Ecuadorian Competitiveness: Ready for the Next Stage? Professor Michael E. Porter Harvard Business School Quito, Ecuador October 24, 2011 This presentation draws on ideas from Professor Porter’s books and articles, in particular, Competitive Strategy (The Free Press, 1980); Competitive Advantage (The Free Press, 1985); “What is Strategy?” (Harvard Business Review, Nov/Dec 1996); “Strategy and the Internet” (Harvard Business Review, March 2001); and a forthcoming book. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means—electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise—without the permission of Michael E. Porter. Additional information may be found at the website of the Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, www.isc.hbs.edu. 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 1 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Prosperity Performance Selected Lower and Middle Income Countries PPP-adjusted GDP per Capita, 2010 ($USD) $32,000 Average: 5.4% South Korea Israel $28,000 Cyprus New Zealand Greece $24,000 Bahrain Slovenia Portugal Oman Saudi Arabia Czech Republic Slovakia $20,000 Hungary Poland Estonia Croatia Mexico $16,000 $12,000 $8,000 $4,000 Argentina Chile Uruguay Latvia Malaysia Lithuania Panama Russia Lebanon Bulgaria Venezuela Romania Dominican Republic Costa Rica South Africa Tunisia Peru Colombia Thailand Belize Albania Algeria Guatemala Ecuador Ukraine Guyana El Salvador Jordan Egypt Paraguay Sri Lanka Bolivia Honduras India Nicaragua Philippines Turkey Brazil Belarus Trinidad & Tobago Average: $13,910 Kazakhstan China Georgia Vietnam Latin American countries Pakistan Other countries $0 0.0% 2.0% Source: EIU (2011), author’s calculations 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% Growth of Real GDP per Capita (PPP-adjusted), CAGR, 2000 - 2010 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 2 12.0% 14.0% Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Export Performance Selected Countries Exports of Goods and Services (% of GDP), 2010 100.0% Average: 2.9% 90.0% Hungary Panama Slovakia 80.0% Czech Republic Estonia Bahrain Vietnam Trinidad & Tobago United Arab Emirates Lithuania Thailand 70.0% Belize Slovenia 60.0% Oman Saudi Arabia Paraguay Latvia South Korea Tunisia 50.0% Ukraine Croatia Algeria Costa Rica 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% Russia Average: 45.1% Jordan Kazakhstan Honduras 40.0% Bulgaria Poland Nicaragua Chile Israel Ecuador Portugal South Africa New Zealand Venezuela El Salvador Dominican Republic Greece Turkey Colombia Pakistan Uruguay Georgia Romania Mexico Bolivia Egypt China Guatemala Albania Peru Argentina Lebanon India Brazil Latin American countries Other countries 0.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% Change in Exports of Goods and Services (% of GDP), 2000 - 2010 Source: EIU (2011), authors’ analysis 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 3 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Inbound Foreign Investment Performance Stocks and Flows, Selected Countries Inward FDI Stocks as % of GDP, Average 1999 - 2009 90.0% Average: 19.7% Trinidad & Tobago 80.0% Guyana 70.0% Tunisia Bahrain Estonia Vietnam 60.0% Panama Jordan Chile Lebanon Hungary Nicaragua 50.0% New Zealand Cyprus Bolivia Czech Republic Belize Kazakhstan Bulgaria Honduras Slovakia 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% Malaysia Portugal South Africa Croatia Thailand Latvia Poland Venezuela Argentina Egypt Romania Costa Rica Mexico El Salvador Ecuador Israel Russia Colombia Peru Brazil Uruguay Slovenia Guatemala Paraguay Ukraine Philippines Dominican Republic Greece Belarus China Albania Saudi Sri Lanka Pakistan Arabia South Algeria Turkey Korea India 0.0% 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% Georgia Average: 35.0% Latin American countries Other countries 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% FDI Inflows as % of Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Average 1999 - 2009 Source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report (2010) 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 4 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter The Ecuadorian Economy in 2011 • Ecuador has had a long history of economic and political instability • Since 2001, Ecuador has enjoyed relative macroeconomic stability as a result of dollarization • High oil prices have allowed the country to increase government spending • Ecuador export growth has been driven by commodities prices BUT • In 2010, the Ecuadorian economic growth was slower than other Latin-American countries • Prosperity remains low • High poverty levels and inequality persist and large segments of the population lack access to basic needs • Ecuador is overly dependent on oil exports • Higher economic growth rates and poverty reduction are possible only if Ecuador can substantially improve competitiveness 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 5 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter What is Competitiveness? • Competitiveness is the productivity with which a nation uses its human, capital, and natural resources – Productivity sets the sustainable standard of living (wages, returns on capital, returns on natural resources) – It is not what industries a nation competes in that matters for prosperity, but how it competes in those industries – Productivity in a national economy arises from a combination of domestic and foreign firms • Only competitive businesses can create wealth and jobs • Nations compete to offer the most productive environment for business • The public and private sectors play different but interrelated roles in creating a productive economy 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 6 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Comparative Labor Productivity Selected Countries Real GDP per employee (PPP adjusted US$), 2010 $50,000 Average: 1.25% $45,000 Trinidad & Tobago Israel South Korea $40,000 Slovenia Saudi Arabia $35,000 Estonia New Zealand Greece $30,000 Chile Argentina Portugal $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 Bulgaria Slovak Republic Czech Republic Poland Lithuania Kazakhstan Latvia Jordan Hungary Tunisia Costa Rica Mexico Peru Russian Federation Ecuador Thailand Sri Lanka Guatemala South Africa Egypt Colombia Brazil Romania Algeria Dominican Ukraine Bahrain Republic Pakistan India Bolivia Philippines Vietnam Cyprus Turkey Uruguay Malaysia Venezuela Croatia Average: $20,882 China Latin American countries Other countries $0 -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% Growth of real GDP per employee (PPP-adjusted), 2000 - 2010 Source: Authors calculation Groningen Growth and Development Centre (2011), EIU (2011) 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 7 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Determines Competitiveness? Endowments • Endowments create a foundation for prosperity, but true prosperity is created by productivity in the use of endowments 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 8 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Determines Competitiveness? Macroeconomic Competitiveness Human Development and Political Institutions Macroeconomic Policies Endowments Macroeconomic competitiveness sets the potential for high productivity, but is not sufficient • Endowments create a foundation for prosperity, but true prosperity is created by productivity in the use of endowments • 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 9 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Components of Macroeconomic Competitiveness Macroeconomic Policies • • Fiscal policy – – • • • Government surplus/deficit Government debt Human development – – Monetary policy – – – Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions • Inflation Business cycle management Savings Political institutions – – – – – • 10 Political freedom Voice and accountability Political stability Government effectiveness Decentralization of economic policymaking Rule of law – – – – – 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt Basic education Health Security Civil rights Judicial independence Efficiency of legal framework Freedom from corruption Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Determines Competitiveness? Microeconomic Competitiveness Quality of the National Business Environment State of Cluster Development Sophistication of Company Operations and Strategy Macroeconomic Competitiveness Human Development and Political Institutions Macroeconomic Policies Endowments Productivity ultimately depends on improving the microeconomic capability of the economy and the sophistication of local competition • Macroeconomic competitiveness sets the potential for high productivity, but is not sufficient • Endowments create a foundation for prosperity, but true prosperity is created by productivity in the use of endowments • 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 11 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Determines Competitiveness? The external business environment conditions that enable company productivity and innovation Microeconomic Competitiveness Quality of the National Business Environment State of Cluster Development Sophistication of Company Operations and Strategy Macroeconomic Competitiveness Macroeconomic Policies Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions Endowments 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 12 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Determines Competitiveness? Microeconomic Competitiveness Quality of the National Business Environment State of Cluster Development A critical mass of firms and institutions in each field to harness efficiencies and externalities across related entities Sophistication of Company Operations and Strategy Macroeconomic Competitiveness Social Infrastructure Macroeconomic and Political Policies Institutions Social Macroeconomic Infrastructure Policies and Political Institutions Endowments 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 13 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Competitiveness and Poverty Reduction Social Development Economic Development • There is a strong connection between economic and social development • Improving competitiveness and decreasing poverty requires improving the economic and social context simultaneously 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 14 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Determines Competitiveness? Microeconomic Competitiveness Quality of the National Business Environment State of Cluster Development Sophistication of Company Operations and Strategy Internal skills, capabilities, and sophistication of management practices of companies Macroeconomic Competitiveness Social Infrastructure Macroeconomic and Political Policies Institutions Social Macroeconomic Infrastructure Policies and Political Institutions Endowments 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 15 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Geographic Influences on Competitiveness Neighboring Countries Nation Regions and Cities 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 16 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Prosperity Performance U.S. States, 1999 to 2009 $70,000 Delaware Gross Domestic Product per Capita, 2009 $65,000 High but declining versus U.S. Wyoming U.S. GDP per Capita Real Growth Rate: 0.86% Alaska High and rising prosperity versus U.S. Connecticut $60,000 New York Massachusetts New Jersey $55,000 Colorado California Washington $50,000 Illinois Nevada U.S. GDP per Capita: $46,093 Minnesota Texas North Carolina New Hampshire Rhode Island Kansas Pennsylvania Wisconsin Indiana Ohio Utah Missouri Florida Maine Arizona Tennessee Georgia Michigan $35,000 New Mexico Kentucky South Carolina West Virginia North Dakota Nebraska Louisiana $45,000 $40,000 Virginia Hawaii Maryland Iowa Oregon Oklahoma Vermont Alabama Arkansas Montana Idaho Mississippi Low and declining versus U.S. South Dakota Low but rising versus U.S. $30,000 -1.0% -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% Gross Domestic Product per Capita Real Growth Rate, 1999 to 2009 Notes: Real GDP figures in 2005 chained US dollars from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Growth rate is calculated as compound annual growth rate. D.C. excluded 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 17 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter Regions and Competitiveness • Economic performance varies significantly across sub-national regions (e.g., provinces, states, metropolitan areas) • Many essential levers of competitiveness reside at the regional level • Regions specialize in different sets of clusters • Cluster strength directly impacts regional performance • Each region needs its own distinctive competitiveness strategy and action agenda • Improving competitiveness requires effective policy collaboration between regions and the national government • Decentralization is important to foster regional specialization, internal competition, and greater government accountability • Effective decentralization requires clarity on roles and responsibilities, and sufficient administrative capacity at local and regional level 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 18 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter Economic Coordination with Neighboring Countries 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 19 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Competitiveness and the Neighborhood • Opening trade and investment among neighbors – Expands the available market – A nation’s neighbors are its most natural trading and investment partners – The natural path of internationalization for local firms is the neighborhood – Open trade and investment make each country a more attractive location for investment • Economic coordination to drive improvements in the business environment – Capture synergies in policy and infrastructure – Gain greater clout in international negotiations • External agreements to help overcome domestic political and economic barriers to reform 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 20 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter Economic Integration Among Neighbors Capturing Synergies Factor Conditions Context for Strategy and Rivalry • Improving the efficiency of the regional transportation network • Eliminating trade and investment barriers within the region • Creating an efficient energy network • Simplifying and harmonizing cross-border regulations and paperwork • Enhancing regional communications and connectivity • Harmonizing administrative requirements for businesses • Coordinating anti-monopoly and fair competition policies Demand Conditions • Opening government procurement within the region Harmonizing environmental standards • Harmonizing product safety standards Related and Supporting Industries Macroeconomic Competitiveness • Facilitating crossborder cluster development • Coordinating macroeconomic policies – e.g., Supplier networks – Transport & Logistics • Coordinating programs to improve security and public safety – Quality standards • Establishing reciprocal consumer protection laws • Linking financial markets • Facilitating the movement of students for higher education 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 21 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Ecuador’s Competitiveness Profile, 2010 Harvard Country Competitiveness Model Overall Ranking (113) Microeconomic Competitiveness (125) Macroeconomic Competitiveness (107) Social Infrastructure and Pol. Institutions (117) Business Environment Quality (127) Macroeconomic Policy (55) Company Sophistication (114) Ecuador GDP per Capita Rank 77 Note: Rank versus 139 countries Source: Country Competitiveness Model (CCM), Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard University (2010) 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 22 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Ecuador’s Macroeconomic Competitiveness Macroeconomic Policy • Dollarization stabilized the economy – Inflation relatively low since dollarization in 2001 • Expansionary fiscal policy funded by borrowing and oil resources However • Budget deficit threatens the dollarization model • Central Bank is no longer an autonomous institution Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions • Lack of high-quality public education system • Weak social security system, despite some improvements • Persistent problems with corruption • Weak legal system and effectiveness of property rights • Need for modernization of political and government institutions w since dollarization in 2001 • No stabilization fund 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 23 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Rank in Global Corruption Index, 2010 Corruption Perception Index, 2010 New Zealand Finland Switzerland Iceland Austria U.S. United Kingdom France Estonia Spain Low corruption Denmark Sweden Australia Canada Hong Kong Germany Qatar Uruguay Chile Slovenia Cyprus Israel Costa Rica Taiwan Portugal Poland Oman South Korea Dominica Jordan Macau Lithuania Bahrain Saudi Arabia Hungary Czech Republic Turkey Malaysia South Africa Croatia Slovakia Italy Bulgaria Georgia Romania Brazil El Salvador Panama China Trinidad and Greece Serbia Tobago Colombia Thailand Peru Swaziland India Morocco Jamaica Albania Guatemala Gambia Mexico Egypt Dominican Republic Argentina Zambia Senegal Kazakhstan Algeria Indonesia Bolivia Benin Ethiopia Guyana Viet Nam Niger Armenia Syria Belarus Ecuador Uganda Zimbabwe Nicaragua Nigeria Ukraine Azerbaijan Bangladesh Honduras Philippines Nepal Paraguay Cameroon Pakistan Côte d´Ivoire Haiti Russia Laos High corruption Venezuela Burundi Kenya Kyrgyzstan Sudan Cambodia Guinea Chad Improving Worsening Change in Rank, Global Corruption Report, 2010 versus 2006 Note: Ranks only countries available in both years (160 countries total) Source:Global Corruption Report, 2010 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 24 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter Quality of the National Business Environment Context for Firm Strategy and Rivalry • Local rules and incentives that encourage investment and productivity Factor (Input) Conditions – e.g. salaries, incentives for capital investments, intellectual property protection, corporate governance standards • Open and vigorous local competition – Openness to foreign competition – Competition laws • Access to high quality business inputs Human resources Capital availability Physical infrastructure Administrative and information infrastructure (e.g., registration, permitting, transparency) – Scientific and technological infrastructure – Efficient access to natural endowments Demand Conditions – – – – • Sophisticated and demanding local customers and needs Related and Supporting Industries – e.g., Strict quality, safety, and environmental standards – Consumer protection laws • Availability of suppliers and supporting industries • Many things matter for competitiveness • Successful economic development is a process of successive upgrading, in which the business environment improves to enable increasingly sophisticated ways of competing 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 25 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Ecuador’s Business Environment Strengths Infrastructure • Significant improvements in transportation infrastructure • High mobile phone penetration Competitive Context • High levels of entrepreneurship Other • A new national agenda for innovation and entrepreneurship • Improving sophistication of local buyers 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 26 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter Ecuador’s Business Environment Weaknesses Financial Markets Trade and Investment Liberalization • • FDI limited to oil and mining sectors • New restrictions on capital flows • High trade barriers • Complex custom procedures • Few trade agreements with other countries Weak financial markets Workforce Development and Training • Low skill level of the labor force • Poor quality higher education system Competitive Context • Import substitution strategy reducing competitiveness • High level of government subsidies distort competition • Low intensity of local competition • Limited internationalization of firms • Burdensome government regulations Innovation Infrastructure • Weak university-industry research collaboration • Low patenting rates Other • Low level of quality certification – Labor regulations give rigidity to the market – Customs and Trade regulations – Difficult new business formation • Weak investor protection and protection of intellectual property • High informality in the economy 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 27 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter Ease of Doing Business Ecuador, 2010 Ranking, 2010 (of 183 countries) 180 Favorable Unfavorable 160 140 120 100 80 Ecuador’s GDP per capita rank: 77 60 40 20 0 Source: World Bank Report, Doing Business (2010); GPD per capita ranking based on 2009 GCI data. 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 28 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter State of Cluster Development Tourism Cluster in Cairns, Australia Public Relations & Market Research Services Travel Agents Tour Operators Food Suppliers Attractions and Activities Restaurants Souvenirs, Duty Free Airlines, Cruise Ships Hotels Maintenance Services e.g. Australian Tourism Commission, Great Barrier Reef Authority Local Transportation e.g., theme parks, casinos, sports Property Services Government Agencies Local Retail, Health Care, and Other Services Banks, Foreign Exchange Educational Institutions Industry Groups e.g. James Cook University, Cairns College of TAFE e.g. Queensland Tourism Industry Council Sources: HBS student team research (2003) - Peter Tynan, Chai McConnell, Alexandra West, Jean Hayden 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 29 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter State of Cluster Development Kenya’s Cut Flower Cluster Horticultural Agencies, NGOs & Industry Associations Horticultural Crops Development Authority (HCDA) Government Export Policies Targeting Horticulture Plantstock Non-Government Organizations (e.g., The Rural Enterprise Agri-Business Promotion Project) Greenhouse; Shading Structures Trade & Industry Associations (e.g., Kenya Flower Council) Irrigation Technology Pre-Cooling Technology Post-Harvest Cooling Technology Grading / Packaging Sheds Packaging & Labeling Materials Post-Harvest Handling; Transport to Market Flower Farming Fertilizers, Pesticides, Herbicides Refrigerated Trucks Freight Forwarders Education, Research & Quality Standards Organizations Research Institutions (e.g., Kenya Agricultural Research Institute) Agricultural Cluster Horticultural Cluster Public Universities with Post Graduate Degrees in Horticulture (e.g., University of Nairobi) Clearing and Forwarding Agents Air Carriers (Commercial / Charters) Quality & Standards (e.g., EUREGAP Standard, Kenya Plant Health Inspectorate Services) Tourism Cluster Sources: MOC student team research by Kusi Hornberger, Nick Ndiritu, Lalo Ponce-Brito, Melesse Tashu, Tijan Watt, Harvard Business School, 2007 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 30 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter Clusters Development Over Time The Australian Wine Cluster 1991 to 1998 1930 1965 1980 First oenology course at Roseworthy Agricultural College 1955 Australian Wine Bureau established Australian Wine and Brandy Corporation established 1990 1970 New organizations created for education, research, market information, and export promotions Winemaker’s Federation of Australia established Winemaking school at Charles Sturt University founded Australian Wine Research Institute founded 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s Import of European winery technology Recruiting of experienced foreign investors, e.g. Wolf Bass Continued inflow of foreign capital and management Creation of large number of new wineries Surge in exports and international acquisitions Source: Michael E. Porter and Örjan Sölvell, The Australian Wine Cluster – Supplement, Harvard Business School Case Study, 2002 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 31 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Clusters and Economic Diversification Linkages Across Clusters Fishing & Fishing Products Entertainment Hospitality & Tourism Agricultural Products Processed Food Jewelry & Precious Metals Business Services Financial Services Publishing & Printing Analytical Instruments Heavy Construction Services Lightning & Electrical Equipment Communications Equipment Forest Products Heavy Machinery Motor Driven Products Production Technology Tobacco Oil & Gas Mining & Metal Automotive Aerospace Manufacturing Engines Plastics Footwear Construction Materials Power Generation Medical Devices Biopharmaceuticals Chemical Products Apparel Building Fixtures, Equipment & Services Aerospace Vehicles & Information Defense Tech. Education & Knowledge Creation Prefabricated Enclosures Furniture Transportation & Logistics Distribution Services Textiles Leather & Related Products Sporting & Recreation Goods Note: Clusters with overlapping borders or identical shading have at least 20% overlap (by number of industries) in both directions. 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 32 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Clusters as a Tool For Economic Policy • A forum for collaboration between the private sector, trade associations, government, educational, and research institutions • Brings together firms of all sizes, including SME’s • Creates a mechanism for constructive business-government dialog • A tool to identify problems and action recommendations • A vehicle for investments that strengthen multiple firms/institutions simultaneously • Fosters greater competition rather than distorting the market 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 33 Copyright © 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter Ecuador’s Cluster Export Portfolio 1997 to 2009 0.55% Change In Ecuador’s Overall World Export Share: +0.02% 0.50% Ecuador’s world export market share, 2009 0.45% Agricultural Products Fishing and Fishing Products (-0.63%, 1.74%) 0.40% Oil and Gas Products 0.35% 0.30% 0.25% 0.20% 0.15% 0.10% 0.05% 0.00% Ecuador’s Average World Export Share: 0.11% Tobacco Transportation Building, Fixtures, and Logistics Equipment and Communication Services Furniture Services Processed Food (-0.20%, 0.02%) Jewelry, Precious Metals and Collectibles -0.05% 0.00% Hospitality and Tourism Textiles Motor Driven Products Footwear Automotive 0.05% Change in Ecuador’s world export market share, 1997 to 2009 Source: Prof. Michael E. Porter, International Cluster Competitiveness Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School; Project Director. Underlying data drawn from the UN Commodity Trade Statistics Database and the IMF BOP statistics. 34 20111024Richard – Ecuador Bryden, Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 0.10% Exports of US$670 Million = Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Ecuador’s Share of World Exports by Cluster, 2009 World Market Share 0.05% - 0.1% 0.11% - 1.0% > 1.0% Fishing & Fishing Products Processed Food Hospitality & Tourism Agricultural Products Transportation & Logistics Business Services Financial Services Textiles Prefabricated Enclosures Furniture Building Fixtures, Equipment & Services Aerospace Vehicles & Information Defense Tech. Distribution Services Jewelry & Precious Metals Entertainment Motor Driven Products Heavy Machinery Production Technology Tobacco Automotive Oil & Gas Footwear Forest Products Power Generation ceuticals Chemical Products Apparel Heavy Construction Services Lightning & Electrical Equipment Analytical Education & Instruments Knowledge Medical Creation Devices Communications Publishing Services & Printing Biopharma- Construction Materials Aerospace Mining & Metal Engines Manufacturing Plastics Leather & Related Products Sporting & Recreation Goods Marine Equipment Note: Clusters with overlapping borders have at least 20% overlap (by number of industries) in both directions. 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 35 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Peru’s Share of World Exports by Cluster, 2009 World Market Share 0.1% - 0.21% 0.22% - 1.0% > 1.0% Fishing & Fishing Products Processed Food Hospitality & Tourism Agricultural Products Transportation & Logistics Business Services Financial Services Textiles Prefabricated Enclosures Furniture Building Fixtures, Equipment & Services Aerospace Vehicles & Information Defense Tech. Distribution Services Jewelry & Precious Metals Entertainment Motor Driven Products Heavy Machinery Production Technology Tobacco Automotive Oil & Gas Footwear Forest Products Power Generation ceuticals Chemical Products Apparel Heavy Construction Services Lightning & Electrical Equipment Analytical Education & Instruments Knowledge Medical Creation Devices Communications Publishing Services & Printing Biopharma- Construction Materials Aerospace Mining & Metal Engines Manufacturing Plastics Leather & Related Products Sporting & Recreation Goods Marine Equipment Note: Clusters with overlapping borders have at least 20% overlap (by number of industries) in both directions. 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 36 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter State of Cluster Development in Ecuador • Ecuador has strengths in resource-related clusters, including cut-flowers, bananas, coffee, cacao, fishing, and tourism • Clusters that serve mainly the domestic market include textiles, apparel, automotive, and metalworking • Most of the clusters are shallow, with a weak supplier base • There are weak supporting institutions with poor coordination between the private and public sectors • Ecuador’s clusters have been subject to traditional industrial policy characterized by subsidies and protectionism • Clusters could become an important tool for economic development 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 37 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Competitiveness of Ecuador’s Regions • 75% of business activity is concentrated in two provinces, Guayas and Pichincha • Ecuadorian regions vary greatly in the quality of business environment • Decentralization of economic policy remains incomplete, with weak capacity at local level • Free Trade Zones have been created in some rural areas 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 38 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Action Agenda for Ecuador Macroeconomic Policy • • • • Maintain macroeconomic stability Reduce the budget deficit Create a stabilization fund Broaden the tax base and improve collection Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions • • • • • Modernize the social security system Fight corruption at every level of government and private sector Improve the effectiveness of the legal system Improve system of "checks and balances“ in government Improve human development – Rapid improvements in education, health, and nutrition are needed • Create equal opportunity for all groups 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 39 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Action Agenda for Ecuador Improving the Business Environment • Open up greater internal competition • Further open the economy to trade and investment – Reduce tariffs – Simplify trade procedures – Negotiate trade agreements with strategic countries rather than limit them – Welcome foreign investment • Upgrade workforce training and higher education • Reduce informality by limiting the cost and complexity of registering companies – Simplify new business formation – Reduce the tax burden and labor market rigidities facing smaller firms 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 40 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Action Agenda for Ecuador Cluster Development • Adopt cluster development as a central tool to engage the private sector and implement economic policies • All clusters are important to enhancing prosperity • Apply a cluster-based approach to economic diversification • Leverage clusters to attract FDI Regional Development • Continue decentralization of responsibilities and resources to sub-national governments • Improve the capacity of local governments to plan, design, and implement development polices • Improve national-regional collaboration to implement regional programs • Address the underlying causes of inequality between the coastal, Andean and Amazon regions 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 41 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Action Agenda for Ecuador Neighborhood Development • Improve land connectivity with neighbors • Upgrade political and trade relations with Colombia and Peru • Restructure the Andean Community of Nations to make it an effective instrument for integration 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 42 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter The Need for an Economic Strategy Policy Improvement Economic Strategy • Implementing best practices in each policy area • A prioritized agenda to create a unique competitive position for a country or region • There are a huge number of policy areas that matter • No country can or should try to make progress in all areas simultaneously 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 43 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter Creating a National Economic Strategy National Value Proposition • What is the distinctive competitive position of Ecuador given its location, legacy, existing strengths, and potential strengths? – What unique advantage as a business location? – For what types of activities and clusters? – And what roles with neighbors, the region, and the broader world? Achieving and Maintaining Parity with Peers Developing Unique Strengths • What elements of the business environment can be unique strengths relative to peers/neighbors? • What existing and emerging clusters represent local strengths? • What weaknesses must be addressed to remove key constraints and achieve parity with peer countries? • Priorities and sequencing are necessity in economic development 20111024 – Ecuador Competitiveness Presentation – FINAL – Prepared by RA Jem Hudson.ppt 44 Copyright 2011 © Professor Michael E. Porter