Agenda Item No____12________ NORTH WALSHAM RETAIL AND LEISURE DEMAND, CAPACITY AND FEASIBILITY STUDY Summary: This report outlines the findings of investigations into the possible development opportunities in North Walsham, following on from the Retail Demand and Capacity Study Reported to Cabinet in December 2012. Evaluations have taken place into the potential for retail development at two key sites in North Walsham: Paston College’s Lawns site and Vicarage Street Car Park. Whilst in both cases it would appear that development opportunities are likely to be viable, due to the absence of an express demand from potential retail developers and operators, and in the former case, the College’s express commitment to go ahead with its own investment on the Lawns site, it is impossible to conclude that such development is deliverable at the current time. Options considered: The site appraisals that form the background to this report provide an up-to-date position in respect of the site options. There are, realistically, no alternative options at this point in time for the reasons set out in this report, as to pursue development of these sites at present, with no demonstrable prospect of implementation, would not be practical or economically prudent. Conclusions: The Council has been committed to utilising its own assets and its powers where appropriate to create opportunities and the right kind of environment to attract investment in North Walsham town centre; however the two viability reports undertaken on behalf of the Council to-date demonstrate that this is far from a straightforward exercise. On the basis of this evidence it is impossible at this time to make a positive recommendation in relation to the sites considered. Officers will continue to work with the appointed property consultants to explore opportunities and to market sites as appropriate. Once the outcome of the planning application for out-of-town development of a foodstore is known a strategy for the town centre will be developed; this may be predicated on a predominantly service function for the town, or a retail investment strategy, depending on circumstances. Recommendations: It is recommended that the Council, through its property consultants, continues to investigate the opportunities to provide investment and development which will support the overall vitality and viability of North Walsham Town Centre and that any relevant actions or interventions are brought to Cabinet at the appropriate time for decision. Reasons for Recommendations: To provide the information necessary to make decisions about future investment and development in North Walsham LIST OF BACKGROUND PAPERS AS REQUIRED BY LAW (Papers relied on to write the report and which do not contain exempt information) NNDC Cabinet Papers – March 2012 North Walsham Retail and Leisure Demand, Capacity and Feasibility Study – SPA (http://www.northnorfolk.org/community/8373.asp) Cabinet Member(s) Ward(s) affected Cllr T Ivory North Walsham Wards Cllr W Northam Contact Officer, telephone number and email: R Young ex. 516162 robert.young@north-norfolk.gov.uk 1. Introduction 1.1 In response to a recognition of the problems faced by North Walsham town centre, voiced through the North Walsham Leadership of Place initiative, Cabinet considered a report (in March 2012) which recommended that evidence should be gathered and resources used to help realise opportunities for the town in order to: i) reinvigorate North Walsham Town centre, reducing the number of vacant units and increasing the presence of multiple retailers; ii) make more effective use of key town centre sites, potentially including St. Nicholas’s Court precinct, Vicarage Street car park, New Road car park, Bank Loke/ Black Swan Loke and other land and buildings owned by NNDC; and iii) establish a dialogue with owners of key town centre businesses to identify synergy between their aspirations and those of NNDC and other stakeholders. 1.2 Cabinet Considered a further report at its December meeting into retail (and commercial leisure) demand and capacity in the town. In summary this suggested that by focusing the apparent demand for food retailing in the town on an appropriate site close enough to the town centre to increase footfall within the centre generally, this could help drive a process of ‘progressive regeneration’. Cabinet therefore agreed to further investigations into the opportunities to provide investment and development which will support the overall vitality and viability of North Walsham Town Centre. Viability assessments have consequently been undertaken for two key sites within the town: Paston College’s Lawns site and a site centred on the Vicarage Street car park. This report outlines the results of those investigations and identifies the implications for the council. 2. Summary of the key findings of retail report and its implications 2.1 Paston College Lawns Site 2.2 The viability assessment into the development potential of the Paston College’s Lawns site is attached as Appendix F. The financial figures relating to this have, however, been omitted for the sake of commercial confidentiality. 2.3 The overall conclusion of the investigation is that the development of the site for a foodstore of circa 50-60,000 square feet (together with requisite car parking and ancillary development) is likely to be viable. The revenue generated by such a scheme is likely to be sufficient to fund the consolidation of the college onto its Griffon site, although this might also entail the inclusion of parcels of third party land in order to fully meet the needs of the foodstore and the college. The scheme would be expected to generate a comfortable surplus (even if undertaken by a developer taking its own profit); if the scheme were to be negotiated directly with an end user then the marginal profitability would of course be substantially greater. 2.4 The investigation included an attempt to elicit the likely interest from potential retail operators. The response from the main supermarkets most likely to be attracted to this proposition, however, has not been positive (see page 13 of Appendix F). Given that an alternative ‘out-of-town’ site on the Cromer Road is currently being proposed for a speculative development of a 60,000 sq ft foodstore (at the site of the Former Marricks Wire Rope works) and that a planning application for this is still pending, this is bound to have influenced the response received. Being vacant (and largely clear) the Cromer Road site will undoubtedly be (in practical terms) more straightforward to develop, and probably therefore more profitable, and store operators are highly likely therefore to favour that site, unless and until it fails to gain planning consent. The true level of interest in alternative sites is thus unlikely to be known until the planning application for the Marrick site has been finally determined. 2.5 Whilst viability is a key issue in the further consideration of the development potential of the Lawns site, it is vital also to consider the position of the college itself. Paston is a successful sixth-form college and is competing strongly against other colleges in a wide catchment. The college relies upon the town to help it to attract students and the town’s vitality and viability undoubtedly benefits from having the college so close to its centre. The college is keen to nurture this symbiotic relationship; however, it must keep an eye on its key role – as an education provider. Given that on average students only spend two years at the college, there is concern that even a short-term disruption can have a significant impact on the student experience and the prediction of such disruption can consequently influence future student numbers. Any uncertainty about the future of the college (even if it is likely to result in long-term improvements) can also have a negative influence on student numbers in the short-term. In order to entertain a project such as that currently being mooted, the college would need to be completely satisfied that substantial benefits will accrue and that these will clearly outweigh any adverse impacts. The college needs certainty that a sustainable project can be delivered before any speculation begins to have a negative influence on the college roll. 2.6 Given the uncertainty over the deliverability of the potential scheme, Paston has now stated publicly that it is to pursue a substantial investment and improvement programme (including premises on the Lawns site) in order for the college to remain competitive and that there is little merit in considering further the potential of the Lawns site for retail development. The college clearly cannot allow uncertain development proposals to jeopardise its immediate future investment plans or student intake and the site must therefore be considered to be unavailable. 2.7 In summary, the viability of the development opportunity at the Lawns site can be demonstrated but its deliverability cannot; consequently the site cannot be considered to be available. It is not practical therefore for the site to be promoted for development. The site is, however, designated as ‘Town Centre’ on the LDF proposals Map and is allocated for ‘mixed use’ development in the North Norfolk LDF site Allocations Document; both of which would generally support the development of retail uses if functionally well-related to the remaining town centre area. Not actively promoting the site at this moment in time will not change its policy status or indeed its development potential; however, it does for the time being remove the option which was expected to be the catalyst to the progressive regeneration of the town. An alternative strategy will need to be formulated, depending upon the outcome of the application for development of the Marricks Ropes site. 2.8 Vicarage Street Car Park site 2.9 A site based on the Vicarage street car park is allocated in the LDF Site Allocations Document as a ‘retail Opportunity Site’. The potential viability and deliverability of a development of non-food (comparison) retailing based on this site has been investigated. The viability report confirms that, in accordance with the LDF site allocation, development of the site for retail development comprising up to seven units of between 1200 and 5000 sq ft, is likely to be viable on the site, if augmented by adjacent land such as the adjacent Foundry Cars site (together with the possible addition of residential garden land, if available). The report has not been provided due to commercial sensitivity and the inclusion of third party land, which has yet to be the subject of consultation with landowners. 2.10 This evaluation demonstrates that although the scheme is viable in financial terms, the poor response from the retailers approached suggests that the scheme is undeliverable in the current market due to a lack of sufficient retailer demand. The responses received mentioned the size of the catchment, unsuitable demographics and leakage of spend, which is partly due to the close proximity of Norwich. The future potential of this site is undoubtedly linked to the overall vitality and viability of the town centre, which in turn may hinge upon the location of major foodstore developments. 3. Options considered 3.1 The site appraisals that form the background to this report provide an up-todate position in respect of the site options. There are, realistically, no alternative options at this point in time for the reasons set out in this report, as to pursue development of these sites at present, with no demonstrable prospect of implementation would not make sense. 4. Conclusion 4.1 It is clear that if North Walsham is to attract retail development it must have sites or premises that are a suitable size and are attractive in other respects. The development of such sites needs to be viable and the sites need to be available in order to facilitate their development. The catchment also needs to be commercially attractive to retail operators. The Council has been committed to utilising its own assets and its powers where appropriate to create opportunities and the right kind of environment to attract investment; however the two viability reports undertaken on behalf of the Council, which are the subject of this Cabinet report, demonstrate that this is far from a straightforward exercise. On the basis of this evidence it is impossible at this time to make a positive recommendation in relation to the sites so far considered. Officers will continue to work with the appointed property consultants to explore opportunities and to market sites as appropriate. Once the outcome of the planning application for out-of-town development of a foodstore is known a strategy for the town centre will be developed; this may be predicated on a predominantly service function for the town or a retail investment strategy, depending on circumstances. 5. Implications and Risks 5.1 This report is based on a sound investigation of the potential of sites within North Walsham. The future vitality and viability of North Walsham town centre depends upon sound decisions in relation to sites such as these under consideration, however the recommended approach is a cautious one, which does not expose the Council to risks or wider implications. 6. Financial Implications and Risks 6.1 There are no financial implications resulting from this report. The cost of the investigations has been met within the allocated budget and the resources for further work of a similar nature have been identified and the property consultants have already been appointed to undertake this, as necessary. 7. Sustainability 7.1 This report relates to the exploration of options to reinforce and improve the retail role of North Walsham town centre. Supporting services and businesses in this central and accessible location is likely to bring sustainability benefits. No sustainability issues arise from the recommendations set out in this report. 8. Equality and Diversity 8.1 No diversity and equality implications stem from this report 9. Section 17 Crime and Disorder considerations 9.1 No crime and disorder implications stem from this report.