Appendix 5 FURTHER ADVICE IN RESPECT OF PROPOSED LOCAL CONVENIENCE FOODSTORE POLKA ROAD WELLS-NEXT-THE-SEA PREPARED ON BEHALF OF NORTH NORFOLK DISTRICT COUNCIL October 2012 MWA 12 The Glenmore Centre Jessop Court Marconi Drive Waterwells Business Park Quedgeley Gloucester GL2 2AP Tel: Fax: Email: 01452 722323 01452 881972 mark.c.wood@lineone.net 1 5.1 CONTENTS Page 1.0 INTRODUCTION 3 2.0 THE ARK ROYAL AND ADJOINING LAND 4 3.0 IMPACT 12 4.0 OVERALL CONCLUSIONS 18 Appendices: Appendix [1] Appendix [2] Appendix [3] Indicative layouts associated with the Ark Royal PH and adjoining land. Decision of the Supreme Court Tesco Stores Ltd v Dundee City Council [2012] UKSC 13. Research on linked trips by University of Southampton. 2 5.2 1.0 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Following the submission of our report in September 2012, the Applicant through their agents RPS, have submitted additional information in support of the proposed development. The additional information is primarily contained within three documents: Comments on Local Planning Authority’s audit of retail report in respect of impact. A letter from RPS dated 2nd October 2012. Response to proposals for mixed use development on Stearmans Yard car park/Ark Royal public house. 1.2 The last document sets out a critique of illustrative plans for two alternative schemes prepared by architects (levittbernstein) acting on behalf of a developer bidding to secure the Ark Royal public house site from the current owners, Enterprise Inns. We discuss the two alternative proposals in Section 2 of this report. 1.3 The architects have also provided a detailed response to the critique submitted on behalf of the Co-op and we have taken their comments into account along with a letter dated 10th October 2012 submitted by Enterprise Inns Plc confirming that the site is available and is suitable for the development of a convenience store either as a standalone unit or as part of mixed use redevelopment. 1.4 We have also had regard to an email from Mr Ellis (Chaldean) dated 11th October 2012 who has provided additional observations on the availability and suitability of the Ark Royal PH site in conjunction with adjoining land to accommodate a food store of the size proposed at Polka Road. 1.5 We also made another visit to the town and application site on 9th October. 3 5.3 2.0 THE ARK ROYAL SITE AND ADJOINING LAND (i) Introduction and context 2.1 In our September 2012 report we made the following observations on the Ark Royal PH and adjoining land which comprises part of the Stearmans Yard car park (operated and owned by the District Council). “5.18 The Stearmans Yard car park is owned by the Council and forms the town’s main car park. It contains approximately 140 spaces and lies adjacent to the Ark Royal Public House. Representations by Enterprise Inns state that the Ark Royal PH site is capable of accommodating a convenience store and highlights the close proximity of the site to the Primary Retail Frontage of the town centre. 5.19 In our opinion the location of the site is sequentially preferable to that at Polka Road given its close proximity to the Primary Retail Frontage of the town. Stearmans Yard also forms one of the principal car parks serving the town centre and from observation visitors can conveniently and safely walk into and from the town centre. 5.20 The Applicant has rejected the Ark Royal PH on the basis that it is not suited to the development of a food store capable of clawing back lost weekly shopping trips1. The RAR initial asserted that the site was not available but this argument is no longer advanced on behalf of the Applicant. 5.21 Taken in isolation and applying the approach set out by the Supreme Court in Tesco Stores Ltd v Dundee City Council [2012] it is arguable that the site in isolation is not suited to the development of a food store proposed at Polka Road. However there is in our view scope to consider the inclusion of part of the Stearmans Yard car park which would afford the opportunity to accommodate an appropriate number of car parking spaces. As the agent’s letter of 22nd June confirms the Ark Royal PH extends to approximately 0.25ha which is sufficient to accommodate a 929 sq.m. gross store together with servicing and delivery area. Dedicated customer car parking could be provided on adjacent land whilst still enabling a large number of spaces available for visitors to the town centre, the car park containing approximately 140 spaces. 5.22 The Applicants have stated that the publicly owned car park is not available and would not become available within a reasonable period of time and have requested further information on the circumstances when it might become available in order that its potential to be included within a redevelopment scheme could be considered. Our understanding is that the Council would consider releasing part of the site for redevelopment depending upon the number of spaces required and their subsequent management. This option would not entail the complete redevelopment of the car park. 5.23 In setting out our comments on the four sites examined we have borne in mind the advice within the Practice Guidance. Paragraph 6.2 of the Practice Guidance is highly relevant and states: “The sequential approach is intended to achieve two important policy objectives: • First, the assumption underpinning the policy is that town centre sites (or failing that well connected edge of centre sites) are likely to be the most readily accessible 1 Agent’s letter dated 22 nd June 2012. 4 5.4 locations by alternative means of transport and will be centrally placed to the catchments established centres serve, thereby reducing the need to travel. • The second, related objective is to seek to accommodate main town centre uses in locations where customers are able to undertake linked trips in order to provide for improved consumer choice and competition. In this way, the benefits of the new development will serve to reinforce the vitality and viability of the existing centre.” 5.24 2.3 On the basis of the submitted information we are therefore unable to conclude that the Ark Royal PH when coupled with the use of part of the adjoining car park would not become available within a reasonable period of time and would be unsuited to the type and scale of development proposed at Polka Road. In our opinion having regard to the two key tests underpinning the sequential approach as set out in paragraph 6.2 of the Practice Guidance we are unable to accept the Applicant’s claim that the site is unavailable and unsuitable.” In the light of a substantial amount of information received by both the Applicant and both the owners and potential purchaser of the Ark Royal PH site, it is appropriate to review our initial advice. (ii) Availability 2.4 In a letter from Mr Storey (Asset Manager, Enterprise Inns Plc) dated 10th October it is confirmed that the company is ‘actively pursuing’ the sale of the site. The letter explains that at the time of the company’s objection in May 2012, an offer had been accepted and the sale of the land to another party was expected by the end of September. The deadline was not met and negotiations are underway with a number of parties who have put forward a range of redevelopment options involving food stores of between 372 sq.m. and 929 sq.m. on both the Ark Royal site and the adjoining car park. Agreement is expected to be reached by Christmas 2012. 2.5 Paragraph 6.38 of the Practice Guidance accompanying former PPS4 states: “A site is considered available for development, when, on the best information available, there is confidence that there are no insurmountable legal or ownership problems, such as multiple ownerships, ransom strips, tenancies or operational requirements of landowners. Two related points include: • Whether there are any key policy pre-conditions to bringing forward the site, for example through allocation in the LDF, and if so the timescales and progress made towards meeting them. • The ownership of the site, and any evidence of whether the owner(s) of the site appear willing to bring forward the site for development in question within a reasonable timescale (or alternatively the progress made by the authority on site assembly through compulsory purchase where relevant).” 2.6 In assessing the period over which a site should be assessed as being available, paragraph 6.39 of the Practice Guidance states that it will be appropriate to examine a three to five year period. 2.7 On the basis of the public statement made by the owner of the Ark Royal PH site and in the absence of any key policy pre-conditions for bringing forward the land, we believe that this site is available. 2.8 In respect of the adjoining public car park the position is less clear cut since we know of no statement or agreement by the Council which indicates a willingness to sell or leasing the lower part of the Stearmans Yard car park for development. The car park comprises the largest car park serving the central part of the town and clearly the loss of around 35 spaces would need to be carefully considered. While there is a possibility of the land becoming available it is not likely to be available 5 5.5 until alternative car parking to the north of Freeman Street is provided in accordance with the Site Allocations DPD and which we discuss further below. (iii) Suitability 2.9 A potential purchaser of the Ark Royal PH site has put forward two possible redevelopment options and these are attached as Appendix [1] to this report. 2.10 The first option involves land associated with the Ark Royal PH site in isolation and the main elements of the scheme are as follows: The construction of a 929 sq.m. gross supermarket Two smaller retail units fronting Freeman Street (these could if necessary be amalgamated into the supermarket) 14 residential units (2 and 3 bedrooms) sited above the store some with private roof terraces Undercroft parking containing approximately 30 spaces for use by supermarket shoppers and residents. Access to the car park from Freeman Street Loading and unloading of delivery vehicles along Freeman Street via a dedicated lay-by. 2.11 The second option includes the Ark Royal PH site together with part of the adjoining public car park. The main elements of the scheme are as follows: The construction of a 929 sq.m. gross supermarket Two smaller retail units fronting Freeman Street (these could be amalgamated into the supermarket) 20 residential units (2 and 3 bedroom) sited above the store and undercroft parking some with private roof terraces Undercroft parking containing approximately 68 spaces for users of the supermarket and by residents Access to the car park from Freeman Street Loading and unloading of delivery vehicles along Freeman Street via a dedicated lay-by. Relocation of the public conveniences within the car park. Access to the upper part of the Stearmans Yard car park would be via the undercroft parking through the creation of a new ramp. 2.12 RPS on behalf of the Co-op have submitted a detailed critique of the two schemes and architects on behalf of a prospective purchaser and developer have provided a response. We have considered the various comments made. 2.13 In considering the suitability of the Ark Royal PH site and the adjoining land it is relevant to note the advice in paragraph 6.42 of the Practice Guidance. This states: “When judging the suitability of a site it is necessary to have a proper understanding of scale and form of development needed, and what aspect(s) of the need are intended to be met by the site(s). It is not necessary to demonstrate that a potential town centre or edge of centre site can accommodate precisely the scale and form of development being proposed, but rather to consider what contribution more central sites are able to make, either individually or collectively, to meeting the same requirements.” 2.14 Key considerations as set out in paragraph 6.43 of the Practice Guidance include the following: “Policy restrictions – such as designations, protected areas, existing planning policy and corporate, or community strategy policy. 6 5.6 • Physical problems or limitations – such as access, infrastructure, ground conditions, flood risk, hazardous risks, pollution or contamination. • Potential impacts – including effects on landscape features and conservation. • The environmental conditions – which would be experienced by potential users of the proposal.” 2.15 In all cases a ‘balanced judgement’ needs to be made having regard to specific circumstances of the site in question (paragraph 6.44 of the Practice Guidance). 2.16 It is also necessary to take into account as stated in our previous report, the ruling of the Supreme Court in Tesco Stores Ltd v Dundee City Council [2012] UKSC 13, where it was held that in defining the term ‘suitable’ reference should be made to the design of the developer’s proposal subject to the demonstration of flexibility and realism. It was held that the issue of suitability must be directed at the developer’s proposals and not to some alternative scheme which might be suggested by the Local Planning Authority. In other words any assessment must reflect the fact that the Applicant operates in the real world and is proposing a scheme which addresses the qualitative deficiencies within the existing store. A copy is attached as Appendix [2]. 2.17 At paragraph 21 of the judgment Lord Reed stated: “A provision in the development plan which requires an assessment of whether a site is ‘suitable’ for a particular purpose calls for judgment in its application.” 2.18 In paragraph 28 Lord Reed acknowledged that: I said earlier that it was necessary to qualify the statement that the Director and the respondents proceeded, and were correct to proceed, on the basis that “suitable” meant “suitable for the development proposed by the applicant”. As paragraph 13 of NPPG 8 makes clear, the application of the sequential approach requires flexibility and realism from developers and retailers as well as planning authorities2. The need for flexibility and realism reflects an inbuilt difficulty about the sequential approach. On the one hand, the policy could be defeated by developers’ and retailers’ taking an inflexible approach to their requirements. On the other hand, as Sedley J remarked in R v Teesside Development Corporation, Ex p William Morrison Supermarket plc and Redcar and Cleveland BC [1998] JPL 23, 43, to refuse an out-of-centre planning consent on the ground that an admittedly smaller site is available within the town centre may be to take an entirely inappropriate business decision on behalf of the developer. The guidance seeks to address this problem. It advises that developers and retailers should have regard to the circumstances of the particular town centre when preparing their proposals, as regards the format, design and scale of the development. As part of such an approach, they are expected to consider the scope for accommodating the proposed development in a different built form, and where appropriate adjusting or sub-dividing large proposals, in order that their scale may fit better with existing development in the town centre.” 2.19 The key part of the judgment at paragraph 29 is that in assessing the suitability of an alternative site it is necessary to proceed on the basis of assessing whether the site is suitable for the proposed development and not whether the proposed development can be altered or reduced so that it can be made to fit an alternative site. 2.20 This is confirmed by Lord Hope who at paragraph 38 stated that the assessment must be directed at what a developer was proposing and not to some other proposal for which the planning authority 2 Although reference is made to Scottish guidance, the advice within the NPPF and the Practice Guidance is similar in approach. 7 5.7 might seek to substitute for which is something less than that sought by the developer. This is because developers operate in the real world based on their assessment of market conditions. 2.21 With this ruling in mind and having regard to the submitted information we set out our observations below. (a) Policy restrictions 2.22 The loss of the public house would need to be considered in the context of whether it is appropriate to retain a leisure and community facility which serves residents and visitors to the town. Paragraph 70 of the NPPF seeks the retention of valued facilities and services where they meet day to day needs of the community and to plan positively for the provision of public houses. 2.23 The Site Allocations DPD (2011) at paragraph 11.0.3 notes: “Wells has a thriving tourism industry that supports the economic vitality of the town. Due to the remote rural location and the limited public transport available many visitors arrive by car. Currently there are inadequate car parking facilities to meet seasonal demand which often results in on-street car parking and congestion within the town’s narrow streets. Additional off-street parking would help alleviate these problems. There has been a long-held desire to remove car parking from the Quayside, thus creating a more attractive environment for residents and visitors. This would, however, reduce the parking available in the town. Temporary planning permission has been granted in recent years for use of the football club as a seasonal public car park, but this is not regarded as a suitable long term solution.” 2.24 The importance of maintaining public car parking is underlined by Policy CP2 of the Site Allocations DPD which identifies land to the north of Freeman Street for a new 300 space car park. Permission was granted (App. No. PF/10/0484) for such a car park but it is not clear when this proposal would come forward. It nonetheless highlights the Council’s recognition of the need to improve car parking serving the town centre in the event that the 80 spaces on the quay are removed from use. 2.25 Policy EC6 of the Core Strategy refers to public car parking. This states: “Designated Car Parks identified on the Proposals Map will be protected. Elsewhere, development proposals that would result in the loss of public car parking facilities which makes an important contribution to the local parking provision will not be permitted unless alternative equivalent provision is made available in a suitable location prior to the commencement of development.” 2.26 Paragraph 3.2.24 provides an explanation as to why retaining designated car parks such as Stearmans Yard is so important: “Given the important role which the Town Centres and Service Villages play in providing a variety of facilities and services to an extensive rural community with limited public transport provision, as well as being focal points for North Norfolk's tourism economy, it is considered that maintaining parking provision in the selected settlements at present levels is essential. It is therefore necessary to include a policy to protect car parking provision in such settlements.” 2.27 Having regard to this policy and the local circumstances in relation to Wells we do not believe therefore that the Stearmans Yard car park would be considered suitable for redevelopment within a mixed use scheme or a scheme involving a single supermarket. In our opinion the prevailing policy position strongly indicates that the loss of approximately 35 public car parking spaces would be 8 5.8 contrary to adopted policy EC6 and in the absence of suitable alternative provision would be unacceptable. The Council will need to determine whether it considers it appropriate to release part of the Stearmans Yard car park in the absence of suitable alternative provision elsewhere such as part of the Freeman Street development. (b) Physical problems or limitations 2.28 We are not aware of any limitations in respect of infrastructure, flood risk, hazardous risks, pollution or contamination of the Ark Royal PH or the adjoining car park. 2.29 In terms of the size of the Ark Royal PH site this appears from the submitted indicative drawings to be capable of accommodating a store of approximately 929 sq.m. gross although this may also require the inclusion of the two shop units. To this extent it is capable of accommodating in terms of the built footprint a store of similar size to that proposed at Polka Road. 2.30 However this is not the end of the issue. The indicative scheme indicates approximately 30 spaces within an undercroft car park although we note the suggestion that an additional 40 spaces over and above those indicated could be provided. The proposed spaces are intended to meet the needs of supermarket shoppers and residents. In noting that the scheme is indicative it is in our view likely that a detailed design would result in few additional spaces over and above the 30 indicated and based on the assumption of only one space per dwelling, this would result in approximately 16 spaces for shoppers. This is an unrealistically low level of provision to serve a modern supermarket which is specifically aimed at addressing a quantitative and qualitative need in the Wells area and which must be ‘fit for purpose’ i.e. it must be capable of competing effectively with larger food stores in Fakenham and elsewhere which provide free, surface level car parking designed to meet and attract bulky food shopping needs. 2.31 In this regard it is necessary to assess the Applicant’s proposal as a whole and not just the size of the building which is proposed to be erected. The provision of surface level and convenient car parking is an intrinsic part of the assessment which has been made to serve the market and the need for flexibility in our opinion does not extend to the provision of car parking which is more closely aligned with a small convenience store of c 400 sq.m. gross compared with a modern supermarket designed to meet the operational needs of a national retailer. 2.32 Coupled to this concern are the intended delivery arrangements via a lay-by off Freeman Street. While it is no doubt the case that this arrangement can occur in many urban locations it is a less than perfect arrangement given the frequency and timing of delivery vehicles. Moreover the proximity of residential properties along Freeman Road and above the proposed shop may well create unacceptable environmental impacts. 2.33 In terms of the adjoining Stearmans Yard site, the provision of 68 parking spaces represents an increase on the smaller site redevelopment. Assuming a minimum of 20 were required for residents, this would leave 48 to serve the store. This is a better level of provision but would not of course provide any replacement town centre parking spaces. Moreover any spaces would fall within the control of the residents or the proposed supermarket operator who would wish to ensure a minimum level to serve the store. 2.34 Accessing the upper part of Stearmans Yard through the undercroft car parking also appears to present difficulties in that users would pass through the retail and residential car park to access the public spaces beyond. It is not clear whether drivers approaching from the public car park would then also be able to access Freeman Street as at present. 9 5.9 (c) Potential impacts 2.35 The impact on the streetscape and setting of listed buildings would need to be carefully assessed but there seems little evidence to indicate that a suitable design could not be created. The overall height of the houses on the upper floor would need careful consideration in terms of their massing and height. (d) Environmental conditions 2.36 The main consideration here relates to the impact of noise and activity on existing and future residential occupiers as a consequence of operation of a supermarket on the site. Noise in particular will be generated by customers’ vehicles, deliveries including the pushing of metal pallets across the pavement into the store and plant and equipment. 2.37 We agree that the majority of these impacts could be mitigated. However the noise associated with deliveries which would occur along Freeman Street could not be adequately mitigated and could only be reduced by requiring deliveries during a typical ‘working day’ thereby avoiding sleep and other disturbance. (iv) Viability 2.38 The NPPF no longer refers directly to viability as a main consideration in assessing whether a site is suitable. The Practice Guidance at paragraph 6.47 refers to the degree to which there is a reasonable prospect that a development would occur taking into account market, cost and delivery factors. Paragraph 6.49 states that where an alternative site is being actively promoted by a developer/retailer this is a reasonable indicator that a location may be viable. It also states that it may be relevant to consider whether it is being used as a means of ‘blocking’ new development in less central locations. 2.39 In the case of the Ark Royal PH site we understand that Hill Partnerships have made an unconditional, offer for the site and we assume that this offer has been informed by the indicate redevelopment proposals. This is likely to include an element of residential use above the store which may have implications for how the store would operate. 2.40 In respect of Stearmans Yard, there is no agreement to sell this land and consequently the cost of its purchase and redevelopment is not known. 2.41 Overall therefore there is no evidence to suggest that it is not viable to develop a supermarket on the Ark Royal PH site. (v) Overall conclusions 2.42 In summary our conclusions are as follows: The ARK Royal PH site is available. The adjoining Stearmans Yard public car park is not currently available and we are unable to conclude on the balance of probability that it will become so within a reasonable period of time. However ultimately it is a matter for the Council to decide on this matter. The Stearmans Yard public car park is in our view not suitable for redevelopment given the adopted Core Strategy and Site Allocations DPD which seek to retain and improve the level of car parking serving the town centre. Its redevelopment could in our view only be sanctioned in the event that suitable alternative provision was made elsewhere. 10 5.10 The loss of the public house might be judged to be contrary to national advice to maintain leisure and community facilities which meet a local need. However Policy CT.3 of the Core Strategy would not prevent the loss of the public house provided equivalent or better quality provision was available in the area. Additionally the benefit of providing a supermarket would need to be balanced against any such loss particularly since the development would occur on an edge of centre site with the potential to stimulate linked shopping and other trips. The direct impact on the town centre would on a like for like basis be similar to that associated with a less central or out of centre development. The Ark Royal PH is in isolation and in theory capable of accommodating a food store extending to approximately 929 sq.m. gross. However we believe that the proposed car parking and delivery arrangements coupled with the proximity of existing and proposed residential development would result in a sub-standard supermarket development. Reducing the size of any foodstore to say 650-750 sq.m. gross provide either additional car parking and/or improved servicing and delivery arrangements would be possible but this would result in a scale and form of development which would in our view be significantly different from the model proposed by the Co-op at Polka Road. It would in short conflict with the approach set out in the Supreme Court judgement. The provision of a convenience store on the site would be feasible but again this would involve a form of retail development which did not reflect the Applicant’s assessment of the local market and the need to meet main food shopping needs. 2.43 In our opinion the question therefore as to whether the Ark Royal PH site is suitable and therefore whether the proposal for a supermarket at Polka Road complies with the sequential approach to site selection, is finely balanced. The owner of the Ark Royal PH has made it clear that the site will be sold and a prospective developer has supplied information which seeks to demonstrate that it is suitable. There are a number of benefits in seeing it redeveloped including the ability to enhance the local townscape and increase shopping choice in a sustainable location accessible by a range of means of transport. It may also be possible to provide a supermarket as part of a mixed use scheme involving smaller shop units and residential. 2.44 Our main concerns however relate to the sub-standard nature of the proposed car parking and delivery arrangements and the impact of the store’s operation with existing uses in the area including the impact on existing residents and proposed residents. A single supermarket on its own may also be unviable although the position on this is not clear. 2.45 The inclusion of part of the Stearmans Yard public car park is rejected because it is not suitable due to the protected nature and importance of the existing use. 2.46 On balance therefore we conclude that the Ark Royal PH is not suitable for the scale and type of food retail development proposed at Polka Road. 11 5.11 3.0 IMPACT (i) Introduction 3.1 RPS have provided additional information in support of their client’s development which seeks to address matters raised in our initial audit. In summary RPS make the following points; Anglia Co-op does not publish company average turnover levels. The predicted turnover is based on existing levels of shopping provision taking into account the fact that it would be the largest store in the catchment area. Consequently the predicted convenience goods turnover estimated by MWA at £3.1m is too high particularly since 10% of the sales area would be devoted to the sale of comparison i.e. non-food and convenience goods. The provision of a new supermarket will provide much needed competition with larger out of centre food stores in Fakenham and Cromer. The North Norfolk Retail Study (NNRS)(2005) estimated that the town centre was achieving turnover levels significantly in excess of what would normally be expected for a relatively small coastal town and this may reflect its popularity as a tourist destination. The NNRS estimated that the town centre achieved a convenience goods sales density of £14,147 sq.m. (2001 prices) and this was adjusted to £6,700 sq.m. Within its primary catchment area the town was estimated to attract £2.2m of convenience goods expenditure while the amount attracted from outside was substantially reduced although the expenditure from tourists remained high at around 40% of the total. Based on the NNRS the convenience goods turnover of the town centre in 2011 would be £4.3m (2009 prices). It is difficult to assess company average or benchmark turnover levels for the town centre because the majority of retailers comprise small, independent outlets. However based on estimates achieved in Sheringham the town centre is estimated to achieve a benchmark convenience goods turnover of approximately £1.8m which is well below the predicted or actual trading levels. The primary catchment area generates £7.8m of convenience goods expenditure in 2011. On the basis the estimated convenience goods turnover of £2.4m used in the RAR, would equate to a loss of £5.4m per annum or 70% of the total. Assuming a design year turnover of £3.1m in 2016 and allowing for an increase in floorspace efficiency levels within the town centre of 0.2% per annum between 2011 and 2016 leading to a town centre turnover of £4.4m at that date, the new store could divert approximately £0.5m3 equating to an impact of 11%. The impact needs to be placed in context because the town centre is achieving trading levels well in excess of what would normally be expected in a town of this size. Even if 30% of the proposed turnover (£0.93m) was to be drawn from the town centre the resultant turnover of around £3.5m would remain in excess of the benchmark level. There would be no significant impact from comparison goods sold in the store given the estimated comparison goods turnover of Wells of £12.1m4 in 2011 (based on the NNRS). Consequently the impact on the total turnover of the town centre would be approximately 3%. 3 4 The precise estimate is £460,000. 2001 prices. 12 5.12 This impact would be off-set by an increase in the proportion of linked shopping and other trips. Based on research undertaken by the University of Southampton an estimated of the monetary value of linked trips is estimated to be between £231,000 and £369,700 per annum. No store closures within the town centre are predicted and it is noted that none of the existing retailers have claimed that they would be forced into closure. Based on the test set out within paragraph 27 of the NPPF, it is concluded that the development is not likely to have a significant adverse impact on the town’s vitality and viability, including local consumer choice and trade in the town centre and wider area. (ii) Commentary 3.2 The additional information provided by RPS is helpful in allowing us to form a view on whether the proposed development is likely to have a significant adverse impact on the town centre. We maintain our view however that it does not set out in a methodical manner a step by step approach as advocated within paragraph D.23 of the Practice Guidance. Nonetheless we have used our own judgment to assess the submitted information to provide our final advice to the Council on this particular issue. (a) No development scenario 3.3 In our opinion it is worth highlighting advice contained within the Practice Guidance which accompanied the revoked PPS4. Paragraph D.4 of the guidance advises that it is appropriate to examine the position which would result in the event that proposed retail development did not occur including the potential effect of commitments elsewhere. 3.4 Table B in our audit set out the leakage of convenience goods expenditure within the 10 minute drive time in 2012 and 2017. This is repeated below: Table B: Leakage of convenience goods expenditure within 10 minute drive time 20122017 Total resident population Total Resident Convenience Goods Expenditure £m Inflow of Convenience Goods expenditure £m (10%) Total Convenience Goods Expenditure £m Convenience goods turnover of Wells-Next-the-Sea Centre £m Retention Rate ‘Leakage’ of Convenience Goods Expenditure £m 3.5 Change 2012 to 2017 +112 +0.30 2012 4,031 2017 4,143 7.8 0.78 8.58 8.1 0.81 8.91 0.03 +0.33 2.4 28% 6.18 2.55 28% 6.41 +0.1 +0% +0.67 The table indicates that under a ‘do nothing’ scenario the town would lose over £6m of convenience goods expenditure per annum and over the 5 year period to 2017 this would equate to a loss in excess of £30m. The majority of this will be in the form of main food expenditure which is largely 5 Based on increase in floorspace efficiency of 0.2% per annum and assumes the net convenience goods trading area within the town of 527 sq.m. as per the 2005 study. This would equate to approximately £4,750 sq.m. in 2017. While this is somewhat on the low side it should be remembered that the inflow of 10% is likely to be conservative and consequently additional expenditure is likely to be attracted to the centre. 13 5.13 incapable of being met within existing town centre shops. The continued loss of this expenditure in our opinion emphasises the unsustainable pattern of shopping trips which is supporting the turnover of food stores further afield, particularly the Morrisons and Tesco stores in Fakenham. As paragraph B.53 of the Practice Guidance notes maintaining constant market shares will mean that retail destinations with the highest share will continue to attract the highest proportion of expenditure and this will in essence perpetuate the status quo. Paragraph B.54 advises that in certain circumstances it may not be appropriate to maintain this position. 3.6 The development of a Tesco store in Sheringham and Lidl in Cromer which is currently under construction will do little to reduce the annual loss. Consequently we do not believe that a ‘do nothing’ scenario is an appropriate or sustainable option. (b) Turnover and trade draw 3.7 We note the observations of RPS in respect of the predicted design year turnover. However paragraph D.14 of the Practice Guidance states that any assumptions that new development will only achieve a potential retailers’ respective company average should be treated with caution. It advises that operators will seek to improve their turnover over time by the development of new, more efficient stores in which case sensitivity testing may be necessary. 3.8 The Co-op accepts that the proposed store will be the largest within the catchment area and in our view while it will compete to a significant extent with food stores further afield, it would also overlap to some extent with the role and function of existing food and convenience goods outlets in the town centre. 3.9 RPS have however applied sensitivity testing by adopting a higher convenience goods turnover of £3.1m and then assuming that between 15% and 30% of its turnover would be drawn from the town centre. We believe that the trade draw assumptions used in respect of the town centre are robust and provide an appropriate basis for assessing impact although we do note that there has been no attempt to quantify the impact on food stores and other shops outside of the catchment area. While we do not believe that the impact on other centres will be significantly adverse, the absence of detailed information on the trade draw (and thereby the impact) means that it is necessary to apply the sensitivity assumptions to the potential impact on Wells town centre to assess a possible ‘worse case’. (c) Impact 3.10 RPS have revised their estimate of the town centre turnover. In the RAR it was estimated that the town centre achieved a turnover of approximately £2.4m of which £250,0006 would be diverted to the proposed store. 3.11 Subsequently RPS have upgraded their estimated of the town’s convenience goods turnover to £4.3m in 2011 (2009 prices) rising to £4.4m by 2016. This reflects the survey evidence which informed the NNRS. They have also assumed based on a design year turnover of £3.1m for the proposed store that £460,0007 would be drawn from the town centre equating to an impact of around 10%. 3.12 To test the sensitivity of this assumption if 30% of the proposed store’s turnover were to be diverted from the town centre (£0.93m) this would equate to an impact of around 21%. 3.13 Paragraph D.30 of the Practice Guidance provides advice on how to assess the likely impact. It states: “First, it will always be relevant to consider the character of the development proposed, to judge its likely trading impact. There is a general assumption that ‘like affects like’, so, 6 7 Based on an assumed benchmark turnover of £2.5m of which 10% would be drawn from the town centre. c15%. 14 5.14 for example, in an area already served by large modern foodstores, the effects of a new large food superstore are likely to fall disproportionately on the existing competing stores. Their proportionate impact on local independent retailers, or discount foodstores for example may be less. Second, it is relevant to consider distance, based on the assumption that generally consumers will seek to use the closest comparable facility. So, for example, if in a given zone a relatively small proportion of trade is attracted to a facility which is similar to, but considerably further away than the proposal in question, it is likely to have a disproportionate effect on that facility.” 3.14 In respect of the first consideration the proposed food store is in our view proportionately more likely to compete with larger food stores in Fakenham and Cromer. It is intended to provide the opportunity for meeting some of the main food shopping needs of local residents which the current shops within the town centre including the recently converted Costcutter (now Nisa Extra) cannot realistically hope to meet. In this regard the scheme proposes a store which is more comparable in terms of size, function and quality which are found in the Morrison stores in Fakenham and Cromer and the existing and proposed Tesco stores in Fakenham and Sheringham. 3.15 Furthermore it is clear that Wells town centre retains a relatively limited proportion of turnover generated within its catchment area. On the basis that it were to achieve a £4.4m turnover in 2017, this would equate to around 54% of the total generated within the catchment area equating to a loss of £3.7m. which would be sufficient to accommodate the proposed turnover of the Polka Road store based on the higher turnover of £3.1m 3.16 Of course this analysis is unrealistic in so far as the survey results from the NNRS clearly indicate that around 40% of the town’s convenience goods turnover is drawn from outside the catchment area. This would equate to around £1.76 meaning that in practice the centre retained only around 33% of the expenditure generated within the 10 minute catchment area. Even in the event that the 40% figures estimated in 2005 is too high there is little doubt that the town loses a significant level of expenditure to competing centres and larger food stores. Thus proportionately the trade draw from the town centre because of its relatively limited market share will be correspondingly less. (i) Is the impact likely to be significant? 3.17 Paragraph 5.10 of the Practice Guidance provides the context for interpreting whether a particular impact would be significant. It states: “In assessing whether an impact is significant, it should be remembered that any new development involving town centre uses will lead to an impact on existing facilities, and as new development takes place in one town centre this will enhance its competitive position relative to other centres. This is a consequence of providing for efficient modern retailing and other key town centre uses, and promoting choice, competition and innovation.” 3.18 Paragraph D.33 of the Practice Guidance also acknowledges that a key factor influencing the significance of the levels of impact is the current performance of existing centres and the degree to which any planned investment would be undermined. 3.19 In the context of Wells in our opinion based on our visits to the centre and noting the results of the NNRS and the applicant’s RAR, we believe that it is fundamentally vital and viable as evidenced by the very low vacancy levels, strong pedestrian flows and wide range of shops and services. This is reinforced by its high quality townscape, its attractive coastal location and its popularity as a tourist destination. 15 5.15 3.20 The existing outlets largely comprise small independently owned and operated businesses. These include various outlets operated by Howell’s including a bakery, fishmonger and delicatessen. Kingsleys operate a food and wine outlet and there is a Martin’s newspaper and confectionery shop. The former Costcutter now operating as Nisa Extra remains the largest convenience goods outlet in the centre but it is clear that this is largely used for top-up shopping purchases although we accept that some residents are likely to use it for some main food shopping trips. 3.21 It is inevitable that the introduction of a new supermarket would divert trade from existing retailers due largely to the lack of any new retail provision in recent years. The issue however is not however the impact on individual retailers but whether it would have an impact on the centre as a whole.8 The Government is committed to promoting competition between retailers and enhanced consumer choice and the issue in the context of paragraph 26 of the NPPF is two fold: 1. Impact on existing, committed and planned public and private sector investment in a centre 3.22 There is no committed public or private sector investment in Wells which would be adversely affected by the scheme. However as we have indicated in section 2 there are plans to promote a convenience store on the Ark Royal PH site. 3.23 Having regard to our conclusions in Section 2 we do not believe that the Ark Royal PH is suitable to accommodate the scale and form of development proposed at Polka Road although this matter is finely balanced. In our opinion granting permission for a 929 sq.m. gross supermarket on the application site would not prevent the redevelopment of the Ark Royal PH site for a smaller convenience store although it could be likely to deter the development of a larger store. 2. Impact on the town’s vitality and viability 3.24 We do not believe that the predicted impact would undermine the vitality and viability of the centre whose health is generally robust and exhibits a buoyancy often lacking in centres of similar or larger size. The predicted trade draw would in our view allow existing retailers to trade at above what would be regarded as viable, benchmark levels and we agree with RPS that closure of shops is unlikely to occur. 3.25 There would be some loss of trade from the town centre but not loss of local consumer choice. As paragraph 26 of the NNPF notes it is also appropriate to examine the increase in consumer choice and trade within the wider area. The introduction of a new supermarket would represent a dramatic increase in choice and significantly enhance the ability of local residents to undertake main food shopping within the immediate area. 3.26 It would also lead to an overall increase in trade within the wider area increasing it by approximately £2.6m in 2017. This would equate to an increase in retention from around 28% to around 58% which we believe is realistic and sustainable. (ii) Can the impact be off-set by linked shopping and other trips? 3.27 We are familiar with the research undertaken by the University of Southampton which concluded overall that: 8 Paragraphs D.10 and D.38 of the Practice Guidance, the latter stating: In all cases however it is important that the impacts are considered on the vitality and viability of the whole of a centre or centres, not simply on individual facilities which may be similar to the proposed development 16 5.16 “Evidence from the studys' consumer surveys relating to linked trip propensities, show that new foodstores are not just used for one stop shopping.‟ Indeed, 68% of respondents claimed to combine visits to the new foodstores with visits to other shops or services in the existing retail centres...” 3.28 The key findings of the 2010 research undertaken by the University of Southampton show that: Supermarkets are not just for ‘one-stop’ shopping. Shoppers link their supermarket trips with visits to other shops, increasing town centre footfall and enhancing vitality and viability. Town centre traders are positive about the impacts of such development on themselves and their families, other local residents, and the town centre. 3.29 Extracts from the research are attached as Appendix [3] to this report. 3.30 RPS has attempted to quantify the amount of expenditure generated within the town centre as a consequence of encouraging new trips to and from the town centre. This is estimated to be between £0.23m and £0.37m based on an approach adopted by other consultants acting for Tesco Stores Ltd in Swaffham. As with any estimate the analysis includes using professional judgment to estimate the amount of additional trade which could be attracted based on the assumption that 30% of customers to the Co-op store undertook a linked trip and then spent between £15 and £20 per trip. 3.31 The assessment does not of course quantify the number of shoppers which would divert to the new store who would otherwise have shopped in the town centre after visiting the relevant food and convenience goods stores on the same visit. Additionally the assessment to some degree is reliant on linked trips being undertaken by foot and by car and the propensity for the former would be increased in the event that improvements in the accessibility of the application site and the town centre were made. 3.32 Therefore while we are unable to corroborate the magnitude of the linked trips we do believe that on balance, some additional turnover would be generated within the town centre and as a worse case this would off-set expenditure lost from linked trips already occurring between food and convenience goods outlets and other businesses. (d) Overall conclusions 3.33 Having regard to the additional information we do not believe that the scheme is likely to have a significantly adverse impact on the vitality and viability of the town centre or reduce consumer choice. It would lead to an overall increase in trade within the wider area. 3.34 In respect of existing and committed investment in the centre we do not believe that this factor is a significant consideration given the health of the town centre and the absence of any schemes with planning permission. However it is unlikely that a second supermarket of similar size (should this be physically and practically possible) would be developed on the Ark Royal PH and this possibility would therefore be reduced in the event that permission was granted. It would not in our opinion however reduce the possibility of developing a smaller convenience store of say 350-450 sq.m. gross on the Ark Royal PH site. 17 5.17 4.0 OVERALL CONCLUSIONS 4.1 This report sets out further advice to the Council regarding the retail policy issues associated with the development of a supermarket at Polka Road. This is based on reviewing additional information from the Applicants and the owners and prospective purchasers of the Ark Royal PH along Freeman Street. The scheme would therefore comply with the relevant part of Policy EC5 within the adopted Core Strategy and paragraph 24 of the NPPF. 4.2 In relation to the degree to which the scheme complies with the sequential approach we conclude that on balance this has been met for the reasons set out in Section 2. In making an assessment it is also in our view important to stress the need to make a qualitative improvement in food shopping provision particularly in the form of a store designed to meet some of the area’s main food shopping needs. The proposal by the Co-op would deliver a store of an appropriate scale and in a relatively sustainable location which would allow the town as a whole to retain a higher proportion of convenience goods expenditure. This would result in a more sustainable form of development and would secure the redevelopment of a brownfield site in need of regeneration. 4.3 In addition to create new employment opportunities many of which would no doubt be available to local residents, there is scope to provide a petrol filling station on the adjoining land and which is subject to a separate planning application. As paragraph 1.3.13 of the Core Strategy notes: “The town also acts as a local service centre, but its remote location, in addition to the high price of housing, pushed up by second-home ownership, has created problems in terms of retaining local services (there is no petrol filling station in the town and there is currently spare capacity at local schools) and in providing for affordable housing for local people including key workers.” 4.4 These are benefits which need to be assessed in the overall balance of planning considerations. 4.5 In relation to the impact on the town centre, the inevitable consequence of introducing a food store is that some trade diversion from existing businesses will occur. The Practice Guidance recognises that this is a truism but states that the assessment must be made having regard to the impact on the centre as a whole. 4.6 Having reviewed the additional information supplied by the Applicant’s we are able to conclude that it is unlikely to have a significant adverse impact on the choice of shopping within the town or on its overall vitality and viability. In this regard we do believe however that in order to ensure that linked shopping and other trips are generated between the site and the town centre, that improvements to the pedestrian and cycle links are secured as part of a section 106 obligation. In addition we believe that such improvements could extend to increase the signage between the store and town centre thereby allowing non-residents to be aware of the proximity and accessibility of the town centre from the site. We believe that these improvements would meet the tests in Regulation 122 of the Community Infrastructure Levy Regulations, paragraph 204 of the NPPF and the Council’s adopted policy on planning obligations and retail development. 18 5.18