U.S .. FOREST SERVICE Research Paper PNW- 7 · Procedure for· developing a ·SITE INDEX ESTIMATING SYSTEM from Ste�11 Analysis Data by FLOYD A. JOH NSON and NORMAN P. WORTHINGTON December 1963 . \ PACIFIC NORTHWEST FOREST AND RANGE EXP RIMEN'r STATION. Philip A. Briegleb, Db;·ector Portland, Oregon U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE FOREST SERVICE I N T RODU C T IO N Site index curves for red alder.!J were developed from stem analysis data by a procedure which has since been adopted for lodgepole pine in eastern Oregon and for aspen in Alaska. In these. three cases, the results have been so encouraging that a detailed description of the procedure seems justified. The red alder data has been used to illustrate the proced re in the description which follows. TH E DA TA Forty-three red alder trees from 16 locations scattered throughout the red alder stands of western washington were selected, felled, and cut into' sections during 195 7 for the site index phase of the red alder yield-table project, Height abov,e.ground and tree age corresponding to this height were deter­ mined for: each point of cutting on every tree, Measurements recorded for tree number 26 have be en listed in table 1 to illustrate the n;3.ture of the basic data, Table 1.--Basic data_ for tree No. 26 Tree age Tree height Tree age 2 3 5 8 12 15 18 22 8 16 24 32 40 48. 53 58 25 29 34 37 41 52· 58 68 Tree height 63 68 73 78 83 88 93 96 \ Tree ages at the time of felling varied: 13 trees we.re less than 50 years, 3 trees were over 8 0 years, and the others were somewhere between 50 and 8 0 years, Each of the 43 trees was dominant at time of cutting ·and was considered to have been dominant throughout its entire life. Evidence to the. contrary. would h<we been cause for rejection, }:_/ Bishop, .Daniel M. , Johnson, Floyd A., and Staebler, George R. Site curv.es for red alder. U.S. Forest Serv. Pac. NW. Forest & Range Expt. Sta. Res, Note .1.62, .7 pp , illus.. 1958 •. .• 1 1 TH E P' RO C EDU R E Heights of the various cuts were plotted over corresponding ages for ch of the 43 trees, and adjacent points were connected by straight lines. . gure 1 illustrates this step for tree number 26. TREE HEIGHT ( feet ) 100 90 80 '70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 10 .20 30 40 50 60 70 TREE AGE ( years)· Figure I. -Height over age for tree No. 26 \ Heights from the segmented curves constructed in step 1 ere listed for ch of the following ages: 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45, 50, 60, and 70, tese heights are shown in table 2 for age 30. All 43 trees were at least 30 ars old when cut. The uppermost segment of the curve for each of the 13 es which were less than 50 years old when cut was extended to inter ept e 50, Thus, the table for age 50 corresponding to table 2 also contained 43 es. These 13 extrapolations covered only a few years at the most and were nsidered entirely acceptable. Tables for ages 60 and 70 had fewer than 43 es because extrapolations to ages 60 and 10 were not acceptable for all trees,· may be l example of whq.t was considered to be an acceptable extrapolatio en in fig re 1 as the broken line extension of the last segment to age 70. -2- Table 2. -Tree heights at age 30 for 43 trees Tree number Height at age 30 Tree number Feet Height at age 30 Tree number 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Height at age 30 Tree number F eet Feet Feet -- -- 81.5 78.5 80.0 68.5 69.5 71.0 67.0 51 0 63.5 59.0 48.5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 .11 Height at age 30 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 53 5 50.0 58.0 59.5 60.0 61.0 79.0 88.0 82.0 86.0 89.0 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 94.5 80.0 72.0 69.0 66,0 68.0 63.0 57.5 57.0 47.0 53.0 82.5 80.0 83.0 80.0 74.5 . 73 0 81.5 86.0 70.0 73,0 Average height at age 50 as calculated from all trees at a location was .rbitrarily. called the site index of that location, These site indexes are listed n table 3 for each of the 43 trees. For each of 10 ages (10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 3 5! :0, 45, 60, and 70), site indexes were.then plotted over corresponding heights. his step is illust rated in figure 2 for age 3 0, Note th a:t site indexes in table 3 vere p lotted over heights in table 2 to give the scatter diagram in figure 2, . I SITE INDEX 12Kl 0 \ 100 80 60 . 40 20 (j 0 10 20. 30 40 so 60 70 80 . 90 100 HEIGHT at AGE 30 (feet) Figure .2. -Scdtter dio.groni. Site index over height at age 30. ":'3 - Table 3.--Site indexes for 43 trees Tree umber 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Site index Tree number Site index 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 67.0 67. 0 80. 0 78.0 78. 0 78.0 103.5 103. 5 103.5 103. 5 103.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 88.5 88. 5 88.5 88.5 78. 0 78.0 78.0 - 67. 0 Tree number 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 . -31 32 33 - Site index Tree number Site index 111.0 111.0 100.0 87.5 87. 5 87. 5 67. 5 67. 5 67.5 62. 0 62.0 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 103. 5 103. 5 103,5 91.5 91. 5 91.5 94. 5 98. 0 98. 0 98. 0 A linear least squares line was calculated for the relationship of site ex to height with a separate ine for each -of the 10 ages. The line for age is 'shown in figure z There was no indication from these plottings that rthing other than a straight line would have been appropriate, Each line •. made subject to the condition that site index was zero when height was ·o. Subsequent steps in the procedure proved to be intractable unless this 3 Ldition was imposed, In addition, the· condition was not hard to accept. Foi\ :h of the 10 scatter· diagrams, the calculated line was as obviously accept­ . e as- it was in figure 2. The .mathematical expression for each line was: S = bH ---------- - ----------- --- :.. -- where S = site index H = height at a giyen a ge b = . . . regress1on coe ff'1c1ent -4­ = -· z;SH -2 Z:H ( 1) j 15 The 10 regression coefficients from the 10 analyses (table 4) were ted over age, and a smooth progression of b values resulted (fig. 3), Table 4.--Regression coefficients for the relationship of site index on height Untransformed Age (A) 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 60 70 Transformed Regression coefficient (b) ·. x 1/A-1/50 = 2.59 L90 1.54 1.36 1. 26 1.16 1.10 1.04 .95 , 90 0,080 .047 ,030 .020 ,013 ,009 ,005 ,002 -,003 -.006 y b-1 1.59 ,90 .54 .36 .26 .16 ,1(.) ,04 -,05 -.10 6 Data in the first two columns of table 4 were transformed as follows to :l I the condition b= L 00 when age = 50 (obviously, b must be 1. 0 0 when age because site index is equal by definition to height at age 50): y = b- 1 X = 1 IA - 1 I 50 where A= age transformed values in the last two columns of table 4 were then used to c for this expression: y = ex .. whe-re -2c = L:yx L:x -5- \ Thus: y = 19. 452x and after reconverting y and x: b = 0 . 611. + 19. 452/A----------- --------- (2) This curve is shown in figure 3. REGRESSION COEFFICIENT (b) 2.60 2.40 2.20 2.00 1.80 .. 1.60 1.40 \ \ \ \( " ' ·- 1.20 .. ' 1.00 0.80 0 I I I 30 20 . 10 I 40 I. 50 I 60 . 70 TREE AGE (years) Figu e 3. -Regression coefficients for the relationship of site index tci height;plotted over age. 5tep 7 An equation which generates· site index. for any combination of age d b.eight resulted when equation 2 was substi_ tuted for b in equation 1. Thus: ·s = (0. 611 + 19. 452/A)H---------- -- ----- (3) D . AHMS 1 M 0 D IF I CA T I 0 N An evolution of the above proced/ re is already underway. In developing took the height of only the tallest of six site curv es for lodgepole pine; Dahms _ trees on a plot at each of several stand ages. Although this left him with only ::me-sixth the amount -of data that would have· been avail<:�-ble under the procedure iescribed in this report, there is a good chance, at least in his case, that he ;�.vo.ided a serious bias. Except for this one modification, Dahms used the pro­ cedure described above. \ l 2/ Dp..hms, Walter G. Correction for a possible bias in developing site lndex curves from sectioned tree data. Jour, Forestry 61: 25-27, illus, 1-963 . - 6 - I ·I D IS CUSS IO N Equation 3 is not the same as the comparable equation published in 11Site .rves for Red Alder11]_/ because a few minor errors were discovered in the lginal work. Since both equations give almost ident1cal results, these errors re of no practical importance, When equation 3 is used to develop curves of height over age for each of veral site indexes, one curve will be proportional to another in the sense that l ratio of heights for a given age from the two curves will be constant over all as. This proportionality is caused by the arbitrary restriction on the curves site index over height (see step 4) which forces them through the zero-zero ndinates, The only justification for the proportionality is the empirical ldence (see fig. 2) which suggests that the restriction is reasonable. Thus, . S ite index for an individual tree. should stay constant over all·-ages equation 3 were to be applied to the basic data from a single tree, there should no evidence of a trend when estimated site index is plotted over age. This was 1e for each of the 43 trees and the results for tree number 26 (see table 1) are )Wll in fi ure 4. · ESTIMATED SITE INDEX 120 i 10 · - 0 0 100 90 0 =-- - 0 0 -e-o. 0 0 80 0 - . . - -rr-C- - 0 70. r- I 60 0 10 I ·20 I 30 I I I 40 50 60 \ 70 TREE AGE (years) · Figure 4. -Estimated . ˆ ite index plotted over age for tree No. 26. Estimated site index was found from these plottings to be very erratic mage was le.ss than 10 years. Above 10 years, 17. tr·ees gave no evidence icating a trend of estimated site index on age (tree 26 was one of these 17). iositive trend was apparent on 15 trees, and a negative trend was apparent on· remaining 11 trees. Perhaps this can be taken to mean that equation 3 is :eptable when age is 10 or greater. ]_/ See footnote 1. ... ?- Differences between estimated and actual site iridex, as ·calculated· from all measurements on all trees, were plotted over age in figure 5, Here, a nega­ tive bias is evident below 10 years, and a lack of bias is evident when age is 10 or greater, Standard deviations of these differences were found to be 16 site . index units for age class 1·0 to 20 years, . 8 site index units for age class 20 to 30 years, 5 site index units for age class 30 to 40 years, and 4 site index units for age class 40 to 50 years. +60 :t50 +40 +30 +20 +10 0 -10 -20 -30 - 40 .. so -60 -70 -80 -9 0 10 . ·20. 30 40 60 50 .TREE AGE ' i fig\lre· 5. -Differences bet)Vee · estimated. and actual s te index plottc:d 70 (years ) ver 'tree age (.43 'trees ) , . The complete set of red alder data has ·been made available in table 5 for the benefit of anyone who might wish to experiment further with procedures for developing a site· index estimating system, · -8- · .. Table s .. oca Tree ion No. 1 1 10 20 30 40 50 60. 70 75 80 85 90 95 A 6 8 9 11 16 17 19 26 29 32 38 43 50 H 2 10 ?0 30 40 50 60 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 A 1 4 5 8 10 13 16 22 27 31 36 40 46 50 H 10 20 30 40 50 . 60 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 102 A 9 12 15 18 21 23 24 27 30 36 41 48 51 H 2 4 10 20 40 50 60 65 70 75 so 85 90 A 2 5 6 7 30 3i 11 15 20 23 25 32 34 37 47 50 58 H 10 20 30 40 50 55 60. 64 68 .74 78 so 84 88 94 A 5 6 8 15 17 22 24 25 29 41 46 52 58 H 4 10 2 30 40 50 65 70 75 35 37 2 33 8J) 85 90 ..100 105 108 A 2 22 29 34 .3 8 43 . 60 . H 4 3 70,,,: .75 ..8_ o . 85 A 3 37 51 ·n 2 34 A H · · · ---· A, 2 10 - - 3 4 2 5 6 7 3 8 9. . ·<·- .. I • A 11 . - il 12 !4 6 10 12 13 20 '. 30 40 50 55 60 6. . 14 '·15" 18 24 29 31 · 18 6. . n 24 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 : 68 1 4 7 11 13 i7 18 20 24 29 33 37 40 3 8 .. 16 24. 32 40 45 50 . 55 60 65 70 74 .. !.'!. 16 18 22 26 32 38 . 42 10 6· i 3 3- 15 16 8 · --1:2: 8 .'i6 T. .. X ....:s. .! ,. 9 .. 22. .. 11.. :32 . 40· •· --'r•: ·n.-· .14. . 4. 32 17 .. 40 A 2 4 "8' "10., 16 2 8 16 '24' 32 1 4 8 13 17 •M 1· 4 8 16 24 32 A 1 5 8 14 17 .·H 2 40 R 2 A 1 H 2 A 7 . . ·-· 3 .. ·.6 2 45 50 55 6!J 65 J9 . .. 45 22 27 31. 36 5o .55 33 6·o .. ... . 72 79 83 _95 100. 105 62. 64. 76 56 : 70 7l 39 · 40 4 ·- . .- - . .. 64 43 46 60 65 65 27 31 38 41 42 40 . 45 50 55 60 65 24 28 38· 52 56 60 43 47 · 48 30 64 68 72 76 80 29 1 35 38 40 42 48 27 31 45 50 21 23. 20 44 98 90· 55 21 40 · - --·- . · .• 96 -- ··- 8 24 '32 3 6 . ti·· "8 16 24' 32 36 40 48 52 56 64 68 78 2 li .., 10 11 16 '21 24 27 a 24 36 40 42 48 · 52 60 64 68 71 79' 3 4 32 37 46 16 34 · 6 11 13 16 18 21 24 26 30 46 2h 32 40 44 48 52 56 60 64 36 39 16 i 34 A · "1" 6 100 5. H A 13· 5 Heights and ages for 43 red alder trees H 2 4 Basic red alder stem analysis data · .. 2f 2:i .17 . . 19 56 17 H A 1 2 3 5 9 11 13 15. 18 . 22 27 36 39 42 44 18 H 3 8 16 24 32 40 44 48 52 60 64 68 72 76 82 88 92 96 100 104 107 10 11 15 16 17 19 1 24 25 32 37 38 51 58 62 52. 56 64 70 80 84 88 92 96 100 104 108 43 100 104 108 112 116 41 44 54 61 67 2 g .. • 68 73 79 A 2 3 6 7 19' H 3 12 40 A 2 3 28 8 11 13 14 16 17 19 25 29 30 34 35 38 5q 55 20 H 2 16 24 48 56 64 68 72 76 88 92 96 A 6 10 12 14 17 19 21 22 24 27 ·so 84 4 32 40 1 :a 34 36 40 . H 2 12 24 32 40 48 52 56 60 68 76 80 84 32 88 92 A 1 3 5 7 9 12 15 18 20 22 26 27 H 12 24 32 40 48 52 56 66 72 80 84 88 33 36 2 2 90 A 1 2 3 5 6 10 11 14 17 20 26 27 j4 21 . 22 8 _58 -9- 28 29 96 100 104 . 41 45 53 96 100 104 108 ·112 40 46 47 55 65 108 . 58 Table Loeation Tree 24 9 25 10 26 27 28 -.- 11 29 . . 30 . 31 . .. 32 :12 .. 13 I 4 12 24 32 4o 48 54 60 66 74 . 80 84 88 92 96 100 104 . 108 112 A 2 3 4 6 7 8 10 1 14 15 17 20 23 26 33 34 40 43 46 52 H 3 8 20 32 48 52 56 60 64 68 72 76 80 84• 88 92 96 100 102 108 112 116 A 2 5 6 8 13 15 17 18 20 21 22 25 30 32 35 40 42 44 46 51 62 68 H 3 8 16 24 32 40 48 60 64 68 72 76 0 84 ' 88 92 100 104 108 ·20 54_ 23 25 28 30 31 32 37 42 46 50 55 60 83 88 93 96 41 52 58 68 98 A 2 7 9 10 18 19 H 8 16 24 32 40 48 53 58 63 68 73 78 A 2 3 5 8 12 15 18 22 25 29 34 37 22 H 2 24 32' . 40 48 53 63 68 73 78 83 88 93 A 1 8 13 16 20 23 27 34 38 43 47 53 65 73. H 2 8 16 24.. 32 40 48 53 58 63 68 73 78 83 88 93. 98 103 107 A 1 2 7 11 12 15 . 18 20 2'1' 24 30 . 34 37 .42 46 64' 69 79 H 2· 8 55 . 16 24 32 40 44 56 60 64 68 72 57 .. ·_· 48. . 52 A 1 3 4 5 6 9 13 15 17 20 25 31 41 H 2· 8 16 24 32 44 48 .52 56 60 64 68 . A' 4u- 1 3 5 7 11 12 15 16 18 25 38 42' ·56 H 2 8 -16 24- 32 40 44 "48 52 56 60 64 69 A 1 4 5 10 12 18 20 . 23 26 28 36 42 62 H 1 8 16- 24 32 36 40 52 56 60 69 A .. 1 33 H 1 A 34: 43 red alder trees H ... 35 14 Heights and ages for No, 23 8 5. uBasic red alder stem analysis data--Continued L 44 48 ... ·' 9 15 18 20 23 33 36 41 49 59 8 16 24 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 63 1 5 7 12 15 16 19 23 25 29 32 37 47 - R 1 8 17 25 33 41 49 57 65 69 . 75 80 85 88 93. 1 2 3 5 7 10 11 14 . 17 18 23 27 33 36 42 46 H 1 8 17 25 33 41 49 57 65 69 . 75 80 85 89 93 100 97 101 105 106 51 57 60 104 108 1 2 3 4 7 11 13 15 17 19 25 30 33 36 42 46 49 60 H 1 9 17 25 33 41 49 57 65 70 75 80 85 90 93 io6 1.05 112 'A 1 5 6 8 9 '11 14 16 19 21 23 27 32 35 42 45 49 60 37 -H 2 8 16 24 32 40 48 56 64 72 76 80 85 90 94 A 1 3 4 5 6 9 12 15 18 23 25 30 36 42 . 52 H 2 8 16 24 32 40 48 56 60 64 68 72 76 80 84 88 92 A 1 3 11 16 19 20 23 25 28 31 35 39 43 52 39 15 40' 16 41 42 43 - 7. 8. H 2 8 16 24 32 40 48 56 64 68 72 76 80 84 88 94 A 1 2 5 9 11 13 17 21 24 27 29 33 40 41 46 54 H 2 8 1.6 32 40 48 64 72 76 80 84 88 92 96 102 A 1 2 3 8 10. 13 19 22 26 28 33 37 43 54 63 H 1 9 17 24 37 49 58 66 74 78 82 86 90 ·.94 98 A 1 2 5 7 8 13 14 17 21 23 26 30 32 36 42 H 1 9 21 3;l 43 51 59 67 71 75 79 84 . A 1 5 6 7 10 16 18 27 31 33 38 43 H 1 9 17 25 33 49 57 62 66 70 . 74 82 86 90 92 A 1 3 6 8 11 14 19 20 21 24 27 35 37 41 43 -10- . ,. . " - .. - ... A 4 ' '·- .... A 38 _·. .· .. 36. - .... ·-: ·-· · 7 ___ 116 ·- .. , • '