International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT) – Volume 27 Number 1- September 2015 Economic Assessment of Photovoltaic-Diesel-Battery Based Power Generation System for Low Cost Electrification of Residential House in India Modika Gupta Assistant Professor, Department of Applied Sciences and Humanities, Moradabad Institute of Technology, Moradabad, India Abstract - In this paper an optimization model is developed to perform the economic analysis of Photovoltaic (PV)– diesel–battery based Power generation system. The objective is to minimize life cycle cost of the system. A case study of a residential house in Moradabad district (India) is considered to examine the applicability of the optimization model. The simulation result shows that the PV penetration of 86.6% and diesel fraction of 13.4% give the best solution with minimum LCC of $8441.The analysis of hybrid power generation system shows that Moradabad district in Uttar Pradesh is a potential candidate for the use of PV–battery–diesel system for electricity generation. Keywords - Photovoltaic, optimization India, residential, simulation CPVinitial CPVoperational CPVmaintenance_repair CPVresidual CPVinstallation LCCHPGS LCCphotovoltaic Life Cycle Cost of PV system ($) Life Cycle Cost of battery bank ($) Life Cycle Cost of diesel generator ($) NOMENCLATURE CBBinitial CBBoperational_main CBBreplacement CBBresidual CDGinitial CDGoperational CDGmaintenance_repair CDGresidual CDGservice CDiesel Initial cost of battery bank ($) Operational & maintenance cost of battery bank ($) Replacement cost of battery bank ($) Residual cost of battery bank ($) Initial cost of diesel generator ($) Operational cost of diesel generator ($) Maintenance and repair cost of diesel generator ($) Residual cost of diesel generator ($) Service cost of diesel generator ($) Diesel cost per liter ($/liter) ISSN: 2231-5381 Initial cost of PV system ($) Operational cost of PV system ($) Maintenance and repair cost of PV system ($) Residual cost of PV system ($) Installation cost of PV system ($) Life Cycle Cost of hybrid power generation system ($) LCCbattery_bank LCCdiesel_generator I. INTRODUCTION In the real energy production market, if a drop of greenhouse effect gases is desired, it is essential to encourage energy production scenarios where renewable energy sources had more and more significance. As a class of clean, hygienic and renewable resource, solar photovoltaic (PV) energy system has achieved noteworthy attention in recent years due to the high energy cost and unfavorable environmental impacts of conventional fossil fuels. PV systems have made an important contribution to daily life in developing countries, where one third of the world’s population lives without electricity [1]. However, a negative aspect of solar PV system is their impulsive nature and reliance on weather and climatic conditions, and the variations of solar http://www.ijettjournal.org Page 19 International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT) – Volume 27 Number 1- September 2015 energy may not go with with the time distribution of load demand [2]. Fortunately, the problems caused by the variable nature of these resources can be partially or wholly overcome by integrating these two energy resources in a proper combination, using the strengths of one source to overcome the weakness of the other. Economically optimal designs are vital for PV systems in competing with the conventional and more reliable power systems. High performance at the minimum possible cost will promote the use of such systems and show the way to more cost effective systems gradually. There are numeral studies about the size analysis and cost optimization of PV–diesel–battery system since the popular utilization of photovoltaic (PV) modules in 1980s [3]. Some techniques [4,5] placed more importance on the influences of statistical characteristics of meteorological data on the system performances, or the influences of nonlinear characteristics of system components and operation strategies on the optimal sizing of renewable energy systems; others [6,7] developed some empirical equations to relate a limited set of meteorological characteristic factors with the system configurations based on time-step performance simulations, but the models used for the simulations are very straightforward, for example, linear models are used for simulating the characteristics of system components, moreover, the load demand is assumed to be constant throughout, so the application ranges of the derived equations are very restricted. Some studies on the solar PV based hybrid power generation system with energy storage have been reported in the literature. Dakkak et al. [8] presented a centralized energy management strategy for a PV power generation system with plural individual subsystems and a battery bank. Using downhill simplex method, the cost of a PV system using hydrogen storage technology was optimized by Santarelli et al. [9]. While Nelson et al. [10] evaluated a stand-alone PV-wind HPGS using the single energy storage device (battery or hydrogen). Vosen and Keller [11] assessed the cost and efficiency of PV power generation systems with different arrangements of energy storage techniques. A hybrid energy storage system coupled to PV power generation was analyzed in Ref. [12]. Diesel Generator Solar Photovoltaic AC Load Charge Controller Inverter and Battery charger DC Voltage Battery Bank AC Voltage Figure 1: Hybrid power generation System ISSN: 2231-5381 http://www.ijettjournal.org Page 20 International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT) – Volume 27 Number 1- September 2015 II. PROBLEM DESCRIPTION In the present work the objective is to determine the system component dimensions of a PV-dieselbattery based energy system for the electrification of a residential house so that Life cycle cost of the system is minimized. Therefore the objective function of the optimization model is Minimize Where n is the number of system components. The decision variables included in the optimization process are the total area of PV arrays, number of PV modules of 600 Wp, diesel generator power (kW), number of batteries of 24V and 150 Ah, , annual fuel consumption. Data for cost analysis of the system is shown in Table I. The system configuration is shown in Figure 1. III. CASE STUDY OF FAMILY HOUSE In the present work a case study of a family house in Moradabad district is considered. Family consists of an average of 6 members with a family income of $1600 per month. Moradabad is situated in the western region of Uttar Pradesh in India, at latitudes between 28o– ’to 28o–16’ N and 78o– o 4’ to 79 E. The daily power requirement is 1900 Watt as shown in table II. On the basis of previous five years electricity bills, the average units of electricity required during different months is calculate as indicated in table III IV.HOURLY SOLAR RADIATION ON THE TILTED SURFACE The solar PV panel can be located at any orientation and at any inclination. The hourly solar radiation output of PV module depends upon the light intensity falling on the PV array, ambient temperature and characteristic of PV module. Solar collectors are generally tilted at an angle to increase the amount of solar radiation captured and to reduce the losses due to reflection. The hourly solar output of PV system, the average solar S.No. Description Value 1 PV system lifetime (N) 25 Years 2 Diesel generator life time 15 years 3 Battery lifetime 4 years 4 Initial Cost of 600 Wp PV module $ 1000 5 PV system installation cost 10% of initial capital cost 6 O & M cost of PV system per year 2% of initial capital cost 7 Inflation rate 5% 8 Discount rate 6% 9 Cost of 24V & 150 Ah single battery $200 10 Annual O & M cost of battery bank 2% of initial capital cost 11 Number of battery backup days 2 12 Maximum battery SOC 1 13 Minimum battery SOC 0.35 14 Cost of charge controller $ 80 15 Inverter cost $ 80 16 5 kW diesel generator cost $1000 17 Diesel generator service period 4 years 18 Diesel generator service cost 12% of initial capital cost 19 Annual O & M cost of diesel generator 5% of initial capital cost 20 Diesel cost per liter $0.9/liter 21 Desired Loss of Load Probability 0.2 22 Desired system autonomy 0.8 average solar intensity on horizontal surface should be converted to that on the tilted PV module. The ISSN: 2231-5381 http://www.ijettjournal.org Page 21 International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT) – Volume 27 Number 1- September 2015 solar radiation data on horizontal and tilted surface at an angle approximately equal to latitude of the location is taken from reference [13]. CPVinitial = CPVmodules CPVmiscellaneous + CPVinstallation + (3) II. TABLE II DAILY POWER REQUIREMENT Power equipment Units required Power (Watt) Electric fan CFL bulbs Refrigerators TV Air cooler Washing Machine 6 8 1 2 2 1 6x80=480 8x20=160 200 2x80=160 2x200=400 500 III. TABLE III ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION PER DAY DURING DIFFERENT MONTHS OF THE YEAR Month Jan. Feb. March April May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. No. of units required (kWh day1 ) 7 8 15 15 21 21 21 21 15 15 8 7 V. ECONOMIC ANALYSIS USING LIFE CYCLE COST METHOD The concept of LCC is developed as the benchmark of system cost analysis in this thesis. According to the studied HPGS, the LCC of the system is composed of Net Present Value (NPV) of initial capital cost of all the components, annualized operation and maintenance costs, replacement costs, fuel cost and diesel generator servicing cost. LCCHPGS= LCCphotovoltaic + LCCbattery_bank + LCCdiesel_generator (1) A. Life cycle cost of photovoltaic system LCC of a PV system is the sum of initial capital cost, the NPV of annualized operational cost, NPV of annualized maintenance and repair cost minus the PV residual cost. LCCphotovoltaic = CPVinitial + CPVoperational + CPVmaintenance_repair - CPVresidual (2) Initial cost of PV system includes capital cost of PV modules, system installation cost and miscellaneous cost. Therefore it is given by ISSN: 2231-5381 PV system installation cost is taken as percentage Z6 (Z6= 10%) of the PV module cost [14]. CPVinstallation = Z6 × CPVmodules (4) Miscellaneous cost is assumed as percentage Z7 (Z7= 3 %) of the PV module cost CPVmiscellaneous = Z7 × CPVmodules (5) Operational cost is taken as percentage Z8 (Z8= 2 %) of the PV module cost. Net present value of annualized operational cost can be computed using the following relation [14] N CPVoperational = Z8 CPVmodule i=1 (1+e)i-1 (1+d)i (6) Where e is the inflation rate, d is the discount rate and N is the lifetime of the system taken as 5 %, 8 % and 20 years respectively. Maintenance and repair cost is assumed as percentage Z9 (Z9= 4 %) of the PV module cost. Its annualized NPV can be calculated by the following equation: http://www.ijettjournal.org Page 22 International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT) – Volume 27 Number 1- September 2015 N CPVoperational = Z8 CPVmodule i=1 (1+e)i-1 (1+d)i Therefore Z12 is taken as 0.20. nr is calculated by the following relation. (7) PV system residual cost is assumed percentage Z10 (Z10 = 15%) of PV module cost. Its present value can be calculated by the equation. CPVresidual = Z10 CPVmodule 1 (1 d )N CBBresidual = Z12 (8) LCC of a battery bank is the sum of initial capital cost, the NPV of annualized operational cost, NPV of battery replacement cost, NPV of annualized maintenance cost minus the residual cost of last battery bank at the end of useful life of HPGS. LCCbattery_bank=CBBinitial+CBBoperational_maintenance+ CBBreplacement - CBBresidual (9) Operational cost is taken as percentage Z11 (Z11= 1 %) of the battery bank initial cost. Net present value of annualized operational cost can be computed using the following relation; (1+e)i-1 i i=1 (1+d) CBBoperational_maintenance = Z11 CBBinitial (10) nr (1+e)nb(i-1) ni i=1 (1+d) b abs (13) LCC of diesel generator is simulated by the process explained by Agarwal [13] According to this method LCC of diesel generator is given by: LCCdiesel_gen =CDGinitial + CDGmaintenance_repair - CDGresidual CDGoperational + (14) The initial cost of diesel generator is calculated by: CDGinitial = K × PDG (15) Where K is diesel generator cost per kW and PDG is diesel generator power required in kW. Diesel generator operational cost includes the annual fuel cost and periodic service cost. Therefore (16) The NPV of diesel generator periodic service cost is calculated according to the following relation. CDGservice = Z13 CDGinitial ng (1+e)r( i i=1 (1+d) 1) (17) ri (11) Where nb is the battery replacement period (4 years) and nr is the number of battery replacements in N number of years. It is assumed that the battery bank exchange value is 20 % of its initial cost. nr 1 (1 d )N CDGoperational = CDGservice + CDGfuel Here, it may be noted that battery bank requires very less operation and maintenance. Therefore operational and maintenance cost are combined and taken as 1% of the battery bank initial cost. The NPV of battery replacement cost is computed by the following relation: CBBreplacement=CBBinitial (1-Z12) CBBmodule C. Life cycle cost of diesel generator B. Life cycle cost of battery bank system N N nb nr abs (12) nb The present value of the residual cost of the last battery bank at the end of useful life of HPGS is given by. Where ng is the number of times the generator is serviced during the lifetime of N years computed by: ng = abs N/r (18) r is the diesel generator service period and Z13 is percentage of initial generator cost assumed as N nb nb ISSN: 2231-5381 http://www.ijettjournal.org Page 23 International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT) – Volume 27 Number 1- September 2015 15%. The NPV of annual diesel cost is simulated by the following equation: N CDGfuel = CDiesel ADiesel i=1 (1+e)i-1 (1+d)i (19) Where ADiesel is the diesel consumption per year and CDiesel is the diesel cost per liter taken as $0.91 per liter. The maintenance and repair cost of diesel generator includes non periodic maintenance, repair, spare parts etc. Its NPV is calculated by: (1+e)i-1 i i=1 (1+d) N CDGmaintenance _ repair = Z14 CDGinitial (20) Here Z14 (5%) is percentage of initial generator cost. Lifespan of diesel generator is taken as 15 years; therefore it is replaced once during the useful life of HPGS which is taken as 25 years. The replacement cost of diesel generator is calculated by the following relation. CDGreplacement =(1- Z15 ) CDGinitial 1 (1 d )N (21) It is assumed that the diesel generator exchange value is 20% of its initial cost. Therefore Z15 is taken as 0.20. The present value of the residual cost of diesel generator is calculated by. 1 (22) CDGresidual = Z15 CDGinitial (1 d )N VI. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION An optimization model is developed to perform the economical analysis of PV-diesel- battery based power generation system on the basis of life cycle cost method. The objective is to minimize life cycle cost of the system. A case study of family house is considered to test the applicability of the model. The average load demand per day is shown in Table III. As shown in Table III the electricity demand is peak in the month of May, June, July and August. ISSN: 2231-5381 IV TABLE IV LIST OF THE POSSIBLE COMBINATIONS OF SYSTEM COMPONENTS S. No. PV module of 600Wp (Quantity) Diesel generator (kW) 1 5 0 Battery 24V and 150 Ah (Quantity) 12 2 4 1 11 3 5 0 12 4 4 1 10 5 5 0 13 6 4 1 9 7 5 0 14 8 3 1 9 9 3 1 8 10 3 1 7 11 2 1 6 12 2 1 5 13 2 1 5 14 2 1 4 Total LCC ($) 8922 8441 8845 8994 9339 9732 9737 10378 10747 11189 11823 12707 13595 14271 Figure 2 clearly indicates that the PV area less than 14 m2 does not satisfy the load demands for all the months of the year. However, with PV area of 34 m2, the load demand is assured for about 10 months. A standalone PV system without any electricity shortage is acquired at an area of 36 m2. The electricity shortage decreases as the penetration of PV systems are raised; hence the diesel consumption for electricity generation is reduced. LCC analysis of PV-diesel-battery system presented in Figure 3. It can be seen that the total life cycle cost of the system reduces as the PV array area increases from 3 m2 to 19 m2. At an area of 19 m2 and diesel generator power of 1 kW, total LCC is minimum as shown in table IV. VII. CONCLUSION India is sanctified with high solar radiation levels. The daily solar radiation is approximately 5 kWh/m2/day with sunshine ranging between 2300 and 3200 hours per year in most parts of the country. In the present work an optimization model http://www.ijettjournal.org Page 24 International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT) – Volume 27 Number 1- September 2015 is developed to perform the economic analysis of Photovoltaic –diesel–battery based Power generation system using life cycle cost analysis technique. A case study of a residential house in Moradabad district (India) is considered to of PV Modules, number of batteries of 24V and 150 Ah and diesel generator power. Results indicates that the optimal configuration of an power generation system includes 5 PV modules of 600Wp, 12 batteries of 24 V and 150 Ah and a Figure 2: Electricity produced by photovoltaic arrays of different sizes Figure 3: Life cycle cost of the system for different areas of photovoltaic arrays different areas of photovoltaic arrays examine the applicability of the optimization model. Decision variables incorporated in the optimization method are, total number of number ISSN: 2231-5381 http://www.ijettjournal.org Page 25 International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT) – Volume 27 Number 1- September 2015 diesel generator power of 1 kW. This system involves PV fraction of 86.6% and a diesel fraction of 13.4% having LCC of $8441 for 25 years. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT The author is grateful to Management, Direct General, Director, HOD AS&H and Registrar of Moradabad Educational Trust Group of Institutions for motivating for this research. 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