Spatial point process modelling of coordinate-based meta-analysis data 1 2 3 4 1 Pantelis Samartsidis , Tor Wager , Lisa Feldman Barrett , Timothy D. Johnson , and Thomas Nichols 1University of Warwick 2 3 University of Colorado at Boulder Introduction Northeastern University 4 University of Michigan Results Neuroimaging meta-analysis is a topic of growing interest, in part due to the small sample sizes in individuals studies [Carp,2012], concerns of prevalence of Type II errors [Wager et al, 2009] and low reliability [Raemaekers et al, 2007]. Since full statistical images are generally not shared, only Coordinate-Based Meta-Analysis (CBMA) based on XYZ peak locations is feasible. However CBMA methods are not based on a generative statistical model and generally cannot account for study-specific characteristics. In this work, we present a novel method, based on Bayesian point processes that is interpretable and can account for the effect of study specific characteristics. We apply our method in a meta-analysis of fMRI studies. • Mean posterior log-intensities for emotions can be found in Column 1. Column 2 are the corresponding quantities for executive control. Column 3 is the standardised mean posterior difference 50 50 50 0 0 0 −50 −50 −50 −100 −100 −100 −50 Methods Notation 0 50 −50 0 50 50 50 50 0 0 0 −50 −50 −50 −100 −100 −100 −50 0 50 −50 0 50 i • Foci xi = {xi j }nj=1 from study i = 1, 2, . . . , I K • Covariates{zi k }k=1: a set of K features for study i Model • Each xi is the realisation of a Poisson point process Xi defined on the brain B: Xi ∼ Pois (B, λi ) −50 • We model study i ’s intensity at location ξ ∈ B as: ∗ K K X X βk (ξ) zik + βk zik , λi (ξ) = exp k=K ∗+1 k=0 0 50 −50 0 50 8 −9 −9 6 50 −10 50 50 −10 50 4 −11 −11 −12 −12 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 −13 where βk (·) are spatially varying coefficients and βk are spatially-constant coefficients. We model each βk (·) as a Gaussian process 50 50 −13 −2 −14 −50 −14 −50 −50 −4 −50 −50 −50 −15 −15 −6 Inference −16 −16 −8 −100 −100 • Inference is done under the Bayesian paradigm −17 −100−100 −10 −50 K∗ {βk (·)}k=0 • Let θ include all model parameters and {βk }K k=K ∗+1. Posterior is given by: Z Y ni I Y exp − λi (ξ)dξ π (θ | data) ∝ λi (xij )π (θ) B i =1 −17 −100−100 j=1 −50 0 0 50 −50 50 Emotion −50 0 50 0 −50 −50 50 Executive control 0 50 50 0 Difference ROI analysis • Based • Analytically intrectable, we use MCMC to draw samples from this posterior on the properties of the spatial Poisson process, several quantities of interest can be obtained • For the whole brain the expected number of foci for emotion studies is 7.14 while for executive control 11.9 Algorithm details • For any ROI of interest we can find P (n ≥ 1), the probability of at least one focus: • Discretise βk (·) on a grid B with V voxels of volume A mm3 and approximate as: β k = µk + ROI 1/2 σk Rk γ k , where γ k ∼ NV (0, I) and (Rk )i j = exp −ρk d(vi , vj )δk • Flat priors on µk , σk , ρk ∼ Uni [0.01, 100] and fixed δk = 2 • Parameters jointly updated with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo [Neal, 2010] • Matrix-vector products handled with Circulant Embedding [Wood & Chan, 1994] Left amygdala OFC lateral left Left thalamus Left putamen Cingulate anterior OFC medial Emotion Executive 0.228 0.235 0.144 0.104 0.210 0.094 0.022 0.167 0.216 0.143 0.291 0.011 ROI Right amygdala OFC lateral right Right thalamus Right putamen Cingulate Posterior Precuneus Emotion Executive 0.203 0.158 0.125 0.086 0.105 0.181 0.013 0.184 0.177 0.116 0.092 0.374 Application: fMRI meta-analysis Discussion Data Conclusions • 1199 fMRI/PET studies of 2 types: • New approach with good interpretability, that can quantify the effect of covariates locally or globally throughout the brain ã 860 emotion studies ã 339 executive control studies • Differences between different types of studies directly obtained from posterior. No need to run 2 different models • 10775 foci ã 6459 from emotion ã 4316 from executive control • For the real data, very distinct localisation between emotion and executive control Future work includes: • Average 16 participants per experiment Objectives Emotion • T scores can be attached to the foci as marks • Find regions of consistent activations • Model extension for detection of co-activation patterns • Localise difference between emotions/executive control Implementation References • 2 spatially varying coefficients for covariates zi 1, zi 2 where: ( 1 study i is emotion zi 1 = , 0 otherwise • Carp, J. (2012). NeuroImage, 63(1), 289-300 • Neal, R. (2011). Handbook of Markov Chain Mote Carlo, Chapter 5, 113-162 • Raemaekers, M. et al (2007). NeuroImage, 36(3), 532-542 Executive control and zi 2 = 1 − zi 1 • HMC: 15,000 iterations, 10,000 burn-in • Predictive distribution for type classification • Wager, T. et al (2009). NeuroImage, 45(1, Supplement 1), S210-S221 • Wood, A. and Chan, G. (1994). Journal of computational and Graphical Statistics, 3(4), 409-432