What The Future Holds For Young-Growth Timber In Western Washington BY NORMAN p. WORTHINGTON P1'incipal Silvicttltu1'ist Pacific No1'1!h·west Fo1'est and Range Experiment Station Forest Se1'vice, USDA Portland, Oregon PAPER 65-51 :(0.112} This pape1· was presented as pa1't of a panel discttssion at A P A Weste1'n Technical Committee meeting in Po1't Angeles, Washington, June 23, 1965 • One way to judge the future is by the past. Those of us with a past have witnessed m a n y changes in young­ growth timber management in western Washington since World War II and beyond. Prior to the war was the pe­ riod of tax delinquencies and wholesale abandonment of forest land by many landowners. Since the war, a com­ plete change has occurred, and a reali­ zation of management and investment opportunities has taken place. In­ creased demands for timber products are depleting our old-growth stands and pushing harvest back into our most remote areas. Simultaneously, cutting of young growth has begun in the more accessible and older stands adjacent to the large inland waterways of Puget Sound and lower Columbia River. Change is the only permanent fea­ ture of our social and physical environ­ ment. Timber management and utili­ zation will continue to change as our economic and social needs demand. A most obvious change will be better coordination between o u r changing forest resour-ce base and our manufac­ turing and utilization complex which depends upon it. Our heavy depen­ den-ce on old-growth timber must give way to inclusion of greater proportions of young-growth timber over the iln­ mediate future. In 1950, young growth made up 33 percent of western Wash­ ington's total cut; in 1963, the propor­ tion was 19 percent, indicating not much progress in this direction during the 14-year period. An examination of our land and timber resource in western Washington (as of 1963) indicates 11 million acres of commercial forest land, approxi­ mately 42 percent in public ownership and 58 percent private, with no signi­ ficant change over the past ten years. These lands are 52 percent Douglas­ fir, 26 percent hemlock-spruce, 12 per­ cent hardwood, and 10 percent f i r spruce types. Our total timber inven­ tory in western Washington is 291 billion board feet, International %­ inch rule, 57 percent in public and 43 percent in private ownership. Doug­ las-fir (31 percent) is no longer the principal tree species, but rather hem­ lock (37 percent), followed by true fir (15 percent) and cedar (9 percent). Of this 291 billion board feet, one-half is in trees under 30 inches d. b. h., and 21 percent is in trees under 20 inches d. b. h., i. e., largely young growth. Looking at our net in-crement a n d drain, we find them_ in approximate balance, 4.9 billion board feet versus 4.7 billion, but with Douglas-fir show­ ing a 52 percent greater drain than in­ crement. Concentration of old growth on National Forest lands causes drain to be 4.4 times increment in this own­ ership. An examination of estimated annual increment possible over the next 25 years indicates a gradual increase to 29 percent over that of 1963, or 6.4 billion board feet in 1990. To this might be added 1.25 billion board feet (one-half of the current annual mortality, log­ ging, and plant residues), making a combined total of nearly 8 billion board feet. If one accepts these estimates, it becomes apparent that a considerable increase in cutting of western Wash­ ington timber -can be expected if suit­ able changes in harvesting, manufac­ ture, and marketing procedures can be devised. The resource will be avail­ able; it will be the human element that will be decisive as to whether an in­ crease in production occurs. Growth exceeds cut in all species except Doug­ las-fir, which will mean an increasing relative availability of hemlock, true firs, and hardwood. Annual growth percent is low-1.7 percent-and is capable of being increased with im­ proved proportions of young-age class­ es and reduction of old-growth stands. Helping to insure attainment of this projected increase in net annual in­ crement and mortality and residue salvage are timber management prac­ tices and techniques which have been developed through research by many agencies and individuals. This research, inadequate to the task as it may be, has already pointed the way toward an expanding opportunity in our western Washington timber economy. Some specific areas where research will prove effective are: 1. Thinnings which will salvage and prevent mortality in young stands, concentrate growth on fewer trees, and reduce time necessary to grow merchantable trees. 2. C 1 o s e r utilization of logging and plant residues to increase significantly the available raw material. Engineering research both in the woods and manu­ facturing plants will be parti­ cularly fruitful in this field. 3. Salvage of mortality in older stands through both modifica­ tion in harvest cutting methods and development of light, mo­ bile equipment. 4. Improved spacing through pre­ commercial thinnings and wild­ er planting for greater yields i n merchantable volumes i n much shorter time. 5. Rehabilitation of poorly stock­ ed areas through brush eradi­ cation, seeding, and planting to bring into production l a r g e areas not now contributing to forest increment. 6. Fertilization of s l o w growth areas to raise site quality and increase productivity. 7. Genetie improvement in o u r native tree species to insure faster growth and better quali­ ty timber, particularly signifi­ cant to the pulp and paper industry. 8. Reduction in animal damage through chemical and silvical means to increase u 1 t i m a t e yields, particularly in planta­ tions. 9. Improved harvest cutting me­ thods to shorten the regenera­ tion period and insure better stocking for the new crop. It is reasonable to expect increasing development of new and supporting industries. This is a pleasing expecta­ tion since it will increase local markets for primary forest products. Th ere will be increased use of the forest for recreation, watershed protection, and for game, all of which will in some ways restrict the growth and use of timber products to a varying extent. As intensive forest management in­ creases, the need to determine just where to invest the management dollar to secure the greatest return will be an urgent necessity. Our future will bring a clemand or market problem as well as a supply or natural resource • problem. About This File·. f'l I e was cr . eated bY sc an nrn g t he pnnte . M' . rsscans ide d publication ntified by th h e so ftware h ·, owever, so ave been corr me mistake ected· ) s may remar.n. -,·Th'IS . · - - -- , Reprinted from Technical Papers of American Pulpwood Association, January 1966 Purchased by the U. S. Forest Service for official use.