22 Construction Ramps PR-22 to Trio de Vegabajeño Avenue, West in-outbound to Manatí $1,480,244 Juncos – Gurabo PR-30 Rehabilitation of Various Bridges (972, 977, 980, 982, 994, 1099, 1100) in PR-30 $ 5,74276 Gurabo PR-30 Auxiliary Lanes PR-30 from PR-203 to PR-181 $17,791,397 Gurabo –Juncos – Las Piedras PR-30 Geometrics improvements and Traffic System Improvements PR-30 int. PR-189, PR-185 and PR-183 (DEMO PR-30) $4,483,432 Rio Grande PR-3 Conversion to Expressway PR-3 from Rio Grande to Fajardo $33,301,469 Rio Grande – Fajardo PR-3 Lighting System Improvements, Pavement Markings and Safety at PR-3 from km 21.0 to km 47.6 from Rio Grande to Fajardo (DEMO PROJECT) $17,079,741 San Juan Improvements to Tren Urbano Station Areas $10,632,413 San Juan Improvements to PR-18 and PR-22 Interchange $31,028,197 San Juan Caparra Interchange (PR-2 and PR-20; PR-23 and PR-165 $59,571,481 San Juan Improvements PR-17 con PR-181 $39,152,461 Region Wide Various Roads Agreement Between FHWA and the PRHTA (NCHRP350 Standards) 2016 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Island wide Roadside pavement marking, Signing, resurfacing, and Geometric Safety Improvements Projects (23CFR924) 2016 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Replacement, repair and rehabilitation (lump sum) 2016 $10,000,000 95 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN MUNICIPALITY ROADWAY PROJECT DESCRIPTION ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION COST (YOE) Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Scouring Correction (lump sum) 2016 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Agreement Between FHWA and the PRHTA (NCHRP350 Standards) 2017 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Island wide Roadside pavement marking, Signing, resurfacing, and Geometric Safety Improvements Projects (23CFR924) 2017 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Replacement, repair and rehabilitation (lump sum) 2017 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Scouring Correction (lump sum) 2017 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Agreement Between FHWA and the PRHTA (NCHRP350 Standards) 2018 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Island wide Roadside pavement marking, Signing, resurfacing, and Geometric Safety Improvements Projects (23CFR924) 2018 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Replacement, repair and rehabilitation (lump sum) 2018 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Scouring Correction (lump sum) 2018 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Agreement Between FHWA and the PRHTA (NCHRP350 Standards) 2019 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Island wide Roadside pavement marking, Signing, resurfacing, and Geometric Safety Improvements Projects (23CFR924) 2019 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Replacement, repair and rehabilitation (lump sum) 2019 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Scouring Correction (lump sum) 2019 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Agreement Between FHWA and the PRHTA (NCHRP350 Standards) 2020 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Island wide Roadside pavement marking, Signing, resurfacing, and Geometric Safety Improvements Projects (23CFR924) 2020 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Replacement, repair and rehabilitation (lump sum) 2020 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Scouring Correction (lump sum) 2020 $10,000,000 Total Cost $ 553,523,610 96 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table 4-12 2030 San Juan TMA: Long Range Projects (2020-2015) (Cost Feasible Plan) PROJECT DESCRIPCION ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION COST (YOE) Loiza Loiza South Bypass from PR-187 to PR-188, Loiza $25,862,828 Fajardo Drainage Improvements PR-53 Fajardo – Luquillo $6,157,000 MUNICIPALITY ROADWAY Gurabo –Juncos – Las Piedras PR-30 Geometrics improvements and Traffic System Improvements PR-30 int. PR-189, PR-185 and PR-183 (DEMO PR-30) $ 4,849,280 Rio Grande PR-3 Conversion to Expressway PR-3 from Rio Grande to Fajardo $37,459,624 Naguabo PR-3 Replacement of Bridge Num. 121, Palmas Creek $9,574,172 San Lorenzo PR-9181 San Lorenzo South Bypass from PR-181 km 9.0 (Sector Playita) to PR-183 $48,030,966 Rio Grande PR-9187 Construction Rio Grande Bypass (PR-9187) Phase I, Int. PR-3 with PR-187 and PR-956 Connector $ 10,805,661 San Lorenzo PR-9912 Replacement of Bridge Num. 1058 over “Rio Grande de Loiza”, San Lorenzo and Geometrics Improvements PR-9912 $ 5,705,839 Region Wide Various Roads Agreement Between FHWA and the PRHTA (NCHRP-350 Standards) 2021 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Island wide Roadside pavement marking, Signing, resurfacing, and Geometric Safety Improvements Projects (23CFR924) 2021 $10,000,000 Various Roads Bridge Replacement, repair and rehabilitation (lump sum) 2021 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Scouring Correction (lump sum) 2021 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Agreement Between FHWA and the PRHTA (NCHRP-350 Standards) 2022 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Island wide Roadside pavement marking, Signing, resurfacing, and Geometric Safety Improvements Projects (23CFR924) 2022 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Replacement, repair and rehabilitation (lump sum) 2022 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Scouring Correction (lump sum) 2022 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Agreement Between FHWA and the PRHTA (NCHRP-350 Standards) 2023 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Island wide Roadside pavement marking, Signing, resurfacing, and Geometric Safety Improvements Projects (23CFR924) 2023 $10,000,000 97 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION COST (YOE) MUNICIPALITY ROADWAY PROJECT DESCRIPCION Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Replacement, repair and rehabilitation (lump sum) 2023 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Scouring Correction (lump sum) 2023 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Agreement Between FHWA and the PRHTA (NCHRP-350 Standards) 2024 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Island wide Roadside pavement marking, Signing, resurfacing, and Geometric Safety Improvements Projects (23CFR924) 2024 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Replacement, repair and rehabilitation (lump sum) 2024 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Scouring Correction (lump sum) 2024 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Agreement Between FHWA and the PRHTA (NCHRP-350 Standards) 2025 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Island wide Roadside pavement marking, Signing, resurfacing, and Geometric Safety Improvements Projects (23CFR924) 2025 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Replacement, repair and rehabilitation (lump sum) 2025 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Scouring Correction (lump sum) 2025 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Agreement Between FHWA and the PRHTA (NCHRP-350 Standards) 2026 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Island wide Roadside pavement marking, Signing, resurfacing, and Geometric Safety Improvements Projects (23CFR924) 2026 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Replacement, repair and rehabilitation (lump sum) 2026 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Scouring Correction (lump sum) 2026 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Agreement Between FHWA and the PRHTA (NCHRP-350 Standards) 2027 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Island wide Roadside pavement marking, Signing, resurfacing, and Geometric Safety Improvements Projects (23CFR924) 2027 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Replacement, repair and rehabilitation (lump sum) 2027 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Scouring Correction (lump sum) 2027 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Agreement Between FHWA and the PRHTA (NCHRP-350 Standards) 2028 $10,000,000 98 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION COST (YOE) MUNICIPALITY ROADWAY PROJECT DESCRIPCION Region Wide Various Roads Island wide Roadside pavement marking, Signing, resurfacing, and Geometric Safety Improvements Projects (23CFR924) 2028 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Replacement, repair and rehabilitation (lump sum) 2028 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Scouring Correction (lump sum) 2028 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Agreement Between FHWA and the PRHTA (NCHRP-350 Standards) 2029 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Island wide Roadside pavement marking, Signing, resurfacing, and Geometric Safety Improvements Projects (23CFR924) 2029 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Replacement, repair and rehabilitation (lump sum) 2029 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Scouring Correction (lump sum) 2029 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Agreement Between FHWA and the PRHTA (NCHRP-350 Standards) 2030 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Island wide Roadside pavement marking, Signing, resurfacing, and Geometric Safety Improvements Projects (23 CFR 924) 2030 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Replacement, repair and rehabilitation (lump sum) 2030 $10,000,000 Region Wide Various Roads Bridge Scouring Correction (lump sum) 2030 $10,000,000 Total Cost $ 548,445,370 Future amendments to this LRTP, particularly after the PRHTA implements measures to improve its financial situation, will further refine these project recommendations and the financial constraint analysis. 4.3.4 NON MOTORIZED MODES Non-motorized modes are integrated into the transportation plan to promote the quality of life strategy. Pedestrian and bicycle facilities encourage densification and incorporate land use and mobility by providing access to resources while preserving the environment and enhancing sustainability. DTPW has identified forty-six (46) pedestrian and bicycle facility projects in the San Juan TMA. From the forty-six (46) projects, eight (8) projects are completed and are included in Table 4-15 Non Motorized Mode Completed Projects below. The others are dividing in two tables. Three (3) of 99 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN these projects are included in the short range program and are details in Table 4-16 Non Motorized Mode Projects (Short Range). The others thirty-five projects are included in the Appendix D, Illustrative Non-motorized Mode Projects (Resources not available yet), or upon availability of funds. Table 4-13 Non Motorized Mode Completed Projects ACT Núm. Municipality Highway Project Description Project Length (KM) Estimated Construction Cost Status Aibonito Las Flores Pedestrian / Bicycle Trail Bo. Robles 1.50 $1,500,000 Construction Completed by the Municipality of Aibonito Carolina Pedestrian and bicycle Atlantic Trail Phase I, from Boca de Cangrejos to PR-37- Isla Verde Avenue 3.00 N/A Construction Completed by PRHTA PR-187 Carolina Ciales PR-149 Dorado Guaynabo Loíza San Juan PR-165 PR-187 Pedestrian and bicycle Atlantic Trail, Phase IV Isla Verde 2.50 N/A Completed by the Municipality of Carolina along the Isla Verde Ave. Project includes pedestrian improvements and "Share the road" signs Juan A. Corretjer Pedestrian and Bicycle Trail (PR-149) 1.00 N/A Construction Completed by the Municipality of Ciales Méndez Vigo Trail, from the Mayor's House to the intersection of Albizu Campos Street 4.20 $3,310,000 Construction Completed by the PRHTA 3.00 N/A Construction Completed by the Municipality of Guaynabo 11.00 $8,700,000 Construction Completed by the PRHTA N/A $3,600,000 Construction Completed by PRHTA Linear Trail along PR-165 Piñones Trail, Phase I from Boca de Cangrejos to Monte Grande Sector adjacent to the coastal road PR-187 and bordering the Piñones and Torrecillas Natural Reserves Doña Inés Park "Arboretum Metropolitano" with Interpretative Trails for pedestrians only 100 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table 4-14 Non Motorized Mode Projects (Short Range 2010-2015) (Cost Feasible Plan) ACT MUNICIPALITY PROJECT DESCRIPTION NUM. PROJECT CONSTRUCTION LENGTH COST BY (km) INFLATION (**) STATUS 000124 Caguas Caguitas River Linear Park. This Project is part of the Municipal River Honor Program 3.90 $3,848,635 Final design and Environmental Process completed by the Municipality of Caguas. Phases I and II auction made by PRHTA 500043 Cayey Caminos Reales de Jájome. Pedestrian trails rehabilitation between Jájome Alto and Jájome Bajo districts 2.10 $2,617,072 In final design by the Municipality of Cayey. Environmental process completed. 10166 Toa Baja Toa Baja Recreational trail (Paseo del Toa) – Pedestrian and Bicycle trail trough PR-165, from the Rio Hondo to Toa Baja 1.60 $2,141,568 “Estimated Cost”, según incluido en el Plan 2030. “Cost by Inflation”, según la versión revisada del Plan 2030 (interino) Total $ 8,607,275 ** Inflation: (1.539454) 101 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 5 CONGESTION MANAGEMENT AND CONFORMITY IN THE SAN JUAN TMA AIR QUALITY The purpose of this section is to summarize and report the findings of two separate reports entitled, Congestion Management Plan for the San Juan TMA and the Transportation Air Quality Conformity Analysis for the 2030 Transportation Plan for the San Juan TMA. 5.1 CONGESTION MANAGEMENT PROCESS SAFETEA-LU changed the Congestion Management System (CMS) to the Congestion Management Process (CMP), as an integral part of the transportation planning process and required that all states, including the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, develop, establish and implement a statewide CM Process in cooperation with their Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO). The purpose of the CM Process is to use a systematic approach, collaboratively developed and implemented throughout a metropolitan region that provides for the safe and effective management and operation of new and existing transportation facilities through the use of demand reduction and operational management strategies.7 Expected benefits from CM Process and derived strategies are: Improve infrastructure capacity Improve environmental quality and livability Improve safety Support sustainability Economic advancement Promote innovation Promote interagency collaboration Interdisciplinary integration Procure new financial opportunities A description of these benefits is provided on the attached Congestion Management Plan (CMP). 7 US Department of Transportation, Federal Transit Administration, Federal Highway Administration. (December 2007). An Interim Guidebook on the Congestion Management Process in Metropolitan Transportation Planning, Report FHWA-HOP-08-008. 102 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN The CMP was developed with the objective to start a continuous CM Process. The CMP is expected to be implemented, in its initial data collection phase, during the first quarter of 2010. It is important to emphasize that the CMP includes an extensive description of data collection needs, so they will be considered for programming purposes. Data collection requires recurrent investment. Data collection is extremely important to be able to identify problem areas, problem root causes and determine the best alternatives to address them. Therefore, in the long range, a good data collection and analysis process will save money and time. The CMP also includes: A description of goals and objectives of the CMP A description of the network considered for congestion management A compendium of congestion management strategies currently available that may be considered for alternative evaluation In summary, the CMP will guide the decision-making process for transportation improvements targeting congestion within this urban area. A description of the sections included on attached CMP is presented below. 1. Introduction: This section shows a general background for the implementation of the CMP, including enabling laws and applicable rules, area characteristics and description of main transportation related stakeholders. 2. Congestion Management Process Development: This section presents the methodology used to develop the CMP, its goals and selected network for application. Goals are based on four indicators: mobility, reliability, productivity and safety. Network was selected on its perceived congestion issues, its relation with the National Highway System and the Highway Performance Monitoring System, intermodal connectivity, and relation to main activity centers. 3. Objectives and Performance Measures: This section presents the specific objectives that the CMP seeks to meet and describes the performance measure to be used in order to evaluate if the objectives are met. Measures and objectives are also based on the four indicators that inspired the goals. They are also classified for medium and long term. Long term objectives cannot be measured with currently available resources. 4. Network Monitoring Plan: This section presents the initial data collection plan, using currently available resources. It also details data needs for future, required to measure and accomplish long term objectives, so resources can be allocated for this purpose. 5. Causes of Congestion: The definition of congestion and its main identified causes are described on this section. 6. Congestion Management Strategies: This section includes proposals to be studied as alternative strategies to manage congestion. They are classified under three categories: operational, programmatic and additional capacity. Strategies are presented in a table, with corresponding goal meant to be addressed. 103 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 7. Implementation Strategy: This section shows, in a broad sense, the studies that should be performed in order to propose a set of alternatives, a set of available strategies given current technology, and a possible implementation term given the scope of each alternative and prevailing conditions. 8. Additional Considerations for Future: Considerations such as having the customer as an active stakeholder, possible modifications on performance measures and a suggested CMP network extension are presented in this section. 5.2 AIR QUALITY CONFORMITY IN THE SAN JUAN TMA This section is a summary, modified as necessary to recognize new conditions present at the year 2010 update of the Plan, of the report on Air Quality Conformity Analysis for the 2030 Transportation Plan for the San Juan TMA. Pursuant to the Clean Air Act and its amendments, The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has established National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for six air pollutants. These standards are set at levels designed to protect the public health. The San Juan Metropolitan Area has been found to meet all of these standards save one. Violations of one of the standards for particulate matter (PM10) occurred in 1991 in the northernmost sector of Guaynabo. As a result, the Environmental Quality Board (EQB) started monitoring air quality in the Guaynabo area and the Urbanized Area of which Guaynabo is a part was placed under “Non Attainment” status by the EPA. No new violations of the PM10 standard have been recorded since 1998. EQB prepared a State Implementation Plan (SIP) and as a part of that plan established a maximum level of PM10 pollutants that may be emitted by the area‟s transportation system. Long range transportation plans for areas where attainment for any of the pollutants does not exist must show that the implementation of the plan will not exceed the allowable level of emissions. This process is known as a “conformity” analysis. The last conformity analysis prepared for the San Juan Metropolitan Area was conducted in 2005 for the year 2030 Transportation Plan. That analysis was conducted using the EPA‟s Mobile 6.2 Model and was based on the 2000 San Juan Urbanized Area as defined by the US Census. The allowable emissions level for PM10 in the SIP was based on the smaller 1990 Metropolitan Area. This is an important distinction, as the 2030 plans apply to a much larger metropolitan area, as defined by 2000 Census. The 2005 conformity analysis concluded that the TP for the SJUA meets the Transportation Conformity requirements of the federal CAA, and was thus confirmed by the EPA, and an Interagency Coordination Group (ICG) that included EPA, EQB, DTPW, PRHTA, FTA and FHWA, in September 27 of 2005. This ICG and the EPA has further decided that the Conformity Determination could be maintained and applied 104 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN to this San Juan Urbanized Area 2030 LRTP Update inasmuch as no new projects are included that increase the capacity of the system. However, as previously mentioned (see page 2 of this plan), effective February 11, 2010, Guaynabo was re-designated as an attainment area, subject to compliance with a limited maintance plan (LMP), in coordination with the Puerto Rico Environmental Quality Board (EQB) 5.2.1 PREVIOUS AND CONTINUING COMMITMENTS The responsible agencies and officials in the Commonwealth have committed to policies, specific projects and a general course of action that promotes good development, efficient transportation systems and protection of the environment that continues to create a better quality of life and improve air quality. These include pedestrian friendly land uses and improvement of pedestrian facilities, intersection improvements and other low cost transportation measures, covering of loads on trucks, stabilizing the sides of roadways, paving parking areas, street cleaning and removal of road dust and restoring roads to good repair. The increased emphasis on and implementation of transit improvements is a major commitment that will bring benefits for many years to come. These and other actions of these responsible agencies and officials serve to improve the air quality in Guaynabo and throughout the entire Metropolitan and Urbanized area. 5.2.2 CONFORMITY ANALYSIS The only area where violations have occurred is in the northernmost sector of Guaynabo. None of those has occurred since 1998, and the primary factor in those violations was the stationary sources of the area. Nonetheless, it was necessary to model the plan for the entire area. As stated before the urbanized area is much larger than in 1990 when the PM10 emissions from transportation sources were 7,322 tons per year. The emissions for the larger 2000 Census urbanized area are unknown for that time as they were not a part of the monitored area. The Mobile 6.2 model was applied to the 2030 Plan network for the current Metropolitan Area. Using the vehicle miles traveled (VMT) data from the modeled base year, projected and 2030Plan networks, and the Mobile 6.2 emission factors, emission inventories of motor vehicle and roadway fugitive dust and PM10, within the Urbanized Area were calculated for the years 2000, 2005, 2010, 2020 and 2030. The results of this analysis are shown below. 105 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table 5-1 Vehicle Miles Traveled by Roadway Classification (2000 Base) Facility Type Off Network Area Type Urban Principal 11,350,50 0 Minor Collector Local 3,631,400 231,300 469,400 Total 15,682,60 0 Rural 3,290,700 884,300 57,300 6,500 4,238,700 Total 14,641,20 0 4,515,700 288,600 475,900 19,921,30 0 Connector 1,338,300 Total Intrazonal Total 169,200 1,507,500 21,428,80 0 Note: Totals may not sum due to rounding. Table 5-2 Vehicle Miles Traveled by Roadway Classification (2005) Facility Type Off Network Area Type Urban Principal 11,462,70 0 Minor Collector Local 3,895,400 255,600 492,200 Total 16,105,90 0 Rural 3,304,900 927,000 58,800 3,500 4,294,100 Total 14,767,60 0 4,822,400 314,400 495,700 20,400,00 0 Total Connector Intrazonal Total 1,412,100 176,50 0 1,588,600 21,988,60 0 Note: Totals may not sum due to rounding. Table 5-3 Vehicle Miles Traveled by Roadway Classification (2010) Facility Type Off Network Area Type Urban Principal 11,574,80 0 Minor Collector Local 4,159,400 279,900 515,000 Total 16,529,10 0 Rural 3,319,100 969,800 60,300 500 4,349,600 Total 14,893,90 0 5,129,200 340,200 515,500 20,878,70 0 Total Connector Intrazonal Total 1,485,800 183,80 0 1,669,700 Note: Totals may not sum due to rounding. 106 22,548,40 0 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table 5-4 Vehicle Miles Traveled by Roadway Classification (2020) Facility Type Off Network Area Type Urban Principal 11,932,10 0 Minor Collector Local 4,440,500 298,500 540,500 Total 17,211,60 0 Rural 3,443,000 1,044,400 65,700 0 4,553,100 Total 15,375,10 0 5,484,900 364,2006 540,500 21,764,70 0 Total Connector Intrazonal Total 1,556,100 197,60 0 1,753,700 23,518,40 0 Note: Totals may not sum due to rounding. Table 5-5 Vehicle Miles Traveled by Roadway Classification (2030 PLAN) Facility Type Off Network Area Type Urban Principal 12,294,90 0 Minor Collector Local 4,090,500 234,500 513,000 Total 17,132,70 0 Rural 3,408,500 801,700 52,500 1,000 4,263,700 Total 15,703,40 0 4,892,200 287,000 514,000 21,396,40 0 Total Connector Intrazonal Total 1,540,400 219,80 0 1,760,200 Note: Totals may not sum due to rounding. 107 23,156,70 0 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN PM10 Emission Factors For this analysis, the motor vehicle PM10 emission factors were derived from the EPA motor emissions model MOBILE6.2. Based on the transportation conformity methodology, default input parameters were used to run MOBILE 6.2. The default input parameters are designed to represent “national average” input data values. Local parameters such as inspection/ maintenance programs, anti-tampering, sulfur fuel content, reformulated gasolines and various others can be substituted into the MOBILE 6.2 input files to reflect local conditions. These local parameters could be considered when MOBILE 6.2 is run in the future. Using EPA-default recommended input parameters for the motor vehicle fleet mix and operating characteristics combined with local climate conditions, MOBILE6.2 provided PM10 emission factors for the entire fleet. These factors include PM10 from motor vehicle exhaust, tire and brake wear. Separate PM10 factors for fugitive dust from paved roadways were calculated using the predictive emission factor equation located in the December 2003 edition of Chapter 13 of Compilation of Air Pollutant Emission Factors, AP-42, Fifth Edition, Volume I: Stationary Point and Area Sources. As shown in Table 5.6, the motor vehicle PM10 emission factors decrease over time as newer, less polluting, cars, buses and trucks replace the older fleets of motor vehicles, which are less efficient, and more polluting. Expressed as grams of PM10 generated per vehicle mile traveled, the MOBILE6.2 emission factors do not vary by motor vehicle speed or roadway operating condition, as do carbon monoxide emission factors. Similarly, the roadway fugitive dust PM10 emission factors do not vary by calendar year, since roadway dust does not depend on fuel or vehicle operating characteristics, but rather on silt loading/deposition are, fleet characteristics, and roadway cleaning/precipitation frequency. The calculation for the PM10 emission factor for roadway fugitive dust is shown in Table 5.7. Table 5-6 MOBILE6.2 PM10 Emission Factors (g/VMT) Year Motor Vehicle1 Roadway2 Total 2000 0.0801 0.5333 0.6134 2005 0.0592 0.5333 0.5925 2010 0.0430 0.5333 0.5763 2020 0.0300 0.5333 0.5633 2030 0.0286 0.5333 0.5619 1 Includes emissions from motor vehicle exhaust, brakes and tires given as grams of PM 10/VMT 2 Includes fugitive (re-entrained) dust from roadway. Assumes all roadways are paved. 108 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table 5-7 PM10 Emission for Roadway Fugitive Dust Factor Calculation Source: December 2003 edition of Chapter 13 of Compilation of Air Pollutant Emission Factors, AP-42, Fifth Edition, Volume 1: Stationary Point and Area Source Predictive Emission Factor Equation E=k (sL/2)0.65x(W/3)1.5-C where: E= k = sL = W= C= particulate emission factor (having units matching the units of k). particulate size multiplier for particle size range and units of interest (see Table 13.2-1.1) road surface silt loading (grams per square meter) g/m 2) average weight (tons) fo the vehicles traveling the road, and emission factor for 1980's vehicle fleet exhaust, brake wear and tire use. E = Calculated k = 7.3g/VMT sL = W= C= From Table 13.2-1.1, used particle size PM10 0.1 g/m2 2.4 tons 0.2119g/VMT from PART5 input files used in the Transportation Air Quality Conformity Analysis - March 2002 from PART5 output files used in the Transportation Air Quality Conformity Analysis - March 2002 From Table 13.2.1-2, used particle size of PM10 E = 7.3(0.1/2)0.65 x (2.4/3)1.5 - 0.2119 E= 0.5333 Emission Inventory Results Using the VMT data and the PM10 emission factors discussed above, emission inventories of motor vehicle and roadway fugitive dust PM10 within the San Juan area were calculated for the years 2000, 2005, 2010, 2020 and 2030 Plan. The results of this analysis, expressed as tons/year of PM10 are summarized in Table 10. Table 5-8 PM10 Emission Inventory Results Year Daily VMT Tons/Year Kilograms/year 1993 SIP Budget N/A 7,315 6,636,050 2000 21,428,815 5,289 4,797,670 2005 21,988,596 5,242 4,755,260 2010 22,548,378 5,228 4,742,991 2020 23,518,419 5,330 4,835,443 2030 Plan 23,156,661 5,235 4,749,232 109 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN As shown in Table 5.8, the total PM10 emissions from motor vehicles and fugitive dust on the SJMA roadway network are below the 1993 SIP levels. The 2030 Plan PM10 emissions are lower than the year 2000 estimates despite an increase in VMT. This can be attributed to lower particulate emission factors stemming from the evolution of the motor vehicle fleet to newer, cleaner burning vehicles. The results of the September 2005 air quality analysis for the San Juan Urbanized Area 2030 LRTP (still valid), indicate that significant and measurable progress has been made in reducing PM10 levels when compared to historical data. Moreover, no violations of either the 24-hour or annual NAAQS standards for PM10 in the Guaynabo non-attainment area have occurred since 1998. Transportation and regulatory agencies were since then also working together to get Guaynabo changed to an attainment area for PM10. Based on the results indicated in the September 2005 Report, hereby reaffirmed, the 2030 San Juan Transportation Plan meets the transportation conformity requirements of the federal CAA because existing and future year PM10 emissions associated with the surface transportation network are less than the SIP emissions inventory established in 1993. Further, in June of 2009 the EPA communicated to the Puerto Rico EQB its decision to accept modifying Guaynabo‟s (and therefore the San Juan Urbanized Area‟s) CAA compliance status, from Non-Attainment to Limited Maintenance Area. This determination was published in the CFR and, among other implications, means that the DTPW/HTA will no longer be required to conduct a regional emission analysis to satisfy transportation conformity determinations. 110 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 6 FINANCIAL CONSTRAINT ANALYSIS 6.1 EXISTING FINANCIAL CONDITIONS IN THE TRANSPORTATION SECTOR IN PUERTO RICO Two agencies are responsible for the construction and maintenance of State transportation infrastructure in Puerto Rico, both under the Department of Transportation and Public Works (DTPW). The Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (PRHTA) handles planning, design and development of all highways, expressways and toll freeways, as well as major reconstructions and even some major transit systems, while the Public Works Directorate (Directoría de Obras Públicas - DOP) repairs and maintains all State highways except the toll freeways and expressways. The contrast between these two entities is very sharp, with PRHTA having several sources of dedicated funds and the DOP being dependent upon annual appropriations from the Legislature. Since almost all of the investment in Puerto Rico´s transportation system is by the PRHTA, the resources of this public corporation are the main focus of the analysis. The previously approved 2030 Puerto Rico LRTP documented a Financial Plan based upon then (2004) reasonable future year funding expectations. This Financial Plan was the basis for the financial constraint analysis shown in all Metropolitan and regional LRTPS approved between late 2004 and early 2006, including the one for this region. Major changes in the general economic scenario, however, resulted in both reduction of revenue tendencies and increased investment and operational costs, compared to the expectations. Particularly during the period of 2005 – 2009, local and global economic situation worsened, affecting PRHTA´s funding capacity, to the degree that PRHTA‟s outstanding bonds were severely downgraded and bonding markets became inaccessible to the agency. Furthermore, and partly because of said changes, PRHTA suffered a serious budgetary crunch. This budgetary crunch further restricts the financial options that could be considered in this Plan. Nevertheless, PRHTA is evaluating various measures in order to recover and even widen its investment capacity and importance in the transportation system. Those adjustment measures would be considered in future amendments to be proposed on this Plan, but most cannot be yet considered in PRHTA‟s financial projections at the time of this writing. The following sections describe current expenditures on transportation, existing and potential sources of funding, and finally, projections of anticipated revenues and expenditures through 2030. In addition, a comparison between the revenues estimated in the 2004 LRTP projections and the real revenues collected will be presented, in order to better comprehend the present, if temporary, fiscal constraints facing the transportation system in the region and in Puerto Rico as a whole. 111 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 6.1.1 THE PUERTO RICO HIGHWAY AND TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY (PRHTA) PRHTA is responsible for the construction of all state highways in Puerto Rico and, in the case of the toll roads and expressways; it is responsible for both construction and maintenance. PRHTA has several sources of revenue and the ability to issue bond against those sources of revenue. In addition to highway building responsibilities, PRHTA is implementing an Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) traffic control system on the expressways of San Juan and funding numerous other transportation initiatives. Further, PRHTA is a true multimodal agency, with direct responsibilities in metropolitan planning and the development and operation of major transit systems, including the Tren Urbano regional metro and Metrobús (a privately operated bus system). During the past years PRHTA has also paid for the operation of some AMA (Metropolitan Bus Authority) routes and part of AMA‟s handicapped (paratransit) bus service. PRHTA is the Designated Recipient (DR) of both Federal Transit Administration (FTA) and Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) funding for Puerto Rico, as well as a grantee of both federal agencies. Several PRHTA offices respond directly to the Secretary of Transportation and Public Works and assist him in all his functions and responsibilities, including acting as operating arm and support of the Metropolitan Planning Organization for all of Puerto Rico‟s urbanized and metropolitan areas. The scope and importance of PRHTA‟s roles gives further validity to the expectation that current fiscal limitations will be effectively addressed in the near future. As describe above the PRHTA as DR distribute these funds within all Puerto Rico through the planning process and programming federal regulations. The municipalities and agencies that receive funds directly from FTA through the planning process (MPO) are responsible to comply with all the applicable FTA Programs regulations. See Table C-3 for Programs Allocation Also the PRHTA is the operating arm and support of the Metropolitan Planning Organization for all the Puerto Rico urbanized area. The MPO play a vital and continues role identifying projects that can improve the transportation system in all their aspects (road, transit projects, freight etc.) Municipalities and Agency interested in transportation projects submit petitions to be considered finance with federal funds. One of the MPO‟s primary responsibilities is to revise and endorse these petitions based on the Metropolitan Transportation Plan and Municipalities and Agency priorities. 6.1.2 SOURCES OF PRHTA REVENUES Dedicated revenues are the major source of PRHTA revenues and are derived from the following sources: Gasoline Taxes of 16 Cents per gallon Diesel Oil Taxes of 8 Cents per gallon Annual Motor Vehicle License Fees of $15 per vehicle Highway Tolls Petroleum Products Taxes Federal Funds 112 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN These revenues, excluding federal funds, have grown from a total of $453.2 million in 1999 to $532.4 million in 2009, representing a $79.2 million increase, equivalent to 17.5%. The annual growth rate during this period averaged a positive rate of 1.62%, in spite of the recent $21.5 million decline in revenues, from $553.9 million in FY2007 to $532.4 million in FY2009, mainly caused by the so-called Great Recession. The growth process of PRHTA revenues was uneven in the decade of fiscal years 19992009. In the first five fiscal years of this decade (1999-2004) PRHTA revenues increased at a moderate pace of 1.67% annual growth rate. Then, PRHTA revenues remained relatively stable in fiscal year 2005, and then jumped 12.7% in a two-year period, from $491.5 million in fiscal year 2005 to $553.9 million in fiscal year 2007, due to an average increase of about 43% in toll fares in September 2005, and the positive impact of a whole year operation new toll plazas at PR-5 and PR-66. These positive institutional factors offset the negative impact of the recession experienced by the Puerto Rico economy since the second semester of FY2006. The Great Recession intensified significantly after FY2007, affecting all major sources of PRHTA revenues, including toll receipts, gasoline and petroleum products taxes, and causing a drop of $21.5 million in total revenues from fiscal year 2007 to fiscal year 2009. Note: The PRHTA as designated recipient only receive and pass the federal funds that the Port Authority receives. The PRHTA don‟t manage the financials that involve the operating and management of the ports, like the revenues generate from the tourism through the cruise ships, etc. 6.1.3 REVENUE SOURCES COMPRISING DEDICATED REVENUES Table 6-1 and Figure 6-1 present the general picture of how the trends in Dedicated Revenues of the PRHTA fell short form the 2004 forecasts. Later, the situation of each revenue source will be individually analyzed. 113 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table 6-1 PRHTA Dedicated Revenues 1999-2009 (FY´s) Pledge Revenues 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Gasoline Taxes Gas Oil and Diesel Oil Taxes Motor Vehicles Licenses Fees Toll Receipts Petroleum Tax TOTAL $ 168.40 $ 176.74 $ 169.78 $ 174.89 $ 173.82 $ 188.53 $ 185.88 $ 178.93 $ 181.64 $ 174.73 $ 174.60 $ 20.71 $ 22.52 $ 20.49 $ 18.92 $ 15.54 $ 14.55 $ 16.68 $ 15.68 $ 18.47 $ 18.07 $ 13.70 $ 28.09 $ 29.00 $ 29.77 $ 30.69 $ 31.92 $ 32.49 $ 32.39 $ 31.65 $ 31.10 $ 34.04 $ 36.30 $ 116.03 $ 120.52 $ 125.70 $ 130.50 $ 135.35 $ 141.38 $ 146.29 $ 192.07 $ 220.00 $ 212.70 $ 206.47 $ 120.00 $ 120.00 $ 120.00 $ 120.00 $ 120.00 $ 115.30 $ 110.26 $ 102.21 $ 102.76 $ 99.04 $ 101.30 $ 453.23 $ 468.78 $ 465.74 $ 475.00 $ 476.63 $ 492.25 $ 491.50 $ 520.54 $ 553.97 $ 538.58 $ 532.37 114 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 6-1 Actual PRHTA Pledged Revenues 1999 to 2009 (FY´s) 115 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN The performance of individual revenue sources that make up the Dedicated Revenue Sources of PRHTA is analyzed below. Each source is analyzed separately as to its historical trends and growth patterns. Later in this chapter, these and other potential sources of revenue will be analyzed, including projected growth rates and forecasted revenues of each source, in order to identify those revenues which could be considered for funding future transportation improvements. However, considering the negative impact of the Great Recession on PRHTA revenues, we present below a brief analysis of the special characteristics of the current recession. The Great Recession The current global recession is the longest and deepest since the Great Depression of the thirties. However, the recession in Puerto Rico has been substantially more intense and prolonged than the U.S. recession. The recession started in Puerto Rico in the first semester of calendar 2006, almost two years before the U.S. recession commenced in December 2007, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research. In fiscal year 2006, real GNP rose in Puerto Rico only by a meager 0.51%, as compared to a growth of 2.85% in U.S. real GNP. The economy of Puerto Rico entered into a full-blown recession in FY2007, when real GNP declined by -1.16%, while the U.S. real GNP rose by 1.83%, for a differential (U.S. less Puerto Rico growth rates) of 2.99 percentage points. This differential between Puerto Rico and U.S. economic growth increased to 5.65 percentage points in FY2008, when Puerto Rico real GNP dropped by -2.83% while U.S. real GNP increased by 2.82%. In FY2009, which ended June 30, 2009, the U.S. economy suffered a decline of -2.51% in real GNP, as a consequence of the recession that started in December 2007, and intensified since the third quarter of 2008. The latest official data of the Planning Board shows that Puerto Rico real GNP contracted by a record -3.74% in FY2009, showing again a differential 1.23 points as compared to U.S. real GNP growth rate. In summary, in the period from fiscal year 2005 to fiscal year 2009, the Puerto Rico economy experienced a decline of -7.1% in real GNP, while in contrast the U.S. economy grew by 5.0%. This is a clear indication of the significant difference not only in the level of per capita income between Puerto Rico and the United States, but also in the dynamics of change in economic activity. The following economic indicators confirm the severity of the Great Recession suffered by the Puerto Rico economy since fiscal year 2005. Total employment: In the four-year period between June 2005 and June 2009, total employment, according to the Household Survey, dropped from 1,276,000 to 1,117,000 workers, posting a decline of -159,000 workers or -12.46%. Unemployment rate: The unemployment rate has risen significantly during the Great Recession, climbing from an average of 10.6% in fiscal year 2005 to 15.2% in June 2009 and 15.7% in the first seven months of current fiscal year. Manufacturing employment: In the four-year period between June 2005 and June 2009, payroll manufacturing employment declined from 115,000 to 92,100 workers, or -19.91% in percentage terms. 116 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Sales of automobiles and light trucks: The number of automobiles and light trucks sold decreased from 139,097 in FY2005 to 77,137 in FY2009, a decline of -61,960 vehicles or -44.54 %. Cement Sales: Total cement sales plunged from 43.9 million bags in FY2005 to 26.5 million bags in FY2009, dropping by -17.4 million bags or -39.63 %. The following is a discussion of the individual revenue sources that make up the Dedicated Revenue Sources of PRHTA. Each source will be discussed separately as to its historical trends and growth patterns. Later in this chapter, these and other potential sources of revenue will be analyzed, including projected growth rates and forecasted revenues in each, in order to identify which sources could be considered for funding future transportation improvements. 6.1.3.1 Gasoline Tax Revenues Gasoline tax was PRHTA major source of revenue until FY2005. In FY2006, toll receipts surpassed gasoline tax revenues due to the substantial increase in toll fares in September of 2005 and the opening of two new toll plazas in PR-5 and PR-66. Prior to the Great Recession, gasoline tax revenues increased from $168.4 million in fiscal year 1999 to $185.9 million in fiscal year 2005. The apparent decline of $2.65 million or 1.4% in fiscal year 2005 over fiscal year 2004, can be explained by institutional factors. First, the figure of gasoline tax revenues for fiscal year 2004 includes $2.78 million in revenues collected during fiscal year 2003 that were not transferred by the Treasury Department to the Authority in that year. Thus, actual collections related to gasoline consumption in fiscal year 2004 amounted to $185.75 million instead of $188.53 million. In addition, the impact of Act #80, approved on March 15, 2004, changing the tax base to volumes measured at 60-degree Fahrenheit, exerted a negative impact on gasoline tax revenues during three and a half month of fiscal year 2004, while it affected collections of this tax during the twelve months of fiscal year 2005. Consequently, this Act reduced gasoline tax revenues by about $2.0 million in fiscal year 2005 as compared to only $0.58 million in fiscal year 2004. In the absence of those institutional factors, gasoline tax revenues in fiscal year 2005 would have surpassed by 0.84% the level attained in fiscal year 2004, a result more in line with an estimated increase of 1.22% in gasoline consumption. After fiscal year 2005, gasoline tax revenues were negatively affected by two extraordinary events, the Great Recession and a severe energy crisis. In addition to the Great Recession previously analyzed, gasoline prices rose significantly in fiscal years 2006 to 2009. The average price of gasoline averaged $2.67 per gallon in that period, surpassing by $0.73 per gallon or 37.6% the average price in fiscal year 2005 ($1.94 per gallon), and reaching a historical high of $3.95 per gallon in June 2008. This unprecedented scenario explains while actual gasoline consumption and gasoline tax revenues fell short from their 2004 projections. However, the behavior of gasoline consumption and gasoline tax revenue showed significant resilience to the impact of negative factors, revealing low income and price elasticities. In spite of an extraordinary negative environment, gasoline tax revenues only dropped by 6.1% from fiscal year 2005 ($185.9 million) to fiscal year 2009 ($174.6 million). 117 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN It is expected that oil prices would be higher than historic average prices in the next years through 20308, therefore affecting both retail gasoline market and tax collection capacity. Figure 6-2 Gasoline Tax Revenues: Projected vs. Real Revenues for Fiscal Years 20042009 200,000 $(000s) 150,000 100,000 Forecast (2004) Real 50,000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Fiscal Years 6.1.3.2 Diesel Oil Tax Revenues The 4-cent diesel oil tax is a minor source of revenue for the Authority, which amounted to $13.70 million in fiscal year 2009, only representing 2.6% of total recurrent revenues ($532.4 million). We must underscore that revenues from the diesel oil tax increased sharply in fiscal year 1995, when Act #74, approved on August 12, 1994, eliminated the exemption until then enjoyed by the Electric Power Authority applied to the consumption of the so-called Fuel #2 (Middle distillates), which then became the source of more than 50% of total revenues from this tax. Afterwards, revenues from the diesel oil tax followed an upward path from fiscal year 1995 through fiscal year 2000. Then, after fiscal year 2000, collections of this tax were affected by a negative structural change, when the AEE started to buy electricity from private co-generators (Eco-Eléctrica and Applied Energy Systems) using natural gas and coal as fuel. AEE‟s purchases of electricity from private co-generators caused a reduction in the use of taxable middle distillates (Fuel #2) by the AEE, and consequently in the revenues generated by the diesel oil tax. In addition, the consumption of Fuel #2 by the AEE has historically followed an erratic pattern, since this type of fuel is a lot more expensive than residual fuel oil (Fuel #6). Thus, the AEE have always tried to reduce as much as possible the usage of fuel #2. 8 U.S. Department of Energy, International Energy Outlook (IEO) 2009, Report DOE/EIA-0484 (2009), May 27th, 2009. In the IEO2009 reference case, the price of light sweet crude oil in the United States (in real 2007 dollars) rises from $61 per barrel in 2009 to $110 per barrel in 2015 and $130 per barrel in 2030. 118 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN In fiscal years 2003 to 2006, diesel oil tax revenues dropped to levels between $14.5 and $17.0 million. Diesel oil tax revenues rose in fiscal years 2007 and 2008 to levels between $18.0 and $18.5 million, mainly as result of an increase in consumption by the AEE caused by a fire in the Palo Seco generating plant that led to the closing of this facility during the second semester of fiscal year 2007. Revenues from the tax on diesel oil dropped again from $18.07 in fiscal year 2008 to $13.70 million in fiscal year 2009, a decline of $4.37 million or 24.2%. This significance decline was mainly due to a lower consumption of taxable Fuel #2 (Middle Distillates) from the Electric Power Authority (AEE), which contributes with more than fifty percent to total diesel tax revenues. The lower consumption of the Fuel #2 by the AEE was caused by the reopening of the Palo Seco generating plant, which fully operated in fiscal year 2009, and the decline of -5.36% in electricity generation caused by recessionary economic conditions, which tend to affect more negatively the demand for high cost Fuel #2. Except for fiscal year 2005, revenues collected during the period 2004-2009 did not reach the 2004 projections (Figure 6-3), not only due to an adverse economic environment but mainly to actions taken by the AEE to curtail the use of taxable Fuel #2). Figure 6-3 Diesel Oil Tax Revenues: Projected vs. Real Revenues for Fiscal Years 20042009 25.000 $(000´s) 20.000 15.000 Forecast (2004) Real 10.000 5.000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Fiscal Years 6.1.3.3 Motor Vehicle License Fee Revenue Act No. 9 of 1983 increased the Vehicle License Fees by $15.00 and earmarked the revenue from this additional fee to be placed in a special fund for use by PRHTA. However, since its inception in fiscal year 1984, motor license fees have remained as a relatively minor source of revenues for the Authority. In fiscal year 2009, the Authority received $36.30 million on account of the $15 fee per motor vehicle, which represented 6.8% of total dedicated revenues. Revenues from motor vehicle license fees increased steadily from $28.09 million in fiscal year 1999 to $32.49 million in fiscal year 2004, posting an increase of $4.4 million or 15.7%, 119 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN equivalent to an annual growth rate of 2.95%. These numbers imply that the stock of vehicles in operation rose from 1,873,000 in fiscal year 1999 to 2,166,000 in fiscal year 2004. In the period of fiscal years 2004 to 2007, revenues from motor vehicle license fee followed a downward trend, dropping to $31.10 in fiscal year 2007. Since the license fee per vehicle transferred to the Authority has remained constant at $15.00 since its inception in 1984, this decline in revenues implies that the total number of vehicles holding a license dropped from 2,166,000 in FY2004 to 2,073,000 in FY2007, a decline of 93,000 motor vehicles in a three-year period. Considering that the sales of new automobiles reached extraordinary high levels in FY2005 and FY2006, the decline in revenues from license fees in the period of fiscal years 2004 to 2007, can only be related to institutional problems in the transferring of funds from the Treasury Department to the Authority, which could have occurred after motor vehicle license fees were allowed to be collected in certain retail gasoline service stations. This hypothesis was confirmed by certain extraordinary payment that the Authority received in fiscal years 2008 and 2009, from previous year collections, which raised revenues from the motor vehicle fees to a record level of $36.30 million in fiscal year 2009. Thus, the level of revenues from motor vehicle license fees in fiscal year 2009 surpassed by $8.22 or 29.3% the amount collected in fiscal year 1999 ($28.09 million). This represents an annual growth rate of 2.6% over the decade 1999-2009. Finally, although revenues collected between fiscal years 2004 and 2009 fell short from the 2004 projections, as shown in Figure 6-4, the difference was quite minor in fiscal year 2009. Figure 6-4 Motor Vehicle License Fee Revenues: Projected vs. Real Revenues for Fiscal Years 2004-2009 40.000 35.000 $(000´s) 30.000 25.000 Forecast (2004) 20.000 Real 15.000 10.000 5.000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Fiscal Years 120 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 6.1.3.4Toll Revenues In fiscal year 1999, toll revenues generated $116.03 million from the operation of 21 toll plazas in three Expressways: 9 plazas in Don Luis A. Ferré Expressway (PR-52); 7 plazas in De Diego Expressway (PR-22); and 5 plazas in PR-53 Expressway. The amount collected in toll plazas represented 25.6% of total dedicated revenues of the Authority in fiscal year 1999 ($453.23 million). In the period of fiscal years 1999 to 2005 toll revenues of those 21 toll plazas followed an ascending path, and the plaza of Martinez Nadal Expressway (PR-20) entered in full operation in fiscal year 2001. In fiscal year 2005, toll revenues of the 22 plazas in operation had increased to $146.29 million, posting an increase of $30.26 million or 26.1% over fiscal year 1999 ($116.03 million), thus growing at an annual rate of 3.9%. In fiscal year 2005, toll revenues were the second source of income for the Authority and accounted for 29.8% of total dedicated revenues ($491.5 million). In fiscal year 2006, toll revenues became the major source of revenue for the Authority, due to an average increase of about 43% in toll fares, implemented on September 10, 2005 for the 22 plazas in operation, and the opening of new toll plazas at PR-5 and the Eastern Corridor (PR-66). Toll revenues jumped to $192.07 million in fiscal year 2006, becoming the main source of income of the Authority. Then, toll revenues experienced an additional expansion in fiscal year 2007 to a level of $219.95 million when plazas of PR-5 and PR-66 entered in full operation. Thus, toll revenues increased from $146.29 million in fiscal year 2005 to $219.95 million in fiscal year 2007, posting an extraordinary increase of $73.66 million, equivalent to 50.4%, in a short span of two years. After fiscal year 2007, toll revenues have followed a mild declining trend, mainly caused by these two factors: 1) A decrease in traffic through most toll plazas, due to the negative impact of the Great Recession and the substantial increase in toll fares after September 2005; and 2) The five cent reduction in toll fares of express lanes (Auto-Expreso) that was implemented in July 2007, which had a negative impact on toll receipts of close to $4.0 million in fiscal year 2008. Toll revenues dropped to $206.47 million in fiscal year 2009, according to the audited financial statements. However, in fiscal year 2009, the external auditor firm introduced, for the first time, a downward adjustment of $1.46 million in toll receipts for differed income on account of amounts collected but not yet earned. Thus, toll receipts comparable to the figure of fiscal year 2007 amounted to $207.93, which shows a contraction of $12.02 million or 5.46% in the period from fiscal year 2007 to fiscal year 2009. However, about one third of this contraction was caused by the five-cent reduction in express lane fares. We should point out that figures for the first seven months of fiscal year 2010 (July 2009 to January 2010) show a moderate upturn in toll receipts over the same period of fiscal year 2009. Finally, due to the negative impact of the Great Recession and the lowering of express lane toll fares, after fiscal year 2005, actual toll receipts have been lower than the amounts projected in 2004 (Figure 6-5). 121 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Figure 6-5 Toll Revenues: Projected vs. Real Revenues for Fiscal Years 2004-2009 300.000 250.000 $(000´s) 200.000 Forecast (2004) 150.000 Real 100.000 50.000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Fiscal Years In the process of projecting toll revenues, we have distinguished between the toll plazas of PR-5 and PR-66 and the rest of the other 22 toll plazas. In the case of PR-66 and PR-5 the historical data is insufficient to conduct a regression analysis. In the case of PR-66 revenues, we have taken into consideration the recent low growth in revenues after its initial high expansion in revenues. In the case of PR-5, we envisage a continuous growth but at declining growth rates. Revenue projections for the other 22 toll plazas have been based on a regression analysis, using as exogenous variables the average toll fares, real GNP, real personal income, the average price of gasoline, and the historical trend. The regression analysis has been based on the historical experience of FY1999 to FY2010. 6.1.3.5 Petroleum Tax Revenues In 1986, the Government of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico established a special excise tax on non-exempt petroleum products, including gasoline, by Law No. 5 of March 18, 1986, for the purpose of capturing part of the benefits that the Puerto Rican economy was receiving as a result of the substantial drop in the price of crude oil that began at the end of 1985. Later, Act #34, dated July 11, 1997, ordered the Treasury Department to transfer an annual amount of $120 million to the Authority, at a rate of $10 million monthly. The transfer of $120 million took place in fiscal years 1998 to 2003. In those fiscal years revenues from the petroleum products tax exceeded the $120 million mark, although by only $1.9 million in fiscal year 2001. However, since fiscal year 2004, the collection of revenues from the petroleum products tax has been short of the $120 million mark. In view of this situation, the Treasury Secretary issued a ruling determining that the transfer of funds to the Authority would be restricted to the amounts collected from the petroleum tax. The main factor causing the drop in revenues of the petroleum tax in fiscal years 2004 and 2005 was the reduction in the tax rate associated with the increase in crude oil prices. The tax rate of the petroleum tax fluctuates between $3/b and $6/b, but 122 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN inversely with the price of crude oil. If the price of crude oil is $16.00 or less per barrel in any month, the tax rate reaches the maximum of $6.00 per barrel or 14.286 cents per gallon. Then, the tax rate drops to $5.00 per barrel, or 11.905 cents per gallon, when the price of crude oil averages between $16.01 and $24.00 per barrel. The tax rate drops again to $4.00 per barrel, or 9.524 cents per gallon, when the crude oil price averages from $24.01 to $28.00 per barrel, and reaches a minimum of $3.00 per barrel, or 7.143 cents per gallon when the price of crude oil exceeds $28.00 per barrel. The following table shows that the tax rate of the petroleum products tax reached very low levels in fiscal years 2004 ($3.16 per barrel) and 2005 ($3.00 per barrel), due to the extreme high in the price of oil. In fiscal year 2005, for the first time since the Authority was receiving funds from the petroleum tax, the tax rate remained fixed at the minimum level of $3.00 per barrel. The enactment of Law 80, dated March 15, 2004, changing the tax base of all petroleum products taxes to volumes measured at 60 degrees Fahrenheit also further reduced the tax rate of the petroleum products tax to $2.9882 per ambient barrel, or 7.067 cents per ambient gallon. The following table shows the data regarding the taxable base, the average tax rate, and total revenues from the tax on petroleum products in the period of fiscal years 1999 to 2009. Table 6-2 Total Revenues from the Tax on Petroleum Products (1999-2009) Number of Barrels Taxed Average Annual Tax Rate Total Revenues (Million) ($) 1999 31.7 6.00 $190.1 2000 32.2 4.50 $144.8 2001 34.8 3.50 $121.9 2002 35.9 4.42 $158.6 2003 34.8 3.50 2004 36.5 3.1574 2005 37.2 2006 34.4 2.9682 102.2 2007 34.6 2.9682 102.8 2008 33.4 2.9682 99.0 2009 34.1 2.9682 101.3 Million $ Fiscal Year 2.9682 $121.9 (b) (a) $115.3 110.3 _______________________________ 123 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN (a) Excludes $11.0 million collected from taxes in arrears paid by a delinquent taxpayer, which was under the protection of the Bankruptcy Court. (b) Tax rate applied to one barrel of petroleum products at ambient temperature, equivalent to $3.00 per barrel measured at 60 degrees F. Data presented in the above table reveals that the decline in the revenues of the petroleum products tax received by the Authority in fiscal years 2004 and 2005 was not caused by a decline in the consumption of petroleum products. On the contrary, the $4.7 million decline in tax revenues from the petroleum tax in fiscal year 2004 occurred in spite of an increase of 4.9% in the tax base, which even exceeded the rise in gasoline consumption (3.9%). The tax rate also dropped by $0.1892 or 6% in fiscal year 2005, causing a further decline of $5.0 million in revenues received by the Authority from this tax, also in spite of a 1.9% increase in the tax base. The decline in the petroleum products tax revenues after 2005 is related to a drop in consumption of taxable products caused by the Great Recession and the energy crisis. However, the consumption of taxable petroleum products remained relatively stable between 33.4 and 34.6 million barrels in fiscal years 2006 to 2009, and experienced an increase of 2.0% when gasoline prices drop by 20.0%. Figure 6-6 Petroleum Taxes Revenues: Projected vs. Real Revenues for Fiscal Years 2004-2009 140.000 120.000 $(000´s) 100.000 80.000 Forecast (2004) 60.000 Real 40.000 20.000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Fiscal Years 6.1.4 2030 PROJECTIONS: 2004 VS. 2009 ASSUMPTIONS AND TENDENCIES As mentioned above, the previously approved San Juan Urbanized Area 2030 LRTP documented a Financial Plan based upon then reasonable future year funding expectations. Major changes in the general economic scenario, however, resulted in both reduction of revenue tendencies and increased investment and operational costs, compared to the expectations. During the period 2005 – 2009, local and global economic situation worsened, affecting PRHTA´s funding 124 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN capacity. Two main factors negatively affected the fulfilment of the 2004 projections. First, the global recession, which has been named as the Great Recession, was the most important negative factor affecting the projections developed in 2004. The main characteristics of the recession suffered by the Puerto Rican economy were explained above. However, we must again emphasise that the economy of Puerto Rico experienced recessionary conditions since the second semester of fiscal year 2006, even before the commencement of the Great Recession in the United States in December 2007. The recession in Puerto Rico has also been substantially more intense and prolonged than the U.S. recession. Thus, in the period from fiscal year 2005 to fiscal year 2009, the Puerto Rican economy experienced a decline of -7.1% in real GNP, while in contrast the U.S. economy grew by 5.0%. The energy crisis was the other key factor which negatively affected the projections developed in 2004. The renewal of the energy crisis after fiscal year 2004, with unprecedented intensity, not only exerted a significant negative impact upon production levels of the global economy, but also raised the price of gasoline and other petroleum products. As explained above, gasoline prices rose significantly in fiscal years 2006 to 2009. The average price of gasoline averaged $2.67 per gallon in that period, surpassing by $0.73 per gallon or 37.6% the average price in fiscal year 2005 ($1.94 per gallon), and reaching a historical high of $3.95 per gallon in June 2008. The energy crisis started to develop in fiscal year 2005, after many years of crude oil price stability, when the average price of crude oil (West Texas Intermediate - WTI) rose to $48.80 per barrel, surpassing by $15.03 per barrel, or 44.5% the average price recorded in fiscal year 2004 ($33.77 per barrel). The price of crude oil (WTI) continued to rise in fiscal year 2006, reaching an average of $64.30 per barrel, stabilized in FY2007 at a similar high level ($63.40 per barrel), and then exploded in fiscal year 2008, when the WTI crude oil price averaged $96.84 per barrel, after reaching a record level of $133.93 per barrel in June 2008. Although the average price of crude oil dropped to $70.07 per barrel in fiscal year 2009, this price level was still more than double the average price of $33.77 per barrel recorded in fiscal year 2005, before the start of the Great Recession in Puerto Rico. The energy crisis negatively affected the revenues of the Authority by contributing to reduce the real income of residents of Puerto Rico, and by increasing the relative price of gasoline, diesel oil and other petroleum products. Excise taxes on these petroleum products earmarked for the Authority amounted to $289.6 million in fiscal year 2009, equivalent to 54.4% of total dedicated revenues. Finally, we must stress that the adverse economic situation is turning around. The U.S. economy has been experiencing a mild recovery since the third quarter of 2009 (first quarter of fiscal year 2010), which has exerted a positive impact on the local economy. Certain key indicators of the Puerto Rican economy have already shown signs of stabilization in the second quarter of fiscal year 2010. Another positive sign is that the price of crude oil and oil products is not expected to rise significantly in the near future. In addition, the new government administration is taking various fiscal measures to reduce the fiscal deficit and to stimulate the economy, with a combination of local and Federal economic resources, like the Stimulus Plan Act (Law No. 9 of 2009) and the ARRA funds in excess of six billion dollars that have assigned to Puerto Rico. 125 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 6.1.5 FEDERAL FUNDS In addition to the dedicated revenues, PRHTA receives substantial amounts of Federal funding. Most of this money comes from FHWA and the FTA and is used for capital and maintenance costs of highway and transit projects. The amount of these funds is shown in Table 6-3 shown below. Table 6-3 Federal Revenues for Fiscal Years 2005-20091 Federal Funds (Thousands) Initial Allocations Total Authorized Federal Funds 2 2005 2006 $115,000 $120,000 $79,160 3 $82,760 2007 2008 2009 $135,000 $145,000 $150,000 4 $116,110 $120,120 $110,440 1. Federal revenues under SAFETEA-LU. Includes FHWA (basic and additional), FTA discretionary funds for Tren Urbano, FTA formula Funds, SIB projects, and prior Federal funds released. 2. Balance after penalties, deductions, and additional funds 3. Tren Urbano reimbursements not included 4. Balance after penalties was $108,100 but RABA added $2,340. Source: PRHWA – October, 2009 6.1.6 BORROWING PRHTA borrows money to pay for the cost of major highway and transit projects such as the construction of PR-10 and Tren Urbano. PRHTA borrows this money by selling bonds which are paid backed by PRHTA‟s dedicated revenue sources. The cost of paying back these funds is listed below in the section on expenditures. 6.1.7 ASSESSMENT OF CURRENT REVENUE SOURCES PRHTA is fortunate to have a number of different revenue sources to fund its needs. All sources have a direct relationship with providing transportation services and facilities to the island‟s population. The three largest sources, the Gasoline Taxes, Toll Revenues and the Petroleum Tax, provide a substantial portion of revenues to PRHTA. These revenue sources represent 88 percent of total dedicated revenues. Analyses of these dedicated revenue sources by expert economic and financial analysts indicate that they are adequate to meet the bonding requirements of PRHTA debt. 6.1.8 FORECAST GROWTH IN DEDICATED REVENUES The current estimate of dedicated revenues from the Fiscal Year 2008 - 2009 Five Year Plan is listed below. These estimates were used as the basis for projecting annual revenues out until the year 2030. Growth rates used in the baseline forecast were trended from this five-year forecast 126 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN and do not account for changes in the Island‟s, or the United States‟, overall economic environment. Revenue estimates beginning in 2010 are therefore based on the growth assumptions currently used by PRHTA. Sources of dedicated revenue are forecast to increase to $556.26. million in fiscal year 2014 from a forecast of $524.58 million in fiscal year 2010. A portion of this increase is attributed to toll revenues and gasoline taxes. See Table 6-3. Table 6-4 Forecast Dedicated Revenues for Fiscal Years 2010-2014 Dedicated Revenues $$ (Millions) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Gasoline Taxes 172.34 173.29 174.10 175.60 176.88 Diesel Oil Taxes 11.00 11.00 10.50 10.00 10.00 Motor Vehicle License Fees 33.00 33.25 33.50 33.75 34.00 Toll Revenues 1 210.01 214.69 220.40 226.22 234.56 Petroleum Taxes 98.23 98.78 99.24 100.09 100.82 $ 537.74 $ 545.66 $ 556.26 Total Dedicated Revenues $ 524.58 $ 531.01 1 This total also include East Corridor Toll and AutoExpreso Two measures strongly recommended by PRHTA are accounted on revenue projections presented on Table 6-4. One of them is to eliminate the 5 cents discount granted to users of Autoexpreso, the electronic toll payment system since 2007. Such discount was implanted as an incentive to highway users to move out from conventional cash-in-hand payment, but the system has been well accepted and the incentive seems no longer necessary. As mentioned earlier, PRHTA is seriously evaluating other alternatives in order to broaden its financial capacity. Once the measures are approved, the MPO would be amending this LRTP, including this Financial Plan, in order to adjust its programs and priorities9. Some of the measures are: (1) stabilize the Petroleum Products Tax maximum cap at $6/barrel; (2) Amendments to the Traffic Law fines; (3) Full transfer of traffic violation fines to PRHTA; (4) Full transfer to PRHTA of fines coming from vioations of the Weight and Dimension Program for cargo vehicles; (5) Reorganization of PRHTA and creation of an independent mass transit agency. 9 127 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 6.1.9 FORECAST GROWTH IN FEDERAL FUNDS Sources of federal funds are forecast to increase from $175.3 million in fiscal year 2010 to $292.7 in fiscal year 2012, then decrease from $ 292.7 in fiscal year 2012 to $ 236.4 in fiscal year 2014 from a forecast of $212.1 million in fiscal year 2010. Funds from the American Reinvestment and Reconstruction Act (ARRA) would be exhausted by Fiscal Year 2012. 128 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table 6-5 Federal Funds for Fiscal Years 2010-2014 Federal Funds (Thousands) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 FHWA 76,087 126,978 192,449 196,057 155,939 FTA Funds 77,352 78,125 78,907 79,696 80,493 ARRA Funds * 21,876 63,541 21,421 9,274 0.885 $175,315 $268,644 $292,777 $282,027 $236,432 Total Federal Funds * ARRA funds obligations were completed during the year 2010. The above table shows the reimbursements of ARRAfunded project expenditures. Appendix C (Table C-3) shows the projected FTA funds allocation by section for the San Juan Urbanized Area (SJUA). It is important to mention that PRHTA is the designated recipient, for the FTA funds for Municipalities, Ports Authority and MBA, and these are transfer direct to those mentioned agencies. At his time, fiscal constraint, which is described in Appendix C, relates to all of Puerto Rico. Determination of fiscal constraint for the San Juan MPO‟s long-range transportation plan is predicated upon the assumption that the MPO‟s receipt of funding as a percentage of the statewide total will be in accordance with the long-term percentage of Island-wide revenues received by the MPO. 6.2 ACTION PLAN FOR FINANCING THE REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM Transportation infrastructure and operations are sound investments for the future of the Commonwealth. However, public tax funding is limited, so it is very important to spend money wisely, while leveraging the maximum possible benefits. Therefore, the Commonwealth will continue to: Make maximum use of available federal funding to leverage the most out of available local resources Plan and implement projects which promote sustainable development and improve mobility for all Continue to expand opportunities for municipal and private participation in project construction and operation Appendix C of this LRTP contains detailed projections of revenues and capital operating and debt service expenditures through FY 2030 (which is the basis for the cost constrained plans) as 129 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN well as projected capital, operating and debt service expenditures through the year 2030. These projections are based on financial data provided by PRHTA. Based on the analysis of PRHTA projected revenues and capital and operating costs to 2030, reasonably expected revenues available after covering debt services costs will be sufficient to finance short term (2010-2014) recommended projects, which results from all the Metropolitan and Regional LRTPs, as prepared based on an updated financial projections. This update also shows that revenues and projected investment rates will be sufficient to ensure implementation of yearly Transportation Improvement Programs (TIP) and Statewide Transportation Improvement Programs (STIP) corresponding to the expected federal funding allocations for the period, both for new projects and maintenance of the system. PRHTA is currently undertaking a comprehensive financial turnaround program to reduce fiscal deficiencies by adopting different revenue increasing measures and expense and debt reduction initiatives. Revenue increasing measures are supported by new legislation impacting all PRHTA revenue drivers, establishing a more robust collections enforcement efforts targeting Governmental agencies as well as private entities, local appropriations from the Local Stimulus Plan (PEC, by its Spanish acronym) and the introduction of public-private partnerships. With respect to the latter, the Government of Puerto Rico enacted Act 29 in June 8, 2009, known as the PublicPrivate Partnerships Act (“PPP Act”) to encourage private participation in the development, finance, construction, operations and maintenance of infrastructure in Puerto Rico. The PPP Act also created a dedicated government entity, the PPP Authority, to assist pubic corporations in conducting an efficient and transparent procurement process. PRHTA in collaboration with the PPP Authority have formulated a comprehensive PPP plan for the toll roads system in Puerto Rico. PRHTA will obtain significant benefits with the establishment of PPP‟s in certain toll roads that include but are not limited to: i) realizing upfront funds can be directed towards debt reduction and accelerated capital improvements, ii) transferring operations and maintenance costs to private operators, iii) hold private operator responsible to implement enhanced maintenance, operations and environmental standards, and iv) establish a mandatory capital improvement program to be completed by the private operator. In addition, the up-front funds can also be used by PRHTA to finance capital improvements outside major toll roads and initiate and finalize major construction projects and works. In exchange for the up-front funds the private operator will be granted a long-term lease or concession agreement for the toll roads. PRHTA and PPP Authority are interested in beginning the implementation of the PPP program with a concession for PR-22 and PR-5. Expense reduction initiatives may involve personnel reduction by adopting an early retirement program, implementation of technological resources, outsourcing non essential services and reorganization of process and procedures to gain operational efficiencies. While the turnaround plan is been executed, PRHTA is operating with the support of interim financing from the Government Development Bank, mainly through a non-revolving credit line, 130 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN covering all operational expenses, as well as local matching funds for federal projects and certain other locally-funded projects. It should further be noticed that the MPO planning work group already selected a specialized consultant team that will assist the development of LRTP‟s to the year 2040. These will be based on updated socioeconomic, transportation system, travel and financial information. The development of these plans will complete the efforts to bridge these difficult times for PRHTA and all of Puerto Rico, to ensure the continued development and maintenance of the transportation system needed in this and all metropolitan and urbanized areas. See appendix A and B, for details of the eight planning factors and the public participation process. 131 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN A P P EN D IX A EIGHT PLANNING FACTORS 132 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN EIGHT PLANNING FACTORS Among the goals of the present plan are the provisions of an efficient, safe, fiscally constrained, and sustainable transportation system. Metropolitan Planning Organizations (MPOs) are required to consider the elements now commonly known as the eight (8) SAFETEA-LU planning factors within their multi-modal long-range transportation plans and programs. These eight (8) planning factors, which are consistent with our goals, are addressed below: 1. SUPPORT THE ECONOMIC VITALITY OF THE METROPOLITAN AREA, ESPECIALLY BY ENABLING GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS, PRODUCTIVITY AND EFFICIENCY. The San Juan Transportation Management Area (San Juan TMA or SJTMA) MPO has worked with the Puerto Rico Department of Transportation and Public Works (PRDTPW or its Spanish acronym DTPW), its Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority (PRHTA) and other State and federal agencies and municipal governments for many years on a variety of transportation projects to support its economic vitality. The DTPW and the PRHTA, as operating arm of the MPO, continues to develop a transportation system (highways, metropolitan bus, passenger rail lines, etc.) that will link the different areas of the SJTMA, including the access to the Luis Muñoz Marín International Airport (LMMIA), the cargo and passenger (tourist) seaports in San Juan Bay, and other facilities. For example, in 2005, the first Tren Urbano rail line (now under the Integrated Transit Alternative or ATI, its acronym in Spanish) began its service provides efficient transportation for daily commuters. This kind of service, helps make the SJTMA attractive for people and businesses to locate, and provides stability to the area, partly through its regularity of service. Another important project to the SJTMA is the Northeast Corridor of PR-66, from Carolina to Río Grande. The completion of this Toll road will provide a direct, safe and fast connection throughout the northern section of the SJTMA. The area economy will benefit from the highway with increased tourism and enhanced transportation for people and goods. Other transportation projects contained in this plan will also aid the movement of people and goods and promote economic vitality. These projects include improvements to PR-18) San Juan), PR-22 (San Juan-Hatillo) and PR-30 (Caguas-Humacao). The first of these, improving safety and access to the western portion of the main business district in the area. The other two improving the movement of people and goods to the eastern and western parts of the SJTMA and other urbanized areas. The type of development expected in part as a result of the proposed improvements in the transportation system within the SJTMA will add to its global competitiveness in the movement of people (for example: tourists) and goods. 133 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 2. INCREASE THE SAFETY OF THE TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM FOR MOTORIZED AND NON-MOTORIZED USERS. The SJTMA is committed to improving the safety of the transportation system for motorized and non-motorized users. The SJTMA, through the DTPW/HTA has programmed a large number of safety projects such as those related to ITS, intersection improvement, and others. A comprehensive Studies bicycle and pedestrian plan is being developed by the DTPW/HTA, which will address many safety concerns of non-motorized users and find appropriate solutions to their needs. The PRHTA also conducts similar safety improvement studies on streets and intersections in the area. Improved safety of the transportation system will help to reduce congestion. The SJ TMA also supports the implementation of a number of projects to ensure the safety of its users including: the construction of median guardrails on highways in the area, rehabilitation and replacement of bridges and structures needing such, a safe and convenient multi-modal transportation nodes in different parts, and the construction and improvement of sidewalks, pedestrian bridges, recreational trails and other facilities for the safe movement of bicyclists and pedestrians. 3. INCREASE THE SECURITY OF THE TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM FOR MOTORIZED AND NON-MOTORIZED USERS. With regard to security, the DTPW/PRHTA has designated what is called the Strategic Road Network (STRAHNET), including all roads in Puerto Rico classified as Interstate (PR-2, PR-3, PR-18, PR-22, PR-26, PR-52, PR-53, and PR-66), as well as PR-1, PR-28, PR-30, and PR-165. All these are highways which are completely or partially within the SJTMA and provide access for defense, continuity and capacity in cases of emergency for the movement of personnel and equipment, whether in time of peace or of war. It includes routes (for long distance trips) and connectors (to connect military installations and ports to the Strategic Network). The completion of the STRAHNET is one of the main priorities in the San Juan TMA. The DTPW/PRHTA has also coordinated with the Puerto Rico Police Department in planning and operating traffic facilities as necessary, including the development of the ITS in the area. The 511 assistance line is being developed to provide timely information on different matters including security. Also, as mentioned above (factor number 2), the comprehensive Studies bicycle and pedestrian plan is being developed by the DTPW/PRHTA, which will address many safety, but also security concerns of non-motorized user. The Tren Urbano (and ATI), operates a mass transit system that is also part in the efforts to improve security. 134 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 4. INCREASE THE ACCESSIBILITY AND MOBILITY OPTIONS AVAILABLE TO PEOPLE AND FOR FREIGHT. This implementation of this plan will increase the accessibility and mobility options available to people and for freight in the SJTMA and beyond by considerably improving and increasing the transportation options available for users. The transportation planning efforts will provide the necessary resources to enhance the existing transportation system in an efficient way. Transportation planning will have an effect on land use policies and development. This results in pressures to address the needs to increase the accessibility and mobility options for people and freight, while providing safe and efficient people and freight distribution routes. This should consider the relationship between urban goods movement and land use planning when planning for new highway facilities and improving ones, replacing deficient bridges as necessary, improving intersections, while avoiding or at least minimizing impacts in residential neighborhoods. The private vehicle is still the major means of transportation in the area, but financial resources are increasingly becoming available for increasing the availability of adequate public transportation including buses, para-transit, and rail will be critical for travel within the area, to school, employment centers, and other services and activities, while assisting in the reduction of congestion in the transportation network. 5. PROTECT AND ENHANCE THE ENVIRONMENT, PROMOTE ENERGY CONSERVATION, IMPROVE THE QUALITY OF LIFE AND PROMOTE CONSISTENCY BETWEEN TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENTS AND STATE AND LOCAL PLANNED GROWTH AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PATTERNS. The SJTMA has proven for years its commitment to protect and enhance the environment, promote energy conservation, and improve the quality of life of its residents, while promoting consistency between transportation improvements and state and local planned growth and economic development patterns. This is seen, for example, in the change in scope of PR-66 in order to avoid impact and protect the Botanical Garden in San Juan, while being consistent and supporting the planned urban development limits of the region and enhancing its tourism potential, the development of the Piñones Recreational Trail, while protecting the largest mangrove forest in Puerto Rico. Also, during the development of the Tren Urbano, extensive efforts were undertaken and are still taken to avoid adversely affecting the historic Río Piedras Urban Core as well as the historic Río Piedras bridge (built in 1855). 135 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 6. ENHANCE THE INTEGRATION AND CONNECTIVITY OF THE TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM, ACROSS AND BETWEEN MODES, FOR PEOPLE AND FREIGHT. The SJTMA has developed projects and programs to enhance the integration and connectivity of the transportation system, across and between modes, for both people and freight. For example, the completion of a number of multi-modal transportation centers,such as the one in Tren Urbano Sagrado Corazón Station and Bayamón (with sidewalks, park-and-ride, bus and rail). 7. PROMOTE EFFICIENT SYSTEM MANAGEMENT AND OPERATION. The SJTMA promotes the efficient system management and operation transportation network, with for example, the development of a computerized traffic signal system. Changeable message signs are increasingly used to alert drivers of congestion, accidents, or other traffic problems on the highway system and to direct drivers away from the problem areas. Traffic surveillance camera systems are being developed, as well as traffic signals to assure that traffic is managed seamlessly for the users. Due to limited financial resources, this plan seeks to ensure that all modes of the transportation system are operated and maintained in an efficihisent and effective way. 8. EMPHASIZE THE PRESERVATION OF THE EXISTING TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM. The preservation of the existing transportation system in the SJTMA is increasingly a concern and considering the need oftentimes expressed by the public to safely and efficiently move people and goods within the area, particularly with the effect that considerably rainy conditions experienced many times during the year, and its effect on the system, proper maintenance of the existing system is being given primary importance, and more emphasis is being given to the rehabilitation and replacement of deteriorated bridges, in some cases even by immediate installation of temporary, but safer, structures. There has been an increase in the highway maintenance and preservation budget, including pavement rehabilitation/resurfacing and rehabilitation of highways throughout the system, improving intersections, replacing substandard bridges and upgrading traffic signal systems. 136 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN A P P EN D IX B PUBLIC PARTICPATION PROCESS 137 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN PUBLIC PARTICPATION PROCESS The Department of Transportation and Public Works (DTPW) and the Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority (PRHTA) in concord with the MPO members developed in consultation with all interested parties a Participation Plan. This Plan defines the process for citizens, affected public agencies, representatives of public transportation employees, freight shippers, providers of freight transportation services, private providers of transportation, representatives of users of public transportation, among others, the reasonable opportunity to be involved in the metropolitan transportation planning process. This Plan promotes the continued emphasis on the public participation throughout the planning process in the implementation of plans and projects. Specifically requires a proactive and open approach and consultation process for project selection and implementation, and recognizes the importance of cooperation, coordination and joint support of transportation projects. Also gives emphasis in the develop of early public involvement in the planning and programming process to protect the environment, promote the conservation of energy and improve the quality of life. The Plan present and describe procedures and strategies to provide the opportunity for the interested parties to achieve early and continuing public input and involvement as follow; 1. Early and continued public participation throughout the process of transportation planning and project programming; 2. Timely information about transportation planning issues and processes to citizens, affected public agencies, representatives of transportation agency employees, private providers of transportation, other interested parties and segments of the community affected by transportation plans, programs, and projects; 3. Reasonable public access to technical information and public policy used in the development of the STIP and, in urbanized or metropolitan areas, the local TIP; 4. To the maximum extent practicable; a. ensure that public meetings are held at convenient and accessible locations and time, b. use visualization techniques to describe the proposed long-range statewide transportation plan and supporting studies, c. make public information available in electronically accessible format and means. 5. Adequate public notice of public involvement activities and time for public review and comment at key decision points, including but not limited to, action on the TPs and STIP; 138 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 6. Process for demonstrating explicitly consideration and response to public input during the planning and program development process; 7. Process for seeking out and considering the needs of those traditionally underserved by existing transportation systems; 8. Periodic review of the effectiveness of the public involvement process to ensure that the process provides full and open access to all and revision of the process as necessary. Public involvement is not limited to special events or high profile projects or just to those projects utilizing Federal funds. It is also an essential part of the planning process used by the PRHTA in the development of its highway program. There are numerous techniques used to disseminate information about projects, identify issues and concerns and involve the public at an early stage. These techniques are geared to the scope of work being undertaken. 139 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN A P P EN D IX C Puerto Rico Revenues and Expenditures SJUA Proportion of Total Revenues and Expenditures in Puerto Rico Federal Transit Administration (FTA) Program Allocation San Juan Urbanized Area (SJUA) 140 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Puerto Rico Revenues and Expenditures Table C A Revenue Projections Note: The Financial Plan presents mostly the sources/revenues and expenditures for the whole of Puerto Rico, but a line specifying the proportion of the revenues and expenditures proposed for the San Juan TMA is presented in Table C-1A and Table C-2A Note: These amounts take into consideration year of expenditure dollars (YOE) Note: GDB interim financing refers to a revolving line of credit, which eventually will be bonded out depending on market conditions and PRHTA‟s bonding capacity.” 141 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Puerto Rico Revenues and Expenditures Table C-1 – Revenue Projections Note: The Financial Plan presents mostly the sources/revenues and expenditures for the whole of Puerto Rico, but a line specifying the proportion of the revenues and expenditures proposed for the San Juan TMA is presented in Table C-1A and Table C-2A Note: These amounts take into consideration year of expenditure dollars (YOE) 142 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Puerto Rico Revenues and Expenditures Table C B Expenditure Projections Note: The Financial Plan presents mostly the sources/revenues and expenditures for the whole of Puerto Rico, but a line specifying the proportion of the revenues and expenditures proposed for the San Juan TMA is presented in Table C-1A and Table C-2A Note: These amounts take into consideration year of expenditure dollars (YOE) 143 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Puerto Rico Revenues and Expenditures Table C-2 Expenditure Projections Note 1: The Financial Plan presents mostly the sources/revenues and expenditures for the whole of Puerto Rico, but a line specifying the proportion of the revenues and expenditures proposed for the San Juan TMA is presented in Table C-1A and Table C-2A Note 2: The application of a year of expenditure (YOE) dollar increase factor to the cost of construction and property acquisition costs for the short range projects take into consideration the decrease from the original estimates evidenced both when awarding bids (by an average of 23.86 percent since January 2009) and when acquiring by about 25 percent since 2009), respectively. For intermediate and long range projects the YOE of 4 percent (compound) is being assumed and applied to current project cost estimates. Most of those projects are lump sum (bos) projects, from which funding is reserved for future projects to be specifically defined once needs and priorities are identified in consultation with the municipal governments and the public. The amounts in those lump sum (box) projects are set proportionately for each area, keeping the budget for each fiscally constraint Note 3: These amounts take into consideration year of expenditure dollars (YOE) 144 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table C-1A – SJUA Proportion Revenues Projections (SJUA Proportion of the Total Revenues for Puerto Rico presented in Table C-1, Revenues Projections) FY Ending June 30, 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Gas Tax 56,880,077 48,166,586 61,044,341 70,350,342 72,686,520 Diesel Tax 3,610,600 2,904,935 3,476,329 3,977,292 4,074,356 License Fees 10,913,859 9,268,125 11,732,611 13,522,793 13,954,671 1968 Tolls 63,973,264 55,448,289 71,626,287 83,992,454 88,209,818 Eastern Corridor Tolls 6,495,797 5,527,676 7,015,232 8,105,721 8,389,100 Petroleum Products Tax 32,423,186 27,455,784 34,794,579 40,103,036 41,432,131 DSRF Income 7,207,414 6,648,151 8,597,657 10,356,471 10,943,722 Total Pledged Revenues 181,504,196 155,419,547 198,287,038 230,408,108 239,690,318 FHWA Funds 45,762,413 46,612,915 56,335,914 59,275,335 51,393,767 FTA Funds 3,938,836 3,319,926 4,171,595 4,772,750 4,889,228 ARRA Funds - FHWA 13,638,341 4,595,390 2,450,616 676,140 - ARRA Funds - FTA 1,969,418 - - - - 982,910 243,461 - - - Local Appropriations 8,692,803 6,278,130 2,417,710 - - Interest, Toll Fines & Other 12,472,981 6,740,113 8,597,904 9,999,230 10,423,539 656,473 561,676 716,492 833,269 868,628 269,618,370 223,771,157 272,977,269 305,964,832 307,265,479 N/A - - - - - Total Additional - - - - - GDB Financing 99,455,077 76,847,449 111,448,416 140,935,797 155,517,829 Total Existing + New Sources + GDB Financing 369,073,447 300,618,606 384,425,685 446,900,629 462,783,308 Existing Sources Pledged Revenues Remaining GARVEE Funds Impact Fees and Other Total Existing New Sources Note: These amounts take into consideration year of expenditure dollars (YOE) Note: GDB interim financing refers to a revolving line of credit, which eventually will be bonded out depending on market conditions and PRHTA‟s bonding capacity.” 145 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table C-1A – SJUA Proportion Revenues Projections (SJUA Proportion of the Total Revenues for Puerto Rico presented in Table C-1, Revenues Projections) FY Ending June 30, 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Existing Sources Pledged Revenues Gas Tax 54,871,359 54,913,035 54,949,652 54,926,887 54,875,252 3,077,319 3,076,802 3,079,935 3,079,772 3,076,394 License Fees 11,573,674 11,683,488 11,795,155 11,906,732 12,021,798 1968 Tolls 76,231,486 77,365,509 78,451,618 79,470,985 80,425,765 8,282,357 8,405,565 8,523,568 8,634,320 8,738,054 31,277,510 31,301,716 31,320,722 31,309,937 31,279,893 9,716,594 9,919,614 10,128,311 10,341,134 10,558,476 195,030,299 196,665,728 198,248,962 199,669,766 200,975,632 40,762,695 40,839,230 40,921,704 41,003,292 41,085,230 3,854,679 3,858,059 3,861,988 3,865,822 3,869,677 ARRA Funds - FHWA - - - - - ARRA Funds - FTA - - - - - Remaining GARVEE Funds - - - - - Local Appropriations - - - - - 15,683,700 16,809,115 18,011,887 19,304,542 19,250,623 758,164 771,805 785,570 799,561 813,884 256,089,537 258,943,937 261,830,111 264,642,983 265,995,047 Diesel Tax Eastern Corridor Tolls Petroleum Products Tax DSRF Income Total Pledged Revenues FHWA Funds FTA Funds Interest, Toll Fines & Other Impact Fees and Other Total Existing New Sources N/A - - - - - Total Additional - - - - - GDB Financing 173,184,756 180,268,076 181,512,514 197,630,586 216,527,027 Total Existing + New Sources + GDB Financing 429,274,294 439,212,013 443,342,625 462,273,569 482,522,075 Note: These amounts take into consideration year of expenditure dollars (YOE) 146 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table C-1A – SJUA Proportion Revenues Projections (SJUA Proportion of the Total Revenues for Puerto Rico presented in Table C-1, Revenues Projections) FY Ending June 30, 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Existing Sources Pledged Revenues Gas Tax 70,290,198 55,835,612 55,468,740 55,174,588 54,952,856 3,938,330 3,129,175 3,109,708 3,093,573 3,080,929 License Fees 13,810,145 11,144,086 11,250,675 11,358,060 11,466,831 1968 Tolls 87,215,286 71,119,890 72,466,680 73,773,614 75,035,832 9,475,718 7,726,995 7,873,320 8,015,315 8,152,452 Petroleum Products Tax 40,067,012 31,826,075 31,615,901 31,448,650 31,322,775 DSRF Income 10,954,236 8,941,231 9,128,658 9,320,510 9,517,377 190,913,682 192,184,310 193,529,052 Diesel Tax Eastern Corridor Tolls Total Pledged Revenues FHWA Funds 235,750,925 189,723,062 50,484,888 40,439,943 40,518,566 40,599,504 40,684,803 4,797,966 3,839,478 3,843,100 3,846,930 3,851,161 ARRA Funds - FHWA - - - - - ARRA Funds - FTA - - - - - Remaining GARVEE Funds - - - - - Local Appropriations - - - - - 13,925,853 11,925,735 12,785,482 13,709,367 14,661,488 867,161 706,073 719,319 732,780 745,397 248,780,148 251,072,890 253,471,900 FTA Funds Interest, Toll Fines & Other Impact Fees and Other Total Existing 305,826,792 246,634,292 New Sources N/A Total Additional - GDB Financing 149,744,363 Total Existing + New Sources + GDB Financing 455,571,156 - 130,870,645 377,504,937 - - - 141,839,443 152,838,491 165,454,752 390,619,592 403,911,382 418,926,652 Note: These amounts take into consideration year of expenditure dollars (YOE) 147 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table C-1A – SJUA Proportion Revenues Projections (SJUA Proportion of the Total Revenues for Puerto Rico presented in Table C-1, Revenues Projections) FY Ending June 30, 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Existing Sources Pledged Revenues Gas Tax 54,825,180 54,776,155 54,751,425 54,676,416 54,617,907 3,073,102 3,069,688 3,069,780 3,063,304 3,060,081 License Fees 12,134,235 12,249,670 12,366,460 12,486,364 12,606,626 1968 Tolls 81,315,045 82,127,254 82,872,768 83,541,432 84,133,256 8,834,672 8,922,917 9,003,915 9,076,564 9,140,864 Petroleum Products Tax 31,250,740 31,220,340 31,208,895 31,167,338 31,132,434 DSRF Income 10,780,725 11,007,246 11,239,561 11,476,445 11,718,432 202,213,700 203,373,269 204,512,804 205,487,863 206,409,599 41,168,625 41,250,665 41,336,673 41,421,658 41,507,206 3,873,658 3,877,500 3,881,703 3,885,798 3,889,933 ARRA Funds - FHWA - - - - - ARRA Funds - FTA - - - - - Remaining GARVEE Funds - - - - - Local Appropriations - - - - - 22,193,900 23,823,858 25,570,919 27,460,656 29,517,911 828,409 843,576 858,932 874,713 891,143 270,278,292 273,168,868 276,161,031 279,130,688 282,215,793 Diesel Tax Eastern Corridor Tolls Total Pledged Revenues FHWA Funds FTA Funds Interest, Toll Fines & Other Impact Fees and Other Total Existing New Sources N/A - - - - - Total Additional - - - - - GDB Financing 233,817,958 254,117,193 276,324,590 297,531,883 324,561,178 Total Existing + New Sources + GDB Financing 504,096,251 527,286,062 552,485,622 576,662,572 606,776,971 Note: These amounts take into consideration year of expenditure dollars (YOE) 148 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table C-2 A : SJUA Proportion Expenditure Projections SJUA Proportion of the Total Expenditures for Puerto Rico presented in Table C-2, Expenditure Projections* PROGRAM 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 RIGHT OF WAY $ 52,518,400.00 $ 30,960,550.00 $ 30,915,886.00 $ 31,425,998.00 $ 31,979,095.00 DESIGN $ 25,529,888.00 $ 24,676,066.00 $ 20,610,590.00 $ 20,950,665.00 $ 21,319,397.00 CONSTRUCTION LOCAL $ 51,827,730.00 $ 7,972,267.00 $ 2,842,047.00 CONSTRUCTION FEDERAL (FHWA, EARMARKED & GARVEE) $ 177,268,381.00 $ 211,485,245.00 $ 202,569,689.00 $186,293,006.00 $ 157,674,490.00 CONSTRUCTION FEDERAL (ARRA)** $ 41,550,368.00 $ 16,610,217.00 $ $ TOTAL PUERTO RICO HIGHWAY PROGRAM $ 348,694,767.00 $ 291,704,345.00 $ 263,987,648.00 $240,369,669.00 $ 210,972,982.00 HIGHWAY CONSTRUCTION SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA $ 138,220,535.00 $ 117,194,055.00 $ 100,749,649.00 $ 73,401,125.00 $ 65,143,085.00 RIGHT OF WAY SJUA $ 34,136,960.00 $ 20,124,357.50 $ 20,124,357.50 $ 20,095,325.90 $ 20,426,898.70 DESIGN SJUA $ 7,658,966.40 $ 7,402,819.80 $ 6,183,177.00 $ 6,285,199.50 $ 6,395,819.10 $ 180,016,461.40 $ 144,721,232.30 $ 127,057,183.50 $ 99,781,650.40 $ 91,965,802.80 DESIGN, ROW, AND CONSTRUCTION PROPORTION SJUA* 7,049,436.00 2014-2015 1,700,000.00 * The revenues covering these expenditures are within the proportion applicable to the SJUA of the revenues presented in Table C-1, Revenue Projections, which along with Table C-2, presents the fiscally constrained Financial Plan for Puerto Rico. ** ARRA funds obligations were completed during the year 2010. The above table shows the reimbursements of ARRA-funded project expenditures. Note: These amounts take into consideration year of expenditure dollars (YOE) 149 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table C-2 A : SJUA Proportion Expenditure Projections SJUA Proportion of the Total Expenditures for Puerto Rico presented in Table C-2, Expenditure Projections* PROGRAM 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019 RIGHT OF WAY $ 10,269,297.00 $ 10,459,459.00 $ 10,656,283.00 $ 10,855,744.00 $ 11,041,552.00 DESIGN $ $ $ $ $ 10,121,423.00 9,413,522.00 9,587,837.00 9,768,259.00 9,951,099.00 2019-2020 CONSTRUCTION LOCAL CONSTRUCTION FEDERAL (FHWA, EARMARKED & GARVEE) $ 157,832,164.00 $ 157,989,997.00 $ 158,147,987.00 $158,306,135.00 $ 158,464,441.00 TOTAL PUERTO RICO HIGHWAY PROGRAM $ 177,514,984.00 $ 178,037,293.00 $ 178,572,529.00 $179,112,977.00 $ 179,627,416.00 HIGHWAY CONSTRUCTION SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA $ 73,313,040.18 $ 73,386,353.61 $ 73,459,739.96 $ 73,533,199.71 $ 73,606,732.84 RIGHT OF WAY SJUA $ 20,786,411.75 $ 6,675,043.05 $ 6,798,648.35 $ 6,926,583.95 $ 7,056,233.60 DESIGN SJUA $ $ 2,876,351.10 $ 2,930,477.70 $ 2,985,329.70 $ 3,036,426.90 DESIGN, ROW, AND CONSTRUCTION PROPORTION SJUA* $ 96,923,508.53 $ 83,445,113.36 $ 83,699,393.34 CONSTRUCTION FEDERAL (ARRA) 2,824,056.60 $ 82,937,747.76 $ 83,188,866.01 * The revenues covering these expenditures are within the proportion applicable to the SJUA of the revenues presented in Table C-1, Revenue Projections, which along with Table C-2, presents the fiscally constrained Financial Plan for Puerto Rico. Note: These amounts take into consideration year of expenditure dollars (YOE) 150 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table C-2 A : SJUA Proportion Expenditure Projections SJUA Proportion of the Total Expenditures for Puerto Rico presented in Table C-2, Expenditure Projections* PROGRAM 2020-2021 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 RIGHT OF WAY $ 11,231,646.00 $ 11,435,131.00 $ 11,638,868.00 $ 11,846,235.00 $ 12,058,483.00 DESIGN $ 10,295,675.00 $ 10,482,203.00 $ 10,668,962.00 $ 10,859,049.00 $ 11,053,610.00 $ 158,622,905.00 $ 158,781,528.00 $ 158,940,310.00 $159,099,250.00 $ 159,258,349.00 TOTAL PUERTO RICO HIGHWAY PROGRAM $ 180,150,226.00 $ 180,698,862.00 $ 181,248,140.00 $181,804,534.00 $ 182,370,442.00 HIGHWAY CONSTRUCTION SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA $ 73,680,339.37 $ 73,754,019.76 $ 73,827,774.00 $ 73,901,601.63 $ 73,975,503.11 RIGHT OF WAY SJUA $ 7,177,008.80 $ 7,300,569.90 $ 7,432,835.15 $ 7,565,264.20 $ 7,700,052.75 DESIGN SJUA $ 3,088,702.50 $ 3,144,660.90 $ 3,200,688.60 $ 3,257,714.70 $ 3,316,083.00 DESIGN, ROW, AND CONSTRUCTION PROPORTION SJUA* $ 83,946,050.67 $ 84,724,580.53 $ 84,991,638.86 CONSTRUCTION LOCAL CONSTRUCTION FEDERAL (FHWA, EARMARKED & GARVEE) CONSTRUCTION FEDERAL (ARRA) $ 84,199,250.56 $ 84,461,297.75 * The revenues covering these expenditures are within the proportion applicable to the SJUA of the revenues presented in Table C-1, Revenue Projections, which along with Table C-2, presents the fiscally constrained Financial Plan for Puerto Rico. Note: These amounts take into consideration year of expenditure dollars (YOE) 151 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table C-2 A : SJUA Proportion Expenditure Projections SJUA Proportion of the Total Expenditures for Puerto Rico presented in Table C-2, Expenditure Projections* PROGRAM 2025-2026 2026-2027 2027-2028 2028-2029 2029-2030 RIGHT OF WAY $ 12,273,327.00 $ 12,498,141.00 $ 12,724,571.00 $ 12,957,651.00 $ 13,200,188.00 DESIGN $ 11,250,549.00 $ 11,456,629.00 $ 11,664,190.00 $ 11,877,847.00 $ 12,100,173.00 $ 159,417,608.00 $ 159,577,025.00 $ 159,736,602.00 $159,896,339.00 $ 160,056,235.00 TOTAL PUERTO RICO HIGHWAY PROGRAM $ 182,941,484.00 $ 183,531,795.00 $ 184,125,363.00 $184,731,836.00 $ 185,356,596.00 HIGHWAY CONSTRUCTION SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA $ 74,049,478.92 $ 74,123,528.11 $ 74,197,651.63 $ 74,271,849.47 $ 74,346,121.16 RIGHT OF WAY SJUA $ 7,838,013.95 $ 7,977,662.55 $ 8,123,791.65 $ 8,270,971.15 $ 8,422,473.15 DESIGN SJUA $ 3,375,164.70 $ 3,436,988.70 $ 3,499,257.00 $ 3,563,354.10 $ 3,630,051.90 DESIGN, ROW, AND CONSTRUCTION PROPORTION SJUA* $ 85,262,657.57 $ 86,106,174.72 $ 86,398,646.21 CONSTRUCTION LOCAL CONSTRUCTION FEDERAL (FHWA, EARMARKED & GARVEE) CONSTRUCTION FEDERAL (ARRA) $ 85,538,179.36 $ 85,820,700.28 * The revenues covering these expenditures are within the proportion applicable to the SJUA of the revenues presented in Table C-1, Revenue Projections, which along with Table C-2, presents the fiscally constrained Financial Plan for Puerto Rico. Note: These amounts take into consideration year of expenditure dollars (YOE) 152 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table C C Federal Transit Administration (FTA) Program Allocation Allocation Agency Section 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 22, 893,288 $ 23, 122,221 MBA 5307 $ 22,000,000 $ 22,220,000 $ 22,442,200 $ 22,666,622 $ Ports Authority 5307 $ 5,000,000 $ 5,050,000 $ 5,100,500 $ 5,151,505 $ 5,203,020 $ 5,255,050 5309 $ 2,977,398 $ 3,007,171 $ 3,037,243 $ 3,067,615 $ 3,098,291 $ 3,129,274 PRHTA 5307 $ 11,110,000 $ 11,221,100 $ 11,333,311 $ 11,333,311 $ 11,446,644 $ 11,561,111 Municipalities 5307 $ 5,764,315 $ 5,821,958 $ 5,880,178 $ 5,938,980 $ 5,998,370 $ 6,058,354 5310 $ 1,413,599 $ 1,427,735 $ 1,442,012 $ 1,456,432 $ 1,470,997 $ 1,485,707 5316 $ 4,069,771 $ 4,110,468 $ 4,151,573 $ 4,193,089 $ 4,235,019 $ 4,277,369 5317 $ 1,108,677 $ 1,130,961 $ 1,142,270 $ 1,153,693 $ 1,165,230 $ 1,119,763 Allocation Agency Section MBA 5307 $ 23,353,443 $ 23,586,978 $ 23,822,848 $ 24,061,076 $ 24,301,687 Ports Authority 5307 $ 5,307,601 $ 5,360,677 $ 5,414,284 $ 5,468,427 $ 5,523,111 5309 $ 3,160,567 $ 3,192,173 $ 3,224,095 $ 3,256,336 $ 3,288,899 PRHTA 5307 $ 11,676,722 $ 11,793,489 $ 11,911,424 $ 12,030,538 $ 12,150,843 Municipalities 5307 $ 6,118,938 $ 6,180,127 $ 6,241,928 $ 6,304,347 $ 6,367,390 5310 $ 1,500,564 $ 1,515,569 $ 1,530,725 $ 1,546,032 $ 1,561,492 5316 $ 4,320,143 $ 4,363,344 $ 4,406,978 $ 4,451,047 $ 4,495,558 5317 $ 1,176,882 $ 1,188,651 $ 1,200,538 $ 1,212,543 $ 1,224,668 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Note: These amounts take into consideration year of expenditure dollars (YOE) 153 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table C-3 Federal Transit Administration (FTA) Program Allocation (Cont.) Allocation Agency Section MBA 5307 $ 24,544,704 $ 24,790,151 $ 25,038,052 $ 25,288,433 $ 25,541,317 Ports Authority 5307 $ 5,578,342 $ 5,634,125 $ 5,690,466 $ 5,747,371 $ 5,804,845 5309 $ 3,321,788 $ 3,355,066 $ 3,388,556 $ 3,422,442 $ 3,456,666 PRHTA 5307 $ 12,272,352 $ 12,395,075 $ 12,519,026 $ 12,644,216 $ 12,770,659 Municipalities 5307 $ 6,431,064 $ 6,495,375 $ 6,560,329 $ 6,625,932 $ 6,692,191 5310 $ 1,577,107 $ 1,592,878 S 1,608,807 $ 1,624,895 $ 1,641,144 5316 $ 4,540,513 $ 4,585,918 $ 4,631,777 $ 4,678,095 $ 4,724,876 5317 $ 1,236,915 $ 1,249,284 $ 1,261,777 $ 1,274,395 $ 1,287,138 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Allocation Agency Section MBA 5307 $ 25,796,730 $ 26,054,697 $ 26,315,244 $ 26,578,397 $ 26,844,181 Ports Authority 5307 $ 5,862,893 $ 5,921,522 $ 5,980,737 $ 6,040,544 $ 6,100,949 5309 $ 3,491,233 $ 3,526,145 $ 3,561,406 $ 3,597,020 $ 3,632,990 PRHTA 5307 $ 12,898,365 $ 13,027,349 $ 13,157,622 $ 13,289,198 $ 13,422,090 Municipalities 5307 $ 6,759,113 $ 6,826,704 $ 6,894,971 $ 6,963,921 $ 7,033,560 5310 $ 1,657,555 $ 1,674,131 $ 1,690,872 $ 1,707,781 $ 1,724,858 5316 $ 4,772,125 $ 4,819,846 $ 4,868,044 $ 4,916,725 $ 4,965,892 5317 $ 1,300,010 $ 1,313,010 $ 1,326,140 $ 1,339,401 $ 1,352,795 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Note: These amounts take into consideration year of expenditure dollars (YOE) Note: Below are the figures providing by the Port Authority on Cruise ship passengers, cargo movement, and numbers of cruises in the ports of San Juan 154 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 155 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 156 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN A P P EN D IX D Illustrative Non-Motorized Mode Projects List of Projects by 2030 Plan Network Analysis (2006)* Illustrative and Unfunded Transit Projects * All this projects are presented in an illustrative list, which represent that not are currently funded. 157 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table D 1 Illustrative Non-motorized Mode Projects (Resources not available yet) Table D-1 Illustrative Non-motorized Mode Projects (Resources not available yet ) Municipality Project Description Length in km Estimated Cost* (YO E) Status Canóvanas Paseo del Río-Pedestrian and bicycle trail along the Río Grande de Loíza, from PR-3 to the Piñones Trail 6.8 $8,374,630 Conceptual Alignment Planning stage by the Municipality. Canóvanas Pedestrian and bicycle connector from Jesús T. Piñero House to bridge number 99 over the Canóvanas River 0.6 $692,754 Canóvanas Pedestrian and bicycle connector from Jesús T. Piñero 0.8 $982,251 Carolina Carolina Linear Park Phase I, 65th Infantry Avenue 2.8 $3,001,935 3.3 $2,740,228 1.9 $2,339,970 2.3 $2,832,595 Carolina Carolina Carolina Cataño Cataño Cataño Cayey Carolina Linear Park Phase II, from PR-874 and Monserrate Avenue to Julia de Burgos Park Carolina Linear Park Phase III, from Julia de Burgos Park to Roberto Clemente Avenue Trail for bicycle riders from the proposed Isla Verde Bike Trail to Julia de Burgos Park Trail for pedestrians and bicycle riders along Río Hondo Canal Bicycle Trail along PR-165 from the bridge over Caño Aguas Frías to km 35.65 Trail for bicycle riders on PR-5 from intersection with PR-165 to La Malaria Channel Bicycle trail and sidewalks along PR14 between km 72.1 and km 73.3 3.0 2.3 $2,847,989 1.6 $1,970,501 1.2 $1,477,876 Cayey Bicycle trail and sidewalks along PR1between km 55.5 and km 60.3 5.2 $6,167,816 Cayey La Plata River Trail -- linear park along both sides of the river N/A N/A Cayey Urban Center Linear Park along river N/A N/A Dorado Toa Baja Gurabo Del Plata Trail, Punta Salinas to Dorado Linear Trail along the Gurabo River from PR-181 to PR-943 11.0 0.6 $13,547,195 $769,727 Conceptual Alignment Planning stage by the Municipality. This trail will eventually connect with the Paseo del Rio Conceptual Alignment Planning stage by the Municipality. Conceptual Alignment Planning stage by the Municipality. Conceptual Alignment Planning stage by the Municipality. Conceptual Alignment Planning stage by the Municipality. Conceptual Align Planning stage by the Municipality Planning stage Includes the installation of illumination and reforestation. Pending evaluation Included on Nonmotorized mode Plan. Conceptual Alignment Planning stage by the Municipality for the benefit of various universities and schools. Pending evaluation Conceptual Alignment Planning stage by the Municipality Conceptual alignment. Includes a pedestrian trail to connect the UPR Campus with the Historic Center Conceptual Alignment Planning stage by the Municipality Conceptual alignment. Proposal submitted by both municipalities Conceptual Alignment. Proposal submitted by the municipality. This area is prone to flooding due to the river. Pending evaluation. 158 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table D-1 Illustrative Non-motorized Mode Projects (Resources not available yet ) Municipality Humacao Juncos Loíza Project Description Paseo Lineal del Río, Phase I along Nicanor Vázquez Boulevard Valenciano River Linear Trail from the public terminal to the PR-181 interchange with PR-30 Piñones Trail Phase II – from Monte Grande Sector to the town of Loíza bordering the coast. Length in km Estimated Cost* (YO E) 2.7 $2,500,000 1.5 $1,200,000 11.0 $13,547,195 2.5 $3,078,908 Status A revised proposal of the Project from the Municipality is Pending. The municipality sent a preliminary proposal in 1999. There are about 10 small residences affected. San Juan Pedestrian and Bicycle Atlantic Trail Phase II Ocean Park 3.5 $4,319,471 Planning stage. Included in Piñones Master Plan approved in 1995. Requires acquisition of right-ofway Proposal submitted by the Municipality. Pending evaluation Conceptual Alignment Planning stage San Juan Pedestrian and Bicycle Atlantic Trail Phase III Condado 2.5 $3,078,908 Conceptual Alignment Planning stage Loíza Canóvanas Pedestrian and bicycle trail along the Río Grande de Loíza from Caño Zequeira to the Piñones Trail San Juan Baldorioty Boulevard pedestrian and bicycle trails connecting Parque Central, the Condado Lagoon and the Luis Muñoz Rivera Park N/A $5,388,089N/A San Juan Linear Park Trail Enrique Martí Coll Phase III along the Río Piedras, from Luis Muñoz Marín Park to the Jardín Botánico. 3.0 $3,694,689 San Juan Linear Park Trail Enrique Martí Coll Phase IV from Acuaexpreso to Luis Muñoz Marín Park 2.5 $3,078,908 San Juan Trail along Caño Martín Peña for pedestrians and cyclists along both sides 2.5 $3,078,908 San Juan Ecological Corridor of San Juan Interpretative Trails for pedestrians and bicycles N/A N/A Final Design and estimated cost prepared by the National Parks Company, include landscape and pedestrian trails only. In design as part of the project of the canalization of the Río Piedras by the US Corp of Engineers Requires the alignment revision to proceed with the design In design as part of the Enlace Project of Caño Martín Peña Required by Law No. 206 of 2003 for the San Juan Ecological Corridor Included on Nonmotorized mode Plan. Design and estimated cost prepared by the Municipality of San Juan. Sidewalks improvements. Alignment proposed for study San Juan Pedestrian and bicycle trail on Roberto H. Todd Ave. and Condado Street, from Muñoz Rivera Expressway to Condado Beach 2.1 $5,388,089 San Juan Trail from José C. Barbosa Park to Martín Peña Channel 2.5 $3,078,908 San Juan Cantera Península Bike Trail N/A N/A Included on Master Plan for the Península de Cantera San Juan Paseo Avenida Barbosa (PR-27), from Gándara Ave. to Martín Peña Channel 3.1 $3,817,846 Alignment proposed for study 159 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table D-1 Illustrative Non-motorized Mode Projects (Resources not available yet ) Municipality Project Description San Juan San José Lagoon Linear Park (South), from Martín Peña Channel to Roberto Clemente Sport City San Juan Arboretum de Cupey pedestrian and bike trail on Ana G. Méndez and Victor Labiosa Avenues (PR-176), from southwest portion of Botanical Garden (U.P.R) to intersection with PR-177 and PR-199. Pedestrian and bicycle trail from the Historical Bridge over Río Grande de Loíza to the Traditional Center of Río Piedras Trujillo Alto Vega Baja Pedestrian trails in the urban center. TOTAL PROJECTS Length in km 4.0 Estimated Cost* (YO E) $4,926,253 3.3 $4,064,159 5.0 $6,096,238 N/A N/A Status Alignment proposed for study. Included in San Juan Ecological Corridor by Law No. 260 of 2004 that amended Law no. 206 of 2003. Conceptual Alignment Planning stage by the Municipality Conceptual Alignment Planning stage by the Municipality 35 160 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table D 2 2030 Plan Network Projects-Short Term (Illustrative) MUNICIPALITY ROADWAY PROJECT DESCRIPTION PROJECT LENGTH IN APROX. KM ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION COST (Y O E) Barranquitas PR-162 Bridge Replacement #358, over Usabón River 0.5 $4,000,000 Bayamón PR-2 Slab and Pavement Rehabilitation, Bridges #1093 and 1558 Bayamón PR-5 New 6-lane roadway 0.97 $4,390,000 Bayamón PR-167 Geometric improvements from Intersection with PR199 to Intersection with Ramón Rodríguez Street. 4.35 $4,890,710 Bayamón PR-5 New Road with two lanes in each direction plus two HOV lanes 2.11 $38,730,000 Bayamón PR-5 Reconstruction of PR148 between Bayamón and Toa Alta 0.5 $8,073,202 PR-1 Reconstruction and Geometric improvements to PR-1, Villa Blanca - Bairoa, between PR-189 / PR-33, and PR-796 1.7 $3,920,000 Caguas-Gurabo PR-30 Pavement Rehabilitation 8.3 $15,000,000 Caguas Las Gaviotas Ave – PR156 Caguas PR-52 Completion of road, connecting PR-52 with PR156 New intersection that connects PR-52 with PR-30; Geometric improvements, intersection PR-796 with PR30 and PR-52 Caguas $4,000,000 $9,000,000 $1,228,000 Caguas PR-52 Geometric, Safety Improvements and Removal of Toll structures – one way tolling Caguas PR-52 New intersection PR-52 and PR-1, near Caguas Sur Toll Caguas PR-189 Widening from Rafael Cordero Ave. to PR-1 1.0 $2,560,000 Canóvanas PR-962 Bridge Replacement #606 0.1 $6,200,000 Cataño PR-22 Rehabilitation Ramp PR-22 and PR-5 N/A $1,000,000 Cayey PR-1 Widening and Geometric improvements from AC100202 to PR-738 $5,000,000 Cayey PR-14 Geometric and road improvements from Baldorioty Ave. to intersection with PR-1 $5,000,000 Cayey PR-15 Roadway Improvements; pedestrian access improvements $5,000,000 Cayey PR-171 Muñoz Rivera Street. Widening, Geometric improvements, and extension of Muñoz Rivera Avenue 2.0 $4,500,000 Cayey PR-206 Two-lane bypass construction west of Cayey from PR-1 to PR-14 1.84 $8,950,000 Cayey PR-738 Land acquisition, design, and construction of ramps. $5,000,000 Cayey PR-738 Widening and Geometric improvements from PR-1 to PR-52 $3,500,000 $1,500,000 $2,500,000 161 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table D-2 2030 Plan Network Projects-Short Term (Illustrative) MUNICIPALITY ROADWAY PROJECT DESCRIPTION PROJECT LENGTH (KM) ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION COST (Y O E) Cayey Los Veteranos Ave. Widening and Geometric improvements from PR-1 to PR 14 0.9 $1,500,000 Cayey Fernández García Ave. Geometric Improvements Ciales PR-608 Complete PR-608 from PR149 to PR-615 (Comunidad Cialitos. Cidra PR-184 Comerío PR-778 Comerío PR-778 Corozal Cidra East Connector from PR-52 to Int. PR-7733, Phase 1 Widen from two lanes to four lanes $6,000,000 1.2 N/A $7,650,000 2.26 $1,900,000 New two-lane road 1.85 $28,694,827 PR-159 Widen from two lanes to four lanes 0.94 $1,010,000 Guaynabo PR-20 Improvements to intersection of PR-20 Expressway Martinez Nadal with PR-1 (Ramp PR-20 / PR-169 to San Juan) 2.24 $9,083,621 Guaynabo PR-22 Widening from Buchanan Toll Plaza to PR-165 4.5 $15,000,000 Guaynabo PR-165 Merge Lane and Geometric Improvements PR-22 Ramp to PR 165 Guaynabo PR-177 Gurabo-San Lorenzo PR-30 Gurabo-Las Piedras PR-30 Median Barrier Installation $6,000,000 Humacao PR-3 Replacement Bridge #1022 $1,540,000 Las Piedras PR-30 Drainage Repair 0.5 $1,500,000 Las Piedras PR-204 Extension PR-204 from PR30 to PR-183 1.5 $4,000,000 Naranjito PR-152 Geometric improvements, Intersection of PR- 779, PR802 and PR-803 $700,000 Naranjito PR-152 Geometric improvements, Intersection of PR-164, PR814, PR-810 and PR-811 $1,107,815 Naranjito PR-5 New 4-lane roadway 1.95 $12,620,000 Naranjito PR-5 New 4-lane bridge over Rio La Plata and PR-148 0.7 $31,034,355 San Juan PR-17 Reconstruction of PR-17, from PR-18 to PR-25 2.0. $2,000,000 San Juan PR-18 Pavement Rehabilitation from Intersection PR-22 to PR-1 5.0 $10,000,000 San Juan PR-21 Improvements PR-176, PR8838, PR-8839, and Villa Nevárez Station 1.0. $20,000,000 San Juan PR-26 Impact attenuator installation $1,000,000 San Juan PR-26 Reversible Lane Barrier Replacement $1,800,000 San Juan PR-199 Construction of PR-199, from PR-176 to PR-844 $750,000 Geometric, Safety and Traffic Control system improvement Auxiliary Lanes From PR-203 to PR-181 $1,000,000 $4,500,000 2.57 $14,780,000 162 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table D-2 2030 Plan Network Projects-Short Term (Illustrative) ROADWAY PROJECT DESCRIPTION PROJECT LENGTH (KM) ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION COST (Y O E) PR-26 Widen PR-26 from four lanes to six lanes from Laguna del Condado to Villaverde Street in Miramar 1.17 $17,430,000 San Juan PR-27 Connector North-South, EastWest Peninsula de Cantera, Phase I. Connector to Rexach Ave. and Existing Connector to Barbosa Ave. 0.58 $5,890,000 San Juan PR-27 0.1 $20,609,124 San Juan PR-3 1.99 $37,105,490 San Lorenzo PR-203 0.5 $1,000,000 Toa Alta PR-5 Reconstruction of PR-148. 1.82 $12,740,072 Toa Alta – Vega Alta PR-22 Pavement Rehabilitation 8.6 $5,000,000 Toa Baja PR-867 Conector Calle Los Magos 0.25 $250,000 Trujillo Alto PR-181 New 4-lane roadway 1.29 $17,808,569 Vega Baja PR-686 Scouring Correction 0.3 $2,000,000 Vega Baja PR-6671 New 4-lane connector construction PR-2, km 39.5 to PR-686, km 16.0 1.29 $5,185,000 Yabucoa PR-901 Geometric improvement MUNICIPALITY San Juan Replacement of Bridge #. 87 over Martin Peña Canal, Barbosa Ave, PR-27, Km. 2.40 Intersection of PR-181 KM. 2.89 with PR-3 and PR-47. Geometric Improvements Intersection PR-203 and PR931 TOTAL 2030 NETWORK PLAN-Short Term $600,000 $454,730,785 163 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table D 3 2030 Plan Network Projects-Intermediate Term (Illustrative) Table D-3 2030 Plan Network Projects-Intermediate Term (Illustrative) MUNICIPALITY ROADWAY Bayamón PR-199 Bayamón PR-199 Bayamón PR-5 Caguas PR-196 Caguas Canóvanas PR-3 Carolina Carolina PR-874 Cayey PR-1 Bypass From PR-1 to PR14 PROJECT DESCRIPTION PROJECT LENGTH (KM) Aprox. ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION COST (Y o E) 2 $8,000,000 2.3 $13,939,000 4.89 $40,000,000 1.0 $3,500,000 7.8 $7,650,000 $33,621,000 12.6 $566,000,000 3 $6,000,000 Construction of PR-199 from PR-831 to PR-5 Construction of bridge over Rio Bayamón from PR-833 and PR-831 Widening of PR-167 ( El Porton) to the intersection of PR-5 with PR-199 Extension José Garrido Ave. from PR-52 to PR-1 South Central Periferal Avenue Phase I Expressway conversion. Tren Urbano extension to Carolina through PR-3 Widening from Monserrate Avenue to Canóvanas Phase II Widening and Geometric improvements from PR-738 to PR-184 Design and Construction of a new Detour Cidra East Connector from PR-52 to Int. PR-7733, Phase Cidra PR-184 1 Extension PR-204 from PRLas Piedras PR-204 30 to PR-183 Connector of Bayamón to Toa Alta from PR-199 to Toa Alta PR-199 PR-861 and PR-8861 Tren Urbano Extensions to San Juan Minillas and Miramar* Tren Urbano Extension to San Juan,-Carolina Carolina Improvements design for the access to the Tren Urbano Guaynabo stations in Martinez Nadal Improve access to Tren Urbano stations of Las Lomas, San Francisco and San Juan Centro Médico Improvement of the areas around the Tren Urbano stations, Avenida Universidad from Gándara to San Juan Ponce de Leon Avenue. TOTAL 2030 NETWORK PLAN-Intermediate Term Cayey $15,000,000 $40,000,000 $7,650,000 1.5 $4,000,000 $19,610,000 N/A * 3.75 19 N/A * 0.4 $27,125,000 0.4 $5,924,509 $6,050,000 $804,069,509 164 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table D 4 2030 Plan Network Projects-Long Term (Illustrative) MUNICIPALITY ROADWAY PROJECT DESCRIPTION PROJECT LENGTH (KM) Aprox. Bayamón PR-861 Widening of PR-861 from station 9+85.7814 (km 2) to PR-862 at km 2.6 10.5 ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION COST (Y o E) $2,792,000 Improvements design for the access to the Tren Urbano stations in Bayamón, Deportivo, and Jardines $7,123,734 PR-189 Widening from Rafael Cordero to PR-1 $2,826,000 Caguas PR-1 Conversion to expressway of PR-1 from PR-20 to PR-52 (Caguas), Phase III: intermediate improvements to bypass intersections of PR-1 with PR-173 and PR-175 2.3 $5,476,000 Carolina PR-3 Construction of bypass between PR-3 and PR-853 1.08 $21,307,000 Carolina PR-853 Widening from East Corridor intersection to the intersection with PR-3 2.2 $5,020,415 PR-8869 Design and construction of two lanes and sidewalks in the PR-5 section to Orquídea Street in the Cucharillas sector Bayamón Caguas Cataño Cidra/Cayey PR-173 Guaynabo PR-1 Ciales / Manatí PR-149 Morovis/ Orocovis Orocovis / Barranquitas Alignment improvements and widening to four lanes between Cidra and Cayey metropolitan area and PR-156 to the west of Aguas Buenas Conversion to expressway PR1, Phase II. Intermediate improvements to Intersection between PR-173 and PR-20, Include Marginal Street, $2,500,000 8 $28,000,000 1.2 $5,446,272 Widen to 4 lanes, from Ciales to Manatí 13 $39,000,000 PR-155 Alignment improvements to two lanes plus acceleration lanes from Morovis to Orocovis 19.2 $67,200,000 PR-156 Alignment improvements to two lanes plus acceleration lanes from Orocovis to Barranquitas 16 $35,200,000 Río Grande PR-9187 Construction of Río Grande bypass (PR-9187), Phase 1: New interchange of PR-3 with PR-187 and connector from PR-956 to PR-3 2 $6,602,298 San Juan PR-26 New interchange ramp to serve truck cargo access at Muñoz Marín Airport 1 $3,000,000 PR-149 Alignment improvements to two lanes from Villalba to the intersection with PR-145/PR148 north of Ciales. 43.2 $94,900,000 Villalba / Ciales TOTAL 2030 NETWORK PLAN-Long Term $326,393,719 165 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table D-4 2030 Plan Network Projects-Long Term (Illustrative) ROADWAY PROJECT DESCRIPTION PROJECT LENGTH (KM) Aprox. Río Grande PR-9187 Construction of Río Grande bypass (PR-9187), Phase 1: New interchange of PR-3 with PR-187 and connector from PR-956 to PR-3 2 $6,602,298 San Juan PR-26 New interchange ramp to serve truck cargo access at Muñoz Marín Airport 1 $3,000,000 PR-149 Alignment improvements to two lanes from Villalba to the intersection with PR-145/PR-148 north of Ciales. 43.2 $94,900,000 MUNICIPALITY Villalba / Ciales ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION COST (Y o E) $326,393,719 TOTAL 2030 NETWORK PLAN-Long Term Table D 5 Projects Recommended but Not Included in Network Analysis-Short Term (Illustrative) ROADWAY PROJECT DESCRIPTION PROJECT LENGTH (KM) Aprox. PR-615 Construction of bridge over Toro Negro River, PR-615, from km 24.65 to PR-149, plus pavement and drainage improvements 0.1 San Juan PR-176 Improvement to pedestrian access to Cupey Tren Urbano station, including PR-176-reversible lane from PR-8838 to Labiosa Avenue (Unit 3) $24,000,000 San Juan PR-22 Reversible Lane Barrier Replacement $ 2, 500,00 MUNICIPALITY Ciales TOTAL 2030 ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION COST (Y o E) $5,000,000 $31,500,000 166 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table D 6 Projects Recommended but Not Included in Network Analysis-Intermediate Term (Illustrative) MUNICIPALITY ROADWAY PROJECT DESCRIPTION PROJECT LENGTH (KM) (Aprox.) Bayamón PR-5 Construction of PR-5 inter-change with PR167, El Portón 1 $6,100,000 Guaynabo PR-165 Widening of PR-165 from De Diego Expressway, PR-22, to “Telefónica Larga Distancia”. 0.76 $3,000,000 Guaynabo PR-199 Construction from Borbón Street to PR-833 2 $25,000,000 PR-27 Relocation of Barbosa Avenue from the Martin Pena canal to Rexach Avenue; extend Santa Elena Street and Construct peripheral avenue from Barbosa Avenue to Santa Elena San Juan ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION COST ( Y o E) $25,000,000 Bypass construction of the intersection of PR17 and PR-181 (at km 8.347) San Juan San Juan PR-47 Improvements and widening of PR-47 from Barbosa Avenue (PR-27, km 2.2) to the intersection with PR-3 ( 65th Infantry) San Juan PR-26 Construction of the inter-change of PR-26 with Ponce de León and Muñoz Rivera Aves. Trujillo Alto PR-199 Construction of a bypass and geometric improvements between PR-199 and PR-845 Carolina PR-26 Construction of ramps at the interchange of Campo Rico Avenue with PR-26 Cayey PR-1 Reconstruction from PR-184 to PR-735, Plus repavement, geometric improvements, traffic signals and pavement markings $27,000,000 1.35 $7,000,000 $5,000,000 5 $1,000,000 San Juan Tren Urbano Jardines station, Río Bayamón Headhouse; plus vehicular and pedestrian bridge. $5,000,000 San Juan Improvement to pedestrian access to Piñero, Domenech and Roosevelt Tren Urbano stations $8,000,000 Toa Baja PR-165 Extension of PR-165, from PR-2 to Toa Alta. 1.8 $10,000,000 Toa Baja PR-866 Extension of Los Dominicos Ave. until intersection with PR-872 1.6 $10,000,000 TOTAL 2030 - Estimated $132,100,000 167 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table D 7 Projects Recommended but Not Included in the 2000 Network Analysis (Illustrative) MUNICIPALITY ROADWAY PROJECT DESCRIPTION PROJECT LENGTH (KM) (Aprox.) Carolina PR-3 Construction of marginal street from Plaza Carolina to the “Río Grande de Loíza” 0.3 ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION COST (Y o E) $1,400,000 Table D 8 San Juan TMA Immediate Action Program (Illustrative) Table D-8 San Juan TMA Immediate Action Program (Illustrative) Municipality Highway Intersection Aibonito PR-162 --- Segment (in Kilometers) Project Description Estimated Cost Comments From To Km. 3.3 --- Storm sewer pipe installation and inlets $75,000 Poor drainage causes congestion $75,000 Poor drainage causes congestion Aibonito PR-725 --- Km. 3.7 --- 42” storm sewer pipe installation and construction of drainage ditch Aibonito PR-14 --- Km. 53.0 --- Drainage improvements $100,000 Flooding causes congestion Aibonito PR-162 PR-14 Intersection --- Improvements to intersection $200,000 To improve congestion management Bayamón PR-174 PR-831 Intersection --- Improvements to intersection $250,000 Extreme congestion Bayamón PR-177 Access to Urb. “Industrial Intersection Minillas” --- Improvements to intersection $250,000 Extreme congestion Bayamón PR-199 --- Improvements to intersection $250,000 Extreme congestion High rate of accidents PR-840 Intersection Monume nt Caguas Installation of new traffic “La Expressway India” lights with sensors and $1,000,000 Motors synchronization of these (Km. 30.0) eight inters locations (Km. 34.0) To improve congestion management Caguas PR-1 Various Caguas PR-1 Degetau Ave. Km. 37.0 --- Reconstruction of drainage facilities $100,000 Poor drainage causes congestion Caguas PR-1 --- Km. 37.6 --- Reconstruction of drainage facilities $100,000 Poor drainage causes congestion Caguas PR-1 PR-30 and PR-52 Length 0.28 kms --- Reconstruction and improvements $300,000 Improvements to connection within intersections PR-1, PR30 and PR-52; Requires traffic lights and small bridges on marginals. Caguas PR-1 PR-763 Intersection Km. 42.0 --- Improvements to intersection $200,000 Improve turning movements Caguas PR-1 PR-765 Intersection Geometric Improvements $400,000 To improve congestion management Caguas PR-156 --- Km. 59.1 & 59.7 --- Reconstr. of drainage facilities, repaving $200,000 To obtain a better traffic flow Caguas PR-172 PR-52 Intersection --- Improvements to $500,000 Installation of new traffic lights 168 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table D-8 San Juan TMA Immediate Action Program (Illustrative) Municipality Highway Intersection Segment (in Kilometers) From Project Description Estimated Cost Comments To Km. 37.6 intersection with sensors and reconstruction of the intersection Caguas PR-183 Luis Muñoz Marin Ave. Km 1.1 Km 1.4 Synch of traffic lights with sensors at various intersections $500,000 To improve congestion management Caguas PR-189 --- Sta. Elvira Subdivision PR-1 Synch of traffic lights with sensors $200,000 Improve management of congestion Caguas PR-33 --- “La India” monument PR-1 Synch of traffic lights with sensors $100,000 Improve management of congestion Canóvanas PR-185 To improve traffic flow and prevent accidents Geometrical improvements to four intersections $200,000 --- Improvements to intersection $100,000 To avoid accidents and improve congestion management --- Improve signage at inters $25,000 Poor and confusing signals, badly located Intersection --- Improvements to intersection $150,000 To prevent accidents and improve congestion management Intersection --- Improvements to intersection including repaving $100,000 To improve traffic flow Intersection --- Install new traffic lights with sensors $125,000 Performance of existing traffic lights inadequate --- Install new traffic lights with sensors $125,000 Existing traffic lights inadequate causing congestion --- Install new traffic lights with sensors $125,000 Existing traffic lights inadequate causing congestion Geometric Improvements; intersection design, and land acquisition $500,000 4 Intersections Km. 0.00 Km. 5.30 Municipal petition Connector Canóvanas PR-3 PR-188 Intersection Km. 18.1 PR-66 Intersection Carolina PR-3 PR-857 Km. 42.0 Ave. Carolina Ave. “El Campo Rico Comandante” Cataño PR-165 PR-24 Cataño PR-869 St. 19 Bo. Palmas Ramp exit to Cataño Cataño West side PR-5 PR-165 Intersection Ramp exit to East side PR-5 PR-165 Intersection Cayey PR-1 Intersection with Hacienda las Mercedes Cayey PR-1 --- Km. 69.2 --- Construction of wall $75,000 Wall is necessary to provide safety Cayey PR-743 --- Km. 3.7 --- Construction of drainage works $85,000 Necessary to improve safety causing congestion Ciales PR-145 PR-149 Intersection --- Improvements to intersection $150,000 To improve congestion management Comerío PR-156 --- Km. 36.6 --- Reconstruction of displaced pavement $100,000 To improve traffic flow --- Improvements to intersection $200,000 Mayor‟s petition to improve congestion management Corozal PR-807 Intersection with San Intersection Manuel St. & urban core Gándara St. 169 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table D-8 San Juan TMA Immediate Action Program (Illustrative) Municipality Highway Intersection Segment (in Kilometers) From To Project Description Estimated Cost Comments Corozal PR-165 PR-159 Intersection --- Improvements to intersection $200,000 To improve congestion management Dorado PR-693 PR-6693 Intersection --- Improvements to intersection $150,000 To improve congestion management Dorado PR-690 PR-688 Intersection --- Improvements to intersection $150,000 To improve congestion management Guaynabo PR-177 PR-833 Km. 6.0 Km. 6.1 Improvements to intersection, including drainage $250,000 Flooding causes traffic delays and accidents Guaynabo PR-1 Flasher Installation and Geometric Improvements $300,000 Intersection Improvements to intersection Humacao PR-3 PR-923 Intersection --- $100,000 To improve traffic flow Provision of island with turning lane Las Piedras PR-198 PR-204 Intersection --- Installation of new traffic lights $125,000 To improve congestion management Las Piedras PR-183 PR-30 Intersection --- Pavement markings and provide for right turn movement $75,000 To improve congestion management Manatí PR-149 PR-2 Intersection --- Increase capacity of left turn movements $100,000 To improve congestion management Manatí PR-685 PR-149 Intersection --- Increase capacity of left turn movements $100,000 To improve congestion management Manatí PR-149 PR-668 Intersection --- Installation of traffic signals and other improvements to intersection $200,000 To improve congestion management Morovis PR-155 PR-137 Intersection --- Improvements to intersection $150,000 To improve congestion management Orocovis PR-155 --- Km. 16.1 Km. 35.5 Installation of guardrails $70,000 To improve safety Orocovis PR-593 --- Km. 0.0 Orocovis PR-155 PR-157 Km. 2.9 Installation of guardrails $150,000 To improve safety in the hilly area --- Improvements to intersection close to the urban area $600,000 Mayor‟s petition to improve congestion management Intersection (Km. 30.9) Río Grande PR-187 Entrance to urban area Intersection --- Improvements to intersection $200,000 To improve congestion management Río Grande PR-3 PR-959 Intersection --- Improvements to intersection $200,000 To improve congestion management San Juan PR-1 Access to various wards Provide protected left turns $300,000 Access to four wards: “Dulce, Canejas, Beverly Hills & PR 8733” San Juan Ave. R.H. Todd (PR-2) Km. 18.0 Km. 21.0 Ave. Las Palmas (PR42) Intersection --- Installation of five new traffic lights with sensors, and synchronization of these overall improvement Total cost $500,000 Lack of synchronization of the traffic lights causes extreme congestion in this heavytrafficked area of Santurce 170 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table D-8 San Juan TMA Immediate Action Program (Illustrative) Municipality Highway Intersection Segment (in Kilometers) From Project Description Estimated Cost Comments $200,000 Confusing signage and the improper use of the marginal streets causes extreme congestion To to intersections San Juan San Juan Ave. R.H. Todd (PR2) Ave. Fdez. Juncos (PR- Intersection 35) Ave. R.H. Todd Ave. Ponce (PR-2) San Juan San Juan de León (P25) Ave. R.H. Marginal Sur Todd Baldorioty (PR-2) (PR-26) Ave. R.H. Todd Marginal Norte Baldorioty (PR-2) --- Intersection --- Intersection --- Intersection --- (PR-26) Ave. De San Juan PR-1 Diego Intersection --- Improvements to intersection Intersection --- Improvements to ramp by widening and proper markings $150,000 It is required to eliminate the parking at all times of the Minillas employee bus at De Diego Ave Intersection --- Improvements to intersection $150,000 Extreme congestion and great number of accidents Intersection --- Improvements to intersection $150,000 Extreme congestion and great number of accidents --- Widening of curve $150,000 To prevent accidents $80,000 For a distance of 200 meters to improve safety Widening of curve $150,000 To improve safety and traffic flow (Río Piedras) San Juan PR-26 South ramp to de Diego Ave. (PR-37) San Juan PR-199 San Juan PR-23 PR-842 PR-27 PR-40 San Lorenzo PR-916 --- Km. 2.5 San Lorenzo PR-9912 --- Km. 0.3 San Lorenzo PR-183 --- Km. 13.3 Km. 13.6 Toa Alta PR-863 PR-2 Intersection --- Installation of new traffic lights $150,000 To improve congestion management Toa Alta PR-824 PR-861 Intersection --- Improvements to intersection $150,000 To improve congestion management Trujillo Alto PR-185 PR-853 Intersection --- Improvements to intersection Provide for left turning movements $100,000 To improve congestion management Trujillo Alto PR-185 PR-857 Intersection --- Improvements to intersection Provide for left turning movements $100,000 To improve congestion management Trujillo Alto PR-848 PR-876 Intersection --- Install new traffic lights $125,000 To improve congestion management Trujillo Alto PR-199 PR-845 Intersection --- Geometrical improvements and installation of new traffic lights with sensors $400,000 Mayor‟s petition to separate traffic movements Extreme congestion Km. 0.5 Widening of this segment 171 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table D-8 San Juan TMA Immediate Action Program (Illustrative) Municipality Highway Intersection Segment (in Kilometers) From To Project Description Estimated Cost Comments Vega Alta PR-2 --- Km. 30.6 --- Installation of safety measures, signage, pavement markings, etc $75,000 For a distance of 2 Kms to improve traffic flow Vega Baja PR-2 17 St. Intersection --- Installation of new traffic lights with sensors $150,000 To improve congestion management Vega Baja PR-155 Intersection --- Installation of new traffic lights with sensors $150,000 To improve congestion management Intersection --- Installation of new traffic lights with sensors $150,000 To improve congestion management Intersection --- Widening to four lanes at the intersection approach $200,000 To improve congestion management Trío Exit 37 Vega Baja Vegabajeño Ave. Trío Vegabajeño Ave. PR-22 PR-692 Vega Baja PR-686 Puerto Nuevo Vega Baja PR-685 PR-687 Intersection --- Improvements to the intersection $150,000 To improve congestion management Vega Baja PR-688 PR-690 Intersection --- Improvements to the intersection $150,000 To improve congestion management Vega Baja PR-2 Various Intersections Vega Baja urban area --- Revision of times and synchronization of existing $100,000 traffic lights To improve congestion management Vega Baja PR-2 Camino del Sol Subd. Yabucoa PR-901 Intersection --- Installation of new traffic lights with sensors --- Installation of new traffic lights with sensors $150,000 Installation of intermittent traffic lights $50,000 TOTAL COST: $13,810,000 (Km. 43.5) Across Banco Intersection Popular Across Santa Yabucoa PR-3 Intersection --- Elena Sub. Municipality To improve congestion management $150,000 To improve congestion management Recommended by the municipality Recommended by the municipality TOTAL PROJECTS: 78 Table D 9 Illustrative and Unfunded Transit Projects Length in Project Description km Estimate Cost (aprox) San Juan/ Caguas Mass Transit System Corridor (BRT) 20 $280,000,000 San Juan Tren Urbano Extensions to Minillas and Miramar 3.75 N/A (Planning Process) San Juan San Juan Light Rail San Juan,/ Carolina Mass Transit System San Juan- Carolina (BRT) 19 $350,000,000 Bayamón/ Hatillo Mass Transit System Corridor 80 N/A (Planning Process) N/A (Planning Process) 172 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN A P P EN D IX E Comments received and adapted during Public Review and Writing Comments Processes (After a Minimum 45 Days, comments received by e-mail address SJUA2030LRTP@dtop.gov.pr) 173 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Comments received by e-mail from FTA/FHWA on December 10, 2010 Good morning. Please see the FTA/FHWA joint comments for the Draft San Juan Plan below: Please include more explanation related to the interim financing from the Government Development Bank in Section 6.2 of the Plan. It needs to be explained that revenues will not be "double-counted" - namely, that they will not spend more than the difference between Island wide revenues and the San Juan share of those revenues outside of the San Juan area. There also should be acknowledgement that Expenditures are increasing far faster than Revenues, which will have more significant effects on fiscal constraint in the outer years. Tables C-1, C-2, C-2A and C-3 do not appear to be in Year of Expenditure (YOE) Dollars. Please update these tables to reflect this in the final Plan. Table C-1 - Revenues (entire P.R.) shows future bond revenues (“GDB”) as yielding proceeds in FY 2011. 1. GDB Financing – description/response to previous question provided, but revenues from bond initiative assumed in FY 2011 and it is still unclear why /how this is being assumed for FY 2011. Please provide more explanation and justification for the bond revenues shown in FY 2011. 2. Tolls assumptions – please clarify the contradictory information found in the explanation about tolls decreasing in Section 6.1.3.4 (Toll revenues) and the Tables showing a $70 million increase in Toll revenues. Table C-1 Revenue Projections and Table C-2 Expenditures are shown Island wide. Table C-2A, represents the proportion expenditures for the San Juan UZA (SJUZA). 1. What proportion exactly does it reflect? Table C-2A San Juan‟s share of P.R. total transportation expenditures is shown, but no comparable table of proposed share of revenues is given. Please include this information in the table so that the reader is able to see that P.R. is accounting for San Juan as funding assumptions are made for all areas on the island. Table C-3 Table C-3 FTA Program Allocation only goes out to 2012 and the unchanging funding per year doesn‟t seem correct. There is a footnote that these are pass-through funds. The years need to be extended out to 2030. Please also clarify what the term “pass-through” is. FTA/FHWA needs to see a breakdown of the revenues and expenditures. There should be reasonable expectation that the revenues will match the expenditures. Is the inflation factor used a reasonable inflation factor? 174 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Responses to the comments from FTA/FHWA Please include more explanation related to the interim financing from the Government Development Bank in Section 6.2 of the Plan. Response: The next to last paragraph of Section 6.2 (page 128) is being expanded with a language such as “While the turnaround plan is been executed, PRHTA is operating with the support of interim financing from the Government Development Bank, mainly through a revolving credit line, covering all operational expenses, as well as local matching funds for federal projects and certain other locally-funded projects”. Once the complete language and information on this is decided, it will be revised / included in the document. The comment was included, see page 130 It needs to be explained that revenues will not be "double-counted" - namely, that they will not spend more than the difference between Island wide revenues and the San Juan share of those revenues outside of the San Juan area. There also should be acknowledgement that Expenditures are increasing far faster than Revenues, which will have more significant effects on fiscal constraint in the outer years. Response: Following the comments and suggestions on this matter by FHWA and FTA, we are preparing a table (C-1A) with the same proportion (share) as in Table C-2A. In this way the specific budget available for the San Juan Area will be shown, as will also be presented in the Aguadilla Area and UZA LRTP’s, as a means of showing fiscal constraint and that no “double-counting” is occurring in the plans or otherwise. See pages 145 to 148 Tables C-1, C-2, C-2A and C-3 do not appear to be in Year of Expenditure (YOE) Dollars. Please update these tables to reflect this in the final Plan. Response: A note with “Year of Expenditure Dollars (YOE)” will be included in the title on top of the “Projects Costs” columns in tables C-2 , and C-2A, which deal with expenditures, as well as a footnote stating : “The application of a year of expenditure (YOE) dollar increase factor to the cost of construction and property acquisition costs for the short range projects takes into consideration the decrease from the original estimates evidenced both when awarding bids (by an average of 23.86 percent since January 2009) and when acquiring (by about 25 percent since 2009), respectively. For intermediate and long range projects the YOE of 4 percent (compound) is being assumed and applied to current project cost estimates. Most of those projects are lump sum (box) projects, from which funding is reserved for future projects to be specifically defined once the needs and priorities are identified in consultation with the municipal governments and the public. The amounts in those lump sum (box) projects are set proportionately for each area, keeping the budget for each fiscally constraint. ” The latter statement (“The application of a year…..set proportionately.”) will be added as part of the revised last paragraph of Section 4.3.1 in the LRTP. See pages 141 to 154 Table C-1 - Revenues (entire P.R.) shows future bond revenues (“GDB”) as yielding proceeds in FY 2011. 1. GDB Financing – description/response to previous question provided, but revenues from bond initiative assumed in FY 2011 and it is still unclear why /how this is being assumed for FY 2011. Please provide more explanation and justification for the bond revenues shown in FY 2011. Response: This will be clarified by substituting the title on Table C-1, which now states “GDB Financing”, with “GDB Revolving Line of Credit” and including a footnote with what is stated in the first bullet response (see above) with a wording such as “GDB interim financing refers to a revolving line of credit, which eventually will be bonded out depending on market conditions and PRHTA’s bonding capacity.” See pages 141 and 145 2. Tolls assumptions – please clarify the contradictory information found in the explanation about tolls decreasing in Section 6.1.3.4 (Toll revenues) and the Tables showing a $70 million increase in Toll revenues. Response: With regard to toll assumptions, we are preparing a response with the assistance of the consultant who was originally involved in carrying out the toll data analysis and assumptions/ projections. See page 122 175 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Table C-1 Revenue Projections and Table C-2 Expenditures are shown Island wide. Table C-2A, represents the proportion expenditures for the San Juan UZA (SJUZA). 1. What proportion exactly does it reflect? Response: In Table C-2A we are now including the share/proportion (percentage) that the San Juan Area expenditures represent of the total for Puerto Rico up to the fiscal year 2030. Table C-2A San Juan‟s share of P.R. total transportation expenditures is shown, but no comparable table of proposed share of revenues is given. Please include this information in the table so that the reader is able to see that P.R. is accounting for San Juan as funding assumptions are made for all areas on the island. Response: Regarding the proportion of the total revenues for Puerto Rico applicable to the San Juan Area, as mentioned in the second point above (see second bullet), we are preparing Table C-1A to specifically provide San Juan Area revenues. See pages 145 to 148 Table C-3 Table C-3 FTA Program Allocation only goes out to 2012 and the unchanging funding per year doesn‟t seem correct. There is a footnote that these are pass-through funds. The years need to be extended out to 2030. Response: Please also clarify what the term “pass-through” is. As mentioned in our tele-conference meeting of December 15, 2010, the term “pass-through” is used as explained in Circular 4220.1C. PRHTA as the Designated Recipient of the FTA funds for Puerto Rico passes its grant funds to Municipalities and Agencies as Sub-recipients, for Section 5303, 5310 and 5311. This statement (“The term pass-through…”) is being included as part of the note at the end of Section 6.1.2 of the SJLRTP (page 113), as well a new Table C-3 was developed assume an increment in the revenues of the FTA program allocation for the next 20 years. See page 153 and 154. FTA/FHWA needs to see a breakdown of the revenues and expenditures. There should be reasonable expectation that the revenues will match the expenditures. Is the inflation factor used a reasonable inflation factor? Response: As previously mentioned in the fourth point (see fourth bullet above) , the explanation regarding the reasoning behind the financial numbers presented in the plan, and specifically regarding the application of inflation factor to the revenue projections is being worked out with those responsible for the financial information in the plan (i.e., financial consultants and PRHTA personnel) and shall be included in the respective sections in Chapter 6 of the document (e.g., 6.1.3 and Table C-1A). 176 SAN JUAN URBANIZED AREA – 2030 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Comments received from the Municipality of San Juan by e-mail December 10, 2010 Saludos! Hasta el momento estos son los comentarios que solicitamos se incluyan al 2030 Long Range Transportation Plan de parte del Municipio de San Juan: Página 27 – 2.2.3 Bus Rapid Transit in Selected Corridors – no menciona al sistema de Light Rail como alternativa a las extensiones del TU. Response: It was already included Página 31 – Figure 2-3 – en la leyenda la línea azul debe leer Proposed Busway or Railway. Además, la imagen no es clara al tener una línea tan gruesa y no se puede definir bien particularmente en el Viejo San Juan Response: A note was added to the figure Página 67 – Table 4-5 Transit Trips by Mode Choice (2030 Plan) – los números presentado en LRT no son los números del Tren Liviano para San Juan. Además, se comenta en el párrafo debajo de dicha tabla. Según nuestro AA el Ridership del LPA es 14,478. Response: Was clarified that this amounts refers to San Juan Caguas -Corridor Página 75 – Antes de Mass Transit System, Extension to Caguas se debe añadir un tema de Mass Transit System, Extension to Old San Juan que incluya lo siguiente: The connection to Old San Juan will use the light rail transit technology that would primarily run along Calle del Tren in the Isleta and Avenida Fernández Juncos in Santurce. The light rail system will connect with the existing heavy rail system, Tren Urbano, at the Sagrado Corazón Station. Response: The text was added to content see page 76 Página 82 – 4.1.4.6 Priority Staging – (Párrafo 5to.) Favor de añadir en la prioridad intermedia el proyecto de tren liviano al Viejo San Juan. Response: This can not be included in this table because it would not be fiscally constraint in the financial analysis 177