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Mrcra Alo U. Ai try s du In Ma Spen naging t Nuc Fuel lear t m fro efron Hom Afghan Peace Talks L e ss A llieons f rom si U. Coopn Secur itS. wit h erat ion y CounThird t r ie s M Su ak i Co mm ng un er s w t e Vi the Understanding the Public Health Implications of Prisoner Reentry in California Nat Eval ional of Sa uation Pro fe Start Apprmising oach es Al e Re rt ad and y E Ear d on an tion a uc Ed 2012 RAND Publications Catalog C O R P O R AT I O N 2012 RAND Publications Catalog The R AND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. R AND publishes more than 170 books, monographs, and reports each year on the issues that matter most, such as health, education, international affairs, security, law and business, and the environment. With a research staff consisting of some of the world’s preeminent minds, R AND has been expanding the boundaries of human knowledge for more than 60 years. 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C 1 2 3 4 6 7 13 14 16 16 17 18 19 19 20 21 22 22 23 24 26 26 27 28 29 30 32 32 33 34 34 35 36 37 40 42 43 44 Phone toll free (877) 584-8642 inside the U.S. Phone (310) 393-0411 outside the U.S. Fax orders to (412) 802-4981 Email order@rand.org RAND Corporation – Publications Orders 1776 Main Street, PO Box 2138 Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138 Washington, DC • Pittsburgh, PA • New Orleans, LA/Jackson, MS • Boston, MA T E N T S Children & Families Education & the Arts Energy & Environment Health & Health Care Infrastructure & Transportation International Affairs Law & Business National Security Population & Aging Public Safety Terrorism & Homeland Security Workforce in the Military Popular Backlist Titles Order online at www.rand.org and use priority code CAT12 during checkout to receive 25% off your order. • N New Titles Save 25% when you order online! Santa Monica, CA O • Doha, QA • Children & Families Education & the Arts Energy & Environment Health & Health Care Infrastructure & Transportation International Affairs Nation-Building Middle East Europe/NATO Asia Latin America Law & Business National Security Counterinsurgency Population & Aging Public Safety Science & Technology Terrorism & Homeland Security Workforce in the Military RAND Classics Information for Libraries Title Index Author Index Ordering Information International Distributors Order Form Abu Dhabi, AE • Cambridge, UK • Brussels, BE New Titles • Children & Families Views from the Homefront Making Summer Count Anita Chandra, Sandraluz Lara-Cinisomo, Lisa H. Jaycox, Terri Tanielian, Bing Han, Rachel M. Burns, Teague Ruder Jennifer Sloan McCombs, Catherine H. Augustine, Heather L. Schwartz, Susan J. Bodilly, Brian McInnis, Dahlia S. Lichter, Amanda Brown Cross As the United States continues its involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan, it is critical to understand the effects of military deployment not only on service members but also on the health and well-being of their children and spouses. Examining the functioning of a sample of youth in military families who applied to a free camp for children of military personnel, the researchers assess how these youth are coping with parental deployment, with attention to their emotional, social, and academic functioning, while also examining challenges faced by their caregivers. Low-income students continue to perform at considerably lower levels than their higher-income peers in reading and mathematics. Research has shown that students’ skills and knowledge often deteriorate during the summer months, with low-income students facing the largest losses. Instruction during the summer has the potential to stop these losses and propel students toward higher achievement. The authors show how school districts and summer programming providers can benefit from lessons learned in other programs in terms of developing strategies to maximize program effectiveness and quality, student participation, and strategic partnerships and funding. Recommendations include capitalizing on a range of funding sources, engaging in longterm planning to ensure adequate attendance and hiring, and demonstrating positive student outcomes. The Experiences of Youth and Spouses from Military Families Contents Introduction • Methods • The Experience of Military Youth in the Study Sample • The Experience of Caregivers in the Study Sample • Conclusions and Recommendations • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Child and Adolescent Psychiatry • U.S. Defense Policy 122 pp. • $28.00 pb • 2011 • TR-913-NMFA • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5127-1 Effects of Soldiers’ Deployment on Children’s Academic Performance and Behavioral Health Amy Richardson, Anita Chandra, Laurie T. Martin, Claude Messan Setodji, Bryan W. Hallmark, Nancy F. Campbell, Stacy Ann Hawkins, Patrick Grady This volume examines the effects that parental deployments can have on children’s academic performance, as well as on their emotional and behavioral well-being in the school setting. The researchers found that children whose parents have been deployed for 19 months or more since 2001 have achievement scores that are modestly lower than and statistically different from scores of those who have experienced less or no parental deployment. Contents Introduction • Evidence of Academic Challenges That Children Face When Parents Deploy • Academic Challenges That Children Face When Parents Deploy • Behavioral Health Challenges That Children Face When Parents Deploy • Recommendations • Appendixes How Summer Programs Can Boost Children’s Learning Contents Introduction • Time, Learning, Learning Decay, and Summer Learning Loss • Effectiveness of Summer Learning Programs • Costs of Summer Programming • Creating and Maintaining Summer Learning Programs: Lessons from the Field • Conclusions and Recommendations • Appendix CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Education: Program Evaluation • Educational Theory • School and Community Relations 118 pp. • $24.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1120-WF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5266-7 National Evaluation of Safe Start Promising Approaches Assessing Program Outcomes Lisa H. Jaycox, Laura J. Hickman, Dana Schultz, Dionne Barnes-Proby, Claude Messan Setodji, Aaron Kofner, Racine Harris, Joie D. Acosta, Taria Francois Safe Start Promising Approaches (SSPA) is the second phase of a community-based initiative focused on developing and fielding interventions to prevent and reduce the impact of children’s exposure to violence. This report shares the results of SSPA, which was intended to implement and evaluate promising and evidence-based programs in 15 program sites across the country. Educational Psychology • U.S. Defense Establishment Contents Counseling of Children and Adolescents • Principles of Measurement and Evaluation • School and Community Relations 176 pp. • $28.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1095-A • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5181-3 CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Guidance and Counseling • Social Problems 82 pp. • $24.50 pb • 2011 • TR-991-DOJ • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5822-5 www.rand.org 1 New Titles • Education & the Arts Continuing Challenges and Potential for Collaborative Approaches to Education Reform Susan J. Bodilly, Rita Karam, Nate Orr The Ford Foundation’s Collaborating for Education Reform Initiative (CERI) provided funds, guidance, and technical assistance to develop collaboratives and carry out activities to improve teaching and learning. The authors examine whether grantees showed progress toward the desired outcomes, offer lessons from the grantees’ experiences, and assess whether the foundation created financially sustainable collaboratives to promote education improvement. Contents Introduction • Approach, Concepts, and Development of Indicators • Progress Toward Collaborative Functioning and Sustainment • Progress Toward Goals • Conclusions and Observations A Big Apple for Educators NewYork City’s Experiment with Schoolwide Performance Bonuses: Final Evaluation Report Julie A. Marsh, Matthew G. Springer, Daniel F. McCaffrey, Kun Yuan, Scott Epstein, Julia Koppich, Nidhi Kalra, Catherine DiMartino, Art (Xiao) Peng The New York City Department of Education and the United Federation of Teachers implemented the Schoolwide Performance Bonus Program in 2007–2008 in a random sample of the city’s high-needs public schools; its broad objective was to improve student performance through school-based financial incentives. This independent analysis of test scores, surveys, and interviews found that the program did not improve student achievement, perhaps in part because conditions needed to motivate staff were not achieved and because all the schools already faced high levels of accountability pressure. Early Progress of Pittsburgh’s Postsecondary Scholarship Program Contents Introduction • Background on Pay-for-Performance Programs and the New York City SPBP • Research Methods • Implementation of the Schoolwide Performance Bonus Program: Attitudes About and Understanding of the Program • Implementation of the Schoolwide Performance Bonus Program: Compensation Committee Process and Distribution Plans • Implementation of the Schoolwide Performance Bonus Program: Perceived Effects of the Bonus and Program Participation • Effects on Progress Report and Student Test Scores • Teacher Attitudes and Behaviors in SPBP and Control Schools • Conclusions and Implications Gabriella C. Gonzalez, Robert Bozick, Shannah Tharp-Taylor, Andrea Phillips CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Education: Program Evaluation • Educational Statistics • Methods of Education Research 124 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1051-FF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5152-3 Fulfilling The Pittsburgh Promise® An assessment of progress of The Pittsburgh Promise—a postsecondary education scholarship intended to remedy the area’s population decline, foster high school completion and college readiness within Pittsburgh Public Schools (PPS), and prepare a capable workforce for the city—toward its goals to date. Contents Introduction • Study Framework, Data Sources, and Analytic Approach • The Context of The Promise’s Inception: A Description of PPS Education Initiatives from 2005–2006 Through 2009–2010 • Trends in Enrollment and the Role of The Promise in Parents’ Decisions to Enroll Their Children in PPS • How The Promise Factors into Students’ Attitudes and Behaviors • Rates of Enrollment and Persistence in Postsecondary Education Institutions • Findings and Recommendations • Looking to the Future • Appendixes Methods of Education Research • Education: Program Evaluation • Educational Statistics 312 pp. • $34.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1114-FPS • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5251-3 Incorporating Student Performance Measures into Teacher Evaluation Systems Jennifer L. Steele, Laura S. Hamilton, Brian M. Stecher The authors analyze the systems of three districts and two states incorporating measures of student performance into teacher evaluation, examining assessment quality, how teachers in nontested subjects and grades are evaluated, and measurement challenges that policymakers should consider. CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Education: Program Evaluation • Educational Theory • School and Community Relations 182 pp. • $29.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1139-TPP • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5832-4 Contents Introduction • Using Multiple Measures to Assess Teachers’ Effectiveness • How Are New Teacher Evaluation Systems Incorporating Multiple Measures? • How Are the New Teacher Evaluation Systems Addressing Key Measurement Quality Challenges? • Policy Recommendations and Conclusion CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Education: Program Evaluation • Educational Statistics • Methods of Education Research 52 pp. • $21.50 pb • 2010 • TR-917-CAP • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5250-6 2 toll free 877.584.8642 New Titles • Energy & Environment Managing Spent Nuclear Fuel Strategy Alternatives and Policy Implications Tom LaTourrette, Thomas Light, Debra Knopman, James T. Bartis If nuclear power is to be a sustainable option for generating power and reducing greenhouse gas emissions in the United States, methods for managing spent fuel that meet stringent safety and environmental standards must be implemented. This book examines technical and institutional approaches to spent-fuel management and highlights policy implications of pursuing alternative strategies. Contents Where We Are Now, How We Got Here, and the Decisions We Face • Technical Approaches to Spent–Nuclear Fuel Management • Review of Institutional, Statutory, and Regulatory Arrangements • Policy Implications of Alternative Strategies CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Energy and Environmental Policy • Nuclear Technology/ Engineering 96 pp. • $17.00 pb • 2010 • MG-970-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5108-0 Alternative Fuels for Military Applications James T. Bartis, Lawrence Van Bibber The U.S. Army, Navy, Marine Corps, and Air Force have all established programs geared toward reducing dependence on the use of fossil fuels in tactical weapon systems, such as aircraft, combat ships and vehicles, and supporting equipment. From a technical standpoint, a number of alternative fuels can meet military requirements, but it is uncertain how much these fuels will cost and what effect they may have on the environment, particularly in terms of greenhouse gas emissions. This volume examines alternative fuels that are candidates for military applications, such as tactical weapon systems, focusing on economic viability, greenhouse gas emissions, military utility, and current alternative fuel development, testing, and certification efforts within the Department of Defense. Contents Introduction • Fuels for U.S. Military Operations • Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions • Forward-Based Military Fuel Production • Alternative Fuel Activities in the U.S. Department of Defense • Industrial Preparedness • Findings and Recommendations • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Alternative Sources of Energy • Military Science 128 pp. • $21.00 pb • 2011 • MG-969-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5000-7 Characterizing the U.S. Industrial Base for Coal-Powered Electricity Constantine Samaras, Jeffrey A. Drezner, Henry H. Willis, Evan Bloom To determine whether the industrial base for the U.S. domestic coal-based electricity generation industry can maintain the capability to design, construct, operate, and maintain coal-fired electricity generating units within reasonable cost, schedule, performance, environmental, and quality boundaries, this book reviews interviews with stakeholders and data describing key elements of industry capability and validation or verification of concerns. Contents Introduction • The Role of Coal-Fired Power in the U.S. Electricity Sector • Coal-Fired Power Plant Designs, Systems, and Components • Market Structure • Workforce • Observations and Remaining Questions • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Environment and Energy Policy Economics • Government and Business 156 pp. • $29.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1147-NETL • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5918-5 Recommended Research Priorities for the Qatar Foundation’s Environment and Energy Research Institute Nidhi Kalra, Obaid Younossi, Kristy N. Kamarck, Sarah Al-Dorani, Gary Cecchine, Aimee E. Curtright, Chaoling Feng, Aviva Litovitz, David R. Johnson, Mohammed Makki, Shanthi Nataraj, David S. Ortiz, Parisa Roshan, Constantine Samaras Qatar’s leadership has created a vision of sustainable development for the country, and the Qatar Foundation is moving this vision forward by establishing the Qatar Environment and Energy Research Institute in order to conduct and collaborate on applied research in energy, environment, and water issues. This book recommends applied research priorities for the new institution and reports on a survey of related research institutions in the region. Contents Introduction • Project Methodology • Findings on Environment and Energy Research in the Gulf Cooperation Council • Priority Energy Research • Priority Water Research • Priority Environment Research • Additional Insights on Other Research Topics • Recommended Next Steps for the Qatar Foundation • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Environment and Energy Policy • Middle East Studies 296 pp. • $36.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1106-QF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5820-1 www.rand.org 3 New Titles • Energy & Environment • Health & Health Care Near-Term Opportunities for Integrating Biomass into the U.S. Electricity Supply Technical Considerations David S. Ortiz, Aimee E. Curtright, Constantine Samaras, Aviva Litovitz, Nicholas Burger In light of potential regulatory limits on greenhouse-gas emissions, requirements for greater use of renewable fuels, and higher prices for some conventional fossil resources, over the course of the next few decades, biomass is expected to become an increasingly important source of electricity, heat, and liquid fuel. This report focuses on using biomass in coal-fired electricity plants, discussing such issues as plant-site modifications, changes in operations, associated costs, and logistical issues. Contents Introduction • Cofiring Experience in the United States • Plant-Site Costs of Cofiring • Near-Term Potential Demand for Biomass for Cofiring Applications • Logistical Considerations • Reductions in Life-Cycle Greenhouse-Gas Emissions from Cofiring with Biomass • Factors Influencing the Development of Biomass Markets • Conclusions • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Biotechnology • Environment and Energy Policy Economics 186 pp. • $38.50 pb • 2011 • TR-984-NETL • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5835-5 Supplying Biomass to Power Plants A Model of the Costs of Utilizing Agricultural Biomass in Cofired Power Plants Tom LaTourrette, David S. Ortiz, Eileen Hlavka, Nicholas Burger, Gary Cecchine U.S. power plants are seeking to diversify their fuel sources, and biomass energy, a renewable resource with generally lower emissions than fossil fuels, has a large, diverse base. To make decisions about investing in a facility that utilizes biomass, prospective users need information about its costs and constraints. The model developed in this volume estimates the cost and availability of biomass energy resources from U.S. agricultural lands from the perspective of an individual power plant, in order to provide prospective users with information about infrastructure, logistics, costs, and constraints for the full biomass life cycle. Contents Introduction and Motivation • Modeling Biomass Energy Supply from Agricultural Lands • Biomass Supply Costs and Distributions of Land and Crops • Implications for Potential Investors in Power Plants Using Biomass • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Biotechnology • Environment and Energy Policy Economics 74 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2011 • TR-876-DOE • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5218-6 Understanding the Public Health Implications of Prisoner Reentry in California State-of-the-State Report Lois M. Davis, Malcolm V. Williams, Kathryn Pitkin Derose, Paul Steinberg, Nancy Nicosia, Adrian Overton, Lisa Miyashiro, Susan Turner, Terry Fain, Eugene Williams III This book examines the health care needs of newly released California prisoners; the communities most affected by reentry and the health care safety net of those communities; the critical roles that health care providers, other social services, and family members play in successful reentry; and the effects of reentry on the children and families of incarcerated individuals. The authors also make recommendations on how to improve access for this population in the current fiscal environment. Contents Introduction • What Do We Know About Prisoner Health Care Needs and the Capacity of the Safety Net to Meet the Needs of the Reentry Population? • Understanding the Challenges of Reentry: Ex-Prisoner Focus Group Results • Understanding the Challenges of Dealing with Released Prisoners: Provider Interview Results • The Impact of Incarceration on Families: Key Findings • Conclusions and Recommendations • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Health and Society • Health Care Planning and Policy 250 pp. • $28.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1165-TCE • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5914-7 Medical Care Provided Under California’s Workers’ Compensation Program Effects of the Reforms and Additional Opportunities to Improve the Quality and Efficiency of Care Barbara O. Wynn, Justin William Timbie, Melony E. Sorbero This book examines the impact of changes to California’s workers’ compensation system on the medical care provided to injured workers and identifies additional changes that might increase the quality of care delivered under the system. Contents Introduction • An Overview of Workers’ Compensation Medical Expenditures • Payments for Medical Services Provided to Injured Workers • Medical Provider Networks • Medical Cost-Containment Expenses and Activities • Monitoring System Performance • Increasing the Value of Workers’ Compensation Medical Care CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Labor Law • Employee Rights and Grievances 122 pp. • $37.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1144-CHSWC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5836-2 4 toll free 877.584.8642 New Titles • Health & Health Care Promoting Psychological Resilience in the U.S. Military Lisa S. Meredith, Cathy D. Sherbourne, Sarah J. Gaillot, Lydia Hansell, Hans V. Ritschard, Andrew M. Parker, Glenda Wrenn As U.S. service members deploy for extended periods on a repeated basis, their ability to cope with the stress of deployment may be challenged. Though a growing number of programs and strategies provided by the military and civilian sectors are available to encourage and support psychological resilience to stress for service members and families, little is known about the effectiveness of these programs on developing resilience. The authors present the results of a focused literature review designed to identify evidence-informed factors for promoting psychological resilience, review a subset of military resilience programs to determine the extent to which they included those evidence-informed factors, and present findings to assist the Department of Defense in promoting resilience among service members and their families. Contents Introduction, Study Objectives, and Approach • Literature and Expert Review to Identify Factors That Promote Resilience • Review of Programs for Promoting Resilience • Conclusions and Recommendations • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Psychology • Ethics and Military Profession • U.S. Defense Policy U.S. DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE 184 pp. • $21.00 pb • 2011 • MG-996-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5063-2 Uncertainty surrounding deployments, long work hours, and family separation causes significant stress on military personnel and has negative effects on retention. RAND’s Focus on the Well-Being of the Military, Veterans, and Their Families provides resources to help with a wide variety of challenges faced by military members, spouses, and their children, including readiness for deployment; quality and cost-effective health care for current and retired military personnel and their families; the mental health and cognitive needs of U.S. service members returning from Afghanistan and Iraq; the health and employment problems that hinder veterans’ reintegration into civilian life; the role of military spouses; and the need for military-sponsored child care. Explore these resources at www.rand.org/ feature/military-well-being.html www.rand.org The War Within Preventing Suicide in the U.S. Military Rajeev Ramchand, Joie D. Acosta, Rachel M. Burns, Lisa H. Jaycox, Christopher G. Pernin Since late 2001, U.S. military forces have been engaged in conflicts around the globe, most notably in Iraq and Afghanistan, that have exacted a substantial toll on soldiers, marines, sailors, and airmen. This toll goes beyond the well-publicized casualty figures; it extends to the stress that repetitive deployments can have on the individual service member and his or her family. This stress can manifest itself in different ways—increased divorce rates, spouse and child abuse, mental distress, substance abuse—but one of the most troubling manifestations is suicide, which is increasing across the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD). The increase in suicides among members of the military has raised concern among policymakers, military leaders, and the population at large. Although DoD and the military services have had efforts under way to deal with the increase in suicides among their members, the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Health Affairs asked R AND to review the current evidence detailing suicide epidemiology in the military, identify stateof-the-art suicide-prevention programs, describe and catalog suicide-prevention activities in DoD and across each service, and recommend ways to ensure that the activities in DoD and across each service reflect state-of-the-art prevention science. Contents Introduction • The Epidemiology of Suicide in the Military • Best Practices for Preventing Suicide • Suicide Prevention in the Department of Defense • Support for Suicide Prevention in the Department of Defense • Conclusions and Recommendations • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Psychology • Crisis Intervention • U.S. Defense Policy 228 pp. • $28.00 pb • 2011 • MG-953-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4971-1 See also Invisible Wounds of War on page 21. Scan the Quick Response (QR) codes on the following pages with your camera-enabled smartphone to explore additional RAND resources online. Don’t have a QR reader? Search for “QR scanner” in your smartphone’s app store. 5 New Titles • Health & Health Care • Infrastructure & Transportation Assessing the Performance of Military Treatment Facilities Nancy Nicosia, Barbara O. Wynn, John A. Romley Working to transform business practices within the Military Health System, the U.S. Department of Defense has considered setting targets for health care utilization in its military treatment facilities (MTFs) and rewarding or penalizing these facilities according to their performance. In this volume, the authors discuss the potential and limitations of using MTF utilization and costs as measures of MTF leaders’ performance. Contents Introduction • The Context for Assessing the Performance of Military Treatment Facilities • Performance Assessment in Health Care • Performance Assessment and MTF Size • Performance Assessment and Catastrophic Cases • Conclusions • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Health Care Administration • Military Leadership 138 pp. • $25.00 pb • 2011 • MG-803-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4777-9 Developing Military Health Care Leaders Insights from the Military, Civilian, and Government Sectors Sheila Nataraj Kirby, Julie A. Marsh, Jennifer Sloan McCombs, Harry J. Thie, Nailing Xia, Jerry M. Sollinger The current wartime environment, rising health care costs, and an increased focus on joint operations have led to recommendations for Military Health System (MHS) transformation. Lessons learned in the civilian and government sectors hold importance for transforming the way in which MHS identifies and develops health care officers with high leadership potential for senior executive positions. Contents Introduction • Conceptual Framework, Data, and Methods • How Military Health Care Leaders Are Currently Developed in the Services • Findings from Interviews with Military Health Care Leaders: A Cross-Case Analysis • Key Findings from Interviews with Leaders of Civilian Health Care Organizations • Case Study: The Veterans Health Administration’s Approach to Leader Development • Conclusions and Recommendations • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Health Care Administration • Military Leadership 280 pp. • $32.00 pb • 2011 • MG-967-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5007-6 Highway Infrastructure and the Economy Implications for Federal Policy Howard J. Shatz, Karin E. Kitchens, Sandra Rosenbloom, Martin Wachs “Overall, this is a great piece of work. It is eminently timely and relevant to large discussions of the future of U.S. transportation policy as well as the ongoing economy-boosting and job-creation discussions. It is wellresearched and reflective of the state of the relevant literature. It will be an enormous contribution to the debate.” —Robert Puentes, Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution The authors review the literature on the economic outcomes of highway infrastructure spending, which constitutes the largest share of federal spending on transportation infrastructure. They highlight the connections between highway spending and the economy and then analyze the literature to trace the effects that highway infrastructure has on productivity, output, and employment. Contents Introduction • The Effects of Highway Infrastructure on Economic Activity • A Meta-Analysis of the Literature Cited • Conclusions: Policy Implications and Future Research • Appendix CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Economics of Transportation • Politics of Urban Development 114 pp. • $24.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1049-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5213-1 The Option of an Oil Tax to Fund Transportation and Infrastructure Keith Crane, Nicholas Burger, Martin Wachs Federal spending on surface-transportation infrastructure outpaces federal taxes on gasoline and diesel fuel. Increasing fuel efficiency means that fuel-purchase expenditures have dropped, so real revenue generated from these taxes has declined. A percentage tax on crude oil and imported refinedpetroleum products consumed in the United States could fund U.S. transportation infrastructure. Contents Introduction • Why Tax Oil? • How Much Might Oil Be Taxed? • Who Would Pay the Tax? • Appendix CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Economics of Transportation 48 pp. • $15.00 pb • 2011 • OP-320-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5178-3 6 toll free 877.584.8642 New Titles • International Affairs Dilemmas of Intervention Social Science for Stabilization and Reconstruction Paul K. Davis, editor Contributors: Claude Berrebi, Christopher S. Chivvis, Paul K. Davis, Sarah Olmstead, Julie E. Taylor, Véronique Thelen, Stephen Watts, Elizabeth Wilke Governments intervening in postconflict states find themselves beset with numerous challenges and profound dilemmas: It is often unclear how to proceed because measures that may improve conditions in one respect may undermine them in another. This volume emphasizes that stabilization and reconstruction (S&R) success depends on success in each of four domains— political, social, security, and economic—highlighting their interactions and the idea that the failure of any component can doom S&R as a whole. The book focuses on a number of dilemmas—such as short- versus long-term goals—and suggests how these dilemmas can be confronted depending on context. Contents Introduction • Establishing Security • Establishing Favorable Political Conditions • Political Dilemmas of Stabilization and Reconstruction • Establishing Social Conditions of Trust and Cooperation • Establishing Desirable Economic Conditions • Dilemmas of Foreign Aid in PostConflict Areas • Final Observations Deterrence in an Age of Piracy Thérèse Delpech Foreword by James A. Thomson “This book grew out of a conversation that Thérèse Delpech and I had on the margins of a conference in 2007. She is among France’s most prominent scholars, analysts, and officials dealing with security issues, especially nuclear weapons. In that conversation, she told me that she had long admired the work on deterrence that was done in the 1950s and ’60s, much of it at RAND in Santa Monica. She lamented the fact that she had not encountered the same level of reflection on today’s deterrence challenges. . . . Thus, we hatched the plan for this book. . . . Thérèse has spelled out the need for revitalization of thinking about nuclear weapons, a challenge that we take seriously at RAND; reviewed the key concepts of past deterrence thinking and their development up to now; reviewed the key security challenges of today and their relations to nuclear weapons; demonstrated that some of the past concepts remain relevant to today; and urged the new generation of defense and security analysts to turn their attention to nuclear deterrence, much as she did 30 years ago.” —From the Foreword by James A. Thomson, R AND President and CEO (1989–2011) Contents Introduction • Why Is This Subject Important? • Concepts • Lessons from Crises • The Age of Small Powers • Ahead of Us: The Big Piracy Game? • Space and Cyber Deterrence • Conclusion CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Global Security Environment • Military Tactics and Theory 382 pp. • $47.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1119-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5249-0 Lessons from U.S. Allies in Security Cooperation with Third Countries Nuclear Arms and Control • International Military/Security Affairs 200 pp. • $24.50 pb • 2012 • MG-1103-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5930-7 See also Iran’s Nuclear Future and Coping with a Nuclearizing Iran on page 9, and Nuclear Deterrence in Europe on page 11. Jennifer D. P. Moroney, Celeste Ward Gventer, Stephanie Pezard, Laurence Smallman Several key U.S. allies engage in security cooperation, albeit on a smaller scale than the United States. To see what the U.S. Air Force can learn from these efforts, the authors examined how and why three allies—Australia, France, and the United Kingdom—provide security cooperation and highlight three key areas that could benefit from further collaboration: staff talks, exercises, and training followed by exercises. Contents Introduction • Australia’s Approach to Security Cooperation • France’s Approach to Security Cooperation • The United Kingdom’s Approach to Security Cooperation • Comparing the Case Studies • Conclusions and Recommendations • Appendixes JUPITERIMAGES The Cases of Australia, France, and the United Kingdom RAND is a nonprofit institution. Generous philanthropic contributions, combined with earnings from RAND’s endowment and operations, make possible RAND’s Investment in People and Ideas program, which is used to support innovative research on issues crucial to the policy debate but that reach beyond the boundaries of traditional client funding. For information about giving opportunities, please visit www.rand.org/giving.html CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Global Security Environment • International Political Science 154 pp. • $32.50 pb • 2011 • TR-972-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5262-9 www.rand.org 7 New Titles • International Affairs • Middle East Afghan Peace Talks A Primer James Shinn, James Dobbins “Jim Shinn and Jim Dobbins have prepared the perfect guide to an Afghan peace process, one which will help officials navigate their way toward an agreement and [help] observers understand what is going on. Theirs is a very realistic assessment of the obstacles in the path to peace, but the authors nevertheless make a strong case for setting out on the road, and [they] provide some very useful guideposts along the way.” —Lakhdar Brahimi, former head of the UN Mission in Afghanistan (2001–2004) “This well-informed and insightful primer for peace talks on Afghanistan provides a careful review of the prospects, parties, and their expected positions—and an outcome with factors influencing it—in a succinct and well-presented text. A must read for anyone interested in this critical and now emerging subject.” —Thomas R. Pickering, former Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs “A thoughtful and timely contribution on an important issue by two knowledgeable analysts and experienced practitioners.” —Zalmay Khalilzad, former U.S. Ambassador to Afghanistan (2003–2005) Air Operations in Israel’s War Against Hezbollah Learning from Lebanon and Getting It Right in Gaza Benjamin S. Lambeth “Ben Lambeth marries his masterful grasp of air warfare to a tough but fair audit of Israeli strategy that leaves little room for debate over the basics. . . . It would be hard to overstate its educational merit.” —Colin S. Gray, Professor of Strategic Studies, University of Reading “As always, Ben Lambeth’s research is wide-ranging and thorough, focusing here on the challenge of responding to asymmetric wars. . . . Ben Lambeth deserves great respect for his effort to appraise the many contending views in his assessment of that experience.” —Major General David Ivry, Commander, Israel Air Force (IAF) (1977–1982) “Ben Lambeth’s brilliant study correctly identifies lack of realistic strategy as the main cause of Israel’s disappointing 2006 Lebanon campaign. He masterfully shows that there are no silver-bullet substitutes for well-conceived, realistic combinedarms offensives.” —John F. Lehman, Secretary of the United States Navy (1981–1987) The objective of a negotiated peace in Afghanistan has been firmly embraced by most of the potential parties to a treaty. Arriving at an agreement about the sequencing, timing, and prioritization of peace terms is likely to be difficult, however, given the divergence in the parties’ interests and objectives. The U.S. objective in these negotiations should be a stable and peaceful Afghanistan that neither hosts nor collaborates with terrorists. The authors recommend that the United States seek the appointment of a United Nations–endorsed facilitator to promote agreement on such issues as a venue for the talks, participation, and the agenda. “Ben Lambeth, an internationally respected expert on air warfare, has known the IAF’s leaders for three decades and has flown in three types of fighters with the IAF. This important work was begun under my watch as the 18th Chief—with my strongest endorsement and support. His conclusions offer indispensable insights for American leaders and for our friends and allies around the world as we continue to refine our thinking regarding the uses of air power in meeting the challenges of the 21st century.” Contents Introduction • Ambivalence, Convergence, and Negotiation • The Actors • From Discussion to Negotiation to Implementation • The Terms of a Peace Accord • Conclusions and Recommendations Contents Introduction • Highlights of the Campaign • Key Israeli Air Accomplishments • Problems in Air Employment • The Winograd Commission’s Findings • Second Chance in Gaza • The Second Lebanon War Reconsidered • Conclusions CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: International Peacekeeping • Global Security Environment • U.S. Foreign Policy 126 pp. • $24.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1131-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5819-5 —General T. Michael “Buzz” Moseley, Chief of Staff, U.S. Air Force (2005–2008) CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Military Tactics and Theory • Development of Air Power • Middle East Studies 442 pp. • $34.00 pb • 2011 • MG-835-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5146-2 8 toll free 877.584.8642 New Titles • International Affairs • Middle East Iran’s Nuclear Future Critical U.S. Policy Choices Lynn E. Davis, Jeffrey Martini, Alireza Nader, Dalia Dassa Kaye, James T. Quinlivan, Paul Steinberg As Iran’s nuclear program evolves, policymakers will face a series of critical choices involving complex considerations and trade-offs. To be successful, the United States will need to find ways to influence Iran’s calculations of costs and benefits while also reassuring regional partners so as to reduce Gulf states’ potential interest in developing their own nuclear weapons and dissuade Israel from pursuing unilateral military actions. Contents Introduction • Influencing Iran • Dissuading Iran from Nuclear Weaponization • Deterring a Nuclear-Armed Iran • Reassuring U.S. Regional Partners • Approaches to Influencing Iran • Air Force Contributions and Preparing for the Future • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: U.S. Foreign Policy • Global Security Environment • Middle East Studies 152 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1087-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5175-2 The Next Supreme Leader Succession in the Islamic Republic of Iran Alireza Nader, David E. Thaler, S. R. Bohandy Only two men have held the position of Supreme Leader since the Islamic Republic of Iran was established in 1979: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his predecessor, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. As Khamenei ages and rumors of his ill health intensify, policymakers and analysts need to consider the various scenarios for succession, since the outcome will determine the Islamic Republic’s direction. This volume identifies three key factors that will shape succession of the next Supreme Leader and outlines five alternative scenarios for the post-Khamenei era. Contents Introduction • Factor 1: The Factional Balance of Power • Factor 2: The Prevailing View of Velayat-e Faghih • Factor 3: Khamenei’s Personal Network • Five Scenarios for Succession of the Supreme Leader in the Near Term • Succession of the Supreme Leader in the Longer Term • Concluding Remarks CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Middle East Studies • Global Security Environment 124 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1052-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5133-2 Coping with a Nuclearizing Iran James Dobbins, Alireza Nader, Dalia Dassa Kaye, Frederic Wehrey It is not inevitable that Iran will acquire nuclear weapons or even that it will gain the capacity to quickly produce them. Analysts continually push their estimates for such an event further into the future. Nevertheless, it is reasonable to assume that, some time in the coming decade, Iran will acquire such a capability. Although most scholarly studies have focused on how to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, what has so far been lacking is a policy framework for dealing with Iran before, after, and, indeed, during its crossing of the nuclear threshold. This book attempts to fill that gap, providing a midterm strategy for dealing with Iran that neither begins nor ends at the point at which Tehran acquires a nuclear weapon capability. It proposes an approach that neither acquiesces to a nuclear-armed Iran nor refuses to admit the possibility—indeed, the likelihood—of this occurring. Contents Introduction • U.S. Interests, Objectives, and Strategies • Iran’s Interests, Objectives, and Strategies • The Other Actors • U.S. Instruments and Iranian Vulnerabilities • Policy Alternatives • Coping with a Nuclearizing Iran CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Middle East Studies • Global Security Environment • International Conflict 154 pp. • $21.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1154-SRF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5865-2 Assessing the Effectiveness of the International Counterproliferation Program Jennifer D. P. Moroney, Aidan Kirby Winn, Jeffrey Engstrom, Joe Hogler, Thomas-Durell Young, Michelle Spencer The threat posed by the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) is among the central strategic national security challenges that the United States is facing. This report demonstrates how an assessment framework developed in previous R AND research can be applied to combating WMD programs by illustrating its utility for the International Counterproliferation Program. Contents Introduction • Adapting the Assessment Framework to Assess the International Counterproliferation Program • Applying the Framework to Assess the International Counterproliferation Program • Recommendations • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Global Security Environment • International Political Science 78 pp. • $22.50 pb • 2011 • TR-981-DTRA • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5259-9 www.rand.org 9 New Titles • International Affairs • Middle East Band of Brothers or Dysfunctional Family? A Military Perspective on Coalition Challenges During Stability Operations Russell W. Glenn During stability operations, coalitions must incorporate participation by government agencies other than the military, the indigenous government, and its population more than is expected during conventional combat operations. This book investigates challenges confronting coalitions today and considers potential solutions that include questioning the conception of what constitutes a coalition in today’s world. Core coalition objectives tend to be political rather than military in character and include counterinsurgency, nation building, developing government capacity, and providing humanitarian assistance—activities often associated with stability operations. Armed forces are not staffed or trained to meet the long-term demands of many of these tasks. Recent contingencies have also seen commercial enterprises, militias, intergovernmental organizations, and nongovernmental organizations become key participants in these undertakings. The result is coalitions of a size seldom seen and with a number of affiliations rarely, if ever, approached before the late 20th century. Contents Introduction • Supporting Case Studies: East Timor and the Balkans • Coalition Leadership: The Influence of Structure • Unity of Command During Coalition Operations • Selecting Coalition Leaders: Key Abilities • Recommendations and Conclusions CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Global Security Environment • International Political Science 156 pp. • $34.00 pb • 2011 • MG-903-JFCOM • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4769-4 Managing Arab-Kurd Tensions in Northern Iraq After the Withdrawal of U.S. Troops Larry Hanauer, Jeffrey Martini, Omar Al-Shahery To help U.S. policymakers prepare for the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq in late 2011, this paper presents options for mitigating the risks of Arab-Kurd conflict. The authors discuss measures to help Arabs and Kurds build trust and address local disputes, concluding that outstanding political and legal questions regarding northern Iraq must be resolved in order to avert violence in the long term. CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: International Peacekeeping • Middle East Studies 38 pp. • $14.50 pb • 2011 • OP-339-USFI • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5321-3 10 Reintegrating Afghan Insurgents Seth G. Jones The author examines reintegrating Taliban and other insurgents into their local communities in Afghanistan and outlines steps to facilitate that reintegration process, describing factors that increase the likelihood of reintegrating fighters, key options for fighters considering reintegration, and operational and tactical steps that should be taken when insurgents consider reintegration. Contents Introduction • Supporting Case Studies: East Timor and the Balkans • Coalition Leadership: The Influence of Structure • Unity of Command During Coalition Operations • Selecting Coalition Leaders: Key Abilities • Recommendations and Conclusions CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: International Peacekeeping • Middle East Studies 38 pp. • $15.00 pb • 2011 • OP-327-MCIA • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5138-7 Subnational Government in Afghanistan Michael Shurkin This primer on subnational government in Afghanistan is meant to inform efforts to strengthen local government in recently cleared areas by identifying various entities of local government and opportunities for improvement. Contents Introduction • The State of the Subnational State in Afghanistan • Opportunities for Progress • Conclusion CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Global Security Environment • Middle East Studies 38 pp. • $12.50 pb • 2011 • OP-318-MCIA • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5229-2 RAND Review, our flagship magazine, synthesizes RAND research on timely issues facing the world. Recent issues examined the legacy of the 9/11 terrorist attacks, gays in the military, rebuilding Haiti after the country’s devastating earthquake, aging baby boomers in the United States, and energy resiliency. Back issues are available online through 1994. To subscribe for free, visit www.rand.org/ publications/randreview.html toll free 877.584.8642 New Titles • International Affairs • Europe/NATO Risking NATO Testing the Limits of the Alliance in Afghanistan Andrew R. Hoehn, Sarah Harting NATO’s success in Afghanistan—or lack thereof—will have significant implications for the alliance itself. The authors examine the current mission in light of NATO’s history and with an eye toward the future. NATO faces a long and daunting list of issues that extends beyond the borders of the member countries. The alliance must confront them, however, because failure to do so would risk its long-term success and sustainability. Contents Introduction • The NATO That Once Was • Redefining NATO’s Role: 9/11 to Afghanistan • A Greater Role for NATO in Afghanistan • Risking NATO in Afghanistan • What Might Be Next for NATO? CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Global Security Environment • Foreign Policy Nuclear Deterrence in Europe Russian Approaches to a New Environment and Implications for the United States James T. Quinlivan, Olga Oliker Through a variety of policies and actions—including a new military doctrine adopted in February 2010—Russia has indicated the types of situations and threats that might cause it to resort to using nuclear weapons. This volume examines Russia’s evolving framework for nuclear deterrence and its implications for U.S. military operations in Europe. Contents Introduction • Elements of a Deterrent Framework • Russia’s Claimed Interests and Military Planning in Europe • An Emerging Russian Deterrent Framework? • Implications for the United States CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Russian Studies • U.S. Foreign Policy • Global Security Environment 110 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1075-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5214-8 108 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2010 • MG-974-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5011-3 RAND Europe, with offices in Cambridge, United Kingdom and Brussels, Belgium, conducts research and analysis to address challenges facing many European countries. RAND Europe research is available at www.randeurope.org, with the following titles also available as e-books from Amazon, Apple, Barnes and Noble, ebrary, and other global e-book vendors. Life After Lisbon Low Fertility in Europe Europe’s Challenges to Promote Labour Force Participation and Reduce Income Inequality Is There Still Reason to Worry? Christian van Stolk, Stijn Hoorens, Philipp-Bastian Brutscher, Priscillia Hunt, Flavia Tsang, Barbara Janta Stijn Hoorens, Jack Clift, Laura Staetsky, Barbara Janta, Stephanie Diepeveen, Molly Morgan Jones, Jonathan Grant 91 pp. • $9.95 e-book • 2011 • MG-1068-RE • 118 pp. • $9.95 e-book • 2011 • MG-1080-RE • eISBN: 978-0-8330-5948-2 eISBN: 978-0-8330-5949-9 Sustaining Key Skills in the UK Military Aircraft Industry Project Retrosight Matt Bassford, Hans Pung, Nigel Edgington, Tony Starkey, Kristin Weed, Mark V. Arena, James G. Kallimani, Gordon T. Lee, Obaid Younossi Understanding the Returns from Cardiovascular and Stroke Research: The Policy Report Steven Wooding, Stephen Hanney, Alexandra Pollitt, Martin Buxton, Jonathan Grant 168 pp. • $9.95 e-book • 2010 • MG-1023-MOD • 64 pp. • $9.95 e-book • 2011 • MG-1079-RS • eISBN: 978-0-8330-5955-0 eISBN: 978-0-8330-5952-9 Exploring Patterns of Behaviour in Violent Jihadist Terrorists The Cloud An Analysis of Six Significant Terrorist Conspiracies in the UK Understanding the Security, Privacy and Trust Challenges Lindsay Clutterbuck, Richard Warnes Neil Robinson, Lorenzo Valeri, Jonathan Cave, Tony Starkey, Hans Graux, Sadie Creese, Paul Hopkins 114 pp. • $9.95 e-book • 2011 • TR-923-ANT • 135 pp. • $9.95 e-book • 2011 • TR-933-EC • eISBN: 978-0-8330-5961-1 eISBN: 978-0-8330-5958-1 www.rand.org 11 New Titles • International Affairs • Asia • Latin America Ready for Takeoff China’s Advancing Aerospace Industry Roger Cliff, Chad J. R. Ohlandt, David Yang Assessing China’s aerospace capabilities, this book examines the extent to which China’s participation in commercial aerospace markets and supply chains is contributing to the improvement of those capabilities. The authors review China’s commercial aviation manufacturing capabilities, its commercial and military capabilities in space, government efforts to encourage foreign participation, transfers of foreign aerospace technology to China, the extent to which U.S. and other foreign aerospace firms depend on supplies from China, and the implications of these issues for U.S. security interests. Contents Introduction • China’s Commercial Aircraft Market • China’s Current Commercial Aircraft Production • The Role of Foreign Firms in the Development of China’s Commercial Aviation Manufacturing Industry • China’s Space Capabilities • Conclusions CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Asian Studies • Aerospace Science • Military Science 162 pp. • $24.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1100-UCESRC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5180-6 China and India, 2025 A Comparative Assessment Charles Wolf, Jr., Siddhartha Dalal, Julie DaVanzo, Eric V. Larson, Alisher Akhmedjonov, Harun Dogo, Meilinda Huang, Silvia Montoya China and India, the world’s two most populous countries, will exercise increasing influence in international affairs in the coming decades. This document assesses the relative prospects of China and India through 2025 in four domains: demography, macroeconomics, science and technology, and defense spending and procurement. In each domain, the authors try to answer the following questions: Who is ahead? By how much? And why? Contents Objectives, Background, Context • Population Trends in China and India: Demographic Dividend or Demographic Drag? • China-India: A Macroeconomic Assessment • Science and Technology • Chinese and Indian Defense and Defense Procurement Spending to 2025 • Conclusions and Implications • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Asian Studies • Populations • International Relations 170 pp. • $28.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1009-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5042-7 The Challenge of Violent DrugTrafficking Organizations An Assessment of Mexican Security Based on Existing RAND Research on Urban Unrest, Insurgency, and Defense-Sector Reform Christopher Paul, Agnes Gereben Schaefer, Colin P. Clarke Violent drug-trafficking organizations (VDTOs) in Mexico produce, transship, and deliver into the United States tens of billions of dollars worth of narcotics annually, but their activities are not limited to drug trafficking. VDTOs have also engaged in human trafficking, weapon trafficking, kidnapping, money laundering, extortion, bribery, racketeering, and assassinations. In an effort to clarify the scope and details of the challenges posed by these organizations, the authors assess the contemporary security situation in Mexico through the lens of existing R AND research on related issues, including urban instability and unrest, historical insurgencies, and defense-sector reform. Contents Introduction • Methods and Approach: Applying Existing R AND Research Tools to Mexico • Results from the R AND Mexican Security Delphi Exercise • Findings from the Urban Flashpoints Scorecard • Findings from the Counterinsurgency Scorecard • Findings from the Defense Sector Assessment Rating Tool Scorecard • Conclusions and Suggestions for Further Research CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Global Security Environment • Latin American History • U.S. Foreign Policy 108 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1125-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5827-0 The Latin American Drug Trade Scope, Dimensions, Impact, and Response Peter Chalk Transnational crime remains a particularly serious problem in Latin America, with most issues connected in some way to the drug trade. This book examines the scope and dimensions of Andean cocaine and heroin production; the main methods and land, air, and sea routes that are used to ship these narcotics between source, transit, and consumption countries; and the principal consequences that are associated with this particular manifestation of transnational crime. Contents Introduction • Production and Trafficking Routes • Main Players • Trafficking Vessels • Impact • U.S. Responses • Implications and Recommendations for the U.S. Air Force CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: U.S. Foreign Policy • Global Security Environment • Government and Politics of Latin America 112 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1076-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5179-0 12 toll free 877.584.8642 New Titles Running • Law Header & Business Asbestos Bankruptcy Trusts and Tort Compensation Lloyd Dixon, Geoffrey McGovern Payments by asbestos bankruptcy trusts have played an increasingly important role in compensating asbestos injuries and have become a matter of contention between plaintiff and defense attorneys. At issue is how tort cases take into consideration compensation paid by trusts and the evidence submitted in trust claim forms. This volume examines how such evidence and compensation are addressed by state laws and considered during court proceedings. The authors also examine how the establishment of the trusts potentially affects plaintiff compensation from trusts and the tort system combined, payments by defendants that remain solvent, and the compensation available to future, as compared to current, plaintiffs. Earthquake Insurance and Disaster Assistance The Effect of Catastrophe Obligation Guarantees on Federal Disaster-Assistance Expenditures in California Tom LaTourrette, James N. Dertouzos, Christina E. Steiner, Noreen Clancy The Catastrophe Obligation Guarantee Act, introduced in Congress in 2009, would authorize the federal government to provide committed loan guarantees to qualified state catastrophe-insurance programs. Proponents argue that lower-cost catastrophe insurance could reduce federal disasterassistance expenditures. This report estimates the law’s potential effects in California. Contents Introduction • Analysis Approach • Results • Appendix CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Property and Liability Insurance • Government and Business 42 pp. • $14.00 pb • 2010 • TR-896-CEA • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5095-3 Contents Introduction • Linkages Between the Trusts and Tort Cases in Six States • Potential Effects That Trusts Can Have on Total Plaintiff Compensation and Payments by Defendants That Remain Solvent • Conclusion • Appendixes Insurance Law • Torts • Business Law 110 pp. • $27.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1104-ICJ • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5834-8 Cold-Case Investigations An Analysis of Current Practices and Factors Associated with Successful Outcomes Robert C. Davis, Carl Jensen, Karin E. Kitchens Although the number of cold-case units and expenditures to fund them are increasing, little is known about the return on this investment. The authors discuss the status of cold-case investigations in the United States and examine factors associated with successful cold-case investigations. Their analysis reveals factors that predict whether a cold-case investigation will be successful and shows how cooperation between police and prosecutors can improve both the efficiency and effectiveness of cold-case investigations. BR AND X PICTURES CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: RAND Law, Business, and Regulation (LBR) research provides a foundation for effective policymaking by addressing some of the most controversial and challenging issues in civil justice and the business environment. Research has focused on liability, compensation, and insurance issues and has more recently expanded to include entrepreneurship, corporate ethics, and regulation. LBR research is supported by pooled grants from corporations, trade and professional associations, and individuals; by government grants and contracts; and by private foundations. For more information, visit lbr.rand.org Contents Introduction • Assessing Current Practices in Cold-Case Investigations • Case-File Analysis • Conclusions and Recommendations • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Police Sciences • Criminal Justice 84 pp. • $27.50 pb • 2011 • TR-948-NIJ • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5904-8 www.rand.org 13 New Titles Running • National Header Security Learning from Experience: Vol. I Lessons from the Submarine Programs of the United States, United Kingdom, and Australia John F. Schank, Frank W. Lacroix, Robert E. Murphy, Mark V. Arena, Gordon T. Lee Large, complex submarine design and construction programs demand personnel with unique skills and capabilities supplemented with practical experiences in their areas of expertise. The governments of the United States, the United Kingdom, and the Commonwealth of Australia asked the R AND Corporation to develop a set of lessons learned from previous submarine programs that could help inform future program managers. This volume presents an overview of five submarine programs in the three countries— the UK’s Astute program; the U.S. Navy’s Ohio, Seawolf, and Virginia programs; and Australia’s Collins program—and identifies lessons that apply to all of them. Keeping a Competitive U.S. Military Aircraft Industry Aloft Findings from an Analysis of the Industrial Base John Birkler, Paul Bracken, Gordon T. Lee, Mark A. Lorell, Soumen Saha, Shane Tierney For at least two decades, policymakers have expressed concerns that further consolidation could erode the competitive environment for military aircraft and degrade the industry’s abilities to develop, manufacture, and support innovative designs. This volume reviews a 2003 R AND evaluation of the risks and costs of the United States having little or no competition among fixed-wing military aircraft companies; examines changes in industrial-base structure and capabilities that have taken hold since that analysis was performed; and assesses how these and future changes will affect the industrial base. Contents Introduction • Top-Level Strategic Lessons • Lessons When Setting Operational Requirements • Lessons When Establishing an Acquisition and Contracting Environment • Lessons When Designing and Building the Submarine • Lessons for Integrated Logistics Support • Summarizing the Lessons Contents Introduction • The Current Status of the Fixed-Wing Military Aircraft Industrial Base in the United States • Fostering Innovation in a Changing Defense Industry: What We Can Learn from Commercial Trends • Prospects for Innovation and Competition in the Fixed-Wing Military Aircraft Industry: Programs of Record and Alternative Future Programs • Policy Options Open to the Department of Defense • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: International Military/Security Affairs Aerospace Science • U.S. Defense Establishment 76 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1128/1-NAVY • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5895-9 142 pp. • $32.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1133-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5864-5 Also available Advancing Aeronautics Learning from Experience: Vol. II Lessons from the U.S. Navy’s Ohio, Seawolf, and Virginia Submarine Programs John F. Schank, Cesse Ip, Frank W. Lacroix, Robert E. Murphy, Mark V. Arena, Kristy N. Kamarck, Gordon T. Lee 154 pp. • $25.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1128/2-NAVY • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5896-6 Learning from Experience: Vol. III Lessons from the United Kingdom’s Astute Submarine Program John F. Schank, Frank W. Lacroix, Robert E. Murphy, Cesse Ip, Mark V. Arena, Gordon T. Lee 104 pp. • $22.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1128/3-NAVY • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5897-3 Learning from Experience: Vol. IV Lessons from Australia’s Collins Submarine Program A Decision Framework for Selecting Research Agendas Philip S. Anton, Liisa Ecola, James G. Kallimani, Thomas Light, Chad J. R. Ohlandt, Jan Osburg, Raj Raman, Clifford A. Grammich What aeronautics research should the U.S. government support? What compelling and desirable benefits drive that research? How should the government make these decisions? The authors develop a unified decisionmaking approach for addressing these questions. Contents Introduction • Why and When Should the U.S. Government Invest in Aeronautics Research? • Different Approaches for Setting Research Directions • A Multidimensional Decision Framework for Prioritizing Aeronautics Research • Conclusions and Recommendations • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Aerospace Science • U.S. Defense Establishment • Military Science 160 pp. • $37.00 pb • 2011 • MG-997-NASA • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5019-9 John F. Schank, Cesse Ip, Kristy N. Kamarck, Robert E. Murphy, Mark V. Arena, Frank W. Lacroix, Gordon T. Lee 86 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1128/4-NAVY • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5898-0 14 toll free 877.584.8642 New Titles • National Security • Counterinsurgency From Insurgency to Stability: Vol. I Key Capabilities and Practices Angel Rabasa, John Gordon IV, Peter Chalk, Christopher S. Chivvis, Audra K. Grant, K. Scott McMahon, Laurel E. Miller, Marco Overhaus, Stephanie Pezard The first book of this two-volume set examines how countries confronting insurgencies transition from a high level of violence to a more stable situation. The authors identify the procedures and capabilities required in order to support the transition from counterinsurgency to stability and reconstruction operations. Successful post-counterinsurgency operations can ensure that lasting peace and stability will follow, rather than a relapse into violence. Contents Introduction • U.S. Interagency Planning and Implementation— Vision and Reality in 2010 • Military-to-Civilian Hand-Off of Security and Economic Operations • Disarmament, Demobilization, and Reintegration • Police and Justice Functions • The Contribution of International Partners • Conclusions and Recommendations • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Global Security Environment • Military Tactics and Theory 272 pp. • $32.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1111/1-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5299-5 From Insurgency to Stability: Vol. II Insights from Selected Case Studies Angel Rabasa, John Gordon IV, Peter Chalk, Audra K. Grant, K. Scott McMahon, Stephanie Pezard, Caroline Reilly, David Ucko, S. Rebecca Zimmerman This second volume examines six case studies of insurgencies from around the world to identify the key factors necessary for a successful transition. The authors review the causes of each insurgency and the key players involved and examine what the government did right—or wrong—to bring the insurgency to an end and to transition to stability. In each case, there was a need to understand the participants in the insurgency and the grievances and needs of the local population; to balance security needs with reforms in other areas; and to plan for the disarmament, demobilization, and reintegration of militias and government and insurgent forces. Contents Introduction • The Philippines • Counterinsurgency Transition Case Study: Colombia • Counterinsurgency Transition Case Study: El Salvador • The Tuareg Insurgency in Mali, 2006–2009 • The Transition in Al-Anbar, Iraq • Afghanistan • Conclusion • Appendix Building Afghanistan’s Security Forces in Wartime The Soviet Experience Olga Oliker The outcome of the counterinsurgency campaign being waged by U.S. and coalition forces in Afghanistan hinges, in large measure, on the effectiveness of the assistance provided to Afghan security forces. This book provides an overview of Soviet efforts to improve the training and development of Afghan security forces from 1920 to 1989, with specific focus on the period of the Soviet military presence in Afghanistan from 1979 to 1989. The author concludes with lessons for ongoing security force assistance in Afghanistan. Contents Introduction • Historical Overview: 20th-Century Security Aid to Afghanistan Before the Soviet Invasion • The Soviet Advisory Mission in the 1980s: Senior Leadership and Reporting Channels • Ministry of Interior and Khadamat-e Etela’at-e Dawlati Security Forces During the 1980s • The Afghan Military • Militias and Other Forces • Afghan Security Forces Challenges and Responses • The Soviet Decision to Withdraw and the Legacy of Soviet Efforts to Build Afghan Security Forces • Conclusion: Parallels, Disconnects, and What the International Security Assistance Force Can Learn from the Soviet Experience CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: International Political Science • Global Security Environment 126 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1078-A • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5168-4 Security Force Assistance in Afghanistan Identifying Lessons for Future Efforts Terrence K. Kelly, Nora Bensahel, Olga Oliker Security force assistance (SFA) is a central pillar of the counterinsurgency campaign being waged by U.S. and coalition forces in Afghanistan. This volume analyzes SFA efforts in Afghanistan over time, documents U.S. and international approaches to building Afghan security forces, and provides observations and recommendations. Contents Introduction • Overview of Security Force Assistance During the Coalition Era, 2001–2009 • Observations About Recent SFA Efforts in Afghanistan • A Framework for SFA and Assessing SFA During Conflict • Implications of SFA in Afghanistan for the U.S. Army • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Military Tactics and Theory • Middle East Studies • Global Security Environment 160 pp. • $29.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1066-A • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5211-7 CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Global Security Environment • Military Tactics and Theory 320 pp. • $36.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1111/2-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5314-5 www.rand.org 15 New Titles • Population & Aging • Public Safety Global Demographic Change and Its Implications for Military Power Martin C. Libicki, Howard J. Shatz, Julie E. Taylor What is the impact of demographics on the prospective production of military power and the causes of war? This book projects workingage populations through 2050; reviews the influence of demographics on manpower, national income and expenditures, and human capital; and examines how changes in these factors may affect the ability of states to carry out military missions. The authors also look at implications of these changes for other aspects of international security. Contents Introduction • Numbers • Long-Term Trends in National GDP • The Economic Burden of Aging Populations • The Influence of Demographics on the Causes of War • The Impact of Demographic Trends on Military Power Projection • Implications • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: The Nongovernmental Sector in Disaster Resilience Conference Recommendations for a Policy Agenda Joie D. Acosta, Anita Chandra, Sally Sleeper, Benjamin Springgate Nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) are instrumental in improving communities’ resilience to natural and man-made disasters. These proceedings summarize three interrelated conference sessions that R AND researchers convened in order to generate a national policy agenda for solving challenges to involving NGOs in disaster response and recovery and to identify potential policy and program recommendations. Contents Introduction • A National Policy Agenda to Improve Nongovernmental Organizations’ Involvement in Disaster Response and Recovery • Session 1 Summary: The Role of NGOs in Disaster Response and Recovery • Session 2 Summary: The Role of NGOs in Supporting Displaced and Returned Populations • Session 3 Summary: The Role of NGOs in Postdisaster Mental Health Services and Psychological Recovery • Future Research Opportunities • Next Steps and Conclusion • Appendix Demography • Populations • International Relations CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: 170 pp. • $32.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1091-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5177-6 Public Services and Resource Management • Government and Business Moving Toward the Future of Policing Gregory F. Treverton, Matt Wollman, Elizabeth Wilke, Deborah Lai Some police forces believe that they will operate 20 years from now much as they do today, but advances in technology and operating concepts are driving significant changes in day-to-day police operations. This book explores potential visions of the future of policing, based on the drivers of jurisdiction, technology, and threat, and includes concrete steps for implementation. Contents Framing the Future • Policing Today • Crime Does Not Respect Jurisdiction • The Technology Revolution Enables Change • The Threat Will Continue to Morph • Concepts of Operations Are Critical • Moving Toward the Vision CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Police Sciences • Criminal Justice 182 pp. • $28.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1102 • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5320-6 52 pp. • $14.50 pb • 2011 • CF-282-ALLF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5215-5 Building Community Resilience to Disasters A Way Forward to Enhance National Health Security Anita Chandra, Joie D. Acosta, Stefanie Stern, Lori Uscher-Pines, Malcolm V. Williams, Douglas Yeung, Jeffrey Garnett, Lisa S. Meredith This report provides a road map for leaders seeking to enhance community resilience for health security threats. Contents Introduction • Definition and Application of Community Resilience • Wellness: Promote Population Health Before and After an Incident, Including Behavioral Health • Access: Ensure Access to High-Quality Health, Behavioral Health, and Social Resources and Services • Education: Ensure Ongoing Information to the Public About Preparedness, Risks, and Resources Before, During, and After a Disaster • Engagement: Promote Participatory Decisionmaking in Planning, Response, and Recovery Activities • Self-Sufficiency: Enable and Support Individuals and Communities to Assume Responsibility for Their Preparedness • Partnership: Develop Strong Partnerships Within and Between Government and Other Organizations • Quality: Collect, Analyze, and Utilize Data to Monitor and Evaluate Progress on Building Community Resilience • Efficiency: Leverage Existing Community Resources for Maximum Use and Effectiveness • Future Directions: Implementation, Measurement, and Next Steps • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Public Services and Resource Management • Health Care Delivery and Systems 102 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2011 • TR-915-DHHS • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5195-0 16 toll free 877.584.8642 New Titles • Terrorism & Homeland Security Alert and Ready An Organizational Design Assessment of Marine Corps Intelligence Christopher Paul, Harry J. Thie, Katharine Watkins Webb, Stephanie Young, Colin P. Clarke, Susan G. Straus, Joya Laha, Christine Osowski, Chad C. Serena Over the past decade, especially, U.S. Marine Corps (USMC) intelligence has had to tailor its organization to meet the evolving demands of the operational environment. This has resulted in a variety of ad hoc arrangements, practices, and organizations. This broad review of the organizational design of USMC intelligence examines how to align it efficiently and effectively with current and future missions and functions and includes recommendations to help improve the “fit” of USMC intelligence organizations with their environmental context through realignment or restructuring. Contents Introduction • Approach • Current Organization of Marine Corps Intelligence • Literature on Organizational Design and Analytic Framework • Strategic Intent and Organizational Assessment: USMC Intelligence Strategy, Plans, Doctrine • Issue Identification and Analysis of Data • Alternative Structures and Their Assessment • Addressing Remaining Marine Corps Intelligence Issues • Conclusions and Recommendations • Appendixes The Long Shadow of 9/11 America’s Response to Terrorism Brian Michael Jenkins, John Godges, editors “The attacks on 9/11 set in motion a great array of changes in America. These essays capture this upheaval, but better still they do something RAND is so well positioned to do: They provide expert assessments of where our responses are strong, where they have fallen short, and how we need to change yet more.” —Honorable Richard J. Danzig, former U.S. Secretary of the Navy and chair of the Center for a New American Security “This book will make a significant contribution to our understanding of the past ten years and inform decisions about where we should go from here. It’s a much-needed call to mark this anniversary by reassessing those things we now accept as common wisdom. The perspectives and insights in these essays are inadequately reflected in the current discussion and debate.” —Suzanne E. Spaulding, Executive Director of the National Commission on Terrorism, Executive Director of the Commission to Assess the Organization of the Federal Government to Combat the Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: International Intelligence • U.S. Defense Establishment • Military Tactics and Theory 226 pp. • $32.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1108-USMC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5260-5 Listen to RAND’s popular policy forums and other programs with the Events@RAND podcast series, a free audio series offering new insights and evidence-based perspectives on top policy concerns. To subscribe via iTunes or your favorite podcast application or feed reader, visit www.rand.org/multimedia/podcasts/ events-at-rand.html In a series of essays, R AND authors lend a farsighted perspective to the dialogue on 9/11’s legacy; assess the military, political, fiscal, social, cultural, psychological, and moral implications of U.S. policymaking since 9/11; and suggest options for effectively dealing with the terrorist threat in the future. Contents Introduction: The Shadow of 9/11 Across America • Part One: Humbled by Hubris • The Costs of Overreaction • A Long-Overdue Adaptation to the Afghan Environment • Lessons from the Tribal Areas • The Iraq War: Strategic Overreach by America—and Also al Qaeda • Part Two: Hopeful amid Extreme Ideologies and Intense Fears • Where Are We in the “War of Ideas”? • Al Qaeda’s Propaganda: A Shifting Battlefield • Have We Succumbed to Nuclear Terror? • Part Three: Torn Between Physical Battles and Moral Conflicts • Winning Every Battle but Losing the War Against Terrorists and Insurgents • The Strategic Dilemma of Terrorist Havens Calls for Their Isolation, Not Elimination • Our Own Behavior Can Be Our Weakest Link—or Our Strongest Weapon • Part Four: Driven by Unreasonable Demands • Don’t Let Short-Term Urgency Undermine a Long-Term Security Strategy • Flight of Fancy? Air Passenger Security Since 9/11 • The Intelligence of Counterterrorism • Part Five: Inspired to Build a Stronger America • The Public Health System in the Wake of 9/11: Progress Made and Challenges Remaining • The Link Between National Security and Compensation for Terrorism Losses • The Land of the Fearful, or the Home of the Brave? CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Terrorism and International Conflict • Global Security Environment 222 pp. • $19.95 pb • 2011 • MG-1107-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5833-1 This title is also available as an enhanced e-book for the Apple iPad and the Barnes and Noble Nook Color. www.rand.org 17 New Titles • Workforce in the Military A New Approach for Assessing the Needs of Service Members and Their Families New Tools and Metrics for Evaluating Army Distributed Learning Laura L. Miller, Bernard D. Rostker, Rachel M. Burns, Dionne Barnes-Proby, Sandraluz Lara-Cinisomo, Terry R. West Susan G. Straus, Michael G. Shanley, Douglas Yeung, Jeff Rothenberg, Elizabeth D. Steiner, Kristin J. Leuschner The authors developed a new methodological framework for assessing military personnel and military family needs that fills a gap not currently being met. The framework places personnel and spouse perceptions of problems and needs and the prioritization of those problems and needs at the center of the analysis. This monograph describes the development and testing of a survey tool based on that framework that the Department of Defense and local military commanders can use to gauge the problems and problem-related needs of service members and their families, how well those needs are being met, and the barriers and bridges to accessing services. It discusses how this approach differs from others, the challenges to implementing such a survey, and the value of the survey results to different types of military leaders and support service professionals. The framework could be applied to other types of research questions, such as the problems, needs, and resources for military personnel serving in war zones, and the content of the survey could be modified to address other populations, such as wounded service members. A sample survey is included as an appendix. The authors develop and test new tools and metrics to assess distributed learning (DL), a key element of the Army’s training strategy, while documenting the impact of Army DL courses at the program level. Results point to the need for changes in policies and procedures to improve the effectiveness of Army DL. These studies also demonstrate the feasibility of evaluating DL within the Army and suggest that a more comprehensive program of assessment, better supported by the Army’s information systems, could provide major benefits to the The Army DL Program. Contents Introduction and Study Overview • Background: DoD’s Policy Toward Military Members and Their Families over Time • Development of the Service Member and Family Needs Survey • Developing the Service Member and Family Needs Survey Structure • Testing, Refining, and Assessing the Relative Value of a Prototype Instrument • Implementation Challenges • Potential Contributions of the New Methodology • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Ethics and Military Profession • U.S. Defense Policy 156 pp. • $29.50 • 2011 • MG-1124-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5874-4 The Effect of Military Enlistment on Earnings and Education David S. Loughran, Paco Martorell, Trey Miller, Jacob Alex Klerman Contents Introduction • Surveys of Students’ Experiences in DL • Knowledge Retention of DL Material in the Phased Approach to Training • Feasibility of Using Army Information Systems to Collect Training Evaluation Data • Conclusion • Appendixes CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Methods of Education Research • Military Tactics and Theory 202 pp. • $26.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1072-A • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5212-4 Developing U.S. Army Officers’ Capabilities for Joint, Interagency, Intergovernmental, and Multinational Environments M. Wade Markel, Henry A. Leonard, Charlotte Lynch, Christina Panis, Peter Schirmer, Carra S. Sims Based on interviews and focus groups, this monograph identifies and describes the knowledge, skills, and abilities that enable Army officers to succeed in joint, interagency, intergovernmental, and multinational contexts. Researchers identified the kinds of assignments that develop the needed capabilities and used inventory modeling to assess the Army’s ability to develop and maintain a cadre of properly qualified officers. Each year, more than 150,000 young men and women enlist in the active component of the U.S. military. The authors estimate, for as many as 18 years following enlistment, the causal effect of military service on labor market and educational outcomes, finding that military enlistment increases earnings in both the short and long term. Contents Introduction • Identifying and Describing Knowledge, Skills, and Abilities Associated with the Joint, Interagency, Intergovernmental, and Multinational Domains • Identifying Developmental Opportunities • Developing Army Expertise in the Joint, Interagency, Intergovernmental, and Multinational Domains • Summary and Conclusions • Appendixes Contents Introduction • Methods and Data • The Effect of Army Enlistment on Labor Market Earnings • The Effect of Army Enlistment on Educational Attainment • Conclusion • Appendix Military Leadership • Military Tactics and Theory CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: 170 pp. • $22.00 pb • 2011 • MG-990-A • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5031-1 CONSIDER FOR COURSES IN: Labor Economics • U.S. Defense Policy 78 pp. • $27.50 pb • 2011 • TR-995-A • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5823-2 18 toll free 877.584.8642 Children & Families • Education & the Arts Children & Families An Outcome Evaluation of the SFK Success for Kids Program Nicole Maestas, Sarah J. Gaillot This report presents results from a multisite, quantitative evaluation of the international Success for Kids (SFK) afterschool program, which seeks to build resilience in children by teaching them to access inner resources and build positive connections with others. The authors found that the program had beneficial effects on adaptive skills, behavioral problems, and school-related outcomes, even though SFK is not an academic intervention. 70 pp. • $17.00 pb • 2010 • TR-575-1-SFK • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5124-0 “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Reparable Harm Assessing and Addressing Disparities Faced by Boys and Men of Color in California Lois M. Davis, M. Rebecca Kilburn, Dana Schultz “This book is a wonderful addition to the documentation of disparities experienced by Latino and black males and begins to suggest potential interventions to improve opportunities for them in California.” —Robert Valdez, Executive Director of the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Center for Health Policy; Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Professor of Family and Community Medicine and Economics at the University of New Mexico Education & the Arts “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Hours of Opportunity: Vol. 1 Lessons from Five Cities on Building Systems to Improve After-School, Summer School, and Other Out-ofSchool-Time Programs Susan J. Bodilly, Jennifer Sloan McCombs, Nate Orr, Ethan Scherer, Louay Constant, Daniel Gershwin A Wallace Foundation–sponsored initiative aimed to help five cities increase collaboration, access, quality, information sharing, and sustainability in their out-of-school-time systems. This first volume describes the cities’ early work under the grant, the conditions and activities that contributed to progress, how city context affected the approaches implemented, and the effectiveness of these approaches. 102 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2010 • MG-1037-WF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5048-9 Hours of Opportunity: Vol. 2 The Power of Data to Improve After-School Programs Citywide Jennifer Sloan McCombs, Nate Orr, Susan J. Bodilly, Scott Naftel, Louay Constant, Ethan Scherer, Daniel Gershwin The second volume describes how the grantees and three other cities used management information systems to collect and use data on out-of-school-time programs, including enrollment, attendance, and student outcomes. 116 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2010 • MG-1037/1-WF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5049-6 126 pp. • $55.00 pb • 2009 • MG-745-TCE • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4561-4 “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Early Childhood Interventions Proven Results, Future Promise Lynn A. Karoly, M. Rebecca Kilburn, Jill S. Cannon This volume considers the potential consequences of withholding investment in early childhood intervention programs for children, the range of available programs, the demonstrated benefits and features of successful programs, and the social returns associated with investing early in the lives of disadvantaged children. 200 pp. • $24.00 pb • 2005 • MG-341-PNC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-3836-4 www.rand.org For more than a decade, the RAND Corporation has collaborated with leading e-book retailers and wholesalers in order to bring RAND’s cutting-edge research to a wider audience. RAND partners with Bookshare to provide accessible books for individuals with print disabilities and with the Copyright Clearance Center for licensing of RAND content to academic institutions. 19 Education & the Arts • Energy & Environment Reauthorizing No Child Left Behind Facts and Recommendations Brian M. Stecher, Georges Vernez, with Paul Steinberg The authors recommend changes to the No Child Left Behind Act of 2001, including more-uniform state academic standards and teacher requirements, as well as broader measures of student learning, such as more subjects and tests of higher thinking and problem-solving skills. “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Cultivating Demand for the Arts Arts Learning, Arts Engagement, and State Arts Policy Laura Zakaras, Julia F. Lowell This volume offers a new framework for thinking about supply and demand in the arts, suggesting that too little attention has been paid to cultivating demand relative to expanding supply. 96 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2010 • MG-977-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4959-9 150 pp. • $30.50 pb • 2008 • MG-640-WF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4184-5 “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Gifts of the Muse Improving School Leadership The Promise of Cohesive Leadership Systems Catherine H. Augustine, Gabriella C. Gonzalez, Gina Schuyler Ikemoto, Jennifer Russell, Gail L. Zellman, Louay Constant, Jane Armstrong, Jacob W. Dembosky This volume assesses efforts to create more-cohesive policies and initiatives that improve instructional leadership in schools; describes how states and districts have worked together to forge such initiatives; and examines whether cohesive systems do indeed improve school leadership. 178 pp. • $32.00 pb • 2009 • MG-885-WF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4891-2 Support for Students Exposed to Trauma The SSET Program Reframing the Debate about the Benefits of the Arts Kevin F. McCarthy, Elizabeth Heneghan Ondaatje, Laura Zakaras, Arthur Brooks “I strongly support the central message of Gifts of the Muse. Although the arts bestow important secondary benefits— economic, educational, social, and therapeutic—it is their intrinsic value that makes them essential and irreplaceable. The arts enhance, enlarge, and awaken our humanity in ways no other activities can equal.” —Dana Gioia, Chairman, National Endowment for the Arts 124 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2004 • MG-218-WF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-3694-0 Lisa H. Jaycox, Audra Langley, Kristin L. Dean This volume presents a series of ten teacher- or school counselor–led lessons aimed at reducing distress for middle school students who have been exposed to a traumatic life event, such as violence. 198 pp. • $40.00 pb • 2009 • TR-675-NIMH • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4732-8 “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Charter Schools in Eight States Effects on Achievement, Attainment, Integration, and Competition Ron Zimmer, Brian Gill, Kevin Booker, Stephane Lavertu, Tim R. Sass, John Witte This monograph examines the characteristics of charter-school students, charter schools’ effectiveness in raising student achievement and promoting graduation and college entry, and the schools competitive effects on student achievement in traditional public schools. 160 pp. • $25.00 pb • 2009 • MG-869-BMG/JOY/WPF • ISBN: 978-0-83304693-2 Mathematical Proficiency for All Students Toward a Strategic Research and Development Program in Mathematics Education RAND Mathematics Study Panel, Deborah Loewenberg Ball, Chair This volume proposes a program focused on the development of teachers’ mathematical knowledge; teaching and learning skills for mathematical thinking and problem-solving; and teaching and learning algebra from kindergarten through grade 12. 122 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2003 • MR-1643-OERI • ISBN: 978-0-8330-3331-4 Energy & Environment Natural Gas and Israel’s Energy Future Near-Term Decisions from a Strategic Perspective Steven W. Popper, Claude Berrebi, James Griffin, Thomas Light, Endy Y. Min, Keith Crane This volume discusses the opportunities and risks that the government of Israel faces in shifting to a greater reliance on domestic and imported natural gas. 186 pp. • $38.00 pb • 2009 • MG-927-YSNFF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4886-8 20 toll free 877.584.8642 Energy & Environment • Health & Health Care “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Imported Oil and U.S. National Security Keith Crane, Andreas Goldthau, Michael Toman, Thomas Light, Stuart E. Johnson, Alireza Nader, Angel Rabasa, Harun Dogo In 2007, on a net basis, the United States imported 58 percent of the oil it consumed. The authors critically evaluate commonly suggested links between these imports and U.S. national security and assess the economic, political, and military costs and benefits of potential policies to alleviate imported oil–related challenges to U.S. national security. 126 pp. • $38.50 pb • 2009 • MG-838-USCC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4700-7 Health & Health Care Winner, 2008 PROSE Award for Excellence in Clinical Medicine, an American Publishers Award for Professional and Scholarly Excellence “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Invisible Wounds of War Psychological and Cognitive Injuries, Their Consequences, and Services to Assist Recovery “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association The Role of Faith-Based Organizations in HIV Prevention and Care in Central America Kathryn Pitkin Derose, David E. Kanouse, David P. Kennedy, Kavita Patel, Alice Taylor, Kristin J. Leuschner, Homero Martinez Although faith-based organizations (FBOs) have played an important role in delivering health and social services in developing countries, little research has been done on their role in the prevention of and care for people with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), particularly in Latin America. The authors describe FBO involvement in HIV/AIDS in three Central American countries hard hit by this epidemic—Belize, Guatemala, and Honduras—and discuss such issues as the unwillingness of some FBOs to discuss condom use and their lack of experience in evaluating the impact of programs. 122 pp. • $24.00 pb • 2010 • MG-891-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4953-7 Also available: The Role of Faith-Based Organizations in HIV Prevention and Care in Central America (Spanish translation) 128 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2010 • MG-891/1-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4999-5 Terri Tanielian, Lisa H. Jaycox, editors “This work is monumental and should be read by those who can begin considering and implementing its recommendations.” —Ronald R. Blanck, D.O. (Lieutenant General, U.S. Army, Retired), Vice Chairman of Martin, Blanck, and Associates; Former Surgeon General of the U.S. Army This volume presents the findings from a comprehensive study of the post-deployment health-related needs associated with post-traumatic stress disorder, major depression, and traumatic brain injury among service members returning from Operations Enduring Freedom and Iraqi Freedom. Establishing a Research and Evaluation Capability for the Joint Medical Education and Training Campus Sheila Nataraj Kirby, Julie A. Marsh, Harry J. Thie The goals of the joint medical education and training campus (METC) at Fort Sam Houston, Texas, are to become a highperforming organization and seek accreditation. Models and approaches adopted by institutions with similar missions— such as community colleges, corporate universities, METC’s UK counterpart, and other federal agencies—illustrate the need for an office of institutional research to assist METC in attaining its organizational goals. 130 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2011 • MG-981-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5064-9 498 pp. • $55.50 pb • 2008 • MG-720-CCF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4454-9 Also available: Invisible Wounds of War Summary and Recommendations for Addressing Psychological and Cognitive Injuries 64 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2008 • MG-720/1-CCF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4453-2 Achieving Strong Teamwork Practices in Hospital Labor and Delivery Units Donna O. Farley, Melony E. Sorbero, Susan L. Lovejoy, Mary Salisbury To learn how hospital labor and delivery units can achieve effective and sustainable teamwork, the authors studied five units as they implemented teamwork improvements over a one-year period. The authors identify some key factors required by any given strategy for teamwork improvement. 148 pp. • $22.00 pb • 2010 • TR-842-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5055-7 www.rand.org 21 Infrastructure & Transportation Running Header • International Affairs Building Bridges International Affairs Lessons from a Pittsburgh Partnership to Strengthen Systems of Care for Maternal Depression Donna J. Keyser, Ellen Burke Beckjord, Ray Firth, Sarah Frith, Susan L. Lovejoy, Sanjith Pillai, Dana Schultz, Harold Alan Pincus The authors assess the creation of the Allegheny County (Pa.) Maternal Depression Initiative, how it was implemented and evaluated, and the results and lessons learned. 234 pp. • $45.00 pb • 2010 • MG-973-UPMCFY • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5006-9 Harnessing Full Value from the DoD Serum Repository and the Defense Medical Surveillance System Melinda Moore, Elisa Eiseman, Gail Fisher, Stuart S. Olmsted, Preethi R. Sama, John A. Zambrano The Army manages the Department of Defense Serum Repository of more than 43 million serum samples and the associated Defense Medical Surveillance System database, whose primary use is for military health surveillance. The authors examined the current capabilities of these resources to identify gaps and suggest strategies to improve their ability to meet current and future military health needs. 156 pp. • $30.00 pb • 2010 • MG-875-A • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4910-0 Developing a Prototype Handbook for Monitoring and Evaluating Department of Defense Humanitarian Assistance Projects Marla C. Haims, Melinda Moore, Harold D. Green, Jr., Cynthia Clapp-Wincek Project assessment is central to ensuring that U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) humanitarian assistance projects are compatible with broader policy goals. R AND researchers developed a prototype handbook to provide project staff with an introduction to monitoring and evaluation terms, approaches, and best practices and a step-by-step user’s guide for project assessment. 124 pp. • $26.00 pb • 2011 • TR-784-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5128-8 Radical Islam in East Africa Angel Rabasa The author places the spread of militant Islamism and the development of radical Islamist networks in East Africa in the broader context of the social, economic, and political factors that have shaped the region’s security environment. 110 pp. • $31.50 pb • 2009 • MG-782-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4519-5 Infrastructure & Transportation “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Moving Los Angeles Short-Term Policy Options for Improving Transportation Paul Sorensen, Martin Wachs, Endy Y. Min, Aaron Kofner, Liisa Ecola, Mark Hanson, Allison Yoh, Thomas Light, James Griffin “A storehouse of information that will assist transportation planners and policymakers for many years . . . providing an insightful overview of the congestion phenomenon and conditions in Los Angeles County.” —Richard W. Willson, Ph.D., Fellow of the American Institute of Certified Planners; Professor and Chair, Department of Urban and Regional Planning, California State Polytechnic University, Pomona 714 pp. • $35.00 pb • 2008 • MG-748-JAT/METRO/MCLA • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4555-3 Securing America’s Passenger-Rail Systems The Pardee RAND Graduate School (PRGS) is the only graduate program in policy analysis specializing exclusively in the doctorate degree and the only one based at a public policy research organization—the RAND Corporation. Equipped with sophisticated analytic training, PRGS graduates are working to be the answer in government, businesses, and communities around the world. PRGS was founded in 1970 as one of the original graduate programs created to train future leaders in the public and private sectors in policy analysis. With approximately one hundred enrolled students, and a faculty–student ratio of 2:1, PRGS is a small, focused educational institution that offers exceptional training, unparalleled mentoring, and access to some of the world’s leading policy practitioners. Be the answer, visit PRGS online at www.prgs.edu Jeremy M. Wilson, Brian A. Jackson, Mel Eisman, Paul Steinberg, K. Jack Riley This volume provides a framework for rail-security planners and policymakers to guide cost-effective planning and focuses on addressing vulnerabilities and limiting consequences. 142 pp. • $28.00 pb • 2007 • MG-705-NIJ • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4117-3 22 toll free 877.584.8642 International Affairs • Nation-Building The Maritime Dimension of International Security “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Terrorism, Piracy, and Challenges for the United States The Beginner’s Guide to Nation-Building Peter Chalk James Dobbins, Seth G. Jones, Keith Crane, Beth Cole DeGrasse Although the United States has spearheaded several important initiatives to improve maritime security, the author urges four additional measures to safeguard the world’s oceans from piracy and seaborne terrorism. “The United States and the United Nations have, with increasing frequency, embarked on military interventions and nation-building operations that have become larger, longer, and more ambitious. Dobbins and his associates at RAND have led the way in reflecting on these experiences in an effort to find lessons for the future.” 80 pp. • $23.00 pb • 2008 • MG-697-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4299-6 Ungoverned Territories Understanding and Reducing Terrorism Risks Angel Rabasa, Steven Boraz, Peter Chalk, Kim Cragin, Theodore W. Karasik, Jennifer D. P. Moroney, Kevin A. O’Brien, John E. Peters “[This] study of failed or failing states and ungoverned areas that serve as incubation sites for any number of terrorist organizations . . . stands alone as one of the few works in years to not only identify the myriad of challenges arising from these areas, but for actually presenting strategies based on a solid analytical framework capable of countering such threats. The book is a strong contender for the libraries of any reader concerned with America’s role in the war on international terrorism.” —Parameters, the U.S. Army War College quarterly 396 pp. • $44.00 pb • 2007 • MG-561-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4152-4 Nation-Building “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Occupying Iraq A History of the Coalition Provisional Authority James Dobbins, Seth G. Jones, Benjamin Runkle, Siddharth Mohandas “Occupying Iraq does not whitewash the [Coalition Provisional Authority’s (CPA’s)] problems or its policies. Rather, it sheds light and provides insider comment on its more controversial actions—the disbanding of the Iraqi army and de-Baathification, for example. Occupying Iraq is a serious work and a must-read that pushes discussion of the CPA forward.” —Foreign Affairs 328 pp. • $35.00 pb • 2007 • MG-557-SRF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-3988-0 The UN’s Role in Nation-Building From the Congo to Iraq James Dobbins, Seth G. Jones, Keith Crane, Andrew Rathmell, Brett Steele, Richard Teltschik, Anga R. Timilsina “Highly recommended.” —Choice 318 pp. • $35.00 pb • 2005 • MG-304-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-3589-9 America’s Role in Nation-Building From Germany to Iraq James Dobbins, John G. McGinn, Keith Crane, Seth G. Jones, Rollie Lal, Andrew Rathmell, Rachel M. Swanger, Anga R. Timilsina “The policy recommendations contained in this study should be taken to heart and then further researched and refined for future use. . . . Its main messages are utterly in accord with the broader experiences of the peace-building community.” —International Affairs “When [Dobbins] offers a critique of the [George W.] Bush administration’s nation-building effort in Iraq, it is worth paying attention.” —New York Times 280 pp. • $35.00 pb • 2003 • MR-1753-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-3460-1 See also Dilemmas of Intervention on page 7 and Building a More Resilient Haitian State on page 27. —Middle East Quarterly, Summer 2010 410 pp. • $40.00 pb • 2009 • MG-847-CC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4665-9 www.rand.org 23 Running Middle Header East Middle East Afghanistan’s Local War Building Local Defense Forces Seth G. Jones, Arturo Muñoz Identifying Arabic-Language Materials for Children That Promote Tolerance and Critical Thinking Gail L. Zellman, Jeffrey Martini, Michal Perlman In Afghanistan, local communities have played a critical role in security, especially in rural areas. This analysis discusses the viability of establishing local security forces in Afghanistan and addresses concerns about the wisdom of such policies. This volume describes the creation of developmentally appropriate criteria used to identify and screen Arabic-language works for children that promote tolerance and critical thinking and the characteristics of the materials that were found. The authors present several examples of works that met the criteria, discuss barriers that prevent the development and dissemination of more such works, and suggest ways to address and overcome these barriers. 114 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2010 • MG-1002-MCIA • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4988-9 84 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2011 • TR-856-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5174-5 “What are the major factors that allow an insurgency to develop and stick? Native lawlessness and a foreign safe haven for resting and resupply. . . . Jones, who has made repeated trips to Afghanistan, Pakistan, and India since 2004, stresses the importance of involving local populations in counterinsurgency operations. The history and strategies in this book are important for understanding the nature of unconventional warfare, no matter where in the world it is.” Deradicalizing Islamist Extremists Angel Rabasa, Stacie L. Pettyjohn, Jeremy J. Ghez, Christopher Boucek There has been a great deal of research on radicalization and recruitment of Islamist extremists; yet, until recently, there has been relatively little examination of their deradicalization. The authors identify and analyze the processes through which militants leave Islamist extremist groups, assess the effectiveness of deradicalization programs, and recommend policies that could help promote and accelerate the deradicalization process. Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan RAND Counterinsurgency Study— Vol. 4 Seth G. Jones —ForeWord Reviews 176 pp. • $26.50 pb • 2008 • MG-595-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4133-3 242 pp. • $26.00 pb • 2010 • MG-1053-SRF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5090-8 Building Security in the Persian Gulf Robert E. Hunter The author analyzes long-term security and stability in the Persian Gulf region by assessing Iraq’s future, the role of Iran, asymmetric threats, regional reassurance, regional tensions, and the roles of other external actors, while proposing criteria and requirements for a new regional security structure. 202 pp. • $24.00 pb • 2010 • MG-944 • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4918-6 Facing Human Capital Challenges of the 21st Century Education and Labor Market Initiatives in Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates Gabriella Gonzalez, Lynn A. Karoly, Louay Constant, Hanine Salem, Charles A. Goldman “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Mullahs, Guards, and Bonyads An Exploration of Iranian Leadership Dynamics David E. Thaler, Alireza Nader, Shahram Chubin, Jerrold D. Green, Charlotte Lynch, Frederic Wehrey To improve understanding of Iran’s political system, the authors describe Iranian strategic culture; investigate Iran’s informal networks, formal government institutions, and personalities; assess the impact of elite behavior on Iranian policy; and summarize key trends. 168 pp. • $33.00 pb • 2010 • MG-878-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4773-1 This volume describes the education and labor market initiatives implemented or under way in four countries in the Arab region—Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates—to address the human resource issues they face as they prepare for a place in the 21st-century global economy. 332 pp. • $38.00 pb • 2008 • MG-786-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4516-4 24 toll free 877.584.8642 Running Middle Header East “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association The Rise of the Pasdaran Assessing the Domestic Roles of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps Frederic Wehrey, Jerrold D. Green, Brian Nichiporuk, Alireza Nader, Lydia Hansell, Rasool Nafisi, S. R. Bohandy “In contrast to various studies which have focused on the external military aspects of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, this [book] assesses the broad ranging domestic roles of the Guard Corps and the scope of that organization’s influence over Iran’s political culture, economy, and society.” —Middle East Journal, Winter 2010 152 pp. • $26.00 pb • 2009 • MG-821-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4620-8 The Iraq Effect The Middle East After the Iraq War Frederic Wehrey, Dalia Dassa Kaye, Jessica Watkins, Jeffrey Martini, Robert A. Guffey “This book discusses the balance of power in the Middle East after Operation Iraqi Freedom and provides recommendations that the United States should consider in the near term, including an Air Force engagement strategy in the region. The authors focus on long term regional security, a refreshing, comprehensive approach to the ongoing strategy and policy debate. . . . The authors’ recommendations are relevant, clear, and straightforward. . . . Highly recommended.” —Military Review, May–June 2011 “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association 216 pp. • $40.00 pb • 2010 • MG-892-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4788-5 Dangerous But Not Omnipotent Selected as “Outstanding” by the Public Library Association Exploring the Reach and Limitations of Iranian Power in the Middle East Frederic Wehrey, David E. Thaler, Nora Bensahel, Kim Cragin, Jerrold D. Green, Dalia Dassa Kaye, Nadia Oweidat, Jennifer Li Following the U.S. invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan, the threat posed by Iran to U.S. interests has taken on seemingly unprecedented qualities of aggressiveness and urgency. This volume aims to provide policy planners with a new framework for anticipating the strategic challenges that Iran will present over the next ten to fifteen years. 230 pp. • $40.50 pb • 2009 • MG-781-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4554-6 An Economic Analysis of the Financial Records of al-Qa’ida in Iraq Benjamin Bahney, Howard J. Shatz, Carroll Ganier, Renny McPherson, Barbara Sude, with Sara Beth Elson, Ghassan Schbley This volume analyzes the finances of the militant group al-Qa’ida in Iraq (AQI) in Anbar province during 2005 and 2006, at the peak of the group’s power and influence. The authors draw on captured financial documents that give details on both the daily financial transactions of one specific sector in Anbar province and the financial transactions of the AQI provincial administration. Counterinsurgency in Pakistan Seth G. Jones, C. Christine Fair “Counterinsurgency in Pakistan is by far the most comprehensive and detailed work I have read on counterinsurgency efforts in the tribal areas of Pakistan. It is both strategic and tactical, raises all the right issues, describes in great detail the operations about which little is known, and has a good mix of military strategy with the politics involved. It should be given the widest readership, including in Pakistan.” —Ahmed Rashid, author of Taliban and Descent into Chaos: The U.S. and the Disaster in Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Central Asia 208 pp. • $23.00 pb • 2010 • MG-982-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4976-6 Pakistan Can the United States Secure an Insecure State? C. Christine Fair, Keith Crane, Christopher S. Chivvis, Samir Puri, Michael Spirtas Seeking to inform U.S. efforts to achieve an effective foreign policy strategy toward Pakistan, the authors exposit likely developments in Pakistan’s security environment over the coming decade, assess Pakistan’s national will and capacity to solve its problems, and suggest policies for the U.S. government to pursue to secure its interests. 260 pp. • $35.00 pb • 2010 • MG-910-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4807-3 114 pp. • $22.00 pb • 2010 • MG-1026-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5039-7 www.rand.org 25 Middle East Running • Europe/NATO Header • Asia Winner: Future Project of the Year, World Architecture Festival, 2010 The Arc Russia’s Chechen Wars 1994–2000 Lessons from Urban Combat Olga Oliker A Formal Structure for a Palestinian State Doug Suisman, Steven Simon, Glenn Robinson, C. Ross Anthony, Michael Schoenbaum “A visionary plan built on a logical approach to infrastructure creating immeasurable hope for a displaced people and nation.” —American Institute of Architects, January 2006 106 pp. • $35.00 pb • 2007/2010 • MG-327-2-GG • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5120-2 Troubled Partnership U.S.-Turkish Relations in an Era of Global Geopolitical Change F. Stephen Larrabee The author discusses opportunities to repair recent fissures in U.S.-Turkish relations, suggesting that priority should be given to harmonizing policy toward Iraq and the Middle East, as well as Central Asia and the Caucasus. 162 pp. • $25.00 pb • 2010 • MG-899-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4756-4 Regime and Periphery in Northern Yemen This volume offers an examination of the difficulties faced by the Russian military in planning and carrying out urban operations in Chechnya. The author examines both Russian and rebel tactics and operations, focusing on how and why the combatants’ approaches changed over time. 121 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2001 • MR-1289-A • ISBN: 978-0-8330-2998-0 NATO’s Air War for Kosovo A Strategic and Operational Assessment Benjamin S. Lambeth “As the research on NATO’s use of force in Kosovo grows, Lambeth provides a useful contribution to the literature. . . . Advanced undergraduates to specialists will benefit from this impressively researched study.” —Choice 312 pp. • $35.00 pb • 2001 • MR-1365-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-3050-4 Asia The Huthi Phenomenon New Opportunities and Challenges for Taiwan’s Security Barak A. Salmoni, Bryce Loidolt, Madeleine Wells Roger Cliff, Phillip C. Saunders, Scott Harold For nearly six years, the government of Yemen has conducted military operations north of the capital against groups of its citizens known as Huthis; yet, it has been unable to subdue the Huthi movement. The authors detail the various stages of the conflict and map out its possible future trajectories. These proceedings compile papers from the conference “Cross-Strait Relations: New Opportunities and Challenges for Taiwan’s Security,” which brought together leading experts from both the United States and Taiwan to consider how a range of political, economic, and military factors are likely to shape Taiwan’s security over the coming decade. 410 pp. • $52.00 pb • 2010 • MG-962-DIA • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4933-9 172 pp. • $23.50 pb • 2011 • CF-279-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5149-3 Europe/NATO Sustaining Key Skills in the UK Military Aircraft Industry Matt Bassford, Hans Pung, Nigel Edgington, Tony Starkey, Kristin Weed, Mark V. Arena, James G. Kallimani, Gordon T. Lee, Obaid Younossi The United Kingdom Ministry of Defence’s Fixed Wing Sector Strategy Board commissioned R AND Europe to assist in the development of a strategy and sustainment plan for the military fixed-wing sector. This monograph describes R AND’s approach and summarizes its findings and recommendations. Shaking the Heavens and Splitting the Earth Chinese Air Force Employment Concepts in the 21st Century Roger Cliff, John Fei, Jeff Hagen, Elizabeth Hague, Eric Heginbotham, John Stillion The authors assess current and future capabilities and employment concepts of the People’s Liberation Army Air Force, describe how they might be realized in a conflict over Taiwan, and provide recommendations about actions that should be taken in response. 306 pp. • $29.00 pb • 2011 • MG-915-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4932-2 168 pp. • $27.00 pb • 2010 • MG-1023-MOD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5041-0 26 toll free 877.584.8642 Asia Running • LatinHeader America RAND in Southeast Asia A History of the Vietnam War Era Latin America Mai Elliott Foreword by James A. Thomson “This is an excellent, well-written, impressively researched book . . . [that] should be attractive to advanced students and scholars of the Vietnam War era. Highly recommended.” —Choice “This book is an outstanding accomplishment. Elliott writes with an intimate knowledge of both RAND and the war and her extensive interviews provide a valuable window into the personal goals, convictions and frustrations of the social scientists at the heart of the story. Readers will encounter an intriguing and little-known side of the Vietnam War here, and scholars seeking to contribute to the growing historiography of the relationship between American social science and the Cold War will find this a most valuable resource.” —Pacific Affairs, March 2011 694 pp. • $35.00 pb • 2010 • CP-564-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4754-0 “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association The Evolving Terrorist Threat to Southeast Asia A Net Assessment “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Building a More Resilient Haitian State Keith Crane, James Dobbins, Laurel E. Miller, Charles P. Ries, Christopher S. Chivvis, Marla C. Haims, Marco Overhaus, Heather L. Schwartz, Elizabeth Wilke Haiti’s state institutions are riddled with weaknesses in human resources, organization, procedures, and policies. State-building should be at the forefront of efforts to recover from the January 2010 earthquake. The authors propose strategies for Haitian statebuilding by identifying the main challenges to more capable governance, evaluating existing plans for strengthening government institutions and improving the delivery of public services, and proposing a realistic and carefully limited set of critical actions. 208 pp. • $24.00 pb • 2010 • MG-1039-SRF/CC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5043-4 Mitigating Corruption in Government Security Forces The Role of Institutions, Incentives, and Personnel Management in Mexico Beth J. Asch, Nicholas Burger, Mary Manqing Fu Peter Chalk, Angel Rabasa, William Rosenau, Leanne Piggott This volume examines the historical roots of militant extremist groups in Southeast Asia, as well as government responses to militant movements in the region. 264 pp. • $33.50 pb • 2009 • MG-846-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4658-1 Mexico has undertaken reforms in recent years to professionalize its police. The authors address questions about the roots of corruption and the tools that could be used to mitigate corruption, with a focus on compensation and personnel management policies, while providing an initial assessment of the effects of Mexico’s attempts at reform. “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association 86 pp. • $19.95 pb • 2011 • TR-906-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5258-2 Pacific Currents Reducing Drug Trafficking Revenues and Violence in Mexico The Responses of U.S. Allies and Security Partners in East Asia to China’s Rise Evan S. Medeiros, Keith Crane, Eric Heginbotham, Norman D. Levin, Julia F. Lowell, Angel Rabasa, Somi Seong The authors examined the reactions of six U.S. allies and partners to China’s rise, as well as their desire for the United States to remain deeply engaged in the region. Would Legalizing Marijuana in California Help? Beau Kilmer, Jonathan P. Caulkins, Brittany M. Bond, Peter H. Reuter U.S. demand for illicit drugs creates markets for Mexican drug-trafficking organizations (DTOs) and helps foster violence in Mexico. This paper examines how marijuana legalization in California might influence DTO revenues and violence in Mexico. 72 pp. • $17.00 pb • 2010 • OP-325-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5107-3 308 pp. • $52.00 pb • 2008 • MG-736-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4464-8 www.rand.org 27 Latin America Running • Law Header & Business “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Security in Mexico Implications for U.S. Policy Options Agnes Gereben Schaefer, Benjamin Bahney, K. Jack Riley “Security in Mexico is highly recommended to those desiring a synopsis of key and current national security issues affecting the U.S.-Mexico bilateral relationship, along with a menu of possible policy approaches to addressing them. It should be of interest to U.S. policymakers, as well as students of U.S.-Latin American affairs.” —Military Review, July–August 2011 106 pp. • $29.50 pb • 2009 • MG-876-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4719-9 Directors as Guardians of Compliance and Ethics Within the Corporate Citadel What the Policy Community Should Know Michael D. Greenberg These proceedings summarize discussion at a R AND symposium on oversight challenges that directors face, their responsibility for corporate culture, and steps that could be taken to encourage and empower directors in their oversight role. 74 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2010 • CF-277-CCEG • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5032-8 Asbestos Bankruptcy Trusts An Overview of Trust Structure and Activity with Detailed Reports on the Largest Trusts Lloyd Dixon, Geoffrey McGovern, Amy Coombe Law & Business For Whom the Whistle Blows This volume describes the creation, organization, and operation of asbestos personal-injury trusts and compiles publicly available information on the assets, outlays, and governing boards of the 26 largest trusts. Advancing Corporate Compliance and Integrity Efforts in the Era of Dodd-Frank 216 pp. • $26.00 pb • 2010 • TR-872-ICJ • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5037-3 Michael D. Greenberg “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, signed into law in July 2010, includes a new mechanism for offering financial awards to internal corporate “whistleblowers” who report instances of fraud to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). In May 2011, R AND convened thought leaders and stakeholders from the government, industry, academic, and nonprofit sectors to discuss the potential impact of Dodd-Frank. These proceedings summarize key issues and topics from the symposium, identify major points of agreement and disagreement among the participants, and present three invited papers from the symposium. Toward a Culture of Consequences 76 pp. • $25.00 pb • 2011 • CF-290-CCEG • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5893-5 The U.S. Experience with No-Fault Automobile Insurance A Retrospective James M. Anderson, Paul Heaton, Stephen J. Carroll No-fault insurance regimes, a formerly popular alternative to the tort compensation system for auto-accident victims, have gradually lost support. The authors show that, over time, premiums and claim costs have grown larger in no-fault states than in other states, primarily because of explosive medical cost increases. Performance-Based Accountability Systems for Public Services Brian M. Stecher, Frank Camm, Cheryl L. Damberg, Laura S. Hamilton, Kathleen J. Mullen, Christopher Nelson, Paul Sorensen, Martin Wachs, Allison Yoh, Gail L. Zellman, with Kristin J. Leuschner Performance-based accountability systems (PBASs) link incentives to measured performance and, although often varying widely across sectors, share three main components: goals, incentives, and measures. The authors examine nine PBASs drawn from five sectors: child care, education, health care, public health emergency preparedness, and transportation. Their findings demonstrate that, in the right circumstances, a PBAS can be an effective strategy for improving service delivery. 272 pp. • $28.00 pb • 2010 • MG-1019 • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5015-1 Also available: Toward a Culture of Consequences Performance-Based Accountability Systems for Public Services—Executive Summary 50 pp. • $15.00 pb • 2010 • MG-1019/1 • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5016-8 190 pp. • $30.00 pb • 2010 • MG-860-ICJ • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4916-2 28 toll free 877.584.8642 Law & Business Running • National Header Security Securing Rights for Victims A Process Evaluation of the National Crime Victim Law Institute’s Victims’ Rights Clinics Robert C. Davis, James M. Anderson, Julie Whitman, Susan Howley This volume discusses how some clinics have won significant gains at the appellate and federal court levels concerning victim standing, the rights to be consulted and to be heard, and the right to privacy. Some have won significant victories in gaining standing for victims and expanding the definition of particular rights. Others are enjoined in the battle. But all have raised awareness of victims’ rights in the justice system. 136 pp. • $25.00 pb • 2009 • MG-930-NIJ • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4890-5 Investor and Industry Perspectives on Investment Advisers and Broker-Dealers Angela A. Hung, Noreen Clancy, Jeff Dominitz, Eric Talley, Claude Berrebi, Farrukh Suvankulov This volume examines business practices and investors’ understanding of broker-dealers, who conduct transactions in securities on behalf of themselves and others, and investment advisers, who provide advice to others regarding securities. 228 pp. • $48.00 pb • 2008 • TR-556-SEC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4403-7 National Security The Battle Behind the Wire U.S. Prisoner and Detainee Operations from World War II to Iraq Cheryl Benard, Edward O’Connell, Cathryn Quantic Thurston, Andres Villamizar, Elvira N. Loredo, Thomas Sullivan, Jeremiah Goulka Military planners and policymakers have treated prisoner of war (POW) and detainee operations as an afterthought, even as they have been a significant component of every major combat operation since World War II and can be integral to the successful prosecution of a conflict. Through an assessment of POW and detainee operations during World War II, the Korean War, the Vietnam War, and the recent conflict in Iraq, the authors highlight lessons learned for military strategy and doctrine during conflict and reconstruction. 130 pp. • $21.00 pb • 2011 • MG-934-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5045-8 How Much Does Military Spending Add to Hawaii’s Economy? James Hosek, Aviva Litovitz, Adam C. Resnick RAND State Statistics is a collection of more than 70 detailed state and local databases covering all 50 U.S. states. Two additional sites, RAND California (http://ca.rand.org) and RAND Texas (http://tx.rand.org) provide more than 160 and 110 databases on these two states, respectively. Each site contains millions of data points in an easy-to-use time series format. Subject areas include economics, population/demographics, education, health and socioeconomics, government finance, energy and environment, and community. More than 200 leading academic and public libraries subscribe to these RAND State Statistics databases. For more information, visit http://statestats.rand.org This report assesses the contribution of defense spending in Hawaii to the overall levels of output, employment, and earnings in Hawaii’s economy and finds that spending on defense procurement and personnel was related to 18 percent of Hawaii’s 2009 gross domestic product (GDP) and 101,000 jobs. 70 pp. • $28.50 pb • 2011 • TR-996-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5267-4 The U.S. Combat and Tactical Wheeled Vehicle Fleets Issues and Suggestions for Congress Terrence K. Kelly, John E. Peters, Eric Landree, Louis R. Moore, Randall Steeb, Aaron Martin Congress recently requested a study of the U.S. ground combat and tactical wheeled vehicle fleets. The authors reveal risks in the technologies required to close capability gaps and make recommendations for mitigating these risks. 180 pp. • $24.00 pb • 2011 • MG-1093-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5173-8 Enhancing Army Joint Force Headquarters Capabilities Timothy M. Bonds, Myron Hura, Thomas-Durell Young The volume is aimed at helping the Army improve its ability to command and control joint, interagency, and multinational forces to accomplish diverse missions in a range of settings, with particular emphasis on innovative ways to prepare Army headquarters to perform as components of, or headquarters for, joint task forces. 138 pp. • $25.00 pb • 2010 • MG-675-A • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4399-3 www.rand.org 29 National Security Running • Counterinsurgency Header Navy Network Dependability A Delicate Balance Models, Metrics, and Tools Portfolio Analysis and Management for Intelligence Information Dissemination Programs Isaac R. Porche III, Katherine Comanor, Bradley Wilson, Matthew J. Schneider, Juan Montelibano, Jeff Rothenberg The Navy is increasingly dependent on networks and associated net-centric operations to conduct military missions. The authors develop a framework for measuring the dependability of naval networks and describe a software tool for modeling the impact that individual network components have on overall mission operational availability. Eric Landree, Richard Silberglitt, Brian G. Chow, Lance Sherry, Michael S. Tseng This volume highlights how R AND methodologies enable the data-driven analysis of project portfolios and the allocation of resources according to value, risk, and cost. 64 pp. • $23.00 pb • 2009 • MG-939-NSA • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4909-4 126 pp. • $43.00 pb • 2010 • MG-1003-NAVY • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4994-0 Selected for the Air Force Chief of Staff Reading List Are Law and Policy Clear and Consistent? “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Roles and Responsibilities of the Defense Acquisition Executive and the Chief Information Officer Air Power Against Terror Daniel Gonzales, Carolyn Wong, Eric Landree, Leland Joe The authors identify policy governing the design, acquisition, and integration of information technology and national security systems that could lead to potential conflicts among defense acquisition officers and chief information officers when they exercise their duties in the defense acquisition system. The authors suggest changes to U.S. Department of Defense policy that can resolve these conflicts. 102 pp. • $24.00 pb • 2010 • MG-958-NAVY • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4970-4 Selected for the Air Force Chief of Staff Reading List “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Cyberdeterrence and Cyberwar America’s Conduct of Operation Enduring Freedom Benjamin S. Lambeth “[This book] is not merely a must-read for people interested in the full history of ENDURING FREEDOM; it is an absolutely essential document for anyone who wants to understand the potential of airpower in modern warfare and real-world command-and-control issues. Unsurprisingly, the chief of staff recently added it to the Air Force reading list; it is almost inconceivable that any Airman would not want it on his or her personal bookshelf.” —Air and Space Power Journal 456 pp. • $35.00 pb • 2006 • MG-166-1-CENTAF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-3724-4 Martin C. Libicki “Martin C. Libicki, a senior scientist at RAND, analyzes the impacts of information technology on national security. His measured analysis will prove timely to panicky decision makers. . . . Cyberdeterrence and Cyberwar provides a cautious but lucid discussion of factors that American policymakers should consider before resorting to cyberwar and cyberdeterrence. —International Journal of Communication, Vol. 4, 2010 238 pp. • $33.00 pb • 2009 • MG-877-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4734-2 Cyberdetterence and Cyberwar is also available as an unabridged audiobook by Blackstone Audio, available through iTunes, Audible, and other audiobook retailers. Counterinsurgency How Successful Are U.S. Efforts to Build Capacity in Developing Countries? A Framework to Assess the Global Train and Equip “1206” Program Jennifer D. P. Moroney, Beth Grill, Joe Hogler, Lianne Kennedy-Boudali, Christopher Paul The authors review the Global Train and Equip “1206” Program, a multiagency security cooperation program supporting counterterrorism and stability operations with foreign military partners, discussing both challenges and recommendations for 1206 Program projects. 90 pp. • $27.50 pb • 2011 • TR-1121-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5310-7 30 toll free 877.584.8642 Counterinsurgency Running Header “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Victory Has a Thousand Fathers On “Other War” Sources of Success in Counterinsurgency Christopher Paul, Colin P. Clarke, Beth Grill Although insurgency has been the most prevalent form of armed conflict since at least 1949 and the subject of countless historical and contemporary studies, to date, there has been a dearth of systematic evidence supporting the counterinsurgency (COIN) approaches, practices, and tenets that make for successful operations. Relying on a collection of the 30 most recent resolved insurgencies, the authors review 20 distinct approaches to COIN, testing each rigorously against the historical record to provide valuable lessons for U.S. engagement in and support for COIN operations. Lessons from Five Decades of RAND Counterinsurgency Research Austin Long “[An] essential work for any scholar of small wars and counterinsurgency. . . . On ‘Other War’ contains a wealth of information on doctrinal development and two excellent bibliographies of counterinsurgency publications.” —Journal of Military History 118 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2006 • MG-482-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-3926-2 Assessing Irregular Warfare A Framework for Intelligence Analysis Eric V. Larson, Derek Eaton, Brian Nichiporuk, Thomas S. Szayna Victory Has a Thousand Fathers This volume provides an analytic framework and procedure for the intelligence analysis of irregular warfare (IW) environments. The authors define IW in terms of two stylized situations: population-centric (such as counterinsurgency) and counterterrorism. Detailed Counterinsurgency Case Studies 86 pp. • $23.50 pb • 2008 • MG-668-A • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4322-1 188 pp. • $24.00 pb • 2010 • MG-964-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4961-2 Christopher Paul, Colin P. Clarke, Beth Grill This collection of case studies reviews the 30 most recent resolved insurgencies, covering the period 1978 to 2008, and a bank of 76 factors that helped or hindered the counterinsurgent force in each phase of each case. 350 pp. • $46.00 pb • 2010 • MG-964/1-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4967-4 “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association How Insurgencies End Ben Connable, Martin C. Libicki R AND has been studying insurgencies and counterinsurgency (COIN) strategies for more than five decades, but the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan have increased interest in effective COIN strategies among policymakers, military strategists and soldiers, and the public. The authors of this volume tested conventional wisdom about how insurgencies end against the evidence from 89 insurgencies. They then compared a quantitative and qualitative analysis of 89 insurgency case studies with lessons from insurgency and COIN literature. Crucially, the authors warn that there are no COIN shortcuts. 268 pp. • $41.00 pb • 2010 • MG-965-MCIA • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4952-0 See also Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan on page 24 and Counterinsurgency in Pakistan on page 25. “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Pacification in Algeria, 1956–1958 David Galula Foreword by Bruce Hoffman “Galula’s ideas have emerged as key elements of American counterinsurgency doctrine. His Counterinsurgency Warfare: Theory and Practice was one of the first texts used by Army officers in 2005 to come to grips with problems confronting them in Iraq. Far more impressive and readable, but less well known, is Galula’s Pacification in Algeria, written, at RAND’s invitation, following his participation in a conference on counterinsurgency in 1962 on similar problems confronting the United States in Vietnam. . . . Pacification in Algeria is an exciting story of the difficulties faced by a small-unit commander striving to succeed in a nebulous counterinsurgency environment. It is a story small-unit leaders in Iraq today will find quite familiar.” —Journal of Military History “To understand the new American military strategy in Iraq and Afghanistan you could download a copy of the Army’s counterinsurgency field manual, FM 3-24. Or you could read this elegant, entertaining book by French Lt. Col. David Galula that inspired Gen. David Petraeus in producing FM 3-24.” —New York Times 324 pp. • $28.50 pb • 1963/2006 • MG-478-1-ARPA/RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-3920-0 www.rand.org 31 Population Running & Aging Header • Public Safety Population & Aging Future Challenges for the Arab World The Implications of Demographic and Economic Trends Keith Crane, Steven Simon, Jeffrey Martini This report assesses likely demographic and economic trends in the Arab world through 2020, focusing on changes that are likely to affect U.S. defense planning and U.S. policy in the region. Public Safety Community-Based Violence Prevention An Assessment of Pittsburgh’s One Vision One Life Program Jeremy M. Wilson, Steven Chermak, Edmund F. McGarrell An Operational Process for Workforce Planning After Pittsburgh witnessed a 49-percent increase in homicides, a grassroots initiative created the One Vision One Life antiviolence strategy. Analysis of the program, which is modeled on similar efforts elsewhere, can help inform other efforts to address urban violence. Robert M. Emmerichs, Cheryl Y. Marcum, Albert A. Robbert 186 pp. • $39.00 pb • 2011 • MG-947-1-NIJ/OJP/DOJ/MELLON • ISBN: 978-0- 118 pp. • $25.00 pb • 2011 • TR-912-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5100-4 Workforce planning is an activity intended to ensure that investment in human capital results in the timely capability to effectively carry out an organization’s strategic intent. This volume examines the purposes of workforce planning, identifies key factors contributing to successful workforce planning, and describes a R AND researcher–developed process for conducting workforce planning. 78 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2004 • MR-1684/1-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-3452-6 8330-5232-2 “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Evaluating the Reliability of Emergency Response Systems for Large-Scale Incident Operations Brian A. Jackson, Kay Sullivan Faith, Henry H. Willis RAND Europe/Workforce and Employment In the wake of the economic crisis, policymakers have had to look afresh at policies aimed at developing human capital through participation in the labor market and education, at preserving the sustainability of welfare models, and at improving workplace skills. RAND Europe’s research on workforce and employment provides a resource to help policymakers meet these challenges. For more information, visit www.rand.org/randeurope/ research/workforceemployment.html This volume describes a method, based on the concept of system reliability, for evaluating the preparedness of emergency response systems in dealing with large-scale incidents, such as a natural disaster, terrorist attack, or industrial or transportation accident. 224 pp. • $53.00 pb • 2010 • MG-994-FEMA • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5005-2 Toward a Comparison of DNA Profiling and Databases in the United States and England Jeremiah Goulka, Carl Matthies, Emma Disley, Paul Steinberg R AND researchers explored the U.S. and English forensic DNA analysis systems to find out whether England has capitalized more fully on its crime-fighting potential than the U.S. system, processing samples more quickly and providing more database hits for law enforcement. 32 pp. • $16.00 • 2010 • TR-918-ISEC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5121-9 Today’s Police and Sheriff Recruits Insights from the Newest Members of America’s Law Enforcement Community Laura Werber Castaneda, Greg Ridgeway For much of the past decade, police and sheriff’s departments have faced considerable challenges in attracting and retaining recruits. The authors focus on how departments can refine their recruitment practices and develop a workforce well suited to community-oriented policing. 142 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2010 • MG-992-DOJ • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5047-2 32 toll free 877.584.8642 Public Safety • Science & Technology “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Police Recruitment and Retention for the New Millennium The State of Knowledge Jeremy M. Wilson, Erin Dalton, Charles Scheer, Clifford A. Grammich The authors summarize lessons for recruitment and retention in order to help police departments create a workforce that represents community demographics, implements community policing, and provides opportunities for advancement during a time of increasing attrition, expanding law enforcement responsibilities, and decreasing resources. 150 pp. • $22.00 pb • 2010 • MG-959-DOJ • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5017-5 Recruiting and Retaining America’s Finest Evidence-Based Lessons for Police Workforce Planning Jeremy M. Wilson, Bernard D. Rostker, Cha-Chi Fan This volume provides an overview of current recruitment and retention practices, describes how they affect police recruitment and personnel profiles, and identifies future research needs. 138 pp. • $22.00 pb • 2010 • MG-960-NIJ • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5068-7 Long-Term Effects of Law Enforcement’s Post-9/11 Focus on Counterterrorism and Homeland Security Lois M. Davis, Michael Pollard, Kevin Ward, Jeremy M. Wilson, Danielle M. Varda, Lydia Hansell, Paul Steinberg The authors discuss the advantages and challenges associated with developing capabilities in counterterrorism and homeland security after the 9/11 terrorist attacks. 178 pp. • $20.00 pb • 2010 • MG-1031-NIJ • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5103-5 “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Human Trafficking in Ohio Markets, Responses, and Considerations Jeremy M. Wilson, Erin Dalton Through their exploration of concrete cases of human trafficking in Columbus and Toledo, Ohio, the authors assess the awareness of and response to the problem by the justice systems and social service providers in the two cities. The volume concludes with suggestions for raising awareness about human trafficking and improving the responses of the criminal justice system, the juvenile justice system, and social services. 108 pp. • $23.50 pb • 2007 • MG-689-OACP • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4296-5 Science & Technology Influences on the Adoption of Multifactor Authentication Martin C. Libicki, Edward Balkovich, Brian A. Jackson, Rena Rudavsky, Katharine Watkins Webb Passwords are proving less and less capable of protecting computer systems from abuse. Multifactor authentication (MFA)—which combines something you know (e.g., a PIN), something you have (e.g., a token), and/or something you are (e.g., a fingerprint)—is increasingly being required. This report investigates why organizations choose to adopt or not adopt MFA—and where they choose to use it. 62 pp. • $24.50 pb • 2011 • TR-937-NIST • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5235-3 Feasibility of Laser Power Transmission to a High-Altitude Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Richard Mason This report examines whether a laser beam–powered unmanned aerial vehicle could have practical merit, focusing on the altitude, range, persistence, and power possible for a laser-photovoltaic aircraft that uses current technology. 72 pp. • $29.50 pb • 2011 • TR-898-AF • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5135-6 Confronting Space Debris Strategies and Warnings from Comparable Examples Including Deepwater Horizon Dave Baiocchi, William Welser IV The authors examine nine complex issues that share similarities with orbital debris, which represents a growing threat to the operation of man-made systems in space, in order to compare and inform mitigation strategies. 156 pp. • $27.00 pb • 2010 • MG-1042-DARPA • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5056-4 U.S. Competitiveness in Science and Technology Titus Galama, James Hosek Is the United States in danger of losing its competitive edge in science and technology? This volume reviews the arguments surrounding this issue and contrasts them with relevant data, including trends in research and development investment, information on the U.S. science and engineering workforce, and domestic and international education statistics. 188 pp. • $32.00 pb • 2008 • MG-674-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4424-2 www.rand.org 33 Terrorism & Homeland SecurityHeader • Workforce in the Military Running Shaping the Next One Hundred Years New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis Robert J. Lempert, Steven W. Popper, Steven C. Bankes “Arguably the most impressive RAND contribution to forecasting methodology since its development of Delphi half a century ago.” —Technological Forecasting and Social Change 208 pp. • $30.00 pb • 2003 • MR-1626-RPC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-3275-1 Terrorism & Homeland Security “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Networks and Netwars The Future of Terror, Crime, and Militancy John Arquilla, David Ronfeldt, editors “The attacks of Sept 11 on the World Trade Center and Pentagon have generated interest throughout the world in the way networked technologies are affecting the waging of conflicts around our globe, be they ideological or military. . . . [This book is] comprehensive and well-structured [and] covers many, if not all, aspects of the subject at hand.” —International Journal of Law and Information Technology 380 pp. • $25.00 pb • 2001 • MR-1382-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-3030-6 Stray Dogs and Virtual Armies Radicalization and Recruitment to Jihadist Terrorism in the United States Since 9/11 Brian Michael Jenkins Since September 11, 2001, so-called “homegrown terrorists,” working alone or with others, have planned and in some cases implemented terrorist activities. This paper examines the cases of homegrown terrorism from 9/11 through 2010, highlights lessons learned from those cases that suggest actions for the future, and includes a chronology of numbers and case descriptions of terrorist events in the United States during that period. 56 pp. • $17.50 • 2011 • OP-343-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5880-5 “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association Social Science for Counterterrorism Putting the Pieces Together Paul K. Davis, Kim Cragin, editors Contributors: Darcy Noricks, Todd C. Helmus, Christopher Paul, Claude Berrebi, Brian A. Jackson, Gaga Gvineria, Michael Egner, Benjamin Bahney “Over the course of twelve chapters, the contributors present a lucid and grounded narrative that weaves together the issues on which counterterrorism policies have been based since 11 September 2001. . . . The monograph should be required reading for all social scientists who set their sights on terrorism studies or related fields.” —Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, Volume 7, Issue 1, 2010 540 pp. • $59.50 pb • 2009 • MG-849-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4706-9 Workforce in the Military Winner, 2011 Policy Impact Award, American Association for Public Opinion Research Sexual Orientation and U.S. Military Personnel Policy An Update of RAND’s 1993 Study National Defense Research Institute At the request of the Senate Armed Services Committee and the Secretary of Defense, R AND conducted a study on sexual orientation and U.S. military policy in order to provide information and analysis that might be considered in discussing the possible repeal of the law known as Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell (DADT). The study examined DADT implementation; U.S. public and military opinion about allowing gay men and lesbians to serve in the military without restriction; and the scientific literature on group cohesion, sexual orientation, and related health issues. R AND researchers conducted focus groups with military personnel and a survey of gay, lesbian, and bisexual military personnel. R AND researchers also examined the comparable experiences of other institutions, domestic agencies, and foreign militaries, as well as how repeal of DADT might affect unit cohesion and military readiness and effectiveness. 444 pp. • $28.50 pb • 2010 • MG-1056-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5129-5 Reserve Component Unit Stability Effects on Deployability and Training Thomas F. Lippiatt, J. Michael Polich Reserve Component units typically experience a surge of personnel turbulence as they approach mobilization and deployment. Since the U.S. Army aims to maximize unit stability (the degree to which a unit’s membership remains constant over time), this volume assesses the causes of and possible solutions to instability within reserve units. 88 pp. • $31.00 pb • 2010 • MG-954-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4962-9 34 toll free 877.584.8642 Workforce in the Military • R AND Classics Succession Management for Senior Military Positions RAND Classics The Rumsfeld Model for Secretary of Defense Involvement How Much Is Enough? Andrew R. Hoehn, Albert A. Robbert, Margaret C. Harrell Shaping the Defense Program, 1961–1969 During his second tenure as Secretary of Defense, Donald H. Rumsfeld considerably revised the process for selecting senior U.S. military officers for top-ranking positions. The authors examine these changes, how the process evolved after Rumsfeld left office, and key attributes officials should consider as they decide how future selection and assignments will be managed. Alain C. Enthoven, K. Wayne Smith Originally published in 1971, and now with a new foreword, this is a book of enduring value and lasting relevance. The authors detail the application, history, and controversies surrounding the Planning, Programming, and Budgeting System used to evaluate military needs and to choose among alternatives for meeting those needs. 82 pp. • $16.50 pb • 2011 • MG-1081-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5228-5 394 pp. • $24.00 pb • 1971/2005 • CB-403 • ISBN: 978-0-8330-3826-5 Understanding and Reducing Off-Duty Vehicle Crashes Among Military Personnel Strategy in the Missile Age Liisa Ecola, Rebecca L. Collins, Elisa Eiseman The authors review traffic safety in the United States, with specific reference to military personnel, focusing on safety interventions and attempts to change driver behavior and decisions. 120 pp. • $21.00 pb • 2010 • TR-820-DSOC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-5021-2 Planning for Diversity Options and Recommendations for DoD Leaders Nelson Lim, Michelle Cho, Kimberly Curry Hall The authors discuss initial steps that the U.S. Department of Defense should take in developing a department-wide strategic plan to achieve greater diversity among its active-duty and civilian leadership. 130 pp. • $24.50 pb • 2008 • MG-743-OSD • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4471-6 “Recommended” by the American Association of School Libraries and the Public Library Association I Want You! The Evolution of the All-Volunteer Force Bernard D. Rostker Foreword by former Secretary of Defense Melvin R. Laird “Rostker, who has held numerous federal posts and is currently a senior fellow at the RAND Corporation, is the ideal scholar to have written this study, a massive and definitive history of the all-volunteer military force in the U.S. from its genesis in the late 1960s to early 2005. It is a unique contribution. Rostker’s research is prodigious to say the least, relying on over 1,700 original documents, including congressional testimony, analytical studies, interviews, and other archival sources—most of which are included on an accompanying DVD.” —Choice 832 pp. • Includes DVD • $25.00 cloth/DVD • 2006 • MG-265-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-3895-1 www.rand.org Bernard Brodie This work, originally published in 1959, retains ample relevance today for its discussion of the origins of air power, its cornerstone position in the evolution of Cold War–era nuclear strategy, and its treatment of preventive and preemptive attacks, deterrence, and the economics of strategy. 444 pp. • $39.50 pb • 1959/2007 • CB-137-1 • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4224-8 The Compleat Strategyst Being a Primer on the Theory of Games of Strategy John D. Williams Game theory’s prominence today can be traced at least in part to this book, which popularized the subject for amateurs, professionals, and students throughout the world. The book has now been republished by R AND. 284 pp. • $29.50 pb • 1954/2007 • CB-113-1 • ISBN: 978-0-8330-4222-4 A Million Random Digits with 100,000 Normal Deviates This book was a product of R AND’s pioneering work in computing, and it remains a testament to the patience and persistence of researchers in the early days of R AND. Still the largest published source of random digits and normal deviates, this work has become a standard reference in engineering and econometrics textbooks and has been used by statisticians, physicists, polltakers, market analysts, lottery administrators, and quality control engineers. This new edition presents the book in its original format, with a foreword by Michael D. Rich, R AND’s new CEO. 628 pp. • 1955/2001 • $90.00 pb • MR-1418-RC • ISBN: 978-0-8330-3047-4 See additional R AND Classics at www.rand.org/publications/electronic/class.html 35 Information Runningfor Header Libraries Find the latest updates for libraries at www.rand.org/publications/library.html RAND e-books available through library wholesalers and e-book retailers Most of the books listed in this catalog can be found through your preferred e-book vendor (ISBN will vary depending on format and vendor) and are available for library lending through wholesalers and retailers that offer these services. RAND distributes e-books through the most popular library e-book aggregators, such as Baker & Taylor, Yankee Book Peddler, Dawson Era (UK), EBL, ebrary (Proquest), myilibrary (Ingram), and EBSCOhost (formerly NetLibrary). 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In 2011, Counterinsurgency in Pakistan (see page 25) was selected as “Outstanding” by the committee. 36 toll free 877.584.8642 Title Index A Achieving Strong Teamwork Practices in Hospital Labor and Delivery Units, 21 Advancing Aeronautics: A Decision Framework for Selecting Research Agendas, 14 Afghanistan’s Local War: Building Local Defense Forces, 24 Afghan Peace Talks: A Primer, 8 Air Operations in Israel’s War Against Hezbollah: Learning from Lebanon and Getting It Right in Gaza, 8 Air Power Against Terror: America’s Conduct of Operation Enduring Freedom, 30 Alert and Ready: An Organizational Design Assessment of Marine Corps Intelligence, 17 Alternative Fuels for Military Applications, 3 America’s Role in NationBuilding: From Germany to Iraq, 23 The Arc: A Formal Structure for a Palestinian State, 25 Are Law and Policy Clear and Consistent?: Roles and Responsibilities of the Defense Acquisition Executive and the Chief Information Officer, 30 Asbestos Bankruptcy Trusts: An Overview of Trust Structure and Activity with Detailed Reports on the Largest Trusts, 28 Asbestos Bankruptcy Trusts and Tort Compensation, 13 Assessing Irregular Warfare: A Framework for Intelligence Analysis, 31 Assessing the Effectiveness of the International Counterproliferation Program, 9 Assessing the Performance of Military Treatment Facilities, 6 B Band of Brothers or Dysfunctional Family? A Military Perspective on Coalition Challenges During Stability Operations, 10 www.rand.org The Battle Behind the Wire: U.S. Prisoner and Detainee Operations from World War II to Iraq, 29 The Beginner’s Guide to Nation-Building, 23 A Big Apple for Educators: New York City’s Experiment with Schoolwide Performance Bonuses: Final Evaluation Report, 2 Building Afghanistan’s Security Forces in Wartime: The Soviet Experience, 15 Building a More Resilient Haitian State, 27 Building Bridges: Lessons from a Pittsburgh Partnership to Strengthen Systems of Care for Maternal Depression, 22 Building Community Resilience to Disasters: A Way Forward to Enhance National Health Security, 16 Building Security in the Persian Gulf, 24 C The Challenge of Violent DrugTrafficking Organizations: An Assessment of Mexican Security Based on Existing R AND Research on Urban Unrest, Insurgency, and Defense-Sector Reform, 12 Characterizing the U.S. Industrial Base for Coal-Powered Electricity, 3 Charter Schools in Eight States: Effects on Achievement, Attainment, Integration, and Competition, 20 China and India, 2025: A Comparative Assessment, 12 The Cloud: Understanding the Security, Privacy and Trust Challenges, 11 Cold-Case Investigations: An Analysis of Current Practices and Factors Associated with Successful Outcomes, 13 Community-Based Violence Prevention: An Assessment of Pittsburgh’s One Vision One Life Program, 32 The Compleat Strategyst: Being a Primer on the Theory of Games of Strategy, 35 Confronting Space Debris: Strategies and Warnings from Comparable Examples Including Deepwater Horizon, 33 Continuing Challenges and Potential for Collaborative Approaches to Education Reform, 2 Coping with a Nuclearizing Iran, 9 Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan: R AND Counterinsurgency Study— Vol. 4, 24 Counterinsurgency in Pakistan, 25 Cultivating Demand for the Arts: Arts Learning, Arts Engagement, and State Arts Policy, 20 Cyberdeterrence and Cyberwar, 30 D Dangerous But Not Omnipotent: Exploring the Reach and Limitations of Iranian Power in the Middle East, 25 A Delicate Balance: Portfolio Analysis and Management for Intelligence Information Dissemination Programs, 30 Deradicalizing Islamist Extremists, 24 Deterrence in an Age of Piracy, 7 Developing a Prototype Handbook for Monitoring and Evaluating Department of Defense Humanitarian Assistance Projects, 22 Developing Military Health Care Leaders: Insights from the Military, Civilian, and Government Sectors, 6 Developing U.S. Army Officers’ Capabilities for Joint, Interagency, Intergovernmental, and Multinational Environments, 18 Dilemmas of Intervention: Social Science for Stabilization and Reconstruction, 7 Directors as Guardians of Compliance and Ethics Within the Corporate Citadel: What the Policy Community Should Know, 28 E Early Childhood Interventions: Proven Results, Future Promise, 19 Earthquake Insurance and Disaster Assistance: The Effect of Catastrophe Obligation Guarantees on Federal DisasterAssistance Expenditures in California, 13 An Economic Analysis of the Financial Records of al-Qa’ida in Iraq, 25 The Effect of Military Enlistment on Earnings and Education, 18 Effects of Soldiers’ Deployment on Children’s Academic Performance and Behavioral Health, 1 Enhancing Army Joint Force Headquarters Capabilities, 29 Establishing a Research and Evaluation Capability for the Joint Medical Education and Training Campus, 21 Evaluating the Reliability of Emergency Response Systems for Large-Scale Incident Operations, 32 The Evolving Terrorist Threat to Southeast Asia: A Net Assessment, 27 Exploring Patterns of Behaviour in Violent Jihadist Terrorists: An Analysis of Six Significant Terrorist Conspiracies in the UK, 11 F Facing Human Capital Challenges of the 21st Century: Education and Labor Market Initiatives in Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates, 24 Feasibility of Laser Power Transmission to a HighAltitude Unmanned Aerial Vehicle, 33 For Whom the Whistle Blows: Advancing Corporate Compliance and Integrity Efforts in the Era of DoddFrank, 28 From Insurgency to Stability: Vol. I: Key Capabilities and Practices, 15 From Insurgency to Stability: Vol. II: Insights from Selected Case Studies, 15 37 Title Index Fulfilling the Pittsburgh Promise®: Early Progress of Pittsburgh’s Postsecondary Scholarship Program, 2 Future Challenges for the Arab World: The Implications of Demographic and Economic Trends, 32 G Gifts of the Muse: Reframing the Debate about the Benefits of the Arts, 20 Global Demographic Change and Its Implications for Military Power, 16 H Harnessing Full Value from the DoD Serum Repository and the Defense Medical Surveillance System, 22 Highway Infrastructure and the Economy: Implications for Federal Policy, 6 Hours of Opportunity: Vol. 1: Lessons from Five Cities on Building Systems to Improve After-School, Summer School, and Other Out-of-School-Time Programs, 19 Hours of Opportunity: Vol. 2: The Power of Data to Improve After-School Programs Citywide, 19 How Insurgencies End, 31 How Much Does Military Spending Add to Hawaii’s Economy? 29 How Much Is Enough? Shaping the Defense Program, 1961–1969, 35 How Successful Are U.S. Efforts to Build Capacity in Developing Countries? A Framework to Assess the Global Train and Equip “1206” Program, 30 Human Trafficking in Ohio: Markets, Responses, and Considerations, 33 I Identifying Arabic-Language Materials for Children That Promote Tolerance and Critical Thinking, 24 38 Imported Oil and U.S. National Security, 21 Improving School Leadership: The Promise of Cohesive Leadership Systems, 20 Incorporating Student Performance Measures into Teacher Evaluation Systems, 2 Influences on the Adoption of Multifactor Authentication, 33 Investor and Industry Perspectives on Investment Advisers and Broker-Dealers, 29 Invisible Wounds of War: Psychological and Cognitive Injuries, Their Consequences, and Services to Assist Recovery, 21 Invisible Wounds of War: Summary and Recommendations for Addressing Psychological and Cognitive Injuries, 21 Iran’s Nuclear Future: Critical U.S. Policy Choices, 9 The Iraq Effect: The Middle East After the Iraq War, 25 I Want You!: The Evolution of the All-Volunteer Force, 35 K Keeping a Competitive U.S. Military Aircraft Industry Aloft: Findings from an Analysis of the Industrial Base, 14 L The Latin American Drug Trade: Scope, Dimensions, Impact, and Response, 12 Learning from Experience: Vol. I: Lessons from the Submarine Programs of the United States, United Kingdom, and Australia, 14 Learning from Experience: Vol. II: Lessons from the U.S. Navy’s Ohio, Seawolf, and Virginia Submarine Programs, 14 Learning from Experience: Vol. III: Lessons from the United Kingdom’s Astute Submarine Program, 14 Learning from Experience: Vol. IV: Lessons from Australia’s Collins Submarine Program, 14 Lessons from U.S. Allies in Security Cooperation with Third Countries: The Cases of Australia, France, and the United Kingdom, 7 Life After Lisbon: Europe’s Challenges to Promote Labour Force Participation and Reduce Income Inequality, 11 The Long Shadow of 9/11: America’s Response to Terrorism, 17 Long-Term Effects of Law Enforcement’s Post-9/11 Focus on Counterterrorism and Homeland Security, 33 Low Fertility in Europe: Is There Still Reason to Worry? 11 M Making Summer Count: How Summer Programs Can Boost Children’s Learning, 1 Managing Arab-Kurd Tensions in Northern Iraq After the Withdrawal of U.S. Troops, 10 Managing Spent Nuclear Fuel: Strategy Alternatives and Policy Implications, 3 The Maritime Dimension of International Security: Terrorism, Piracy, and Challenges for the United States, 23 Mathematical Proficiency for All Students: Toward a Strategic Research and Development Program in Mathematics Education, 20 Medical Care Provided Under California’s Workers’ Compensation Program: Effects of the Reforms and Additional Opportunities to Improve the Quality and Efficiency of Care, 4 A Million Random Digits with 100,000 Normal Deviates, 35 Mitigating Corruption in Government Security Forces: The Role of Institutions, Incentives, and Personnel Management in Mexico, 27 Moving Los Angeles: Short-Term Policy Options for Improving Transportation, 22 Moving Toward the Future of Policing, 16 Mullahs, Guards, and Bonyads: An Exploration of Iranian Leadership Dynamics, 24 N National Evaluation of Safe Start Promising Approaches: Assessing Program Outcomes, 1 NATO’s Air War for Kosovo: A Strategic and Operational Assessment, 26 Natural Gas and Israel’s Energy Future: Near-Term Decisions from a Strategic Perspective, 20 Navy Network Dependability: Models, Metrics, and Tools, 30 Near-Term Opportunities for Integrating Biomass into the U.S. Electricity Supply: Technical Considerations, 4 Networks and Netwars: The Future of Terror, Crime, and Militancy, 34 A New Approach for Assessing the Needs of Service Members and Their Families, 18 New Opportunities and Challenges for Taiwan’s Security, 26 New Tools and Metrics for Evaluating Army Distributed Learning, 18 The Next Supreme Leader: Succession in the Islamic Republic of Iran, 9 The Nongovernmental Sector in Disaster Resilience: Conference Recommendations for a Policy Agenda, 16 Nuclear Deterrence in Europe: Russian Approaches to a New Environment and Implications for the United States, 11 toll free 877.584.8642 Title Index O Occupying Iraq: A History of the Coalition Provisional Authority, 23 On “Other War:” Lessons from Five Decades of R AND Counterinsurgency Research, 31 An Operational Process for Workforce Planning, 32 The Option of an Oil Tax to Fund Transportation and Infrastructure, 6 An Outcome Evaluation of the SFK Success for Kids Program, 19 P Pacification in Algeria, 1956–1958, 31 Pacific Currents: The Responses of U.S. Allies and Security Partners in East Asia to China’s Rise, 27 Pakistan: Can the United States Secure an Insecure State? 25 Planning for Diversity: Options and Recommendations for DoD Leaders, 35 Police Recruitment and Retention for the New Millennium: The State of Knowledge, 33 Project Retrosight: Understanding the Returns from Cardiovascular and Stroke Research: The Policy Report, 11 Promoting Psychological Resilience in the U.S. Military, 5 R Radical Islam in East Africa, 22 R AND in Southeast Asia: A History of the Vietnam War Era, 27 Ready for Takeoff: China’s Advancing Aerospace Industry, 12 Reauthorizing No Child Left Behind: Facts and Recommendations, 20 Recommended Research Priorities for the Qatar Foundation’s Environment and Energy Research Institute, 3 www.rand.org Recruiting and Retaining America’s Finest: EvidenceBased Lessons for Police Workforce Planning, 33 Sexual Orientation and U.S. Military Personnel Policy: An Update of R AND’s 1993 Study, 34 Reducing Drug Trafficking Revenues and Violence in Mexico: Would Legalizing Marijuana in California Help? 27 Shaking the Heavens and Splitting the Earth: Chinese Air Force Employment Concepts in the 21st Century, 26 Regime and Periphery in Northern Yemen: The Huthi Phenomenon, 25 Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis, 34 Reintegrating Afghan Insurgents, 10 Reparable Harm: Assessing and Addressing Disparities Faced by Boys and Men of Color in California, 19 Reserve Component Unit Stability: Effects on Deployability and Training, 34 Social Science of Counterterrorism: Putting the Pieces Together, 34 Strategy in the Missile Age, 35 Stray Dogs and Virtual Armies: Radicalization and Recruitment to Jihadist Terrorism in the United States Since 9/11, 34 Troubled Partnership: U.S.-Turkish Relations in an Era of Global Geopolitical Change, 25 U Understanding and Reducing Off-Duty Vehicle Crashes Among Military Personnel, 35 Understanding the Public Health Implications of Prisoner Reentry in California: State-of-the-State Report, 4 Ungoverned Territories: Understanding and Reducing Terrorism Risks, 23 The UN’s Role in NationBuilding: From the Congo to Iraq, 23 Subnational Government in Afghanistan, 10 U.S. Competitiveness in Science and Technology, 33 Risking NATO: Testing the Limits of the Alliance in Afghanistan, 11 Succession Management for Senior Military Positions: The Rumsfeld Model for Secretary of Defense Involvement, 35 The U.S. Combat and Tactical Wheeled Vehicle Fleets: Issues and Suggestions for Congress, 29 The Role of Faith-Based Organizations in HIV Prevention and Care in Central America, 21 Supplying Biomass to Power Plants: A Model of the Costs of Utilizing Agricultural Biomass in Cofired Power Plants, 4 The Role of Faith-Based Organizations in HIV Prevention and Care in Central America (Spanish translation), 21 Support for Students Exposed to Trauma: The SSET Program, 20 The Rise of the Pasdaran: Assessing the Domestic Roles of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, 25 Russia’s Chechen Wars 1994–2000: Lessons from Urban Combat, 26 S Securing America’s PassengerRail Systems, 22 Securing Rights for Victims: A Process Evaluation of the National Crime Victim Law Institute’s Victims’ Rights Clinics, 29 Sustaining Key Skills in the UK Military Aircraft Industry, 11, 26 T Today’s Police and Sheriff Recruits: Insights from the Newest Members of America’s Law Enforcement Community, 32 Toward a Comparison of DNA Profiling and Databases in the United States and England, 32 Security Force Assistance in Afghanistan: Identifying Lessons for Future Efforts, 15 Toward a Culture of Consequences: PerformanceBased Accountability Systems for Public Services, 28 Security in Mexico: Implications for U.S. Policy Options, 28 Toward a Culture of Consequences: PerformanceBased Accountability Systems for Public Services— Executive Summary, 28 The U.S. Experience with No-Fault Automobile Insurance: A Retrospective, 28 V Victory Has a Thousand Fathers: Detailed Counterinsurgency Case Studies, 31 Victory Has a Thousand Fathers: Sources of Success in Counterinsurgency, 31 Views from the Homefront: the Experiences of Youth and Spouses from Military Families, 1 W The War Within: Preventing Suicide in the U.S. Military, 5 39 Author Title Index Index A Acosta, Joie D., 1, 5, 16 Akhmedjonov, Alisher, 12 Al-Dorani, Sarah, 3 Al-Shahery, Omar, 10 Anderson, James M., 28, 29 Anthony, C. Ross, 26 Anton, Philip S., 14 Arena, Mark V., 11, 14, 26 Armstrong, Jane, 20 Arquilla, John, 34 Asch, Beth J., 27 Augustine, Catherine H., 1, 20 Clift, Jack, 11 Clutterbuck, Lindsay, 11 Collins, Rebecca L., 35 Comanor, Katherine, 30 Connable, Ben, 31 Constant, Louay, 19, 20, 24 Coombe, Amy, 28 Cragin, Kim, 23, 25, 34 Crane, Keith, 6, 20, 21, 23, 25, 27, 32 Creese, Sadie, 11 Cross, Amanda Brown, 1 Curtright, Aimee E., 3, 4 B Bahney, Benjamin, 25, 28, 34 Baiocchi, Dave, 33 Balkovich, Edward, 33 Ball, Deborah Loewenberg, 20 Bankes, Steven C., 34 Barnes-Proby, Dionne, 1, 18 Bartis, James T., 3 Bassford, Matt, 11, 26 Beckjord, Ellen Burke, 22 Benard, Cheryl, 29 Bensahel, Nora, 15, 25 Berrebi, Claude, 7, 20, 29, 34 Birkler, John, 14 Bloom, Evan, 3 Bodilly, Susan J., 1, 2, 19 Bohandy, S. R., 9, 25 Bond, Brittany M., 27 Bonds, Timothy M., 29 Booker, Kevin, 20 Boraz, Steven, 23 Boucek, Christopher, 24 Bozick, Robert, 2 Bracken, Paul, 14 Brodie, Bernard, 35 Brooks, Arthur, 20 Brutscher, Philipp-Bastian, 11 Burger, Nicholas, 4, 6, 27 Burns, Rachel M., 1, 5, 18 Buxton, Martin, 11 D Dalal, Siddhartha, 12 Dalton, Erin, 33 Damberg, Cheryl L., 28 DaVanzo, Julie, 12 Davis, Lois M., 4, 19, 33 Davis, Lynn E., 9 Davis, Paul K., 7, 34 Davis, Robert C., 13, 29 Dean, Kristin L., 20 DeGrasse, Beth Cole, 23 Delpech, Thérèse, 7 Dembosky, Jacob W., 20 Derose, Kathryn Pitkin, 4, 21 Dertouzos, James N., 13 Diepeveen, Stephanie, 11 DiMartino, Catherine, 2 Disley, Emma, 32 Dixon, Lloyd, 13, 28 Dobbins, James, 8, 9, 23, 27 Dogo, Harun, 12, 21 Dominitz, Jeff, 29 Drezner, Jeffrey A., 3 C Camm, Frank, 28 Campbell, Nancy F., 1 Cannon, Jill S., 19 Carroll, Stephen J., 28 Castaneda, Laura Werber, 32 Caulkins, Jonathan P., 27 Cave, Jonathan, 11 Cecchine, Gary, 3, 4 Chalk, Peter, 12, 15, 23, 27 Chandra, Anita, 1, 16 Chermak, Steven, 32 Chivvis, Christopher S., 7, 15, 25, 27 Cho, Michelle, 35 Chow, Brian G., 30 Chubin, Shahram, 24 Clancy, Noreen, 13, 29 Clapp-Wincek, Cynthia, 22 Clarke, Colin P., 12, 17, 31 Cliff, Roger, 12, 26 40 E Eaton, Derek, 31 Ecola, Liisa, 14, 22, 35 Edgington, Nigel, 11, 26 Egner, Michael, 34 Eiseman, Elisa, 22, 35 Eisman, Mel, 22 Elliott, Mai, 27 Elson, Sara Beth, 25 Emmerichs, Robert M., 32 Engstrom, Jeffrey, 9 Enthoven, Alain C., 35 Epstein, Scott, 2 F Fain, Terry, 4 Fair, C. Christine, 25 Faith, Kay Sullivan, 32 Fan, Cha-Chi, 33 Farley, Donna O., 21 Fei, John, 26 Feng, Chaoling, 3 Firth, Ray, 22 Fisher, Gail, 22 Francois, Taria, 1 Frith, Sarah, 22 Fu, Mary Manqing, 27 G Gaillot, Sarah J., 5, 19 Galama, Titus, 33 Galula, David, 31 Ganier, Carroll, 25 Garnett, Jeffrey, 16 Gershwin, Daniel, 19 Ghez, Jeremy J., 24 Gill, Brian, 20 Glenn, Russell W., 10 Godges, John, 17 Goldman, Charles A., 24 Goldthau, Andreas, 21 Gonzales, Daniel, 30 Gonzalez, Gabriella C., 2, 20, 24 Gordon, John, IV, 15 Goulka, Jeremiah, 29, 32 Grady, Patrick, 1 Grammich, Clifford A., 14, 33 Grant, Audra K., 15 Grant, Jonathan, 11 Graux, Hans, 11 Green, Harold D., Jr., 22 Green, Jerrold D., 24, 25 Greenberg, Michael D., 28 Griffin, James, 20, 22 Grill, Beth, 30, 31 Guffey, Robert A., 25 Gventer, Celeste Ward, 7 Gvineria, Gaga, 34 H Hagen, Jeff, 26 Hague, Elizabeth, 26 Haims, Marla C., 22, 27 Hall, Kimberly Curry, 35 Hallmark, Bryan W., 1 Hamilton, Laura S., 2, 28 Han, Bing, 1 Hanauer, Larry, 10 Hanney, Stephen, 11 Hansell, Lydia, 5, 25, 33 Hanson, Mark, 22 Harold, Scott, 26 Harrell, Margaret C., 35 Harris, Racine, 1 Harting, Sarah, 11 Hawkins, Stacy Ann, 1 Heaton, Paul, 28 Heginbotham, Eric, 26, 27 Helmus, Todd C., 34 Hickman, Laura J., 1 Hlavka, Eileen, 4 Hoehn, Andrew R., 11, 35 Hoffman, Bruce, 31 Hogler, Joe, 9, 30 Hoorens, Stijn, 11 Hopkins, Paul, 11 Hosek, James, 29, 33 Howley, Susan, 29 Huang, Meilinda, 12 Hung, Angela A., 29 Hunt, Priscillia, 11 Hunter, Robert E., 24 Hura, Myron, 29 I Ikemoto, Gina Schuyler, 20 Ip, Cesse, 14 J Jackson, Brian A., 22, 32–34 Janta, Barbara, 11 Jaycox, Lisa H., 1, 5, 20, 21 Jenkins, Brian Michael, 17, 34 Jensen, Carl, 13 Joe, Leland, 30 Johnson, David R., 3 Johnson, Stuart E., 21 Jones, Molly Morgan, 11 Jones, Seth G., 10, 23–25 K Kallimani, James G., 11, 14, 26 Kalra, Nidhi, 2, 3 Kamarck, Kristy N., 3, 14 Kanouse, David E., 21 Karam, Rita, 2 Karasik, Theodore W., 23 Karoly, Lynn A., 19, 24 Kaye, Dalia Dassa, 9, 25 Kelly, Terrence K., 15, 29 Kennedy, David P., 21 Kennedy-Boudali, Lianne, 30 Keyser, Donna J., 22 Kilburn, M. Rebecca, 19 Kilmer, Beau, 27 Kirby, Sheila Nataraj, 6, 21 Kitchens, Karin E., 6, 13 Klerman, Jacob Alex, 18 Knopman, Debra, 3 Kofner, Aaron, 1, 22 Koppich, Julia, 2 L Lacroix, Frank W., 14 Laha, Joya, 17 Lai, Deborah, 16 Laird, Melvin R., 35 Lal, Rollie, 23 Lambeth, Benjamin S., 8, 26, 30 Landree, Eric, 29, 30 Langley, Audra, 20 Lara-Cinisomo, Sandraluz, 1, 18 Larrabee, F. Stephen, 26 Larson, Eric V., 12, 31 LaTourrette, Tom, 3, 4, 13 Lavertu, Stephane, 20 Lee, Gordon T., 11, 14, 26 Lempert, Robert J., 34 Leonard, Henry A., 18 Leuschner, Kristin J., 18, 21, 28 Levin, Norman D., 27 Li, Jennifer, 25 Libicki, Martin C., 16, 30, 31, 33 Lichter, Dahlia S., 1 Light, Thomas, 3, 14, 20–22 Lim, Nelson, 35 Lippiatt, Thomas F., 34 Litovitz, Aviva, 3, 4, 29 Loidolt, Bryce, 26 Long, Austin, 31 Loredo, Elvira N., 29 Lorell, Mark A., 14 Loughran, David S., 18 Lovejoy, Susan L., 21, 22 Lowell, Julia F., 20, 27 Lynch, Charlotte, 18, 24 toll free 877.584.8642 Author Title Index Index M Maestas, Nicole, 19 Makki, Mohammed, 3 Marcum, Cheryl Y., 32 Markel, M. Wade, 18 Marsh, Julie A., 2, 6, 21 Martin, Aaron, 29 Martin, Laurie T., 1 Martinez, Homero, 21 Martini, Jeffrey, 9, 10, 24, 25, 32 Martorell, Paco, 18 Mason, Richard, 33 Matthies, Carl, 32 McCaffrey, Daniel F., 2 McCarthy, Kevin F., 20 McCombs, Jennifer Sloan, 1, 6, 19 McGarrell, Edmund F., 32 McGinn, John G., 23 McGovern, Geoffrey, 13, 28 McInnis, Brian, 1 McMahon, K. Scott, 15 McPherson, Renny, 25 Medeiros, Evan S., 27 Meredith, Lisa S., 5, 16 Miller, Laura L., 18 Miller, Laurel E., 15, 27 Miller, Trey, 18 Min, Endy Y., 20, 22 Miyashiro, Lisa, 4 Mohandas, Siddharth, 23 Montelibano, Juan, 30 Montoya, Silvia, 12 Moore, Louis R., 29 Moore, Melinda, 22 Moroney, Jennifer D. P., 7, 9, 23, 30 Mullen, Kathleen J., 28 Muñoz, Arturo, 24 Murphy, Robert E., 14 N Nader, Alireza, 9, 21, 24, 25 Nafisi, Rasool, 25 Naftel, Scott, 19 Nataraj, Shanthi, 3 National Defense Research Institute, 34 Nelson, Christopher, 28 Nichiporuk, Brian, 25, 31 Nicosia, Nancy, 4, 6 Noricks, Darcy, 34 O O’Brien, Kevin A., 23 O’Connell, Edward, 29 Ohlandt, Chad J. R., 12, 14 Oliker, Olga, 11, 15, 26 Olmstead, Sarah, 7 Olmsted, Stuart S., 22 Ondaatje, Elizabeth Heneghan, 20 Orr, Nate, 2, 19 Ortiz, David S., 3, 4 Osburg, Jan, 14 Osowski, Christine, 17 www.rand.org Overhaus, Marco, 15, 27 Overton, Adrian, 4 Oweidat, Nadia, 25 P Panis, Christina, 18 Parker, Andrew M., 5 Patel, Kavita, 21 Paul, Christopher, 12, 17, 30, 31, 34 Peng, Art (Xiao), 2 Perlman, Michal, 24 Pernin, Christopher G., 5 Peters, John E., 23, 29 Pettyjohn, Stacie L., 24 Pezard, Stephanie, 7, 15 Phillips, Andrea, 2 Piggott, Leanne, 27 Pillai, Sanjith, 22 Pincus, Harold Alan, 22 Polich, J. Michael, 34 Pollard, Michael, 33 Pollitt, Alexandra, 11 Popper, Steven W., 20, 34 Porche, Isaac R., III, 30 Pung, Hans, 11, 26 Puri, Samir, 25 Q Quinlivan, James T., 9, 11 R Rabasa, Angel, 15, 21–24, 27 Raman, Raj, 14 Ramchand, Rajeev, 5 R AND Mathematics Study Panel, 20 Rathmell, Andrew, 23 Reilly, Caroline, 15 Resnick, Adam C., 29 Reuter, Peter H., 27 Richardson, Amy, 1 Ridgeway, Greg, 32 Ries, Charles P., 27 Riley, K. Jack, 22, 28 Ritschard, Hans V., 5 Robbert, Albert A., 32, 35 Robinson, Glenn, 26 Robinson, Neil, 11 Romley, John A., 6 Ronfeldt, David, 34 Rosenau, William, 27 Rosenbloom, Sandra, 6 Roshan, Parisa, 3 Rostker, Bernard D., 18, 33, 35 Rothenberg, Jeff, 18, 30 Rudavsky, Rena, 33 Ruder, Teague, 1 Runkle, Benjamin, 23 Russell, Jennifer, 20 S Saha, Soumen, 14 Salem, Hanine, 24 Salisbury, Mary, 21 Salmoni, Barak A., 26 Sama, Preethi R., 22 Samaras, Constantine, 3, 4 Sass, Tim R., 20 Saunders, Phillip C., 26 Schaefer, Agnes Gereben, 12, 28 Schank, John F., 14 Schbley, Ghassan, 25 Scheer, Charles, 33 Scherer, Ethan, 19 Schirmer, Peter, 18 Schneider, Matthew J., 30 Schoenbaum, Michael, 26 Schultz, Dana, 1, 19, 22 Schwartz, Heather L., 1, 27 Seong, Somi, 27 Serena, Chad C., 17 Setodji, Claude Messan, 1 Shanley, Michael G., 18 Shatz, Howard J., 6, 16, 25 Sherbourne, Cathy D., 5 Sherry, Lance, 30 Shinn, James, 8 Shurkin, Michael, 10 Silberglitt, Richard, 30 Simon, Steven, 26, 32 Sims, Carra S., 18 Sleeper, Sally, 16 Smallman, Laurence, 7 Smith, K. Wayne, 35 Sollinger, Jerry M., 6 Sorbero, Melony E., 4, 21 Sorensen, Paul, 22, 28 Spencer, Michelle, 9 Spirtas, Michael, 25 Springer, Matthew G., 2 Springgate, Benjamin, 16 Staetsky, Laura, 11 Starkey, Tony, 11, 26 Stecher, Brian M., 2, 20, 28 Steeb, Randall, 29 Steele, Brett, 23 Steele, Jennifer L., 2 Steinberg, Paul, 4, 9, 20, 22, 32, 33 Steiner, Christina E., 13 Steiner, Elizabeth D., 18 Stern, Stefanie, 16 Stillion, John, 26 Straus, Susan G., 17, 18 Sude, Barbara, 25 Suisman, Doug, 26 Sullivan, Thomas, 29 Suvankulov, Farrukh, 29 Swanger, Rachel M., 23 Szayna, Thomas S., 31 T Talley, Eric, 29 Tanielian, Terri, 1, 21 Taylor, Alice, 21 Taylor, Julie E., 7, 16 Teltschik, Richard, 23 Thaler, David E., 9, 24, 25 Tharp-Taylor, Shannah, 2 Thelen, Véronique, 7 Thie, Harry J., 6, 17, 21 Thomson, James A., 7, 27 Thurston, Cathryn Quantic, 29 Tierney, Shane, 14 Timbie, Justin William, 4 Timilsina, Anga R., 23 Toman, Michael, 21 Treverton, Gregory F., 16 Tsang, Flavia, 11 Tseng, Michael S., 30 Turner, Susan, 4 U Ucko, David, 15 Uscher-Pines, Lori, 16 V Valeri, Lorenzo, 11 Van Bibber, Lawrence, 3 van Stolk, Christian, 11 Varda, Danielle M., 33 Vernez, Georges, 20 Villamizar, Andres, 29 W Wachs, Martin, 6, 22, 28 Ward, Kevin, 33 Warnes, Richard, 11 Watkins, Jessica, 25 Watts, Stephen, 7 Webb, Katharine Watkins, 17, 33 Weed, Kristin, 11, 26 Wehrey, Frederic, 9, 24, 25 Wells, Madeleine, 26 Welser, William, IV, 33 West, Terry R., 18 Whitman, Julie, 29 Wilke, Elizabeth, 7, 16, 27 Williams, Eugene, III, 4 Williams, John D., 35 Williams, Malcolm V., 4, 16 Willis, Henry H., 3, 32 Wilson, Bradley, 30 Wilson, Jeremy M., 22, 32, 33 Winn, Aidan Kirby, 9 Witte, John, 20 Wolf, Charles, Jr., 12 Wollman, Matt, 16 Wong, Carolyn, 30 Wooding, Steven, 11 Wrenn, Glenda, 5 Wynn, Barbara O., 4, 6 X Xia, Nailing, 6 Y Yang, David, 12 Yeung, Douglas, 16, 18 Yoh, Allison, 22, 28 Young, Stephanie, 17 Young, Thomas-Durell, 9, 29 Younossi, Obaid, 3, 11, 26 Yuan, Kun, 2 Z Zakaras, Laura, 20 Zambrano, John A., 22 Zellman, Gail L., 20, 24, 28 Zimmer, Ron, 20 Zimmerman, S. 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