About This File: This file was created by scanning the printed publication. Misscans identified by the software have been corrected; however, some mistakes may remain. A REPORT ON THE PERMANENT PLOI' TASK FDRCE Robert 0. eurtii ABSTRAcr. A task force on pennanent plot standards has reviewed problems and needs within the USDA Forest Service and has recommended ways to improve programs and the quality and consistency of data used for growth and yield systems. Its reccmnendations are now being implemented. INTRODUGriON In recent years, the Forest Service has becaue increasingly aware of the need to develop growth and yield systems to meet the needs of the National Forests. A 1983 in-Service report listed a series of problems perceived as obstacles to such development within the Forest Service. One obstacle was "the lack of quantitative growth and yield data over broad geographic regions and for an array of forest types, which often limits research, development, and implementation." Regions and Stations were asked to prepare joint growth and yield action plans; and to review the needs, infonnation available, and future plans for their respective areas. These plans were summarized in a 1985 in-Service report that listed issues and recommended several actions at the national level. Arrong these were the statements ( 1) that "the lack of quantitative data bases is the primary lirnitation to development and implementation of m:x:lels, " and ( 2) that there is a need for "provision for establishment and maintenance of pennanent growth and yield plots on National Forest lands, " which will "require a well planned long-tenn data collection and analysis ccmnitment...." One of several specific recommendations was that the Chief establish a task force including Timber Management Research, Timber Management, Forest Inventory and Analysis, and Land Management Planning to develop standards for 1 Principal Mensurationist, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, 3625 - 93rd Avenue S.W., Olympia, WA 98502. Presented at the IUFRO Forest Growth Modeling and Prediction Conference, Minneapolis, MN, August 24-28, 1987. 1081 establishing permanent plots on National Forest lands to serve growth and yield research, forest inventory and survey, and rronitaring of forest plans. This task force was established in early 1986 and consisted of Dwane Van Hooser, Jim Brickell, Gyde Lund, Neil L amson, Bob Bailey, and me as chairman. I will summarize the main points in our report. Though it may include sane things peculiar to the Forest Service, I think many of you will recognize our problems in your own organizations. OBJEcriVES Our instructions were "to develop standards for establishment of permanent plots.... " We took this to include the uses of permanent plots, factors affecting their design and measur ement, and practical qliestions dealing with organization and objectives, in addition to measurement procedures. We understood our assignment to refer only to permanent plots that involve measurement of timber. We did not think we could or should specify procedures for the entire country in great detail, and much of our report is a discussion of principles and past experience that should guide any permanent plot program. USES OF PERMANENT PLOI'S Permanent plots have two main uses, to measure change and to determine how change is influenced by stand attributes and stand treatment. Two goals can be distinguished (Curtis and Hyink, 1985) : to estimate the current " growth trend" of the existing forest and to estimate "response to treatment. " These goals are not the same, and they generally c annot be met fran the same data. The different objectives of inventory, monitoring, and research lead to different plot designs and different sampling designs. Inventory and monitoring plots represent the growth of the present forest, which is the result of past actions and past conditions. For answers to "what if" questions, such as choices among alternative treatments and management regimes, or forecasts of the results of stand treatments different fran those that produced the present forest, we need data fran research plots that are designed to provide response data for a wide range of initial conditions and stand treatments. Growth and yield systems intended to answer the "what if" questions must rely primarily on research data. Suitable inventory and rronitoring plots can provide useful supplemental information for system 1082 construction and are necessary for system calibration, evaluation, and Definitions and measurement standards must be consistent application. We must measure the same variables by for both types of data. consistent procedures. Our report included an extended discussion of designs and recanmended a minimum set of me asurements that should be routine on all permanent plots that may be used either for system developnent or as input to system applications. I am not going to go through these, but I will mention some past difficulties that have repeatedly been encountered. PAST PROBLEMS, NEEDS, AND OPPORTUNITIES DESIGN AND MEASUREivlENT Historically, permanent plots have been established by individual scientists and local v.x::>rk units, for a variety of purposes. They have often been useful for purposes other than those originally intended. Design and me asurement procedures have generally been determined by the individual or unit. These individuals and units have differed widely in knowledge, experience, and objectives and have had similar difficulties and made similar mistakes. Inventory plots have perhaps been rrore standardized, but designs and standards have changed repeatedly and differ among administrative units. The result is inconsistency between data sets. Measurements present in one set are lacking in another or were taken to different standards not ,easily convertible to a camon basis. Difficulties are often canpounded by poor documentation and by differences in data codes and formats. Screening data and trying to reconcile data from different sources can be an alrrost endless task, and one that makes up a substantial part of the total cost of system developnent. Additional problems occur repeatedly in much existing data and severely reduce or destroy their value. with large edge effects, These include such things as small plots ages recorded by broad classes, poor height samples and sloppy height me asurements, anission of small trees, and so on. As an example, one may get data for a set of plots that include stand Is this age at breast height? Total age? An age determined by age. boring? Years since planting? Is it an actual average of measured values, or merely a broad class value? If it is a mean of measured values, is it based on all tree classes? Daninants only? Or what? On inquiry, one may discover that the only person who knc:Ms retired last year and IrOVed to Florida. The list is endless. 1083 Permanent plots are expensive, and we cannot afford to have individuals doing their own thing and repeating past mistakes. New permanent plots generally should be established only as part of a carefully planned and thoroughly reviewed program. We need minimum standard procedures that These procedures need to recognize differences are routinely followed. in objectives, but they should provide for compatible procedures and compatible measurements on a common set of basic variables. DATA !'1ANAGEMENT Database management and data sunmarization have been continuing sources of major costs and frustrations to all who attempt to use or recover available information. This is particularly true if the data cane fran a source over which the current user has no control. Any system of permanent plots generates huge am:Junts of data that must be entered, edited, updated, and surnnarized in a variety of ways. We have universally underestimated the time and cost and the expertise required. The Forest Service has no standard and generally applicable programs for performing these tasks. Each unit has developed its own procedures and programs. unit capabilities vary widely, and people often are unaware of what others have already done. The result has been a large and redundant expenditure of resources on program developnent, and we still did not have widely available, efficient, consistent, easy-to-use standard programs. QUALITY OJNTROL Tight quality control is an essential part of any permanent plot program. This requires ( 1) defined measurement standards and procedures, ( 4) ( 2) field checks, ( 3) adequate data editing procedures, specialized personnel with adequate supervision. and Plot establishment and remeasurement must be supervised by competent people for whom this is a major duty. Personnel on Forest Service Ranger Districts who spend only a small part of their time on this activity cannot be expected to have the needed expertise. OJORDINATION BE'IWEEN THE NATIONAL FDREST SYSTEM ( NFS) AND RESEARrn Research staff working in growth and yield and NFS staff concerned with inventory and management planning have often lacked communication and understanding. Many researchers lack familiarity with current inventory procedures and existing inventory data. Often they know canrron little about the planning process and its information needs. 1084 Conversely, they have had little oppJrtunity to influence inventory and rronitaring procedures to make such data rrore useful and rrore ca.npatible with research-developed growth and yield information. There is a need to p rarote dialogue and carrron understanding. Much of the existing research permanent plot data is the product of informal cooperation between NFS and Research. But there has rarely been a comprehensive program to establish permanent plots to a consistent design over a region or type, of growth and yield system developnent. Permanent plots for rronitoring " growth specifically to meet the needs We need such programs. trends" in operationally managed But "treatment stands are logically part of the inventory system. response" studies are also necessary, and they require a series of installations across the range of site conditions and possible treatments. These installations could be installed and maintained as a joint effort of Stations and Regions. Objectives and plans should be developed jointly by Stations and Regions, with Stations having primary responsibility for design and data analysis, and NFS much of the responsibility for maintenance and treatment applications. a:DPERATION WITH OI'HER OWNERS National Forest planning inventories and forest plan monitoring are their nature specific to National Forest ownership. by This is not true of data used for rrodel developnent and for evaluation of treatment reSpJnse and silvicultural altematives. change their characteristics across a property line. Species do not Data frcm similar lands in other ownerships are equally applicable and are often essential for broadening the range of combinations of sites, age classes, and treatments represented. We in the Forest Service should not be thinking of plots on National Forest lands as the only source--or even the primary source--of treatment response information and data for rrodel developnent. carefully planned cooperative programs that include other owners and other users of permanent plot data provide major opportunities for savings in time and rroney and enhanced program effectiveness. programs can benefit all parties. These Cooperatives can be used to roth plan and install permanent plots, for pool ing and analyzing data. The leverage they provide makes and possible much more extensive programs than would be possible for either the Forest Service or any other organization acting independently. Cooperatives also help to preserve program continuity and to prarote the use of compatible and consistent data collection procedures. 1085 Successful cooperative programs require careful planning and long-term cannibnent. The Forest Service must be actively involved in program planning and in subsequent implementation and data analyses to ensure that p:rogram direction remains consistent with Forest Service needs. Paying the dues and attending the annual briefing are not enough. Ccoperatives are often the rrost pranising and rrost cost-effective means for developing the treatment response information needed for system developnent. They may be the only means feasible under prospective The costs will be far less than personnel and funding constraints. those of any attempt to go it alone. CDNI'INUITY AND FUNDING Any p:rogram to develop the needed data bases will require continuity in programs, procedures, and personnel. !lbst of our present knowledge and our data bases for growth and yield work are the product of the past efforts of a few farsighted and dedicated individuals. Pe:rrnanent plot programs that depend on the support and interest of a particular individual are highly vulnerable to personnel changes, and managers are constantly tempted to sacrifice long-term goals to irrmediate canpeting needs·. TASK FORCE REcx::M'-1ENDATIONS The Task Force made several specific recanrnendations in its report, which I have condensed here: Continuity in programs, 1. There should be: • procedures, and personnel are essential. clear policy direction emphasizing long-term ccmnitrnent, with attendant guidelines; and • a funding mechanism that specifically allocates funds to these activities, rather than leaving allocation to the local managers' discretion. 2. Measurements taken and procedures used in inventories, rroni taring, and stand examinations should response studies. similar manner, be canpatible with those used in treatment The same basic variables should be measured in a as specified in the manuals proposed in our report. 3. The Forest Service should adopt a nationwide standard minimum set of core variables to be used on all permanent plots that include measurement of timber. 1086 There is need for: • national manual direction documenting the core requirements for permanent plot procedures and measurements; and • Region and Station handbooks documenting Region and Station standard procedures, including but not limited to the standard· minimum set of variables. These should be subject to Washington Office review and approval. Where feasible and appropriate, definitions, standards, and reccmmendations in the Task Force report should be incorporated in the new "Resource Inventory Handboo k" (discussed by Lund, in press), now in preparation. 4. Several research scientists with growth and yield backgrounds should be added to the working group preparing the Forest Service "Resource Inventory Handbook" ( 1) to prcxrDte consistency and compatibility between research definitions and needs and those used by NFS and Forest Inventory and Analysis, and ( 2) to ensure that guidelines for monitoring are based on a common understanding of definitions and objectives and will produce data compatible with prospective growth and yield system needs. 5. The Forest Service should have standard ccmputer prcgrams for database management and permanent plot data surrmarization, with versions suitable for use on microcomputers and on its Data General minicanputers. Programs and procedures now in use should be surveyed to identify ( 1) ( 2) further developnent needed to produce generally applicable systems; and ( 3) documentation, the systems best suited to general use; training, 6. and support needed to make these systems widely available. Within each Region in the National Forest System, the primary responsibility for training, quality control, manual developnent, forth, should be given to one person with expertise in this area. and so Responsibility for plot installation and maintenance should be at the Forest level rather than at the District level, with technical coordination and data management at the Region and Station level. 7. Policy direction and funding procedures should specifically encourage cooperative arrangements with other land management and research organizations for collecting, sharing, and analyzing data. The Forest Service should be active in the planning and operation of such cooperatives. 1087 IMPLEMENTATION The Task Force recanmendations have been accepted in principle, and Only time will tell the me asures to implement them are nt::M in progress. extent of the changes, but we feel that the Task Force has clarified the problems and pointed the organization toward better coordination and rrore effective work in this area. The Task Force has certainly been a valuable educational experience for its members. LITERATURE CITED CUrtis, R. 0., and D. M. Hyink. 1985. Data for growth and yield rrodels. In: D. D. Van Hooser and N. Van Pelt, caupilers. Proceedings--Growth and yield and other rnensurational tricks: regional technical conference. a United States Department of Agriculture Forest Ser.vice, General Technical Report INT-193. p. 1-5. Lund, H. Gyde. (In press). Developing resource inventory policies for national land and resource evaluating and planning. In: H. Gyde Lund, Miguel caballero-Deloya, and Raul Villareal-Canton, eds. and resource for national planning in the tropics. Land United States Department of Agriculture Forest Service, General Technical Report wo. 1088