A FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC SURVEY OF SOUTH AUCRLANO TOWN MILK PRODUCERS AND FACTOKY SUPPLY DAIRY FARMERS 1983-84 R.G. Moffitt R e s e a r c h R e p o r t No. 17 6 O c t o b e r 1985 A g r i c u l t u r a l Economics Research Unit Lincoln College Canterbury ISSN 0069-3790 T H E AGKIC'ljI,TLTi?/1I. EO'ONOMIC'S h ' t ; c k A K i ' ! I liAllT 1.1ncoln C,ollege, Canterbury, N.% The Agricultural Economics Research I.Jnit (AERU) was established in 1962 at Lincoin College, University of Cantcrbury. 'I'he aims of the Unit are to assist by way ofeconomic research those groups involved in the inany aspects of New Zealand primary production and product processing, distribution and marketing. Major sources of funding have been annual grants from the Department of Scientific and Industrial Research and the College. However,, a substantial proportion of t h e Unit's budget is derived from specific project research under contract to government departments, producer boards: farmer organisations and to conimercial and industrial groups. T h e Unit is involved in a wide spectrutn of' agricultural economics and management research, with some concentration o n production economics, natural resource economics, marketing, processing and transportation. The results of research projects are pubtished as Research Reports or Discussion Papers. (For further information regarding the Unit's publications see the inside back cover). The Unit also sponsors periodic conferences and seminars on topics of regional and national interest, often in conjunction with other organisations. T h e Unit is guidedin policy formation by a Review Committee first established in 1982. T h e AERU, the Department of Agricultural Economics and Marketing, and the Department of Farm Management and Rura.! Valuation maintain a close working relationship on research and associated matters. The heads of these two Departments are represented on the Review Committee, and together with the Director and Principal, constitute an AERU Management Committee. UNIT REVIEW COMMITTEE B.D. Chamberlin (Junior Vice-President, Federated Farmers of New Zealand Inc.) J. Clarke, C.M.G. (Member, New Zealand Planning Council) J.B. Dent, B.Sc., M.Agr.Sc., Ph.D. (Profsssor a Mead of 9ep&ent of Fan;. Management & Rural Valuation, Lincoln College) Professor 3.j.Ross, M.Agr. Sc. (Principal of Lincoln College) R G . Lattimcre; %.Agr.Sc., FX.Agr.Sc., Ph.D. (Director, Agricu1tural.Economics Eesearch Unit, Lincoln College) (ex officio) A.T.G. McArthur, B.Sc.jAgr.), M.Agr.Sc., Ph.D. f IIead ofDspatment of Agricultural Economics & Marketing, Lincoln College) E.J. Neilson, B.A.,B.Com., F.C.A., F.C.I.S. (Lincoln College Council) RL. Sheppard, B.Agr.Sc.(Hons), B.B.S. (Assistaat Director, Agricultural Economics Research Unit, Lincoln College) (exofficio) P. Shirtcliffe, I%.Com.,ACA (Nominee of Advisory Committee) E.J. Stonyer, B.Agr. Sc. (Director, Economics Division, Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries) J.H. Troughtcn, K.Agr.Sc., Ph.B.,D.Sc., F.R.S.N. 2. ( A s s i s t a ~ Director-Genera.1, t Department of Scientific & Industrial Research) UNIT RESEARCH STAFF: 1985 Directof R.G. Lattiinore, B.Agr.Sc., M.Agr.Sc.,Ph. D. Assistant fibe~tO7 R L . Sheppard, B.Agr.Sc.(Hons), B.B.S. Research Fellow in Agrimlttlral Policy J.G. Pryde, O.B.E., M.A., F.N.Z.I.M. Senior Research Zconomist R D . Lough, B.Agr.Sc. Research Economists D.E.Fowler, B.B.S.: Dip. Ag. Econ. 6. G:eer, B.Agr.Sc.(Hons) S.K. Martin, B.Ec., M.A.(Hons.), Dip.Tchg. RG. Moffifiet,B.Hort.Sc., N.D.H. I? esearcb Sociologist J.R Fairneather, B.Wgr.Sc., B.A.,M.A.,Ph.D. Assistant Research Economists J.E. Chamberlain, B.Agr.Sc. T.P. Grundy, B.Sc.(Hons), hif.Com. P.J. McCartin, B.Agr.Com. S.M. Scanlan, B.Com.(Agr). G. Tait, B.Hort.Sc. Post Graduate Fellow P. Seed, B.Com.(Agr) Secsetaries L.M. Bellamy R Searle CONTENTS PAGE LIST OF TABLES (i) LIST OF FIGURES (iii) PREFACE (v) SUWY (vii) CHAPTER 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 CHAPTER 2 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 CHAPTER 3 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 CHAPTER 4 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 APPENDIX BACKGROU MI 1 Purpose of t h i s Study Producer P r i c e s The Sample PHYSICAL AM) PRODUCTION DATA 5 Farm Area Labour The Farmer Milk Production Supplementary Feed U s e P I NANC I A L DATA 15 Capital Structure Gross Revenue Expenditure N e t Farm Income A COMPARISON OF ECONOMIC PROFITABILITY 25 Introduction Return on C a p i t a l C a p i t a l Turnover R a t i o Estimated Labour and Management R e s i d u a l Other F i n a n c i a l R a t i o s Conclusion 25 28 29 30 30 30 33 LIST OF TABLES Table 1 Page Balance Dates of South Auckland Farmer's Annual Accounts 1983-84 N a t i o n a l Average Town Milk Producer P r i c e s 2 South Auckland Dairy Farm P o p u l a t i o n and Sample Numbers 1983-84 4 Average Areas of Town Milk & F a c t o r y Supply Dairy Farms 5 Run-Of f Area 6 Types of Labour U n i t s 7 Non-Family Adult Worker, Annual Wage P a i d and Years of Experience Farmer's Age, Years of Management C o n t r o l and Number of Dependants 9 Milk P r o d u c t i o n Monthly Milk P r o d u c t i o n & Number of Milking Cows 11 Supplementary Feed U s e 13 Supplementary Feed U s e Converted t o Dry M a t t e r and Hay Bale E q u i v a l e n t s 14 Capital Structure Liabilities - Value of A l l Assets and 16 Gross Revenue Components 18 Types of Milk Payments Received by South Auckland Town Milk Farms 19 Farm E x p e n d i t u r e Components 21 Net Farm Income Components 23 Measures of Economic P r o f i t a b i l i t y 26 R e l a t i v e S t a n d a r d E r r o r s (RSE) of Some Key V a r i a b l e s 33 LIST OF FIGURES Figure Page 1 Monthly Average Milk P r o d u c t i o n f o r Town Milk and Factory Supply Farms 2 Gross Revenue and Net Farm Income per Dairy P r o d u c t i v e Hectare PREFACE The town milk industry has been linked to returns in the factory supply industry for many years by a pricing formula. While the formula has been changed from time to time, it is basically designed to provide equity between these two groups of milk producers. It is difficult to maintain such equity given that the production systems are so different. For this reason it is useful to carry out an analysis of comparative returns from time to time. Such an analysis is particularly relevant at this time giu*:~the examination of the Town Milk industry by the IDC. K G Lattimore Director SUMMARY A s u r v e y sample of South Auckland town milk and f a c t o r y s u p p l y d a i r y farms w a s undertaken e a r l y i n 1985. The o b j e c t was t o compare t h e f i n a n c i a l and economic d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e two t y p e s of d a i r y farms i n 1983/84. A f u r t h e r o b j e c t i v e was t o a s s e s s t h e i n c r e a s e d c o s t s of autumn and w i n t e r m i l k p r o d u c t i o n which have t o be m e t on a town m i l k farm. I n t h e 1983/84 year t h e 29 town milk farms and 18 f a c t o r y d a i r y farms had a s i m i l a r a v e r a g e d a i r y p r o d u c t i v e a r e a . T o t a l l a b o u r u n i t s on t h e two a v e r a g e farms were s i m i l a r a l t h o u g h h i g h e r wages were p a i d on town s u p p l y farms. A number of a r e made b u t w h i l e farming e n t e r p r i s e s , farm i s d i f f e r e n t . p h y s i c a l measures of comparisons of o u t p u t between t h e two farm systems t h e r e a r e many s i m i l a r i t i e s between t h e two d a i r y t h e day-to-day management of r e s o u r c e s on e a c h This imposes d i f f i c u l t i e s when comparing some output. Over 12 months both a v e r a g e farms produced a s i m i l a r q u a n t i t y of milk. The a c t u a l b u t t e r f a t produced on t h e a v e r a g e f a c t o r y s u p p l y farm f o r t h e y e a r was 19,757 kilograms o r 320 kilograms p e r p r o d u c t i v e hectare. I f t h e t o t a l l i t r e s on t h e town milk farm i s c o n v e r t e d t o m i l k f a t a t a 4.28 p e r c e n t t e s t , t h e a n n u a l t o t a l would be 16,854 kilograms (278 kilograms p e r p r o d u c t i v e h e c t a r e ) . The s t o c k i n g rate on m i l k i n g demands c a r e f u l a town m i l k farm i s low. A l l year-round p a s t u r e management i n c l u d i n g t h e s e t t i n g a s i d e of l a n d f o r hay and I n December 1983 t h e a v e r a g e number of m i l k i n g cows s i l a g e production. was 85.17 on a town milk farm compared w i t h 131.06 on a s i m i l a r s i z e f a c t o r y s u p p l y farm . Both a v e r a g e d a i r y farms grew and purchased a v a r i e t y of supplementary feed. The t o t a l hay b a l e e q u i v a l e n t s of supplementary f e e d on t h e a v e r a g e town milk farm was 4,994 b a l e s . The f a c t o r y s u p p l y on p a s t u r e f o r most of h i s m i l k i n g herds feed farmer relies r e q u i r e m e n t s and needs o n l y h a l f t h e supplementary f e e d . T o t a l a s s e t s were 65 p e r c e n t h i g h e r on a town milk farm w i t h t h e v a l u e of f r e e h o l d l a n d ( a t $10,918 p e r h e c t a r e ) c a u s i n g most of t h e difference. Land on t h e a v e r a g e f a c t o r y s u p p l y farm was valued a t $5,098 p e r h e c t a r e . A h i g h e r payment p e r l i t r e f o r milk produced was r e c e i v e d by t h e a v e r a g e town milk producer (22.41 c e n t s p e r l i t r e compared w i t h 17.88 c e n t s p e r l i t r e ) . However t h e $14,353 advantage i n g r o s s revenue was eroded by t h e $19,653 h i g h e r t o t a l e x p e n d i t u r e . Some of t h e main town m i l k farm c o s t s c o n t r i b u t i n g t o t h i s e x p e n d i t u r e d i f f e r e n c e w e r e f e e d , i n t e r e s t payments, r e n t and n e t d e p r e c i a t i o n . The a v e r a g e town milk farm r e c e i v e d a n e t farm income of $25,191. T h i s w a s 21 p e r c e n t ( o r $5,300) less t h a n t h a t of t h e a v e r a g e f a c t o r y supply farm ($30,491). It i s d i f f i c u l t t o compare two d i f f e r e n t t y p e s of d a i r y farms which have d i f f e r e n t o b j e c t i v e s and r e c e i v e a d i f f e r e n t payout p e r l i t r e of milk. However, some comparisons of economic p r o f i t a b i l i t y such as r e t u r n on c a p i t a l (3.27 p e r c e n t f o r town milk farms and 4,11 p e r c e n t f o r f a c t o r y supply farms) and a c a p i t a l t u r n o v e r p e r c e n t a g e (21.32 p e r c e n t town milk and 17.69 per c e n t - f a c t o r y s u p p l y ) have been made. Other f i n a n c i a l r a t i o s have a l s o been c a l c u l a t e d i n t h e f i n a l chapter. (vii) - CHAPTER 1 BACKGKOU ND 1.1 Purpose of t h i s Study I n l a t e 1984 t h e Town Milk Producers' F e d e r a t i o n of NZ ( I n c ) a l o n g w i t h t h e NZ Milk Board commissioned t h e A g r i c u l t u r a l Economics Research Unit t o u n d e r t a k e a f i n a n c i a l and economic s u r v e y of a sample The of South Auckland town milk and f a c t o r y s u p v l y d a i r y farms. purpose of t h e s t u d y w a s t o e n a b l e an a c c u r a t e f i n a n c i a l comparison t o A be made of t h e two t y p e s of d a i r y p r o d u c t i o n i n t h e one d i s t r i c t . f u r t h e r o b j e c t i v e of t h e s t u d y was t o c o n t i n u e t h e i n v e s t i g a t i o n i n t o t h e c o s t s of autumn and w i n t e r milk p r o d u c t i o n i n t h i s d i s t r i c t . The y e a r b e f o r e a p r e l i m i n a r y s t u d y had been u n d e r t a k e n of 29 South Auckland town m i l k farms. 1 Whilst t h e f i n a n c i a l performance of t h e two d a i r y systems can be compared i t i s more d i f f i c u l t t o e v a l u a t e t h e management of t h e physical resources. Both d a i r y farming s y s t e m s s h a r e many similar f e a t u r e s b u t t h e day t o day management of t h e p r o d u c t i v e assets of e a c h farming system i s d i f f e r e n t . The o b j e c t i v e s of t h e two t y p e s of farming a r e n o t t h e same. One farmer must s t a g g e r h i s c a l v i n g p a t t e r n and supplementary f e e d needs t o m a i n t a i n a c o n t i n u a l d a i l y m i l k p r o d u c t i o n w h i l e t h e o t h e r a r r a n g e s a l l h i s c a l v i n g f o r t h e s p r i n g and h i s p r o d u c t i o n f o l l o w s t h e p a s t u r e growth curve. In measures 1.2 t h e f i n a l c h a p t e r t h i s problem i s d i s c u s s e d and a number of of comparative economic profitability are calculated. Producer P r i c e s 2 Because t h e a n n u a l b a l a n c e d a t e s of t h e NZ Milk Board (August), t h e NZ Dairy Board (May) and most d a i r y f a r m e r s ( s e e Table 1 ) do n o t correspond, t h e c a l c u l a t i o n of t h e f a r m e r s 1983-84 producer p r i c e s e x t e n d o v e r a t least two y e a r s . I n 1983-84 t h e p r i c e r e c e i v e d by town m i l k producers ( T a b l e 2 ) w a s f u r t h e r i n f l u e n c e d by t h e p r e v i o u s y e a r s c o n t i n u i n g wage and price f r e e z e . U n t i l t h e August 1982-83 y e a r t h e r e had been no change i n t h e It had been b a s i c method of f i x i n g t h e town m i l k producer p r i c e . l i n k e d t o t h e a v e r a g e manufacturing p r i c e f o r whole milk. An i n c r e a s e i n p r i c e of one per c e n t p e r kilogram of m i l k f a t r e s u l t e d i n a n i n c r e a s e of 0.06 c e n t s p e r l i t r e i n t h e town m i l k producer p r i c e . 1 A Survey of t h e C o s t s of Producing Autumn & Winter Milk on Some South Auckland Town Supply Farms. R G Moffitt, Agricultural Economics Research U n i t , unpublished, May 1984. 2 NZ Milk Board 3 0 t h and 3 1 s t Annual Keports, 1983 and 1984 TABLE 1 Balance Dates of South Auckland Farmer's Annual Accounts 1983-84 ....................................................................... ....................................................................... South Auckland Town Milk Farms South Auckland F a c t o r y Supply Dairy Farms ....................................................................... Number of Farms Surveyed 29 18 Month Ending: % % March April May June August Total I n June 1983 t h e Dairy Board announced a n advance end-of-season s u r p l u s payment f o r t h e 1982-83 season. This brought t h e a v e r a g e farm g a t e v a l u e f o r t h e s e a s o n up from 333.48 c e n t s t o 360 c e n t s p e r T r a d i t i o n a l l y t h i s i n c r e a s e would have been k i i o g r a m of m i l k f a t . However, because w h o l l y t r a n s l a t e d i n t o t h e town milk producer price. of t h e wage and p r i c e f r e e z e , and t h e f a c t t h a t town m i l k p r o d u c e r s were e s s e n t i a l l y s e r v i c i n g t h e domestic market, Government r u l e d t h a t f o r t h e remainder of t h e f r e e z e and u n t i l 29 February 1984, town milk p r o d u c e r p r i c e s were r e s t r i c t e d t o t h e maximum approved f o r t h e 1981-82 year. These were based on a n a v e r a g e farm g a t e v a l u e of 333.48 c e n t s p e r kilogram of m i l k f a t f o r wholemilk. A f t e r t a k i n g i n t o account a d j u s t m e n t s f o r v a r i a t i o n s i n c o l l e c t i o n c o s t s , t h e town milk s u p p l i e r r e c e i v e d 1.8102 c e n t s p e r l i t r e less f o r t h e August 1982-83 y e a r t h a n i f t h e t r a d i t i o n a l p r i c e l i n k had a p p l i e d . TABLE 2 N a t i o n a l Average Town Milk Producer P r i c e s ....................................................................... Year Commencing 1 September F i n e s t Grade Final Price (cents per l i t r e ) ....................................................................... 1980 18.7347 1981 22.9593 1982 22.9593 1983 (To 2 9 February 1984) 23.4303 1983 ( 1 March t o 31 Aug 1984) 24.0405 For t h e p e r i o d 1 September 1983 t o 29 February 1984 t h e i n i t i a l town milk producer p r i c e was based on t h e ~ n a c l ~ ~ f a c t u r ipnrgi c e of 333.48 c e n t s p e r kilogram of m i l k f a t . However Government l a t e r allowed a n end-of-season s u r p l u s payout of 10 c e n t s per kilogram of m i l k f a t t o be t r a n s l a t e d i n t o t h e town m i l k p r i c e f o r t h e year. The f i n a l 1983184 town milk p r i c e was based on farm g a t e v a l u e s of 343.48 c e n t s p e r kilogram of m i l k f a t f o r t h e p e r i o d September 1983/ February 1984, and 350 c e n t s p e r kilogram f o r t h e March/August 1984 p e r i o d (Table 2). 1.3 The Sample The sampling u n i t f o r t h e s u r v e y was t h e farm, and t h e s o u r c e s of i n f o r m a t i o n t h e farmer and h i s annual farm accounts. main The survey a r e a was i n t h e South Auckland a r e a , s o u t h of Manurewa t o Pokeno. Most of t h e surveyed town milk farms were i n t h e Karaka, Drury & P a e r a t a d i s t r i c t s . The f a c t o r y supply d a i r y farms were mostly i n t h r e e d i s t r i c t s Manukau P e n i n s u l a , Aka Aka and Paparimu. To be e l i g i b l e f o r s e l e c t i o n t h e f o l l o w i n g c r i t e r i a needed to be m e t : (1) The farm engaged no s h a r e m i l k e r (ii) The farm r e c e i v e d a t least 75 p e r c e n t of g r o s s revenue from milk sales and r e l a t e d d a i r y a c t i v i t y . From p r e v i o u s town milk f a r m e r s u r v e y s and i n f o r m a t i o n r e c e i v e d from t h e producer company s e c r e t a r i e s , d e t a i l s on t h e number of e l i g i b l e South Auckland town milk producers was known. I n f o r m a t i o n on t h e number of e l i g i b l e f a c t o r y supply d a i r y f a r m e r s was n o t as d e t a i l e d b u t d i s c u s s i o n s w i t h producer company e x e c u t i v e s d i d h e l p d e f i n e t h e e l i g i b l e p o p u l a t i o n (Table 3). TABLE 3 South Auckland Dairy Farm P o p u l a t i o n and Sample Numbers 1983-84 South Auckland Town Milk Farms South Auckland F a c t o r y Supply Dairy Farms ....................................................................... T o t a l Number of Dairy Farms 261 359 Number of Farms w i t h Sharemilkers 119 118 Number of Farms w i t h Less t h a n 75% of Revenue from Dairy A c t i v i t i e s 43 Number of Farms E l i g i b l e t o Survey 99 180 Number of Farms Surveyed 29 18 a The e s t i m a t e d number of farms w i t h less t h a n 75% of revenue from d a i r y a c t i v i t i e s f o r t h e f a c t o r y supply farms was based on t h e known p r o p o r t i o n f o r t h e town m i l k farms. A random sample was s e l e c t e d and f a r m e r s c o n t a c t e d by m a i l . Provided t h a t t h e farm was found t o be e l i g i b l e and t h e farmer a g r e e d t o p a r t i c i p a t e i n t h e s u r v e y , a farm v i s i t w a s undertaken. Where farms were found t o be i n e l i g i b l e f u r t h e r replacement farmers were c o n t a c t e d u n t i l s u f f i c i e n t numbers were o b t a i n e d . CHAPTER 2 PHYSICAL AND PRODUCTION DATA 2.1 Farm Area T a b l e 4 compares t h e farm a r e a of t h e two South Auckland d a i r y f a r m t y p e s , town milk farms and f a c t o r y s u p p l y d a i r y farms. The d a i r y p r o d u c t i v e area f o r both a v e r a g e farms was s i m i l a r (60.59 ha f o r t h e average town supply farm and 61.68 ha f o r t h e a v e r a g e f a c t o r y supply farm) a l t h o u g h t h e t o t a l a r e a , unproductive a r e a and non-dairying l a n d a r e a was d i f f e r e n t . In t o t a l freehold a r e a the f a c t o r y supply farm had o v e r 21 p e r c e n t more l a n d a t 69.87 h e c t a r e s . The town milk farm however r e n t e d more l a n d (9.04 ha compared w i t h 3.15 ha). TABLE 4 Average Areas of Town Milk & Factory Supply Dairy Farms ....................................................................... Area p e r Farm S-Auckland Town Milk Farms S.Auckland F a c t o r y Supply D a i r y Farms ....................................................................... Number of farms surveyed Freehold Area Crown & Maori Lease Rented Area T o t a l Farm Area L e s s Unproductive Area P r o d u c t i v e Area L e s s E s t i m a t e d Non-Dairying Area P l u s Estimated "Grazing Gut" Area E s t i m a t e d Dairy P r o d u c t i v e Area U t i l i s e d f o r Milk Productions a Hereafter abbreviated t o d a i r y productive hectares. There w a s s u b s t a n t i a l l y more l a n d which w a s c l a s s e d as u n p r o d u c t i v e and non-dairying on t h e a v e r a g e f a c t o r y supply farm (13.38 ha) compared w i t h t h e town s u p p l y farm (8.23 ha). This probably r e f l e c t s b o t h t h e l o c a t i o n of t h e town supply farms ( w i t h t h e i r h i g h e r l a n d v a l u e s , i n t e r e s t and rate payments) and t h e need t o m a i n t a i n c o n t i n u a l milk p r o d u c t i o n a l l y e a r . This encourages t h e f a r m e r t o keep h i s u n p r o d u c t i v e and non-dairying l a n d a r e a t o a minimum. TABLE 5 Run-Off Area a S.Auckland Town Milk Farms S.Auckland F a c t o r y Supply Dairy Farms ....................................................................... Number of Farms Surveyed Number of Farms w i t h a Run-off - Area Run-off Area ( h a ) D i s t a n c e from Home Farm t o Run-Off a (km) 29 18 21 8 17.5 7 23.6 4 The a v e r a g e f o r t h e s e r e s u l t s i s c a l c u l a t e d a c c o r d i n g t o t h e number of p r a c t i s i n g farms. Nearly t h r e e i n e v e r y f o u r town milk f a r m e r s have a run-off a r e a where young s t o c k and d r y cows g r a z e ( T a b l e 5). Fewer f a c t o r y s u p p l y farms have l a n d used a s a run-off (44.4 p e r c e n t ) but t h e a r e a (23.6 h e c t a r e s ) i s g r e a t e r t h a n t h a t on a town milk farm (17.5 hectares). The run-off a r e a is c l o s e r ( 4 km) compared w i t h t h e town milk i n t e n s i v e farming of l a n d around l a t t e r f a r m e r f u r t h e r away t o f i n d 2.2 t o t h e farm on a f a c t o r y supply farm farm (7km). The h i g h v a l u e and more t h e town milk farms h e l p f o r c e t h e s u i t a b l e l a n d f o r a run-off. Labour T o t a l l a b o u r u n i t s on a town s u p p l y farm were m a r g i n a l l y h i g h e r Table (1.87 u n i t s ) t h a n on a f a c t o r y supply d a i r y farm (1.78 u n i t s 6 ) . There was no marked d i f f e r e n c e i n t h e composition of l a b o u r f o r t h e two a v e r a g e farms. A similar p r o p o r t i o n of b o t h permanent l a b o u r and f a m i l y l a b o u r w a s used. - Most f a r m e r s thought t h e y worked s i m i l a r h o u r s t o t h e i r farm It i s l i k e l y t h a t t h e d a i r y m i l k i n g t a s k s of town milk neighbours. f a r m e r s d u r i n g t h e w i n t e r months r e s u l t I n l o n g e r h o u r s b e i n g worked over t h i s p e r i o d t h a n do f a c t o r y s u p p l y f a r m e r s . On a f a c t o r y s u p p l y farm t h e w i n t e r months a r e t h e u s u a l t l m e t o c a t c h up on maintenance and r e p a i r s t o equipment. TABLE 6 Types of Labour U n i t s S.Auckland Town Milk Farms Type of Labour S.Auckland Factory Supply Dairy Farms ....................................................................... Number of Farms Surveyed 29 18 1.41 1.37 1.87 1.78 Farmer Permanent Family Casual Family T o t a l Family Labour U n i t s Permanent Non-Family Casual Non-Family T o t a l Non-Family Labour U n i t s T o t a l Labour U n i t s P r o p o r t i o n of Permanent Labour P r o p o r t i o n of Family Labour Table 7 l i s t s d e t a i l s of wages p a i d and t h e y e a r s of e x p e r i e n c e of non-family a d u l t workers employed on t h e s e d a i r y farms. Higher wages were paid on t h e s i x town milk farms which employed a permanent non-family a d u l t worker. This w a s a n a v e r a g e of $14,215 p e r y e a r compared w i t h $10,600 p e r y e a r on t h e t h r e e f a c t o r y supply farms. The a v e r a g e d a i r y e x p e r i e n c e of t h e s e farm employees was less (2.8 years) on t h e town milk farms compared w i t h t h e o t h e r d a i r y farms (5.8 y e a r s ) . TABLE 7 Non-Family Adult Worker, Annual Wage P a i d and Years of Experience a S.Auckland Town Milk Farms S.Auckland F a c t o r y Supply Dairy Farms ....................................................................... Number of Farms Surveyed 29 Number of Farms w i t h a Non-Family Adult Worker Employed All Year 6 - - a Annual Average Wage Paid P r e v i o u s Years of Dairy Experience $ 14,215 2.8 18 $ 10,600 5.8 The a v e r a g e f o r t h e s e r e s u l t s i s c a l c u l a t e d a c c o r d i n g t o t h e number of p r a c t i s i n g farms. Town milk farmers appear t o pay highe; wages t o farm employees. T h i s may be because of t h e competitio,n from nearby i n d u s t r y i n t h e s o u t h e r n Auckland suburbs. ,There i s a l s o a problem of h i g h labour t u r n o v e r on t h e s e farms. Some of t h e town milk f a r m e r s have b u i l t e x t r a employe& accommodation on t h e i r farm b u t t h e y have found i t very d i f f i c u l t t o o b t a i n r e l i a b l e l a b o u r prepared t o work t h e l o n g e r hours. They o f t e n choose t o run t h e farm w i t h o u t any o u t s i d e a s s i s t a n c e . TABLE 8 ....................................................................... S.Auckland Town Milk Farms Number of Farms Surveyed 29 18 Age of Farmer ( p r i n c i p a l decision-maker) 48 45 Number of Years of The a v e r a g e a g e o farmers ( T a b l e 8 ) on t h e two t y p e s of The town milk d a i r y farms w a s v e r y s i m i l a r (48 y e a r s and 45 y e a r s ) . farmer has 2.7 dependants ( i n c l u d i n g h i s w i f e ) and has had management c o n t r o l of h i s farm f o r 22 years. The a v e r a g e f a c t o r y supply farmer h a s 2 . 3 dependants and h a s had c o n t r o l of h i s farm f o r t h e l a s t 17 years s i n c e he 2.4 Milk P r o d u c t i o n I n t h i s s e c t i o n a number of comparisons of o u t p u t between t h e It should be remembered t h a t w h i l e t h e r e two farm systems a r e made. a r e many s i m i l a r i t i e s between t h e two d a i l y faming e n t e r p r i s e s , t h e This day-to-day management of r e s o u r c e s on each farm i s d i f f e r e n t . imposes d i f f i c u l t i e s when comparing some p h y s i c a l measures of o u t p u t a able 9 ) . TABLE 9 Milk Production - J ....................................................................... Milk P r o d u c t i o n p e r Farm . S Auckland Town Milk Farms S-Auckland F a c t o r y Supply D a i r y Farms ....................................................................... Number of Farms Surveyed 29 Dairy P r o d u c t i v e Hectares ( h a ) 60.59 Town Town at Town at I f i l k Daily Quota ( 1 ) Milk P r o d u c t i o n Sold Quota P r i c e s ( 1 ) Milk P r o d u c t i o n Sold Surplus P r i c e s ( 1 ) 18 61.68 639 257,392 136,392 ------- T o t a l L i t r e s Produced ( 1 ) 393,784 T o t a l kgs of M i l k f a t (Town milk l i t r e s 4.28 % a M i l k f a t supply kgs Kg M i l k f a t p e r Dairy 16,854 278 (kg) converted t o & actual factory Prod. H a (kg) 19,757 320 Kg M i l k f a t p e r December Milking Cow ( k g ) Average No. Milking Cows i n June 1983 (No.) Average No. Milking Cows i n December 1983 (No.) Number of December Milking Cows p e r Dairy P r o d u c t i v e Ha, (No.) 76.78 85.17 1-41 T o t a l L i t r e s o f Milk Produced i n June 1983 ( 1 ) 27,090 T o t a l L i t r e s of Milk Produced i n December 1983 ( 1 ) 37,072 T o t a l Stock Units/Farm (No.) Stock U n i t s / D a i r y Prod. ha (No.) L i t r e s / D a i r y Prod, ha ( 1 ) 941 15.5 47,764 1,028 16.7 6,499 6,460 ....................................................................... a The a v e r a g e m i l k f a t test f o r t h e 1983-84 Auckland town milk producers w a s 4-28 p e r c e n t , Over 12 months b o t h a v e r a g e farms produced a s i m i l a r q u a n t i t y of m i l k from a s i m i l a r d a i r y p r o d u c t i v e a r e a (Table 9 ) . The town milk a v e r a g e farm produced 393,784 l i t r e s from 60,59 h e c t a r e s o r 6,499 -1itres per d a i r y p r o d u c t i v e h e c t a r e . The a v e r a g e f a c t o r y supply d a i r y farm produced 398,449 l i t r e s from 61.68 h e c t a r e s . T h i s was 6,460 l i t r e s per d a i r y productive hectare. Monthly p r o d u c t i o n (Table 10) on t h e town s u p p l y farm w a s continuous. It v a r i e d from a low of 25,697 l i t r e s i n A p r i l (from 79.35 cows), t o a h i g h of 39,643 l i t r e s i n October (from 85.72 cows). Monthly p r o d u c t i o n on t h e f a c t o r y supply farm showed marked v a r i a t i o n from v i r t u a l l y n o t h i n g i n June t o a peak of 55,424 l i t r e s i n October (from 132.11 cows), A g r a p h i c a l r e p r e s e n t a t i o n of monthly p r o d u c t i o n a p p e a r s i n Figure 1. I f t h e t o t a l l i t r e s on t h e town milk farm i s c o n v e r t e d t o m i l k f a t a t a 4.28 p e r c e n t t e s t , t h e t o t a l f o r t h e y e a r would be 16,854 kilograms, The 4 - 2 8 p e r c e n t t e s t was t h e a v e r a g e t e s t f o r t h e Auckland town milk p r o d u c e r s i n 1983/84. The a c t u a l p r o d u c t i o n on t h e a v e r a g e f a c t o r y supply farm was 19,757 kilograms, To c o n v e r t t o t h e same q u a n t i t y of m i l k f a t a s t h e f a c t o r y supply farm, t h e a v e r a g e f a t t e s t f o r t h e town milk farm would have t o i n c r e a s e from 4.28 p e r c e n t t o a h i g h 5.017 p e r c e n t , I n December t h e a v e r a g e number of m i l k i n g cows numbered 85.17 on t h e town milk farm and 131.06 on t h e o t h e r a v e r a g e d a i r y farm - a 54 per cent increase. I n o t h e r words i f a town milk farmer i n t h i s d i s t r i c t on 60.59 h e c t a r e s of d a i r y p r o d u c t i v e l a n d gave up h i s town m i l k quota t o produce f a c t o r y s u p p l y m i l k f a t h e c o u l d e x p e c t t o i n c r e a s e h i s milking herd i n December by 54 p e r c e n t . The town m i l k f a r m e r h a s a lower s t o c k i n g rate i n milking cows p e r p r o d u c t i v e h e c t a r e ( l e 4 1 compared w i t h 2.12) because of t h e need t o s h u t up more p a s t u r e f o r s i l a g e and hay production. The management of a v a i l a b l e p a s t u r e r e s o u r c e s i s more c r i t i c a l on a town milk farm i n o r d e r t o m a i n t a i n c o n t i n u a l m i l k production. R a i n f a l l r e c o r d s i n d i c a t e t h a t l a t e summer and autumn d r o u g h t s i n t h i s r e g i o n are n o t uncommon'+ w i t h town milk f a r m e r s f e e d i n g o u t s i l a g e as e a r l y as January. Fresh m i l k i n g s t o c k which need h i g h f e e d i n g l e v e l s f o r optimum milk p r o d u c t i o n e a r l y i n t h e i r l a c t a t i o n , a r e r e g u l a r l y being i n t r o d u c e d i n t o t h e herd, On a f a c t o r y s u p p l y farm t h e maximum p r o d u c t i o n of 13.53 litres p e r cow p e r day o c c u r s i n October (on town milk farms i t r e a c h e s 15.19 l i t r e s i n October) and by December p r o d u c t i o n i s s t a r t i n g t o f a l l ( a t 11.76 l i t r e s p e r cow p e r day). Unlike t h e town s u p p l y h e r d , f e e d management a f t e r December i s not a s c r i t i c a l . Already a b o u t h a l f t h e y e a r s milk has been c o l l e c t e d and t h e cows milk r e s p o n s e t o e x t r a n u t r i t i o n i s very l i m i t e d . A f t e r J a n u a r y p r o v i d i n g f a c t o r y s u p p l y m i l k i n g s t o c k w i t h e x c e s s f e e d cannot l e a d t o a p r o p o r t i o n a l i n c r e a s e i n milk production. ........................ 3 Pers. comm. V i l j o e n , P.T. and B l a c k i s t o n , R.P. 4 A Survey of t h e Costs of Producing Autumn and Winter Milk on Some South Auckland Town Supply Farms; R G Moff i t t , AEKU, unpublished, May 1984, p,7, (1985) TABLE 10 ....................................................................... S.Auckland Town Milk Farms Number of Farms Surveyed . S Auckland F a c t o r y Supply Dairy Farms 29 18 ------393,784 ------- ------- June 1983 Cows Milked Litres July Cows Milked L l t res August Cows Milked L i tres September Cows Milked Litres October Cows Milked Litres November Cows Milked Litres December Cows Milked L i tres J a n 1984 Cows Milked Litres February Cows Milked Litres March Cows Milked Litres April Cows Milked Litres May Cows Milked Litres T o t a l L i t r e s f o r 12 Months 398,449 ------- 2.5 Supplementary Feed Use T a b l e s 11 and 12 have d e t a i l s of t h e range and supplementary f e e d produced on t h e two t y p e s of farm. quantity of The town m i l k producer c l o s e s o f f from g r a z i n g some of h i s farm i n t h e l a t e s p r i n g and e a r l y summer. This saved p a s t u r e i s c u t f o r hay and s i l a g e f o r l a t e r f e e d i n g o u t t o t h e m i l k i n g herd d u r i n g t h e autumn d r o u g h t s and c o l d w i n t e r s when p a s t u r e growth i s very slow. TABLE 11 -- Supplementary Feed U s e S.Auckland Town Milk Farms S.Auckland F a c t o r y Supply Dairy Farms 29 393,784 18 398,449 ....................................................................... Number of Farms Surveyed T o t a l L i t r e s Produced L i t r e s Converted t o M i l k f a t & Actual F a c t o r y Supply (kgs) Cows i n Milk i n December 1983 D a i r y P r o d u c t i v e Hectares 16,578 85.17 60.59 19,757 131.06 61.68 Home Grown Bales of Hay Purchased Bales of Hay Tonnes of S i l a g e Made ( a s s e s s e d a t 15 t o n n e s p e r h e c t a r e ) 261 Tonnes of Dairy Meal Purchased (includes c a l f feed) Hectares of Greenfeed D r i l l e d 0.74 0.56 I n South Auckland t h e town m i l k producer made and purchased a t o t a l of 2253 b a l e s of hay and made 261 t o n n e s of s i l a g e . He a l s o purchased 6.62 t o n n e s of a d a i r y meal o r b r a n r a t i o n and grew 0.74 h e c t a r e s of greenfeed. The t o t a l hay b a l e e q u i v a l e n t s of a l l t h i s supplementary f e e d was 4,994 b a l e s . The f a c t o r y supply f a r m e r relies on p a s t u r e growth f o r most of h i s m i l k i n g h e r d s n u t r i t i o n a l needs a l t h o u g h as t h e s o i l w a t e r d e f i c i t d e v e l o p s and t e m p e r a t u r e s rise i n t h e l a t e summer and autumn some supplementary f e e d ( u s u a l l y s i l a g e ) i s f e d t o t h e milking herd. The t o t a l hay b a l e e q u i v a l e n t s on t h e a v e r a g e f a c t o r y supply farm a t 2,607 b a l e s was n e a r l y h a l f t h a t of t h e town m i l k producer. Much of t h i s conserved f e e d is f e d o u t t o t h e d r y cows i n t h e w i n t e r and l e a d i n g up t o calving. TABLE 12 and Hay Bale E q u i v a l e n t s S. Auckland Town Milk Farms S.Auckland F a c t o r y Supply Dairy Farms ....................................................................... Number of Farms Surveyed T o t a l Bales of Hay (grown & purchased) Dry Matter ( k g ) Hay B a l e E q u i v a l e n t s 29 2,253 51,706 (2,253) 18 1,781 40,874 (1,781) P a s t u r e S i l a g e (Tonnes) Dry M a t t e r (kg) Hay Bale E q u i v a l e n t s Dairy Meal o r Bran (Tonnes) Dry m a t t e r (kg) Hay Bale E q u i v a l e n t s Greenfeed o r T u r n i p s (Ha) Dry Matter (kg) Hay Bale E q u i v a l e n t s T o t a l Dry M a t t e r (kg) T o t a l Hay Bale E q u i v a l e n t s Among t h e 29 surveyed town m i l k farms a l l b u t one made hay and a similar number made s i l a g e . While hay making was common on t h e f a c t o r y s u p p l y farm (15 o u t of 18 farms) s i l a g e making was less common (10 o u t of 18 farms). The 1.13 t o n n e s of d a i r y meal o r b r a n l i s t e d f o r t h e a v e r a g e f a c t o r y s u p p l y f a n was made up s o l e l y of c a l f meal. Nearly h a l f of t h e town m i l k producers purchased d a i r y meal o r bran. The a v e r a g e q u a n t i t y purchased was 14.77 t o n n e s and most was f e d d u r i n g t h e autumn and w i n t e r months. CHAPTER 3 FINANCIAL DATA 3.1 Capital Structure T o t a l a s s e t s on t h e average town milk farm a t $737,787 were 65 p e r c e n t h i g h e r compared w i t h t h e o t h e r d a i r y farm (Table 13). The major s i n g l e item making up t h i s difference w a s freehold land (re-valued t o 31.12.1983). The a v e r a g e v a l u e of town milk farm l a n d from t h e 29 farms surveyed was $10,918 p e r h e c t a r e . T h i s high v a l u e i s a r e f l e c t i o n of t h e proximity t o t h e Auckland motorway and t h e i n c r e a s i n g demand f o r h o r t i c u l t u r a l land. On t h e more i s o l a t e d f a c t o r y supply d a i r y farms f r e e h o l d land w a s w o r t h $5,098 p e r h e c t a r e . Housing and farm b u i l d i n g s on t h e town milk farm were valued a t $45,559. This was 30 per c e n t h i g h e r than b u i l d i n g s on a f a c t o r y Farm v e h i c l e s were a l s o h i g h e r i n v a l u e on a town s u p p l y supply farm. farm ($19,836 compared w i t h $14,935), Dairy s t o c k v a l u e s however were lower ($18,061 compared w i t h $21,012) and t h i s would be due t o t h e fewer s t o c k and lower s t o c k i n g r a t e . On t h e town milk farm c u r r e n t l i a b i l i t i e s were more t h a n t w i c e Milk p r o d u c t i o n t h a t of t h e o t h e r d a i r y farin ($16,221 and $7,147). must be maintained a l l y e a r and t h e c o s t s of supplementary f e e d Some of t h e d i f f e r e n c e c o n s e r v a t i o n a r e h i g h d u r i n g t h e summer months. i n l i a b i l i t i e s may a l s o be due t o t h e d i f f e r e n t b a l a n c e d a t e s of t h e farmers annual accounts, Most townmilk farmers balance i n March whereas most f s c t ~ r ysupply f a r m e r s b a l a n c e i n May o r June. C r e d i t o r s a c c o u n t s f o r summer work and o t h e r summer expenses may not have been p a i d by March on t h e town milk farm b u t p a i d by May o r June on t h e f a c t o r y supply farm. The f a c t o r y s u p p l y farm a l s o r e c e i v e s many end-of-season and r e t r o s p e c t i v e payments i n t h e autumn when h i s c o s t s of milk p r o d u c t i o n a r e f a l l i n g and t h i s money could be used t o reduce b o t h h i s o v e r d r a f t and t h e number of c r e d i t o r s . The town milk farm has h i g h e r t o t a l f i x e d l i a b i l i t i e s compared w i t h t h e f a c t o r y supply farm ($110,955 and $78,370). The most common s o u r c e of funds on t h e town supply farm i s from a f a m i l y mortgage whereas t h e r u r a l bank i s t h e major l e n d e r t o f a c t o r y supply d a i r y farms. Equity i s almost 70 p e r c e n t h i g h e r on a town milk farm compared w i t h t h e f a c t o r y supply farm. 3.2 Gross Revenue Table 14 l i s t s t h e g r o s s revenue components and Table 15 d e t a i l s f o r t h e milk s a l e s of t h e a v e r a g e town milk farm. has T o t a l g r o s s revenue a t $102,949 w a s 16.2 p e r c e n t h i g h e r on t h e The town supply farm compared w i t h t h e f a c t o r y supply farm ($88,596). most s i g n i f i c a n t d i f f e r e n c e w a s milk sales which w a s 23.9 p e r c e n t g r e a t e r t h a n f a c t o r y supply. Milk sales make up 85.7 p e r c e n t of a l l revenue on t h e town milk farm and 80.4 p e r c e n t o n , t h e o t h e r farm. On a f a c t o r y s u p p l y farm l i v e s t o c k p r o f i t and c o n t r a c t i n g f e e s c o n t r i b u t e more t o revenue t h a n t h e y do on a town milk farm. TABLE 13 Capital Structure - Value of a l l Assets and L i a b i l i t i e s 1 - ....................................................................... S.Auckland Town Milk Farms . S Auckland F a c t o r y Supply D a i r y Farms ....................................................................... Number of Farms Surveyed T o t a l L i t r e s Produced L i t r e s Converted t o M i l k f a t ( k g s ) Cows i n Milk i n December 1983 D a i r y P r o d u c t i v e Hectares 29 18 393,784 16,578 85.17 60.59 398,449 19,757 131.06 61.68 Assets Freehold Land ( v a l u e d a t 31.12.1983) Farmers House (1/2) Other Farm Houses Farm B u i l d i n g s P l a n t & Equipment Farm V e h i c l e s D a i r y Stock Other Stock Company Shares T o t a l Farm Assets Cash a t Bank Sundry Debtors Other Current Assets ....................................................................... T o t a l All Assets 737,787 Table 13 c o n t i n u e d over page 446,601 ... TABLE 13 cont'd Capital Structure - Value of A l l A s s e t s and L i a b i l i t i e s S.Auckland Town Milk Farms . S Auckland F a c t o r y Supply D a i r y Farms ....................................................................... Current L i a b i l i t i e s Bank Overdraft Sundry C r e d i t o r s Other Current Liabilities T o t a l Current Liabilities Fixed L i a b i l i t i e s R u r a l Bank Mortgages Trading Bank Mortgages B u i l d i n g S o c i e t y Mortgages I n s u r a n c e Company Loans S t o c k Firm Loans Finance Co Loans S o l i c i t o r s Loans Family Mortgages Other L i a b i l i t i e s T o t a l Fixed L i a b i l i t i e s 110,955 78,370 737,787 446,601 .......................................... Total A l l L i a b i l i t i e s Equity Total Milk sales p e r l i t r e of milk produced f o r t h e two farms averaged 22.41177 c e n t s p e r l i t r e on town milk farms and 17.87606 c e n t s p e r l i t r e on t h e o t h e r d a i r y farm, a d i f f e r e n c e of 4.5357 c e n t s . TABLE 14 Gross Revenue Components ....................................................................... . Number of Farms Surveyed T o t a l L i t r e s Produced L i t r e s Converted t o M i l k f a t ( k g s ) Cows i n Milk i n December 1983 D a i r y P r o d u c t i v e Hectares S Auc kland Town Milk Farms S. Auckland F a c t o r y Supply Dairy Farms 29 393,784 16,578 85.17 60.59 18 398,449 19,757 131.06 61.68 ....................................................................... Milk S a l e s Produce Sold Wool & Skins Sold C o n t r a c t i n g Fees Rent & Lease Fees Employee's House Livestock P r o f i t - Dairy - Other Stock Other Revenue Gross Revenue ( Standard Deviation) $ 88,254 130 25 114 977 422 $ 71,227 145 159 1,077 690 97 10,752 577 1,698 12,479 470 2,252 102,949 (40,743) 88,596 (32,139) ....................................................................... The s t a n d a r d d e v i a t i o n is an important measure of the d i s p e r s i o n of t h e d a t a about t h e mean. The more d i s p e r s i o n t h e r e is i n a body of d a t a t h e b i g g e r t h e s t a n d a r d d e v i a t i o n . Given t h i s v a l u e i t i s p o s s i b l e t o c a l c u l a t e t h e p e r c e n t a g e i n t h e sample t h a t f a l l s w i t h i n 1,2 o r 3 s t a n d a r d d e v i a t i o n s of t h e sample mean. Within p l u s o r minus one s t a n d a r d d e v i a t i o n of t h e mean l i e 68.3 per c e n t of t h e sample, 95.4 p e r c e n t l i e w i t h i n 2 2 s t a n d a r d d e v i a t i o n s and 99.7 p e r c e n t l i e w i t h i n 23 s t a n d a r d d e v i a t i o n s . Other s t a t i s t i c s a r e l i s t e d i n t h e Appendix. The town milk farmer r e c e i v e d a h i g h e r quota m i l k p r i c e f o r 65,36 per c e n t of h i s milk. I f t h i s p r o p o r t i o n was a l s o t h e same f o r h i s end-of-season, r e t r o s p e c t i v e and o t h e r payments which t o t a l l e d $9,831 t h e n h i s average payment p e r l i t r e f o r quota milk w a s 25.4196 c e n t s per l i t r e . H i s payment f o r s u r p l u s milk ( a f t e r adding I n t h e p r o p o r t i o n of end-of-season and o t h e r payments of $3,405) w a s 16.7173 c e n t s p e r l i t r e . The major r e a s o n f o r t h e d i f f e r e n c e between t h e p e r l i t r e payout f o r s u r p l u s milk (16.7173 c e n t s ) and t h e payout r e c e i v e d by t h e f a c t o r y supply f a r m e r s (17.87606 c e n t s ) was due t o t h e d i f f e r e n t a n n u a l balance d a t e s of t h e two farm types. The l a t e r t h e farmer b a l a n c e s t h e more l i k e l y he i s t o r e c e i v e t h e f i n a l end-of-season and r e t r o s p e c t i v e payments. TABLE 15 Types of Milk Payments Received by South Auckland Town Milk Farmers v . * * ....................................................................... South Auckland Town Milk Farms ------------------------------------------,----------------------------- Number of Farms Surveyed 29 Town Milk Production Sold a t Quota P r i c e s Cash Received f o r Quota Milk 257,392 l i t r e s $ 59,002 Town Milk Production Sold a t Surplus P r i c e s Cash Received f o r S u r p l u s Milk 136,392 l i t r e s $ 19,396 Surplus Milk Converted t o kgs M i l k f a t ( a t 4.21 % t e s t ) 5,742 kgs S p e c i a l Allowances Received $ 90 P e n a l t i e s Paid $ -65 Farm C h i l l i n g Allowances End of Season, R e t r o s p e c t i v e and Other Payments 0 $ 9,831 ....................................................................... T o t a l IYIilk Payments Received (Milk S a l e s ) 3.3 Expenditure On t h e South Auckland town supply farm o p e r a t i n g expenses t o t a l l e d $38,962 o r $6,837 more t h a n comparable expenses from t h e o t h e r d a i r y farm type. Feed expenses made up more t h a n h a l f of t h i s d i f f e r e n c e , followed by repairs and maintenance, v e h i c l e expenses and f e r t i l i s e r and seed. A s noted e a r l i e r t h e town milk farmer h a s t o produce around t w i c e as much supplementary f e e d compared w i t h h i s f a c t o r y supply d a i r y neighbour. The c o s t of f e e d (which u s u a l l y i n c l u d e s c o n t r a c t haybaling and s i l a g e making c o s t s ) w a s 280.4% g r e a t e r on a town supply farm. I n a d d i t i o n t h e town milk farmer has h i g h e r l a b o u r c o s t s ($11,215 compared w i t h $7,852). The t o t a l of 1.87 l a b o u r u n i t s employed on a town milk farm were o n l y 5.1% g r e a t e r t h a n on a f a c t o r y supply d a i r y farm (1.78) but t h e proximity t o Auckland's i n d u s t r i a l suburbs may h e l p t o e x p l a i n t h e Karaka d l s t r i c t town milk farm's wage payments. The need t o c o n t i n u e m i l k i n g f o r t h e e x t r a t h r e e months d u r i n g t h e cold winter period r e s u l t s i n an i n c r e a s e i n e l e c t r i c i t y c o s t s (up 36.9 p e r c e n t ) . This i n c r e a s e i s due t o t h e e x t r a w a t e r h e a t i n g and l i g h t i n g needs i n t h e d a i r y shed d u r i n g t h e w i n t e r . The i n c r e a s e of o t h e r major expenses (eg. r e p a i r s and maintenance - up 24.9 per c e n t , and v e h i c l e expenses - up 20.7 per c e n t ) are due t o t h e need t o m a i n t a i n a d a i l y milk quota throughout t h e y e a r . I n o r d e r t o e n s u r e a c o n t i n u o u s s u p p l y of milk t h e f a r m e r has t o m a i n t a i n h i s equipment and v e h i c l e r e s o u r c e s . Unlike t h e f a c t o r y s u p p l y d a i r y farmer he i s unable t o put a s i d e some r e p a i r s u n t i l t h e w i n t e r s e a s o n when t h e cows are dry. A f t e r l a b o u r expenses t h e s i n g l e l a r g e s t o p e r a t i n g expense w a s f e r t i l i s e r and seed f o r b o t h farm t y p e s . The town milk f a r m e r s p e n t n e a r l y 15 p e r c e n t more on f e r t i l i s e r and s e e d t o h e l p promote g r a s s growth f o r as many months as p o s s i b l e . F r e i g h t c o s t s on t h e a v e r a g e town milk farm were v e r y low. They were o n l y 34,3 p e r c e n t of t h e a v e r a g e f a c t o r y supply farms. T h i s r e f l e c t s t h e g r e a t e r d i s t a n c e and d i v e r s e l o c a t i o n of t h e surveyed f a c t o r y supply farms. Nearly a l l of t h e 29 surveyed town m i l k farms were i n t h e same Karaka - North P a e r a t a d i s t r i c t . A l l a d m i n i s t r a t i o n expenses were h i g h e r on t h e town milk farm although the t o t a l $2654 - was o n l y $878 g r e a t e r t h a n t h a t on t h e f a c t o r y supply farm. - A l l . overhead expenses were a l s o h i g h e r on t h e town m i l k farm. The overhead t o t a l of $18,329 was $6,774 more than t h e t o t a l f o r t h e f a c t o r y supply farm. The amount of r e n t p a i d by t h e town m i l k farm ($2,203) was c o n s i d e r a b l y g r e a t e r t h a n t h a t paid by t h e f a c t o r y supply f a r m ($150). A common management p r a c t i s e on 21 of t h e 29 surveyed town milk farms w a s t o r e n t l a n d f o r u s e as a run-off f o r young and d r y s t o c k . T h i s h e l p s p r e s e r v e t h e home farm g r a s s f o r t h e m i l k i n g cows. The a v e r a g e town milk farmer r e n t e d and l e a s e d 9.32 h e c t a r e s compared w i t h 3.25 h e c t a r e s r e n t e d and l e a s e d by t h e f a c t o r y s u p p l y farmer. The r e n t a l charge f o r l a n d c l o s e t o t h e Karaka d i s t r i c t was h i g h e r t h a n land further distant. For both farm t y p e s i n t e r e s t payments made up t h e l a r g e s t s i n g l e overhead expense. The v a l u e of f r e e h o l d farm l a n d (updated t o 31.12.1983) w a s $10,918 p e r h e c t a r e on t h e a v e r a g e town m i l k farm and $5,098 p e r h e c t a r e on t h e f a c t o r y supply d a i r y farm. I n t e r e s t payments t o t a l l e d $12,280 ( o r $213 p e r f r e e h o l d h e c t a r e ) on t h e town m i l k farm and $9,269 ( o r $133 p e r f r e e h o l d h e c t a r e ) on t h e o t h e r d a i r y farm. The h i g h v a l u e of l a n d i n t h e town m i l k supply a r e a r e f l e c t s t h e p r o x i m i t y o f t h e motorway t o Auckland and a l t e r n a t i v e l a n d u s e a c t i v i t i e s s u c h as horticulture. The a v e r a g e town m i l k farm h a s $73,746 i n v e s t e d i n b u i l d i n g s , v e h i c l e s and p l a n t and machinery. This i s o v e r 30 per c e n t more t h a n t h e a v e r a g e f a c t o r y supply farm. The town milk farmer h a s more money invested i n these resources t o h e l p m a i n t a i n y e a r round m i l k production. The h i g h e r n e t depreciation reflects t h i s higher investment. T o t a l expenses on t h e town milk farm was $77,758 and t h i s was $19,653 g r e a t e r t h a n t h e t o t a l f o r t h e o t h e r d a i r y farm type. The main i t e m s c o n t r i b u t i n g t o t h i s $19,653 d i f f e r e n c e were f e e d ($3,708 d i f f e r e n c e ) , i n t e r e s t ($3,011), rent ($2,053), net depreciation ($1,801), non-family p a i d l a b o u r ($1,718), r e p a i r s and maintenance ($1,539) and rates ($1,271 d i f f e r e n c e ) . Many of t h e s e c o s t s a r e h i g h s o l e l y because of t h e need t o c o n t i n u e milk p r o d u c t i o n d u r i n g t h e w i n t e r months. The h i g h v a l u e of some of t h e s e c o s t s , n o t a b l y i n t e r e s t and r a t e s a r e due t o t h e l o c a t i o n of t h e town milk farms. Nearly a l l town m i l k i s produced on farms l o c a t e d on v e r y h i g h v a l u e land. TABLE 16 Farm E x p e n d i t u r e Components ....................................................................... ....................................................................... S. Auckland Town Milk Farms . S Auckland F a c t o r y Supply Dairy Farms ....................................................................... Number of Farms Surveyed T o t a l L i t r e s Produced L i t r e s Converted t o M i l k f a t ( k g s ) Cows i n Milk i n December 1983 D a i r y P r o d u c t i v e Hectares 29 393,784 16,578 85.17 60.59 18 398,449 19,757 131.06 61.68 ....................................................................... Labour Family Labour Family Casual Labour Non-Family Permanent & Casual Labour Unpaid Family Labour Labour Accommodation Sub-Total Labour Operating P A n i m a l Health Breeding & Herd T e s t i n g Contractors D a i r y Shed Expenses Electricity F e r t i l i s e r & Seed Feed Grazing Expenses Freight Weed & P e s t Expenses V e h i c l e Expenses R e p a i r s & Maintenance I r r i g a t i o n Expenses Sub-Total Operating Table 16 continued ... TABLE 16 cont'd Farm Expenditure Com~onents 7 - P . S.Auckland Town Milk Farms S Auckland Factory Supply Dairy Farms 2,654 1,775 --------------------------.--------------------------------------------- Administration Accountancy Telephone General Administration Sub-Total Administration Overheads Insurance Interest Rates Rent Sub-total Overheads Total Cash Expenses Net Depreciation Total Expenditure (standard deviation) 3.4 - Net Farm Income The average town milk farm received a net farm income This was nearly 1 8 per cent (or $5,300) (financial basis) of $25,191. less than the net farm income received by the average factory supply Total revenue on the town milk farm was up by 16.2 per farm ($30,491). cent compared with the other farm but total expenses were also up by a more substantial 33.8 per cent. There was a $14,353 difference in total revenue and a larger $19,653 difference tn total expenses (Table 17). For his 257,392 litres of quota milk the town milk farmer received a total payment of $65,428 ($59,002 plus 65.36 per cent of the end-of-season payments of $9,831). This is 25.4196 cents per litre or 593.92 cents per kilogram. The surplus milk returned 16.7173 cents per litre or 390.59 cents per kilogram. The factory supply producer The received 17.8761 cents per litre or 360.51 cents per kilogram. surplus milk per kilogram payout was higher for some town milk supply farmers in South Auckland because an extra premium was paid for town milk surplus milk which was used for the manufacture of cultured dairy foods. TABLE 17 Net Farm Income Components -.w* P S. Auckland Town Milk Farms S. Auckland Factory Supply Dairy Farms 29 393,784 16,578 85.17 60.59 18 398,449 19,757 131.06 61.68 25,191 (15,977) 30,491 (17,445) ....................................................................... Number of Farms Surveyed T o t a l L i t r e s Produced L i t r e s Converted t o M i l k f a t ( k g s ) Cows i n Milk i n December 1983 D a i r y P r o d u c t i v e Hectares Gross Revenue T o t a l Fxpenditure N e t Farm -Income (standard deviation) ....................................................................... N e t Farm Income p e r Stock Unit $ $ 26.8 29.7 N e t Farm Income per Dairy P r o d u c t i v e Hectare N e t Farm Income p e r December Milking Cow I n June 1983 d u r i n g t h e p r i c e f r e e z e town milk p r o d u c e r s were d e n i e d a n advance end-of-season s u r p l u s payment of 1.8102 c e n t s p e r l i t r e . The f r e e z e a p p l i e d u n t i l 29 February 1984. Had t h i s payment been made and p r o v i d i n g e x p e n d i t u r e remained t h e same, t h e n n e t farm incomes f o r t h e two farm t y p e s would have been c l o s e r . If this i n c r e a s e i s a p p l i e d t o quota milk o n l y t h e n revenue (and t h e n e t farm income) would have i n c r e a s e d by $4,659. Had t h e town milk producer r e c e i v e d a n i n c r e a s e of one c e n t p e r l i t r e above h i s a v e r a g e q u o t a m i l k p r i c e of 25.4196 c e n t s p e r l i t r e t h e n t h e r e s u l t would have been a n i n c r e a s e i n t o t a l revenue of $2,574. For t h e town milk farmer t o have r e c e i v e d t h e same n e t farm income a s t h e f a c t o r y s u p p l y farmer ($30,491) h i s a v e r a g e payment f o r h i s 257,392 l i t r e s of q u o t a milk would have had t o i n c r e a s e from 25.4196 c e n t s p e r l i t r e t o 27.4787 c e n t s (up 2.0591 c e n t s o r 8.1 p e r c e n t ) . FIGURE 2 Gross Revenue and Net Farm Income Per Dairy Productive Hectare DOLLARS gross I--- net factory --A gross net townmilk REVENUE ---4FARMS CHAPTER 4 A COMPARISON OF ECONOMIC PROFITABILITY 4.1 Introduction When comparing two d i f f e r e n t t y p e s of d a i r y farm b u s i n e s s e s , which have d i f f e r e n t o b j e c t i v e s and r e c e i v e a d i f f e r e n t payout p e r l i t r e of milk, f i n a n c i a l p r o f i t s a r e n o t a r e l i a b l e i n d i c a t o r of r e l a t i v e economic performance. P r o f i t s p e r cow o r n e t income p e r h e c t a r e are more u s e f u l measures when e v a l u a t i n g t h e performance between farms engaged i n t h e same farming a c t i v i t y . Other u s e f u l p h y s i c a l e f f i c i e n c y r a t i o s such a s milk p r o d u c t i o n p e r h e c t a r e o r m i l k p r o d u c t i o n p e r cow can a l s o be c a l c u l a t e d . However i t i s important t o recognise t h a t maximizing a p h y s i c a l efficiency r a t i o is not necessarily c o n s i s t e n t w i t h economic efficiency. For example, p r o d u c t i o n p e r cow can be enhanced i f e x t r a d a i r y meal i s fed. To permit comparisons across d i f f e r e n t types (and s i z e s ) of farm b u s i n e s s e s , d i f f e r e n t f i n a n c i a l r a t i o s , such a s t h e r a t e of r e t u r n on c a p i t a l can be a p p l i e d . It i s important t o n o t e t h a t t h e r a t i o s d e r i v e d from farm b u s i n e s s a c c o u n t s a r e a l l measures of a v e r a g e performance and g i v e no i n d i c a t i o n of marginal e f f i c i e n c y . The m a r g i n a l e f f i c i e n c y i s a measure of what happens t o t h e v a l u e of o u t p u t ( f o r example m i l k p r o d u c t i o n ) when e x t r a o r fewer u n i t s of a r e s o u r c e a r e used. For example, w h i l e o u t p u t per man on a two man farm may be $50,000, there i s no g u a r a n t e e t h a t , by engaging a t h i r d man, o u t p u t w i l l i n c r e a s e by a f u r t h e r $50,000. The l a s t u n i t of any f a c t o r employed ( i n t h i s c a s e t h e t h i r d man) i s termed t h e marginal u n i t , and t h e i n c r e a s e i n t h e V", , I, ,of o u t p u t , which r e s u l t s from engaging t h e marginal u n i t of t h e r e s o u r c e i s c a l l e d i t s marginal v a l u e product.5 An e f f i c i e n t f a r m e r a s s e s s e s t h e a l l o c a t i o n of h i s marginal v a r i a b l e i n p u t s r a t h e r t h a n h i s a v e r a g e performance t o a c h i e v e h i s maximum o u t p u t . .. I n Table 18 t h r e e d i f f e r e n t measures of economic p r o f i t a b i l i t y are a s s e s s e d . The c a l c u l a t i o n s a r e s i m i l a r t o t h o s e published i n t h e NZ Meat and Wool Board's Economic S e r v i c e s u r v e y of sheep and beef farms.6 I n c a l c u l a t i n g t h e s e r e s u l t s a number of assumptions are made and t h e s e should be t a k e n i n t o account when i n t e r p r e t i n g t h e r e s u l t s . One major a r e a of d i f f e r e n c e i n t h i s s u r v e y ' s i n t e r p r e t a t i o n i s i n t h e h a n d l i n g of t h e v a l u e of farm land. Any of t h e surveyed f a c t o r y supply farms were c a p a b l e of producing milk 365 days of t h e year. The h i g h v a l u e of t h e Karaka d i s t r i c t town milk farm l a n d was due t o i t s l o c a t i o n and s t r o n g demand from h o r t i c u l t u r e n o t because i t was producing milk every day of t h e year. To e n a b l e a f a i r comparison of economic e f f i c i e n c y t o be made and remove t h e b i a s c r e a t e d by t h e uneven l a n d v a l u e s , t h e average f r e e h o l d a r e a l a n d v a l u e of t h e f a c t o r y s u p p l y d a i r y farm i s used f o r both farm types. - 5 S i z e and E f f i c i e n c y i n Farming; D.K. House, 1975 6 New Zealand Meat and Wool Board's Economic S e r v i c e , Sheep and Beef Farm Survey, 1982-83, P.44 B r i t t o n , B H i l l , Saxon TABLE 18 Measures of Economic P r o f i t a b i l i t y a _--______----------------------------------------------_--------------_____-_-------------------------------------------------.--------------S.Auckland Town Milk Farms S.Auckland F a c t o r y Supply Dairy Farms Number of Farms Surveyed Freehold Land Area ( h a ) Rented and Grazing-out Area (ha) Ao 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Return on C a p i t a l Working Expenses (Labour, Operating & A d m i n i s t r a t i o n less Imputed Family Labour & Accommodation Costs) 49,663 39,205 23,938 19,370 T o t a l Adjusted Working Expenses (lf-2) 73,601 Working C a p i t a l (8.33% of 3 ) 6,131 Farm C a p i t a l ( C a p i t a l Value of Buildings [excluding farmer's house], P l a n t & Machinery, V e h i c l e s [ l e s s p r i v a t e car valued a t $8,1701, L i v e s t o c k and Freehold p l u s Rented and Grazing Land [ a s s e s s e d a t f a c t o r % supply value per hectare]) 474,799 58,575 4,879 495,381 T o t a l Farm C a p i t a l (4+5) 500,260 P l u s Assessed Managerial Reward ($19,190 & $14,416) p l u s 1% of Farm C a p i t a l ( s e e 5 ) Table 18 continued .......................... 480,930 ... a Most of t h e terms used h e r e a r e p a r t i c u l a r t o t h i s t a b l e alone. They a r e similar t o t h o s e used by t h e NZ Meat & Wool Board's Economic S e r v i c e i n t h e i r "Sheep and Beef Farm Survey" b The farm l a n d f o r b o t h t h e town milk and t h e f a c t o r y s u p p l y farms are valued h e r e a t t h e same a v e r a g e f a c t o r y supply p e r h e c t a r e f i g u r e ($5,098 p e r h e c t a r e ) TABLE 18 cont'd Measures of Economic P r o f i t a b i l i t y ....................................................................... Auckland Town Milk Farms S. 7. 8. 9. N e t Farm Income P l u s I n t e r e s t Paid P l u s Rent Paid 10. 11, Sub- t o t a l ( 7+8+9 ) Less Assessed Managerial Reward ( 2 ) 12. 13. Economic Farm S u r p l u s (10-11) Less Assessed Opportunity Cost of C a p i t a l (11.8% of 6 ) ' 14. 15. Economic Farm S u r p l u s l e s s a n Opportunity Cost of C a p i t a l (12-131d Rate of Return on C a p i t a l (12/6) B. C a p i t a l Turnover P e r c e n t a g e 14. 15. 16. C. 17. 18. Gross Revenue ( l e s s worker's house) T o t a l Farm C a p i t a l ( 6 ) C a p i t a l Turnover P e r c e n t a g e , ( 1 4 / 1 5 ) T o t a l Farm C a p i t a l ( 6 ) P l u s Cash a t Bank Sundry Debtors and Other C u r r e n t A s s e t s Sub-Total (17+18) Less Fixed L i a b i l i t i e s Less Current L i a b i l i t i e s 22. 23. T o t a l Equity C a p i t a l (19-20-21) N e t Farm Income less I n t e r e s t and Rent (10) Less 12.0% of E q u i t y C a p i t a l ( 2 2 ) 25. 39,674 23,938 39,910 19,370 15,736 20,540 56,750 59,031 -41,014 3.27X -38,491 4.11% .......................... ------ ------ 102,527 480,930 21.32% ------- Labour & Management R e s i d u a l 19. 20. 21. 24. S.Auckland Factory Supply Dairy Farms Labour & Management R e s i d u a l (23-24) - 480,930 500,260 15,009 10,635 368,763 425,378 39,674 44,252 39,910 51,045 -4,578 -11,135 ........................... ........................... Loss ------- ------- c The 11.8% i n t e r e s t rate w a s t h e mean i n t e r e s t p a i d by f a r m e r s as noted i n A Review of A g r i c u l t u r a l C r e d i t i n NZ; J G Pryde and L.B. Bain, AEKU D i s c u s s i o n Paper No. 93, June 1985, p.12 d Capital gains analysis. or l o s s e s on land have been excluded from this 4 - 2 Return on Farm C a p i t a l -=- The r e t u r n on c a p i t a l Is t h e r a t i o of n e t o u t p u t ( e x p r e s s e d a s a d j u s t e d n e t farm income) o r economic farm s u r p l u s t o t o t a l c a p i t a l involved. To make a l l t h e surveyed farms comparable t h e n e t farm income i s a d j u s t e d s o a l l farms a r e assumed t o be f r e e h o l d , un-encumbered and owner-operated, It i s c a l c u l a t e d by t a k i n g t h e n e t farm income and a d d i n g back t h e i n t e r e s t p a i d and t h e r e n t paid. The a d j u s t e d income i s c a l l e d t h e Economic Farm Surplus. T h i s i s t h e s u r p l u s a v a i l a b l e t o a n owner t o pay i n t e r e s t on h i s investment a f t e r he has been paid a n a s s e s s e d sum f o r h i s l a b o u r and management s k i l l s . The managerial reward i s based on a n a r b i t r a r y b u t r e a l i s t i c It i s a s s e s s e d by f i r s t t a k i n g t h e a v e r a g e a n n u a l a d u l t wage formula. p a i d i n t h e d i s t r i c t ($14,215 on town milk farms and $10,600 on f a c t o r y Table 7 ) , and a d j u s t i n g i t f o r t h e number of f a m i l y s u p p l y farms permanent workers (1.35 and 1-36 Table 6). This p r o v i d e s f o r farms where more t h a n one working owner e x i s t s (e.g. a f a t h e r and son partnership), A f u r t h e r a d d i t i o n t o t h i s imputed owners r e t u r n t o l a b o u r of $19,190 (town m i l k ) and $14,416 ( f a c t o r y s u p p l y ) i s a n imputed r e t u r n t o management. T h i s t a k e s account of t h e v a l u e of t h e f a r m (measured a s one p e r c e n t of t h e a v e r a g e farm c a p i t a l ) . A s n o t e d earlier any of t h e f a c t o r y supply farms have t h e l a n d and o t h e r r e s o u r c e s which could be used t o produce year-round milk. The h i g h l a n d v a l u e of t h e Karaka town m i l k farms (due t o t h e i r l o c a t i o n ) would, To i f i t i s i n c l u d e d i n t h e c a l c u l a t i o n , d i s t o r t t h i s comparison. a v o i d t h i s , t h e a v e r a g e i a n d v a l u e of t h e f a c t o r y supply d a i r y farm i s used f o r both farm types. - - The t o t a l imputed m a n a g e r i a l reward f o r t h e owner-operator(s) f o r h i s l a b o u r and management s k i l l i s $23,938 f o r t h e town m i l k f a r m and $19,370 f o r t h e f a c t o r y s u p p l y d a i r y farm. An a c c u r a t e c a l c u l a t i o n of t h e r e t u r n on c a p i t a l i s dependent v a l u a t i o n of t h e farm c a p i t a l components. on a r e l i a b l e up-to-date These components i n c l u d e l a n d and improvements t o l a n d , b u i l d i n g s , l i v e s t o c k and p l a n t and machinery. H i s t o r i c a l c o s t a c c o u n t i n g less d e p r e c i a t i o n can be a p p l i e d t o p l a n t and equipment b u t t h i s method c a n n o t be a p p l i e d , w i t h any c o n f i d e n c e , t o t h e o t h e r c a p i t a l i t e m s . For the annual d a i r y stock account and b a l a n c e sheet c a l c u l a t i o n s t h e l i v e s t o c k h a s had s t a n d a r d v a l u e s a p p l i e d . For a n a c c u r a t e e v a l u a t i o n of a n up-to-date c a p i t a l v a l u e f o r l i v e s t o c k , t h e y w e r e r e - a s s e s s e d a t end-of-year market v a l u e s . The v a l u a t i o n of l a n d and improvements t o land and b u i l d i n g i s more d i f f i c u l t t o e s t a b l i s h because t h e s e assets a r e v a l u e d a c c o r d i n g t o t h e i r e s t i m a t e d market r e a l i s a t i o n and t o a lesser e x t e n t by t h e i r p r o d u c t i v e c a p a c i t y o r t h e i n t e n s i t y w i t h which t h e p r o p e r t y i s farmed. "The volume of p r o d u c t i o n depends on a m i x t u r e of i n p u t s , and t h e r e f o r e t h e only c o r r e c t way of v a l u i n g l a n d i n economic t h e o r y i s t o a s s i g n t o it, i t s v a l u e when t h e q u a n t i t i e s of c a p i t a l and l a b o u r used are such t h a t t h e v a l u e s of t h e i r m a r g i n a l p r o d u c t s e q u a l t h e i r r e s p e c t i v e prices" 7 7 I b i d , p,44 A s a measure of e f f i c i e n c y t h e r a t e of r e t u r n on c a p i t a l c a n be used t o compare two farms of i d e n t i c a l s i z e which use t h e same amount of c a p i t a l , o t h e r i n p u t s and s t a n d a r d i z e d v u t p u t p r i c e s . Provided b o t h farms had similar r e s o u r c e s t h e n t h e farm e a r n i n g t h e h i g h e r r e t u r n on c a p i t a l i s t h e more e f f i c i e n t . The rate of r e t u r n on i n v e s t e d c a p i t a l , 3.27X (town m i l k ) and 4.11% ( f a c t o r y s u p p l y ) may seem low compared w i t h o t h e r non-farm investment o p p o r t u n i t i e s ( f o r example s h a r e s , d e b e n t u r e s o r f i x e d term savings accounts), It should be r e c o g n i s e d t h a t t h e r a t e of r e t u r n on c a p i t a l does n o t i n c l u d e u n r e a l i s e d c a p i t a l g a i n s on land. I f t h e s e c a p i t a l g a i n s on farm land were added t o income i n t h e c a l c u l a t i o n s t h e n t h e r a t e of r e t u r n on t o t a l investment would o f t e n be c o n s i d e r a b l y higher. I f t h e a c t u a l v a l u e of farm l a n d f o r t h e a v e r a g e town milk farm ($10,918 per h e c t a r e i n s t e a d of $5,098 p e r h e c t a r e of t h e f a c t o r y s u p p l y farm l a n d ) w a s used i n t h e c a l c u l a t i o n , t h e n t h e rate of r e t u r n on c a p i t a l f a l l s from 3.27 p e r c e n t t o 1.80 p e r c e n t , The economic farm s u r p l u s i s t h e a d j u s t e d n e t farm income less a n a s s e s s e d managerial reward. I f t h e o p p o r t u n i t y c o s t of c a p i t a l ( a s s e s s e d a t 11.8 p e r c e n t of t o t a l farm c a p i t a l ) i s s u b t r a c t e d from t h e economic farm s u r p l u s t h e b a l a n c e , i f p o s i t i v e , i n d i c a t e s t h a t t h i s farming system u s e s i t s r e s o u r c e s p r o f i t a b l y . I f it is negative then It must be t h e s e r e s o u r c e s would be b e t t e r employed elsewhere. remembered t h a t t h e economic farm s u r p l u s ought t o i n c l u d e t h e v a l u e of land appreciation. This i s excluded on t h i s a n a l y s i s because i t i s highly variable, 4.3 C a p i t a l Turnover R a t i o The c a p i t a l t u r n o v e r r a t i o measures t h e t o t a l farm revenue It i s g e n e r a t e d p e r d o l l a r of farm b u s i n e s s assets t h e farmer owns. used t o i n d i c a t e t h e e f f i c i e n c y w i t h which c a p i t a l i s being employed i n t h e business. R e s u l t s from Table 18 demonstrate t h a t t h e a v e r a g e town m i l k farm g e n e r a t e s 21 c e n t s i n revenue f o r each d o l l a r of c a p i t a l invested. The a v e r a g e f a c t o r y s u p p l y farm g e n e r a t e s n e a r l y 18 c e n t s i n revenue f o r e v e r y i n v e s t e d d o l l a r of c a p i t a l . A more d e t a i l e d e v a l u a t i o n of t h e e f f i c i e n c y of t h e b u s i n e s s i s p o s s i b l e by c o n s i d e r i n g both t h e c a p i t a l t u r n o v e r p e r c e n t a g e a l o n g w i t h t h e rate of r e t u r n on c a p i t a l , Farms w i t h a h i g h c a p i t a l t u r n o v e r p e r c e n t a g e t o g e t h e r w i t h a h i g h rate of r e t u r n on c a p i t a l a r e l i k e l y t o be u s i n g t h e i r r e s o u r c e s more e f f i c i e n t l y . The u s e f u l n e s s of t h e s e measurements is l i m i t e d by t h e a c c u r a c y of t h e e s t i m a t i o n of t h e farm c a p i t a l . Problems do e x i s t when making comparisons between d i f f e r e n t d a i r y farm b u s i n e s s e s because of t h e d i f f e r e n c e s i n t h e imputed v a l u e a s s i g n e d t o unpaid f a m i l y l a b o u r and management and t h e d i f f e r e n t o u t p u t p r i c e s . I f t h e c a p i t a l a s s e t s are v a l u e d a t c u r r e n t market v a l u e s and a r e e q u i t a b l e between d i f f e r e n t farm b u s i n e s s e s ( p s y c h o l o g i c a l f a c t o r s such as l o c a l i t y v a l u e being i g n o r e d ) t h e n t h e c a p i t a l t u r n o v e r p e r c e n t a g e can p r o v i d e t h e b a s i s f o r useful analyses. The c a p i t a l t u r n o v e r p e r c e n t a g e f o r town milk farms f a l l s from 21.32 p e r c e n t t o 11.73 p e r c e n t i f t h e a c t u a l v a l u e of t h e f a n n l a n d f o r t h e a v e r a g e town milk farm ($10,918 p e r h e c t a r e ) i s used. 4.4 Estimated Labour and Management R e s i d u a l The e s t i m a t e d l a b o u r and management r e s i d u a l is a n e v a l u a t i o n of what t h e farmer e a r n s as a reward f o r h i s own l a b o u r and management. It assumes t h a t he pays i n t e r e s t of 12 p e r c e n t on h i s own e q u i t y c a p i t a l , i n a d d i t i o n t o t h e i n t e r e s t he a l r e a d y pays on borrowed c a p i t a l . T o t a l e q u i t y c a p i t a l c o n s i s t s of t o t a l farm c a p l t a l p l u s c a s h a t bank, sundry d e b t o r s and o t h e r c u r r e n t a s s e t s . From t h i s f i x e d and c u r r e n t l i a b i l i t i e s a r e s u b t r a c t e d . Twelve p e r c e n t of t h i s e q u i t y c a p i t a l i s s u b t r a c t e d froin t h e n e t farm income t o g i v e a l a b o u r and management r e s i d u a l l o s s of - $4,578 f o r t h e town milk farin and -$11,135 f o r t h e f a c t o r y supply farm. I f t h e a c t u a l v a l u e of farm l a n d f o r t h e average town milk farm ($10,918 p e r h e c t a r e ) was used i n t h e c a l c u l a t i o n i n s t e a d of t h e v a l u e of t h e f a c t o r y supply farm land ($5,098 p e r h e c t a r e ) then t h e l a b o u r and management r e s i d u a l would show a g r e a t e r l o s s a t -$52,446. The o b j e c t i v e i n c a l c u l a t i n g i n t e r e s t on e q u i t y c a p i t a l i s t o e s t i m a t e t h e o p p o r t u n i t y r e t u r n t h e farmer c o u l d r e a l i s e by i n v e s t i n g h i s e q u i t y c a p i t a l elsewhere (such a s i n non-farm i n v e s t m e n t s ) . It i s important t o n o t e t h a t management r e t u r n s f o r one year a l o n e may be m i s l e a d i n g and r e t u r n s f o r s e v e r a l y e a r s should be c o n s i d e r e d i n judging t h e c a p a b i l i t y of t h e o p e r a t i o n . 4-5 Other F i n a n c i a l R a t i o s Another u s e f u l e f f i c i e n c y measure i s t h e g r o s s r a t i o . It i l l u s t r a t e s t h e siiiounnt of t o t a l expenses s p e n t p e r d o l l a r of g r o s s farm revenue. It i s c a l c u l a t e d by d i v i d i n g t o t a l expenses by g r o s s farm revenue. The g r o s s r a t i o f o r t h e average town milk w a s 0.76 and i t w a s 0,66 f o r t h e a v e r a g e f a c t o r y supply farm. For each d o l l a r of g r o s s revenue earned t h e town milk farmer r e c e i v e d 24 c e n t s i n n e t farm income. The f a c t o r y supply farmer d i d b e t t e r , because he d i d n o t have t o produce milk d u r i n g t h e h i g h c o s t w i n t e r months. He earned 34 c e n t s i n n e t farm income p e r d o l l a r of g r o s s farm income. The g r o s s r a t i o i s a n i n d i c a t o r of c o s t c o n t r o l and can be used as a u s e f u l measure of e f f i c i e n c y i n t h e u s e of r e s o u r c e s . It The t u r n o v e r r a t i o i s a n o t h e r u s e f u l f i n a n c i a l r a t i o . measures t h e g r o s s farm revenue g e n e r a t e d p e r d o l l a r of farm a s s e t s t h e The g r o s s farm revenue i s d i v i d e d by t h e farm c a p i t a l farmer c o n t r o l s . ( a t c u r r e n t market v a l u e ) owned and r e n t e d . The t u r n o v e r r a t i o f o r t h e two t y p e s of d a i r y farms i s 0.22 (town m i l k ) and 0.18 ( f a c t o r y s u p p l y ) . For each d o l l a r of farm a s s e t s c o n t r o l l e d , t h e town milk f a r m e r g e n e r a t e d $0.22 i n g r o s s farm income. The h i g h e r t h e value of t h i s t u r n o v e r s i m i l a r - s i z e farms, t h e more e f f i c i e n t t h e farmer. 4.6 ratio relative to Conclusion Notwithstanding t h e f a c t t h a t f i n a n c i a l r a t i o s a r e based on h i s t o r i c a l r e s u l t s and compare average f i g u r e s and not marginal v a l u e s , t h e c a l c u l a t i o n of a range of r a t i o s from t h e f a r m e r ' s f i n a n c i a l Often farm l e n d e r s u s e a v a r i e t y of a c c o u n t s i s v e r y worthwhile. analytical r a t i o s developed from b a l a n c e s h e e t s t a t e m e n t s when a s s e s s i n g t h e v i a b i l i t y of a borrowers f i n a n c i a l base, The d i f f e r e n t o u t p u t p r i c e s found on t h e s e two t y p e s of d a i r y farms c r e a t e a n o t h e r d i f f i c u l t y . Comparisons between some of t h e f i n a n c i a l r a t i o s of two o r more d i f f e r e n t f a r ~ n i n gsystems a r e more r e l i a b l e when a l l o u t p u t p r i c e s a r e market l e d . Both t h e town milk and f a c t o r y supply producer p r i c e s s h a r e a l i n k a g e w i t h t h e market e s t a b l i s h e d o u t p u t m i l k f a t p r i c e a l t h o u g h f o r t h e town milk farmer t h e T h i s makes i t more l i n k a g e is complicated because of a d i f f e r e n t base. d i f f i c u l t t o compare t h e r a t i o s which i n v o l v e a revenue o r income component. Another c o m p l i c a t i o n i s t h e v a r y i n g e f f e c t of c a p i t a l g a i n s r e f l e c t e d i n t h e a p p r e c i a t i n g v a l u e of farm land. I n t h i s a n a l y s i s t h i s has been excluded because i t i s h i g h l y v a r i a b l e . The v a l u e of t h e s e v a r i o u s r a t i o s i s t o h e l p monitor t h e f i n a n c i a l s t r e n g t h of t h e farm. U n f o r t u n a t e l y u n l i k e o t h e r n o n - a g r i c u l t u r a l i n d u s t r i e s t h e r e are few w e l l e s t a b l i s h e d farm s t a n d a r d s o r norms f o r comparing f i n a n c i a l o r e f f i c i e n c y r a t i o values. Nor i s i n f o r m a t i o n a v a i l a b l e t o suggest what d e v i a t i o n s from t h e norm i s a c c e p t a b l e o r what a c t i o n i s needed t o c o r r e c t a n u n s a t i s f a c t o r y s i t u a t i o n . U n t i l such comparative f i g u r e s a r e p u b l i s h e d farmers a r e l i m i t e d t o comparing t h e i r own f i n a n c i a l r a t i o s o v e r time. APPENDIX RELIABILITY OF SURVEY ESTIMATES E s t i m a t e s of farm c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s based on a sample of farms a r e l i k e l y t o d i f f e r from t h e e s t i m a t e which would have been o b t a i n e d , had a l l farms i n t h e p o p u l a t i o n been v i s i t e d . The d i f f e r e n c e s a r e c a l l e d sampling e r r o r s and t h e i r l i k e l y s i z e i n p e r c e n t a g e terms i s t h e r e l a t i v e s t a n d a r d e r r o r of t h e e s t i m a t e s . The r e l a t i v e s t a n d a r d e r r o r i s d e f i n e d as t h e s t a n d a r d e r r o r ( c o r r e c t e d f o r a s m a l l p o p u l a t i o n ) d i v i d e d by t h e mean. The s m a l l e r t h e r e l a t i v e s t a n d a r d e r r o r , t h e more r e l i a b l e t h e estimate. Table 19 sets o u t t h e mean and r e l a t i v e s t a n d a r d e r r o r f o r key survey v a r i a b l e s . For example, Table 19 shows t h a t f o r South Auckland Town Milk farms t h e survey e s t i m a t e of a v e r a g e n e t farm income i s $25,191 w i t h a r e l a t i v e s t a n d a r d e r r o r (RSE) of 9.90 p e r c e n t . In o t h e r words, i t i s 95 p e r c e n t c o n f i d e n t t h a t t h e t r u e v a l u e of a v e r a g e n e t farm income l i e s w i t h i n t h e range of 1.96 x 9.90 p e r c e n t x $25,191 e i t h e r s i d e of t h e e s t i m a t e d value. That i s w i t h i n $25,191 $4,888. + TABLE 19 R e l a t i v e Standard E r r o r s (RSE) of Some Key V a r i a b l e s S.Auckland Town Milk Farms S. Auckland F a c t o r y Supply Dairy Farms ------.----------------------------------------------------------------- Number of Farms Surveyed 29 18 Dairy P r o d u c t i v e Hectares - Mean - RSE (%) T o t a l L i t r e s Produced - Mean - RSE (%) Milking Cows i n December - Mean - RSE (%) Gross Revenue - Mean - RSE (%) T o t a l Expenditure - Mean - RSE (%) N e t Farm Income Mean RSE (%) 25,191 30,491 9.90 12.79 ....................................................................... ....................................................................... Using a two-sided h y p o t h e s i s t e s t f o r comparing two means, i t w a s not p o s s i b l e t o reject t h e n u l l h y p o t h e s i s t h a t t h e town milk sample mean n e t income f i g u r e i s e q u a l t o t h e f a c t o r y s u p p l y sample mean n e t income f i g u r e a t t h e 95 p e r c e n t l e v e l of confidence. However, a t a c o n f i d e n c e l e v e l of 64 p e r c e n t t h e mean of t h e Town milk n e t farm income i s s t a t i s t i c a l l y d i f f e r e n t from t h e mean of t h e f a c t o r y s u p p l y n e t farm income. For t h e second c a s e t h i s i n d i c a t e s t h a t t h e r e i s a p r o b a b i l i t y l e v e l of 0.34 of having a t y p e 1 e r r o r . There is a h i g h p r o b a b i l i t y of r e j e c t i n g a t r u e n u l l h y p o t h e s i s ( t h a t t h e r e i s no d i f f e r e n c e i n t h e mean) and a low p r o b a b i l i t y of a c c e p t i n g a f a l s e n u l l hypothesis. RECENT PUBLICATIONS RESEARCH REPORTS 138. Thi, Wflrld .Shc.rpmt,wt ;I/l</rkrf:~n c.cono~1c.tn~ rnodc~/,N . Blyth, 1783. 139. An Econonzli Slirvcy o~/-h'eu'Z~,a/an(:/ Town Mi/k Prod~icers,198182, R.G. Moffirt, 1983. 140. Economic R~/at~i~mrhrp.r 7c:ithln the -Jupane.re Fl,ed and LiueJtock Sector. M. Kagatsume. A.C. Zwart. 1983. T/JcJ ~ ( , I L ,~ ( , o / t / r / ( : / r#b/v .y?( tor. Fi~re/j!nExc.h(/~~,y~ Itnp//t~//tiot~ R.D. 1,ough. W.A.N. Brown, 1983. 14 1 . 142. An Economic S~trviyof New Zealand K/heatgrouiers: Enterprise Analysis, S~lrvpyNo. 7. 1982-83, R.D.Lough, P.J. McCartin, 1983. 143. An Economic Survey of New Zealand W1heatgmwers: Finantinl Analysi.r, 1981-82, R.D. Lough, P.J. McCartin, 1983. 144. Developm~nt of the South Canterbury-Otago Sorrthern Bl~(efin Tuna Fishery. D.K. O'Donnell, R.A. Sandrey, 1983. Potatoes: A Conszimer Survey of Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch Households, R.L. Sheppard, S.A. Hughes, 1983. 146. Potatoes: Dirtribution and Processing, S.A. Hughes, R.L. Sheppard, 1983. 147. The Demandfor Milk: An Econometric Analysisofthe New Zealand Market, R J . Brodie, R.G. Moffitt, J.D. Gough, 1984. 148. The Christchurch and New Zeahnd Eatin8 Out Market.r, A. van Ameyde, RJ. Brodie, 1984. 145. F ~ c t o rCost Analysts of a New Zealand Meat Processing Company, M.D. Clemes, L.D. Woods, 1985. An Econottzzc Survey of N e w Zealand Wheatgrowers: Eizteipnse AnalyJ~s,Survey N o 9, 1984-85, R. D. Lough, P.J. McCart~n, 1985. A N Econon7tc Survey of N e w Zealat7d IY'heatgro~uerrF/nanc~a/ Analyszs, 1983-84, R D . Lough, P.J. McCartln, 1985. Rro/o'yic(z/ C'ontro/ of G m e : NU ( J ~ . - ( :ei~al~~atiou. ~~ti, R. A. Sand re y. 1985. Thr (,'fJllfpl'ti~i~~' P/J.litiiJll of- NCW z U l / ~ / / dFwsh Fl.//;f E.Y/)(I~%I; M.T. Laing, S.A. Hughes, R.L. Sheppard, 1985. MnrketincySt>-/rctrtre.r.for the Horticltltr/,?rlInd~i.rtr~~, N . I,. Taylor, R.G. Lattimore, 1985. A IJ Econo1/7icStirvi<]ldAri>zc? Ze(:/landToion fl/Iilk Pro(/~/cc,nr,198.384. R.G. Moffitt, 1985. A Financial and Economic Survey of South Auckland Town Milk Producers and Factory Szrpply Dairy Farmers, 1983-84, R.G. Moffitt, 1985. ' 149. The Economics of Controlling Gorse in Hill Country. Goats versus Cbmicols, M.A. Krause, A.C. Beck, J.B. Dent, 1984. 150. The WorU Market for Fruit Juice Products: Current Situation and I'rospects, M.T. Laing, RL. Sheppard, 1984. 15 1. The Economicr of Catrolled Atmosphere Storage and Transportfor Nectariner, Appbs and Kzwzfruit, M.T. Laing, R L. Sheppard, 1984. 152. Survey of New Zealand Farmer Intentions and Opinions. October-December, 1983, J. G. Pryde, P. J. McCartin, 1984. 15 3. Q y n a m i ~ so / l f e r d Buildi~pin Commercial Deer Productior~,U. A. Sandrey, A. C. Zwart, 1984. 154. The Economics of Farm Accidents and S ~ f e t yin New Zealand Axriculture, K . L. Leathers, J. D. Williams, 1984 DISCUSSION PAPERS A Survey of Farmers' Attitudes to Information, R. T. Lively, P. L. Nutha11,1983. Monetary Policy and Agricultural Lending by Private Sector Financial Institutions, R.L. St. Hill, 1983. Recreational Substitutability and Carrying Capacity for !he Rakaia and Wainiakariri Rivers, B. Shelby, 1983. "ConsiderJapan": Papersfrom a Seminar Conducted by theJapan Centre of Christchurch, Edited by K . G . R l o l l i t t . 1984. Deregulation: Impact on the Christchurch Meat Industr.~, R.L. Sheppard, D.E. Fowler, 1984. Farmers Record Keeping and Phnning Practices: apostal survey, J.Ryde, P.L. Nuthall, 1984. T h r Slalr of Agrzculturnl Credzt in Nruj Z ~ n l n n dJ, . C;. Prydr. I . . K. Bain. 1984. T h e Futurr of ~ h C;ommon r Agrzc-ultural Polley and 1t.i Implzr-rrtion.r for Nrul Zealarld. E. A. Atru~ood.1984. 155. An Information System for the Control of Brown Rust in Barley, P. K. Thornton, J. B. Dent, A. C. Beck, 1984 The Economic Potential of GrowtbPromoting Agents in Beef; D. E. Fowler, 1984 156. A n Asse.umenl o f the E8ect.r of Koad Dusf on Agricultural Production Sysfemr. P.R. McCrea. 1084 Some Aspects of the Farm Income Situation in New Zealand, E.A. Atrwood, 1984 Milk Prodzri-ers, 1982. 15 7 A12 Econom/(. S ~ i r t qof Ni~ioZcaIand TOIUIJ 83, R. G. hloffitt, 1984 Financing New Zealand Hor:ticulture, J.G. Pryde, L.B. Bain, 1984 The Optimal Locatzon of Egg Production in New Zealand, A.C. Beck. J . P . Rathbun. C.D. Abbotc, 1984. 159. The Economics of Irrigation Development o f the A m u n Plains Imgatzon Scheme. Glen Greer. 1084. 160. An Econon7ic S~trveyof New Zealarzd Wheatgrowers: Enterprise Analysir, S~trveyNo. 8, 1983-84, R.D. Lough, P.J. McCartin, 1984. 161. An Economic Survey I$ N e w Zealand Wheatgrowers: Financial Analysis, 1982-83, R D. Lough, P.J. McCartin, 1984. The New Zealand Farm Business and the Current Changes in its Structure, E.A. Attwood, 1984. 158. 162. Farmland Prici~zgin an Inflationary Economy with Implications for Public Policy K.L. Leathers, J.D. Gough, 1984. 163. An Analysfs of Production, Consumption and Borrowing Behaviour in the North Island Hill Country Pastoral Sector. A.C. Beck, J. B. Dent, 1984. 164. New Zealand's I,zshore Fishery: a Perspective on the Current Debate, R. A. Sandrey, D.K. O'Donnell, 1985. Land Polzcj~and Land Settlement zn New Zealand, j. R. Fa~rwearher,1985. 166. Farm Enlargement in New Zealand, J. R. Fairweather, 1985. 167. Survey of New Zealand Farmer Intentions and Opinions, October - December, 1984, J.G. Pryde, P.J. McCartin, 1985. 165. 168. Market Prospects for Mnzzc S.A. Hughes, R.L. Sheppard, 1985. The Agricultural Sector in New Zealand- aJoint Farm - Industrial Perspective, S.E. Guthrie, R G . Lattimore, 1984. The Current Situation and Policies of the New Zealand Cereals Sector, E.A. Attwood, 1984. The Current Situation and Future Development of the New Zealand Pig Industry, E.A. Attwood, 1985. North Island Maize Production, 1983-84, R. D. Lough, 1985. The Sandwich Algorithm for Spatial Equilibrium Analysis, J. P. Rathbun, A.C. Zwart, 1985. A Reuiew ofAgricztltural Credit in New Zealand, J. G. Pryde, L. B. Bain, 1985. New Zealand Economic Deuelopmetzt: a brief overview of unbalanced indz~strygrowth, R.G. Lattimore, 1985. Economic Aspects of Agricultural Education and Training in New Zealand, E.A. Attwood, 1985. Szf~plyResponse Parameters in New Zealand Agriculture - a Literature Search, M. Wood-Belton, R.G.J. Lattimore, 1985. Pap1,r.r Presented at the Tenth Annnnl Collference qf the Next Zenlcr~?c/R ~ N N Ai.druliar? c~, Agricr/ltnra/ Economics Society. 1985. An Ex(:1111i17ntion / ~ A l t e i n a t i uM(:irketirzg e Strat-tnres - 0 / i t ( , r a t ~ o ~ search, D.E. Fowler, R L . Sheppard, S.A. Hughes, 1985. Additional copies of Research Reports, apart from complimentary copies, are available a t $12.00 each. Discussion Papers are usually $8.50 but copies of Conference Proceedings (which are usually published as Discussion Papers) are