Soundings from Current and Future Geostationary Satellites Timothy J. Schmit NOAA/NESDIS, SaTellite Applications and Research (STAR), Advanced Satellite Products Branch (ASPB) Madison, WI The United States Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) Sounders (GOES-8/9/10/11/12) have provided hourly infrared (IR) radiances and derived products over the continental U.S. (CONUS) and adjacent oceans for over 14 years. The GOES-10 sounder now also provides hourly coverage over South America. The products derived include: clear-sky radiances; temperature and moisture profiles; Total Precipitable Water vapor (TPW) and layer PW; total column ozone; atmospheric stability indices such as Lifted Index (LI); cloud-top properties; and water vapor motion vectors. These products are used in numerical weather prediction (NWP), short range forecasts and nowcasts that include severe weather forecasts. While broadband geo-sounding has proven useful, it has been demonstrated that geo hyperspectral IR sounding would provide measurements that serve user requirements much better. Studies with available aircraft and polar-satellite data have illustrated the usefulness of hyperspectral IR radiances and products, and the importance of high spatial, high temporal and high spectral resolutions. High spectral resolution would enhance support of regional and convective-scale NWP, as it will provide unprecedented detail in 3D fields of wind, temperature, and humidity. Nowcasting/very-short range forecasting will benefit from the improved monitoring of moisture convergence and convective instability. On the next generation series of Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOESR/S), the ABI will have to be used to provide ‘legacy sounder products'. The need for an (IR) sounder dedicated to acquiring high vertical resolution atmospheric temperature and humidity profiles will James J. Gurka NOAA/NESDIS, GOES-R Program Office, Greenbelt, MD have to be addressed on subsequent GOES. Jun Li Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS), University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Jaime Daniels and Mitch Goldberg 1. Current GOES Sounders NOAA/NESDIS, STAR, Camp Springs, MD Level 1 to Level 2 W. Paul Menzel Level 2 to applications Description: GOES-I(8)/P Sounders CIMSS, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI • • • • Thanks also to… Gary S. Wade, NOAA/NESDIS/ASPB Zhenglong Li, CIMSS Jinlong Li, CIMSS Xin Jin, CIMSS Jim Nelson, CIMSS Scott Bachmeier, CIMSS Steve Ackerman, CIMSS Many others View from space 1800 UTC 19 channels (18 Infrared; 1 Visible) Spatial resolution: ~ 10km Hourly scanning over CONUS and adjacent waters Products include standard imagery and derived, Level-2 products Hourly LI indicates instability 5 hours before OK tornado 3 May 99 View from ground 530 CDT (2330 UTC) Lifted Index Total Precipitable Water 2300 UTC Current GOES sounder obtains 18 broad spectral IR bands Current GOES Sounder spectral coverage. GOES Sounder Product Operational Use within the NWS Surface Skin Temperature Cloud-Top Height 2. Current GOES Sounder Products and Applications Clear-sky Radiances Assimilation into NCEP operational regional & global NWP models over water Layer & Total Precipitable Water Assimilation into NCEP operational regional global NWP models; display and animation within NWS AWIPS for use by forecasters at NWS WFOs & National Centers in forecasting precipitation and severe weather Cloud-top retrievals (pressure, temperature, cloud amount) Real Time Mesoscale Analysis (RTMA) Assimilation into NCEP operational regional NWP models; display and animation within NWS AWIPS for use by forecasters at NWS WFOs; supplement to NWS/ASOS cloud measurements for generation of total cloud cover product at NWS/ASOS sites Surface skin temperature Image display and animation within NWS AWIPS for use by forecasters at NWS WFOs Profiles of temperature & moisture Display (SKEW-Ts) within NWS AWIPS for use by forecasters at NWS WFOs in forecasting precipitation and severe weather Atmospheric stability indices Image display and animation within NWS AWIPS for use by forecasters at NWS WFOs in forecasting precipitation and severe weather Water Vapor Winds Image display and animation within NWS AWIPS for use by forecasters at NWS WFOs Air mass tracking 22 UTC, 13 April 2006 Air mass tracking 00 UTC, 14 April 2006 Clustering using 15 Sounder radiances Air mass tracking 03 UTC, 14 April 2006 Clustering using 15 Sounder radiances Dry air Dry air Dry air Conditionally Unstable Super Cell 22 UTC to 00 UTC 14 April 2006 GOES Sounder retrieved RH Conditionally Unstable Super Cell GOES Sounder retrieved RH Potentially convective unstable43 Hail Storm (April 13 – 14, 2006), Madison, WI 23 UTC, 13 April To 03 UTC, 14 April 2006 Super Cell GOES Sounder retrieved RH 44 45 The hail storm of April 13 – 14, 2006 caused damage to many houses in and near Madison, Wisconsin. The storm produced large hail. The GOES-12 Sounder 11 µm image at 22 UTC on 13 April shows that a super cell is likely to develop. The multispectral band classification (Li et al. 2003, JAM) shows that there are typical four classes of clear air mass surrounding the super cell, two hours later (00 UTC, 14 April 2006) the dry air moves toward east while the moist air moved north. The clear sky atmosphere is very unstable from 22 UTC to 00 UTC, and the super cell starts to develop. From 00 UTC on 14 April to 03 UTC on 14 April, the air masses continue to move, the super cell develops fast and becomes convective system. The soundings observed by GOES Sounder proved useful for short range storm forecasts. Operational Products from the current GOES Sounder. Pressure (mb) AIRS (green) and GOES (red) Relative Humidity (RH) retrievals. High-spectral resolution instrument is in much better agreement with in situ measurement. Relative Humidity (%) The improved vertical resolution identifies unstable environments, which is critical for both nowcasting and NWP applications GOES-12 Sounder Bands Smooth over required absorption lines Independent IASI and AIRS retrievals show similar temperature and moisture distributions IASI Retrievals (15:48 UTC April 29, 2007) (a) Temperature deviation from granule mean (K) (b) Relative humidity (%) Radiosonde Dropsondes AIRS Retrievals Interpolated to IASI FOV (19:30 UTC April 29, 2007) (a) Temperature deviation from granule mean (K) Compared to broadband sounders, observing absorption lines is mandatory to meeting requirements for temperature and moisture structure needed to improve weather forecasting (c) Cross section track on surf. temp. (K) (c) Cross section track on surf. temp. (K) (b) Relative humidity (%) (1) To depict water vapor, the key indicator for severe thunderstorms, in detail as never before. Large variations in atmospheric water vapor occur over a scale of 10 km or finer in the horizontal and 1 km in the vertical. Large variations in water vapor occur over 10s of minutes. Thunderstorms form or decay in 10s of minutes. Severe thunderstorms form mostly over land, but accurate temperature and moisture profiles from satellite are challenging due to land emissivity variations. (2) To support regional and convective-scale NWP over CONUS through unprecedented detail in 3D fields of wind, temperature and humidity at high temporal resolution. (3) To support nowcasting and very-short range forecasting (VSRF), for example in monitoring moisture convergence and convective instability to help improve warnings of location and intensity of convective storms. (4) To provide soundings and wind profiles that are critical for meso-scale NWP and short range forecasts. These would enable 3D depiction of moisture with the temporal and spatial scales necessary to forecast thunderstorms. Hyperspectral coverage will show the variations in surface emissivity as well as low level temperature inversions necessary for deriving accurate temperature and moisture profiles as well as enable radiance data assimilation over land. Acknowledgements: This study is partially supported by the GOES-R program office. The views, opinions, and findings contained in this report are those of the authors and should not be construed as an official National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration or U.S. Government position, policy, or decision. Analysis courtesy of Dan Zhou, NASA Profile Information Content Number of Pieces of Information . Dropsonde is an in situ observation of the atmosphere from an aircraft (blue) Analysis courtesy of Justin Sieglaff, CIMSS. 3. Needs for Geostationary Hyperspectral IR Sounding System Comparison of Vertical Profiling Capabilities. 20 Temperature information Water Vapor (relative humidity) Information 16 12 8 4 0 RAOB (to 100 hPa) HES GOES Sounder ABI + Forecast GOES Sounder + Forecast ABI (5x5) The relative vertical information is shown for radiosondes, a high-spectral infrared sounder, the current broad-band GOES Sounder and the ABI. The high-spectral sounder is much improved over the current sounder. This information content analysis does not account for any spatial or temporal differences. Clear sky AIRS SFOV temperature retrievals, each pixel provides vertical temperature and moisture soundings (K) High temporal and spatial resolutions of geostationary advanced sounder could monitor unique aspects regarding severe weather forecast by • depicting important water vapor variations spatially and temporally; • improving thunderstorm predictions; • providing better emissivity determination over land; and • enabling better detection of low level inversions. Tracks of ensemble mean analysis on Hurricane Ike CTL run: Assimilate radiosonde, satellite cloud winds, aircraft data, and surface data. AIRS NCAR WRF/DART ensemble assimilation (36 km) NCEP 1 degree global analysis is used as initial conditions Analysis from 06 UTC 6 to 00UTC 8 September 2008 500 hPa Temperature on 06 September 2008 (K) CIMSS/UW Hui Liu (NCAR) and Jun Li (CIMSS)