Comparison of Modelling Approaches for Managed Red AJder Stands Steven A. Kaowe Oregon State llnivelmy Oeportment afForest 5<ience Glenn ft Altrens Oregon State Universiiy Oeportment af .Corest Sdenm Dean S. OeSeU USDA Forest Sertica Forestry Sdences l.aaaratury Introduction Red llder (Alnus l'.tiJra B ong) is l. o{cedalderpiant::t.tioas. T'ne a. st:Lnd-tcvei in±ormarion; a stand c;�_bie :Jroiec-:5on me widely distributed !fu.t u5es boch st:llld- md cree-lC"rel informacion; md m individu:U-cree growth modeL C:enred as a cesult or harvesting in the Dougias-!ir ::egion. cimber reroun:e h.as inc::'e:Ised in Diameter distributions ob(aincod for c.ac.h modeling j< • ' ' •• ' o.ons ror r:mge or p�.ana.ng u.en!imfs, ,-,_ reo :•tQJ: spac"!g • ,. .... I • ! • ' \ J I smdy was est::t.blished Ln 1974 ne:u A!)i�H)') Oregon. lr.d \nc::nci.ve co rn::tnage red :Ude::. Much of :he growth md included six planting densities: 976 (3.2 x 3.2 m), 1600 (2..5 X 2..5 m), 3086 (1.3 X 1.3 m), · 6.30 (1.2 X 1.3 :n), yield rese:treh in red. :Uder has be:1 conduc:ed in aarur:zl s;::::.nds and has foc.ISed on size-densic-r relationships, 6944 (1.2 x 1.2 m), md 13 889 (0.6 x 12 en) crees/ha. Each p.l:mring densic-rwas represented by one or twO fllots. ci:te ne-:d. ver:r !ittie is known about growth md dC"rdopment of Dirunc:e: orthe surviving tre:'..s on e:1e-.l; plot was m.e:t.sqred man:1.ged red alder stands. Deniled quanci.cacive info rmacion cegarding che silvicultur:tl md economic consequences of ciifferenr .I- ' >t:mds wi.th. Douglas - fir (Prauiotsugrz mcr:ziei£) m:ty be m curves. Despite . --l.. d we:e comparea co me." oosc""'"'' <'l .ffifi:G' Clis-=:oucn�:wo :ec::nt yeru:s. The ?Ot:encial for nitrogen fi.urion Ln mi:ced ch.i.nning eifects, md height od ' ' n::t.rciwood species in me P:u:ific Northwest that has ?COll­ Incerest in ced :Uder as a. :nodding :�ppronches inc!ucie diameter d.isrriburion prediction md1od tr J.t uses onLy liUluallr be::ween ?hncrioo. '> /" md 12, 14, md .16 ye-:us. T.ce: md sc.nd d:u:a we;r; :nT;lngui in. non-ove:: phnring densities is needed. ­ l:J.opitUJ' _zrowth series of 1 or 2 YG•f$. ... .. ---:::1 ..... T:-:.e purpose of chis smdy was co de-relop md compare . d-...ree :�.pproaches co madding che scruc:ure md dyn:un.ics 21 I · . Ecology and Management of B.C. Hardwoods Survival Function Individual-tree Diameter Growth .-\. :>urviva..l func:ion (Clurrer and Janes 1980) was sdec::ed Tne diameter growdt func'cioa fur individu:ll crees is sim..ii:Ir co che functions de•:eloped by Hann :md Larsen (1991). A ere: list is required co make growth predictions tor ti"Ced growth. intervals. The function is applic::tble co .:-�en- or uneven-uged scmds cimc have been chinned or St:lilds with multiole Clllooies. The oocenrial annual diameter growth of individual 'trees is ? edicced as a function of cunene diam er. Smailer cre::s have a gre:trer potenri:ll for growth . chan larger crees. The eocenrial growth is mod.iiied by basal a.re:t oflarger dbh trees (BAL) and stand basalate:t. Thus, smaller cn:es in :t srand have less growr:h. rb.a.n che larger crees. and t:rees in scmds with low basal are:�. ahibir gre:tter growth clu.n crees in c:tnds wich higher basal are:t. Sc::md morcilicv is allocated co dbh classes assuming due smaller crees in smnd h.ave l. greater probability of dying c:h:ul che larger crees. :"or use [a ill c.b.ree modeling approaches. This function is based on Lhe assump tion char sc.nd mort:tlicy is prop o r ­ cional mage and density; and is age- and path-invarian:c. Diameter Dis1ribution Prediction Approach Tnis aooroac.:,. is most useful for comoaring che e!fecrs of d ensity when l. cree is at awilable. Only st:md-!evd inrormacion is aeeded co gene.":lte a diamete: distrioucion :u my age. Com pon en ts of chis approa6 include Lhe ;urvival Eunc-:ioa, a basal area predic:ion function cb.ar .i.s asvmotocic ·nitb. resoec:-::o domirutnr heignr an d densirv. oredtc'ci n functions for Lhe Oth, 25ch, 50ili, ·' . 1nd 95 ch ciiame ::r distribution oe:r:::.'lriles, and a oaramer:r :ecove:-r oroc:::dure for the cb.rc -oar:unerer Weibuil distri­ bution fu'ac:ion (Knowe :tal. 1992). Tae quadratic rnem diam erer i."l c. e oreciic-::ed disr:ri.Outions is the same as impli­ d by 2reciic:io equations for scmd basal ::tre:1 and survival. eianci g Stand Table Pro{edion Appr.oach a fu ru r e stlnd cable chat is wich s tand- and cree-[eve.!. functions (Pienaar md Harrison 1988). A o:ee list and stand .informacion are :1 e e ded . Comoonencs of cb.e stand cable projection This aooroac.i oroduces ' consis;: t :J.ooroach incl de che survival funccion, a basal area ? jec-::ion :Unc::ion cb.ac is functionaily compatible with ciJ.e basal are:1 :Jted.icrioa function and is boch age- and oach-mvarianc.' :md a diameter orojecrioa func:ion for indi vid ual cre:s based on re!arive 'cree size, defined as che ::1.cio ofindividual-cree basal a.re:t co aver:z.ge basal m:;x. per cro:: tn me smnd. .Any growth incerval m·ay be used. Tae future d.iamer::: of individual cn:es c:m be estimated from me produc-e oi projected relative ::ree size and projec:ed :nem size oboined from cb.e srand-(e-td survival and basal :tre:l. fu.nc-:ions. The relative size projec-:ion function for individual crees c:m be constr:lined co consistenc:r of me future smnd m.ble with stand-!C"td basal are!!. and surviva..l. func::ions. Scand morcility is illooted co dbh classes ass!lming mat smaller crees in a smnd have a gn:::r.cer p rob a bility oi dying r:han larger crees. Resuifs Tne cwo-s:unpie Koimogorov-Smimoi! cest was used co . de!:e:mine whether :he observed :md pn:dicced or projet:ed. diameo:er discribucions :tre samples from c.he same oooulacioa. For u.'le d.iamerer distribution ?reciiccion o;roa.ch, che oreciicred and obser-red diame!:er als butioas we significantLy ditterent tor cwo ?LOts (2.9% of coml) cor:::spoad.ing ::o 1399 crees/h:t ?lancing density (ages 14 mci 16). For cb.e send cable projecion a ?p roa ch, che ooserved and projec-.:ed diame::e: d.isrricutions we.""::: signi.fic:mciy different for cwo plots (2.9% oi che coati) corresponding to 13 399 crees/h::t. f'i:lnci.ng' density (age 16 only). For che individual-ere:: growth. approach., che observed and projec::ed. dia.me :er dist:riburions were significantly different for one ploc ( l..J% of chc: cor:al) corresEJond.ing co 1600 creeslha. pl:mri.ng density (age 16 only). Visual inspections of di:une::er disrricurions reve:tled che diameter distribution prediction aooroach cends co ove=·ored.icc dbh for !.arger o:ees in st::l..11ds pl red at high densi ty. The st:1nd c:a.ble projeccioa approach. tends to under--predict dbh for sm:t!ler trees in St:lilds pla.nred at low density and to over-predict dbh for smaller· c:rees in stands plance d ac high density. Tae individual-ere::: growth ap p roac h provides che best cepresent:ation of observed diameter distributions at ill planting densities. 212 Ecology and Management of B.C. Hardwoods Literature Gted Condusions The diameter districucion prediction approach gives a reasonable represencacion of che smooched diameter distribution, and may be llSe...ui. for comparing ?lancing densities when a crc:e list: is not: available:. The: st::l.lld c:tbie oroiecrion aooroa6 orovides for consistcncv between I, .. lo .. ' smnd- and. crc:e-!evd growth projections, and should. be •.1se.fu..l tor compa.riag planring densities when a cn:e list: :s available. The individu.al-cree growth approach may be best: suiced :or smnds chat have been ::hinned. st:utds with mi."mU'es o£ species, or st:Ulds with various size classes. Clutter, J.L. and E.P. Jones. 1980. P:-edicrion of growth mer chinning oid-:ie.!d slash oine olanocions. USDA For. Se..··v. R<!S. Plp. SE-21J. H p. Hann. D. . an D .R. Lusen. 1991. Di.ame r growth . quanons tor fourteen cree soecies in southwest Bull. 69, Coll For.., Corvillis, Oreg. 13 f'· Oregon. For.. Res. W.o. Res. Oreg. Scate Univ .• Knowe, S_'\.., T.B. H amn. and R.G. Shuh. 1992. Incorponcing chc: :.=:c:s ofincc:"S?c:cific competition md •rege':ltion mana.gemc:nc crc::mnents in d.iamc:::r distribution models for Doug.L:ts-&r sapiio..g;. Cm. f. For. Res. 22: 1255-1262. P!c:naa.r, L. V. and W.)IL Har::-ison. 1988..'-\.sand cable: proje c:ion ap?roac.. :o y-ield ?reciic::ion in unthinned l!"ten-.tged 34: 304-308. 213 sends. For. SC:. Ecology and Management of B.C. Hardwoods Workshop Proceedings December 1 and 2, 1993, R.t.'chmond, B. C. Edited by Philip G. Comeau', George J. Harper:, Man1yn E. Blacnet, Jacob 0.. Bo ateng2, and Keith D. Thomas1 t B.C. Min.imy oiForesa, Resc::l1'cit Br:mc, V1c:orU. S.C. Z B.C. Ministry oiForc:m, Siivic'.l1ture Pr:�.ccic:s 3r:m6. Vicrori:t. B.C. October 1996 FRDA Report Mo. 255 ; CANADA-BRITISH COLUMBIA PA.RI'N'ffi.SHlP AGREEvfEJ.'IT CN FOREST RESOURCE DEVELOPMEN1 ' !Canada l FRDA II